15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes (August 6

Registration opens

Location: Ross Island-Morrison (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Registration continues throughout the conference

Location: Ross Island-Morrison (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 1

Dynamics of high-impact events I

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Todd P. Lane, The University of Melbourne

8:45 AM

Conference opening and welcoming remarks

9:00 AM

1.1

The Life Cycle of Hurricane Sandy: Observations; Simulations; Operational Forecasts; Socioeconomic Impacts (INVITED)

Melvyn A. Shapiro, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., J. Vigh, A. Norton, and C. S. Velden

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

1.2

Hurricane Sandy (2012): Vortex Intensification during Warm Core Seclusion

Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis and M. A. Shapiro

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

1.3

The Mesoscale Meteorology of Extreme Wildfires over Southern Australia (Black Saturday)

Michael J. Reeder, Monash University, Clayton, VICTORIA, Australia; and T. P. Lane, C. B. Engel, and M. Rezny

Recorded Presentation

Coffee break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 2

Gravity waves

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Justin R. Minder, University at Albany

10:30 AM

2.1

What selects the scales of mesoscale gravity waves?

Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. Wei, Y. Sun, S. Wang, and T. P. Lane

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

2.2

Effects of convectively-generated gravity waves on bow echo evolution

Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER, Offutt AFB, NE; and R. H. Johnson

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

2.3

Gravity Waves generated by Deep Tropical Convection: estimates from Balloon Observations and Mesoscale Simulations

Valérian Jewtoukoff, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and R. Plougonven and A. Hertzog

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

2.4

Internal gravity waves in a saturated moist-neutral atmosphere

David J. Muraki, Simon Fraser Univ., Burnaby, BC, Canada; and R. Rotunno

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

2.5

Quantifying moisture perturbations leading to stacked lenticular clouds

Matthew O. G. Hills, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

2.6

Dynamics and Predictability of Deep Propagating Atmospheric Gravity Waves

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. C. Fritts, R. B. Smith, and S. D. Eckermann

Recorded Presentation

Lunch

Location: Pacific Northwest Ballroom (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 3

Structure and evolution of tropical cyclones I

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Jean-Pierre Chaboureau, University of Toulouse, CNRS, UPS

1:30 PM

3.1

Mesoscale structures near the eye-eyewall interface in tropical cyclones: the cause of rapid intensity changes? (INVITED)

George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

3.2

The Structure and Dynamics of Coherent Vortices in the Eyewall Boundary Layer of Tropical Cyclones

Daniel P. Stern, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. H. Bryan

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

3.3

The Dynamics of Complexly Sheared Tropical Cyclone Convection and Relationships with Tropical Cyclone Evolution

Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. D. Terwey

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

3.4

Spiral Rainbands in Idealized No-Mean-Flow Simulations of Tropical Cyclones

Yumin Moon, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. S. Nolan

2:45 PM

3.5

The Influence of Cloud-Radiation Feedback on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure

Yizhe Peggy Bu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and R. G. Fovell

Poster Session 1

Poster Session I

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Craig C. Epifanio, Texas A&M University

1

Examination of missed summer severe rainfall events over Ontario, Canada

Zuohao Cao, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada

Sensitivity Analysis of a Severe Extratropical Cyclone

2

Statistical Verifications for an Ensemble-Based Icing Forecasting Algorithm

James R. McCormick, UCAR, Offutt AFB, NE; and R. Adams-Selin

3

On the filtering properties of ensemble averaging for storm-scale precipitation forecasts

Madalina Surcel, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and I. Zawadzki and M. K. Yau

Investigation of High-Resolution Inversion Intensity Forecasts

4

Complex Flow Interactions over a Very High-Resolution Surface Weather Station Network

Matthew E. Jeglum, 125 S State St Rm 1311, Salt Lake City, UT; and S. W. Hoch, C. D. Whiteman, and F. W. Gallagher III

5

Predictability of Atmospheric Conditions over Complex Terrain with Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation of Observations during MATERHORN

Hailing Zhang, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

6

Sensitivity of 24 h Forecast Dryline Position and Structure to Boundary Layer Parameterizations in Convection-allowing WRF Model Simulations

Adam Clark, NOAA/NSSL; and M. C. Coniglio and B. E. Coffer

7

Compatibility of High Resolution Terrain with High Resolution Model Grid

William Y. Y. Cheng, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, G. Roux, L. Pan, Y. Liu, J. Y. Byon, and Y. J. Choi

Poster 8 will also be presented as 6.6A

9

Evaluation of Severe Weather Diagnostic Variables as Forecast Parameters

Chad M. Shafer, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and M. W. Stanford, C. B. Hulsey, and A. N. Kabeiseman

10

Uncertainties in Determining Targeting Observation of the Heavy Rainfall Caused by A Southwest Vortex in China in June 2008

Ling Huang, Physics School, Peking University, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng

11

Utilizing Ensemble Sensitivity for Data Denial Experiments on the 4 April 2012 Dallas, Texas Dryline-Initiated Convective Outbreak Using West Texas Mesonet Observations and WRF-DART Data Assimilation

Aaron Jacob Hill, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss and B. C. Ancell

Manuscript (3.1 MB)

Handout (7.4 MB)

12

Initial Perturbation Scheme for Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast: Evolution of Initial Errors in a Convection System

Jinzhong Min Sr., KLME=Key Lab. of Meteorology Disaster, Education of Ministry (KLME/Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Tec), Najing, Jiangsu, China

Numerical Simulations and Analysis of Typhoon Morakot (2009) Using COAMPS-TC

13

Analyzing Radar Observed Mesocyclone using Vortex-flow-dependent Background Covariance

Qin Xu, NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. Wei and K. Nai

Manuscript (1.7 MB)

14

An ensemble based approach to simulate the uncertainty in BP oil spill using a high resolution mesoscale coupled model

Vikram Khade, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and P. Chang, I. Szunyogh, R. Montuoro, J. Kurien, and K. Thyng

Handout (883.5 kB)

15

A Numerical Study on the Interaction of Binary Tropical Cyclones

Wook Jang, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. Y. Chun

16

Effect of Surface Exchange Coefficients on the Development of Inner-Core Asymmetries in Simulated Tropical Cyclones

Jason Naylor, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Schecter

Manuscript (1.1 MB)

17

Convective Asymmetry and Imbalance in Tropical Cyclones Generated by Random Winds on the Periodic F-Plane in a Cloud-System-Resolving Numerical Model

David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO

18

Objective Updraft Tracking in Mesoscale Models – Hurricane Rainband Convective Properties

Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. M. Rozoff

19

Impacts of the presence of dry air upon Hurricane Nadine (2012)

Deanna A. Hence, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Braun

20

Spiral Rainbands in Numerical Simulations of Tropical Cyclones in Uniform and Vertically Sheared Flows

Yumin Moon, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. H. Bryan

21

Thermodynamic Aspects of Tropical Cyclone Formation

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and I. Hankes

22

Climatological Characteristics of Orographic Precipitation Enhancement During Lake-Effect Storms over the Tug Hill Plateau

Peter Gregory Veals, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh and L. Campbell

23

Evolution of convective storms downwind of an isolated mountain ridge

Brett Soderholm, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and D. J. Kirshbaum

24

Regional climate modeling with explicit convection: Comparison to TRMM rainfall data for the Amazon Basin

Craig C. Epifanio, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and N. M. Kinney, K. P. Bowman, and J. Joplin

25

The structure of the atmospheric boundary layer coupled with the heterogeneity of the surface during the SAMBBA Experiment held in Amazonia

Thomas Kaufmann Sr., INPE, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil; and G. Fisch

Manuscript (1.5 MB)

26

Local Circulation and Its Interaction with Convective Boundary Layer

Hou Jou-Ping Sr., NDUCCIT, Taiwan, Longtan Taoyuan County, Taiwan; and P. L. Yen, C. H. Shu, H. Ming-En, L. Y. Chang, and C. J. Huang

27

Mountain Waves and Orographic Convection in Typhoon Nari (2001)

Xiao-Dong Tang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; and M. J. Yang and Z. M. Tan

28

Dynamics of the optimal state for cold pools in shear

George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno

Handout (3.7 MB)

29

Propagating Convective Systems and Gravity Waves

Todd P. Lane, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and M. W. Moncrieff

30

SIMULATING SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DESERT DUST INFLUENCES ON SUPERCELL STORMS

David Lerach, SUNY Brockport, Brockport, NY

31

WRF-Chem Modeling Studies of Asian Dust and Orographic Precipitation in California

Sen Chiao, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and C. Mitchell

32

Synoptic conditions favorable to dust production And transport into the Rocky Mountains

Vandana Jha, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton and G. Carrió

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 4

Structure and evolution of tropical cyclones II

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Daniel P. Stern, UCAR

5:00 PM

4.1

Ensemble Sensitivity of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Intensity to Storm Structure

Bonnie R. Brown, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. J. Hakim

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

4.2

Contributions of Cumulus Congestus to Tropical Cyclone Formation

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL

The Influence of the Low-Level Jet Upon the Overland Reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)

5:30 PM

4.3

Water Vapor Budget in a Developing Tropical Cyclone

Cody L. Fritz, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang

Recorded Presentation

5:45 PM

4.4

The Impact of North Atlantic Hurricanes on Mediterranean Intense Rainfall during Fall 2012

Florian Pantillon, University of Toulouse and CNRS, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Chaboureau and E. Richard

Recorded Presentation

Session 5

Special Evening Session

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Craig C. Epifanio, Texas A&M University

8:00 PM

Matthew Parker on Advances in Convective Storm Modeling

8:45 PM

Clifford Mass on Advances in NWP and the Interplay Between Research and Forecasting

Session 6

Precipitating systems and the diurnal cycle

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Zhiyong Meng, Peking University

8:00 AM

6.1

High Plains Deep Convection: The Forecast Challenges of Predicting Diurnally Varying Mesoscale and Synoptic Scale Interactions over Complex Terrain

Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and C. T. Guastini

Recorded Presentation

8:15 AM

6.2

The influence of transient weather systems on warm-season midlatitude precipitation in convection-permitting models

Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis and R. E. Carbone

Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM

6.3

Impacts of the Mountain-Plains Solenoid and Cold Pool Dynamics on the Diurnal Variation of Warm-Season Precipitation over North China

Xinghua Bao, State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

6.4

Comparison of diurnal variation of warm-season precipitation over East Asia versus North America downstream of the Tibetan Plateau versus the Rockies

Yuanchun Zhang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang and J. Sun

9:00 AM

6.5

Distribution and Features of Low-level Jets in China during the Warm Seasons Using WRF Model

Qinghong Zhang, Peking University, Beijing, China

Recorded Presentation

6.6

Rainy-season Precipitation over Sichuan Basin

9:15 AM

6.6A

Contributions of Dense Pressure Observations to Mesoscale Analyses and Forecasts

Luke E. Madaus, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

9:30 AM

6.7

Summertime Diurnal Winds in the Pacific Northwest

Matt Brewer, NOAA, Idaho Falls, ID; and C. F. Mass

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

6.8

A Multiscale Analysis of Upstream Precursors associated with Serial Severe Weather Events across the Upper Midwest

Nicholas D. Metz, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. M. Cordeira

Recorded Presentation

Coffee Break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 7

Mechanically forced flows and orographic precipitation I

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Daniel J. Kirshbaum, McGill University

10:30 AM

7.1

Global aspects of orographic precipitation

Ronald B. Smith, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and C. D. Watson

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

7.2

Changes in mid-latitude orographic precipitation due to global warming

Xiaoming Shi, Berkeley, CA; and D. R. Durran

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

7.3

The Structure of Orographic Cumulus Clouds and Precipitation over Dominica: Results from DOMEX

Campbell D. Watson, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and R. B. Smith

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

7.4

The Role of Aerosols in Tropical Orographic Convection and Precipitation

Alison D. Nugent, National Center for Atmospheric Research, CO; and G. Thompson, T. Eidhammer, and R. B. Smith

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

7.5

Dominica's Downslope Winds: Morphology & Dynamics of a Plunging Downslope Flow in the Tropics

Justin R. Minder, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and R. B. Smith

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

7.6

Predictability and sensitivity of downslope windstorms in San Diego County

Yang Cao, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and R. G. Fovell

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (9.4 MB)

Lunch

Location: Pacific Northwest Ballroom (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Mesoscale committee lunch

Location: Hamilton (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 8

Mechanically forced flows and orographic precipitation II

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Bart Geerts, Univ. of Wyoming

1:30 PM

8.1

Atmospheric Characteristics of Cool-Season Intermittent Precipitation near Portland, Oregon (INVITED)

Sandra E. Yuter, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

8.2

Fine-Scale Radar Observations of Orographic Precipitation during Cold-Frontal Impingement on a Complex Three-Dimensional Mountain Barrier

Leah Campbell, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh

2:15 PM

8.3

Effects of orographic convection on cloud and precipitation development in winter storms

Katja Friedrich, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. Aikins and B. Geerts

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

8.4

The Novaya Zemlya Bora and its Impact on Barents Sea Deep Water Formation

G.W.K. Moore, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

8.5

Ensemble predictability of stationary convective orographic rainbands in the UK

Andrew I. Barrett, University of Reading, UK, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and S. L. Gray, D. J. Kirshbaum, and N. Roberts

Recorded Presentation

Coffee Break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 9

Mesoscale predictability and data assimilation

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University

3:30 PM

9.1

Smartphone Pressure Observations: A Revolutionary Advance for Mesoscale Meteorology?

Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. E. Madaus

Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM

9.2

Refining horizontal grid spacing for storm-scale forecasts: beneficial or detrimental?

Madalina Surcel, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and I. Zawadzki and M. K. Yau

4:00 PM

9.3

Evaluation of Wind Ramp Forecasts using Variational and Ensemble Data Assimilation over the WFIP Southern Study Region

Brian C. Ancell, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

9.4

Sources of uncertainty in precipitation type determination and forecasting

Heather D. Reeves, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore, A. V. Ryzhkov, K. L. Ortega, T. J. Schuur, and J. Krause

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

9.5

The Predictability of a Squall Line in South China on 23 April 2007

Zhiyong Meng, Peking University, Beijing, China; and D. Wu and D. Yan

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

9.6

Convection-permitting forecasts initialized with continuously cycling limited-area 3DVAR, ensemble Kalman filter, and “hybrid” variational-ensemble data assimilation systems

Craig S. Schwartz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Liu

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

9.7

The role of moist processes on intrinsic predictability of Indian Ocean Cyclones

Sourav Taraphdar, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung, P. Mukhopadhyay, F. Zhang, S. Abhilash, and B. N. Goswami

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

9.8

Impact of Radar Data Assimilation on the Simulation of Typhoon Morakot (2009)'s Rainband Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter

Jian Yue, Peking University, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng, C. K. Yu, and L. W. Cheng

Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM

9.9

The predictability of tropical cyclogenesis examined through ensemble data assimilation experiments for Hurricane Karl (2010)

Jonathan Poterjoy, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang

Recorded Presentation

5:45 PM

9.10

Diagnosing the Predictability of Tropical Cyclogenesis via the ECMWF Ensemble

William Komaromi, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar

Recorded Presentation

Session 10

Extratropical systems

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR

8:00 AM

10.1

Orographic Influences on Lake-Effect Snowstorms

Jim Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and T. I. Alcott, K. N. Yeager, L. Campbell, P. G. Veals, and J. McMillen

Recorded Presentation

8:15 AM

10.2

The OWLeS (Ontario Winter Lake-effect Systems) campaign, winter 2013-14

David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois, Champaign, IL; and B. Geerts, J. Steenburgh, R. D. Clark, S. M. Steiger, J. M. Wurman, G. S. Young, K. R. Knupp, N. F. Laird, T. D. Sikora, K. A. Kosiba, N. D. Metz, and J. W. Frame

Recorded Presentation

10.3

A Study on the Dynamics of Antarctic Blizzards: Roles of Cyclones in the Southern Ocean and the Continental Topography

8:30 AM

10.3A

The Relationship between Mesoscale Circulations and Precipitation Structures in the Comma Head of Winter Cyclones

Andrew A. Rosenow, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, D. Leon, and D. M. Plummer

8:45 AM

10.4

The Motion of Mesoscale Snowbands in Northeast U.S. Winter Storms

Jaymes S. Kenyon, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. S. Evans

9:00 AM

10.5

Diagnosing Mesoscale Predictability of East Coast Snowstorms with Short Range Ensemble Forecasting

Mark A. Gingrich, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran

9:15 AM

10.6

Mesoscale Details of the Backdoor Cold Front of March 14, 2012

Frank P. Colby Jr., Univ. of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA; and W. E. Leatham IV

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

10.7

Impact of Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model Simulations on the Mesoscale Environment of Six Nor'easter Cases

Stephen D. Nicholls, NASA/GSFC and ORAU, Greenbelt, MD; and S. G. Decker

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

10.8

Structure and Development Mechanism of a Meso-Beta-Scale Vortical Disturbance over the Japan Sea on 30 December 2010

Shunichi Watanabe, Graduate School of The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and H. Niino

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (4.8 MB)

Coffee Break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 11

Precipitating systems: Microphysics and aerosols

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State Univ.

10:30 AM

11.1

Microphysical Evolution Within the Comma Head of an Extratropical Cyclone

Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and D. A. Stark and S. E. Yuter

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

11.2

A study of aerosol impacts on clouds and precipitation development in a large winter storm system

Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Eidhammer

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

11.3

The structure and role of generating cells and precipitation bands in cold-season midlatitude cyclones

David M. Plummer, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and D. Leon

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

11.4

Aerosol-Cloud Feedbacks between Supersaturation and Updraft Speed

Amanda M. Sheffield, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. van den Heever, L. D. Grant, and C. McGee

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

11.5

On the Response of Hailstorms to Enhanced CCN Concentrations

Gustavo Carrió, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Cotton

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (220.2 kB)

11:45 AM

11.6

A Modeling Investigation into the Dynamics and Microphysics of Low-Precipitation Supercells

Leah D. Grant, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. van den Heever

Recorded Presentation

Lunch

Location: Pacific Northwest Ballroom (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 12

Tornadoes and rotation

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Robert G. Fovell, University of California Los Angeles

1:30 PM

12.1

How tornadoes develop: Ideas emerging from decades of theory, simulation, and field observations (INVITED)

Paul Markowski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

12.2

Tornado maintenance and demise in the Goshen County, Wyoming supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2

Yvette P. Richardson, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. Markowski, J. Marquis, J. Wurman, K. A. Kosiba, P. Robinson, D. W. Burgess, and C. C. Weiss

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

12.3

Toy model simulations of surface vorticity generation in downdrafts

Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. M. L. Dahl

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (900.8 kB)

2:30 PM

12.4

The Roles of Ambient and Storm-generated Vorticity in Near-ground Rotation of a Simulated Supercell

Johannes Dahl, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker and L. J. Wicker

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

12.5

Mesoscale and Stormscale Ingredients of Tornadic Supercells Producing Long-Track Tornadoes in the 2011 Alabama Super Outbreak

Samantha L. Chiu, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett and R. B. Wilhelmson

Recorded Presentation

Poster Session 2

Poster Session II

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Craig C. Epifanio, Texas A&M University

33

Simulating a Landfalling Winter Cyclone: Comparison of a Spectral Microphysics Scheme to Bulk Schemes and Remote Sensing Data

Mei Han, GESTAR/Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and S. A. Braun, T. Matsui, T. Iguchi, and C. R. Williams

34

The Structure and Development of an Extratropical Cyclone in the Northeastern Asia Region

Liu Ying Sr., Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China

35

Multiple Perspectives on the Effect of Latent Heat Release in an Extratropical Cyclone

Gregory Tierney, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and J. A. Crespo and D. J. Posselt

Handout (1.9 MB)

36

Analysis of missed winter high-impact snowfall events in Ontario, Canada

Zuohao Cao, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada

37

Climatological Characteristics of Atmospheric Rivers and Their Inland Penetration over the Western United States

Jonathan J. Rutz, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh and F. M. Ralph

38

Structure and kinematics of cloud-top precipitation generating cells in ultra-high-resolution idealized simulations of winter cyclones

Jason M. Keeler, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett, R. M. Rauber, G. M. McFarquhar, D. M. Plummer, A. A. Rosenow, R. M. Rasmussen, and G. Thompson

Poster 39 will be presented as 10.3A

40

A Comparison of Radar Structures of Two Comma Head Cyclones Using Dual-Doppler Analysis

Joseph A. Finlon, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, G. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and D. Leon

41

Thundersnow in Conjunction with Heavy Snowfall Events over the Northeast United States

Kyle J. Meier, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. L. Jurewicz Sr.

