Session 4 Lance Bosart Symposium

Program Chair: John Molinari , SUNY
Reviewer: Sarah Dunn Ditchek , University at Albany, SUNY

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Wednesday, 25 January 2017

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2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017


Poster Session 1
Bosart Symposium Poster Session
Host: Lance Bosart Symposium
961
Role of Convective-Scale Circulations in the Explosive Development of Extratropical Cyclones
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

962
Revisiting the Texas Coastal Rainstorm of 17–21 September 1979
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and N. D. Metz, J. M. Cordeira, H. M. Archambault, and A. F. Srock

963
Characteristics and Impacts of Rossby Wave Breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season
Melinda S Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and G. Zhang, Z. Wang, and G. Magnusdottir

964
African Easterly Waves and Tropical Cyclogenesis
James O. H. Russell, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

Handout (1.6 MB)

965
Turbulence in the Cirrus Canopy of Tropical Cyclones
Michaela L. Rosenmayer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Molinari and D. Vollaro

966
A Statistical Analysis and Synoptic Climatology of Cold Air Outbreaks in the United States
Zachary B. Murphy, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. F. Bosart

967
A Summary of the State University of New York (SUNY) at Albany Collaborative Science, Technology and Applied Research (CSTAR) Program's Efforts Toward Improving the Prediction of the Timing and Intensity of Heavy Precipitation Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones, as Modulated by the Complex Terrain and Physiography of the Northeastern United States
David R. Vallee, NWS Northeast River Forecast Center, Taunton, MA

Handout (2.7 MB)

968
Hurricane Bonnie (1998): Maintaining Intensity During High Vertical Wind Shear and an Eyewall Replacement Cycle
Erin Mary Dougherty, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari and D. Vollaro

969
Lance Bosart's 20 Years of Contributions to Operational Research, Part I: History and Scientific Contributions
Kristen L. Corbosiero, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. L. Lang, B. Tang, A. Wasula, N. A. Stuart, and T. A. Wasula

970
Lance Bosart's 20 years of Contributions to Operational Research, Part II: Impacts in the Operational Forecasting Community and Beyond
Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and T. A. Wasula, A. Wasula, K. L. Corbosiero, A. L. Lang, and B. Tang

Handout (2.5 MB)

971
The Impact of Environmental Midlevel Dry Air Inflow on Deep Convection Prior to Tropical Cyclogenesis
Charles N. Helms, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. A. Davis, J. P. Dunion, and L. F. Bosart

Handout (3.1 MB)

972
Case Study Analysis of Easterly Wave Formation in the Tropical East Pacific
Kevin Zolea, Kean Univ., Sayreville, NJ; and E. D. Maloney and J. W. Whitaker

973
The BOSART Method: Basic Observations, Synoptic Analysis, Research and Teaching
Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso Univ., Valparaiso, IN

974
The Legacy of the 2006 NCAR ASP Colloquium, "the Challenge of Convective Forecasting," (a little more than) 10 Years Later
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. Aligo, A. J. Clark, D. T. Dawson II, C. Evans, T. J. Galarneau Jr., K. Kosiba, N. D. Metz, J. J. Ruiz, R. Tanamachi, and B. Tang

975
The Baroclinic Moisture Flux
R. McTaggart-Cowan, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and D. J. Gyakum and R. W. Moore

976
Predictability of Tropical Cyclogenesis Associated with Different Development Pathways
Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and W. Li, M. S. Peng, X. Jiang, and R. McTaggart-Cowan

977
The Tropopause Structure of Hurricanes Nadine (2012) and Patricia (2015)
Patrick Duran, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Molinari

Handout (2.0 MB)

978
A Climatological Study of Jet Streak Acceleration Events and Downstream Impacts
Mark Sinclair, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Prescott, AZ
Manuscript (522.9 kB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

979
Moist Frontogenesis and Low-Stratospheric Warmth during the Extratropcial Transition of Hurricane Sandy (2012)
Da-Lin Zhang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

980
How Much Do Tropical Cyclones Grow in Size during Extratropical Transition?
Benjamin A. Schenkel, University of Oklahoma/NOAA, Norman, OK; and N. Lin, D. R. Chavas, M. Oppenheimer, and A. Brammer

Handout (1.8 MB)

981
Southern California ‘Sundowner' Events: Simulation Studies and Conceptual Models
Jeffrey S. Tilley, University of North Georgia, Oakwood, GA; and M. L. Kaplan, C. M. Smith, and B. J. Hatchett

982
A Multiscale Analysis of Upstream Precursors associated with High-Impact Weather across the Upper Midwest
Nicholas D. Metz, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. Cordeira, M. E. Howarth, and T. J. Galarneau Jr.

983
The 24 February, 2016 Tornado in Northeast Pennsylvania: A Case Study of Cold-Season Tornado Occurrence within a Quasi-Linear Convective System
Erik M. Heden, NOAA, Newport, NC

984
Anticipating Snow to Liquid Ratio Gradients Associated with Mesoscale Banding in Large-Scale, Eastern U.S. Snowstorms
Michael L. Jurewicz Sr., NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Johnson City, NY

985
An Ensemble-Based Examination of Extratropical Cyclone Characteristics in Future Climates
Gregory Tierney, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt

986
Influence of the MJO and Extratropical Wavetrains on Intraseasonal Subtropical Gyres over Northeast Africa and Southwest Asia
Jennifer A. Gahtan, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy

987
Synoptic-Dynamic Climatology of the Stratospheric Aleutian Anticyclone
Stephen J. Colucci, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and T. E. Ehrmann

Handout (746.0 kB)

988
The Role of African Easterly Waves North of the African Easterly Jet on Tropical Cyclogenesis
Joshua J. Alland, SUNY, Albany, NY; and Y. M. Cheng

Handout (7.1 MB)

989
The Role of Orography in African Easterly Wave Genesis
Joshua Dylan White, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

Handout (2.4 MB)

990
A Theory for the Forcing Mechanism of the Ageostrophic Component of the Pre-Frontal Low-Level Jet
Reuben Demirdjian, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and A. Martin and F. M. Ralph

991
Development of a Cold-air Damming Index for Nothern New England: A Comparison of Two Case Studies
Eric G. Hoffman, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and S. T. K. Miller, L. B. Avilés, and N. Strickland

992
The Effects of Anvil Shading From a Nearby Squall Line on the Structure and Evolution of a Discrete Supercell Thunderstorm
Michael C. Montalbano, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and A. J. French

Handout (2.5 MB)

993
An Investigation of WRF Physics Schemes using a Massive Ensemble Simulation of the 1993 Superstorm
Matthew Vaughan, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. G. Fovell and Y. Cao

994
Subcritical Destabilization of African Easterly Waves by Saharan Mineral Dust
Terrence R. Nathan, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and D. Grogan and S. H. Chen

995
Tropical Plumes in the UTLS and the Subtropical Jet Stream
Gregory J. Tripoli, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

996
The Mean Characteristics of African Easterly Waves Coupled to Saharan Mineral Dust Aerosols
Dustin Grogan, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft

1489
The Key Role of Diabatic Outflow in Amplifying the Midlatitude Flow: a Representative Case Study of Weather Systems Surrounding Western North Pacific Extratropical Transition
Christian M. Grams, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and H. M. Archambault

997
Forecast Error Wavepackets in the Midlatitude Stormtrack associated with Recurving Typhoons
Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Awards Banquet Reception
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )
5:30 PM
Awards Banquet Reception
Recorded Presentation

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
97th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom 6ABCE (Washington State Convention Center )
7:00 PM
97th AMS Awards Banquet
Recorded Presentation

Thursday, 26 January 2017

Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 1
Weather Forecasting Challenges
Location: 2AB (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Lance Bosart Symposium
Chair: John Molinari, SUNY
8:00 AM
Welcoming Remarks
Recorded Presentation

8:15 AM
1.1
How the President's Day Storm, 18–19 February 1979, Brought Lance and Me Together through a “Research to Operations” Journey of a Lifetime
Louis W. Uccellini, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM
1.2
How will Climate Change Affect Weather Forecasting?
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.3
A New Way to Forecast
Tim D. Hewson, ECMWF, Reading,, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.4
Trends in the Evolving Role of the Forecaster
David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.5
Lessons Learned from Lance
Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and D. M. Schultz
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 2
Mesoscale Precipitation Events
Location: 2AB (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Lance Bosart Symposium
Chair: Daniel Keyser, SUNY
10:30 AM
2.1
Lance Bosart's Epic Struggle To Understand And Predict High-Impact Mesoscale Events By Relating Them To More Predictable Large-Scale Dynamics
Ed Zipser, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Lance Bosart's Influence on a Mesoscale Researcher: A Personal Note
Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington/PNNL, Seattle, WA
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Distributions
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Warm-Season Mesoscale Convective Processes: A Tribute to Lance
Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Lower-Tropospheric Frontogenesis, the Air Mass, and Extreme Precipitation
John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. M. Milrad and E. H. Atallah
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Lance Bosart, Mountain Meteorologist: Contributions to our Understanding of the Influence of Complex Terrain on Weather and Climate
W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017


Lance Bosart Luncheon
Location: 3AB (Washington State Convention Center )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 3
Tropical Interactions With Higher Latitudes
Location: 2AB (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Lance Bosart Symposium
Chair: Heather M. Archambault, NOAA
1:30 PM
3.1
Equatorial Wave Activity during NOAA's 2016 El Niño Rapid Response Campaign
George N. Kiladis, ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. Dias, M. Gehne, and K. J. Mayer
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
3.2
Science and Services at the Weather-Climate Intersection: Lessons from the NOAA El Niño Rapid Response
Randall M. Dole, ESRL, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
3.3
The Role of Weather Processes in Arctic Warming
Sukyoung Lee, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. F. Baggett

2:15 PM
3.4
Multi-scale Tropical-Extratropical Interactions Illuminated through Adjoint Studies
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle and C. M. Amerault
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.5
The Impacts of Recurving Tropical Cyclone on Extended-Range Predictability of Midlatitude Weather Patterns
Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and H. M. Archambault
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.6
Quasi-geostrophy, Moist Convection and Tropical Transition
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. H. Sobel
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Skybridge (Washington State Convention Center )

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 4
Severe Local Storms
Location: 2AB (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Lance Bosart Symposium
Chair: Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY
3:30 PM
4.1
Calling All Scales of Motion! An Overview of the Tornado Outbreak in Oklahoma on 9 May 2016
Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. W. Reif and Z. B. Weinhoff
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
4.2
Synoptic and Mesoscale Environments: Setting the Stage for Tornadic Storms
Yvette P. Richardson, Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
4.3
Derechoes: One of Lance Bosart's Favorite Long-winded Topics
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
4.4
What Have We Learned About Convective Storms From Observations That We Could Not Have Learned From Numerical Simulations?
Paul Markowski, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
4.5
The Intersections between Lance Bosart's Career and Mine: Personal Recollections
Roger M. Wakimoto, NSF, Arlington, VA
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
4.6
The MAP Listserv: Lance Bosart's Greatest Accomplishment?
Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
4.7
Confessions of an Accidental Meteorologist: Meteorology Then, Now, and ????
Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

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