Poster Session 2 30 WAF/26 NWP Tuesday Poster Session

Tuesday, 14 January 2020: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Verification of Convection-Allowing Initial Condition Ensemble Modeling Systems with WRF-ARW
Russell P. Manser, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

Designing a Process for Selecting, Vetting, and Implementing Physics Innovations in a Community Modeling Paradigm
John S. Kain, NOAA, College Park, MD; and L. R. Bernardet, V. Tallapragada, F. Yang, G. Manikin, R. Vasic, J. Doyle, C. Bretherton, G. Grell, J. Olson, S. Moorthi, A. Cheng, J. Dudhia, L. K. Bengtsson, J. W. Bao, and M. Harrold

Toward Consistent Physical Constant Sets for Interoperable Earth System Models
Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Montuoro, L. Marx, S. Goldhaber, N. P. Barton, T. J. Campbell, C. DeLuca, B. Li, D. McCarren, J. Meixner, M. Vertenstein, N. Zadeh, J. Infanti, B. R. Brown, R. Dunlap, and G. Theurich

Verification of the Physics Suite Testing for GFS v16 Using the Model Evaluation Tools
Michelle Harrold, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Wolff, M. Zhang, T. Hertneky, L. Bernardet, J. K. Henderson, L. R. Blank, W. Li, L. Pan, G. Firl, and T. Jensen

An Evaluation of Common Community Physics Package (CCPP) Physics Suites across Scales
Kathryn M. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. J. Hertneky, E. A. Kalina, M. Harrold, L. Pan, G. Firl, E. D. Grell, L. Carson, and M. Ek

One-Stop Shopping for Physics across Scales: From a Single-Column Model to Three-Dimensional Configurations for Weather and S2S
Linlin Pan, NOAA/GSD, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES, and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; NOAA, Boulder, CO; and L. Bernardet, D. Heinzeller, E. Kalina, G. Firl, E. Grell, K. Newman, L. Carson, and G. Grell

Coupling FLAKE with GFSv15
Yihua Wu, NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. Wang, J. S. Kain, and V. Tallapragada

Challenges in Improving the Representation of Mesoscale Kinetic Energy in NWP Models
Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

Evaluation of the Performance of the WRF Model over the United Arab Emirates
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and M. Temimi, M. Weston, N. R. Nelli, M. S. Thota, and V. Valappil

Handout (2.3 MB)

Toward an Optimal Configuration of Dynamics and Physics for GEFS v12
Bing Fu, NCEP, College Park, MD; IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and X. Zhou, Y. Zhu, J. Peng, and D. Hou

Grid Refinement in a Global Spectral Element Model
Alex Reinecke, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Martini, J. Michalakes, J. D. Doyle, D. D. Flagg, A. Huang, and D. R. Ryglicki

NWP Prediction at ESRL/GSD: Overview of Global Modeling Development Activities
Georg A. Grell, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and H. C. Barnes, S. Sun, L. Bernardet, R. Montuoro, H. Li, B. W. Green, T. G. Smirnova, L. Zhang, J. Olson, R. Ahmadov, and R. Bleck

Full Velocity Field Reconstruction on Icosahedral Grids for Shallow-Water Models
Yonggang G. Yu, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and N. Wang, Y. Xie, and M. W. Govett

Development and Performance of the GFDL Global Prediction System—SHiELD
Linjiong Zhou, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and S. J. Lin, L. Harris, K. Gao, B. Xiang, M. A. Bender, and J. H. Chen

Evaluating and Tuning Orographic Gravity Wave Drag Parameterizations in Atmospheric NWP Models
Michael D. Toy, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, T. G. Smirnova, J. S. Kenyon, J. M. Brown, and G. A. Grell

Implementation of CLUBB in COAMPS
Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Wang

Classification of Weather Patterns over the East Asia Region Using Clustering Analysis
Young-Jun Cho, NIMS, KMA, Seogwipo-si, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. C. Lee, B. Lim, and S. B. Kim

Handout (2.4 MB)

Using a Coupled FV3GFS–FVCOM Modeling System to Improve Lake-Effect Snowfall Forecasts
David M. Wright, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski, A. Fujisaki-Manome, P. Y. Chu, E. J. Anderson, G. E. Mann, and B. M. Lofgren

Handout (4.2 MB)

Unified Forecast System: Considerations for Transition to Operations
Ivanka Stajner, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and T. Jensen, G. Manikin, J. J. Levit, V. Tallapragada, F. Yang, and R. Treadon

A Climatology of Snow-to-Liquid Ratios in Alaska
David E. Levin, NOAA/NWS, Juneau, AK

The Case of Cold-Air Damming in Response to Topographical Influence Created by the Ozark Plateau
Jon Bongard, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market and J. Hunter

WRF Simulation, PBL Sensitivity, and Analysis of the December 2013 New England Ice Storm
Julia M. Simonson, Univ. of Maine, Orono, ME; and S. D. Birkel, K. A. Maasch, P. A. Mayewski, B. Lyon, and A. M. Carleton

Handout (1.9 MB)

The 30 January 2019 Northeast U.S. Snow Squall Event: An Operational Perspective
Jonathan O'Brien, NWS Mount Holly, New Jersey, Westampton, NJ

Traffic Fatalities in Winter: An Evaluation of Weather Regimes and NWS Guidance during Killer Storms
Joseph Burzdak, Western Connecticut State Univeristy, Danbury, CT; and A. A. Rosenow, H. D. Reeves, and S. L. Handler

Environmental Controls on Banded versus Cellular Organization of Mesoscale Snow Squalls in Western South Dakota
Leanna Bender, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and A. J. French
Manuscript (410.7 kB)

Handout (4.8 MB)

Assessing the Predictability of WRF Precipitaiton Forecasts for the Bay Area
Paul Zechiel, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and S. Chiao

A Climatological Analysis of Snowband Predictability in Northeast Winter Storms Including Case Studies
Mark Nissenbaum, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Improving the Snow-to-Liquid Ratio and Snowfall Forecasts in the Western United States
Michael Wessler, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh

Intraseasonal Variability of Cloud Cover in Midlatitudes during Boreal Winter
Reona Satoh, Fukuoka Univ., Fukuoka, Japan; and N. Nishi and H. MUKOUGAWA

Assimilation of GPM-Retrieved Surface Meteorology Variables for Two Winter Storms
X. Li, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and J. Srikishen, J. B. Roberts, W. A. Petersen, and C. R. Hain

Evaluation of Hourly Snow-to-Liquid Ratio Algorithms for the U.S. Air Force
Christopher J. Melick, 557th Weather Wing, Offutt Air Force Base, NE; and W. T. Sedlacek, S. Augustyn, R. J. Craig, G. Brooks, D. L. Keller, S. Rentschler, E. Kuchera, C. Hoover, J. Foote, and M. A. Baxter

The Influence of Turbulence Parameterizations on the 2 March 2018 Snowstorm
Matthew T. Vaughan, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. G. Fovell

Handout (6.9 MB)

Exploring the Predictability of Synoptically Induced Cold-Air Damming in the Eastern United States
Thomas Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. C. Knievel and M. Frediani

Evaluation of Winter Weather Prediction during Extreme Snowfall Events
Michael Walters, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and J. Yang, M. Koukoula, and M. Astitha

1-Month-Lead Predictability of Asian Summer Monsoon Indices Based on the Zonal Winds Using the APCC Multimodel Ensemble
Joong-Bae Ahn, Pusan National Univ., Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. J. Park and V. Kryjov

Subseasonal Bias and Skill in FV3 Simulations Using Two Different Physics Suites
Benjamin W. Green, CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun, G. A. Grell, and S. G. Benjamin

Progress on the Development of a Coupled Forecast System for Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction at NCEP/EMC
Bin Li, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. Meixner, J. Wang, D. Worthen, L. Stefanova, J. Wang, S. Saha, S. Moorthi, R. Grumbine, A. Chawla, and A. Mehra

A Shift Toward Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts at The Weather Company, an IBM Business
Michael J. Ventrice, The Weather Company, Andover, MA; and J. Belanger, T. Crawford, and J. Williams

Poster 695 is now Paper 14C.4A.

Sensitivity of the 2012 Arctic Cyclone to Sea Ice and Atmospheric Initial Conditions
Tomer Burg, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. M. Cavallo

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner