Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology

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Sunday, 9 January 2000

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7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2000


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2000


Conference Registration

Monday, 10 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | top

7:30 AM-5:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Registration Continues through Friday, 14 January

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-2:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Session 1
Coupled Fire - Atmospheric Models
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: David W. Goens, NOAA/NWS
10:30 AM
1.1
Another Look at the Weather Factors Related to the 1949 Mann Gulch Fire
David W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT; and W. R. Krumm

10:45 AM
1.2
Numerical simulation of a wildfire event
Mary Ann Jenkins, York Univ., Toronto, ON, Canada

11:00 AM
1.3
Coupled atmosphere-fire model dynamics of a fireline crossing a hill
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark

11:15 AM
1.4
New numerical approaches for coupled atmosphere-fire models
Jon M. Reisner, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and D. A. Knoll, V. A. Mousseau, and R. R. Linn

11:30 AM
1.5
Studying Complex Wildfire Behavior Using FIRETEC
Rodman R. Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. E. Bossert, F. Harlow, J. M. Reisner, and S. Smith

11:45 AM
1.6
Coupled atmosphere-fire behavior model sensitivity to spatial fuels characterization
James E. Bossert, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and R. R. Linn, J. M. Reisner, J. L. Winterkamp, P. Dennison, and D. Roberts

12:00 PM
1.0a
Conference Introduction: Dave W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT and Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA

12:15 PM
1.3a
Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Session 2
Atmospheric and Fire Dynamics
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Janice Coen, NCAR
2:00 PM
2.1
Collection and analysis of infrared observations of fire-atmosphere dynamics
Terry L. Clark, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Coen, L. Radke, M. Reeder, and D. Packham

2:15 PM
2.2
The Turbulent Structure of a Wildland Fire
Thomas Y. Palmer, Consultant, Fallbrook, CA

2:30 PM
2.3
Incorporating smoldering into fire growth modelling
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada

2:45 PM
2.4
Characteristics of cloud-to-ground lightning activity in the contiguous United States from 1995-1997
Bard A. Zajac, Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


1
Coffee Break

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Session 3
Smoke Management and Air Quality
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station
3:30 PM
3.1
Definition and use of interpolated weather parameters for operational estimation and prediction of atmospheric stability
Richard Ammons, Idaho/Montana Smoke Management, Missoula, MT; and H. Thistle, P. Thornton, and S. Running

3:45 PM
3.2
Climatology of Biomass Smoke in Wildland Areas of the United States
Sue A. Ferguson, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA

4:00 PM
3.3
Airflow and diffusion modeling for forested and urbanized areas
Ronald M. Cionco, US Army Research Lab., White Sands Missile Range, NM

4:15 PM
3.4
Development of a satellite-based fire and smoke analysis in NOAA/NESDIS
John Paquette, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Renkevens and M. Ruminski

4:30 PM
3.5
Effect of Pollution from Central American Fires on Cloud-to-Ground Lightning in the Spring of 1998
Natalie D. Murray, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and R. E. Orville and G. R. Huffines

4:45 PM
3.0a
Session Introduction: Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Services, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Sessions end for the day

Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Fujita Banquet

Tuesday, 11 January 2000

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8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Session 4
Application of Mesoscale Weather Modeling for Fire Management
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Elizabeth Page, NOAA/NWS
8:00 AM
4.1
Operational use of mesoscale models in fire weather forecasting
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Meyers, M. Chamberlain, and R. McAnelly

8:15 AM
4.2
Numerical weather prediction for fire hazards on Oahu/Hawaii
Duane E. Stevens, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Funayama and F. M. Fujioka

8:30 AM
4.3
Development of an Objective Spot Forecasting Tool Using a Mesoscale Model
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL

8:45 AM
4.4
Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: An Update
Sue A. Ferguson, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA

9:00 AM
4.5
Mesoscale numerical forecasting of wind changes in support of fire-fighting operations
Graham A. Mills, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

9:15 AM
4.6
Very high resolution model forecasts of fire weather for the January 1994 Fires
Lance M. Leslie, Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and M. S. Speer and R. Bunker

9:30 AM
4.7
Numerical modeling of the Santa Barbara Sundowner of 27 June, 1990
Chris MacFarland, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. Jones and J. Michaelsen

9:45 AM
4.0a
Session Introduction: Elizabeth Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 a.m.-2:15 p.m.)

