Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impacts (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 13 January 2001
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
1 Workshop Registration
 
Sunday, 14 January 2001
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
 
Monday, 15 January 2001
9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 Natural Climate Variability
Organizer: Otis Brown, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
9:00 AM1.1North Atlantic Oscillation/Annular Mode: Two Paradigms—One Phenomenon  
John M. Wallace, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
9:30 AM1.220th Century North American and European climate change: A forced response to tropical ocean warming  
Martin P. Hoerling, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Hurrell and A. Kumar
9:45 AM1.3Trend-, ENSO-, and AO- related precipitation and surface temperature variability  
Todd P. Mitchell, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Quadrelli and J. M. Wallace
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM1.4The Leading Patterns of Climate Variability and Winter Weather Extremes in the United States Part I: Temperature  
R. W. Higgins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Washington, DC; and A. Leetmaa and V. E. Kousky
10:45 AM1.5An assessment of the role of the ocean circulation in governing SST variability outside the tropical Pacific  
Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and Y. Kushnir
11:00 AM1.6Stochastic modeling of climate variability  
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CDC and CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
11:15 AM1.7Ocean-atmosphere coupling and the regulation of the South Asian monsoon  
Peter J. Webster, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
11:30 AM1.8A dynamical stabilizer in the climate system: a summary of progress to date and new results on the influence of the Earth's rotation  
J. Ray Bates, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; and V. A. Alexeev
11:45 AM1.9Is there an equatorial Indian Ocean SST Dipole, Independent of the El Nino–Southern Oscillation?  
Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and W. Drosdowsky
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday
Coffee Break
 
1:30 PM-3:30 PM, Monday
Poster Session 1 Natural Climate Variability Posters
Organizer: Otis Brown, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
 P1.1Regional Snowfall Distributions Associated with ENSO  
Shawn R. Smith, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. 0'Brien and J. M. Patten
 P1.2Long term variability of precipitation mechanisms in the Great Lakes region  
Emily K. Grover, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and P. J. Sousounis
 P1.3Modes of SST variability in the Indian Ocean: Interannual and interdecadal variability, connections with ENSO and East African coastal rainfall  
Christina Oelfke Clark, PAOS, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster and J. E. Cole
 P1.4Monitoring Saharan dust events using integrated observing systems  
Hua Hu, JPL, California Inst. of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and W. T. Liu
 P1.5PDO Modification of U.S. ENSO Climate Impacts  
Mark C. Bove, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien
P1.6Seasonal and intraseasonal variability of teleconnection pattern modes  
Jorgen S Frederiksen, CSIRO, Aspendale, Vic., Australia; and G. Branstator
 P1.7Sources of Seasonal Predictability for Daily Precipitation Extreme Statistics Over the Eastern US  
Alexander Gershunov, SIO/University of California, La Jolla, CA; and T. J. Reichler and J. O. Roads
 P1.8Study of the Multiscale Variability of Precipitation during Extreme Flood and Drought Events  
Renu R. Joseph, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and M. Ting and P. Kumar
 P1.9Temporal and spatial evolution of the Asian summer monsoon in the seasonal cycle of synoptic fields  
Young-Kwon Lim, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and K. -. Y. Kim and H. -. S. Lee
 P1.10Tornado frequency in the Southern Plains as related to Sea Surface Temperatures in the Pacific Ocean  
Jesse Austen Sparks, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. B. Richman
 P1.11How much "skill" was there in forecasting the strong 1997–98 El Nino and 1998–2000 La Nina events?  
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. A. Knaff
 P1.12A dynamical stabilizing mechanism in the climate system: a linear eigenmode analysis  
Vladimir A. Alexeev, Univ. of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
 P1.13A global El Nino composite and the 1997–98 event  
N. K. Larkin, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. E. Harrison
 P1.14A southward migration of centennial scale variations of drought/flood in the eastern China and western U.S  
Qi Hu, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and S. Feng
 P1.15A statistical forecast model for tropical SST, sea level and precipitation: predictability of warm pool area  
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Leetmaa
 P1.16Western Atlantic sea surface temperatures and Northeastern United States precipitation, 1896–1995  
John K. Creilson, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and D. A. Robinson and S. Hartley
 P1.17A study of teleconnectivity patterns for boreal summer and winter  
M. S. Santhanam, IBM India Research Laboratory, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, India; and P. K. Patra, S. K. Kuila, and U. K. De
 P1.18Changes in mechanism of interannual variations in summer rainfall in the central U.S  
Qi Hu, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and S. Feng
 P1.19Characteristics of Large Snowfall Events in the Montane Western U.S. as Examined Using SNOTEL Data  
Mark C. Serreze, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Clark and A. H. Frei
 P1.20Climatic Variability for effect of El Niño Phenomenon in Bolivia  
Willian Ramiro Villarpando Camargo, Universidad Mayor de San Simón, Cochabamba, Cercado, Bolivia
 P1.21Changes in Subseasonal variability associated with El Nino  
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CDC and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. Penland
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monday
Session 2 Impacts in the coastal zone, impacts on ecosystems and health
Organizer: Christopher N. K. Mooers, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
3:30 PM2.1Climate Variability of the Gulf of Mexico Coastal Ocean  
Robert H. Weisberg, Univ. of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL
4:00 PM2.2Short-term Climate Changes and the Dynamical and Ecosystem response of the Eastern North Pacific Coastal Ocean  
Arthur J. Miller, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
4:30 PM2.3Simulations of Past and Future Climate Variability of the Atlantic Ocean and the Coastal Zone  
Tal Ezer, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ
 
5:00 PM, Monday
Oral Sessions end for the day
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
 
Tuesday, 16 January 2001
8:00 AM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 3 Forecasting Climate Variability
Organizer: Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
8:00 AM3.1Challenges and Progress Toward Multi-Scale Land Surface Data Assimilation  
Paul R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
8:15 AM3.2The Magnitude and Variability of Global and Regional Precipitation Based on the 22-year GPCP (Global Precipitation Climatology Project) and Three-year TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) Data Sets  
Robert F. Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Curtis, G. Huffman, D. Bolvin, and E. Nelkin
8:30 AM3.3ENSO—Past, Present, and Future  
Mark Cane, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
9:00 AM3.4IRI/NCEP/Applied Research Center Collaborative Projects in Seasonal Prediction  
Steve Zebiak, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY
9:30 AM3.5Moored Buoy Observations for Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Prediction  
Michael J. McPhadden, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM3.6Spring 2000 Drought Forecast  
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and D. Lecomte, M. Kanamitsu, and H. Vandendool
10:45 AM3.7ECPC’s Weekly to Seasonal Global Forecasts  
John O. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
11:00 AM3.8An empirical-dynamical extended range forecast model incorporating tropical diabatic forcing  
Christopher R. Winkler, NOAA/CDC and CIRES/Univ. of Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman and P. D. Sardeshmukh
11:15 AM3.9NOAA's Extended-Range Atlantic Hurricane Outlooks  
Gerald Bell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Chelliah, C. W. Landsea, S. Goldenberg, L. A. Avila, and R. Pasch
11:30 AM3.10Tropical Cyclones and the Thermohaline Circulation  
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
11:45 AM3.11Atlantic basin tropical storms—interannual variability and nonparametric simulation of tracks  
Upmanu Lall, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and R. Balaji, K. Yochanan, and M. Jennifer
12:00 PM3.12Representation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: a tough test for a coupled model  
Peter M. Inness, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and J. M. Slingo
12:15 PMConference Luncheon  
2:15 PMIntermission  
4:00 PM3.13NWS/NOAA climate prediction services: evolution and new directions  
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
4:15 PM3.14Developing value-added climate information for weather-sensitive organizations: Increasing opportunities for atmospheric scientists  
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL
4:30 PM3.15African drought monitoring and estimation of Malaria vulnerability  
Mathew A. Barlow, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and B. L. Lyon and C. B. Ropelewski
4:45 PM3.16Improving the interactions between users and producers of climate forecasts  
Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and T. Kestin and G. Hammer
5:00 PM3.17The application of weather derivatives to mitigate the financial risk of climate variability, extreme precipitation events and extreme temperature events  
Harvey Stern, BOM, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
5:15 PM3.18Midwestern Economic Impacts resulting from NOAA's Spring Drought Forecast  
Stanley Changnon, ISWS, Champaign, IL
 
10:00 AM-2:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhibit Hours
 
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Annual Meeting Luncheon
12:15 PMDetails on Luncheon Speakers  
Jim Hartz and Rick Chappell
 
2:15 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday
Poster Session 2 Forecasting Climate Variability Posters
Organizer: Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
 P2.1On the intraseasonal oscillation in a coupled GCM  
Joong-Bae Ahn, Pusan National Univ., Pusan, Korea; and H. S. Park
 P2.2The Global Change Master Directory: Connecting Users of Climate Data with Producers of Climate Data  
Scott A Ritz, NASA Global Change Master Directory, Lanham, MD; and S. M. Leicester
 P2.3Simulation of seasonal to decadal variations by CPC's new climate model  
Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Kanamitsu
 P2.4Sea surface temperature anomalies due to anomalous oceanic heat fluxes  
Matthias Munnich, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. C. McWilliams
 P2.5Relationships between Atmospheric Internal Variability and the Responses to an Extratropical SST Anomaly  
Shiling Peng, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. Robinson
P2.6Recent advances in the observation and analysis of large-scale oceanic precipitation  
Phillip A. Arkin, NOAA Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Adler, A. Gruber, and P. Xie
 P2.7Performance of a nested regional spectral model coupled with a mesoscale model under contrasting ENSO regimes  
Loren D. White, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and R. S. Reddy
P2.8The interannual variability of intense western Pacific typhoons during the 1997–1999 El Nino/La Nina cycle  
Boyce R. Columbus, Hurricane Researcher, Mililani, HI
P2.9The role of ocean waves and SST in seasonal variability  
William A. Perrie, Bedford Insitute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Y. Zhang
 P2.10The role of the ocean boundary conditions for seasonal predictability  
Thomas J. Reichler, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. O. Roads and M. Kanamitsu
 P2.11Toward Understanding the North American Monsoon and Forecasting Summer Energy Demand in the Desert Southwest  
David L. Mitchell, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. Redmond, D. C. Ivanova, and R. Rabin
 P2.12Using the Historical Relationship between Solar Flux and Hurricane Strength to Forecast Landfall Intensity  
Phillip A. Zuzolo, Autometric Inc., Springfield, VA; and A. M. Powell and B. J. Zuzolo
 P2.13Value of Quality Evaluated, High-temporal Resolution Marine Meteorology Observations  
Shawn R. Smith, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, D. M. Legler, and J. J. O'Brien
 P2.14The relationship between the atmospheric transients and the tropical sea surface temperatures  
Peitao Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Kumar
 P2.15On the end of El Nino events  
Gabriel A. Vecchi, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. E. Harrison
 P2.16A Conceptual Model for the Indian Ocean Dipole mode  
Fei-Fei Jin, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and L. Yu
 P2.17Concerning Applications of Singular Spectrum Analysis  
Han-Ru Cho, National Central University, Chungli, Taiwan; and H. Ye
 P2.18Climate variability and large storm surge on the Pacific coast of the United States  
Anthony L. Westerling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
 P2.19An analysis of stabilizing mechanisms in the climate system using a simple atmosphere-ocean box-model  
Karina Lindberg, Univ. of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; and V. A. Alexeev
 P2.20A Western United States Fire Climatology  
Anthony L. Westerling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov, D. R. Cayan, and T. J. Brown
 P2.21A Global Parallel High-Resolution UCLA-POP Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean GCM for Assessing Climate and Variability in the Ocean  
Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. C. Malone
 P2.22A coupled modeling system of the hydrologic cycle within river basins  
Keeley R. Costigan, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and C. L. Winter, E. P. Springer, and J. R. Stalker
 P2.23Delayed Atmospheric Response to ENSO  
Arun Kumar, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang and M. P. Hoerling
 P2.24Double Ensemble Estimates of Precipitation in the Southeastern United States for Extreme ENSO Events  
K. V. Verzone, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, T. E. LaRow, J. J. O'Brien, and S. D. Cooke
 P2.25Evaluation of parameter sensitivity for different levels of land-surface model complexity  
Terri S. Hogue, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and L. A. Bastidas, H. V. Gupta, and S. Sorooshian
 P2.26Interannual Variability in the Regional Climate Simulation over South America  
Vasubandhu Misra, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer and B. P. Kirtman
 P2.27Major Bangladesh floods as coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomena  
Peter J. Webster, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. Han, K. Sahami, and R. Grossman
 P2.28Mechanism of biennial oscillation in the tropical Indo-Pacific  
Kwang-Yul Kim, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 P2.29Dependence on land surface model of the time scale of soil moisture variability  
Wanqiu Wang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Kumar
 P2.30Subseasonal Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon: Role of Tropical SST  
H. Annamalai, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
 
3:30 PM-7:00 PM, Tuesday
0a Exhibit Hours
 
3:30 PM-4:00 PM, Tuesday
Coffee Break
 
5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Tuesday
Grand Poster Night
 
7:00 PM, Tuesday
Session Sessions end for the day
 
Wednesday, 17 January 2001
8:00 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
President's Symposium
 
9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break
 
10:00 AM, Wednesday
President's Symposium Continued
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break
 
1:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday
Joint Session 3 What do Climate Studies Tell us About Future Hurricane Frequency (Joint Session with the Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impacts and the Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses) (Invited Session)
Organizers: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; Ants Leetma, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
1:00 PMJ3.1Historical Hurricane Trends and Variability  
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:15 PMJ3.2Climate Change and Hurricane Intensity  
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
1:30 PMJ3.3Coupled model simulations of hurricanes in a CO2-warmed climate  
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
1:45 PMJ3.4Global Warming and Hurricanes  
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
2:00 PMOpen Discussion  
3:00 PMCoffee Break  
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday
Session 4 Societal Impacts of Weather and Climate Variability (Parallel with Session J3)
Organizer: Otis Brown, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
1:30 PM4.1Introductory Remarks  
1:35 PM4.2Walter Orr Roberts Lecture: Climate Variability and Society: Are We Fooling Ourselves?  
Jonathan Overpeck, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
2:20 PMDiscussion  
2:40 PMIntermission  
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday
Joint Session 3 Continued: Hurricane Mitch: Perspectives on a Natural Disaster (Invited Session) (Joint between the Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impacts and the Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses)
Organizer: Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
3:30 PMJ3.5Forecasting Difficulties during Hurricane Mitch  
Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL
4:00 PMJ3.6Hurricane Mitch's effect on Honduras  
Hector Flores, Director of the Honduran Hydrometeorological Service, Honduras
J3.7The problems of disaster preparedness and relief in Central America  
Father Albert Brooks, Priest of Eglisia Santisima Trinidad, La Ceib, Honduras
4:30 PMJ3.7aTrends in Hurricane Vulnerability in Latin America and the Caribbean  
Roger A. Pielke Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Rubiera
4:59 PMJ3.8The reconstruction effort in Honduras  
Curt Barrett, Manager of the U.S. DOC Mitch Re-construction effort, Silver Spring, MD
 
5:00 PM, Wednesday
Session Sessions end for the day
 
6:00 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 18 January 2001
8:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday
Session 5 Decadal Variability and the Oceanic Carbon Cycle
Organizer: Lisa Dilling, NOAA/OGP, Camp Springs, MD
8:00 AM5.1Anatomy of North Pacific Decadal Variability  
Niklas Schneider, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. J. Miller and D. W. Pierce
8:15 AM5.2The influence of ENSO on the global oceans: a review of "the Atmospheric Bridge"  
Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and I. Blade, G. Lau, M. Newman, J. Lanzante, and J. Scott
8:30 AM5.3The North Atlantic Oscillation: A Climate Phenomena with Significant Impacts on Society  
Martin Visbeck, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and H. Cullen and J. Cherry
9:00 AM5.4A North Atlantic Ocean Observing System for Detecting Upper Layer Temperature Variability at Decadal Time-scales: The Past, Present, and Future  
Robert L. Molinari, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL
9:30 AM5.5Mechanisms of tropical Atlantic decadal Climate Decadal variability  
Yochanan Kushnir, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Seager and J. Chiang
9:45 AM5.6Scale Interactions over the North Atlantic: Connections between the North Atlantic Oscillation, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation and intraseasonal variations  
Wilhelm May, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark; and M. Stendel and S. Legutke
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM5.7Response of Ocean Biology to Future Climate Change  
Jorge Sarmiento, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and R. Barber, L. Bopp, S. Doney, A. C. Hirst, J. Kleypas, R. Matear, U. Mikolajewicz, P. Monfray, J. Orr, S. Spall, R. Slater, and R. Stouffer
11:00 AM5.8Atmospheric Constraints on the Uptake of Carbon Dioxide by the Oceans and Land Biota  
Ralph F. Keeling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and C. D. Keeling and A. C. Manning
11:30 AM5.9Assessing California streamflow under present day and a 2040 to 2049 climate change scenario  
N. L. Miller, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab., Berkeley, CA; and W. J. Gutowski, E. Strem, Z. Pan, J. Kim, R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, O. B. Christensen, J. H. Christensen, and R. K. Hartman
11:45 AM5.10Comparison of monsoon changes simulated in a greenhouse warming and for 6000 years before present  
Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday
Poster Session 3 Decadal Variability and Oceanic Carbon Cycle Posters
 P3.1Using regression and neural networks to reconstruct winter circulation indices and precipitation in the Southwest  
Tereza Cavazos, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and F. Ni, M. K. Hughes, G. Funkhouser, and A. C. Comrie
 P3.2Using a 200-year simulation of a fully-coupled climate system model to investigate the role of the continental runoff flux on the global climate system  
Marcia L. Branstetter, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and J. S. Famiglietti, W. M. Washington, and A. P. Craig
 P3.3Teleconnections of winter precipitation over northern central Eurasia to sea surface temperatures over the Atlantic and Pacific oceans  
Hengchun Ye, Univ. of Idaho, Moscow, ID
 P3.4Potential climate change and its effects on barley yields in Canada  
Reinder de Jong, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and K. Li
 P3.5Modulation of ENSO-related climate variations across the Southwest U.S. by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation  
C. Thornbrugh, Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and C. Liles, D. Kann, and D. S. Gutzler
 P3.6Midlatitude ocean-atmosphere interaction in an idealized coupled model  
Sergey V. Kravtsov, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. W. Robertson and M. Ghil
 P3.7Land-atmosphere interactions over southern South America using a coupled plant and atmospheric model. Preliminary Results  
Adriana Beltran, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke, G. Liston, J. L. Eastman, and M. B. Coughenour
 P3.8Interdecadal changes in the intensity of intraseasonal oscillations during boreal summer Asian monsoon  
Igor I. Zveryaev, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
 P3.9Arctic Oscillation and its impact on US climate  
Julian X. L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
 P3.10Analysis of regional Indian rainfall: Interdecadal variability and connection with Indian Ocean SST  
Christina Oelfke Clark, PAOS, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster
 P3.11Elevational dependence of the ENSO precipitation signal in the SW U.S  
Peter J. Fawcett, Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and A. Tillery and D. S. Gutzler
 
3:00 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday
0b Exhibit Hours
 
3:00 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibit Hours
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday
Session 6 Global Change Directions
3:30 PM6.1Observing the Oceans for Climate  
D. James Baker, Administrator of NOAA, Washington, DC
4:00 PM6.2Sustainability Development: An Emerging Research Agenda  
J. Michael Hall, NOAA, Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
4:30 PM6.3Climate Change and Variability: Lessons from Earth System History  
Eric J. Barron, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
 
5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday
Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
5:00 PM, Thursday
Conference ends
 
6:30 PM, Thursday
Closing Keynote Address
6:30 PMDetails on Closing Keynote Address  
J. M. Cousteau
 
7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Thursday
Fiesta
 

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