AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges

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Saturday, 28 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006


Sat 28 Jan

7:30 AM-7:31 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006


Short Course and Student Conference Registration

Sunday, 29 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006


Sun 29 Jan

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 29 January 2006


Conference Registration

Monday, 30 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Mon 30 Jan

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (M1)

12:00 PM-1:10 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Plenary Session 1
AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; the The James Holton Symposium; the Third Symposium on Space Weather; the Event Program; the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the 15th Symposium on Education; the Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Fourth Presidental History Symposium; the First Symposium on Policy Research; the Eighth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the The Doug Lilly Symposium; the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 14th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere; the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the Second Symposium: Toward a Global Earth Observation System of Systems—Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the Symposium on the Public/Private Sector Partnership; the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the Second Special Session on Heat Health )
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ.; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS
  12:00 PM
PL1.1
Forum opening
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna

  12:10 PM
PL1.2
How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?
Martin Best, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

  12:40 PM
PL1.3
THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Joint Session 1
Advances in Understanding of Lightning and Potential Economic and Societal Benefits (Joint with Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data and Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges)
Location: A311 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Organizers: Walter A. Petersen, Univ. of Alabama; Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel
  1:30 PM
J1.1
Societal aspects and impacts of lightning detection technology.
Richard E. Orville, Texas A&M University, College Sation, TX
  2:00 PM
J1.2
Uses of Lightning Data by U.S. Government Agencies
Joseph Facundo, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Carelli

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (M2)

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Session 1
Hazards and disasters: Socioeconomic Impacts & the Decision making process: Part 1
Location: A311 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges
Chair: Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel
  4:00 PM
1.1
Superstorms in the 1990's: Can seasons of superstorms be far behind?
Liam M. Cavanaugh, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Glantz, R. E. Morss, E. Gruntfest, and J. Tribbia
  4:15 PM
1.2
  4:30 PM
1.3
The Utility Of Surface Roughness Datasets in the Modeling of United States Hurricane Property Losses
Kimberly Mueller, Risk Management Solutions, Newark, CA; and C. Miller and A. Boissonade
  5:00 PM
1.5
The Role of Meso-γ-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction and Visualization for Weather-Sensitive Decision Making
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and A. P. Praino

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Sessions end for the day (M)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006


Holton Symposium Banquet

Tuesday, 31 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Tue 31 Jan

8:30 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Joint Session 2
Low-level transport in urban and complex terrain (Joint with 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorolgy with the A&WMA and AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges)
Location: A311 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
CoChair: Allen B. White, NOAA/ETL/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado
  8:30 AM
J2.1
A wind profiler trajectory tool for air quality transport applications
Allen B. White, NOAA/ETL/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and C. Senff, A. N. Keane, D. Ruffieux, and S. J. McDonnel
  9:00 AM
J2.3
Multiscale plume transport from collapse of the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001
Georgiy L. Stenchikov, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and N. Lahoti, P. J. Lioy, P. G. Georgopoulos, D. Diner, and R. Kahn
  9:15 AM
J2.4
Meteorological Uncertainty Effects in Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling: A Demonstration
L. Joel Peltier, Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt, J. C. Wyngaard, D. R. Stauffer, A. Deng, and F. Kredensor
  9:30 AM
J2.5
High Fidelity Modeling of Urban Features
L. Joel Peltier, Applied Research Laboratory/Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt and J. C. Wyngaard
  9:45 AM
J2.6
An Intercomparison of Four Computational Fluid Dynamics Models: Transport and Dispersion Around Madison Square Garden
Fernando E. Camelli, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and W. J. Coirier, A. H. Huber, O. R. Hansen, S. Kim, S. R. Hanna, and M. J. Brown

  10:00 AM
J2.7
Comparison of WRF and MM5 Simulations for Air-Quality Applications
Sara A. Michelson, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao
  10:15 AM
J2.8
  10:30 AM
J2.9
The Partnership for Environmental Research and Community Health (PERCH) Phase III, Part 1: Community-scale risk assessment in greater Pensacola, Florida
Rama Mohana R. Turaga, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. A. Gesser, M. E. Chang, A. G. Russell, and A. Bostrom

  11:00 AM
J2.5A
Formal Poster Viewing With Coffee Break

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Exhbits Open (T)

11:15 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 3
Hurricane Impacts (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year)
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD
  11:15 AM
JPD3.1
  11:25 AM
JPD3.2
Hurricanes and Science Policy (Invited Presentation)
Amy Carroll, US House of Representatives, Washington, DC

  11:35 AM
JPD3.3
Health Effects of 2005 Hurricanes
Anna Marie, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
  11:45 AM
JPD3.4
Impact on Marine Ecosystems and Fishing Industry
John Oliver, National Marine Fisheries Service, Silver Spring, MD
  11:55 AM
JPD3.5
Impact of the Nations Economy
Daniel Bachman, Office of Policy Development, Washington, DC
  12:05 PM
JPD3.900
Discussion

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Panel Discussion 4
Panel Discussion on Weather and Climate Impacts (joint with Impact Weather 2005)
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 2&3 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges

Plenary Session
Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)
Hosts: (Joint between the Event Program; the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 15th Symposium on Education; the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; the Eighth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the The Doug Lilly Symposium; the First Symposium on Policy Research; the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment; the 14th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere; the 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the Second Symposium: Toward a Global Earth Observation System of Systems—Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the Fourth Presidental History Symposium; the Symposium on the Public/Private Sector Partnership; the The James Holton Symposium; the Third Symposium on Space Weather; and the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year )

1:45 PM-2:35 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 4
Weather, Energy, and the Economy (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year)
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center
  1:45 PM
JPD4.1
Strong Space Weather in 2005
Joseph Kunches, NOAA/Space Environment Center, Boulder, CO
  1:55 PM
JPD4.2
  2:05 PM
JPD4.3
Petroleum & Natural Gas: Hurricane and Temperature Impacts
Paul Janish, Merrill Lynch Commodities, Inc., Houston, TX
  2:15 PM
JPD4.4
The Changing Landscape in Insurance
Jeffrey Rouch, Nationwide Insurance, Washington, DC
  2:25 PM
JPD4.900
Discussion

1:45 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Joint Session 3
Future Delivery of Aviation Weather Services (Joint With 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, and Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges)
Location: A311 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Organizers: Timothy L. Wilfong Sr., ENSCO, Inc; David Pace, SAIC
  2:45 PM
J3.5
FLYSAFE - meteorological hazard nowcasting, driven by the needs of the pilot
R. W. Lunnon, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and T. Hauf, T. Gerz, and P. Josse
  3:00 PM
J3.6
  3:15 PM
J3.7
National Weather Service Graphical Hazards for Aviation
Jack May, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and S. Albersheim
  3:45 PM
J3.9
Hub Forecast Prototype Test
Dave Rodenhuis, Air Traffic Organization/FAA, Herndon, VA; and D. Torbert
  4:00 PM
J3.10
Real Time Aviation Forecasting at WSI
Peter J. Sousounis, WSI Corporation, Andover, MA; and J. Menard
  4:15 PM
J3.11
Prototyping Tactical Decision Aids for the Aviation Forecast Preparation System
Michael Graf, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Peroutka, T. Boyer, G. Trojan, M. Oberfield, and T. Amis
  5:00 PM
J3.4A
Discussion

  5:15 PM
P1.5
Effective Retrieval Performed by DIMES with the Application of Lucene
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and Y. Zhao and M. Kafatos
  5:30 PM
J3.4B
Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (T2)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Sessions end for the day (T)

7:00 PM-8:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 5
2005 Gulf Coast Hurricanes: Where Do We Go from Here? (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year)
Location: A305 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel
  7:00 PM
JPD5.1
Preparedness
Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA

  7:10 PM
JPD5.2
Mitigation of Flood Impacts
Lisa Jones, South Carolina Department of Natural Resources, State Association of Flood Plain Managers, Columbia, SC
  7:20 PM
JPD5.3
Mitigation of Structural Damage
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Houston, TX

  7:30 PM
JPD5.4
Media Coverage
Bob Breck, WVUE-TV, New Orleans, LA
  7:40 PM
JPD5.5
Policy and Preparedness (Invited Presentation)
Tom Jones, Senate Sub-Committee on Disaster Prevention and Prediction, Washington, DC

  8:10 PM
JPD5.900
Discussion

9:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 6
Live Coverage of Hurricanes from a Meteorologists Perspective (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year)
Location: A305 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Stuart Ostro, The Weather Channel
Panelists: James Cantore, The Weather Channel; Jeff Morrow, The Weather Channel; Stephanie Abrams, The Weather Channel

Wednesday, 1 February 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Wed 1 Feb

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Joint Session 4
Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ.
  8:30 AM
J4.1

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 1
What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University
Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (W1)

11:00 AM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Exhibits Open (W)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (W)

1:30 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Joint Panel Discussion 2
The Production and Communication of Severe Weather Warnings to the Public (Joint between the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms and the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges)
Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Moderator: Erik N. Rasmussen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma
Panelists: Dennis McCarthy, NOAA; Michael Smith, Weather Data, Inc.; Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma; David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL; Michael A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS; Eve Gruntfest, NCAR
  1:30 PM
JPD2.1
  2:30 PM
JPD2.2
  3:30 PM
JPD2.3
Panel Discussion: Gruntfest
Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (W2)

3:45 PM-3:45 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Sessions end for the day (W)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006


AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 2 February 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


THUR 2 FEB

8:30 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Joint Session 8
Flood Warning Systems (Joint with 20th Conference on Hydrology and Forum on Managing our Physical and Natural Resources and Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges)
Location: A403 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )
Cochairs: Sue Grimmond, Kings College; Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel; Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA/NWS
  8:30 AM
J8.1
Flash Flood Forecasting in Urban Drainage Basins
James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ
  9:00 AM
J8.2
Flash flood warning operations during tropical rainfall in low relief terrain
Richard J. Lanier, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL; and J. D. Suk and D. S. Berkowitz
  9:30 AM
J8.4
  10:00 AM
J8.6
  10:15 AM
J8.7
Results of short fuse weather warning surveys in Austin, TX and Denver, CO
Lindsey R. Barnes, Univ. of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO; and E. Gruntfest, C. Benight, M. H. Hayden, C. C. Jenkins, M. Q. Thurman, and E. Williams
  10:45 AM
J8.9
Flash Flood Disaster and Flash Flood Warning in China
Lingli Wang, George Mason Univ., fairfax, VA; and J. Qu
  11:00 AM
J8.4A
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Th1)

11:00 AM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Exhibits Open (Th)

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (Th)

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Session 2
Hazards and disasters: Socioeconomic Impacts & the Decision making process: Part 2
Location: A311 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges
Chair: Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel
  1:45 PM
2.2
Local implementation and the decision process - a challenge
James Giraytys, SHENAIR Institute, James Madison Univ., Winchester, VA; and C. J. Brodrick
  2:00 PM
2.3
The Re-Invasion of Aedes aegypti in southern Arizona/northern Mexico
Mary H. Hayden, Univ. of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO; and C. Uejio, C. R. Janes, and R. Moreno-Sanchez
  2:15 PM
2.4
Environmentally risky unseasonal warm and dry spells in the subtropics of Brazil
Prakki Satyamurty, INPE, São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and C. K. Padilha
  2:30 PM
2.5
Calculating drought hazard at the country-level in Asia
Mathew A. Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and H. Cullen, B. Lyon, and O. Wilhelmi

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Registration Desk Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle (Th2)

4:00 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Exhibit Close

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Conference Ends

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006


Lilly Symposium Banquet