Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ.
Julie Demuth, NCAR
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 10 January 2009
7:30 AM-10:00 AM, Saturday
Student Conference Badge Pick-up Only
 
Sunday, 11 January 2009
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Annual Meeting Registration Begins
 
12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Northballroom A
Weatherfest
 
3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Room 130
First-Time Attendee Briefing
 
5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Sunday, Room 130
Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards
 
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Hall 5
Fellows Reception
 
Monday, 12 January 2009
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Registration Open
 
8:30 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, Ballroom ABC
Presidential Forum
 
10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Room 121A
Panel Discussion 1 Sustainability and Growth: How can a city develop sustainably when its identity is based on growth?
Panelists: Grady Gammage, Gammage and Burnham, Attorneys at Law, Phoenix, AZ; Robert Melnick, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; Josh Foster, Center for Clean Air Policy, Washington, DC; Wendy Marie Thomas, AMS, Washington, DC
Moderator: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
10:45 AMPanel Discussion   wrf recording
11:00 AMSustaining Arizona's Sun Corridor  
Robert Melnick, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
11:15 AMSustaining Phoenix   wrf recording
11:30 AMPartnering Toward the Possible: Durable Growth & Healthy Cities   wrf recording
11:45 AMPreparing for Climate Change: A Guidebook for Local, Regional and State Governments   wrf recording
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday
Lunch Break
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday, Room 132A
Tim Oke Symp Luncheon
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, Room 121A
Session 1 Adaptation and Vulnerability to Climate Change and Extremes
Cochairs: Juliane Fry, Reed College, Portland, OR; Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Ryan M. Meyer, Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes; Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
1:30 PM1.1Are We Adapting to Climate Change? Research and Methods for Evaluating Progress  extended abstract wrf recording
Benjamin Lee Preston, CSIRO, Aspendale, Australia; and R. Westaway, S. Dessai, and T. F. Smith
1:45 PM1.2How much regional and global climate change can be avoided: Mitigation and adaptation policies   wrf recording
Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Knutti, G. Meehl, T. Wigley, H. Teng, L. Buja, and W. G. Strand
2:00 PM1.3Climate change—which needs to adapt first, science or policy?   wrf recording
Rohan Nelson, CSIRO, Canberra, Australia
2:15 PM1.4Weather, climate, and water: an assessment of risk vulnerability and communication on the U.S.-Mexico border  extended abstract wrf recording
Ashley Coles, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. A. Scott and G. M. Garfin
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 5
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 5
Poster Session 1 Policy and Socio—Economic Research Poster Session
P1.1Fire Weather Forecasting in the Land Down Under  
Pamela Szatanek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Hockenberry and R. Ochoa
 P1.3Probabilistic distributions of climate change impacts on the agricultural sector in Bangladesh  
Alex C. Ruane, NASA/GISS and Oak Ridge Associated Universities, New York, NY; and D. C. Major, C. Rosenzweig, R. M. Horton, and R. Goldberg
 P1.4Managing business risks arising from seasonal climate variability  extended abstract
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
 P1.5The potential effects of climate change on wind energy  
Jeffrey M. Freedman, AWS Truewind LLC, Albany, NY; and K. T. Waight and P. Duffy
 P1.8Experiencing the weather: Public perceptions of changes in local weather patterns  extended abstract
Hank Jenkins-Smith, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. Silva, K. H. Goebbert, K. E. Klockow, M. Yuan, M. Nowlin, and G. DeLozier
P1.2Weekly cycles in Spain and its connections with changes in Sea Level Pressure over the North-Atlantic sector  
Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; and A. Garcia-Manuel, J. Calbo, J. Martin-Vide, C. Beck, and G. García-Soriano
 P1.10Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Ranking of Multiple Stressors on Central Arizona Water Resources  
Netra Chhetri, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
 P1.11Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation  
Kristen B. Averyt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Ray and J. J. Barsugli
P1.6Perspectives on Atlantic hurricane risks  
Iris Grossmann, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburg, PA; and G. Morgan and P. J. Klotzbach
 P1.12Severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings in Europe  
Jenni Teittinen, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and D. M. Schultz
P1.7Ethical Issues in Climate Policy  
Marilyn Averill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
 P1.13Examining the nexus of environmental effects, geopolitical instability, and national security: The Environmental Security course at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University  extended abstract
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and J. D. Ramsay
P1.9WaterNet: the NASA water cycle solutions network  
Deborah Belvedere, Center for Research on Environment and Water, Calverton, MD
 P1.14The mega—tornado outbreak in a high—density built environment : An under—appreciated hurricane hazard: a Florida worst—case scenario  
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL
 P1.15Improving Warning Systems: An assessment of public response to tornado warnings during the 2008 tornado season  
Jenniffer M. Santos-Hernandez, Disaster Research Center, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and H. Rodriguez and W. Diaz
 P1.16Housing classification and Calculation of the Maximum Surface Wind speed to estimate wind damage potential by Typhoon  
Jong-Kil Park, Inje University, Gimhae, South Korea; and W. S. Jung and H. J. Choi
 P1.17Applying Mesonet Wind Climatology to Oklahoma Prescribed Burns  extended abstract
Jeffrey Scott Zuczek, National Weather Center Research Experience for Undergraduates, Norman, OK and Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, Kennett Square, PA; and M. A. Shafer
 P1.18NOAA's economics website initiative  extended abstract
Adam B. Smith, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. G. Enloe
 P1.19A sectoral approach to climate services at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center  extended abstract
Adam B. Smith, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and E. Shea, W. M. Faas, J. N. Lott, K. Shein, A. Arguez, and T. G. Houston
 P1.20A value proposition of seasonal hurricane forecasts for property insurance risk management  
Kyle Beatty, Willis Re Inc., Minneapolis, MN; and R. Cloutier
 P1.21Assessing the sensitivity of landfall risk to warm Atlantic conditions  
Ioana Dima, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and P. Dailey and G. Zuba
 P1.22Error Characteristics of Cumulative Temperature Ensemble Forecasts  
Michael Sze, AER, Lexington, MA; and T. Connor and D. Hogan
 P1.23Understanding people's attitudes and behaviors for weather forecast information  extended abstract
Julie Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lazo and R. E. Morss
 P1.24Development of a cold weather warning system for newborn calves  
Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS, Glasgow, MT; and K. L. Frank, L. Kalkstein, W. J. Martin, and D. E. Simonsen
 P1.25CASA's Impact on Radar-Based Wind Assessments  extended abstract
Don J. Rude, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and E. J. Bass and B. Philips
 P1.26Radar Refractivity Retrievals from KTLX: Benefits and Limitations to Operational Forecasting  extended abstract
Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and B. L. Cheong, R. D. Palmer, and D. Bodine
 P1.27Development of a turfgrass irrigation management system for North Carolina  extended abstract
Mark S. Brooks, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and R. Boyles, C. Peacock, D. Bowman, J. Reynolds, and D. Zahn
 P1.28NPOESS economic benefit estimation in a dynamic policy environment  extended abstract
Irving Leveson, Leveson Consulting, Jackson, NJ
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Room 224AB
Joint Session 8 Environmental Applications and Decision Support Systems (Joint between the 16th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, the Fifth Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems- NPOESS and GOES-R, and the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research)
Chair: Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD
4:00 PMJ8.1Environmental Information for the Next Generation Air Transportation System  extended abstract wrf recording
John J. Murray, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and C. Miner and T. E. Ryan
4:15 PMJ8.2An Open-Source SOA Solution Enabling Environmental System-of-Systems Integration and Decision Support   wrf recording
Philip E. Ardanuy, Raytheon Information Solutions, Reston, VA; and A. M. Tarro, A. Ritchie, and A. Nappi
4:30 PMJ8.3The oceanic convection diagnosis and nowcasting system  extended abstract wrf recording
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, R. Bankert, J. Hawkins, M. Donovan, and E. R. Williams
4:45 PMJ8.4Nowcasting oceanic convection using random forest classification  extended abstract wrf recording
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, CO ; and C. Kessinger, D. Ahijevich, J. Williams, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, R. Bankert, J. Hawkins, M. Donovan, and E. R. Williams
5:00 PMJ8.5Using NASA Satellite and Model Analysis for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Applications   wrf recording
Paul W. Stackhouse Jr., NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and W. S. Chandler, C. H. Whitlock, J. M. Hoell, D. Westberg, and T. Zhang
5:15 PMJ8.6Monitoring Vegetation Properties through Satellite Passive Microwave Remote Sensing   wrf recording
Qilong Min, SUNY, Albany, NY; and B. Lin and R. Li
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Room 121A
Joint Session 9 Climate and Policy: From Local to Global (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Juliane Fry, Reed College, Portland, OR; Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Ryan M. Meyer, Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes; Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
4:00 PMJ9.1Climate change and New York City's energy sector: evaluation of vulnerabilities, impacts and adaptation strategies  extended abstract wrf recording
Stephen A. Hammer, Columbia University, New York, NY; and L. Parshall
4:15 PMJ9.2CCAP Urban Leaders Adaptation Initiative: Climate Resilient Local Governments   wrf recording
Josh Foster, Center for Clean Air Policy, Washington, DC; and S. Winkelman
4:30 PMJ9.3Applied science at the local government level—climate change science for planning professionals  
Scott Shuford, UNCA, Asheville, NC; and G. Voos, J. Fox, M. McGuirk, S. K. LeDuc, and E. Shea
4:45 PMJ9.4Federal trial on California AB1493–CO2 emissions: Perspectives from the losing side  
John Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
 J9.5 has been moved. New paper number 5.2A (4Policy)  
5:00 PMJ9.5APolitics, values, and decision making in US climate science   wrf recording
Ryan M. Meyer, Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes; Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
5:15 PMJ9.6The Complexities of International Climate Policy   wrf recording
Marilyn Averill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
 
5:25 PM-5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions Adjourn for the Day
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Hall 4
Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception
 
Tuesday, 13 January 2009
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Room 121A
Joint Session 3 Policy, Social and Economic Dimensions of Water (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research and the 23rd Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Adam Schlosser, MIT, Cambridge, MA; Jessica C. Whitehead, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium, Charleston, SC
8:30 AMJ3.1Water in the 21st century—a reality check   wrf recording
Pamela L. Stephens, NSF, Arlington, VA; and W. Hooke
8:45 AMJ3.2The Impact of Daily Global Climate Datasets on the Modeling of Global and National Food and Water Systems  
Kenneth Stzrepek, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. McCluskey, M. Rosegrant, and C. A. Schlosser
9:00 AMJ3.3Exploration of Hydrologic Dynamics during the Colonial Era in the Northeastern United States  
Mark B. Green, City College of New York, New York, NY; and C. J. Vorosmarty and A. Schlosser
9:15 AMJ3.4Climate change adaptation in New York State: extreme rainfall, storm water, and policy implications  
Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
9:30 AMJ3.5Information flows and policy: climate, cyclones, and adaptive water-resources management at the U.S.-Mexico border   wrf recording
Gregg M. Garfin, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Scott, R. Varady, M. Wilder, A. Coles, A. J. Ray, N. Pineda-Pablos, and M. Montero
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (See poster listing in Monday's program)
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5
Joint Poster Session 2 Observations/Studies of High—Impact Weather in Urban Regions (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the Symposium on Urban High Impact Weather, the Special Symposium on Measurements in the Urban Environment and Observations, the Eighth Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment, the 23rd Conference on Hydrology, and the Fourth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data)
Cochairs: Pavlos Kollias, McGill University, Montréal, QC Canada; Bart Nijssen, 3TIER, Inc., Seattle, WA
 JP2.1Observations of fronts from the Helsinki Testbed mesoscale observing network  
David M. Schultz, Univ. of Helsinki/FMI, Helsinki, Finland; and M. Leskinen
 JP2.2Development and Implementation of Multi-Scale Urban Test Beds  
Samuel P. Williamson, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD; and W. D. Bach and W. R. Pendergrass
 JP2.3Diagnostic studies of extreme temperature events using modern reanalysis datasets  
Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. Miller and J. C. Furtado
 JP2.4Weathering the tropical cyclone: Improving public assistance via vulnerability assessment for the older population of New Hanover county, North Carolina  
Rachel L. Godwin, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC
 JP2.5The importance of elevated mixed layers in urban heat eave events east of the Rockies  
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. M. Cordeira and L. F. Bosart
 JP2.6Analysis of air transport patterns bringing dust storms to El Paso, Texas  extended abstract
Nancy Ivette Rivera Rivera, Univ. of Texas, El Paso, TX; and K. A. Gebhart, T. E. Gill, J. L. Hand, D. J. Novlan, and R. M. Fitzgerald
 JP2.7Analysis of extreme rainfall events near Austin, TX and Coffeyville, KS, during summer 2007  
Kevin H. Goebbert, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and N. Snook, C. M. Shafer, and A. D. Schenkman
 JP2.8Development of a detailed database of flash flood observations  extended abstract
Jessica Marie Erlingis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. J. Gourley, T. Smith, and K. L. Ortega
 JP2.9The Phoenix Rainfall Index (PRI)  extended abstract
Paul M. Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, Tempe, AZ
 JP2.10An evaluation of brightness temperatures simulated by various WRF-ARW microphysical algorithms for an atmospheric river event affecting the California coast  
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and M. Sengupta, L. Grasso, D. Coleman, D. Zupanski, M. Zupanski, L. Daniel, and R. Brummer
 JP2.11Southwest Florida warm season tornado development  extended abstract
Jennifer M. Collins, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton, D. G. Noah, and A. N. Williams
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhibits Open
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 121A
Joint Panel Discussion 1 Water in the West (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research and the 23rd Conference on Hydrology)
Panelists: Kathy Jacobs, Arizona Water Institute, Tucson, AZ; Jeanine Jones, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA; Bradley H. Udall, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Moderator: Patricia Gober, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 129B
Joint Panel Discussion 2 Climate services (Joint between the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research)
Panelists: Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather Inc., State College, PA; Eric Barron, NCAR, Boulder, CO; James Buizer, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; Anton F. Haffer, NOAA/NWSFO, Phoenix, AZ
Moderator: Eileen Shea, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Honolulu, HI
 Topic: Special Challenges for Climate Services to Cities in a Changing Climate.   wrf recording
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 124A
Joint Session 2 Observations/Studies of High—Impact Weather in Urban Regions (Joint between the Symposium on Urban High Impact Weather, the Special Symposium on Measurements in the Urban Environment and Observations, the Eighth Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment, the 23rd Conference on Hydrology, the Fourth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the Timothy R. Oke Symposium, and the Impacts of 2008)
Cochairs: Pavlos Kollias, McGill University, Montréal, QC Canada; Bart Nijssen, 3TIER, Inc., Seattle, WA
1:30 PMJ2.1(Invited Talk) Fire at the Urban Interface: The San Diego County Wildfires of October 2007   wrf recording
Jim Purpura, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA
2:00 PMJ2.2Evolution of severe convection in the New York City Metropolitan Region   wrf recording
Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY ; and K. Lombardo and J. Murray
2:15 PMJ2.3An observational study of the movement of Lake Breeze Fronts in the vicinity of Chicago, IL   wrf recording
Jason M. Keeler, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and D. A. R. Kristovich
2:30 PMJ2.4An observational and modeling study of a rare tornadic storm in a major central business district: Possible linkages to drought and urban land cover  
Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and M. J. Shepherd, M. Lei, W. O. Shem, and J. Entin
2:45 PMJ2.5Meteorological conditions associated with major storm surge events at New York City   wrf recording
Katherine Rojowsky, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and F. Bounaiuto
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 121A
Session 2 Societal Dimensions of Weather and Climate Hazards
Cochairs: Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Sam Ng, Metropolitan State College of Denver, Denver, CO
1:30 PM2.1Mapping social vulnerability to heat wave in Chicago  extended abstract wrf recording
Chona E. Sister, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and C. G. Boone, J. Golden, D. Hartz, and W. C. Chuang
1:45 PM2.2Heat-attributable mortality in a changing world: accounting for climate change and adaptation  
J. Scott Greene, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. Kalkstein, D. M. Mills, and J. Samenow
2:00 PM2.3Societal Impacts of Weather Hazards: Understanding Public Response to Tornado Events   wrf recording
Havidan Rodriguez, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and J. Santos and W. Diaz
2:15 PM2.4Impacts on city policy from the early morning tornadoes that hit Omaha, Nebraska on 8 June, 2008   wrf recording
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWSFO, Valley, NE
2:30 PM2.5Lessons Learned: Evacuations Management of Hurricane Gustav  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and B. Keim, S. Van Cooten, and G. M. Eosco
2:45 PM2.6Political Cultural and Economic Vulnerabilities in One Nicaraguan Community   wrf recording
Monica K. Zappa, OU-University of Oklahoma, SSWIM-Social Science Woven into Meteorology, Norman, OK
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Hall 4
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 126C
Panel Discussion 2 Into the Policy Fray: Bringing Science to the U.S. Congress
Panelists: Jack Fellows, UCAR, Boulder, CO; Eric Webster, ITT Corp, Vienna, VA; Michael C. Morgan, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; Kevin Rennert, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC
Moderator: Paul A. T. Higgins, AMS, Washington, DC
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, Room 121A
Session 3 Use of Forecasts and Communicating Uncertainty
Cochairs: Julie Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWSFO, Valley, NE
3.1PAPER WITHDRAWN  
3:30 PM3.1ACommunicating Weather Forecast Uncertainty: An Exploratory Study with Broadcast Meteorologists   wrf recording
Julie Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Morrow and J. K. Lazo
3:45 PM3.2Weather visuals and the public: How do we help the public understand our visuals?   wrf recording
Gina M. Eosco, University of Oklahoma/ AMS Policy Program, Norman, OK
4:00 PM3.3Understanding the use of forecast uncertainty information in decision making: Results from a survey  extended abstract wrf recording
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lazo and J. Demuth
4:15 PM3.4Where do people obtain weather information and how do they perceive that information? Results from the January 2008 California Winter Storm   wrf recording
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Schmidt and J. Demuth
4:30 PM3.5Beyond Storm-Based Warnings: An Advanced WAS*IS Workshop to study communication of probabilistic hazardous weather information  extended abstract wrf recording
Kristin M. Kuhlman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. Gruntfest, K. A. Scharfenberg, and G. J. Stumpf
4:45 PM3.6Next generation warning products and services workshop   wrf recording
John T. Ferree, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK; and E. Jacks, K. Scharfenberg, and K. A. Kloesel
5:00 PM3.7NOAA/NWS Winter Weather Advisory and Warning product simplification   wrf recording
Eli Jacks, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Stokols
 
5:25 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions Adjourn for the Day
 
Wednesday, 14 January 2009
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Room 121A
Panel Discussion 3 Societal Benefits of Research
Panelists: William Hooke, AMS, Washington, DC; Ira Bennett, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD
Moderator: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Room 121A
Session 4 Evaluation and Use of Decision—Support Systems
Cochairs: Eileen Shea, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Honolulu, HI; Elizabeth McNie, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
10:30 AM4.2Results of a developmental test of the Heat Stress Index: Does it have operational potential?   wrf recording
Jannie G. Ferrell, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and E. Jacks and L. Kalkstein
10:45 AM4.1Design and deployment of specialized visualizations for weather-sensitive electric distribution operations  extended abstract wrf recording
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Systems and Technology Group, Yorktown Heights, NY
11:00 AM4.3Economic Benefits of the Oklahoma Mesonet to Crop Producers in Oklahoma   wrf recording
Kimberly E. Klockow, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson
11:15 AM4.4User-Motivated Policies for NWS Climate Services   wrf recording
Ahsha N. Tribble, NOAA NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. M. Timofeyeva, M. Berger, and R. Reeves
4.5What climate policymakers should know about climate services: lessons from NOAA's RISA program  
Elizabeth McNie, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 121A
Joint Panel Discussion 3 Developing a National Climate Service (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Panelists: Chet Koblinsky, NOAA CPO, Silver Spring, MD; Jonathan Overpeck, University of Arizona; Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; Kelly Redmond, Western Regional Climate Center, Reno, NV
Moderator: Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR
1:30 PMModerator Overview   wrf recording
Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 5
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 126A
Joint Session 5 Geographic Effects on Urban Weather and Climate (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, the Timothy R. Oke Symposium, the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment, the 23rd Conference on Hydrology, and the Fourth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data)
Chair: William T. Thompson, NRL, Monterey, CA
4:00 PMJ5.1Assessing sea breeze and heat island interactions using coastal-urban mesoscale ensembles   wrf recording
Teddy R. Holt, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Pullen
4:30 PMJ5.2Urban effects on Sea Breeze Circulation over Huston, TX   wrf recording
Kazuyuki Ota, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair, W. A. Petersen, L. D. Carey, and T. E. Nobis
4:45 PMJ5.3Variable impacts and differential response to flash flooding in the Paso del Norte metroplex (El Paso, Texas, USA / Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, Mexico)  extended abstract wrf recording
Thomas E. Gill, University of Texas, El Paso, TX; and T. W. Collins and D. J. Novlan
5:00 PMJ5.4Modeling and forecasting lee side spillover precipitation resulting in major flooding in an urban valley location  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael L. Kaplan, DRI, Reno, NV; and P. J. Marzette, C. S. Adaniya, K. C. King, and S. J. Underwood
5:15 PMJ5.5The evolution of lake-effect clouds and snow across Lake Michigan  extended abstract
Faye E. Barthold, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and D. A. R. Kristovich
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 121A
Session 5 Socio—Economic Research Methods and Their Applications
Cochairs: Amanda Lynch, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria Australia; Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
4:00 PM5.1Bounded rationality in responding to climate change: Avoiding the unmanageable and managing the unavoidable  
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and R. D. Brunner
 5.2 has been moved. New paper number J9.5A (4Policy/21Climate)  
4:15 PM5.2AU.S. science policy for climate change adaptation: A preliminary evaluation   wrf recording
Lisa Dilling, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
4:30 PM5.3Catalyzing Interdisciplinary Research: Results from NOAA's Sector Applications Research Program   wrf recording
Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD
4:45 PM5.4The Strategic Plan for Integrating Social Science into NOAA's Weather and Water Mission  extended abstract wrf recording
Irving Leveson, Leveson Consulting, Jackson, NJ; and J. E. Gaynor and R. Weiher
5:00 PM5.5Assessing the National Weather Service's Storm Data loss estimation methodology   wrf recording
Emily Laidlaw, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lazo and N. F. Bushek
5:15 PM5.6“Old Indian Ways” of knowing the weather: Weather predictions for the winters of 1950-51 and 1951-52  extended abstract wrf recording
Randy Peppler, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 
5:25 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions Adjourn for the Day
 
5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Northballroom
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 15 January 2009
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Room 121A
Panel Discussion 4 State of the Field
Panelists: Arnim Wiek, Arizona State Univ, Tempe, AZ; Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
Moderator: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Hall 5
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (See poster listing in Wednesday's program)
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Hall 5
Poster Session 2 Human and Environmental Impacts of Urbanization - Poster Session
P2.1Climate variability and change in central Arizona  
Anthony J. Brazel, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and I. G. Tomashevskaya, H. J. S. Fernando, and H. Mensing
 P2.2Heating and cooling degree days as an indicator of climate change in Freiburg  extended abstract
Andreas Matzarakis, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, , Germany; and F. Thomsen
 P2.3Trends in urban seasonal and annual mean temperature from 1973-2002 in the continental United States: Is there a human factor?  
Steven B. Newman, Central Connecticut State Univ., New Britain, CT
 P2.4Weather and the built environment: Helping the public see the connection between the urban built environment and the impacts of weather and climate  
Joseph P. Lamos, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and B. Muller, S. Espinoza, and D. Sliter
 P2.5Current situation of the patients from heat disorders in the major cities in Japan  
Masaji Ono, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tukuba, Japan
 P2.6The Impact of Urbanization on Hydrological Variables  
Heather Yael Glickman, NOAA-CREST/ City University of New York/ CUNY Graduate Center, New York, NY; and D. S. Mahani and D. R. Khanbilvardi
 P2.7The relationship between urban morphology and heat vulnerability in the City of Chicago  
Wen-Ching Chuang, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and C. Sister, D. A. Hartz, and J. Golden
 P2.8Climate linkages to heat related emergency (911) calls in Chicago, Illinois 2003–2006  
Donna A. Hartz, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and W. C. Chuang, C. Sister, and J. S. Golden
 
11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open
 
11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, Room 121A
Joint Session 6 Urban Implications of Climate Change and Population Growth (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment)
Chair: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
11:00 AMJ6.1Impact of global climate change on central European cities  
Wilhelm Kuttler, Univ. of Duisburg, Essen, Germany; and S. Weber
11:15 AMJ6.2Impacts of Rapid Development of Urban Environment on City Weather Services in the Shanghai Region   wrf recording
Xu Tang Sr., Shanghai Meteorological Regional Center, CMA, China, Shanghai, China
11:30 AMJ6.3Modeling global climate change in urban areas   wrf recording
Keith Oleson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Feddema, T. Jackson, G. Bonan, O. Wilhelmi, and J. Boehnert
11:45 AMJ6.4Climate Change Scenarios for the New York Metropolitan Region   wrf recording
Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA/GISS and the Columbia Earth Institute, New York, NY; and R. M. Horton
12:00 PMJ6.5Scales of perception: public awareness of neighborhood and regional temperature differences   wrf recording
Darren M. Ruddell, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and S. L. Harlan, S. Grossman-Clarke, and G. Chowell
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday, Room 131AB
Hollingsworth Symp Luncheon
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Room 131A
Joint Session 7 Sustainable Urban Design (Joint between the Special Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions, the 11th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment, and the Fourth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data)
Chair: Eric Pardyjak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
1:30 PMJ7.1The Centrality of Design in the Reduction of Urban Sprawl: A Summary of Issues   wrf recording
Emily Talen, Arizona State University, Phoenix, AZ
2:00 PMJ7.2Urban climate modeling, heat island mitigation and local knowledge: co-producing science for urban policy  extended abstract wrf recording
Lily Parshall, Columbia University, New York, NY; and J. Corburn
2:15 PMJ7.3Mitigating urban heat island effects with water and energy sensitive urban designs  extended abstract wrf recording
Anthony J. Brazel, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and P. Gober, S. Grossman-Clarke, S. Myint, S. Grimmond, A. Q. Miller, R. Quay, and S. Rossi
2:30 PMJ7.4Simulations of the London urban climate: the LUCID project   wrf recording
Sylvia I. Bohnenstengel, University of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and A. Porson, M. Davies, and S. Belcher
2:45 PMJ7.5Optimization of urban designs for air quality and energy efficiency   wrf recording
Eric Pardyjak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Willemsen and D. E. Johnson
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday, Hall 4
Coffee Break and Exhibit Hall Raffle
 
5:15 PM-5:20 PM, Thursday
AMS 89th Annual Meeting Adjourns
 

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