* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 8 February 2003
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-5:00 PM, Saturday Conference Registration* (Joint between the 19th Conference on IIPS, the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges, the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, the 17TH Conference on Hydrology, the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere, the 12th Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, the 12th Symposium on Education, the 12th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, the 7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle, the 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds, the 3rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to the Environmental Science, and the Symposium on the F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment)
Sunday, 9 February 2003
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 10 February 2003
	7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)
	9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday Session 1 State of the Science: The Role of the Carbon Cycle in the Earth System
Organizers: Lisa Dilling, NOAA/OAR, Silver Springs, MD; Tony J. Busalacchi, ESSIC, University of Maryland
9:00 AM 1.1 Carbon-Climate interaction as a first-order source of uncertainty in future climate   Scott Denning, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 9:30 AM 1.2 Atmospheric observations of the carbon cycle and the North American Carbon Program   Pieter P. Tans, NOAA/CMDL, Boulder, CO 9:45 AM 1.3 The North American Carbon Program and AmeriFlux: Understanding carbon sources and sinks at multiple scales   Beverly E. Law, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 10:00 AM 1.4 Tradeoffs between measurement accuracy and cost, vertical and horizontal sampling density, and signal strength and variability in an expanded CO2 observing network   Britton Stephens, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Schimel, D. Baker, R. Dargaville, S. Aulenbach, J. Oxelson, D. Brown, and C. S. I. Participants 10:15 AM Coffee Break in Poster Session Room   10:45 AM 1.5 Data assimilation for carbon cycle studies   David Schimel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Hibbard and D. Baker 11:00 AM 1.6 The changing carbon cycle: contribution from climate variability   Ning Zeng, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Murtugudde and J. Christian 11:15 AM 1.7 Toward a Comprehensive Carbon Budget for North America: Potential Applications of Adjoint Methods with Diverse Datasets   Arlyn Andrews, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 11:30 AM 1.8 Long-term changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide   Francisco P. Chavez, MBARI, Moss Landing, CA; and S. C. Wofsy 11:45 AM 1.9 The role of the equatorial Pacific on interannual and interdecadal variations of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes   Richard A. Feely, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and F. Chai, F. Chavez, M. J. McPhaden, and R. Wanninkhof
	12:00 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 2 Climate Change Modeling: I
Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
1:30 PM 2.1 Factors affecting climate sensitivity in global coupled climate models   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington and J. M. Arblaster 2:00 PM 2.2 The South-Asian Brown Cloud: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model study of its impact on the Monsoon, El-Nino and the Hyrdological Cycle   Veerabhadran Ramanathan, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. T. Kiehl, T. Bettge, W. M. Washington, and . C. Chung 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 2.3 Detectability of anthropogenic changes in temperature and precipitation extremes   Gabriele C. Hegerl, Duke University, Durham, NC; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott 4:15 PM 2.4 Response of South Asian Monsoon climate to global warming in GFDL ensemble climate simulations   Hailan Wang, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and N. C. Lau 4:30 PM 2.5 Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the western U.S   L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian, X. Bian, W. M. Washington, J. Han, and J. O. Roads 4:45 PM 2.6 Hydrologic assessment: application of extreme value theory for climate extreme scenarios construction   Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and M. Mirza, D. Etkin, and J. Milton 5:00 PM 2.7 Using ANOVA to Estimate the Relative Magnitude of Uncertainty in a Suite of Climate Change Scenarios   Julie A. Winkler, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI; and J. A. Andresen, G. Guentchev, E. A. Waller, and J. T. Brown 5:15 PM 2.8 The Impacts of Fraction of Precipitation as Snow on Snowpack Hydrology and General Circulation: A GCM study   Zong-Liang Yang, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Y. Niu
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 3 Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: I
Organizer: Chet Ropelewski, Columbia Univ., Palasades, NY
1:30 PM 3.1 Interannual variability in the North American monsoon: A general circulation model study   John D. Farrara, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Y. Yu 1:45 PM 3.2 Interannual variability of the western North Pacific summer monsoon: differences between ENSO and non-ENSO years   Chia Chou, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. Y. Tu and J. Y. Yu 2:00 PM 3.3 Paper has been moved to Poster Session P1, new paper number P1.30   2:15 PM 3.4 Mechanism and predictability of South American low-level jets   Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 3.5 Reconstrction of the oceanic precipitation from 1948 to the present   Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith 4:15 PM 3.6 Variability of River Streamflow and Climate   Carlos Roberto Mechoso, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 4:30 PM 3.7 Storm track variability as seen from aircraft and ship observations   Edmund K. M. Chang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY 4:45 PM 3.8 Evaluating the variability and budgets of global water cycle components   V. R. Sridhar, University of Washington; and G. Goteti, J. Sheffield, D. P. Lettenmaier, and E. F. Wood 5:00 PM 3.9 Covariability of Annual United States Tornado Report Counts and Climate Indices   Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. K. Wikle and R. W. Arritt 3.10 Teleconnection and US Rainfall Anomalies during the Northern Summer   Zhuo Wang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang and X. Fu
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday Poster Session 1 Poster Session: I
P1.1 Mountain uplift and ENSO   Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   P1.2 Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO2   Ping Liu, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. A. Meehl and G. Wu   P1.3 Ouranos: a Global Approach to Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Assessment   Réal Decoste, Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Beauchemin, A. Bourque, B. Bobée, R. Laprise, R. Laurence, C. A. Lin, R. Roy, and T. Ouarda   P1.4 PCMDI's "portrait" and "Taylor" diagrams, doing science with CDAT   Charles Doutriaux, PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and D. Williams and K. Taylor   P1.5 Seasonal Change of Asia Summer Monsoon Circulation and its Heat Source   Tomoaki Ose, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   P1.6 The ECCO Routine Global Ocean Data Assimilation System   Ichiro Fukumori, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and T. Lee, D. Menemenlis, and L. L. Fu   P1.7 The effect of spatial scale of climate change scenarios on crop production in the Southeastern United States   Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and L. O. Mearns, T. Mavromatis, W. Gao, L. R. McDaniel, and M. W. Downton   P1.8 The Effect of the Orbit of the sun on the Earth's Atmosphere   John C. Freeman, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. F. Hasling P1.9 The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on hydroelectric power generation in the Iberian peninsula   Ricardo M. Trigo, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, T. Osborn, S. Gámiz-Fortis, Y. Castro-Díez, and J. Corte-Real P1.10 The Indication of the decreasing temperature based on Oxygen isotope in Coral Porites.sp from Maudulung-sumba, Indonesia   Sri Yudawati Cahyarini, Indonesian Institute of Sciences, Research Centre for Geotechnology, Indonesia, Jawa Barat, Indonesia; and W. Hantoro, E. Yulianto, and B. Suwargadi   P1.11 Seasonal radiation balance of Africa   Donald P. Garber, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and T. Wong   P1.12 Using mean flow change as a proxy to infer inter-decadal storm track variability   Edmund K. M. Chang, Stony Brook University, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY   P1.13 Validation and Diagnosis of AMIP II Land-surface Simulations   Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and A. Henderson-Sellers, P. Irannejad, K. McGuffie, S. Sharmeen, and H. Zhang   P1.14 Long term climatological changes in fog intensity and coverage   Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam Corporation, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars   P1.15 A Comparison of the Weather in U.S. Cities During the 1983–'84 and 1998–'99 La Nina's   Heather L. Honnette, U. S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith   P1.16 Paper moved to Poster Session 2, new paper number P2.30     P1.17 Analysis of diurnal and seasonal cycles in climatic trends for records with changes of observation times   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock and A. Basist   P1.18 Comparisons of the NCEP AMIP II integration(s) and the NCEP reanalysis   J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy   P1.19 Conceptual modeling of the climatic role of airborne mineral dust   Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville   P1.20 Decadal changes in summertime typhoon track   Joo-Hong Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. J. Baik, D. Y. Gong, and C. H. Sui   P1.21 Decadal Variability of the Bio-Climate Feedbacks in the Tropics   Raghu Murtugudde, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Ballabrera, J. Christian, J. Beauchamp, and A. J. Busalacchi   P1.22 Ensemble simulations of Asian-Australian monsoon anomalies during 1997–1998 El Nino by 11 AGCMs   Bin Wang, IPRC University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and I. S. Kang and J. Y. Lee   P1.23 Evaluation of the Entraining-Detraining Plume Model applied to the cumulus parameterization of the large-scale model   Jung-Hee Ryu, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. B. Ahn and J. H. Oh   P1.24 Assessment of Forcing Data Derived from ECMWF Model for SCMs at the ARM SGP Site   Shaocheng Xie, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and R. T. Cederwall, J. J. Yio, and M. Zhang   P1.25 Expanded Pre-1948 Digital Hourly Database   Mark Seiderman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, R. Truesdell, and D. Graybeal   P1.26 Factors affecting the latitudinal location of the intertropical convergence zone in a GCM   Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen   P1.27 Intraseasonal and Synoptic Variations of Radiation Budget   Takmeng Wong, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith   P1.28 Effect of Atlantic SST anomalies on the NAO and associated circulation features in CCM3: Tropical vs. extratropical SST anomalies   Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, CA   P1.29 Observed high latitude temperature change in North America(Formerly paper 4.9)   David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Gleason, D. Wuertz, and R. Vose   P1.30 Influence of Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian summer monsoon (Formerly paper number 3.3)   Jee-Hoon Jeong, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho and D. Y. Gong
	5:30 PM, Monday Sessions End for the Day
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 11 February 2003
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday Session 4 Observed Climate Change: I
Organizer: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:30 AM 4.1 Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the North American region   David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic, Australia 8:45 AM 4.2 Global atmospheric temperatures: Error estimates of AMSU/MSU v. 5.0   John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. W. Spencer and D. Braswell 9:00 AM 4.3 Intercomparison of global upper-air temperature datasets from radiosondes and satellites   Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. K. Angell, J. Christy, M. Free, S. Klein, J. Lanzante, C. Mears, D. Parker, M. Schabel, R. Spencer, A. Sterin, P. Thorne, and F. Wentz 9:15 AM 4.4 A new tropospheric temperature dataset from MSU   Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. C. Schabel and F. J. Wentz 9:30 AM 4.4A Observational Data Issues for Analysis of Extremes   Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 4.5 Changing Regional Hydrologic Vulnerabilities: Diagnosis and Potential Links to the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Trends   Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Hoerling 11:14 AM 4.6 Paper has been moved, new paper number 4.4A   11:15 AM 4.7 Expected regional variations and changes of mean and extreme climatology of Eastern/Central Europe   Judit Bartholy, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Matyasovszky, and V. Schlanger 11:30 AM 4.8 Contemporary climate changes in high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere: Daily time resolution   Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Sun, R. S. Vose, J. H. Lawrimore, P. H. Whitfield, E. Førland, I. Hanssen-Bauer, M. C. Serreze, V. N. Razuvaev, and G. V. Alekseev 11:44 AM 4.9 Paper has been moved to Poster Session 1, new paper number P1.29   11:45 AM 4.10 Reduced climate variability with global warming   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock, R. J. Stouffer, and A. Basist
	8:45 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday Session 5 Seasonal/Interannual Prediction
Organizer: Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
8:45 AM 5.1 Spring and summer seasonal predictability and the land surface   Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and M. Zhao and C. A. Schlosser 9:00 AM 5.2 On the delayed atmospheric response to ENSO SST   Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson 9:15 AM 5.3 Seasonal variability on Southeastern Brazil related to frontal systems behaviour in a climate simulation with the AGCM CPTEC/COLA   Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and L. H. R. Coura da Silva 9:30 AM 5.4 Temporal disaggregation of probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts   Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 5.5 Predictability of anomalous synoptic variability from interannual to interdecadal timescales   Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh 11:15 AM 5.6 Experimental forecasting of dry season storminess over Florida from the ENSO signal: latest results and advancements   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida 11:30 AM 5.7 Snow cover, soil moisture, and the Asian summer monsoon   Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Mu, K. Y. Vinnikov, and D. A. Robinson 11:45 AM 5.8 Extending Atmospheric Forecasts beyond Weather: The History of Climate Prediction   Robert W. Reeves, NOAA/NWS, Washington, DC; and D. Gemmill, R. Livezey, and J. Laver
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday Poster Session 2 Poster Session II
P2.1 Long-term Variations in the 1000+ Year PCM Control Run   Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, T. W. Bettge, and W. G. Strand   P2.2 Lidar observation of mid-latitude water vapor layers near the tropopause   John E. Wessel, Aerospace Corp, Los Angeles, CA; and R. W. Farley   P2.3 LASE characterization of the hurricane environment and the influence of moisture on hurricane forecasting   Syed Ismail, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, R. A. Ferrare, S. A. Kooi, A. Notari, J. B. Halverson, T. N. Krishnamurti, and K. Rupa   P2.4 Interannual variations in the south Asian haze forcing: Implications to ENSO   Chul Eddy Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan P2.5 Indian Ocean Dipole and Regional Climate Variability   Lishan Tseng, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan   P2.6 Implementation of the NCAR Community Land Model (CLM) in the NASA/NCAR finite-volume Global Climate Model (fvGCM)   Jon D. Radakovich, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Wang, J. D. Chern, M. G. Bosilovich, S. J. Lin, S. Nebuda, and B. W. Shen   P2.7 Why did the two strongest El Niños in the instrumental record occur in the last two decades?   De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO   P2.8 Performance of the Meteolabor "Snow White" chilled-mirror hygrometer in the tropical troposphere: Comparisons with the Vaisala RS80 A/H-Humicap sensors   Masatomo Fujiwara, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Japan; and M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, H. Vömel, S. J. Oltmans, P. W. Ruppert, T. Horinouchi, and T. Tsuda   P2.9 Paper moved to the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, Session JP2, New Paper number JP2.16     P2.10 Use of small basin networks for monitoring continental scale changes in the water cycle   J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and E. F. Wood   P2.11 Understanding the dynamic link between tropical climate variation and winter storms along the US west coast through numerical simulations   James M. Wilczak, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, S. A. Michelson, P. J. Neiman, and F. M. Ralph   P2.12 Tropical diabatic heating structure: the role of convective processes and differences between models and observations   F. R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Roads, R. Oglesby, and S. Marshall   P2.13 The Absorption of NIR Solar Radiation by Precipitating Clouds   Wayne F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada; and E. Puckrin   P2.14 Regional climate scenarios set development for hydrological impact studies   Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and J. Milton   P2.15 Quasi-equilibrium closure in convective parameterization: a revisit   Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA   P2.16 Impact of ENSO on Snowpack over the Western United States: A GCM Study   Jiming Jin, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao   P2.17 High-Resolution Global Simulation of the Climatic Effects of Increased Greenhouse Gases   Bala Govindasamy, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. B. Duffy   P2.18 Climate monitoring using spectrally resolved infrared radiances from space   Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and R. M. Goody and J. G. Anderson   P2.19 Climate Change Induced Streamflow In the Upper Mississippi River Basin   Manoj Jha, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and Z. Pan, E. Takle, and R. Gu   P2.20 Balloon-borne observations of water vapor and ozone in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere   Holger Vömel, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Fujiwara, M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, and S. Oltmans   P2.21 Atmospheric mass and momentum signals in climate and Earth studies   David A. Salstein, AER, Lexington, MA   P2.22 AIRS Data and Data Support at NASA GES DISC DAAC   Sunmi Cho, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Qin, J. Li, and A. K. Sharma   P2.23 Building Climate Change Scenarios of Temperature and Precipitation in Atlantic Canada using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM)   Gary S. Lines, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and M. Pancura and C. Lander   P2.24 Climate Sensitivity and Thermal Inertia   Qigang Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. R. North   P2.25 Development of a stochastic cloud-radiation parameterization   Dana E. Lane, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and R. C. J. Somerville and S. F. Iacobellis   P2.26 Effects of climate change on extreme precipitation events in the western US   Jinwon Kim, University of California, Los Angeles, CA   P2.27 Effects of the Andes on the Eastern Pacific Climate: Regional Model Simulation   Haiming Xu, IPRC/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie and Y. Wang   P2.28 Ground-based Observation of Artic middle Atmospheric Water Vapor from 1995–2001   Paul Hartogh, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Aeronomie, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany   P2.29 Determination of radiative forcing by dust using surface and satellite measurements   Anand K. Inamdar, University of California/SIO, La Jolla, CA; and M. V. Ramana and V. Ramanathan   P2.30 A Greenhouse Gas Index for communicating the global greenhouse gas buildup (Formerly paper P1.16)   Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
	12:15 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Joint Session 4 Water Vapor Observations and Processes (Joint with 14th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations, 7th Symp. on IOS, Fifth Conf. on Atmospheric Chemistry, and Symp. on Observing and Understanding the Varability of Water in Weather and Climate)
Organizer: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM J4.1 A Summary of the SPARC Water Vapor Assessment Report   Dieter Kley, Forschungszentrum Juelich, Juelich, Germany; and J. M. Russell 1:45 PM J4.2 Cross-Tropopause Convective Transport of Water Vapor: Model Study, Satellite Observation, and Implications   Pao K. Wang, Unversity of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 2:00 PM J4.3 Variations in stratospheric water vapor and tropical tropopause temperatures   William J. Randel, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:15 PM J4.4 Cloud physics and water vapor in the evanescent convection altitude regime   Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and A. Dessler 2:30 PM J4.5 Modeling water vapor and its changes in the tropical tropopause region   Andrew Gettelman, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:45 PM J4.6 Validating and Understanding the Water Vapor and Cloud Feedbacks in the NCAR CCSM   De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. Zhang, J. Fasullo, and A. Roubicek 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)   3:30 PM J4.7 A new look at cloud radiative forcing: Coupling with water vapor forcing   B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and J. Schmetz and V. Ramanathan 3:45 PM J4.8 Spatio-temporal analysis and comparison of total precipitable water from different datasets   Arief Sudradjat, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Ferraro 4:00 PM J4.9 Global precipitable water variations since 1973 based on preliminary radiosonde instrument adjustments   Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 4:15 PM J4.10 Relative importance of the land surface latent flux and large-scale moisture transport in determining the onset of rainy season over Amazon   R. Fu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 4:30 PM J4.11 Surface evaporation and the greenhouse effect over the intertropical oceans   Rémy Roca, LMD, Palaiseau, France; and A. Gershunov 4:45 PM J4.12 Regional Hydrological Cycle and Weather and Climate in the Contiguous United States   Qi Hu, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and S. Feng 5:00 PM J4.13 The atmospheric moisture budget in the Arctic—introducing and applying a consistent method to use radiosonde data   Reinhard M. Hagenbrock, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and M. Göber, F. Ament, and A. Hense 5:15 PM J4.14 Moisture Variations Associated with the Initiation of Madden-Julian Oscillation   Bryan C. Weare, University of California, Davis, CA
	3:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday Session 6 Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: II
Organizer: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
3:30 PM 6.1 The Influence of the NAO/AO on Temperature Extremes in the Northeastern United States   Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Wettstein 3:45 PM 6.2 Arctic Oscillation versus North Atlantic Oscillation: Arguments based on the principal component analysis methodology   Radan Huth, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Praha, Czech Republic 4:00 PM 6.3 The Artic Oscillation—Is It A Physical Mode?   Julian X.L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD 4:15 PM 6.4 Associations between Low Frequency Variability Modes and Winter Climatic Extremes in Canada   Amir Shabbar, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. Bonsal 4:30 PM 6.5 Fluctuations in freezing rain incidences in the United States   David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and R. Bigley and S. A. Changnon 4:45 PM 6.6 NAO Influence on Maximum and Minimum Temperature of the Iberian Peninsula   M.-J. Esteban-Parra, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, Y. Castro-Díez, and R. M. Trigo 5:00 PM 6.7 El NiÑo/Southern Oscillation impacts on peak wind gusts in the United States   Jesse G. Enloe, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien 5:15 PM 6.8 Euro-Mediterranean rainfall and ENSO—a seasonally varying relationship   Annarita Mariotti, ENEA Climate Section, Rome, Italy; and N. Zeng and K. -. M. Lau 5:30 PM 6.9 Variability of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies   Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. V. Carvalho, W. Higgins, D. Waliser, and J. K. Schemm
	5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC
	5:45 PM, Tuesday Sessions End for the Day
Wednesday, 12 February 2003
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday Session 7 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: I
Organizer: Alan Basist, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:30 AM 7.1 The Effects of Amazonian, African and Southeast Asian Deforestation   David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar 8:45 AM 7.2 Simulations of South American monsoon and the effects of land surface processes   Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Li, F. Sales, S. Chou, and H. M. Juang 9:00 AM 7.3 Global scale climate changes due to observed landcover changes in the vicinity of the southeast Asian jet   Thomas N. Chase, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 9:15 AM 7.4 Southern intertropical convergence zones—annual and interannual variations   W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday Session 8 Observed Climate Change: II
Organizer: Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 8.1 Changes in characteristics of United States snowfall over the last half of the twentieth century   Daria Scott, St. Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN; and D. Kaiser 8:45 AM 8.2 Long-term trends in snowpack in the Pacific Northwest   Philip W. Mote, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet and D. P. Lettenmaier 9:00 AM 8.3 Damaging Freezing Rainstorms in the United States, 1949–2000   Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL 9:15 AM 8.4 Digitization of 1800s daily forts data   Karen Andsager, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL; and L. Nicodemus
	9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade
	10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology
	12:00 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break
	1:25 PM-5:29 PM, Wednesday Joint Session 7 U. S. Global Change Research Program water cycle initiative (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
1:25 PM Opening Remarks by James Mahoney, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere (NOAA)   1:30 PM J7.1 An overview of global water cycle scientific issues (Invited Presentation)   Roni Avissar, Duke University, Durham, NC 1:45 PM J7.2 USGCRP and CCRI: Improved Management of the Science-Policy Interface (Invited Presentation)   Richard Moss, U.S. Global Change Research Program Office, Washington, DC 2:00 PM J7.3 Contextual Considerations for the US Global Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)   Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Eden 2:15 PM J7.4 NASA plans for a Water- and Energy-cycle Resarch (WatER) Initiative to Advance Global Water Cycle Science and Prediction (Invited Presentation)   C. Adam Schlosser, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. L. Bras 2:30 PM J7.5 Water Cycle Research at the National Science Foundation (Invited Presentation)   Pamela L. Stephens, NSF, Arlington, VA 2:45 PM Questions and Discussions: Avissar, Moss, Lawford, Stephens, and Schlosser   3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibit Hours 1:30–7:30 p.m.)   3:30 PM J7.6 NOAA Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)   Jin Huang, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Lawford J7.7 DOE water cycle activities (Invited Presentation)   Wanda R. Ferrell, DOE, Germantown, MD 3:44 PM J7.7a DOE WATER CYCLE ACTIVITIES (INVITED PRESENTATION)   Wanda R. Ferrell, DOE, Germantown, MD; and T. Cress 3:59 PM J7.8 Overview of water resources research issues pertaining to the Bureau of Reclamation (Invited Presentation)   Shannon E. Cunniff, Bureau of Reclamation, Washington, DC 4:14 PM J7.9 A Strategy for Global Water Cycle Research   Paul R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 4:29 PM J7.10 The U.S. Global Water Cycle Initiative and its Interface with the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) (Invited Presentation)   Soroosh Sorooshian, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. Try and M. P. L. Whitaker 4:44 PM J7.11 The water cycle across scales: An NCAR initiative   Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hack, M. A. LeMone, M. Moncrieff, D. Parsons, K. Trenberth, T. Warner, and J. Wilson 4:59 PM J7.12 The U.S. Weather Research Program and its Contributions to Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather   Ward R. Seguin, NOAA/U.S. Weather Research Program Interagency Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Gaynor and R. Gall 5:14 PM Oral Briefings: 1–2 Minute Presentation Summarizing Posters in Session JP4 (Please note that the Formal Viewing Time for these posters will be on Thursday, 13 February at 9:45 a.m.)
	1:30 PM, Wednesday Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
	1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday Session 9 Model Diagnostics and Evaluation
Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
1:30 PM 9.1 AGCM Simulations of Intraseasonal Variability Associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon   Duane E. Waliser, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Jin, I. S. Kang, W. F. Stern, S. D. Schubert, K. -. M. Lau, M. -. I. Lee, V. Krishnamurthy, A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, V. Y. Galin, V. Satyan, S. K. Mandke, G. Wu, Y. Liu, and C. -. K. Park 2:00 PM 9.2 Diurnal Variations in the Community Climate System Model   Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. E. Trenberth 2:15 PM 9.3 The role of the diurnal cycle in maintaining the mean state of the climate system   Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Hiltner, R. Hansell, J. Y. Kim, V. LaLiberte, W. L. Lee, N. Lovenduski, B. Medeiros, X. Qu, S. Wang, K. N. Liou, and B. Stevens 2:30 PM 9.4 Modelling evidence for the role of the Western Pacific in determining Pacific decadal variability   Bin Yu, MSC, Victoria, BC, Canada; and G. J. Boer 2:45 PM 9.5 Evaluation of the mean simulated climate of the Community Climate System Model   Michael Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and C. Covey 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–7:30 p.m.)   3:30 PM 9.6 Statistical limitations for diagnosing changes in extremes from climate model simulations   Christoph Frei, ETH, Zürich, Switzerland 3:45 PM 9.7 Snow Cover Simulations in the Second Phase of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project   Allan Frei, Hunter College, City University of New York, New York, NY; and J. A. Miller and D. A. Robinson 4:00 PM 9.8 Preliminary Results from the CCPP-ARM GCM Analysis of Tendency Errors (CA-GATE) project   J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and D. Williamson, G. L. Potter, J. S. Boyle, T. J. Phillips, and M. Fiorino 4:15 PM 9.9 Stabilization of column physics by parameterized dynamical tendencies   John W Bergman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh 4:30 PM 9.10 Statistical correction of Central Southwest Asian winter precipition simulations   Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Barlow and B. Lyon 4:45 PM 9.11 Sensitivity of cloud-radiation interactions to cloud microphysics   Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville, G. M. McFarquhar, and D. Mitchell 5:00 PM 9.12 Evaluation of climate model simulations of HIRS water-vapor channel radiances   Richard P. Allan, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. A. Ringer
	5:30 PM, Wednesday Sessions End for the Day
	6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday Reception (Cash Bar)
	7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 13 February 2003
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday Joint Session 2 Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International, Billerica, MA
8:30 AM J2.1 Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts   Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 8:45 AM J2.2 Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market   Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher 9:00 AM J2.3 National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data   Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC 9:15 AM J2.4 The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts   Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY 9:30 AM J2.5 What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?   Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday Session 10 Observed Climate Change: III
8:30 AM 10.1 Observed changes in mean tropical cloudiness and net radiation since 1952   Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA 8:45 AM 10.2 The Atlantic Hurricane database Re-analysis Project: Results for the first 60 years—1851 to 1910   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, N. Charles, G. Clark, J. Dunion, J. Fernandez-Partagas, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, and M. Zimmer 9:00 AM 10.3 Characteristics of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in the United States: Variability and Synoptic Climatology   Joshua D. Larson, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Silver Springs, MD and Williams College, Williamstown, MA; and R. W. Higgins 9:15 AM 10.4 Developing global climatologies of severe thunderstorms from reanalysis-derived soundings   Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. W. Lee and J. P. Craven 9:30 AM 10.5 A method to infer historic tornado frequency from radiosonde records   Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday Session 11 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: II
8:30 AM 11.1 What controls the climatological depth of the PBL?   Brian Medeiros, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall, B. Stevens, and S. Wang 8:45 AM 11.2 Sensitivity of land climate to leaf area index: role of surface conductance versus albedo   Katrina Hales, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and N. Zeng 9:00 AM 11.3 A hydro-thermodynamic soil module to describe soil frost in climate models   Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK 9:15 AM 11.4 Integrating a river routing scheme in the ORCHIDEE land-surface scheme   Jan Polcher, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique du CNRS, Paris, France; and A. C. Vivant and K. Laval 9:30 AM 11.5 Impact of irrigation over India on the land surface fluxes   Patricia de Rosnay, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and J. Polcher and K. Laval
	9:00 AM, Thursday Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
	9:45 AM, Thursday Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday Joint Poster Session 1 ENSO and Global-Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere)
JP1.1 Tropical Ocean Recharge Mechanism for Climate Variability: A Unified Theory for Decadal and ENSO Modes   Xiaochun Wang, JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and F. F. Jin, Y. Wang, and Y. Chao   JP1.2 The nonlinear ENSO mode and its interdecadal changes   Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh   JP1.3 MJO forecast with the NCEP MRF model: Necessity of the inclusion of an interactive ocean   Wanqiu Wang, SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha and R. Kistler   JP1.4 Influences of air-sea coupling and continental monsoons on the climate of the tropical Pacific   Xiouhua Fu, IPRC, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang   JP1.5 Large-Scale Characteristics Associated with Spring Heavy Rain Events over Taiwan in the Warm and Non-warm Episodes   Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and G. T. J. Chen and M. C. Wu   JP1.6 A null hypothesis of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation   Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO   JP1.7 A Near-Annual Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Mode in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean   Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin, J. S. Kug, and I. S. Kang
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday Poster Session 3 Poster Session III
P3.1 Recent changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods   Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth   P3.2 Seasonality in SST Forced Atmospheric Short-Term Climate Predictability   Xiao-Wei Quan, NOAA/CDC/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, and H. R. Chang   P3.3 Spatiotemporal variability in MODIS-derived surface albedo over global arid and semiarid regions   Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and C. B. Schaaf, F. Gao, A. H. Strahler, R. E. Dickinson, X. Zeng, and W. Lucht   P3.4 The impact of changinf land cover on the summertime climate of the U.S   Somnath Baidya Roy, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and C. P. Weaver, G. Hurtt, and S. W. Pacala   P3.5 Multi-Decadal Regime Shifts in United States Precipitation, Temperature and Streamflow at the end of the 20th Century   Steven A. Mauget, USDA/ARS, Lubbock, TX   P3.6 The Influence of PNA and NAO Patterns on Temperature Anomalies in the Midwest During Four Recent El Nino Events: A Statistical Study   Dayton Vincent, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Lashley, S. O'Connor, M. Skipper, B. O'Hara, T. Reaugh, and G. Lamberty   P3.7 The seasonal pattern of recent change in precipitation normals   Jurgen D. Garbrecht, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. M. Schneider and J. X. Zhang   P3.8 Understanding biosphere-atmosphere interactions through a detailed energy budget analysis of Earth’s biomes   Peter K. Snyder, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. H. Hitchman and J. A. Foley   P3.9 Variability of the North American Monsoon System: An analysis of climate dynamics and frequency modes   Eileen A. Hall-McKim, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. W. Nolin and M. C. Serreze   P3.10 The relationship between low-frequency North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and eastern North American climate   Anthony Arguez, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien   P3.11 Modeling Intra-seasonal to Interannual Variability of Precipitation over Central America   Robert J. Oglesby, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. O. Roads, F. R. Robertson, and S. Marshall   P3.12 A study on the cloud variability in the east Asia   Kazuaki Kawamoto, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan; and T. Hayasaka and T. Nakajima   P3.13 African Easterly Waves: dynamical stability and possible precursors   Nicholas Hall, LEGI, Grenoble, France; and A. Diedhiou   P3.14 Analysis of Subseasonal Variability in Precipitation Over the United States   David Small, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH; and S. Islam   P3.15 Antarctic oscillation variations and teleconnections with convective activity in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone   Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and T. Ambrizzi   P3.16 A seasonal comparison of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) to surface temperature, mixing ratio and precipitation in Texas for the years 1975–1997   Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson, A. L. Doggett, and J. L. Schroeder P3.17 Dependency of tropical interannual variability on atmospheric horizontal resolution in a CGCM   Silvio Gualdi, INGV, Bologna, Italy; and A. Navarra, E. Guilyardi, and P. Delecluse   P3.18 Impact of the Phenomenon La-niña 1998–2000 on the precipitation regimen in the region of the Amazon Medium   David Mendes, University of Lisbon, Lisboa, Portugal; and M. C. Damião Mendes   P3.19 Interannual and interdecadal variability in the predominant Pacific Region SST anomaly patterns   Derrick K. Weitlich, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and E. P. Kelsey, A. R. Lupo, and J. E. Woolard   P3.20 Longwave Surface Radiation Budget and Climate   Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, S. K. Gupta, and P. W. Stackhouse   P3.21 Paper have been moved to Session 11, new paper number 11.5
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday Joint Poster Session 4 U.S. Global Change Research Program Water Cycle Initiative Poster Session (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
ORAL BRIEFINGS: 1-2 MINUTE PRESENTATION SUMMERIZING POSTERS IN SESSION JP4 WILL BE HELD ON WEDNESDAY AT 5:15 P.M. AS PART OF SESSION J7     JP4.1 Integrating water cycle research activities at NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center   Deborah R. Belvedere, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser and C. A. Schlosser   JP4.2 The second GEWEX Global Soil Wetness Project (GSWP2)   Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and T. Oki
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Session 12 General Circulation and Teleconnections
11:00 AM 12.1 Evaluating Multi-decadale Trends in Tropical CAPE   Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall 11:15 AM 12.2 Roles of Ocean in the Biennial Transitions between Indian and Australian Monsoons   Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and S. P. Weng 11:30 AM 12.3 Seamless poleward atmospheric energy transports   Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Stepaniak 11:45 AM 12.4 Terrestrial hydrological states and teleconnections with SST phenomena   J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and G. Goteti, E. F. Wood, and D. P. Lettenmaier
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday Session 13 Climate Change Modeling: II
1:30 PM 13.1 Sensitivities of a high-resolution coupled GCM in a CO2 doubling experiment   Keiko Takahashi, Japan Marine Science and Technology Center, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and W. Ohfuchi, N. Komori, H. Nakamura, H. Sakuma, and T. Sato 2:00 PM 13.2 Can the CCM3 Global Climate Model Accurately Simulate the Arctic Oscillation?   Raymond Mooring, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 2:15 PM 13.3 A 12-year (1987–1998) ensemble simulation of the U.S. climate with a variable-resolution stretched-grid GCM   Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. L. Takacs and R. C. Govindaraju 2:30 PM 13.4 Impact of increased CO2 levels on interannual tropical variability   Antonio Navarra, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy; and C. Annalisa 2:45 PM 13.5 Interactions among cloud, water vapor, radiation and large-scale circulation in the tropical climate   Kristin Larson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Hartmann 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:00 p.m.)   3:30 PM 13.6 Runoff sensitivity to climate warming: a process study with a coupled climate-runoff model   Jan Kleinn, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. Frei, J. Gurtz, P. L. Vidale, and C. Schär 3:45 PM 13.7 Evaluating the A1 scenario in the CCSM for West Africa: 20th and 21st century climates   Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and E. M. Blaisdell 4:00 PM 13.8 Changes in thermohaline circulation in future climate   Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Meehl, W. Washington, and A. Dai 4:15 PM 13.9 The simulated impact of surface albedo feedback on climate variability   Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA 4:30 PM 13.10 Analysis of GCM predicted precipitation recycling over large basins   E. F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield 4:45 PM 13.11 Quasi-periodic natural variations in the Thermohaline Circulation and climate in a 1400 year coupled model calculation   Jeff R. Knight, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and R. J. Allan, C. K. Folland, and M. Vellinga 5:00 PM 13.12 A dynamically interactive column physics model suitable for diagnosing GCM errors and climate variability   Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bergman
	3:30 PM-5:45 PM, Thursday Joint Session 1 ENSO and Global-scale atmosphere-ocean coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere )
3:30 PM J1.1 Will Global warming Induce a Permanent El Nino? (It has happened before!)   George Philander, Princeton University, Princeton, N.J. 4:00 PM J1.2 Linkages between El Niño and Recent Tropical Warming   Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. -. I. An, A. Timmermann, and J. Zhao 4:15 PM J1.3 Evolution of El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific during 2002–03   Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA 4:30 PM J1.4 Tropical precipitation anomalies: ENSO teleconnections vs. global warming   J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su and C. Chou 4:45 PM J1.5 Surface Stress Balance in the Tropics   Matthias Munnich, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. Neelin 5:00 PM J1.6 The impact of ENSO on the North Pacific Ocean during summer   Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Scott 5:15 PM J1.7 Ocean-atmosphere interaction within equatorially trapped atmospheric waves   George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub 5:30 PM Conference ends
	5:30 PM, Thursday Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
	6:00 PM, Thursday Simpsons Banquet
	8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific

Browse the complete program of The 83rd Annual