2002 Annual

Session 1: forecast evaluation

Monday, 14 January 2002: 9:30 AM-3:30 PM
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Organizer:  Laurence W. Wilson, Enviornment Canada
Papers:
  9:30 AM
1.1
Summary of Short Course on Verification of Climate Forecasts
To be determined,

  10:00 AM
1.2
Transformed skill scores
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. G. Bullock and B. G. Brown

Poster PDF (273.0 kB)
  10:15 AM
1.3
Additional Measures of Skill for Probabilistic Forecasts
F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (35.0 kB)
 
1.4
Determining the accuracy of small-scale information in forecast fields

  10:30 AM
1.5
Using Verification Techniques to Evaluate Differences Among Convective Forecasts
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, J. E. Hart, and C. Fischer

Poster PDF (154.7 kB)
  10:45 AM
1.6
Improved approaches for measuring the quality of convective weather forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Mahoney, C. A. Davis, R. Bullock, and C. K. Mueller

Poster PDF (183.8 kB)
  11:00 AM
1.7
Relative economical value of CMC seasonal forecasts
Normand Gagnon, MSC, Dorval, PQ; and R. Verret

Poster PDF (55.7 kB)
  11:15 AM
1.8
Diagnostic Verification of the IRI Net Assessment Forecasts, 1997–2000
Daneil S. Wilks, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and C. M. Godfrey

  11:30 AM
1.9
Workstation ETA Verification Efforts at the Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center
Steven A. Listemaa, NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
  11:45 AM
1.10
A Methodology for Determining River Forecasting Skill using Monthly Cumulative Distribution Functions of Mean Daily Flow
Noreen O. Schwein, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO

  12:00 PM
1.11
A Statistical Evaluation of Mainstem Forecasting Errors for the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers
Lee W. Larson, NOAA/NWS (retired), Prairie Village, KS; and N. O. Schwein

  12:15 PM
1.12
On the verification of ensemble precipitation products
John. C. Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and E. Welles and M. Mullusky

 
1.13
Evaluating verification procedures for ensemble precipitation predictions

  12:30 PM
1.14
Statistical comparison of forecast meteorology with observations using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System
Robert L. Buckley, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and A. H. Weber and J. H. Weber

Poster PDF (525.7 kB)
  12:45 PM
1.0a
Welcoming Remarks

  1:00 PM
1.2a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

  1:30 PM
1.7a
Lunch Break

  3:00 PM
1.14a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

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