Program: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology (93rd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Program Chairs: Steven M. Quiring , Texas A&M University ; Barbara Mayes Boustead , NOAA/NWS

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Saturday, 5 January 2013

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2013

Registration for Student Conference and Short Course

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2013

Registration for Short Course and Conference for Early Career Professionals

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013

Registration Open for Annual Meeting

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013

WeatherFest

Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Registration Continues Through January 9

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Plenary Session

13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today's Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections

Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today; the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Special Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; the 10th Conference on Space Weather; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 11th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the Robert A. Duce Symposium; the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )

8:30 AM

Opening Remarks (by AMS President Dr. Louis Uccellini and Co-Chairs Troy Kimmel/Ken Carey will introduce Texas and Local Representatives)

Recorded Presentation

8:35 AM

Warm Welcome to Austin!

8:45 AM

Introduction of Guest Speakers (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

8:50 AM

"Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific Progress and Future Opportunities" Dr. Alan Thorpe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

Recorded Presentation

9:10 AM

"River/Rainfall Forecast Fusion Cells" Major General Michael Walsh, US Army Corps of Engineers

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

"Cloudy with the Chance of Insight" Dr. Tony Hey, Microsoft Research

Recorded Presentation

9:50 AM

"Where Citizens are Looking" Dr. Nigel Snoad, Google Crisis Response

Recorded Presentation

10:10 AM

Audience Question and Answer (moderated by Dr. William (Bill) Hooke)

Recorded Presentation

10:25 AM

Closing Remarks (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Spouses' Coffee

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Panel Discussion 1

Setting the Stage for Applied Climatology in 2012

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Moderator: Timothy W. Owen, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Panelists: Eileen Shea, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, NC; Wayne Higgins, NOAA/OAR/CPO, College Park, MD; J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA

11:00 AM

Applied 2013 Shea by Eileen Shea

11:15 AM

Advancing Climate Prediction at the CPC by Wayne Higgins

11:30 AM

Advancing Climate PrediApplied Climate Perspectives by Marshall Shepherd

From Predictions to Impact Based Decisions: Linking Water, Weather, Coastal and Climate

Location: Ballroom G (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Special Symposium on Advancing Weather and Climate Forecasts: Innovative Techniques and Applications; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; and the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise )

Moderator: Paul Sandifer, Chief Science Advisor, NOAA's National Ocean Service, Charleston, SC

Panelists: James Porter, Chief, Water System Operations, Bureau of Water Supply, NYC Department of Environmental Protection, Grahamsville, NY; Robert Hartman, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA; John C. Schaake, Consulting Hydrologist, Annapolis, MD

11:00 AM

John Schaake Presentation

11:15 AM

NYC Water Supply by Jim Porter

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Session 2

Tribute to Dr. Stanley Changnon

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Speakers: Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; Mark S. Russo, Chesapeake Energy Corp., Chicago, IL

Chair: David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL

1:30 PM

2.1

Stan Changnon: A Renaissance Man of (Atmospheric) Science

Kenneth E. Kunkel, CICS-NC, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

2.2

Record-Setting Damaging Weather Extremes in 2011

David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and S. Changnon

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

2.3

Applied Meteorology in Energy and Agriculture: Bridging the Gap

Jon Davis, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL

Recorded Presentation

Themed Joint Session 3

Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Part I

Location: Ballroom F (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Chair: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC

Cochairs: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; Siegfried Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD

1:30 PM

TJ3.1

INVITED: The National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS): Advancing the concept of climate early warning systems

Roger Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and C. McNutt, L. Darby, R. Webb, and J. Verdin

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

TJ3.2

INVITED: Assessment of the National Multi-Model Ensemble System for the Prediction of Drought Over the NIDIS Test-beds

Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. K. Roundy and X. Yuan

TJ3.3

INVITED: Drought and Water Supply in the Context of Foreign Policy

2:00 PM

TJ3.3A

The Impact of Soil Moisture and Snow Assimilation on NLDAS Drought Metrics

Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC; and D. Mocko, S. V. Kumar, Y. Tian, Y. Xia, and M. B. Ek

2:15 PM

TJ3.4

Comparing evaporative sources using relative entropy – a tool to diagnose the origins of droughts

Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Wei and M. Bosilovich

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Themed Joint Poster Session

Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Posters

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD

The Global Drought Information System—A Decision Support Tool with Global Applications

Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Stennis Space Center, MS; and R. Heim

Reformulation of the Drought Code in the Canadian Fire Weather Index System Implemented in New Zealand

Yang Yang, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. Uddstrom

Poster 25 has been moved. New Paper number TJ3.3A

How well is the physics of intense rainfall events in the Sahel captured by a regional climate?

