* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 3 October 2004
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday 1 Conference Registration
Monday, 4 October 2004
	7:30 AM, Monday 1 Conference Registration continues Through Friday October 7
	8:30 AM, Monday Keynote Session Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms)
Speaker: John Kern, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC
	9:00 AM, Monday Keynote Session Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms)
Organizer: Gen D.L. Johnson, Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, NOAA/NWS, Silver Sping, MD
	9:30 AM, Monday Keynote Session 1 Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms and the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace)
Speaker: Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
	10:00 AM, Monday 1 Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday Session 1 Plans and Programs
Organizers: Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO
10:30 AM 1.1 Integrated national plan for aviation weather: Vision, goals, and strategies   Mark Andrews, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and J. McCarthy 10:45 AM 1.2 A Concept of Operations for an Integrated Weather Forecast Process to Support the National Airspace System   Kevin Johnston, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Ladd 11:00 AM 1.3 Meeting the FAA's Thunderstorm Forecasting Requirements–Centralized vs. Distributed Processing   Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and J. W. Tauss 11:15 AM 1.4 Program management for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)   Danny L. Sims, FAA, Washington, DC; and D. Rodenhuis 11:30 AM 1.5 Risk management decision support for Traffic Flow Management   Stephen M. Zobell, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA 11:45 AM 1.6 A response to hazardous weather: Integrate Weather Information into Traffic Flow Management   Debbie Johannes, Federal Aviation Administration, Herdon, VA; and D. Rodenhuis and M. W. Huberdeau
	12:00 PM, Monday 1 Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-2:45 PM, Monday Session 2 Traffic Flow Management
Organizers: David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 2.1 International collaboration: Providing seamless, cross-border aviation weather products to facilitate traffic management   Luc Mercier, MSC, St.Laurent, QC, Canada; and D. Chretien, J. Lancaster, and D. Rodenhuis 2.2 The need for precise weather forecasts for air traffic management   Duane Torbert, FAA, Herndon, VA 1:45 PM 2.3 Quantifying Delay Reduction Benefits for Aviation Convective Weather Decision Support Systems   James E Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and S. Allan and M. Robinson 2:00 PM 2.4 Quantifying the impact of severe weather on NAS performance   Bryan Wood, CNA Corp., Herndon, VA 2:15 PM 2.5 Weather impact on punctuality at Frankfurt Airport (Germany) - A statistical study   Thomas Hauf, University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and U. Spehr 2:30 PM 2.6 Probabilistic Lightning Forecast Guidance for Aviation   Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
	3:00 PM, Monday 1 Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 1 Plans and Programs Poster Session
P1.1 The National Aviation Weather Program: An Update on Implementation   Thomas S. Fraim, NOAA/OFCM, Silver Spring, MD; and M. M. Cairns and A. R. Ramirez   P1.2 Streamlining the FAA's Weather Architecture to meet Future NAS Needs   Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and J. W. Tauss   P1.3 Roadmap for improved National Weather Service produced aviation weather products and services   Mark Andrews, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and K. L. Johnston and M. Graf   P1.4 Restructuring Plans for the Center Weather Service Units (CWSUs) A Vision for Improved Weather Forecast Services   Dave Rodenhuis, FAA, Herndon, VA; and D. L. Sims   P1.5 Improving Convective Weather Operations in Highly Congested Airspace with the Corridor Integrated Weather System (CIWS)   James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and K. Carusone, M. M. Wolfson, M. Robinson, E. Ducot, and B. Crowe
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 2 Traffic Flow Management, Poster Session
P2.1 Wind Prediction to Support Reduced Wake Vortex Separation Standars for Closely Spaced Parallel Runway Departures   Rodney E. Cole, MIT, Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and S. Winkler   P2.2 Reducing the impact of noise abatement practices on airport capacity by forecasting situational dependent aircraft noise propagation   R. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Keller   P2.3 Evaluation of air traffic flow strategies based on extended range forecasts using simulation and modeling tools   Stephen C. Munchak, CNA Corp, Herndon, VA   P2.4 Adverse weather and air traffic delays   Dave Rodenhuis, FAA, Herndon, VA
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 3 Aviation Products, Poster Session
