15th Conference on Space Weather

Program Chairs: Richard A. Behnke , Retired ; Michael Wiltberger , NCAR

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Sunday, 7 January 2018

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Monday, 8 January 2018

8:30 AM-8:45 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Plenary Session 2
Welcoming Address
Location: Austin, Texas

8:45 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 1
Observational Platforms for Space Weather—Part I
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Robert M. Robinson, Inspace
8:45 AM
1.1
Fundmental Challenges in Space Weather of the Ionosphere Thermosphere System
Larry J. Paxton, Johns Hopkins Univ. Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD; and E. Miller

9:00 AM
1.2
The Space Weather Forecast Testbed (SWFT) as a Community Resource to Advance Understanding of Space Weather Forecast
Anthony J. Mannucci, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and C. Wang, X. Meng, O. P. Verkhoglyadova, B. T. Tsurutani, G. Rosen, E. M. Lynch, and A. S. Sharma
9:15 AM
1.3
Ionospheric Remote Sensing Using GPS Radio Occultation and Ultraviolet Photometry Aboard the ISS
Scott A. Budzien, NRL, Washington, DC; and A. W. Stephan, C. Coker, S. P. Powell, B. O'Hanlon, T. E. Humphreys, R. L. Bishop, J. Gross, and S. Chakrabarti
9:30 AM
1.4
Space Weather Resources Available through the American Chain of Incoherent Scatter Radars
Anthea Coster, MIT, Westford, MA; and P. J. Erickson, R. Varney, E. Kendall, D. L. Hysell, M. Milla, and C. Brum
9:45 AM
1.5

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 2
Results from the Great American Solar Eclipse
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Barbara Thompson, NASA
10:30 AM
2.1
Ionospheric Signatures of the 21 August 2017 Solar Eclipse
Anthea Coster, MIT, Westford, MA; and L. Goncharenko, S. Zhang, P. J. Erickson, J. Soohoo, E. Derome, J. Swoboda, G. Earle, L. Kordella, D. J. Knipp, and T. Bullet
10:45 AM
2.2
The Far-Away Effects of Solar Eclipse
Larisa Goncharenko, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Westford, MA; and A. Coster, P. J. Erickson, and S. Zhang
11:15 AM
2.4
Small Unmanned Aircraft System Flights during the 2017 Solar Eclipse
Edward J. Dumas Jr., NOAA and Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Oak Ridge, TN; and T. Lee, M. Buban, R. J. Dobosy, and B. B. Baker
11:30 AM
2.5
Impact of Eclipse of 21 August 2017 on the Atmospheric Boundary Layer
Kevin R. Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. A. Wade and B. M. Lund
11:45 AM
2.6
Initial Results of HamSCI Ham Radio 21 August 2017 Eclipse Ionospheric Experiments
Nathaniel A. Frissell, Ham Radio Science Citizen Investigation, Newark, NJ; and J. R. Ackermann, D. Bern, F. Ceglia, G. Earle, P. J. Erickson, A. Gerrard, R. Gerzoff, P. Gladstone, S. W. Gunning, J. D. Huba, J. D. Katz, E. Miller, M. Moses, S. E. Reyer, S. W. Rose, A. Shovkoplyas, H. W. Silver, P. Smith, J. S. Vega, M. L. West, and R. Williams

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Lecture 1
2018 Haurwitz Lecture
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Cochairs: Ángel F. Adames, GFDL; Scott W. Powell, Colorado State Univ.

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 3
Observational Platforms for Space Weather—Part II
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: James F. Spann, NASA HQ
2:15 PM
3.2
Towards Operational Prediction of Medium- and Small-Scale Traveling Ionospheric Disturbances: A Navy Forecasting Prototype
Stephen D. Eckermann, NRL, Washington, DC; and D. Broutman, J. D. Doyle, Q. Jiang, J. Ma, and K. A. Zawdie
2:30 PM
3.3
Small-Scale O+ Density Observations from WINCS/SWATS
Andrew Nicholas, ; and F. A. Herrero, K. Dymond, K. A. Zawdie, A. W. Stephan, and T. T. Finne

2:45 PM
3.4
Recent Ionosphere Collection Results from a 3U CubeSat GNSS-RO Constellation
Timothy Duly, Spire Global Inc., Boulder, CO; and D. Ector, V. Irisov, V. Nguyen, O. Nogues-Correig, L. Tan, and T. Yuasa
3:00 PM
3.5
Multi-Site Tomographic Imaging and Characterization of Ionospheric Disturbances
Joseph Comberiate, Johns Hopkins Univ. Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD; and E. Miller, J. Noto, J. Fentzke, and J. Riccobono

3:15 PM
3.6
Converting the Ionosphere into a Laboratory without Walls—Active Ionospheric Research with HAARP
Robert P. McCoy, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and C. Fallen and B. Bristow
3:30 PM
3.8
Space-Based Sentinels for Measurement of Infrared Cooling in the Thermosphere for Improved Space Weather Forecasting
Martin G. Mlynczak, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and D. J. Knipp, L. A. Hunt, and D. Weimer
3:45 PM
3.9
DORIS Observations from LEO for 3D Space Weather
David Rainwater, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX

4:15 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Poster Session 1
Space Weather Posters I
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Michael Wiltberger, NCAR
197
Telling the Story of Space Weather
William B. Cade III, Baylor Univ., Waco, TX

198
199
GOES-R Space Weather Capabilities: Improved Measurements and New Products
Margaret Tilton, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. Rowland, S. M. Codrescu, D. Seaton, and R. Redmon

203
Space Weather Intelligence System (SPRINTS)
Alexander Engell, NextGen Federal Systems, Havre de Grace, MD

204
Quantifying the Effect of Solar Storms on Total Electron Count (TEC) in the Ionosphere over U.S. Sector Using Neural Networks
Disha Sardana, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Univ., Blacksburg, VA; and G. Earle

205
First Results from the Solar Ultraviolet Imager on GOES-16
Daniel Seaton, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Darnel, C. G. Edwards, D. P. Mathur, D. S. Sabolish, R. Seguin, M. Shaw, L. Shing, G. Slater, and G. Vasudevan

206
Unphysical Behavior in IRI-2016 and Suitability for Space Weather Operations
David Rainwater, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and A. Kuck and C. Deal

208
The Great American Eclipse Weather Phenomena
Anthony V Papol, Brown Univ., Pendleton, OR; and V. Papol

209
Surface Flux Measurements during the 21 August 2017 Total Solar Eclipse
W. Scott Gunter, Columbus State Univ., Columbus, GA

212
Method and Validation for Determining Hooke TID Parameters from GNSS Data
Jacob Schofield, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and D. Rainwater

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Exhibits Opening and Reception
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Ryan Symposium Reception
Location: The Reverbery at the Hilton (Austin, Texas)

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Next Steps in Space Weather Research and Forecasting
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Richard A. Behnke, Retired
Moderator: William J. Murtagh, NOAA
Panelists: Steven Clarke, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Louis Uccellini, NOAA National Weather Service (NWS); Paul Shepson, NSF; Elsayed Talaat, NASA; Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force; Kenyetta Blunt, FEMA
8:30 AM
Introduction - Richard Behnke
8:30 AM
Opening Slides - Willaim Murtagh
8:30 AM
Speaker 1 - Steven Clarke
8:30 AM
Speaker 2 - Louis Uccellini

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Coffee . Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 4
Major Scientific Challenges in Space Weather—Part I
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Valbona Kunkel, NOAA/NWS/EMC via IMSG
10:30 AM
4.1
Modeling Geomagnetic Storms Based on Predicted Solar Wind Properties
Jonathan Krall, NRL, Washington, DC; and J. D. Huba and V. Kunkel
10:45 AM
4.2
Day-to-Day Variability and Predictability of the Ionosphere
Tomoko Matsuo, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and C. T. Hsu, T. W. Fang, and T. J. Fuller-Rowell

11:00 AM
4.3
Comparison of Two Medium Energy Electron Data Sets in WACCM
Josh Pettit, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and C. Randall, E. D. Peck, D. R. Marsh, C. Bardeen, and X. Fang
11:15 AM
4.4
Understanding and Forecasting Upper Atmosphere Nitric Oxide through Data Mining Analysis of TIMED/SABER Data
Delores J. Knipp, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and S. Flynn, T. Matsuo, M. G. Mlynczak, and L. A. Hunt
11:30 AM
4.5
Earth-Affecting Coronal Mass Ejections without Obvious Low Coronal Signatures
Nariaki Nitta, Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Center, Palo Alto, CA; and T. Skov

11:45 AM
4.6
SEP Modeling Based on Global Heliospheric Models at the CCMC
M. Leila Mays, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Luhmann, D. Odstrcil, H. Bain, N. A. Schwadron, M. Gorby, Y. Li, K. Lee, C. Zeitlin, C. Lee, L. Jian, R. Mewaldt, and A. Galvin

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 5
Observational Platforms for Space Weather—Part III
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Robert M. Robinson, Inspace
1:30 PM
5.1
Planning for Future Space Weather Observational Platforms
Frank W. Gallagher III, NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and K. St. Germain, T. G. Onsager, D. Biesecker, M. W. Maier, and I. Azeem
1:45 PM
5.2
Space Weather Observational Priorities in the NSOSA Satellite Architecture Planning Study
Terrance G. Onsager, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Biesecker, R. A. Anthes, M. W. Maier, F. W. Gallagher III, and K. St. Germain
2:00 PM
5.3
U.S. Air Force Space Weather Federal Agency Perspective
Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC
2:15 PM
5.4
2:30 PM
5.5
The USAF Space Weather Operations Center
John Ross, 557 Weather Wing, Space Weather Operations Center, Offutt AFB, NE
2:45 PM
5.6
NCEI Sun to Earth: Space Weather Observations, Activities, and Services
Rob Redmon, ; and J. V. Rodriguez, J. M. Darnel, J. L. Machol, B. Kress, P. T. M. Loto'aniu, D. Seaton, S. Califf, and W. F. Denig

3:00 PM
5.7
A Policy Framework to Enhance National Space Weather Resilience
Seth Jonas, Institute for Defense Analyses/Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, DC; and B. Caldwell

3:15 PM
5.8
Blending of Space-Based and Ground-Based Magnetograms: Application to Combining L5 and Ground-Based Observations for Solar Wind Forecasting
Thomas Berger, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and G. Petrie, L. Bertello, A. A. Pevtsov, V. Martinez-Pillet, N. arge, C. Henney, and K. Shurkin

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Peter J. Webster Symposium Banquet
Location: Ballroom A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 6
Major Scientific Challenges in Space Weather—Part II
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Michael Wiltberger, NCAR
8:30 AM
6.1
Geoelectric Field Maps: Progress on NOAA's Operational Near-Real-Time Geoelectric Field Estimation Capability
Christopher C. Balch, NOAA/NWS/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO; and A. Kelbert, E. J. Rigler, and A. Pulkkinen
8:45 AM
6.2
Solar Atmosphere to Earth's Surface: Long Lead Time dB/dt Predictions with the Space Weather Modeling Framework
Daniel T. Welling, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and W. Manchester, N. P. Savani, M. Jin, I. Sokolov, B. Van der Holst, G. Toth, M. Liemohn, and T. Gombosi
9:00 AM
6.3
Calculating Realistic Voltages across the U.S. Power Grid Utilizing Measured Impedances and Magnetic Fields
Greg Lucas, USGS, Denver, CO; and J. J. Love, A. Kelbert, P. A. Bedrosian, and E. J. Rigler

9:30 AM
6.5
Overview of Science Challenges Hindering Our Understanding of Extreme GICs
Chigomezyo M. Ngwira, Catholic Univ. of America, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Pulkkinen
9:45 AM
6.6

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 7
Impact of Space Weather on Communication
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Larisa Goncharenko, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
10:30 AM
7.1
Space Weather Effects on Satellite Navigation
Y. Jade Morton, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and H. Bourne, B. Breitsch, I. Collet, Y. Jiao, G. Myer, C. Rino, S. Taylor, J. Wang, and D. Xu
10:45 AM
7.2
Space Weather Effects on Communication and Navigation
Keith M. Groves, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA; and P. Doherty and C. S. Carrano

11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 4
Shifting Paradigms: Communicating Space Weather through Social and Broadcast Media
Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Conference on Space Weather; and the 46th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology )
Chair: Tamitha Skov, Aerospace Corporation
CoChair: Michael Cook, Space Weather Operations Center and Apogee Engineering
Panelists: Delores J. Knipp, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Nathaniel A. Frissell, Ham Radio Science Citizen Investigation; Elizabeth MacDonald, NASA; Paul Gross, WDIV-TV Detroit
11:15 AM
Introduction - Tamitha Skov
11:30 AM
Resources - Delores Knipp
11:45 AM
Auroras - Liz MacDonald
12:00 PM
Ham Radio and Space Weather - Nathaniel Frissell

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Lecture 2
2018 Horton Lecture
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
1:30 PM
L2.1
Rain Rates from Space: Past & Future (Invited Presentation)
Gerald R. North, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


98th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin, Texas)