10:30 AM-11:15 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Walter Orr Roberts Lecture in Interdisciplinary Science (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Emerging Environmental Issues: A Global Perspective Speaker: R. E. (Ted) Munn, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


WMO PRESENTATION (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Meteorology and the Environment-The WMO Perspective Speaker: John W. Zillman, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Conference Luncheon Speaker: D. James Baker, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, Administrator for NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

2:15 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Session 5
Operational and Near Operational Forecast Techniques: Uses of New Technologies
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Richard Ochoa, NOAA.NWS
2:15 PM
5.1
A Web-based Spot Forecast Request and Preparation System
Timothy W. Barker, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT; and M. Whitmore

2:30 PM
5.2
Evaluation and Utilization of Scripps ECPC Fire Weather Forecasts
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and J. O. Roads

2:45 PM
5.3
Use of Model Soundings and Real-Time Radar Data to Predict Dry Microbursts
Steve Vasiloff, NOAA/ERL/NSSL and NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

3:00 PM
5.4
Forecasting dry thunderstorms as a part of the fire weather outlooks at the Storm Prediction Center
Phillip D. Bothwell, SPC, Norman, OK

3:15 PM
5.5
National fire weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center
Phillip D. Bothwell, SPC, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin

3:30 PM
5.0a
Session Introduction: Richard Ochoa, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID

3:45 PM
5.4a
Coffee Break

4:15 PM
5.5a
Discussion

4:30 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Oral Sessions end for the day

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Poster Session 1
Poster Session
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
P1.1
Micrometeorological changes to the boreal forest following wildfires: Airborne measurements during BOREAS
B. D. Amiro, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and J. I. MacPherson and R. L. Desjardins

P1.2
Applications of AWIPS in Fire Weather Forecasting
Jeanne L. Hoadley, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT

P1.3
On-scene real time fire weather forecasting: A new capability
David I. Knapp, US Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and P. A. Haines, M. S. D'Arcy, and S. F. Kirby

P1.4
The Mann Gulch Fire and the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System
Martin E. Alexander, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada

Wednesday, 12 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | top

8:00 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Session 6
Weather Data and Forecasts for Fire Behavior Applications
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Chris Gibson, NOAA/NWS
8:00 AM
6.1
Development of a seasonal fire severity forecast for the contiguous United States
John O. Roads, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and S. C. Chen, F. M. Fujioka, and R. E. Burgan

8:15 AM
6.2
Producing 1-km resolution atmospheric forecasts for a prototype gridded National Fire Danger Rating System
Timothy W. Barker, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT

8:30 AM
6.3
Verification and Assessment of Automated NFDRS Forecasts Based on Gridded Weather Forecasts and Satellite Derived Fuel Parameters
Larry S. Bradshaw, U.S. Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and T. W. Barker and R. E. Burgan

8:45 AM
6.4
A high resolution fire danger rating system for Hawaii
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and D. R. Weise and R. E. Burgan

9:00 AM
6.5
The Northeast fire danger index system
Lawrence Bach, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and A. Cacciola

9:15 AM
6.6
An Index for Assessing the Potential Escape of a Prescribed Burn
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and C. Fontana

9:30 AM
6.7
FireFamily Plus: Fire Weather and Fire Danger Climatology at your Fingertips
Larry S. Bradshaw, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Stations, Missoula, MT; and S. Brittain

9:45 AM
6.8
Model predicted spread rates for the Sydney January 1994 fires
Milton S. Speer, Bureau of Meteorology, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. M. Leslie, W. Catchpole, R. Bradstock, and R. Bunker

10:00 AM
6.0a
Session Introduction: Chris Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

10:15 AM
6.7a
Coffee Break

10:45 AM
6.8a
Discussion

11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Remote Sensing Lecture Title: Remote Sensing from Space Using Occultation and Lidar Techniques Speaker: M. Patrick McCormick, Hampton Univ., Hampton, VA

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Session 7
Use of Forecasts for Fire Planning, Execution and Suppression
Host: Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station
1:30 PM
7.1
The September 2, 1998 Firestorm: Saving Lives Through Effective Communication
Mark Moede, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA; and P. Curran

1:45 PM
7.2
The North Central Nebraska Prairie Fire of 16 March 1999
John W. Stoppkotte, NOAA/NWS, North Platte, NE

2:00 PM
7.3
Providing meteorological information for controlled burns at the Savannah River Site
Robert L. Buckley, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and C. H. Hunter

2:15 PM
7.4
Long-range fire assessments: procedures, products, and applications
G. Thomas Zimmerman, USDA Forest Service, Albuquerque, NM; and M. Hilbruner, P. Werth, T. Sexton, and R. Bartlette

2:30 PM
7.5
Experimental daily NCEP Eta model smoke management forecasts
Matthew G. Fearon, DRI and Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown

2:45 PM
7.6
Prospects Of Long-Lead Seasonal Wildland Fire Predictions For Oahu, Hawaii
Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka

3:00 PM
7.7
The relationship between area burned by wildland fire in Canada and circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere
Walter R. Skinner, AES, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. J. Stocks, D. L. Martell, B. Bonsal, and A. Shabbar

3:15 PM
7.8
Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and their relation to Area Burned in Canada
Mike D. Flannigan, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and B. Todd, M. Wotton, W. R. Skinner, B. J. Stocks, and D. L. Martell

3:30 PM
7.0a
Session Introduction: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA

3:45 PM
7.5a
Coffee Break

4:15 PM
7.8a
Discussion

4:30 PM
7.8b
Symposium Closing Remarks: Dave Goens and Sue Ferguson

4:45 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Symposium Ends

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Reception (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


AMS Annual Awards Banquet
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