Joint Session 12
	Subseasonal forecasting (Joint with 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations and the Symp on Forecasting the Weathe and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean; Room 6C)
	Organizer: Siegfried Schubert, NASA Data Assimilation Office
	8:30 AM	J12.1	Progress and Challenges in Subseasonal Prediction   Siegfried Schubert, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD
	8:45 AM	J12.2	The Missing Forecasts: A discussion of the Gap between extended numerical weather prediction and seasonal climate forecasts   Chester F. Ropelewski, IRI, Columbia University, Palisades, NY
	9:00 AM	J12.3	Predictability and Prediction of Tropical Intraseasonal Variability   Duane E. Waliser, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY
	9:15 AM	J12.4	The Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Northern Hemisphere High Latitude Wintertime Surface Air Temperatures   Gabriel A. Vecchi, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattl, WA; and N. Bond
	9:30 AM	J12.5	Analytic Approximation of MJO-like Systems in Super-parameterization   Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
	9:45 AM		Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	11:00 AM	J12.6	Intraseasonal prediction experiments using the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) Model coupled to the MOM3 Ocean Model   Suranjana Saha, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang and H. L. Pan
	11:15 AM	J12.7	Analysis of recent atmospheric climate anomalies using the NSIPP-1 AGCM   Philip J Pegion, NASA-GSFC SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Schubert, M. Suarez, and Y. Chang
		J12.8	Ensemble perturbations for coupled ocean-atmosphere seasonal forecasting   Guocheng Yuan, SAIC at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and W. Wang
	11:30 AM	J12.9	Subseasonal to interannual prediction sensitivities in the GFDL/FMS GCM   W. Stern, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and A. Rosati, R. Gudgel, M. Harrison, and A. Wittenberg
	11:45 AM	J12.10	The physical perturbation implementation of NCEP RSM for regional climate downscaling   Hann-Ming Henry Juang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Washington, DC; and Y. Song and K. Mo
	12:00 PM		Lunch Break
	1:30 PM	J12.11	A study of subseasonal predictability   Matthew Newman, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh
	1:45 PM	J12.12	The lifespan of subseasonal locally coupled anomalies   Malaquias Pena, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai and E. Kalnay
	2:00 PM	J12.13	A Synoptic Model of Low Frequency Variability with Application to Subseasonal Prediction   Klaus M. Weickmann, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and E. Berry
	2:15 PM	J12.14	Lingering Memory and Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Prediction   Ming Cai, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. Van den Dool and S. Saha
	2:30 PM	J12.15	Long-range forecasting by EEOF extrapolation by linear and non-linear methods   Constantin Mares, National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania; and I. Mares
	2:45 PM	J12.16	Probabilistic Forecasting of South-East Asian Intraseasonal Variability using a Wavelet Banding Technique   Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster
	3:00 PM		Coffee Break In Exhibit Hall
	3:30 PM	J12.17	Improved intraseasonal South Asian monsoon forecasts using a GCM by comparison to wavelet analysis of empirical precipitation data   Dan C. Collins, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. Hoyos and P. J. Webster
	3:45 PM	J12.18	Impacts of Rainfall Assimilation on Madden-Julian Oscillation and Large Scale Dynamics   Song Yang, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. Tao, A. Hou, and W. Olson
	4:00 PM	J12.19	Forecasts of tropical rainfall with the Constracted Analog method   Peitao Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Van den Dool
	4:15 PM	J12.20	Combined dynamical and statistical forecasting of the Arctic Oscillation   Warwick Norton, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Baldwin and J. Whitaker
	4:30 PM	J12.21	Stratospheric memory and skill of subseasonal forecasts   Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and D. Stephenson, D. W. J. Thompson, T. J. Dunkerton, A. J. Charlton, and A. O'Neill
	4:45 PM	J12.22	A Diagnostic study of the changes in Atmospheric Moisture over the Indian Ocean prior to Monsoon Onset over Kerala   K.P. Sooraj, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Cochin, IA, India; and C. K. Rajan, B. Simon, and P. C. Joshi
	5:00 PM	J12.23	International stretched-grid model intercomparison project (SGMIP): Initial results on exploring the new approach to regional climate modeling and prediction ( Formerly paper j13.20)   Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Cote, M. Deque, B. Dugas, and J. McGregor

Tuesday, 13 January 2004: 8:30 AM-5:30 PM, Room 6C

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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