87th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 6: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather

AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Monday, 15 January 2007

9:00 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 15 January 2007


Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day)
Location: Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center

10:45 AM-2:30 PM: Monday, 15 January 2007


Joint Session 7
Measurements and Modeling of Aerosols (Joint with Ninth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, Forum on Climate Change as Manifested by Changes in Weather, and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Location: 212A (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather )
CoChair: Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ.

Papers:
  10:45 AM
Improvements to Aerosol Size Distributions in CMAQ
Robert A. Elleman, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. S. Covert

  11:00 AM
Simulating Secondary Organic Aerosol: Accuracy versus Computational Efficiency
Ping Liu, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Zhang

 
J7.4
Coupling of CB05 gas-phase chemical mechanism with MADRID aerosol module in WRF/Chem

  11:30 AM
Size Distribution and Hygroscopic Properties of Agricultural Aerosols
Naruki Hiranuma, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and S. D. Brooks, B. W. Auvermann, and R. Littleton

  11:45 AM
Evaluation of the aerosol direct effect on a mesoscale simulation
Steven E. Peckham, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES-Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Grell, S. A. McKeen, J. D. Fast, R. Zaveri, and S. Chung

  12:00 PM
Recognition of NASA Student Travel Award Winners in the field of Atmospheric Chemistry

  12:15 PM
Lunch Break

  1:45 PM
Dust sandstorm dynamics analysis in Northern China by means of atmospheric, emission, dispersion modeling
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology and National Research Council/IBIMET-CNR, Firenze, FI, Italy; and L. Bottai, C. Busillo, F. Calastrini, G. Gualtieri, F. Guarnieri, P. Scalas, and L. Torriano

 
J7.7
Episodic particulate matter modeling in a semi-arid/arid area over the U.S./Mexico border: Incorporating a wind-blown dust emissions model into the MODELS-3/CMAQ system

  2:15 PM
The Instability associated with the Cross-Atlantic Transport of Saharan Dust and its Meteorological Implications
Sun Wong, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler, P. R. Colarco, and A. Da Silva

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 15 January 2007


Joint Poster Session 1
Climate change: in Hydrometeorological Variables, Detection & Attribution (Joint Between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, 23rd Conference on IIPS, Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather, and the 5th Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to Environmental Sciences)
Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather; the Fifth Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; and the 23rd Conference on IIPS )
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:
 
Poster JP1.9 has been moved. New paper number 2B.7A in the 23IIPS Program

 
Spatial coherence of rainfall variations using the Oklahoma Mesonet
K. Margret Sturgis, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson, M. B. Richman, and D. J. Karoly

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
 
Poster Moved. New Paper Number 4A.11A

 
What can we (not?!) say about historical temperature changes from Radiosonde records?
Peter Thorne, Cooperative Insitute for Climate and Satellites; and M. McCarthy and H. Titchner

 
Blocking in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere: An update to include 2000 - 2006
Joseph V. Clark, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and K. M. Mihalka and A. R. Lupo

 
GPS radio occultations of arctic temperature profiles
Jaclyn Trzaska, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and J. Francis and D. E. Veron

 
Identifying Connections Between Temperature Trends and Station Changes in the United States
Rebecca A. Smith, Florida State Univ./COAPS, Tallahasssee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien

 
Comparison of glacier-inferred temperatures with observations and climate model simulations
Diandong Ren, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and D. J. Karoly

 
The search for ocean influences on midlatitude cyclones
Richard E. Danielson, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada

 
Regional climate change expected in Eastern/Central Europe
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, C. Torma, and A. Hunyady

 
Increased Precipitation is Climate Change imposed by Anthropogenic Activities
Pankaj Kumar Sinha, Cochin University of Science & Technology, Cochin, India

 
Impact of land cover on the regional response to global warming
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and Y. K. Lim and E. Kalnay

 
Evidence in support of the climate change-Atlantic hurricane hypothesis
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

 
Detected trends in extreme temperature and precipitation indices in the Central/Eastern European region
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy

Poster PDF (446.7 kB)

Joint Poster Session 2
Model Diagnostics and General Climate Variability (Joint with Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather )

Papers:
 
Impact of precipitation characteristics on model's horizontal resolution and orography
Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and O. Arakawa

 
Low-level cloud amount simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model with a 20-km grid size
Shoji Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Inoue and H. Kawai

 
Downscaled 1997/1998 Summer over East Asia using the Regional Spectral Model
E-Hyung Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong

Poster PDF (832.7 kB)
 
Extreme hydrologic events from an ensemble of CCSM3 climate change simulations
Marcia L. Branstetter, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and D. J. Erickson III

 
Implementation of a Double Fourier Series (DFS) Dynamic Core in a Global Numerical Weather Prediction Model
Hoon Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and H. B. Cheong and S. Y. Hong

Poster PDF (405.8 kB)
 
The Role of MJO in Ensemble Forecasts of the 1997/98 El Nińo in the POAMA1 System
Li Shi, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and O. Alves, H. H. Hendon, and G. Wang

 
NCEP global ensemble based anomaly forecast
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth

 
Assessment of the Severe Weather Environment in North America Simulated by Global Climate Models
Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS/SoM, Norman, OK; and H. Brooks and D. J. Karoly

Poster PDF (608.4 kB)
 
Assessment of global climate models performance from the characterization of duration, intensity and frequency of daily rainfall. Application to African Sahel
Amadou Idrissa Bokoye, EC/MSC/Ouranos Consortium, Inc., Montreal, QC, Canada; and P. Gachon, N. Gauthier, D. Parishkura, A. Cotnoir, G. Vigeant, and J. Milton

Poster PDF (632.0 kB)
 
A successful story in predicting NAM events by the operational NCEP's GFS model
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and C. S. Shin and H. Van den Dool

 
Asian dust - pollution interactions inducing more solar radiation absorption: Results from ground-based sky radiation measurements
B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and T. Nakajima, H. W. Chun, and K. Aoki

 
Interaction between dust storms, precipitation and Gulf of California moisture surges in the Paso del Norte region
Karina Apodaca, Howard University, Washington, DC; and D. V. R. Morris, A. Y. Lozano, J. Negrete, and D. R. M. Fitzgerald

 
Atmospheric blocking and patterns of low-frequency variability arising from the breaking of upper level Rossby waves
T. J. Woollings, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and B. J. Hoskins and M. Blackburn

Poster PDF (484.2 kB)
 
Comparison of observed and modeled trends in annual extremes of temperature and precipitation
Dmitry Kiktev, Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia, Moscow, Russia; and J. Caesar and L. V. Alexander

 
Understanding the climatology of small-scale patterns of orographic precipitation: progress from the Olympic Mountains
Justin R. Minder, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. M. Anders, G. H. Roe, and D. Durran

 
Innovations in Spatial Analysis in the Bureau of Meteorology
David Jones, BOM, Vic., 3001, Australia; and D. X. Wang, N. Plummer, D. I. Grant, and A. Rea

 
Links between West Africa monsoon variability and summer anomalies in the western Mediterranean
Marina Baldi, IBIMET/CNR, Rome, Italy; and G. A. Dalu and M. Gaetani

 
On the mechanisms resulting in post-fire flash floods: a case study
Lee Tryhorn, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and A. Lynch and R. Abramson

 
Climate Variability and the Texas Fire Weather Season of 2005–2006: An Historic Perspective of a Statewide Disaster
Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, NOAA/NWS, Brownsville, TX; and A. R. Patrick and M. C. Oaks

Poster PDF (211.7 kB)
 
Bioclimatological aspects of sudden cardiovascular death cases
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, Z. Kis, K. Toro, G. Dunai, N. Szlavik, and E. Keller

 
Southern California upwelling: Is recent weakening a result of global warming?
Steve LaDochy, California State University, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Ramirez and W. C. Patzert

Poster PDF (128.0 kB)
 
Abrupt Seasonal Migration of the ITCZ into the Summer Hemisphere
Peng Xian, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Miller

Tuesday, 16 January 2007

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007


Joint Panel Discussion 1
Summer 2006 Extreme Drought, Floods, Heat
Location: Ballroom C2 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Impacts of 2006's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather )
Moderator: Randall M. Dole, NOAA-CIRES/CDC
Panelists: Roger S. Pulwarty, (Drought in the Southwest) NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center; David R. Vallee, (Floods in New England) NOAA/NWS; Timothy J. Brown, (Wildfires in the Plains) DRI; Laurence S. Kalkstein, (The Heat Stress Index) Univ. of Delaware; David Runyan, (Summer Heat Wave) NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Drought in the Southwest
Roger Pulwarty, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO

  11:10 AM
Floods in New England
David R. Vallee, NOAA/NWS, Taunton, MA

  11:20 AM
Wildfires in the Plains
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV

  11:30 AM
The Heat Stress Index
Laurence S. Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE

  11:40 AM
Summer Heat Wave
David Runyan, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ

  11:50 AM
Panel Discussion

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007


Joint Session 8
Air Quality and Climate Change (Joint with Ninth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, Forum on Climate Change as Manifested by Changes in Weather, and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Location: 212A (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather )
CoChair: Brian K. Lamb, Washington State Univ.

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Assessment of Long-Term Impacts of Regional Climate Changes on Air Quality
Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and R. Leung

  1:45 PM
Global climate change impacts on air quality in North America
Efthimios Tagaris, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and K. J. Liao, K. Manomaiphiboon, A. G. Russell, S. He, J. H. Woo, P. Amar, and L. R. Leung

http://presentation

Poster PDF (107.0 kB)
  2:00 PM
Impacts of Biogenic and Anthropogenic Emissions on Photochemical Oxidants over the Pearl River Delta Region, China
Xuemei Wang, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; and L. Wenshi and Z. L. Yang

  2:15 PM
A comparison of AURA/MLS CO measurement with 2 global chemical models
Jonathan Jiang, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and L. Neary, J. McConnell, H. Su, and J. Kaminski

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007


1
Climate and Extreme Weather Events
Location: 214D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather
Organizers: Randall M. Dole, NOAA-CIRES/CDC; Richard B. Rood, University of Michigan

Papers:
  1:30 PM
1.1
A comparison of model produced climate extremes with observed and projected trends for the 20th and 21st centuries
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Gleason, K. E. Kunkel, and R. J. Stouffer

  2:00 PM
1.2
Extremes and El Nino
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Tebaldi

  3:00 PM
Coffee Break

  3:30 PM
1.4
Simulating the synoptic climatology of extreme precipitation events under global warming
William J. Gutowski Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and S. S. Willis, J. C. Patton, B. R. Schwedler, R. W. Arritt, and E. S. Takle

  4:00 PM
1.5
Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change
Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and J. Pal, R. J. Trapp, and F. Giorgi

  4:15 PM
1.6
Occurrence of heavy precipitation and streamflow in Southern California
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center/Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos

  4:45 PM
1.8
Can we detect climate trends in extreme tropical cyclones?
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and B. A. Harper, K. Hoarau, and J. A. Knaff

  5:15 PM
Abrupt changes in rainfall during the twentieth century
Gemma T. Narisma, Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment, Madison, WI; and R. Licker and J. Foley

Wednesday, 17 January 2007

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


2
Linking Weather and Climate
Location: 214D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather
Organizers: Randall M. Dole, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center; Richard B. Rood, University of Michigan

Papers:
  8:30 AM
2.1
Weather - Climate and Subseasonal Forecasting
Klaus M. Weickmann, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and E. Berry

  9:30 AM
2.3
The Impact of Large-Scale Climate Variability on Weather
Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Suarez, P. Pegion, Y. Chang, and J. Bacmeister

  10:00 AM
Coffee Break

  11:00 AM
2.5
From Cloud Organization to Climate Sensitivity—The Cloud Object Approach
Kuan-Man Xu, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and B. A. Wielicki and T. Wong

  11:30 AM
2.6
Predictability and Forecast Skill of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. L. Li, S. D. Schubert, B. P. Kirtman, H. L. Pan, and A. Vintzileos


Joint Session 3
Forecasting Water Cycle Components at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales (Joint with Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather and Climate Aspects of Hydrometeorology)
Location: 214A (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the AMS Forum: Climate Aspects of Hydrometeorology; and the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather )
Organizers: Ana P. Barros, Duke Univ.; Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Prediction of Elements of the Hydrologic Cycle at Climatic Time Scale: Observations and Prospects (INVITED)
Upmanu Lall, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, New York, NY

  9:00 AM
Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Spatio-Temporal Downscaling of Seasonal Climate to Daily Weather Forecasts
Abedalrazq F. Khalil, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and H. H. Kwon and U. Lall

  9:15 AM
Assessment of dynamic downscaling of the continental U.S. regional climate using the Eta/SSiB Regional Climate Model
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. Vasic, Z. Janjic, F. Mesinger, and K. Mitchell

  9:30 AM
Climatic aspects of hydrometeorology and water resources – the role of drought (INVITED)
Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

  10:00 AM
Coffee Break

  10:30 AM
When model results and observations disagree . . .
Andrew A. Lacis, NASA/GISS, New York, NY

  10:45 AM
Extreme Floods in Urban Watersheds (INVITED)
James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ

  11:15 AM
Cool season heavy rainfall events over west central Florida
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWSFO, Ruskin, FL; and A. Reynes and J. C. McMichael

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


4
Detection and Attribution of Regional Climate Change
Location: 214D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather
Organizers: Randall M. Dole, NOAA/CIRES/CDC; Richard B. Rood, Univ. of Michigan

Papers:
  2:00 PM
4.2
Attributing regional climate variations to tropical SST changes
Prashant Sardeshmukh, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, CDC/CIRES, Boulder, CO

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


3
THORPEX Special Session: Impacts of Processes over the Tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans on Mid-Latitude Weather and Predictability
Location: 214A (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
US THORPEX: Science, Structure, and Activities
Jim Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and L. Bosart

  2:15 PM
3.3
Interactions of middle latitude troughs and tropical disturbances on 4-6 week time scales
John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro

  2:30 PM
3.4
The influence of the MJO on Midlatitude statistical predictability
Richard Kleeman, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY; and M. Kadota

  2:45 PM
3.5
  3:00 PM
Coffee Break

  3:30 PM
3.6
  4:00 PM
3.7
Research Issues on Tropical Convection and Two-way Interaction with the Large-scale Flow
Chidong Zhang, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. B. Parsons, J. Tribbia, and M. Moncrieff

  4:30 PM
3.8
A Mass Circulation Paradigm for the Annular Mode Variability
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. -. C. Ren

  4:45 PM
3.9
Bridging the gap between weather and climate
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hurrell and Y. H. Kuo

  5:00 PM
Quantifying dynamical predictability by time-dependent exponent curves: the technique of pseudo-ensembles
Wen-Wen Tung, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and J. Gao and J. Hu

  5:15 PM
Linking weather and climate forecasting
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


Joint Poster Session 4
Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather)
Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather; the Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability; and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )

Papers:
 
Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich

Poster PDF (331.3 kB)
 
An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity
Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie

 
Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A

 
The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale
Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo

 
Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier

 
Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation
J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien

 
Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat
Cynthia A. Van Den Broeke, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson

Poster PDF (861.2 kB)
 
Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context
Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin

 
A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer

 
Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith

 
Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie

 
Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall
Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)
 
Trends towards wetter hurricane basins
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote

 
Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm

Poster PDF (819.9 kB)
 
The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate
Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

 
The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas
Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie Sr. and H. Sharif

 
Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach
Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin

 
Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

 
Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest

 
Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart

 
Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown

 
ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes
Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler

 
Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos

Poster PDF (61.3 kB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


5
Detection and Attribution of Regional Climate Change II
Location: 214D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather
Organizers: Randall M. Dole, NOAA/CIRES/CDC; Richard B. Rood, Univ. of Michigan

Papers:
  4:30 PM
5.2
 
5.4
Impact of a greener West Africa on the Mediterranean climate

Thursday, 18 January 2007

1:30 PM-5:45 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007


6
Impacts of Aerosols on Weather and Climate
Location: 214D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather

Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
Aerosol-Climate Research: The Kaufman-MODIS Era
V. Ramanathan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA

  2:00 PM
6.2
Wind and water supply reduction by aerosol particles
Mark Z. Jacobson, Stanford University, Stanford, CA; and Y. J. Kaufman

  2:15 PM
6.3
The impacts of aerosols on Asian summer monsoon rainfall and circulation
Kyu-Myong Kim, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau

  2:30 PM
6.4
"Weekend effect" for precipitation over eastern U.S.: Evidence for midweek intensification by pollution and historical evolution
Thomas L. Bell, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and K. M. Kim, D. Rosenfeld, J. M. Yoo, M. I. Lee, and M. Hahnenberger

  3:00 PM
Coffee Break

  3:30 PM
6.6
MODIS aerosol observations used to constrain dust distributions and lifecycle in the NASA GEOS-5 model
Peter R. Colarco, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and E. Nowottnick and A. Da Silva

  3:45 PM
6.7
How 3D science can help to correctly interpret satellite data on aerosol-cloud interaction
Alexander Marshak, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Wen, T. Varnai, and R. F. Cahalan

  4:00 PM
6.8
Possibilities and Limitations of Current-Generation Satellite Aerosol Passive Remote Sensing, and Hopes for the Future
Ralph A. Kahn, JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and J. Martonchik, D. Diner, B. Gaitley, M. Garay, O. Kalashnikova, D. Nelson, K. Yau, and T. M. Team

  4:15 PM
6.9
Urban Aerosol Impact on Surface Energy and Hydrologic Cycles
Menglin Jin, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and J. M. Shepherd

  4:30 PM
Stratocumulus sensitivity to aerosols and dynamics
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, WA; and J. R. Norris

Poster PDF (357.6 kB)
  4:45 PM
An aerosol climatology from MODIS observations and products
Lorraine A. Remer, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Kleidman and Y. Kaufman

  5:00 PM
Remote sensing of the aerosol-cloud boundary
Jens Redemann, Bay Area Environmental Research Institute, Ventura, CA; and Q. Zhang, P. B. Russell, P. Pilewskie, J. Livingston, B. Schmid, L. A. Remer, and R. A. Kahn

  5:15 PM
Aerosol retrievals using airborne lidar and MODIS measurements
Richard A. Ferrare, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, Y. Kaufman, J. F. Leon, M. Chin, C. Butler, V. G. Brackett, S. Burton, G. Chen, A. Clarke, P. B. Russell, J. Redemann, and L. A. Remer

Poster PDF (412.0 kB)
  5:30 PM
The Impact of Aerosols on the Color and Brightness of the Sun and Sky
Stanley David Gedzelman, The City College of New York, New York, NY

Poster PDF (89.1 kB)