Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability

Program Chairs: Fuqing Zhang , Pennsylvania State University ; Roberto Buizza , ECMWF

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Wednesday, 25 January 2017

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 1
Atmospheric Predictability Part I
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University
9:45 AM
1.5

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Coffee Break
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 2
Atmospheric Predictability Part II
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Roberto Buizza, ECMWF
11:00 AM
2.2
Sensitivity and Predictability of the Waveguide and High-Impact Extratropical Cyclones
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 602 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability; the Observation Symposium: Progress, Problems, and Prospects; the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Third Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Greening the Built Environment; and the Events )
Organizer: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers
Lecturer: Hoshin V. Gupta, University of Arizona
Cochairs: Michael Ek, NOAA; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC
1:30 PM
L2.1
Recording files available
Session 3
Atmospheric Predictability Part III
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Roberto Buizza, ECMWF
1:30 PM
3.1
Towards a Unified Prediction System from Weather to Climate Scale (Invited Presentation)
S.-J. Lin, NOAA, Pricenton, NJ; and L. M. Harris, R. Benson, L. Zhou, J. H. Chen, and X. Chen
2:00 PM
3.2
Prediction of the MJO in Navy Global and Regional Systems (Invited Presentation)
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and X. Hong, J. A. Ridout, J. D. Doyle, and M. K. Flatau

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 1
Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability Poster Session
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University
CoChair: Roberto Buizza, ECMWF
1443
1444
Mechanisms for Morning Heavy Rainfall Corridors along the Meiyu Front over East Asia
Guixing Chen, Center for Monsoon and Environment Research, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

1445
Impact of Japan Sea SST on Heavy Precipitation Events over Japan during Summer
Satoshi IIZUKA, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan

1447
Ensemble Generation Approaches in the NCEP CFSv2
Malaquias Peña, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and S. Saha, X. Wu, J. Woolen, and D. T. Kleist

1450
Large- and Very-Large-Scale Motions in Katabatic Flows Over Steep Slopes
Marco G. Giometto, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; and J. Fang, S. T. Salesky, and M. B. Parlange

1451
Subseasonal Predictability of Tropical Cyclones over the North Atlantic: Impacts of Rossby Wave Breaking
Weiwei Li, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang and G. Zhang

1452
Sensitivity of Supercell Simulations to Initial Condition Resolution
Corey K. Potvin, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. M. Murillo, M. L. Flora, and D. M. Wheatley

Handout (2.0 MB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Session 4
Atmospheric Predictability Part IV
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 5 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University
4:30 PM
4.2
Predictability Revisited
Zoltan Toth, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Feng and M. Pena

5:15 PM
4.5
Using Ensembles to Diagnose Environmental Influences on Tropical Cyclone Predictability
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. A. Komaromi, J. R. Moskaitis, J. D. Doyle, and C. S. Velden

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Awards Banquet Reception
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
5:30 PM
Awards Banquet Reception

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
97th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom 6ABCE (Washington State Convention Center )
7:00 PM
97th AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 26 January 2017

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 5
Atmospheric Predictability Part V
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 1 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University
8:30 AM
5.2
9:30 AM
5.4

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 6
Atmospheric Predictability Part VI
Location: Conference Center: Skagit 1 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability
Chair: Roberto Buizza, ECMWF
11:30 AM
6.3
Is Ultra-high Model Resolution Necessary to Improve Probabilistic Predictions?
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, CIRES, University of Colorado and PSD/ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Skybridge (Washington State Convention Center )