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Use and Validation of Real-Time Severe Weather Forecasts Part 1

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Monday, 3 November 2014: 3:00 PM-4:30 PM
Capitol Ballroom AB (Madison Concourse Hotel)
Host: 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Organizers:  Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratory/Global Systems Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO and Karen A. Kosiba, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO

Papers:
 
21
Environmental parameters associated with tornado warned and missed tornado events at WFO Peachtree City
Alexander R. Gibbs, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Peachtree City, GA; and S. E. Nelson and S. A. Listemaa

 
22
Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment
Christopher D. Karstens, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. J. Stumpf, D. M. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. M. Smith, J. Correia Jr., K. M. Calhoun, K. L. Ortega, C. J. Melick, and L. P. Rothfusz

Handout (3.0 MB)

 
24
Tornadic Events During UNSTABLE: Use of Supplemental Soundings
Robyn Dyck, EC, Winnipeg, MB, Canada; and J. Hanesiak, N. Taylor, and D. Sills
Manuscript (1.5 MB)

Handout (938.4 kB)

 
25
The influence of weather on Twitter discourse of #ClimateChange and #GlobalWarming
Kyle S. Griffin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. K. Yeo, Z. Handlos, A. Karambelas, L. Y. F. Su, J. Doolen, and D. Brossard

 
26
Analysis of Convective Clouds viewed from GOES During DC3
Andrew Heidinger, NOAA, Madison, WI; and S. Wanzong and A. Walther

 
28
Using 20112014 SSEO verification metrics to assess uncertainty in severe weather forecasts
Pamela Eck, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. Correia Jr.

 
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33
Nowcasting with the Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS)
Hongli Jiang, NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratory/Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, S. Albers, and Z. Toth

 
35
Application of Optical Flow Techniques to Rainfall Nowcasting
Wang-Chun Woo, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and W. K. Wong

Handout (8.5 MB)

 
36
An Evaluation of the Potential Impact of SAILS on the Warning Decision Making of the 31 May 2013 El Reno, OK Storm
Michael A. Magsig, NOAA/NWS/Warning Decision Training Branch, Norman, OK; and M. D. Austin
Manuscript (5.4 MB)

 
38
Probabilistic Tornado Warning Plumes
Mark J. Mitchell, NOAA/NWS, Pleasant Hill, MO
Manuscript (322.3 kB)

Handout (1.1 MB)

 
39
Solar radiation error research of sounding temperature sensor
Wei Dai Sr., Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, nanjing, China

 
40
The Multiple-Radar/Multiple-Sensor Severe Weather Products Best Practices Experiment in the HWT
Gregory J. Stumpf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NOAA/NWS Meteorological Development Laboratory, Norman, OK; and J. G. LaDue, R. A. Prentice, M. Elliott, and D. M. Kingfield

 
41
Comparing the NSSL-WRF Model and Convection-allowing Versions of UKMET's Unified Model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments
Adam Clark, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Willington, D. Suri, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, K. H. Knopfmeier, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, H. Lean, N. Roberts, M. Weeks, A. R. Dean, C. J. Melick, C. D. Karstens, P. T. Marsh, J. Correia Jr., and S. R. Dembek

 
42
The Use of Convection-Allowing Models to Improve Threat Assessment Associated with Nocturnal Supercells
Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. M. Boustead

 
43
An Overview of CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast for the 2014 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Fanyou Kong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, Y. Jung, K. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, F. Shen, A. Clark, M. C. Coniglio, J. Correia Jr., I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, and C. J. Melick

Handout (668.8 kB)

 
46
An Overview of the 2014 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and M. C. Coniglio, A. J. Clark, J. Correia Jr., K. H. Knopfmeier, C. J. Melick, S. J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, K. Brewster, Y. Wang, Y. Jung, and S. Willington
Manuscript (1.5 MB)

Handout (1.8 MB)

 
48
Verification of Earth Network's Dangerous Thunderstorm Alerts and NWS Warnings
Rebecca E. DiLuzio, Millersville University, Coopersburg, PA; and T. C. Meyer, K. M. Calhoun, and M. Elliott