P3.2 The Aviation Forecast Preparation System of the National Weather Service   Matthew R. Peroutka, NOAA/NWS/Office of Science and Technology/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Graf, M. G. Oberfield, G. Trojan, and B. Li   P3.3 The Advanced Satellite Aviation-weather Products (ASAP) initiative at the University of Wisconsin – CIMSS   Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski, J. J. Murray, D. B. Johnson, K. Bedka, S. Thomas, A. J. Wimmers, and C. C. Schmidt   P3.4 More intuitive graphics for Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)   Danny L. Sims, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. Wise, T. Yuditsky, S. McGettigan, and P. J. Smith   P3.5 Operational feedback reports to providers of Aviation's Collaborative Convective Forecast Product   Duane Torbert, FAA, Herndon, VA, VA; and D. Rodenhuis   P3.6 Development of a new en-route graphical weather forecast for aviation, the Graphical Area Forecast   Ronald J. Olson, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and S. Albersheim   P3.7 Continual Evolution of CCFP—User Needs for Extended Range Prediction   Thomas H. Fahey III, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN; and D. Rodenhuis
	4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Monday Session 3 Aviation Products
Organizers: Thomas H. Fahey, III, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN; Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC, Lyons, CO
4:30 PM 3.1 Tactical 0-2 Hour Convective Weather Forecasts for FAA   Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. E. Forman, K. T. Calden, R. A. Boldi, W. J. Dupree, R. J. Johnson, C. Wilson, P. E. Bieringer, E. B. Mann, and J. P. Morgan 4:45 PM 3.2 Advanced Terminal Weather Products Demonstration in New York   Shawn Allan, MIT, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura, B. Martin, D. A. Clark, and C. Gross 5:00 PM 3.3 Providing a tactical thunderstorm product to FAA air traffic managers   Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA Research - FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. S. Chun, J. T. Frimel, L. Gifford, G. Pratt, and T. Amis 5:15 PM 3.5 Three-dimensional high-resolution national radar mosaic   Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Howard, W. Xia, C. Langston, S. Wang, and Y. Qin 5:30 PM 3.6 Describing and Demonstrating Next-Generation Aviation Digital Data Service (ADDS)   Lynn Sherretz, NOAA - FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. Thompson 5:45 PM 3.7 Aviation Weather Web Site (AWWS)   Marie-France Turcotte, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, PQ, Canada
	6:00 PM, Monday 1 sessions end for the day
Tuesday, 5 October 2004
	8:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday Session 4 Turbulence and Wind Shear
Organizers: Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Robert Baron, Baron Services, Inc., Huntsville, AL
8:00 AM 4.1 Overview of the Juneau terrain-induced turbulence and windshear project   Robert Barron, NCAR, Boulder, Co; and V. Yates 8:15 AM 4.2 Weather patterns of Juneau Alaska and their relationship to aircraft hazards   Stephen A. Cohn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid, C. Dierking, M. K. Politovich, and C. G. Wade 8:30 AM 4.3 An update on the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program’s in situ turbulence measurement and reporting system   Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris and M. Limber 8:45 AM 4.4 Calculating EDR from aircraft wind data during flight in and out of Juneau, AK: Techniques and challenges associated with non-straight and level flight patterns   Danika Gilbert, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman, R. K. Goodrich, A. R. Rodi, and R. G. Frehlich 9:00 AM 4.5 Remote detection of turbulence using ground-based Doppler radars   John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman, D. Gilbert, S. G. Carson, and J. Yee 9:15 AM 4.6 Comparison of Doppler LIDAR Observations of Severe Turbulence and Aircraft Data   S.T. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. W. Mok 9:30 AM 4.7 Generation of Turbulence and Wind Shear Alerts: Anatomy of a Warning System   Corinne S. Morse, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Carson, D. Albo, S. Mueller, S. Gerding, and R. K. Goodrich 9:45 AM 4.8 A Performance Evaluation of the Juneau wind hazard alert system   Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and M. J. Pocernich 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM 4.10 Turbulence and mountain wave conditions observed with an airborne 2-micron Doppler lidar   Edward H Teets Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA; and C. Ashburn, R. K. Bogue, and L. J. Ehernberger 10:45 AM 4.11 Analysis of turbulence generation by gravity waves within an upper-Tropospheric front   Steven E. Koch, NOAA /FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. Jamison, E. Tollerud, C. Girz, T. Smith, T. P. Lane, N. Wang, M. A. Shapiro, D. D. Parrish, and O. Cooper 11:00 AM 4.12 The operational prediction of mountain wave turbulence using a high resolution nonhydrostatic mesoscale model   Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Hall, T. Keller, and J. Wolff 11:15 AM 4.13 Estimates of upper level turbulence based on second order structure functions derived from numerical weather prediction model output   Rod G. Frehlich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman 11:30 AM 4.14 Description and evaluation of the second generation Graphical Turbulence Guidance forecasting system   Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wolff and G. Weiner 11:45 AM 4.15 The complexity of clear air turbulence and its measurement and modeling for aviation safety,turbulent transport, and propagation studies   Owen R. Coté, Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom AFB, MA; and D. Wroblewski, J. Hacker, and R. J. Dobosy
	12:00 PM, Tuesday Session 1 Lunch Break (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms)
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday Joint Session 1 Joint Session with 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms and 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms and the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace)
1:30 PM J1.1 Thunderstorm initiation and evolution during IHOP: implications for aviation thunderstorm nowcasting   James W. Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Roberts 1:45 PM J1.2 Prediction of Fort Worth Tornadic Thunderstorms using 3DVAR and Cloud analysis with WSR-88D Level-II Data   Ming Hu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. Brewster, and J. Gao 2:00 PM J1.3 Hail detection during the Joint POLarization Experiment (JPOLE)   Pamela L. Heinselman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov 2:15 PM J1.4 Forecasting Convective Initiation by Monitoring the Evolution of Moving Cumulus in Daytime GOES Imagery   Kristopher M. Bedka, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski, S. J. Paech, T. Berendes, and U. S. Nair 2:30 PM J1.5 A new approach for mesoscale surface analysis: the space-time mesocale analysis system   Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, N. Wang, J. A. McGinley, P. A. Miller, and S. Albers 2:45 PM J1.6 A 13-km RUC AND BEYOND: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE PLANS   Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, K. Brundage, S. S. Weygandt, T. L. Smith, B. Schwartz, D. Dévényi, J. M. Brown, and G. A. Grell
	3:00 PM, Tuesday 1 Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 4 Turbulence and Wind Shear, Poster Session
P4.1 A Climatology of predicted turbulence and shear near Juneau, Alaska   Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. W. Wilson, R. K. Goodrich, S. A. Cohn, A. R. Weekley, C. S. Morse, and M. Pocernich   P4.2 Turbulence PIREPs in Juneau– An Analysis   Jamie T. Braid, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Fowler   P4.3 Aviation impacts of terrain-induced wind shear   F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich and S. G. Carson   P4.4 Field programs to investigate hazards to aviation in Juneau, Alaska   Stephen A. Cohn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Barron, A. Yates, A. R. Rodi, P. Neilley, A. Praskovsky, and L. Cornman   P4.5 An anemometer data quality control method designed for a turbulence and wind shear prediction algorithm   R. Andrew Weekley, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich, A. Praskovsky, and L. B. Cornman   P4.6 Aircraft-correlated turbulence measurements with the Doppler On Wheels   Steven Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Cohn and A. Praskovsky   P4.7 Juneau airport wind hazard alert system display products   Steven Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Morse, D. Garvey, R. Barron, D. Albo, and P. Prestopnik   P4.8 Use of a commercial wind sodar for measuring wake vortices   Stephen Mackey, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. C. Burnham and K. H. Underwood   P4.9 Measurement of eddy dissipation rate by a mini-sodar for aviation application: comparison with tower measurement   P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China   P4.10 Performance of eddy dissipation rate estimates from wind profilers in turbulence detection   P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and S. T. Chan   P4.11 Prototype automatic LIDAR-based wind shear detection algorithms   B.L. Choy, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong SAR, China; and O. S. M. Lee, C. M. Shun, and C. M. Cheng   P4.12 Performance of an airborne radar turbulence detection algorithm   Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, G. Meymaris, and B. Chorbajian   P4.13 Eddy Dissipation Rate Performance of the Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor During the 2003 Atlantic THORPEX Regional Campaign   Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Schaffner, C. A. Grainger, R. T. Neece, T. S. Daniels, and J. J. Murray   P4.14 Climatological study of aircraft turbulence versus cloud cover based on 3 years worth of data   Jamie K. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman   P4.15 Atmospheric turbulence and energy spectra in mesoscale models   Zavisa I. Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD   P4.16 Low Level Turbulence Algorithm Testing at-or-below 10,000 ft   Gordon R. Brooks, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and A. D. Oder   P4.17 An unbalanced flow/gravity wave trigger mechanism for clear air turbulence   Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO P4.18 Numerical simulations of the interaction between gravity waves and turbulence during ATReC   Todd P. Lane, NCAR / RAP, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, H. M. Hsu, and J. J. Murray   P4.19 Application of wavelet analysis techniques to the study of turbulence and gravity waves using aircraft data and mesoscale-model fields   Chungu Lu, NOAA/ FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. Koch and N. Wang   P4.20 Numerical simulations of a THORPEX clear-air-turbulence event   Hsiao-ming Hsu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, W. D. Hall, and J. J. Murray   P4.21 Pulsed Doppler Lidar for Terminal Area Monitoring of Wind and Wake Hazards   Stephen M. Hannon, Coherent Technologies Inc., Louisville, CO
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 5 Radar and Convection, Poster Session
P5.1 Case Study of )-6h Experimental and Operational Forecasts   Jesse Sparks, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and C. K. Mueller and S. B. Trier   P5.2 Correcting and enhancing AP mitigation within ORPG composite reflectivity products for FAA systems   Christopher W. Porter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   P5.3 Observations of winter storms with 2-D video disdrometer and polarimetric radar   Kyoko Ikeda, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. A. Brandes and G. Zhang   P5.4 WSR-88D reflectivity quality control using horizontal and vertical reflectivity structure   Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Wang and B. Clarke   P5.5 The use of the "Zdr column" signature in short-term thunderstorm forecasts   Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. T. Schlatter, D. J. Miller, and C. A. Whittier   P5.6 The Use of Radial Velocity Derivatives to Diagnose Rotation and Divergence   Travis M. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore   P5.7 The use of NWP data in polarimetric hydrometeor classification   Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan   P5.8 Polarimetric Method for Bright Band Detection   Scott Giangrande, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov   P5.9 Large-scale trending of radar data   Nancy Rehak, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Megenhardt and C. K. Mueller   P5.10 Hail Detection with Polarimetric Radar   Edward A. Brandes, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Ryzhkov V.   P5.11 Four-dimensional dynamic radar mosaic   Carrie Langston, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang and K. Howard   P5.12 Development of a Thunderstorm Algorithm from Very High Resolution AFWA MM5 Data   Gordon Brooks, AWS, Offutt AFB, NE; and M. J. Noehrenberg and D. I. Knapp   P5.13 Detection of Birds and Insects Using Polarimetric Radar Observation   Pengfei Zhang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov and D. Zrnic   P5.14 Convective significant meteorological advisory (SIGMET) climatology   Jonathan W. Slemmer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and S. R. Silberberg   P5.15 Calibration of the Polarimetric NEXRAD Radar Using Meteorological Signals   Scott Giangrande, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov, V. Melnikov, and J. Krause   P5.16 An automated algorithm for radar beam occultation   Carrie Langston, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang
	4:30 PM-6:15 PM, Tuesday Session 5 Radar and Convection
Organizers: Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT, Lexington, MA; Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Coffee Break and Poster Session   4:30 PM 5.1 Updates to the NCAR Auto-nowcaster for the 2004 convective weather season   Thomas R. Saxen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Mueller, J. Wilson, R. Roberts, E. Nelson, D. Ahijevych, and S. Trier 4:45 PM 5.2 NCWF-2 Probabilistic Forecasts   Daniel L. Megenhardt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Mueller, S. Trier, D. Ahijevych, and N. Rehak 5:00 PM 5.3 RUC model-based convective probability forecasts   Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin 5:15 PM 5.4 Improved Range-Velocity Ambiguity Mitigation for the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar   John Y. N. Cho, MIT, Lexington, MA; and N. G. Parker and G. R. Elkin 5:30 PM 5.5 An automated 2-D multi-pass velocity dealiasing scheme   Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. wang 5:45 PM 5.6 The AWRP's Advanced Weather Radar Product Development Team   Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. J. Kessinger, T. L. Schneider, and D. J. Smalley
	6:00 PM, Tuesday sessions end for the day
Wednesday, 6 October 2004
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Session 6 Space Launch and Range Support
Organizers: William H. Bauman, III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
8:00 AM 6.1 Designing Weather Support For Future Ranges—Results From The Advanced Range Technology Working Group Weather Subgroup   William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. T. Madura 8:30 AM 6.2 AEROSPACE METEOROLOGY LESSONS LEARNED RELATIVE TO AEROSPACE VEHICLE DESIGN AND OPERATIONS   William W. Vaughan, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and B. J. Anderson 8:45 AM 6.3 The Applied Meteorology Unit—operational contributions to Spaceport Canaveral   William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. P. Roeder, R. Lafosse, D. W. Sharp, and F. J. Merceret 9:00 AM 6.4 Terrestrial Environment (Climatic) Criteria Handbook For Use In Aerospace Vehicle Development   Dale L. Johnson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. W. Vaughan 9:15 AM 6.5 Effect of clouds on optical imaging of the Space Shuttle during the ascent phase: A statistical analysis based on a 3D model   David A. Short, ENSCO Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and R. E. Lane, Jr., K. A. Winters, and J. T. Madura 9:30 AM 6.6 Application of a coupled meteorological forecast and sound propagation model to forecast blast noise at the Aberdeen Test Center   Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu and C. A. Clough 9:45 AM 6.7 Improvements in AMPS Relative Humidity Processing   Dr. Richard Scarlet, Sippican, Inc., Marion, MA
	10:00 AM, Wednesday 1 Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday Session 7 Sensors and Observing Systems
Organizer: Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO
10:30 AM 7.1 Aviation Weather Observations Using Uninhabited Aerial Vehicles   John J. Murray, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and S. M. Green, M. Andrews, M. A. Shapiro, J. McCarthy, M. M. Cairns, R. S. Eckman, and M. A. Avery 10:45 AM 7.2 A model-data fusion technique to retrieve three-dimensional cloud distribution   Michael A. Kelly, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Laurel, MD; and P. J. McEvaddy, F. D. Bieker, and C. R. W. Evans 11:00 AM 7.3 A Characterization of Wind Flow in and around an Alter Shielded Snowgauge   Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Tryhane, R. M. Rasmussen, and J. Cole 11:15 AM 7.4 Operational use of total lightning information for weather and aviation at Dallas-Fort Worth Inc   Martin J. Murphy, Vaisala, Tucson, AZ; and R. L. Holle and N. W. S. Demetriades 11:30 AM 7.5 FAA test methods for Runway Visual Range visibility and ambient light sensors   Michael McKinney, FAA William J. Hughes Technical Center, Atlantic City, NJ; and D. C. Burnham, T. A. Seliga, J. Goslin, and S. Burnley 11:45 AM 7.6 Tropospheric Airborne Meterological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor Development   Taumi Daniels, NASA, Hampton, VA; and G. Tsoucalas, M. Anderson, D. J. Mulally, W. Moninger, and R. Mamrosh
	12:00 PM, Wednesday 1 Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-6:00 PM, Wednesday Session 8 Icing and Volcanic Ash
Organizers: Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
1:30 PM 8.1 A new Ground Ceicing Hazard Associated with Freezing Drizzle Ingestion by Jet Engines during taxi   Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. G. Wade, R. K. Moore, A. Davis, and D. Fleming 1:45 PM 8.2 Diagnosing and forecasting inflight icing environments using ADWICE   Christoph Leifeld, German Weather Service, Business Unit Aviation, Offenbach, Germany 2:00 PM 8.3 An evaluation of the performance of the Current Icing Potential at high altitudes   Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Wolff, R. E. Bateman, and B. C. Bernstein 2:15 PM 8.4 Scales of aircraft icing: a comparison of icing PIREPs to liquid water measurements from research aircraft   Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein 2:30 PM 8.5 Large versus small droplet icing   Donald McCann, NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO 2:45 PM 8.6 DIAGNOSIS OF SUPERCOOLED LARGE DROP CONDITIONS USING CLOUD WATER CONTENT AND DROP CONCENTRATION   Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough, C. A. Wolff, M. K. Politovich, R. M. Rasmussen, and S. G. Cober 3:00 PM Coffee Break and Poster Session   4:30 PM 8.8 Detection of in-flight icing conditions through the analysis of hydrometeors with a vertically pointing radar   Jennifer Lilly, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and F. Fabry 4:45 PM 8.9 Evaluation of satellite and radar cloud retrieval methods during IMPROVE-2 icing events   Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and D. Serke 5:00 PM 8.10 Benchmarking In-Flight Icing Detection Products for Future Upgrades   M. K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Minnis, D. B. Johnson, C. A. Wolff, M. Chapman, P. W. Heck, and J. A. Haggerty 5:15 PM 8.11 Toward a three-dimensional near-real time cloud product for aviation safety and weather diagnoses   Patrick Minnis, NASA/LRC, Hampton, Va; and L. Nguyen, R. Palikonda, D. Spangenberg, M. L. Nordeen, and Y. H. Yi 5:30 PM 8.12 Volcanic ash coordination tool: progress and plans   Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA Research - FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. S. Chun, J. T. Frimel, L. Gifford, and G. Pratt 5:45 PM 8.13 A first look at volcanic ash detection in the GOES-12 era   Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and A. J. Schreiner
	3:00 PM, Wednesday 1 Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 6 Icing and Volcanic Ash, Poster Session
P6.1 Two Perspectives on a Colorado Icing Event: GRIDS and CIP   Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Schneider and M. K. Politovich   P6.2 The NASA Icing Remote Sensing System   Andrew L. Reehorst, NASA Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, OH; and D. J. Brinker, T. P. Ratvasky, C. C. Ryerson, and G. G. Koenig   P6.3 The CIP inflight icing severity algorithm   Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough and B. C. Bernstein   P6.4 Temperature effects on vibrating-wire precipitation gauge   Jeffrey A. Cole, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt and C. E. Duchon   P6.5 SIGMA : System of Icing Geographic identification in Meteorology for Aviation   Christine Le Bot, Météo-France, Toulouse, France   P6.6 Radar/radiometer combination to retrieve cloud characteristics for icing detection   Guifu Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and M. K. Politovich   P6.7 On the use of 1-min ASOS data to predict the onset of snow   Steven Vasiloff, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and B. Clarke   P6.8 'ICECAP': A GOES image product depicting aircraft icing potential and maximum icing altitude   Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Bailey   P6.9 Freezing Drizzle Formation Over The Oregon Cascades during IMPROVE II   Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda, G. Thompson, and I. Geresdi   P6.10 Comparison of satellite and aircraft measurements of cloud microphysical properties in icing conditions during ATReC/AIRS-II   Louis Nguyen, NASA/LRC, Hampton, Va; and P. Minnis, D. A. Spangenberg, M. L. Nordeen, R. Palikonda, M. M. Khaiyer, T. S. Daniels, I. Gultepe, and A. L. Reehorst   P6.11 Comparison of balloonsonde and remote sensing atmospheric measurements   David J. Brinker, NASA Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, OH; and A. Reehorst and J. Power   P6.12 Climatology of icing areas derived from ERA40 analysis   Christine Le Bot, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and P. Lassegues   P6.13 An overview of ground-based remote sensing during AIRS-2 and WISP-04, using the NOAA GRIDS system   Timothy L. Schneider, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and B. Bartram, C. Campbell, J. Gibson, D. Hazen, S. Matrosov, and R. F. Reinking   P6.14 Advances in the provision of warnings for volcanic ash for aviation in the Australian region   Rodney Potts, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. Manickam   P6.15 A case study of a Great Lakes supercooled large droplet icing cloud   Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein
	3:00 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 7 Space Launch and Range Support, Poster Session
P7.1 Weather Support For The Cassini Mission To Saturn   Billie F. Boyd, U.S. Air Force/45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. W. Weems and W. P. Roeder   P7.2 Tropospheric wind monitoring during day-of-launch operations for National Aeronautics and Space Adminstration's Space Shuttle Program   Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Leach   P7.3 The Weather Safety Education Program at 45th Weather Squadron   William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. S. Jones, D. W. Oien, and J. T. Madura   P7.4 Processing and display of atmospheric electricity data to support launch operations at the Eastern Range   Joseph S. Wakefield, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and P. A. McDonald, M. Schultz, X. Jing, and J. E. Ramer   P7.5 Extreme meteorological parameters during Space Shuttle pad exposure periods   B. G. Overbey, Raytheon, Huntsville, AL; and B. C. Roberts   P7.6 A Meso-Climatology Study of the High-Resolution Tower Network over the Florida Spaceport   Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. H. Bauman   P7.7 A climatological study of cloud to ground lightning strikes in the vicinity of Kennedy Space Center, Florida   K. Lee Burns, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. K. Decker
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 8 Sensors and Observing Systems, Poster Session
P8.1 Contrail coverage over the USA from NOAA and EOS Satellite Data   Rabindra Palikonda, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis and D. P. Duda   P8.2 Validation of Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Temperature, Relative Humidity, and Wind Sensors During the 2003 Atlantic THORPEX Regional Campaign and the Alliance Icing Research Study (AIRS II)   Taumi S. Daniels, NASA, Hampton, VA; and J. J. Murray, C. A. Grainger, D. K. Zhou, M. A. Avery, M. F. Cagle, G. Tsoucalas, P. Schaffner, and R. T. Neece   P8.3 A review of Solar-Powered aircraft flight activity at the Pacific Missile Range Test Facility, Kauai, Hawaii   L. J. Ehernberger, NASA/Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA; and C. Donohue and E. H. Teets   P8.4 The Otis Weather Test Facility at Otis ANGB, Falmouth, MA: An aviation weather resource   Thomas A Seliga, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen   P8.5 The 2003 Alliance Icing Research Study (AIRS II) Evaluation of Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Icing Sensor   John J. Murray, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and C. A. Grainger, P. Minnis, L. Nguyen, C. A. Wolff, and P. Schaffner   P8.6 TAMDAR, the Rapid Update Cycle, and the Great Lakes Fleet Experiment   William R. Moninger, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and T. S. Daniels, R. Mamrosh, M. F. Barth, S. G. Benjamin, R. S. Collander, L. Ewy, B. D. Jamison, R. C. Lipschutz, P. A. Miller, B. E. Schwartz, T. L. Smith, and E. J. Szoke   P8.7 Satellite derived cloud products for use in aviation safety applications   Sarah M. Thomas, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz, M. J. Pavolonis, A. J. Schreiner, and D. Santek   P8.8 Satellite Applications for Detection of Atmospheric Turbulence Related to Tropopause Folding   Anthony J. Wimmers, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. Schmidt, W. Feltz, and J. R. Mecikalski   P8.9 Relating satellite-based contrail detection to NWA output   David P. Duda, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and R. Palikonda and P. Minnis   P8.10 Radiation Measuring Radiosonde   Dr. Richard Scarlet, Sippican, Inc., Marion, MA   P8.11 Low -altitude wind conditions on Helios flight days at Kauai, HI"   Casey Donohue, AS&M, Inc., Edwards, CA; and L. J. Ehernberger, E. H. Teets, and R. Sharman   P8.12 Global lightning and severe storm monitoring from GPS orbit   David M. Suszcynsky, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and .. A. R. Jacobson, J. Linford, M. B. Pongratz, T. E. Light, and X. Shao   P8.13 Contrail studies and forecasts in the subarctic atmosphere above Fairbanks, Alaska   Martin Stuefer, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Wendler   P8.14 A CASE STUDY OF THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE RETRIEVAL USING A MICROWAVE RADIOMETER AT VERTICAL AND OFF-VERTICAL INCIDENCE   Scott D. Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Tardif and P. H. Herzegh   P8.15 A Method of Estimating Snow Accumulation on ASOS using 1-Minute Observations   Charles G. Wade, NCAR, Boulder, CO   P8.16 A comparison of two versions of the Aviation Digital Data Service pilot report decoder   Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and T. L. Fowler
	6:00 PM, Wednesday sessions end for the day
	7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday Banquet - Hyline Dinner Cruise
Thursday, 7 October 2004
	7:00 AM, Thursday 1 Thur 7 October
	8:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Session 9 Modeling and Verification
Organizers: Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; Jennifer L. Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL
8:00 AM 9.1 Preliminary results of WRF model performance as a step towards the NCEP Rapid Refresh cycle   Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown and S. G. Benjamin 8:15 AM 9.2 The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product   Michael P. Kay, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/SFL, Boulder, CO 8:30 AM 9.3 Current Icing Potential (CIP) severity index   Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, B. G. Brown, and J. L. Mahoney 8:45 AM 9.4 New verification approaches for convective weather forecasts   Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Bullock, C. A. Davis, J. H. Gotway, M. Chapman, A. Takacs, E. Gilleland, J. L. Mahoney, and K. Manning 9:00 AM 9.5 Hierarchy of microphysical parameterizations suitable for cloud and mesoscale forecast models   William D. Hall, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and G. Thompson 9:15 AM 9.6 Explicit model forecasts of supercooled water and application to icing case studies from research field campaigns   Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and I. Geresdi 9:30 AM 9.7 Development of NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model within WRF: Description and forecast guidance   Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle, Z. Janjic, and H. Y. Chuang 9:45 AM 9.8 Defining observation fields for verification of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP): Part 2   Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Seseske, J. E. Hart, M. P. Kay, and B. G. Brown 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM 9.10 Numerical simulations of the wake of Kauai with implications for the Helios flights   T. P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, R. G. Frehlich, J. M. Brown, J. T. Madura, and L. J. Ehernberger 10:45 AM 9.11 Aviation forecast products using the 10-km meso-scale model (MSM)   Jun Ryuzaki, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamada, S. I. Takada, A. Kudo, and K. Niimi 11:00 AM 9.12 AUTOTREND – Automated guidance for short-term aviation weather forecasts   Albert J.M. Jacobs, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; and N. Maat 11:15 AM 9.13 Assimilation of METAR cloud and visibility observations in the RUC   Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, W. R. Moninger, B. Schwartz, E. J. Szoke, and K. Brundage 11:30 AM 9.14 An Experiment to Measure the Value of Statistical Probability Forecasts for Aerodromes   Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and S. M. Leyton 11:45 AM 9.15 An introduction to NCEP SREF aviation project   Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, G. Dimego, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, Z. Toth, H. Juang, M. Hart, J. Han, and J. Du
	10:00 AM, Thursday 1 Coffee Break
	12:00 PM, Thursday 1 Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday Session 10 Ceiling and Visibility
Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC, Lyons, CO; Wes Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 10.1 Automated analysis and forecast Techniques for ceiling and visibility on the national scale   Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. M. Wiener, R. Bankert, R. Bateman, B. Chorbajian, and M. Tryhane 1:45 PM 10.2 An operational Marine Stratus forecast system for San Francisco Intrenational Airport   F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:00 PM 10.3 Alaska ceiling and visibility (c&v) users needs assessment Alaska Pilot Study   Cynthia Grzywinski, Raytheon Technical Service Co., Atlantic City, NJ; and D. L. Sims 2:15 PM 10.4 Federal Aviation Administration requirements for Runway Visual Range (RVR) visibility and ambient light sensors   Stephen Burnley, FAA, Washington, DC; and M. McKinney, T. A. Seliga, D. C. Burnham, and J. Goslin 2:30 PM 10.5 First observations of fog and low ceiling environments at the FAA northeast ceiling and visibility field site   Robert Tardif, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. A. Cole, P. H. Herzegh, S. D. Landolt, R. M. Rasmussen, and M. L. Tryhane 2:45 PM 10.6 Short-term forecasting of airport surface visibility using radar and ASOS   Michael Dixon, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado; and R. M. Rasmussen and S. Landolt
	3:00 PM, Thursday 1 Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 10 Ceiling and Visibility, Poster Session
P10.1 Utilizing site-based data mining in national ceiling and visibility forecasting   Gerry Wiener, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, R. E. Bateman, and B. Chorbajian   P10.2 On the impact of vertical resolution in the numerical forecasting of fog   Robert Tardif, NCAR, Boulder, CO   P10.3 Homogeneity properties of runway visibility in fog at Chicago O’Hare International Airport (ORD)   Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen and S. Burnley   P10.4 Environmental conditions associated with dense fog at Peoria Illinois   Nancy Westcott, Illinois State Water Survey and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, Illinois P10.5 Digital Ceiling and Visibility Forecasts for Naval Operations in Southern California Coastal Waters   Rodney Paul Jacques, Naval Pacific Meteorology and Oceanography Center - San Diego, San Diego, CA; and D. A. Geiszler   P10.6 Characterizing fog occurrences in the northeastern United States using historical data   Robert Tardif, CNRM, Toulouse, France   P10.7 An Improved Fuzzy Logic System For Automated Short Term Aviation Weather Forecasts   Tom Hicks, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL   P10.8 An analysis of Eta model forecast soundings in radiation fog forecasting   Steven A. Amburn, NWS, Tulsa, OK
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 9 Modelling and Verification, Poster Session
P9.1 The transition from the MM5 to the WRF Model in NCAR's Four-Dimensional Weather System (4DWX)   Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Hacker   P9.2 Stratiform Precipitation Rates and Resulting Surface Visbility Forecasts using the MM5   Jeffrey E. Passner, U. S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM   P9.3 Real-time analysis and short-term forecasting of snowbands using a mesoscale model   Mei Xu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. A. Crook, Y. Liu, and R. Rasmussen   P9.4 Short-term Aviation Climate Prediction Study and Some Preliminary Results around China   Hanjie Wang, Key Laboratory of Environment-climate Research in Temperate East Asia, Beijing, China; and L. Ying and J. Zhang   P9.5 Global Meteorology on Demand (GMOD): A real-time, global-relocatable, multiscale four-dimensional data assimilation and forecast system for regional and local weather applications   Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Warner, S. Swerdlin, L. Carson, C. Davis, M. Xu, F. C. Vandenberghe, A. Bourgeois, R. S. Sheu, and D. Rife   P9.6 Evaluation of the oceanic cloud-top height diagnostic product; Part II: Comparison with the NESDIS cloud-top pressure product   Sean Madine, NOAA/FSL, and CIRA/Colorado State University, Boulder, CO; and A. Takacs, M. P. Kay, J. Mahoney, and B. G. Brown   P9.7 Evaluation of the oceanic cloud-top height diagnostic product: strategy of the verification methodology   Agnes Takacs, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, R. Hueftle, L. D. Holland, S. Madine, J. L. Mahoney, and M. Kay   P9.8 EMC modeling efforts to assist aviation forecasting   Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and B. S. Ferrier, Y. Lin, J. T. McQueen, J. Du, B. Zhou, and G. J. DiMego
	4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday Session 11 Aviation Accident and Incident Reviews
Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC, Lyons, CO; Wes Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:30 PM 11.1 Weather-related aviation accident investigations at the National Transportation Safety Board   James T. Skeen Jr., National Transportation Safety Board, Washington, DC; and S. L. Reed 4:45 PM 11.2 A Statistical Review of Aviation Airframe Icing Accidents in the U.S   Kevin R. Petty, National Transportation Safety Board, Washington, DC; and C. D. J. Floyd 5:00 PM 11.3 Commercial Aviation Encounters with Severe Low Altitude Turbulence   Paul E. Bieringer, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. Martin, B. Collins, and J. Shaw 5:15 PM 11.4 Gravity wave turbulence generated by convection over the Bahamas on 17 January 1996   Lee E. Branscome, Climatological Consulting Corporation, Palm Beach Gardens, FL; and M. N. Campbell
	5:30 PM, Thursday Conference Ends

Browse the complete program of The 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms