Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Program Chairs:
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Saturday, 3 January 2015
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Sunday, 4 January 2015
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Monday, 5 January 2015
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Plenary Session
1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling;
the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon;
the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium;
and the 15th Presidential Forum
)
Program Chair:
Moderator:
Keynote:
Panelists:
Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Tuesday, 6 January 2015
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Lecture
1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 15th Presidential Forum;
the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
)
Session
1
Welcome Session: Commission on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Cochairs:
Key note opening remarks to be given by Dr. Joel Myers, Founder, Chairman and President, Accuweather.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Harry R. Glahn Symposium Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Panel Discussion
1
Communicating the State of Understanding of Climate and Climate Change
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Moderators:
Panelists:
Effective communication of climate and climate change information remains a challenging goal. The scientific terminology and public understanding of “climate” has changed significantly over the years. Scientific understanding of the “climate system” has made major advances in the past decades as the interdependency of the atmosphere, oceans, biosphere, land surfaces, ice, soil moisture , etc., have become part of “climate”. Human responses to climate and climate change have historically been driven by adaptation to relatively slow changes. Observations and research show climate and its many components now is changing at a rate not seen in human history. Can we more effectively communicate the certainty and the uncertainties of climate and climate change for both better public understanding and better decision making in a rapidly changing climate environment? A distinguished panel of science communicators, climate scientists, social scientists, decision makers and users of climate, climate and global change information will address a number of these questions and discuss pertinent issues with the attendees. It is the intent of the CECWCI that review/synopsis of the panel/town hall session will also be widely disseminated and published.
Joint Session
9
Weather and Climate Information for Emergency Response Planning - I
Location: 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
and the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
)
Cochairs:
Session explores the roles weather and forecasting play in human health and happiness, community viability, public health practice, and increases in demand for weather DSS in health.
2:45 PM
Discussion
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Joint Session
11
Weather and Climate Information for Emergency Response Planning - II
Location: 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
and the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
)
Cochairs:
Session explores tools and programs community clinicians and health officials use to prepare for and respond to weather emergencies. Presentations for work that transitions research to applications.
3:45 PM
J11.2
5:15 PM
Discussion
6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
Town Hall Meeting: Weather in Search, Social, and Mobile
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
and the Town Hall Meeting
)
Weather information is being used in exciting new ways. The forefront of this innovation is online applications such as search, social, and mobile. This Town Hall panel brings together four key players in this space – Facebook, Twitter, Google, and Microsoft – to discuss how they use weather to reach billions of consumers, often in novel ways.
David Kenny, CEO of The Weather Company, will moderate. Panelists include:
• Bryan Hurren, strategic partnerships manager at Facebook
• Andrew Fitzgerald, Media Partnerships team at Twitter
• Arial Gronau, technical program manager at Google
• Brett Tanzer, weather program manager at Microsoft
6:00 PM
Town Hall Meeting: Weather in Search, Social, and Mobile - Ariel Gronau
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
2
Mind the Gap — Building Bridges Between the Public and Private Sectors to Advance Climate Services
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Chair:
Every day, public officials, business leaders and private citizens are making decisions that depend on understanding how climate will change over the course of the next 1, 10, to 100 years. To meet the rising demand for information that these decisions require, a suite of climate service information providers has emerged. The climate services enterprise in the United States includes entities from public, private, academic and non-governmental organizations. As the climate service enterprise grows with the demand for information, it is increasingly important that the public and private sector in particular work as partners if nation is fulfill the vision of climate information for every need, time and place.
This session will explore the climate service value chain and the relationship between the public and private sectors in optimizing the development and delivery of climate services. The session will focus on understanding what decision makers need, and how climate service providers across sectors supply this information. How is information generated by the public and private sectors, and then delivered to the decision maker? Are there best practices for the partnership between the public and private sectors that the AMS community should be aware of? The Climate Services Committee would also expects that this session will explore how the AMS Community can work to ensure continuing support for the basic infrastructure on which climate services rely, and inform the dialog between the public and private climate service sectors as it has successfully done for the weather sector.
9:15 AM
2.4
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Panel Discussion
2
Mind the Gap — Building Bridges Between the Public and Private Sectors to Advance Climate Services
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Moderator:
Panelists:
This panel will build off the presentations from the first session and continue to explore the relationship between the public and private sectors in optimizing the development and delivery of climate services. This panel will focus on: identifying lessons learned that can be applied to other locales and/or sectors; exploring best practices for the partnership between the public and private sectors; and the role of the broader AMS community in fostering these relationships for climate services as it has successfully done for the weather sector.
Joint Panel Discussion
3
Advancing the Space Weather Enterprise: An Interactive Discussion
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
and the 12th Conference on Space Weather
)
Moderators:
Panelists:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Eugenia Kalnay Symposium Luncheon
Location: 229B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker:
Lunch Break
Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Joint Panel Discussion
1
Improving the Communication of Space Weather Information through the Media
Location: 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
and the 12th Conference on Space Weather
)
Moderator:
Panelists:
Lecture
2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
)
Chair:
Panel Discussion
3
Streaming Media: The Choice Between "Movies" or Weather Products
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Moderators:
Panelists:
Federal spectrum sharing, both currently underway and proposed, and how it will affect meteorological users. Moving data from space to users may be impacted by other commercial interests. Understand how it may affect you, how you can speak up about proposed plans and what the next steps are in protecting meteorological radio frequency spectrum and the products it supports.
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Joint Panel Discussion
4
Making Climate Information Available to Decision Makers: Challenges, Risks, and Uncertainty
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Moderators:
Panelists:
Often climate models and data are complex and built for use by climate scientists, but what about the decision makers looking for climate information to make decisions? Creating information from climate data and models involves making the data easy to understand and useful to citizen scientists and non-scientists alike. How can climate experts provide outlooks on climate useful for decisions on policy, infrastructure, resources, and life and safety? Some issues related to providing this information include data/model uncertainty, sampling errors, spatial resolution, model downscaling, visualization, liability, and risk management, to name a few. This panel will discuss plans, strategies, challenges, perspectives, technologies, and the future of climate change information and services for society.
4:45 PM
Tsengdar Lee Remarks
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
3
Emerging Services within the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Location: 222A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
Chair:
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Lecture
3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the 15th Presidential Forum;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling;
and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium
)
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Registration Closes
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns