2002 Annual

Session 5: other methods for statistical analysis and probabilistic predictions

Wednesday, 16 January 2002: 3:30 PM-5:15 PM
Organizer:  Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
Papers:
  3:30 PM
5.1
Operational calibrated probability forecasts from the ECMWF ensemble prediction system - implementation and verification
Kenneth R. Mylne, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and C. Woolcock, J. C. W. Denholm-Price, and R. J. Darvell

Poster PDF (139.9 kB)
  3:45 PM
5.2
Inverse Modeling of a Multiplicative Stochastic System
Cecile Penland, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO

  4:00 PM
5.3
Error growth in uncertain systems
Petros J. Ioannou, University of Athens, Athens, Greece; and B. F. Farrell

http://www.fas.harvard.edu/~epsas/dynamics/predictability/uncertain1.pdf

Poster PDF (207.0 kB)
  4:15 PM
5.4
A High Resolution, Local Point Forecast Model
Ken Reeves, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and M. Steinberg

  4:30 PM
5.5
End-to-end ensemble forecasting: Ensemble interpretation in forecasting and risk management
Mark S. Roulston, Pembroke College, Oxford, United Kingdom; and L. A. Smith

Poster PDF (196.6 kB)
  4:45 PM
5.7
State estimation using reduced rank Kalman filters
Brian F. Farrell, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and P. J. Ioannou

http://www.fas.harvard.edu/~epsas/dynamics/predictability/storm_kalman_aug30.pdf

Poster PDF (222.0 kB)
  5:00 PM
5.8
Predictability of linear stochastic dynamics
Michael K. Tippett, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and P. Chang

Poster PDF (122.1 kB)