14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 8 February 2003
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-5:00 PM, Saturday
Conference Registration* (Joint between the 19th Conference on IIPS, the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges, the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, the 17TH Conference on Hydrology, the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere, the 12th Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, the 12th Symposium on Education, the 12th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, the 7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle, the 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds, the 3rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to the Environmental Science, and the Symposium on the F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment)
Sunday, 9 February 2003
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
Monday, 10 February 2003
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)
9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 State of the Science: The Role of the Carbon Cycle in the Earth System
Organizers: Lisa Dilling, NOAA/OAR, Silver Springs, MD; Tony J. Busalacchi, ESSIC, University of Maryland
9:00 AM1.1Carbon-Climate interaction as a first-order source of uncertainty in future climate  
Scott Denning, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
9:30 AM1.2Atmospheric observations of the carbon cycle and the North American Carbon Program  
Pieter P. Tans, NOAA/CMDL, Boulder, CO
9:45 AM1.3The North American Carbon Program and AmeriFlux: Understanding carbon sources and sinks at multiple scales  
Beverly E. Law, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
10:00 AM1.4Tradeoffs between measurement accuracy and cost, vertical and horizontal sampling density, and signal strength and variability in an expanded CO2 observing network  
Britton Stephens, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Schimel, D. Baker, R. Dargaville, S. Aulenbach, J. Oxelson, D. Brown, and C. S. I. Participants
10:15 AMCoffee Break in Poster Session Room  
10:45 AM1.5Data assimilation for carbon cycle studies  
David Schimel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Hibbard and D. Baker
11:00 AM1.6The changing carbon cycle: contribution from climate variability  
Ning Zeng, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Murtugudde and J. Christian
11:15 AM1.7Toward a Comprehensive Carbon Budget for North America: Potential Applications of Adjoint Methods with Diverse Datasets  
Arlyn Andrews, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
11:30 AM1.8Long-term changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide  
Francisco P. Chavez, MBARI, Moss Landing, CA; and S. C. Wofsy
11:45 AM1.9The role of the equatorial Pacific on interannual and interdecadal variations of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes  
Richard A. Feely, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and F. Chai, F. Chavez, M. J. McPhaden, and R. Wanninkhof
12:00 PM, Monday
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday
Session 2 Climate Change Modeling: I
Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
1:30 PM2.1Factors affecting climate sensitivity in global coupled climate models  
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington and J. M. Arblaster
2:00 PM2.2The South-Asian Brown Cloud: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model study of its impact on the Monsoon, El-Nino and the Hyrdological Cycle  
Veerabhadran Ramanathan, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. T. Kiehl, T. Bettge, W. M. Washington, and . C. Chung
2:30 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
4:00 PM2.3Detectability of anthropogenic changes in temperature and precipitation extremes  extended abstract
Gabriele C. Hegerl, Duke University, Durham, NC; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott
4:15 PM2.4Response of South Asian Monsoon climate to global warming in GFDL ensemble climate simulations  
Hailan Wang, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and N. C. Lau
4:30 PM2.5Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the western U.S  
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian, X. Bian, W. M. Washington, J. Han, and J. O. Roads
4:45 PM2.6Hydrologic assessment: application of extreme value theory for climate extreme scenarios construction  extended abstract
Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and M. Mirza, D. Etkin, and J. Milton
5:00 PM2.7Using ANOVA to Estimate the Relative Magnitude of Uncertainty in a Suite of Climate Change Scenarios  extended abstract
Julie A. Winkler, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI; and J. A. Andresen, G. Guentchev, E. A. Waller, and J. T. Brown
5:15 PM2.8The Impacts of Fraction of Precipitation as Snow on Snowpack Hydrology and General Circulation: A GCM study  
Zong-Liang Yang, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Y. Niu
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday
Session 3 Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: I
Organizer: Chet Ropelewski, Columbia Univ., Palasades, NY
1:30 PM3.1Interannual variability in the North American monsoon: A general circulation model study  
John D. Farrara, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Y. Yu
1:45 PM3.2Interannual variability of the western North Pacific summer monsoon: differences between ENSO and non-ENSO years  extended abstract
Chia Chou, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. Y. Tu and J. Y. Yu
2:00 PM3.3Paper has been moved to Poster Session P1, new paper number P1.30  
2:15 PM3.4Mechanism and predictability of South American low-level jets  
Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu
2:30 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
4:00 PM3.5Reconstrction of the oceanic precipitation from 1948 to the present  extended abstract
Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith
4:15 PM3.6Variability of River Streamflow and Climate  
Carlos Roberto Mechoso, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
4:30 PM3.7Storm track variability as seen from aircraft and ship observations  
Edmund K. M. Chang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY
4:45 PM3.8Evaluating the variability and budgets of global water cycle components  
V. R. Sridhar, University of Washington; and G. Goteti, J. Sheffield, D. P. Lettenmaier, and E. F. Wood
5:00 PM3.9Covariability of Annual United States Tornado Report Counts and Climate Indices  extended abstract
Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. K. Wikle and R. W. Arritt
3.10Teleconnection and US Rainfall Anomalies during the Northern Summer  
Zhuo Wang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang and X. Fu
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Poster Session 1 Poster Session: I
 P1.1Mountain uplift and ENSO  extended abstract
Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 P1.2Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO2  extended abstract
Ping Liu, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. A. Meehl and G. Wu
 P1.3Ouranos: a Global Approach to Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Assessment  
Réal Decoste, Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Beauchemin, A. Bourque, B. Bobée, R. Laprise, R. Laurence, C. A. Lin, R. Roy, and T. Ouarda
 P1.4PCMDI's "portrait" and "Taylor" diagrams, doing science with CDAT  
Charles Doutriaux, PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and D. Williams and K. Taylor
 P1.5Seasonal Change of Asia Summer Monsoon Circulation and its Heat Source  extended abstract
Tomoaki Ose, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 P1.6The ECCO Routine Global Ocean Data Assimilation System  
Ichiro Fukumori, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and T. Lee, D. Menemenlis, and L. L. Fu
 P1.7The effect of spatial scale of climate change scenarios on crop production in the Southeastern United States  extended abstract
Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and L. O. Mearns, T. Mavromatis, W. Gao, L. R. McDaniel, and M. W. Downton
 P1.8The Effect of the Orbit of the sun on the Earth's Atmosphere  extended abstract
John C. Freeman, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. F. Hasling
P1.9The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on hydroelectric power generation in the Iberian peninsula  extended abstract
Ricardo M. Trigo, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, T. Osborn, S. Gámiz-Fortis, Y. Castro-Díez, and J. Corte-Real
P1.10The Indication of the decreasing temperature based on Oxygen isotope in Coral Porites.sp from Maudulung-sumba, Indonesia  
Sri Yudawati Cahyarini, Indonesian Institute of Sciences, Research Centre for Geotechnology, Indonesia, Jawa Barat, Indonesia; and W. Hantoro, E. Yulianto, and B. Suwargadi
 P1.11Seasonal radiation balance of Africa  extended abstract
Donald P. Garber, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and T. Wong
 P1.12Using mean flow change as a proxy to infer inter-decadal storm track variability  
Edmund K. M. Chang, Stony Brook University, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY
 P1.13Validation and Diagnosis of AMIP II Land-surface Simulations  
Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and A. Henderson-Sellers, P. Irannejad, K. McGuffie, S. Sharmeen, and H. Zhang
 P1.14Long term climatological changes in fog intensity and coverage  extended abstract
Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam Corporation, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars
 P1.15A Comparison of the Weather in U.S. Cities During the 1983–'84 and 1998–'99 La Nina's  extended abstract
Heather L. Honnette, U. S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith
 P1.16Paper moved to Poster Session 2, new paper number P2.30  
 P1.17Analysis of diurnal and seasonal cycles in climatic trends for records with changes of observation times  
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock and A. Basist
 P1.18Comparisons of the NCEP AMIP II integration(s) and the NCEP reanalysis  
J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy
 P1.19Conceptual modeling of the climatic role of airborne mineral dust  
Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville
 P1.20Decadal changes in summertime typhoon track  extended abstract
Joo-Hong Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. J. Baik, D. Y. Gong, and C. H. Sui
 P1.21Decadal Variability of the Bio-Climate Feedbacks in the Tropics  
Raghu Murtugudde, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Ballabrera, J. Christian, J. Beauchamp, and A. J. Busalacchi
 P1.22Ensemble simulations of Asian-Australian monsoon anomalies during 1997–1998 El Nino by 11 AGCMs  
Bin Wang, IPRC University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and I. S. Kang and J. Y. Lee
 P1.23Evaluation of the Entraining-Detraining Plume Model applied to the cumulus parameterization of the large-scale model  extended abstract
Jung-Hee Ryu, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. B. Ahn and J. H. Oh
 P1.24Assessment of Forcing Data Derived from ECMWF Model for SCMs at the ARM SGP Site  extended abstract
Shaocheng Xie, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and R. T. Cederwall, J. J. Yio, and M. Zhang
 P1.25Expanded Pre-1948 Digital Hourly Database  
Mark Seiderman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, R. Truesdell, and D. Graybeal
 P1.26Factors affecting the latitudinal location of the intertropical convergence zone in a GCM  
Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen
 P1.27Intraseasonal and Synoptic Variations of Radiation Budget  extended abstract
Takmeng Wong, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith
 P1.28Effect of Atlantic SST anomalies on the NAO and associated circulation features in CCM3: Tropical vs. extratropical SST anomalies  
Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, CA
 P1.29Observed high latitude temperature change in North America(Formerly paper 4.9)  
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Gleason, D. Wuertz, and R. Vose
 P1.30Influence of Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian summer monsoon (Formerly paper number 3.3)  extended abstract
Jee-Hoon Jeong, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho and D. Y. Gong
5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions End for the Day
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 11 February 2003
8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday
Session 4 Observed Climate Change: I
Organizer: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:30 AM4.1Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the North American region  
David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic, Australia
8:45 AM4.2Global atmospheric temperatures: Error estimates of AMSU/MSU v. 5.0  extended abstract
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. W. Spencer and D. Braswell
9:00 AM4.3Intercomparison of global upper-air temperature datasets from radiosondes and satellites  extended abstract
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. K. Angell, J. Christy, M. Free, S. Klein, J. Lanzante, C. Mears, D. Parker, M. Schabel, R. Spencer, A. Sterin, P. Thorne, and F. Wentz
9:15 AM4.4A new tropospheric temperature dataset from MSU  extended abstract
Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. C. Schabel and F. J. Wentz
9:30 AM4.4AObservational Data Issues for Analysis of Extremes  
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AM4.5Changing Regional Hydrologic Vulnerabilities: Diagnosis and Potential Links to the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Trends  
Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Hoerling
11:14 AM4.6Paper has been moved, new paper number 4.4A  
11:15 AM4.7Expected regional variations and changes of mean and extreme climatology of Eastern/Central Europe  extended abstract
Judit Bartholy, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Matyasovszky, and V. Schlanger
11:30 AM4.8Contemporary climate changes in high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere: Daily time resolution  extended abstract
Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Sun, R. S. Vose, J. H. Lawrimore, P. H. Whitfield, E. Førland, I. Hanssen-Bauer, M. C. Serreze, V. N. Razuvaev, and G. V. Alekseev
11:44 AM4.9Paper has been moved to Poster Session 1, new paper number P1.29  
11:45 AM4.10Reduced climate variability with global warming  
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock, R. J. Stouffer, and A. Basist
8:45 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Seasonal/Interannual Prediction
Organizer: Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
8:45 AM5.1Spring and summer seasonal predictability and the land surface  
Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and M. Zhao and C. A. Schlosser
9:00 AM5.2On the delayed atmospheric response to ENSO SST  
Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson
9:15 AM5.3Seasonal variability on Southeastern Brazil related to frontal systems behaviour in a climate simulation with the AGCM CPTEC/COLA  extended abstract
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and L. H. R. Coura da Silva
9:30 AM5.4Temporal disaggregation of probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts  extended abstract
Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AM5.5Predictability of anomalous synoptic variability from interannual to interdecadal timescales  
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh
11:15 AM5.6Experimental forecasting of dry season storminess over Florida from the ENSO signal: latest results and advancements  extended abstract
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida
11:30 AM5.7Snow cover, soil moisture, and the Asian summer monsoon  
Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Mu, K. Y. Vinnikov, and D. A. Robinson
11:45 AM5.8Extending Atmospheric Forecasts beyond Weather: The History of Climate Prediction  extended abstract
Robert W. Reeves, NOAA/NWS, Washington, DC; and D. Gemmill, R. Livezey, and J. Laver
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Poster Session 2 Poster Session II
 P2.1Long-term Variations in the 1000+ Year PCM Control Run  extended abstract
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, T. W. Bettge, and W. G. Strand
 P2.2Lidar observation of mid-latitude water vapor layers near the tropopause  
John E. Wessel, Aerospace Corp, Los Angeles, CA; and R. W. Farley
 P2.3LASE characterization of the hurricane environment and the influence of moisture on hurricane forecasting  
Syed Ismail, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, R. A. Ferrare, S. A. Kooi, A. Notari, J. B. Halverson, T. N. Krishnamurti, and K. Rupa
 P2.4Interannual variations in the south Asian haze forcing: Implications to ENSO  
Chul Eddy Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan
P2.5Indian Ocean Dipole and Regional Climate Variability  
Lishan Tseng, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan
 P2.6Implementation of the NCAR Community Land Model (CLM) in the NASA/NCAR finite-volume Global Climate Model (fvGCM)  extended abstract
Jon D. Radakovich, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Wang, J. D. Chern, M. G. Bosilovich, S. J. Lin, S. Nebuda, and B. W. Shen
 P2.7Why did the two strongest El Niños in the instrumental record occur in the last two decades?  
De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
 P2.8Performance of the Meteolabor "Snow White" chilled-mirror hygrometer in the tropical troposphere: Comparisons with the Vaisala RS80 A/H-Humicap sensors  
Masatomo Fujiwara, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Japan; and M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, H. Vömel, S. J. Oltmans, P. W. Ruppert, T. Horinouchi, and T. Tsuda
 P2.9Paper moved to the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, Session JP2, New Paper number JP2.16  
 P2.10Use of small basin networks for monitoring continental scale changes in the water cycle  extended abstract
J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and E. F. Wood
 P2.11Understanding the dynamic link between tropical climate variation and winter storms along the US west coast through numerical simulations  extended abstract
James M. Wilczak, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, S. A. Michelson, P. J. Neiman, and F. M. Ralph
 P2.12Tropical diabatic heating structure: the role of convective processes and differences between models and observations  
F. R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Roads, R. Oglesby, and S. Marshall
 P2.13The Absorption of NIR Solar Radiation by Precipitating Clouds  extended abstract
Wayne F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada; and E. Puckrin
 P2.14Regional climate scenarios set development for hydrological impact studies  extended abstract
Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and J. Milton
 P2.15Quasi-equilibrium closure in convective parameterization: a revisit  extended abstract
Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
 P2.16Impact of ENSO on Snowpack over the Western United States: A GCM Study  extended abstract
Jiming Jin, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao
 P2.17High-Resolution Global Simulation of the Climatic Effects of Increased Greenhouse Gases  extended abstract
Bala Govindasamy, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. B. Duffy
 P2.18Climate monitoring using spectrally resolved infrared radiances from space  
Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and R. M. Goody and J. G. Anderson
 P2.19Climate Change Induced Streamflow In the Upper Mississippi River Basin  extended abstract
Manoj Jha, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and Z. Pan, E. Takle, and R. Gu
 P2.20Balloon-borne observations of water vapor and ozone in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere  
Holger Vömel, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Fujiwara, M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, and S. Oltmans
 P2.21Atmospheric mass and momentum signals in climate and Earth studies  extended abstract
David A. Salstein, AER, Lexington, MA
 P2.22AIRS Data and Data Support at NASA GES DISC DAAC  
Sunmi Cho, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Qin, J. Li, and A. K. Sharma
 P2.23Building Climate Change Scenarios of Temperature and Precipitation in Atlantic Canada using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM)  extended abstract
Gary S. Lines, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and M. Pancura and C. Lander
 P2.24Climate Sensitivity and Thermal Inertia  
Qigang Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. R. North
 P2.25Development of a stochastic cloud-radiation parameterization  extended abstract
Dana E. Lane, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and R. C. J. Somerville and S. F. Iacobellis
 P2.26Effects of climate change on extreme precipitation events in the western US  extended abstract
Jinwon Kim, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
 P2.27Effects of the Andes on the Eastern Pacific Climate: Regional Model Simulation  extended abstract
Haiming Xu, IPRC/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie and Y. Wang
 P2.28Ground-based Observation of Artic middle Atmospheric Water Vapor from 1995–2001  
Paul Hartogh, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Aeronomie, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany
 P2.29Determination of radiative forcing by dust using surface and satellite measurements  
Anand K. Inamdar, University of California/SIO, La Jolla, CA; and M. V. Ramana and V. Ramanathan
 P2.30A Greenhouse Gas Index for communicating the global greenhouse gas buildup (Formerly paper P1.16)  extended abstract
Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Joint Session 4 Water Vapor Observations and Processes (Joint with 14th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations, 7th Symp. on IOS, Fifth Conf. on Atmospheric Chemistry, and Symp. on Observing and Understanding the Varability of Water in Weather and Climate)
Organizer: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PMJ4.1A Summary of the SPARC Water Vapor Assessment Report  
Dieter Kley, Forschungszentrum Juelich, Juelich, Germany; and J. M. Russell
1:45 PMJ4.2Cross-Tropopause Convective Transport of Water Vapor: Model Study, Satellite Observation, and Implications  extended abstract
Pao K. Wang, Unversity of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
2:00 PMJ4.3Variations in stratospheric water vapor and tropical tropopause temperatures  
William J. Randel, NCAR, Boulder, CO
2:15 PMJ4.4Cloud physics and water vapor in the evanescent convection altitude regime  extended abstract
Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and A. Dessler
2:30 PMJ4.5Modeling water vapor and its changes in the tropical tropopause region  
Andrew Gettelman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
2:45 PMJ4.6Validating and Understanding the Water Vapor and Cloud Feedbacks in the NCAR CCSM  
De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. Zhang, J. Fasullo, and A. Roubicek
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PMJ4.7A new look at cloud radiative forcing: Coupling with water vapor forcing  
B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and J. Schmetz and V. Ramanathan
3:45 PMJ4.8Spatio-temporal analysis and comparison of total precipitable water from different datasets  extended abstract
Arief Sudradjat, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Ferraro
4:00 PMJ4.9Global precipitable water variations since 1973 based on preliminary radiosonde instrument adjustments  extended abstract
Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
4:15 PMJ4.10Relative importance of the land surface latent flux and large-scale moisture transport in determining the onset of rainy season over Amazon  
R. Fu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
4:30 PMJ4.11Surface evaporation and the greenhouse effect over the intertropical oceans  
Rémy Roca, LMD, Palaiseau, France; and A. Gershunov
4:45 PMJ4.12Regional Hydrological Cycle and Weather and Climate in the Contiguous United States  extended abstract
Qi Hu, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and S. Feng
5:00 PMJ4.13The atmospheric moisture budget in the Arctic—introducing and applying a consistent method to use radiosonde data  extended abstract
Reinhard M. Hagenbrock, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and M. Göber, F. Ament, and A. Hense
5:15 PMJ4.14Moisture Variations Associated with the Initiation of Madden-Julian Oscillation  
Bryan C. Weare, University of California, Davis, CA
3:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday
Session 6 Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: II
Organizer: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
3:30 PM6.1The Influence of the NAO/AO on Temperature Extremes in the Northeastern United States  
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Wettstein
3:45 PM6.2Arctic Oscillation versus North Atlantic Oscillation: Arguments based on the principal component analysis methodology  extended abstract
Radan Huth, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Praha, Czech Republic
4:00 PM6.3The Artic Oscillation—Is It A Physical Mode?  