Julien Crétat, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook and E. K. Vizy

Exploring the frequency of hydroclimate extremes on the Niger River using Monte Carlo methods

Asher Siebert, IRI, Palisades, NY; and M. N. Ward

Handout (925.5 kB)

HydroXtreme-MaP: A Global Real-time Hydrological Modeling System for Flood and Drought Monitoring and Prediction

Xianwu Xue, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Hong, J. J. Gourley, R. F. Adler, and Y. Zhang

Soil moisture—precipitation feedback in the 2011 warm season drought in the Southern Great Plains

Hua Su, The University of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. E. Dickinson

Remote Sensing Detection of Droughts and Efficient Water Resource Allocation in Korea

Jihoon Jung, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. J. Kim and S. H. Ahn

A Comparison of the Summer 2011 Heat Wave and Drought on the Southern High Plains to previous Extreme Years

Jeffrey D. Vitale, NOAA/NWS, Lubbock, TX; and R. McQueen

Handout (1.7 MB)

Development of a Remote-Sensing Based Framework for Mapping Drought over North America

Christopher Hain, University of Maryland, Camp Springs, MD; and M. C. Anderson, X. Zhan, M. D. Svoboda, B. Wardlow, and I. E. Mladenova

The Utility of the Real-Time NASA Land Information System Data for Drought Monitoring Applications

Kristopher D. White, NOAA/NWSFO, Huntsville, AL; and J. L. Case

Manuscript (4.3 MB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

Factors affecting land surface model spin-up behavior in the high resolution North American Land Assimilation System (NLDAS)

Jiarui Dong, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. Ek, B. Cosgrove, Y. Xia, and J. Meng

An integrative analysis of drought in the Southeastern United States

Jonghun Kam, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield and E. F. Wood

Uncertainties, Relationships, and Optimal Blends of Ensemble-Mean NLDAS Drought Indices

Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, D. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. Sheffield, J. Dong, and E. F. Wood

Assessing Future Changes of Extreme Surface Temperatures over the southern United States

Ze Yang, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu and D. N. Fernando

Rainfall Anomaly Prediction Using Statistical Downscaling in a Multimodel Superensemble over Tropical South America

Bradford D. Johnson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti and V. Kumar

Poster Session

Poster Session I

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Poster 204 has been moved. New presentation number 3.2A

205

United States Navy Climatology Support Services

David Ramsaur, FLENUMMETOC N33 Climatology, Monterey, CA; and M. Hutchins

206

Enhancement of Local Climate Analysis Tool

Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Horsfall and J. A. Dutton

207

Contribution to New Jersey Precipitation from Named Tropical Cyclones

Thomas D. Karmel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. A. Robinson and D. A. Zarrow

Poster 207 will also be presented as 4.8A. To be presented by D. A. Zarrow.

208

Characterizing Spatial Variability in Precipitation and Throughfall in a Tropical Pre-Montane Cloud Forest

Nicole C. Shibley, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and N. G. Teale, E. R. Morris, S. M. Quiring, O. W. Frauenfeld, E. B. Roark, and A. D. Rapp

209

A Hydroclimatology of the Green River Watershed in West-Central Kentucky During 1979-2010

Tami M. Gray, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN; and J. D. Durkee, Ph.D

210

Western Hemisphere Diurnal Fire Activity 1995-2012: Description and Initial Fire Trend Analysis of the GOES-East Version 6.5 WF_ABBA Data Archive

Jason C. Brunner, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. C. Schmidt, E. M. Prins, J. P. Hoffman, W. Schroeder, and I. A. Csiszar

Handout (1.3 MB)

211

Weather and Fire Occurrence During the Last Decade in Missouri

Karl F. Ronning, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and R. H. Cutter and A. R. Lupo

212

Optimizing future crop yield projections using weighted MME approaches

Dongwook Shin, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and G. A. Baigorria, D. Letson, J. Oh, S. Cocke, J. J. O'Brien, J. W. Jones, D. Solis, and N. E. Breuer

213

The Pacific Coast Fog Project: A Multi-disciplinary Effort to Provide Web-based Climate Products for Ecologists

Gary P. Ellrod, Ellrod Weather Consulting, LLC, Granby, CT; and A. Torregrosa, C. L. Combs, and I. Gultepe

Handout (1.8 MB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Themed Joint Session 7

Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Part II

Location: Ballroom F (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD

4:00 PM

TJ7.1

Drought depiction, prediction and application: Implications for GDIS

Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI/Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and K. Mo and A. G. Barnston

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

TJ7.2

A Modeling Study of the On-Going Drought and Heat Wave Over the United States

Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, R. D. Koster, and M. Suarez

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

TJ7.3

CWRF Application for U.S. Drought Forecasts

Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Chen and S. Su

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

TJ7.4

Application of NCEP Land Data Assimilation Systems for Global and Regional Drought Analysis, Monitoring and Prediction

Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, J. Meng, and J. Dong

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

TJ7.5

East African Drought Prediction and Humanitarian Responses in 2012

Chris C. Funk, USGS EROS, Santa Barbara, CA; and G. Husak, J. Michaelsen, A. Hoell, and J. Verdin

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

TJ7.6

Evaluation of a Remotely Sensed Evaporative Stress Index for Monitoring Patterns of Anomalous Water Use

Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and C. Hain, J. A. Otkin, and X. Zhan

Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Reception and Exhibits Opening

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Themed Joint Session 13

Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Part III

Location: Room 10B (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Chair: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH

8:30 AM

TJ13.1

Assessing Future Changes of Climate Extremes in Supporting Regional Water Resource Planning over the South-Central United States

Rong Fu, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and D. N. Fernando, L. Yin, T. Ren, Z. Yang, and A. Bowerman

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

TJ13.2

Using a standardized GRACE dataset to investigate regional-scale drought severity

Alys Thomas, University of California, Irvine, CA; and J. S. Famiglietti

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

TJ13.3

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Drought Persistence in the Southeastern United States

Christopher F. Labosier, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and T. W. Ford

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

TJ13.4

Experimental prediction of severe droughts on seasonal time scales with GFDL High-Resolution Atmosphere Model

Zhitao Yu, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and S. J. Lin

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

TJ13.5

Land-atmosphere coupling and seasonal forecast skill over the Great Plains and the Southeast United States

Joshua K. Roundy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. R. Ferguson and E. F. Wood

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Spouses' Coffee

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Session 3

Climate Communications and Services

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: James R. Angel, ISWS, Champaign, IL

1:30 PM

3.1

Communicating Climate Forecasts via NOAA's Science On a Sphere: The EarthNow Project

Patrick Rowley, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Ackerman, P. Arkin, D. P. Pisut, R. A. Kohrs, M. Mooney, and S. Schollaert Uz

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

3.2A

GLOBE Schools: Monitoring the Local Environment; Engaging Students in Environmental Stewardship (Formerly Poster 204)

Gary Randolph, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Andersen, J. Mackaro, J. S. Malmberg, S. Tessendorf, and K. Wegner

Recorded Presentation

3.2

NOAA's Climate.gov and National Climatic Data Center Websites—New Versions Released in 2012

2:00 PM

3.3

Communicating Scientific Climate Papers and Reports to the General Public: How NOAA is using its arsenal of traditional, web-based and social media tools to successfully raise public awareness

Katy Vincent, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Phillips and R. Lindsey

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

3.4

Flood to drought in South Dakota: communicating the challenges of climate variability

Laura M. Edwards, South Dakota State University, Aberdeen, SD; and D. P. Todey

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

3.5

Transborder Climate and Experiments in Climate Communication: Building a Foundation for Adaptation

Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. Quijada-Mascarenas, M. Wilder, and R. Varady

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

3.6

ENSO, NAO, and Laura Ingalls Wilder: The story of the Hard Winter of 1880-81

Barbara Mayes Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE

Recorded Presentation

Themed Joint Session 17

Climate Applications and Predictions for the Health Sector

Location: Room 6B (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Moderator: George Luber, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA

1:30 PM

TJ17.1

Using Regional Climate Projections to Minimize the Health Impacts of Changes in Extreme Weather and Climate Events

Kristie L. Ebi, Stanford Univ., Los Altos, CA

1:45 PM

TJ17.2

The Metadata Access Tool for Climate and Health: a new resource for assessing health impacts of climate change

John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD; and J. Trtanj

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

TJ17.3

MED-MI: accelerating identification of environmental impacts on health

Brian William Golding, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and L. Fleming, A. Haines, A. Kessel, T. Bailey, C. Sabel, N. Osborne, C. Sarran, A. Cichowska, S. Hajat, and D. Bloomfield

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

TJ17.4

System for Integrated Modeling of Metropolitan Extreme Heat Risk

Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Hayden, A. J. Monaghan, T. Greasby, C. Uejio, S. R. Sain, K. Oleson, M. Heaton, J. Pelzman, D. Banerjee, and V. Nepal

2:30 PM

TJ17.5

Assessing NWS Pendleton heat criteria, response, and adaptation in eastern Oregon

Kathie D. Dello, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and M. Green, A. Bair, and M. Wister

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

TJ17.6

Evaluating the different responses in morbidity and mortality to heat events across New York State

Scott C. Sheridan, Kent State Univ., Kent, OH

Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President

Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Session 4

Climate Extremes

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Barbara Mayes Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE

3:30 PM

4.1

The 2012 Drought in Illinois: Its Development and Impacts

James R. Angel, ISWS, Champaign, IL

Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM

4.2A

Developing a Localized Climate Extremes Index for Individual State (Formerly Poster 609)

Adrienne M. Wootten, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. Griffin, R. Boyles, and D. F. Zierden

Recorded Presentation

4.2

Oklahoma's Extremely Extreme Weather of 2011-2012

4:00 PM

4.3

Chicago Heat Waves: A Climatological Comparison

Bryce T. O'Neill, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and M. E. Woloszyn and J. R. Angel

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

4.4

A Radar-Based Climatology of Great Plains Thunderstorms

Adam Houston, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and N. A. Lock and C. D. Oppermann

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

4.5

Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus

Burkely L. Twiest, The University of Oklahoma/NSSL/NOAA, Norman, OK; and B. T. Smith, H. E. Brooks, R. L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A. R. Dean, and C. J. Melick

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

4.6

A 10 Year Spatial Climatology of Mesoscale Convective Complexes in the Great Plains Region

AnneMarie Giannandrea, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY; and B. Tomaszewski

5:00 PM

4.7

GHCNDEX: Global Land-based Datasets for Monitoring Climatic Extremes

Imke Durre, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and M. G. Donat, L. V. Alexander, and H. Yang

Recorded Presentation

4.8

Precipitation Extremes in the New TMPA and GPCP 1DD Data Sets

5:15 PM

4.8A

Poster 207 will present as 4.8A. Presented by D. A. Zarrow.

Recorded Presentation

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Duce Symposium Banquet

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 5

U.S. Climate Reference Network Applications

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Steven M. Quiring, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

8:30 AM

5.1

U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN): Applications of High Temporal Resolution Fan-Aspirated Temperature Observations

Michael Palecki, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

5.2

Impact of Network Design on Daily Temperature and Precipitation and their Application: USCRN and COOP

Ronald D. Leeper, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites (CICSNC), Asheville, NC; and J. Rennie

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

5.3

WMO Solid Precipitation Inter-Comparison Experiment

C. B. Baker, NOAA/ERL/ARL/ATDD, Oak Ridge, TN; and R. M. Rasmussen, J. Kochendorfer, S. Landolt, and T. P. Meyers

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

5.4

Biases Associated with Air Temperature Measurements near Roadways and Buildings

John Kochendorfer, NOAA, Oak Ridge, TN; and C. B. Baker, E. J. Dumas Jr., D. L. Senn, M. Heuer, M. E. Hall, and T. P. Meyers

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

5.5

Comparison of USCRN temperature measurements to remotely-sensed phenology

Jesse Eugene Bell, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites-North Carolina (CICS-NC), North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and J. L. Matthews

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

5.6

Comparison of frost depth penetration based on an updated Air-Freezing Index and on USCRN soil temperatures

Rocky G. Bilotta, ERT, inc. (NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC), Asheville, NC; and E. Shepherd and J. E. Bell

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Spouses' Coffee

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President

Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 6

Mesonets and Citizen Observer Networks

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Melissa Griffin, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

10:30 AM

6.1

Examination of extreme value precipitation distribution from a high density CoCoRaHS network compared to a long-record National Weather Service Cooperative station

Zach Schwalbe, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken, H. Reges, J. Turner, and N. Newman

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

6.2

Balancing the desire for a friendly citizen science program with the need for accurate precipitation data

Peter Goble, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken, H. Reges, Z. Schwalbe, J. Turner, and N. Newman

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

6.3

Evaluating the Quality of “Citizen Scientist” Snow Albedo Observations for use in Climate System Studies

Elizabeth Ann Burakowski, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space/University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and M. D. Stampone, C. P. Wake, and J. E. Dibb

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

6.4

The Oklahoma Mesonet: Evolution from Real-time Weather Network to Climate Network

Christopher A. Fiebrich, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and K. Kloesel, D. Grimsley, G. McManus, A. McCombs, and C. Luttrell

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

6.5

High-Resolution Weather Observations for Improved Mesoscale Predictions

David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and D. J. Leathers

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

6.6

Consistency of low-frequency rotation of surface winds over Canada

Vladimir Y. Korolevych, Chalk River Labs, AECL, Chalk River, ON, Canada

Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 7

Data Collection and Stewardship

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Jon Gottschalck, NOAA/NWS, College Park, MD

1:30 PM

7.1

Creating a Globally-Consistent, Quality-Controlled, Point-Location, Historical Weather Database Utilizing Several Standardized Validation and Gap-Filling Methodologies

D. van Dijke, Meteo Consult B.V., Wageningen, Netherlands; and B. R. A. Vonk, F. Bilsma, G. A. van der Grijn, H. A. F. M. Otten, C. Verrijn Stuart, B. A. G. Huls, S. M. Raspe, R. de Gier, I. W. Smeding-Zuurdonk, M. J. Geuze, W. D. van den Berg, J. H. Hoffmann, F. S. Sternke, A. J. Joachim, and K. Stenson

1:45 PM

7.2

An algorithm to estimate traditional snowfall measurements from ultrasonic snow depth sensors at U.S. observing sites

Wendy A. Ryan, Wilson Water Group, Glenwood Springs, CO; and N. J. Doesken

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

7.3

Development of the International Surface Temperature Initiative's Global Land Surface Databank

Jared Rennie, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites/North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and P. Thorne, J. H. Lawrimore, B. Gleason, M. J. Menne, and C. N. Williams Jr.

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

7.4

Data Management at the Other End of the Data Life Cycle

Jason Cooper, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded Presentation

Themed Joint Session 38

Tools for making use of climate predictions and earth systems analysis: GIS and Python Part I

Location: Room 12B (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Chair: Johnny Wei-Bing Lin

1:30 PM

TJ38.1

Reducing Barriers to the Use of Climate Data in Adaptation Planning (invited)

Richard B. Rood, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

TJ38.2

Usable Science—integration of atmospheric data with traditional GIS tools (invited)

Jennifer Boehnert, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session

Poster Session II

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

608

An Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index

Barbara Mayes Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE; and S. Hilberg, M. D. Shulski, and K. G. Hubbard

Manuscript (609.3 kB)

Handout (1.7 MB)

Poster 609 will now be presented as 4.2A

610

Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Persistence in the Mid-South Region

Richard W. Dixon, Texas State University, San Marcos, TX; and K. Barrett and T. Moore

Handout (1.8 MB)

611

Long-term comparison of temperatures observed from multiple sensors at the New Brunswick, NJ NWS Cooperative Weather Station

Mathieu R. Gerbush, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and J. Carlin, D. A. Robinson, C. Speciale, and P. J. Croft

Handout (1.1 MB)

612

New Data and Services Available through the Modeling and Assimilation Data and Information Services Center (MDISC) at the GES DISC

Dana Ostrenga, ADNET Systems, Inc. and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. Smith, M. Bosilovich, R. H. Reichle, and A. Da Silva

613

Leveraging Decadal Averages of Mesoscale Observations from the Oklahoma Mesonet to Provide Decision-makers Enhanced Tools

Bradley G. Illston, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and N. E. Bain, C. A. Fiebrich, J. B. Basara, R. Jabrzemski, and B. Vassmer

614

Identification of Midnight-to-Midnight Hourly Wind Pattern Modes Utiilizing the V-Fold Cross Validation Algorithm Applied to K-Means Clustering Analysis

Charles Fisk, Naval Base Ventura County, Pt. Mugu, California

Manuscript (916.3 kB)

615

The Southern Plains' Drought of 2011 and 2012: An Analytical Comparison

Monica O'Brien Deming, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and G. McManus

616

The Unusual Warmth of March 2012: Some Possible Causes

Jordan R. Bell, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo

Handout (1.4 MB)

Poster 895 will now be presented as 8.6A

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 8

Applied Climate Data Analysis

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA

4:00 PM

8.1

Calibration of Temperature Troposphere / Stratosphere from Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit using High Quality Radiosonde Data Identified by Radio Occultation Data

Shu-peng Ho, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Peng and X. Zhou

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

8.2

Examination of Global Satellite-Based Tropical Cyclone Size Variations

John Knaff, NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, S. Longmore, and C. Sampson

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (2.0 MB)

4:30 PM

8.3

Regional Climate and Variability of the Summertime Continental United States in Reanalyses

Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and F. R. Robertson and J. B. Roberts

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

8.4

Predicting Observed Soil Moisture Using Statistical Modeling

Joseph Tokeshi Taylor, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. M. Wootten, S. Heuser, and R. P. Boyles

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

8.5

Snowstorm dataset development

Michael F. Squires, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore, D. A. Robinson, M. Gerbush, and T. Estilow

Recorded Presentation

8.6

Conditional climatology of persistence of ceiling and visibility

5:15 PM

8.6A

Climatology and Conceptual Models of Snowfall Distribution in Cold-Season Central United States Cyclones (Formerly Poster 895)

Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI; and P. N. Schumacher

Recorded Presentation

Themed Joint Session 41

Tools for making use of climate predictions and earth systems analysis: GIS and Python Part II

Location: Room 12B (Austin Convention Center)

Chair: Johnny Wei-Bing Lin

4:00 PM

TJ41.1

The Use of GIS and Python Scripting for Processing and Mapping National and Regional Climate Data Simulations (invited)

J. Greg Dobson, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and J. D. Morgan, K. E. Kunkel, and L. E. Stevens

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

TJ41.2

The Google Earth Engine Python API (invited)

Tyler A. Erickson, Google Inc., Mountain View, CA

5:00 PM

Panel Discussion

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

93rd AMS Awards Banquet

Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Thursday, 10 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Session 9

Drought Prediction and Preparedness

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE

8:30 AM

9.1

Engaging the Drought Preparedness Community: Celebrating Successes and Planning for the Future

Deborah J. Bathke, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and N. A. Wall, T. Haigh, M. J. Hayes, and M. D. Svoboda

8:45 AM

9.2

Managing Drought in the Southern Plains: Discussing Impacts to Promote Planning

Margret Boone, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/Southern Climate Impacts Planning Program, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer, C. McNutt, D. P. Brown, and M. J. Hayes

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

9.3

Predictability of southeastern US drought within the NMME system

Johnna Infanti, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. Kirtman

9:15 AM

9.4

Variation in Sahel Rainfall and Drought since 1950: Nature and Predictability

M. Neil Ward, Independent Scholar, Basking Ridge, NJ; and A. Siebert and O. Ndiaye

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

9.5

An Overview of the Weekly Regional Hazards Outlook for Food Security

Thomas Di Liberto, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD; and W. M. Thiaw

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Session 10

Drought Monitoring

Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Applied Climatology

Chair: Nancy Selover, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ

11:00 AM

10.1

Progress Under Duress -- National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) assessment and early warning in the Upper Colorado River Basin

Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Smith, W. A. Ryan, M. C. Phillips, Z. Schwalbe, N. Newman, H. Reges, T. Hutchins-Cabibi, and J. Verdin

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

10.2

Decision Support for Drought Risk Management: Building an Enhanced National Drought Atlas

Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Fuchs and M. J. Hayes

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

10.3

Investigating Land-Atmosphere Interactions using the North American Soil Moisture (NASM) Database

Steven M. Quiring, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and T. W. Ford

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM