92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium

T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium

Program Chair: Frederick H. Carr , Univ. of Oklahoma

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Thursday, 26 January 2012

Thursday | top

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
Future of Numerical Weather Prediction
Location: Room 252/253 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium
Chair: Frederick H. Carr, Univ. of Oklahoma
  8:30 AM
Welcoming Remarks, Fred Carr

  8:45 AM
1.1
Demons and Butterflies-Beating Predictability Theory
Richard Anthes, UCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

  9:15 AM
1.2
Hydrometeorology Grand Challenge – Precipitation Processes: From Understanding to Predictability
Ana P. Barros, Duke University, Durham, NC
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Poster Session 1
Posters
Location: Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium
 
583
A Multiscale Analysis of African Easterly Waves
Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY

 
584
Mechanism of Tropical Cyclone Frequency Changes Due to Global Warming
Masato Sugi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan; and H. Murakami and J. Yoshimura
Manuscript (2.0 MB)

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

 
585
Comparing Hurricane Earl's Structures Observed by Microwave Humidity Sounders with Airborne Radar Observations and HWRF Simulation
Qi Shi, Florida State Universtiy, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou

Poster PDF (3.0 MB)

 
586
A Comparative Study of the Indian Summer Monsoon Hydroclimate and Its Variations in Three Reanalyses
Vasubandhu Misra, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. Pantina and S. M. DiNapoli

 
587
Using Environmental Modeling, Technology, and Communication Tools for Early Warning and Prediction of Land Falling Tropical Cyclone/Hurricanes
Francis. Tuluri, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and S. R. Rematat, D. Lu, A. Maina, B. R. V. Dodla, and A. Yerrammilli

 
588
A New Approach to Improved Inland Wind Forecasts for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer

 
589
The Roles of Convective Superbursts and Energy Conversion Processes in the Genesis of Cape Verde Hurricanes From African Easterly Waves
Robert S. Ross, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti and S. Pattnaik

 
590
An OSSE on Mesoscale Model Assimilation of Simulated HIRAD-Observed Hurricane Surface Winds
Cerese Marie Albers, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. L. Miller, E. Uhlhorn, and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

 
591
Diurnal Cycle Characteristics During TiMREX: Disturbed Vs. Undisturbed Periods
Chun-Chih Wang, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and R. H. Johnson, P. E. Ciesielski, and J. H. Ruppert Jr.

 
592
STRUCTURE of ERRORS In the HWRF MODEL Arising FROM Components of MODEL Physics
Thomas Pynadath Aype, Florida State Univeristy, Tallahassee, FL; and A. Simon and T. N. Krishnamurti

 
593
Impact of Physical Initialization on Hurricane Forecasts At Radar Resolution Using GRIP Data Sets
Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti, T. Pynadath Aype, and C. M. Albers

 
594
Tropical Data Assimilation: A Mid-Latitude Point of View
Nedjeljka Zagar, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Math&Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia

 
595
Modeling the West African Monsoon and the Formation of African Easterly Waves
Keri Younger, Embry Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and E. D. Maloney and R. McCrary

 
596
A Study of Ocean-Atmospheric Interactions and Associated Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Activity Over the Gulf of Mexico Using Coupled Atmospheric Modeling System (CAMS)
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and D. Lu

 
597
Large Scale Influences on the Genesis of Hurricane Karl
Kyle S. Griffin, SUNY, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and M. J. Ventrice

 
598
Cluster Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Southern Hemisphere
Hamish A. Ramsay, Monash Univesity, Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and S. J. Camargo and D. Kim

 
599
Modified Sundqvist Macrophysics Scheme with An Assumed PDF
Ruiyu Sun, UCAR and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan and M. Nakagawa

 
600
Are Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts Improving?
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, NRL, Monterey, CA

 
Comparison of Two-Dimensional Wave Reflection Properties on the Resolution Interface of Discontinuous and Continuous Mesh Refinements

 
601
A Comparative Study of Cloud Liquid Water and Ice Over Indian Region
Anwesa Bhattacharya, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India; and A. Chakraborty and V. Venugopal

 
602
Comparison of the 2011 South Asian Monsoon Onset Characteristics in the GFS and ECMWF Models
Siddarth K. Plakkot, Howard University NOAA Center for Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and V. K. Kumar and D. Carlis

 
603
Impact of Different Physics on Hurricane Forecasts with HWRF
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet

 
The Estimation of Deep Layer Mean Steering Flow and Its Application to Typhoon Track Prediction

 
604
Observing System Experiments of the 2011 South Asian Monsoon Using Ncep's GFS Model
Adam Schwantes, NOAA/NCAS, Manitowoc, WI; and K. V. Kumar, D. L. Carlis, E. L. Foley, and S. K. Plakkot

 
605
Direct and Semi-Direct Effects of Aerosols on the Tropical Climate
Salil Mahajan, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and K. J. Evans, J. J. Hack, and J. E. Truesdale

 
606
On the High Resolution Simulation of Tropical Storm Ivan (2004) in the Southern Appalachians: Sensitivity to Planetary Boundary Layer Schemes and the Impact of Cumulus Parameterization
Xiaoming Sun, Duke University, Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros

 
607
Transboundary Smoke Plume Simulation From a Biomass Burning Event of 2005 in Equatorial Southeast Asia

 
608
Impacts of Varying WRF-ARW Physics Options on Forecasts of Typhoon Parma
Phillip L. Spencer, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and B. L. Shaw and B. G. Pajuelas
Manuscript (422.0 kB)

 
609
Advancements to the Operational Hurricane Modeling System (HWRF) At NCEP/EMC
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

 
Poster 610 has been moved. New paper number is 1.2

 
611
Quantifying the Role of Tropospheric Relative Humidity on the Development of Tropical Cyclones
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR; and B. Tang and S. S. Chen

 
612
Tropical Energy Bubbles and the Subtropical Jet Stream
Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI

 
613
Verification of the T213L31 Ensemble Prediction System of CMA Over the East Asia Area
Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University, and NOAA/ESRL, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and J. Song, Y. Wang, S. Chen, and J. Ming

 
614
LASE Measurements of High Resolution Water Vapor Profiles During NASA Hurricane Field Experiments
Syed Ismail, NASA, Hampton, VA; and R. A. Ferrare, J. W. Hair, E. V. Browell, and T. N. Krishnamurti

 
615
A NEW STRATEGY for Improvement In the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone INTENSITY and Movement USING Fdda and Vortex Initialization
Bhaskar Rao V. Dodla, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and S. Desamsetti, A. Yerramilli, H. P. Dasari, and S. pattnaik

 
616
Observations of Tropical Atlantic Weather Systems From PREDICT
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych

 
617
Design and Development of a Unified Model on Icosahedral-Hexagonal Grids
Om P. Sharma, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India; and H. Upadhyaya, P. Subbarao, and T. Singh
Manuscript (1.6 MB)

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

 
618
Evaluation of Asian Monsoon Northward Propagation Mechanisms in Observations and the Super-Parameterized CCSM
Charlotte DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall and C. Stan

 
619
African Easterly Waves: Formation and Evolution in An Idealized Model
Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. L. Diaz

 
620
Cloudiness Over the Tropics and Subtropics At High Spatial Resolution
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. Beida and A. Dominguez

 
621
Krish's Influence on the National Hurricane Center
Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and J. L. Beven II

 
The Unlikely Influence of CO2 Increases on Tropical Cyclone Frequency and Intensity

 
622
Ensemble Forecasting of Hurricane Intensity based on Biased and non-Gaussian Ensemble Sampling
Zhan Zhang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada and R. Tuleya
Manuscript (97.5 kB)

 
623
A Three-Time-Level Explicit Economical (3TL-EEC) Scheme
Sajal K. Kar, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Janjic
Manuscript (1.6 MB)

Poster PDF (578.1 kB)

 
624
Physical Initialization in Regional Spectral Models: A Brief Review
Ana M. B. Nunes, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

 
625
Effect of Ocean-Atmosphere Coupling on Short-to-Medium Range Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon
Arindam Chakraborty, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Karnataka, India

 
626
On the Land Surface Initialization for NWP Model At EMC
Vince C. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

 
627
Internationally Collaborative Joint OSSEs - Progress At NOAA
Michiko Masutani, EMC, College Park, MD; and L. P. Riishojgaard, J. S. Woollen, Z. Ma, T. Zhu, and Y. Xie

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

 
628
Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Earl in Advanced Hurricane WRF Model Simulations
Diamilet Pérez-Betancourt, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and C. Davis

 
629
Wind Vs. Surge: Hurricane Ike
Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Tallahassee, FL


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 2
Milestones of Numerical Weather Prediction
Location: Room 252/253 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium
Chair: HuaLu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
  11:00 AM
2.1
Superensemble Forecasts, Relaxed Adjustment, and Unified Parameterization of Moist Convection
Akio Arakawa, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
Recorded Presentation

  11:30 AM
2.2
Advancing Ensemble Modeling Systems within An Operational Environment – the Status of Ensemble Forecasts At the National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Louis W. Uccellini, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Lunch Break

T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium Luncheon
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 3
Large-Scale Tropics
Location: Room 252/253 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium
Chair: Vasubandhu Misra, Florida State University
  1:30 PM
3.3
From Jet Streams to Monsoons to Hurricanes: 50 Years of Leadership on Using Observations to Inform Model Improvements
E. J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and R. Kakar
Recorded Presentation

  2:00 PM
3.1
The Convective Cloud Population of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. L. Rasmussen, S. R. Brodzik, J. Yuan, and H. C. Barnes
Recorded Presentation

  2:30 PM
3.2
A Multi-Scale Interaction Model for the Madden–Julian Oscillation
Bin Wang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. Liu
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 4
Tropical Meteorology Observations
Location: Room 252/253 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium
Chair: Naomi Surgi, N/A
  3:30 PM
4.1
Impact of Recurving Tropical Cyclones and Transient Polar Disturbances on the North Pacific Subtropical Jet: Downstream Baroclinic Development, Rossby Wave Trains, and Extreme Weather Over the Americas
Lance Bosart, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambeault and J. M. Cordeira
Recorded Presentation

  4:00 PM
4.2
The Monsoon Trough of the Northwest Pacific
John Molinari, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

  4:30 PM
Remarks by Prof. Krishnamurti

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


AMS 92nd Annual Meeting Adjourns
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