Session 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability


Session
A Review of Subseasonal Convective Variability: Progress, Challenges, and Paths Forward
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Sources of MJO and S2S Predictability: A Conundrum
Chidong Zhang, NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA


AI Advances in Tropical Meteorology: Tropical Cyclones, Sub-seasonal Phenomena, and More
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability )
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Formation Mechanism of TC Secondary Eyewall by Numerical Experiments: Role of Dry Air Inflow from the Middle and Upper Troposphere and Cooling by Evaporation and Sublimation
Kyohei Kasami, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa-shi, Japan; and M. Satoh

12:00 AM
Tropical Surface Analysis Using Deep Learning
Will Downs, University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, Miami, FL; and S. Majumdar and A. D. Mahoney

12:00 AM
Evaluation of Typhoon Forecasts Using the Pangu-Weather Neural Network Model: A Comparative Analysis with ECMWF and Other Numerical Prediction Models
Yuanfu na Xie, Shenzhen Institute of Meteorological Innovation, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China; and Z. Qin, Y. Wu, N. Wu, J. chen, X. Xu, F. Zheng, and H. Zhang

12:00 AM
Improving Ensemble Model Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Using Machine Learning
Nikita Agrawal, Whitney M. Young Magnet High School, Chicago, IL; and B. A. Colle

12:00 AM
Exploring Tropical Cyclone Structure and Evolution with AI-based Synthetic Passive Microwave Data
Marie McGraw, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Haynes, K. D. Musgrave, I. Ebert-Uphoff, C. Slocum, and J. Knaff

12:00 AM
A Spatially-Aware North Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis Index Using Machine Learning
Alex Alvin Cheung, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. J. Molina and S. J. Camargo

12:00 AM
Inference-based retrieval of inner-core tropical cyclone surface winds from satellite-based microwave imagers and sounders
Anthony J. Wimmers, CIMSS, Univ. of Wisconsin−Madison, Madison, WI; and S. Griffin, D. C. Herndon, and C. Velden

12:00 AM
Machine Learning Quality Control of Lightning Data for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
Kyle A. Hilburn, ; and S. N. Stevenson, K. Musgrave, and B. C. Trabing

12:00 AM
Causal Feature Selection for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
Tom Georges Beucler, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, VD, Switzerland; and S. G. SUDHEESH, F. I. H. Tam, M. S. Gomez Jr., M. McGraw, M. DeMaria, K. Musgrave, A. Gerhardus, and J. Runge

12:00 AM
Development of a Machine Learning-based Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Scheme over the western North Pacific
You-Hyun Baek, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si, 49, South korea; and H. Lee, J. R. Lee, S. Won, and S. H. Kim


Session
Air-Sea Interactions and Tropical Convection
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Estimation of Convective Downdraft Mass Flux and its Contribution to Boundary-layer Moist Static Energy Buget over the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool Using Shipborne Observational Data
Satoru Yokoi, JAMSTEC, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Katsumata, Q. Moteki, and K. Yoneyama

12:00 AM
The Impact of wind-driven ocean circulation variability on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Kelvin Waves
Henry Goff, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Larson and A. Aiyyer


Session
Celebrating 50 years of GATE
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Field Campaigns From the Indian Ocean through the Maritime Continent - A Part of Global Equatorial Circulation -
Kunio Yoneyama, JAMSTEC, Yokosuka, Japan; and C. Zhang

12:00 AM
Radar Observations of Tropical Convection in GATE, TOGA-COARE, and DYNAMO
Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA


Session
Extreme weather and intraseasonal waves
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

Session
Interactions Between the Stratosphere and Tropical Convection
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
QBO-MJO interactions in E3SM with enhanced vertical resolution
Xiaoming Sun, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; LANL, WHITE ROCK, NM; and J. J. Benedict, K. Huang, W. Hannah, C. C. Chen, and J. H. Richter


Monsoon Dynamics: Variability, Change and Impacts
Hosts: (Joint between the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability )
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Causes of the Diverse Impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian Summer Monsoon: Emphasis on Physical Processes
Song Yang, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, Guangdong, China; and S. lin and B. Dong


Session
Numerical Modeling of the MJO and Subseasonal Convection
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Impacts of the Pacific SST Anomaly on the Subseasonal to Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity: Case Study of the 2018 Boreal Summer
Tomoe Nasuno, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan; JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan; and M. Nakano, Y. Yamada, K. Kikuchi, and H. Murakami


Session
Other Topics in Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
MJO in Different Orbital Regimes: Role of the Mean State on the MJO's Amplitude during Boreal Winter
Stephanie S. Rushley, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and D. kang, D. Kim, S. I. An, and T. Wang

12:00 AM
Resolving chaos in Madden-Julian oscillation
Guosen Chen, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China

12:00 AM
Role of topography and diurnal cycle of insolation on the MJO in the Maritime Continent
Xin Zhou, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. Ray, J. Dudhia, N. Johnson, and E. Nikolopoulos

12:00 AM
Mechanisms behind Sub-seasonal Rainfall variabilities of Indian Monsoon
Sujatra Bhattacharyya, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, KA, India; and A. Chakraborty

12:00 AM
A New Paradigm for Active-Break Cycle in the Indian Summer Monsoon
V. Krishnamurthy, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and J. Shukla


Session
Research-to-Operations: The MJO and Subseasonal Variability
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Advancements in the Global Tropics Hazards Outlook at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
Lindsey N. Long, CPC, College Park, MD; and N. Novella and J. Gottschalck


Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Climate Predictability, Prediction, and Applications
Hosts: (Joint between the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability )
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Summer Large-Scale Surface Air Temperature Bias Pattern over the CONUS in UFS Prototype 8
Nakbin Choi, George Mason Univercity, Fairfax, VA; and C. Stan

12:00 AM
Suppressing Non-ENSO forcing with ensemble mean
Priyanshi Singhai, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, KA, India; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Chakraborty, K. Jana, K. Rajendran, S. Surendran, and K. Pegion

12:00 AM
Diagnostic metrics for evaluating sub-seasonal predictions based on Arctic-midlatitude teleconnection
Ha-Rim Kim, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, South korea; and J. H. Sim and B. M. Kim


Tropical Convective Variability and Climate Change
Hosts: (Joint between the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
The Effect of SST Pattern Change on Future MJO Activity
Amanda Bowden, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

12:00 AM
Environmental Moisture Influence on African Mesoscale Convective Systems
Stephanie M. Ortiz Rosario, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR; and K. M. Nunez Ocasio, Z. Moon, and C. Davis


Session
Tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean Observing Needs and Prospects
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

Session
Tropical Waves, Dynamics, and Intraseasonal Variability
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Different flavors of horizontal moisture advection influence equatorial Rossby wave and MJO propagation over the west Pacific Ocean
Alex Omar Gonzalez, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA

12:00 AM
Effects of ISO Propagation Routes on Summertime Submonthly Wave Patterns and TC Durations over the East Asian Monsoon Region
Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan

12:00 AM
Vertical Structure of Moisture and Temperature Advection of Kelvin Waves Propagating Through Different Phases of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Crizzia Mielle De Castro, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy

12:00 AM
The Relationship Between Convectively Coupled Tropical Waves and the East Pacific ITCZ
Fouzia Fahrin, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and A. O. Gonzalez, B. Chrisler, and J. P. Stachnik

12:00 AM
ENSO Modulation of 10-30-day and 30-60-day Intraseasonal Oscillation and the associated rainfall events
June-Yi Lee, IBS Center for Climate Science, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); Research Center for Climate Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. Y. Lee, Y. M. Yang, P. C. Hsu, and A. Y. Lim


Session
Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and MJO Teleconnections
Host: 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023
12:00 AM
Local and remote sources of error in MJO forecasts in the Navy ESPC
Stephanie S. Rushley, Naval Research Laboratory, MONTEREY, CA; and M. Janiga and C. A. Reynolds

12:00 AM
MJO Teleconnections to the Southern Hemisphere During El Niño, La Niña, and Neutral Years
Raina Roy, Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

12:00 AM
Investigation of the Rossby Wave Source components: Implications for the Predictability of the MJO and a New Pathway of the Influence of Mid-Latitude Transients
David M. Straus, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA