Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology joint with the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team (23-25 October 2007)

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Monday, 22 October 2007

3:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 22 October 2007


Registration Begins
Location: Shore Acres (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

Tuesday, 23 October 2007

7:30 AM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Registration continues through 25 October
Location: Shore Acres (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Joint Session 1
Symposium Welcome and Northeast Fire Perspectives
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology; and the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team )
Chair: Timothy J. Brown, DRI

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Welcoming Remarks-Timothy Brown, DRI, Reno, NV

  9:10 AM
Welcoming Remarks-Tom Parent, Northeast Fire Protection Compact, China Village, ME

  9:15 AM
Background of the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact
Tom Parent, Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact, China Village, ME

  9:25 AM
  9:35 AM
Use of Fire Science in the Eastern Canadian Provinces
Timothy Greer, Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact, Fredericton, NB, Canada

  9:45 AM
Fire Weather Services for the Northeastern Compact Area
Eric C. Evenson, NOAA/NWS, South Burlington, VT

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Coffee Break
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Joint Session 2
Application of Weather and Climate Science to the Management of Wildland Fire
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology; and the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team )
Chair: Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service

Papers:
  10:30 AM
BehavePlus fire modeling system: past, present, and future
Patricia L. Andrews, US Forest Service Research, Missoula, MT

  10:45 AM
OK-FIRE: A weather-based decision support system for wildland fire managers in Oklahoma
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK; and R. Jabrzemski, S. Blackburn, and J. M. Wolfinbarger

  11:00 AM
  11:15 AM
  11:30 AM
The BlueSky smoke modeling framework: current status and ongoing development
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and D. Sullivan, D. Pryden, S. Raffuse, R. Solomon, L. Chinkin, and C. Ovard

  11:45 AM
Assessment of New Hampshire red flag criteria
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and J. Kennedy

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


1
Impacts of Weather and Climate on Wildfire
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Valerie M. L. Trouet, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
1.1
Climate and predictability of Alaskan wildfires
Peter Bieniek, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and M. Shulski and G. Wendler

  1:45 PM
1.2
Correlation between wildfire statistical datas, weather parameters, and climate
Michel L. Bernard, Université de provence, Marseille, France; and L. G. Bernard

  2:00 PM
1.3
Weather seasonality and pattern of thermochemical properties in Mediterranean vegetation
Grazia Pellizzaro, CNR - Institute of Biometeorology, Sassari, Italy; and C. Cesaraccio, P. Duce, A. Ventura, and P. Zara

  2:15 PM
1.4
Determination of weather parameters used to predict fire behavior and growth
Laurie L. Kurth, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and C. McHugh and L. T. Hollingsworth

  2:30 PM
1.5
Predictability of sea surface temperatures for fire danger
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and J. R. Banta and B. L. Hall

  2:45 PM
1.6
Multi-decadal variability of fire weather and fire extent in northern California and Oregon
Valerie M. L. Trouet, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland; and A. H. Taylor, A. M. Carleton, and C. N. Skinner

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Coffee Break
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


2
Climate Change
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Beth L. Hall, DRI

Papers:
  3:30 PM
2.1
Recent large-scale forest fires in boreal forests and climate change -Discussion based on weather data in Alaska and Sakha-
Hiroshi Hayasaka, Hokkaido Univ., Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan; and M. Fukuda, K. Kushida, R. Jandt, and F. Alexander

http://hyuriqudvcyo.com/

  3:45 PM
2.2
  4:00 PM
2.3
Forest fire emissions under climate change: impacts on air quality
Anabela Carvalho, Univ. of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal; and A. Monteiro, M. D. Flannigan, V. Martins, A. I. Miranda, and C. Borrego

  4:15 PM
2.4
Effects of climate change on forest fires over North America and impact on U.S. air quality and visibility
Rynda C. Hudman, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and D. V. Spracklen, J. A. Logan, L. J. Mickley, R. M. Yevich, M. D. Flannigan, and A. L. Westerling

  4:30 PM
2.5
Impacts of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest
M.D. Flannigan, Canadian Forest Service, Sault Ste Marie, Ontario, Canada; and B. J. Stocks, M. Turetsky, and B. M. Wotton

  4:45 PM
2.6
Future climate and the Haines Index as simulated by the NCAR CCSM3.0 general circulation model
Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. A. Winkler, H. Prawiranata, K. Piromsopa, and X. Bian

  5:00 PM
2.7
Assessing climate change and fire danger
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and W. M. Jolly and B. L. Hall

5:15 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


3
Poster Introductions
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Presider: Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 23 October 2007


Poster Session 1
Formal Poster Reviewing with Icebreaker Reception
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
 
Large forest fires in Canada and the relationship to global sea surface temperatures
Walter Skinner, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and A. Shabbar, M. Flannigan, and K. Logan

 
A bio-geophysical model of Net Primary Productivity from the climatologic chart concept
Michel L. Bernard, Université de provence, Marseille, France; and L. G. Bernard

 
The impact of climate change on fire weather as predicted by a regional climate model
Xindi Bian, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and B. Potter, H. Prawiranata, K. Piromsopa, and J. A. Winkler

 
Regional Climate Change Impact on Fire Regimes in Midwest and Eastern United States
Xindi Bian, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and W. E. Heilman, S. Zhong, and J. A. Winkler

 
West Texas Mesonet observations in proximity to a dangerous wildfire and wind shift interactions
Kenneth R. Widelski, NOAA/NWS, Lubbock, TX; and T. T. Lindley

 
Fire intensity in moderate drought conditions: effect on topsoil properties in Mediterranean shrubland vegetation
Annalisa Canu, Institute of Biometeorology, Sassari, Italy; and B. Arca, G. Ghiglieri Sr., D. Pittalis, M. Deroma, A. Ventura, and A. Arca

Poster PDF (87.1 kB)
 
Application of climatologic chart concepts to a new classification of climates and to climatic change studies
Michel L. Bernard, Université de provence, Marseille, France; and L. G. Bernard

 
Moisture measures and their correlations with wildland fire in the Lake States
Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. J. Charney

 
Use of FARSITE simulator to produce fire probability maps in a Mediterranean area
Bachisio Arca, National Research Council of Italy, Sassari, Italy; and V. Bacciu, P. Duce, G. Pellizzaro, M. Salis, and D. Spano

Poster PDF (534.3 kB)
 
Forest fires detected by using doppler weather radar
Kehui Huang, Wenzhou Meteorological Bureau, Wenzhou City, Zhejiang, China; and F. Gu, F. Zhao, J. Zhu, B. Zhou, H. Xie, and J. Zhong

 
A journey down under: Operational fire weather forecasting exchange for the 2006-2007 fire season
Heath Hockenberry, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID; and R. Hicks and R. Ochoa

 
A review of 2006 fire weather support – A record year
Larry Van Bussum, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID; and R. Lamoni

 
Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications
Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown

 
Climate in the context of Wildland Fire Use: Windows of opportunity
Crystal A. Kolden, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown

 
Stereo Photo Series for Quantifying Natural Fuels Volume VIII: Hardwood, Pitch Pine, and Red Spruce/Balsam Fir Types in the Northeastern United States
Clinton S. Wright, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA; and R. D. Ottmar and R. E. Vihnanek

Wednesday, 24 October 2007

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


4
Field Studies
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Randall P. Benson, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology

Papers:
  8:45 AM
4.2
Rapid Response Field Observations in Support of Improving BlueSky Smoke Predictions
Candace Krull, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and M. Rorig, S. Larkin, and R. Solomon

  9:00 AM
4.3
An overview of the FireFlux experiment
Craig B. Clements, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA

  9:15 AM
4.4
Plume moisture enhancement observed during FireFlux
Caroline Kiefer, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and C. B. Clements and B. Potter

  9:30 AM
4.5
Turbulent kinetic energy and fire-induced winds observed during FireFlux
Craig B. Clements, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and S. Zhong, W. E. Heilman, X. Bian, and S. L. Goodrick

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


Coffee Break
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


5
Improvements to Fire Danger and Fire Behavior Systems I
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  10:45 AM
5.3
Fire behavior and fire danger systems—the evolution continues
Patricia L. Andrews, US Forest Service Research, Missoula, MT

  11:00 AM
5.4
Assessment of an integrated fire rating index for Sardinia, Italy
Costantino Sirca, Univ. of Sassari, Sassari, Italy; and D. Spano and P. Duce

  11:15 AM
5.5
  11:30 AM
5.6
OPERATIONAL FOREST FIRE-GROWTH PREDICTIONS FOR CANADA
Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield and J. Little

11:45 AM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


Luncheon with Guest Speaker Deb Dyer
Location: Kebo (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Speaker: Deb Dyer, Bar Harbor Historical Society

Papers:
  11:45 AM
1
The Fire of '47
Deb Dyer, Bar Harbor Historical Society, Bar Harbor, ME

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


6
Smoke Management and Air Quality
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Narasimhan K. ("Sim") Larkin, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  1:15 PM
6.1
Real-time smoke prediction systems
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA

  1:30 PM
6.2
Modeling the air quality effects of the 2007 south Georgia wildfires with SHRMC-4S
Yongqiang Liu, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA; and S. L. Goodrick, G. L. Achtemeier, J. Qu, and L. Naeher

  1:45 PM
6.3
Spatial/temporal characteristics of air quality prediction errors in the Bluesky modeling framework
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and K. S. Lii and S. Chen

  2:00 PM
6.4
Reconcilation of satellite detected and ground reported fire information
Sean Raffuse, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA; and N. Larkin, A. Soja, R. Solomon, D. Sullivan, and L. Chinkin

  2:30 PM
6.6
Automated verification of the BlueSky smoke modeling framework
Robert Solomon, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. O'Neill and J. Vaughan

  2:45 PM
6.7
The 2003 fire season in Portugal: impacts on air quality
Ana Isabel Miranda, Univ. of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal; and A. Monteiro, V. Martins, A. Carvalho, and C. Borrego

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


Coffee Break
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 24 October 2007


7
Fire-Atmosphere Interactions and Coupled Modeling
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Scott L. Goodrick, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  3:30 PM
7.1
  4:00 PM
7.3
Effect of Vertical Wind Shear on the Grassfire Evolution
Mary Ann Jenkins, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Sun, S. K. Krueger, J. J. Charney, and M. A. Zulauf

  4:15 PM
7.4
 
7.5
Applying FIRETEC to real world wildfire scenarios

 
7.6
Influence of wind variations and fluctuations on fire behavior in FIRETEC simulations

  5:00 PM
7.7
The dynamics of fire interactions: Simulations of multiple fire lines using FIRETEC
Brandon S. Daly, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and P. Cunningham, J. K. Hiers, R. R. Linn, and J. A. Sauer

  5:15 PM
7.8
Modeling buoyant plumes: Fundamentals and applications
Philip Cunningham, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. L. Goodrick and M. J. Reeder

Thursday, 25 October 2007

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


8
Fire Behavior, Spread and Emissions Impacts
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  8:30 AM
8.1
  8:45 AM
8.2
Using high-resolution weather data to predict fire spread using the FARSITE simulator—a case study in California chaparral
David R. Weise, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and S. C. Chen, P. J. Riggan, C. Jones, B. W. Butler, and F. M. Fujioka

  9:15 AM
8.4
Determining carbon emissions from Siberian fires using the Canadian and Russian Fire Danger Rating Systems
Douglas J. McRae, Canadian Forest Service, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada; and J. Z. Jin, Y. Q. Yang, S. P. Baker, S. G. Conard, B. J. Stocks, and A. I. Sukhinin

  9:30 AM
8.5
Mercury emissions and dispersion from the 2007 south Georgia wildfires
Scott L. Goodrick, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA; and Y. Liu, R. J. DiCosty, M. A. Callaham, and J. A. Stanturf

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


Coffee Break
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

10:30 AM-11:45 AM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


9
Improvements to Fire Danger and Fire Behavior Systems II
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University

Papers:
  10:30 AM
9.1
A model for estimating evapotranspiration of natural ecosystems
R. L. Snyder, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and D. Spano, C. Sirca, V. Bacciu, and P. Duce

  10:45 AM
9.2
A model to predict red flag warning days
Randall P. Benson, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and G. W. Carbin

  11:00 AM
9.3
Spatial/temporal analysis of fire spread modeling errors
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and C. Jones and P. J. Riggan

  11:30 AM
9.5
Stochastic modeling of fire at daily time steps from mesoscale meteorology
Donald McKenzie, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and N. Larkin, S. O'Neill, R. Norheim, and J. S. Littel

11:45 AM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


Lunch Break

1:15 PM-2:45 PM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


10
Forecasting
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Rick Ochoa, National Interagency Fire Center

Papers:
  1:15 PM
Fire Danger Applications of NCEP's Downscaled CFS Forecasts
J. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and P. Tripp, H. M. H. Juang, J. Wang, S. Chen, and F. Fujioka

 
10.2
Critical fire weather events during the Australian summer fires of 2006-7

  2:15 PM
A meteorological composite of the 2005/06 wildfire outbreaks in the Southern Plains
T. Todd Lindley, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Guyer, G. P. Murdoch, S. R. Nagle, K. Schneider, and G. Skwira

  2:30 PM
Using the BlueSky Smoke Modeling Framework in Decision Support for Landscape-scale Prescribed Burn Operations
Miriam Rorig, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and R. Solomon, C. Krull, and J. Peterson

  2:45 PM
Predicting fire weather severity using seasonal forecasts
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield and R. Carr

2:45 PM-3:15 PM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


Coffee Break
Location: Wingwood (Atlantic Oakes Resort)

3:15 PM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


Workshop Session 1
Directions in Fire and Forest Meteorology Research
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsor: Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Moderator: Timothy J. Brown, DRI

4:45 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 25 October 2007


Joint Session 3
Symposium Closing
Location: The Turrets (Atlantic Oakes Resort)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology; and the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team )
Presiders: Timothy J. Brown, DRI; Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service

Friday, 26 October 2007

8:30 AM-12:30 PM: Friday, 26 October 2007


Breakfast with Tour of Acadia National Park (tickets available until 12 noon Wednesday October 24)