2002 Annual

Joint Session 3: Climate Variations and Forecasting (Joint with the 16th Conference Probability and Statistics and the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)

Tuesday, 15 January 2002: 8:30 AM-2:30 PM
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Organizers:  Rick Katz, NCAR and Bob Livezey, NOAA/NWS
Papers:
  8:30 AM
J3.1
A new significance test for empirical orthogonal functions
M. S. Santhanam, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, India; and B. Aditya and G. A. Kumar

Poster PDF (834.4 kB)
  8:45 AM
J3.2
The correlation structure of some simple indices of global climate variability and change
David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and K. Braganza

Poster PDF (16.2 kB)
  9:00 AM
J3.3
Cloudiness trends in Canada
Ewa J. Milewska, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada

Poster PDF (112.7 kB)
  9:15 AM
J3.4
A linear approach to atmospheric predictability on the medium and extended range
Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. R. Winkler

  9:30 AM
J3.5
Do weather or climate variables and their impacts have heavy-tailed distributions?
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (120.9 kB)
  9:45 AM
J3.6
A hazard model for tornado occurrence in the United States
Cathryn L. Meyer, Boston College, Boston, MA; and H. E. Brooks and M. P. Kay

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
  10:00 AM
J3.7
A new perspective on the climatology of tornadoes in the United States
Sara L. Bruening, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and M. P. Kay and H. E. Brooks

Poster PDF (533.7 kB)
  10:15 AM
J3.8
Determining Fog Type in the Los Angeles Basin Using Historic Surface Observation Data
Jeffrey A. Baars, Terabeam, Redmond, WA; and M. Witiw, A. Al-Habash, and J. Ramaprasad

Poster PDF (62.5 kB)
  10:30 AM
J3.9
Fog in the Los Angeles Basin: Influence of the El Nino Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars and J. Ramaprasad

  10:45 AM
J3.10
Experimental forecasting of dry season “storminess” over Florida and the southeast United States from the ENSO signal using multiple linear regression techniques
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida

  11:00 AM
J3.11
Predictability of anomalous storm tracks
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. Penland

  11:15 AM
J3.12
Seasonal forecasting of strong winds over Europe
J. P. Palutikof, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and T. Holt and T. J. Osborn

Poster PDF (218.5 kB)
  11:30 AM
J3.13
A Space-Time Model for Seasonal Hurricane Prediction
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and X. Niu and J. B. Elsner

Poster PDF (96.8 kB)
  11:45 AM
J3.14
Predictive United States' hurricane climate
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and B. H. Bossak

http://garnet.acns.fsu.edu/~jelsner/HTML/Research/papers/predclim/predclim.html

Poster PDF (80.1 kB)
  12:00 PM
J3.6a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

  12:30 PM
J3.12a
Grand Poster Luncheon

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