Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact

Program Chairs: Carl J. Schreck III , North Carolina State University ; Pallav Ray , Florida Institute of Technology

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Sunday, 10 January 2016

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 11 January 2016

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
2016 Presidential Forum: Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
Location: La Nouvelle B-C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Moderator: Maureen McCann, News 13
Panelists: Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Kerry Emanuel, MIT; Shirley Laska, University of New Orleans; Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV/Former NOAA/National Hurricane Center Director
9:00 AM
Presidential Forum on Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
9:05 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Alexander E. “Sandy” MacDonald)

9:15 AM
Introduction of Moderator McCann (MacDonald)

9:16 AM
Introduction of Speakers (McCann)

9:20 AM
Opening Remarks of Speakers

10:05 AM
Q&A

10:30 AM
Concluding Remarks

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 1
Numerical Modeling and Air-Sea Interactions with the MJO
Location: Room 338/339 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Cochairs: Matthew Janiga, NRL; James A. Ridout, NRL
11:15 AM
1.2
11:30 AM
1.3
Cloud-Resolving Model Sensitivity Studies of MJO Events during DYNAMO
Wei-Kuo Tao, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and X. Li, S. Y. Kim, and M. I. Lee

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Methods for Identifying the MJO
Location: Room 338/339 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; and the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy )
Cochairs: Ping Liu, SUNY; Carl J. Schreck III, CICS/North Carolina State University
1:30 PM
J1.1
1:45 PM
J1.2
Was there a December MJO during DYNAMO? (Invited Presentation)
Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and S. Sullivan
2:15 PM
J1.4
The Evolution of the MJO as Revealed by Multivariate Principal Oscillation Analysis
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and C. Penland and R. M. Vargas
Recording files available
Lecture 1
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Poster Session 1
POSTER: Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Host: Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
459
Coupled COAMPS Prediction of CINDY/DYNAMO MJO 1
Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Gerbersek, J. M. Schmidt, M. Flatau, and P. May

460
Observing Atmospheric Waves' Impacts on Troposphere down to Surface during ASIRI-RAWI Campaign
Patrick Conry, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and L. S. Leo, Y. Wang, V. Amelie, U. Jinadasa, C. Wang, B. W. Blomquist, E. Creegan, C. Hocut, B. MacCall, L. K. Yeo, S. Pillay, N. Lalande, U. Adikari, and H. J. S. Fernando

462
The Interaction of Eastward Propagating Equatorial Modes with the Maritime Continent
Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Ridout, C. Reynolds, T. Shinoda, S. Chen, and J. Schmidt

464
On the Nonlinear Kinetic Energy Transfer Between MJO and Synoptic Scales
Sarvesh Kumar Dubey, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

467
468
Use of CYGNSS in Understanding the Onset and Convective Properties in a Weak MJO from the DYNAMO December 2011 Event
Kacie Hoover, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski, X. Li, T. J. Lang, and T. Chronis

469
Mesoscale Wind Divergence Profiles in the Indian Ocean during the DYNAMO Field Campaign
Arunchandra Susheela Chandra, RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. E. Mapes

470
Influence of Lateral Boundary Conditions on Regional Extended-Range Simulations of the MJO
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, J. Doyle, P. May, and J. A. Ridout

472
Linkage between Seasonal Seychelles-Chagos Thermocline Ridge and MJO formation
Subrahmanyam Bulusu, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and J. D'Addezio

473
A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO
Sulian Thual, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY; and A. J. Majda

474
Study of SST Impact to MJO Prediction through GEFS Model
Yuejian Zhu, NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. Pena, W. Li, D. Hou, X. Zhu, and Q. Zhang

475
Numerical Simulation of MJO Genesis: The Impact of the DYNAMO Data
Xuanli Li, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski, T. J. Lang, and T. Chronis

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 2
Analysis of Observations from the DYNAMO/CINDY Field Campaign
Location: Room 338/339 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Cochairs: Charles Jones, Univ. of California; Tommy G. Jensen, NRL
5:00 PM
2.4
5:15 PM
2.5
Examining Tropical Cyclone — Kelvin Wave Interactions using Adjoint Diagnostics
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle and X. Hong

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Exhibits Opening Reception, Ribbon Cutting, and Corporate Recognition
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 12 January 2016

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Location: La Nouvelle C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Wednesday, 13 January 2016

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 3
Horton Lecture
Location: Room 244 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the Fourth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; the 13th Conference on Space Weather; the 19th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 30th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships; the 25th Symposium on Education; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fourth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA); the Peter Lamb Symposium; the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 18th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 14th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 11th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Events; the 18th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 14th History Symposium; the Eighth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; and the Special Symposium on Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction—Expectations and Limits of Multi-scale Predictability )
1:30 PM
L3.1

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session 1
Joint Poster Session for the 4th MJO Symposium and the 7th Energy Conference
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; and the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy )
848
A Revised Real-time Multivariate MJO Index
Ping Liu, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and Q. Zhang, C. Zhang, Y. Zhu, M. Khairoutdinov, H. M. Kim, C. Schumacher, and M. Zhang
Manuscript (91.1 kB)

851
Scale-Dependent Relationships Between U.S. Temperatures and Teleconnections
Carl J. Schreck III, CICS/NC State, Asheville, NC; and J. Rennie, L. Watkins, K. Dobeck, and D. Podowitz

853 has been moved. New paper number J3.6A.

855A
Seasonality of the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation
Bohar Singh, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. L. Kinter III

856
858
859
The Connection Between the Lower and Upper Level Quasi-Biweekly Oscillations of the South Asian Monsoon
Sebastián Ortega, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster, V. Toma, and H. R. Chang

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Interactions Between the MJO, the Extratropics, and Tropical Cyclones
Location: Room 346/347 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; and the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy )
Cochairs: Lawrence C. Gloeckler, SUNY; Carl J. Schreck III, CICS/North Carolina State University; Pallav Ray, Florida Institute of Technology
4:00 PM
J3.1
Characteristics of Predictable MJOs
Hye-Mi Kim, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and D. Kim, F. Vitart, V. Toma, J. S. Kug, and P. Webster

4:30 PM
J3.3

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


96th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Great Hall ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Thursday, 14 January 2016

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


AMS 96th Annual Meeting Adjourns