Julian X.L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
4:15 PM6.4Associations between Low Frequency Variability Modes and Winter Climatic Extremes in Canada  extended abstract
Amir Shabbar, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. Bonsal
4:30 PM6.5Fluctuations in freezing rain incidences in the United States  
David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and R. Bigley and S. A. Changnon
4:45 PM6.6NAO Influence on Maximum and Minimum Temperature of the Iberian Peninsula  extended abstract
M.-J. Esteban-Parra, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, Y. Castro-Díez, and R. M. Trigo
5:00 PM6.7El NiÑo/Southern Oscillation impacts on peak wind gusts in the United States  extended abstract
Jesse G. Enloe, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien
5:15 PM6.8Euro-Mediterranean rainfall and ENSO—a seasonally varying relationship  
Annarita Mariotti, ENEA Climate Section, Rome, Italy; and N. Zeng and K. -. M. Lau
5:30 PM6.9Variability of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies  
Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. V. Carvalho, W. Higgins, D. Waliser, and J. K. Schemm
5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC
5:45 PM, Tuesday
Sessions End for the Day
Wednesday, 12 February 2003
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
Session 7 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: I
Organizer: Alan Basist, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:30 AM7.1The Effects of Amazonian, African and Southeast Asian Deforestation  
David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar
8:45 AM7.2Simulations of South American monsoon and the effects of land surface processes  
Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Li, F. Sales, S. Chou, and H. M. Juang
9:00 AM7.3Global scale climate changes due to observed landcover changes in the vicinity of the southeast Asian jet  
Thomas N. Chase, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
9:15 AM7.4Southern intertropical convergence zones—annual and interannual variations  
W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
Session 8 Observed Climate Change: II
Organizer: Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM8.1Changes in characteristics of United States snowfall over the last half of the twentieth century  extended abstract
Daria Scott, St. Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN; and D. Kaiser
8:45 AM8.2Long-term trends in snowpack in the Pacific Northwest  
Philip W. Mote, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet and D. P. Lettenmaier
9:00 AM8.3Damaging Freezing Rainstorms in the United States, 1949–2000  
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL
9:15 AM8.4Digitization of 1800s daily forts data  extended abstract
Karen Andsager, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL; and L. Nicodemus
9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade
10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday
Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology
12:00 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break
1:25 PM-5:29 PM, Wednesday
Joint Session 7 U. S. Global Change Research Program water cycle initiative (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
1:25 PMOpening Remarks by James Mahoney, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere (NOAA)  
1:30 PMJ7.1An overview of global water cycle scientific issues (Invited Presentation)  
Roni Avissar, Duke University, Durham, NC
1:45 PMJ7.2USGCRP and CCRI: Improved Management of the Science-Policy Interface (Invited Presentation)  
Richard Moss, U.S. Global Change Research Program Office, Washington, DC
2:00 PMJ7.3Contextual Considerations for the US Global Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)  
Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Eden
2:15 PMJ7.4NASA plans for a Water- and Energy-cycle Resarch (WatER) Initiative to Advance Global Water Cycle Science and Prediction (Invited Presentation)  
C. Adam Schlosser, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. L. Bras
2:30 PMJ7.5Water Cycle Research at the National Science Foundation (Invited Presentation)  
Pamela L. Stephens, NSF, Arlington, VA
2:45 PMQuestions and Discussions: Avissar, Moss, Lawford, Stephens, and Schlosser  
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibit Hours 1:30–7:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PMJ7.6NOAA Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)  
Jin Huang, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Lawford
J7.7DOE water cycle activities (Invited Presentation)  
Wanda R. Ferrell, DOE, Germantown, MD
Wanda R. Ferrell, DOE, Germantown, MD; and T. Cress
3:59 PMJ7.8Overview of water resources research issues pertaining to the Bureau of Reclamation (Invited Presentation)  
Shannon E. Cunniff, Bureau of Reclamation, Washington, DC
4:14 PMJ7.9A Strategy for Global Water Cycle Research  
Paul R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
4:29 PMJ7.10The U.S. Global Water Cycle Initiative and its Interface with the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) (Invited Presentation)  
Soroosh Sorooshian, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. Try and M. P. L. Whitaker
4:44 PMJ7.11The water cycle across scales: An NCAR initiative  extended abstract
Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hack, M. A. LeMone, M. Moncrieff, D. Parsons, K. Trenberth, T. Warner, and J. Wilson
4:59 PMJ7.12The U.S. Weather Research Program and its Contributions to Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather  extended abstract
Ward R. Seguin, NOAA/U.S. Weather Research Program Interagency Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Gaynor and R. Gall
5:14 PMOral Briefings: 1–2 Minute Presentation Summarizing Posters in Session JP4 (Please note that the Formal Viewing Time for these posters will be on Thursday, 13 February at 9:45 a.m.)  
1:30 PM, Wednesday
Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday
Session 9 Model Diagnostics and Evaluation
Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
1:30 PM9.1AGCM Simulations of Intraseasonal Variability Associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon  extended abstract
Duane E. Waliser, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Jin, I. S. Kang, W. F. Stern, S. D. Schubert, K. -. M. Lau, M. -. I. Lee, V. Krishnamurthy, A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, V. Y. Galin, V. Satyan, S. K. Mandke, G. Wu, Y. Liu, and C. -. K. Park
2:00 PM9.2Diurnal Variations in the Community Climate System Model  extended abstract
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. E. Trenberth
2:15 PM9.3The role of the diurnal cycle in maintaining the mean state of the climate system  
Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Hiltner, R. Hansell, J. Y. Kim, V. LaLiberte, W. L. Lee, N. Lovenduski, B. Medeiros, X. Qu, S. Wang, K. N. Liou, and B. Stevens
2:30 PM9.4Modelling evidence for the role of the Western Pacific in determining Pacific decadal variability  
Bin Yu, MSC, Victoria, BC, Canada; and G. J. Boer
2:45 PM9.5Evaluation of the mean simulated climate of the Community Climate System Model  
Michael Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and C. Covey
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–7:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PM9.6Statistical limitations for diagnosing changes in extremes from climate model simulations  extended abstract
Christoph Frei, ETH, Zürich, Switzerland
3:45 PM9.7Snow Cover Simulations in the Second Phase of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project  
Allan Frei, Hunter College, City University of New York, New York, NY; and J. A. Miller and D. A. Robinson
4:00 PM9.8Preliminary Results from the CCPP-ARM GCM Analysis of Tendency Errors (CA-GATE) project  
J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and D. Williamson, G. L. Potter, J. S. Boyle, T. J. Phillips, and M. Fiorino
4:15 PM9.9Stabilization of column physics by parameterized dynamical tendencies  
John W Bergman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh
4:30 PM9.10Statistical correction of Central Southwest Asian winter precipition simulations  
Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Barlow and B. Lyon
4:45 PM9.11Sensitivity of cloud-radiation interactions to cloud microphysics  extended abstract
Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville, G. M. McFarquhar, and D. Mitchell
5:00 PM9.12Evaluation of climate model simulations of HIRS water-vapor channel radiances  extended abstract
Richard P. Allan, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. A. Ringer
5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions End for the Day
6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 13 February 2003
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday
Joint Session 2 Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International, Billerica, MA
8:30 AMJ2.1Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts  
Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC
8:45 AMJ2.2Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market  
Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher
9:00 AMJ2.3National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data  
Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:15 AMJ2.4The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts  
Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY
9:30 AMJ2.5What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?  
Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday
Session 10 Observed Climate Change: III
8:30 AM10.1Observed changes in mean tropical cloudiness and net radiation since 1952  
Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
8:45 AM10.2The Atlantic Hurricane database Re-analysis Project: Results for the first 60 years—1851 to 1910  extended abstract
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, N. Charles, G. Clark, J. Dunion, J. Fernandez-Partagas, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, and M. Zimmer
9:00 AM10.3Characteristics of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in the United States: Variability and Synoptic Climatology  
Joshua D. Larson, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Silver Springs, MD and Williams College, Williamstown, MA; and R. W. Higgins
9:15 AM10.4Developing global climatologies of severe thunderstorms from reanalysis-derived soundings  extended abstract
Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. W. Lee and J. P. Craven
9:30 AM10.5A method to infer historic tornado frequency from radiosonde records  extended abstract
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday
Session 11 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: II
8:30 AM11.1What controls the climatological depth of the PBL?  extended abstract
Brian Medeiros, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall, B. Stevens, and S. Wang
8:45 AM11.2Sensitivity of land climate to leaf area index: role of surface conductance versus albedo  
Katrina Hales, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and N. Zeng
9:00 AM11.3A hydro-thermodynamic soil module to describe soil frost in climate models  extended abstract
Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK
9:15 AM11.4Integrating a river routing scheme in the ORCHIDEE land-surface scheme  
Jan Polcher, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique du CNRS, Paris, France; and A. C. Vivant and K. Laval
9:30 AM11.5Impact of irrigation over India on the land surface fluxes  
Patricia de Rosnay, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and J. Polcher and K. Laval
9:00 AM, Thursday
Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
9:45 AM, Thursday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Joint Poster Session 1 ENSO and Global-Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere)
 JP1.1Tropical Ocean Recharge Mechanism for Climate Variability: A Unified Theory for Decadal and ENSO Modes  extended abstract
Xiaochun Wang, JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and F. F. Jin, Y. Wang, and Y. Chao
 JP1.2The nonlinear ENSO mode and its interdecadal changes  extended abstract
Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh
 JP1.3MJO forecast with the NCEP MRF model: Necessity of the inclusion of an interactive ocean  
Wanqiu Wang, SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha and R. Kistler
 JP1.4Influences of air-sea coupling and continental monsoons on the climate of the tropical Pacific  
Xiouhua Fu, IPRC, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang
 JP1.5Large-Scale Characteristics Associated with Spring Heavy Rain Events over Taiwan in the Warm and Non-warm Episodes  extended abstract
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and G. T. J. Chen and M. C. Wu
 JP1.6A null hypothesis of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation  
Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
 JP1.7A Near-Annual Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Mode in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean  extended abstract
Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin, J. S. Kug, and I. S. Kang
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Poster Session 3 Poster Session III
 P3.1Recent changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods  extended abstract
Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth
 P3.2Seasonality in SST Forced Atmospheric Short-Term Climate Predictability  
Xiao-Wei Quan, NOAA/CDC/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, and H. R. Chang
 P3.3Spatiotemporal variability in MODIS-derived surface albedo over global arid and semiarid regions  
Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and C. B. Schaaf, F. Gao, A. H. Strahler, R. E. Dickinson, X. Zeng, and W. Lucht
 P3.4The impact of changinf land cover on the summertime climate of the U.S  
Somnath Baidya Roy, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and C. P. Weaver, G. Hurtt, and S. W. Pacala
 P3.5Multi-Decadal Regime Shifts in United States Precipitation, Temperature and Streamflow at the end of the 20th Century  
Steven A. Mauget, USDA/ARS, Lubbock, TX
 P3.6The Influence of PNA and NAO Patterns on Temperature Anomalies in the Midwest During Four Recent El Nino Events: A Statistical Study  extended abstract
Dayton Vincent, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Lashley, S. O'Connor, M. Skipper, B. O'Hara, T. Reaugh, and G. Lamberty
 P3.7The seasonal pattern of recent change in precipitation normals  extended abstract
Jurgen D. Garbrecht, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. M. Schneider and J. X. Zhang
 P3.8Understanding biosphere-atmosphere interactions through a detailed energy budget analysis of Earth’s biomes  
Peter K. Snyder, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. H. Hitchman and J. A. Foley
 P3.9Variability of the North American Monsoon System: An analysis of climate dynamics and frequency modes  
Eileen A. Hall-McKim, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. W. Nolin and M. C. Serreze
 P3.10The relationship between low-frequency North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and eastern North American climate  extended abstract
Anthony Arguez, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien
 P3.11Modeling Intra-seasonal to Interannual Variability of Precipitation over Central America  
Robert J. Oglesby, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. O. Roads, F. R. Robertson, and S. Marshall
 P3.12A study on the cloud variability in the east Asia  
Kazuaki Kawamoto, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan; and T. Hayasaka and T. Nakajima
 P3.13African Easterly Waves: dynamical stability and possible precursors  
Nicholas Hall, LEGI, Grenoble, France; and A. Diedhiou
 P3.14Analysis of Subseasonal Variability in Precipitation Over the United States  
David Small, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH; and S. Islam
 P3.15Antarctic oscillation variations and teleconnections with convective activity in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone  
Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and T. Ambrizzi
 P3.16A seasonal comparison of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) to surface temperature, mixing ratio and precipitation in Texas for the years 1975–1997  
Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson, A. L. Doggett, and J. L. Schroeder
P3.17Dependency of tropical interannual variability on atmospheric horizontal resolution in a CGCM  
Silvio Gualdi, INGV, Bologna, Italy; and A. Navarra, E. Guilyardi, and P. Delecluse
 P3.18Impact of the Phenomenon La-niña 1998–2000 on the precipitation regimen in the region of the Amazon Medium  extended abstract
David Mendes, University of Lisbon, Lisboa, Portugal; and M. C. Damião Mendes
 P3.19Interannual and interdecadal variability in the predominant Pacific Region SST anomaly patterns  extended abstract
Derrick K. Weitlich, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and E. P. Kelsey, A. R. Lupo, and J. E. Woolard
 P3.20Longwave Surface Radiation Budget and Climate  extended abstract
Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, S. K. Gupta, and P. W. Stackhouse
 P3.21Paper have been moved to Session 11, new paper number 11.5  
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Joint Poster Session 4 U.S. Global Change Research Program Water Cycle Initiative Poster Session (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
 JP4.1Integrating water cycle research activities at NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center  
Deborah R. Belvedere, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser and C. A. Schlosser
 JP4.2The second GEWEX Global Soil Wetness Project (GSWP2)  
Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and T. Oki
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday
Session 12 General Circulation and Teleconnections
11:00 AM12.1Evaluating Multi-decadale Trends in Tropical CAPE  extended abstract
Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall
11:15 AM12.2Roles of Ocean in the Biennial Transitions between Indian and Australian Monsoons  
Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and S. P. Weng
11:30 AM12.3Seamless poleward atmospheric energy transports  extended abstract
Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Stepaniak
11:45 AM12.4Terrestrial hydrological states and teleconnections with SST phenomena  
J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and G. Goteti, E. F. Wood, and D. P. Lettenmaier
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday
Session 13 Climate Change Modeling: II
1:30 PM13.1Sensitivities of a high-resolution coupled GCM in a CO2 doubling experiment  
Keiko Takahashi, Japan Marine Science and Technology Center, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and W. Ohfuchi, N. Komori, H. Nakamura, H. Sakuma, and T. Sato
2:00 PM13.2Can the CCM3 Global Climate Model Accurately Simulate the Arctic Oscillation?  extended abstract
Raymond Mooring, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
2:15 PM13.3A 12-year (1987–1998) ensemble simulation of the U.S. climate with a variable-resolution stretched-grid GCM  
Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. L. Takacs and R. C. Govindaraju
2:30 PM13.4Impact of increased CO2 levels on interannual tropical variability  
Antonio Navarra, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy; and C. Annalisa
2:45 PM13.5Interactions among cloud, water vapor, radiation and large-scale circulation in the tropical climate  extended abstract
Kristin Larson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Hartmann
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:00 p.m.)  
3:30 PM13.6Runoff sensitivity to climate warming: a process study with a coupled climate-runoff model  extended abstract
Jan Kleinn, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. Frei, J. Gurtz, P. L. Vidale, and C. Schär
3:45 PM13.7Evaluating the A1 scenario in the CCSM for West Africa: 20th and 21st century climates  
Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and E. M. Blaisdell
4:00 PM13.8Changes in thermohaline circulation in future climate  extended abstract
Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Meehl, W. Washington, and A. Dai
4:15 PM13.9The simulated impact of surface albedo feedback on climate variability  
Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA
4:30 PM13.10Analysis of GCM predicted precipitation recycling over large basins  
E. F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield
4:45 PM13.11Quasi-periodic natural variations in the Thermohaline Circulation and climate in a 1400 year coupled model calculation  
Jeff R. Knight, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and R. J. Allan, C. K. Folland, and M. Vellinga
5:00 PM13.12A dynamically interactive column physics model suitable for diagnosing GCM errors and climate variability  
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bergman
3:30 PM-5:45 PM, Thursday
Joint Session 1 ENSO and Global-scale atmosphere-ocean coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere )
3:30 PMJ1.1Will Global warming Induce a Permanent El Nino? (It has happened before!)  
George Philander, Princeton University, Princeton, N.J.
4:00 PMJ1.2Linkages between El Niño and Recent Tropical Warming  extended abstract
Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. -. I. An, A. Timmermann, and J. Zhao
4:15 PMJ1.3Evolution of El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific during 2002–03  
Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA
4:30 PMJ1.4Tropical precipitation anomalies: ENSO teleconnections vs. global warming  
J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su and C. Chou
4:45 PMJ1.5Surface Stress Balance in the Tropics  
Matthias Munnich, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. Neelin
5:00 PMJ1.6The impact of ENSO on the North Pacific Ocean during summer  
Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Scott
5:15 PMJ1.7Ocean-atmosphere interaction within equatorially trapped atmospheric waves  extended abstract
George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub
5:30 PMConference ends  
5:30 PM, Thursday
Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
6:00 PM, Thursday
Simpsons Banquet
8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday
Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific

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