Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms

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Saturday, 28 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006


Sat 28 Jan

7:30 AM-7:31 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006


Short Course and Student Conference Registration

Sunday, 29 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006


Sun 29 Jan

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 29 January 2006


Conference Registration

Monday, 30 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Mon 30 Jan

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (M1)

12:00 PM-1:10 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Plenary Session 1
AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; the The James Holton Symposium; the Third Symposium on Space Weather; the Event Program; the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the 15th Symposium on Education; the Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Fourth Presidental History Symposium; the First Symposium on Policy Research; the Eighth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the The Doug Lilly Symposium; the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 14th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere; the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the Second Symposium: Toward a Global Earth Observation System of Systems—Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the Symposium on the Public/Private Sector Partnership; the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the Second Special Session on Heat Health )
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ.; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS
  12:00 PM
PL1.1
Forum opening
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna

  12:10 PM
PL1.2
How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?
Martin Best, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

  12:40 PM
PL1.3
THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (M2)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Holton Symposium Banquet

Tuesday, 31 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Tue 31 Jan

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (T1)

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Exhbits Open (T)

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Plenary Session
Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)
Hosts: (Joint between the Event Program; the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 15th Symposium on Education; the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; the Eighth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the The Doug Lilly Symposium; the First Symposium on Policy Research; the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment; the 14th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere; the 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the Second Symposium: Toward a Global Earth Observation System of Systems—Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the Fourth Presidental History Symposium; the Symposium on the Public/Private Sector Partnership; the The James Holton Symposium; the Third Symposium on Space Weather; and the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year )

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Session 1
Historical Perspectives on Understanding and Forecasting Severe Convective Storms
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms
Organizer: William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University
  1:45 PM
1.1
Historical overview of severe convective storms research
Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
  2:15 PM
1.2
Historical overview of severe convective storms forecasting
Steven J. Weiss, Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
  2:45 PM
1.3
Discussion

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (T2)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Session 2
Current Understanding of Supercell Tornadoes and Future Research Directions
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms
Organizer: Yvette P. Richardson, Penn State University
  4:30 PM
2.3
Future directions in tornado observational research
Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and E. N. Rasmussen
  5:00 PM
2.4
Discussion

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Sessions end for the day (T)

Wednesday, 1 February 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Wed 1 Feb

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Joint Session 4
Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ.
  8:30 AM
J4.1

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 1
What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University
Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (W1)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Session 3
The Dynamics, Prediction, and Detection of Severe Convective Windstorms, Nonsupercell tornadoes, and Hailstorms
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms
Organizer: Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ.
  11:00 AM
3.2
  11:30 AM
3.3
Hail detection and nowcasting
Dusan Zrnic, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

11:00 AM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Exhibits Open (W)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (W)

1:30 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 2
The Production and Communication of Severe Weather Warnings to the Public (Joint between the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms and the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges)
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Erik N. Rasmussen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma
Panelists: Dennis McCarthy, NOAA; Michael Smith, Weather Data, Inc.; Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma; David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL; Michael A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS; Eve Gruntfest, NCAR
  1:30 PM
JPD2.1
  2:30 PM
JPD2.2
  3:30 PM
JPD2.3
Panel Discussion: Gruntfest
Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Poster Session 1
The Observation, Modeling, Theory, and Prediction of Severe Convective Storms and Their Attendant Hazards
Location: Exhibit Hall A2 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms
 
P1.1
Verification of multi-sensor, multi-radar hail diagnosis techniques
Kiel L. Ortega, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith and G. J. Stumpf

Poster PDF (191.0 kB)

 
P1.2
Storm Scale Forecasts and Observations of a North Alabama Hailstorm on December 10, 2004
Steven J. Goodman, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. Lapenta, K. La Casse, E. W. McCaul Jr., and W. A. Petersen

 
P1.3
Optimal sampling strategies for hazardous weather detection using networks of dynamically adaptive Doppler radars
Jessica L. Proud, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier, V. T. Wood, R. A. Brown, and L. White

Poster PDF (234.3 kB)

 
P1.4
A quantitative analysis of the enhanced-V signature in relation to severe weather
Jason C. Brunner, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. A. Ackerman, A. S. Bachmeier, and R. M. Rabin

Poster PDF (557.6 kB)

 
P1.6
Utilizing Experimental Graphical Severe Weather Warning Probabilities to Supplement the Hazardous Weather Outlook
J. Brad McGavock, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and G. N. Mathews and J. M. Frederick

Poster PDF (360.2 kB)

 
P1.7
Tornado Warnings, Lead Times and Tornado Casualties: An Empirical Investigation
Daniel Sutter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. Simmons

 
P1.8
The first workshop on severe weather technology for NWS warning decision making
M.A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK; and G. J. Stumpf

Poster PDF (46.4 kB)

 
P1.9
 
P1.10
A case study of convective initiation along a retrograding dryline
Robert E. Barbre Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski and K. R. Knupp

 
P1.11
Ridge rollers: mesoscale disturbances on the periphery of cutoff anticyclones
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Bosart

Poster PDF (920.6 kB)

 
P1.12
Meteorological aspects of high-impact tornado outbreaks
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

 
P1.13
Ground-based remotely sensed high temporal-resolution stability indices associated with southern Great Plains tornado outbreaks
Timothy J. Wagner, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz, R. A. Petersen, and S. A. Ackerman

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

 
P1.14
Elevated convection and tropospheric inertial instability: A connection?
John A. Knox, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and D. M. Schultz

 
P1.15
Discriminating Among Non Severe, Severe, and Derecho-Producing Mesoscale Convective System Environments
Ariel E. Cohen, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and M. C. Coniglio, S. F. Corfidi, and S. J. Corfidi

Poster PDF (227.9 kB)

 
P1.16
Adiabatic lapse rates in tornadic environments
Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC

Poster PDF (320.8 kB)

 
P1.17
A numerical investigation of the synoptic environment associated with tornadic and nontornadic severe weather outbreaks
Hamish A. Ramsay, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. A. Doswell III and L. M. Leslie

 
P1.18
The need for an improved documentation of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in South America
Ernani L. Nascimento, Instituto Tecnológico SIMEPAR, Curitiba, PR, Brazil; and C. A. Doswell III

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)

 
P1.19
Reconstructing the frequency of tornado occurrence in the central United States
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Poster PDF (298.9 kB)

 
P1.20
Simulations of exteme convective storms in future climates: proof-of-concept tests with a retrospective event
Brooke A. Halvorson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and R. J. Trapp and N. S. Diffenbaugh

Poster PDF (541.9 kB)

 
P1.21
A Twelve Year Climatological Analysis of Severe Local Storms Observed by the Oklahoma Mesonet
James E. Hocker, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara

Poster PDF (379.8 kB)

 
P1.22
A five-year climatology of elevated severe convective storms in the United States east of the Rocky Mountains
Katherine L. Horgan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, Raleigh, NC; and D. M. Schultz, R. H. Johns, S. F. Corfidi, and J. E. Hales

Poster PDF (919.2 kB)

 
P1.23
Why the swirl ratio is a useless parameter
David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

 
P1.24
Tornado strength and the influence of dissipative heating
Jerry M. Straka, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. Markowski

 
P1.25
Comparison of numerical model and laboratory simulator tornado wind fields with radar observations of the Spencer, South Dakota tornado
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and F. L. Haan, P. Sarkar, K. Le, and J. Wurman

Poster PDF (374.5 kB)

 
P1.26
Analysis of a hook echo and rear flank downdraft from a simulated supercell on 8 May 2003
Lewis Grasso, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, CO; and D. T. Lindsey

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

 
P1.28
Challenges in comparing realistic, high-resolution spatial fields from convective-scale grids
Michael E. Baldwin, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore, D. C. Dowell, T. Fujita, L. J. Wicker, and D. J. Stensrud

Poster PDF (136.1 kB)

 
P1.29
What is a bow echo?
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. C. Knievel

 
P1.30
Forecasting the speed and longevity of severe mesoscale convective systems
Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. F. Corfidi

Poster PDF (826.2 kB)

 
P1.31
An examination of three Derecho events during the first week of July 2003 concurrent with BAMEX
Nicholas D. Metz, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and L. Bosart

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

 
P1.32
An examination of the long-lived MCV of 10-13 June 2003
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Bosart

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

 
P1.33
An examination of flash flooding in the Binghamton, NY county warning area
Stephen M. Jessup, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

 
P1.34
An analysis of severe hail swaths in the Southern Plains of the United States
Daniel R. Cheresnick, Self Employed, Longmont, CO; and J. Basara and E. D. Mitchell

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)

 
P1.35
Meso-scale pressure dips accompanied by a severe convective storm of tropical cyclones
Hironori Fudeyasu, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. IIzuka and T. Matsuura

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

 
P1.36
The Connection Between a Cold Front Aloft and the Extensive Squall Line of 29–30 October 2004
Mark Stoelinga, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. D. Locatelli


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (W2)

3:45 PM-3:45 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Sessions end for the day (W)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Session 4
Numerical Modeling of Severe Convective Storms
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms
Organizer: David C. Dowell, CIMMS
  4:00 PM
4.1
The History of the Numerical Modeling of Severe Convective Storms
Robert B. Wilhelmson, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL
  4:30 PM
4.2
Severe local storms and computational science: What's next?
Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

  5:00 PM
4.3
Discussion

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 2 February 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Symposium Ends

THUR 2 FEB

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Joint Session 3
Using Numerical Models in Real-Time to Improve Forecasts of Convective Storms (Joint between the Doug Lilly Symposium and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Location: A302 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the The Doug Lilly Symposium; and the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms )
Chair: Frederick H. Carr, Univ. of Oklahoma
  8:30 AM
J3.1
Welcoming Remarks

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Th1)

11:00 AM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Exhibits Open (Th)

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (Th)

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Registration Desk Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle (Th2)

4:00 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Exhibit Close

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Lilly Symposium Banquet