42

The Effects Of Orography In Northern Vermont During The 2-3 January 2010 Winter Storm

Adrian N. Mitchell, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, K. L. Corbosiero, and J. R. Minder

Handout (11.7 MB)

43

Sensitivity of Simulated Great Salt Lake Effect Precipitation to the Parameterization of Microphysical Processes

John McMillen, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh

Handout (35.0 MB)

44

Dependency of stratiform precipitation on two-moment cloud microphysical scheme in midlatitude squall line

Yuya Baba, JAMSTEC, Kanazawa-ku, Yokohama, Japan

45

Real-weather LES simulation of synoptic, mechanic-forcing, and thermally-driven flow interaction of Granite Mountain, UT

Yuewei Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, J. C. Pace, D. Zajic, and J. Knievel

46

Sensitivity of Lake-Effect Snowfall to Lake Ice Cover and Temperature in the Great Lakes Region

David M. Wright, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt and A. L. Steiner

47

Environmental Conditions and Development Mechanism of Convection Bands over the Korean Peninsula

Won-Su Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and T. Y. Lee

48

Formation and Evolution Processes of Cloud Clusters over the Korean Peninsula

Uju Shin, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and T. Y. Lee

49

A Climatology of Heavy Rain-Producing Convective Systems in the UK

Robert A. Warren, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. S. Plant, D. J. Kirshbaum, and H. W. Lean

Handout (1.4 MB)

50

The spatial and temperoal variability of persistent cold air pools in the western United States

Sharon Zhong, Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, MI; and L. Yu and X. Bian

51

An airborne Raman lidar and modeling study of a dryline and convection initiation over the high plains of southeast Wyoming

Philip T. Bergmaier, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and Z. Wang, P. Campbell, B. Geerts, and B. Liu

Handout (3.5 MB)

52

Characteristics of quasi-stationary mesoscale convective systems during the warm season in Japan

Takashi Unuma, Kyoto University, Uji, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Takemi

Handout (3.2 MB)

53

Preliminary results of convective storm initiation and evolution during TOMACS: Observational perspective

Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. Saito and C. Fujiwara

54

Quasi-Idealized Simulations of Training-Line/Adjoining-Strataform Mesoscale Convective Systems: Warm-Season Type Events

John M. Peters, NPS, Pacific Grove, CA; and R. S. Schumacher

55

Organization and Evolution of Mesoscale Convective Systems Using Radar Data: Objective Description. The “Dominating Thunderstorm” Conception and its Application to MCS Climatology

Olga Yu. Lenskaya, South Ural State University, Chelyabinsk, Russia; and S. M. Abdullaev and A. A. Zhelnin

Manuscript (938.9 kB)

Handout (5.7 MB)

56

A preliminary study of non-merger interactions between squall lines and isolated supercell thunderstorms

Adam J. French, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD

Handout (1.9 MB)

57

The 6 May 2010 Elevated Supercell Observed During VORTEX2

Christopher W. MacIntosh, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker

Manuscript (8.2 MB)

Handout (4.9 MB)

58

Observational evidences of the Tornado in the Heavy Rainfall Event of 21 July 2012 in Beijing

Zhiyong Meng, Peking University, Beijing, China; and D. Yao

59

Numerical Simulations of the Tornadic Supercell in the Heavy Rainfall Event of 21 July 2012 in Beijing

Dan Yao, Peking University, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng

60

Numerical Simulation of Supercell Tornadogenesis: The Tsukuba Tornado on 6 May 2012

Wataru Mashiko, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

61

Development of mesovortices and tornado-like vortices within idealized high shear, low CAPE simulations

Keith D. Sherburn, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. Dahl and M. D. Parker

62

Impacts of Low-Level Environmental Shear Upon Surface Vorticity in Supercells

Brice E. Coffer, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker

Manuscript (822.2 kB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

63

Trends in Thermodynamic Instability and Vertical Wind Shear Variables with Increased Duration of Model Simulations

Chad M. Shafer, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and N. R. Bramel, M. J. Brown, W. Clark, A. N. Kabeiseman, W. R. Schick, and M. W. Stanford

64

Radar Observations of the Structure and Evolution of a Severe Bow Echo in East China

Kun Zhao, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and L. Jin and M. Xue

65

Mesovortices within the 8 May 2009 Bow Echo over Central United States: Analyses of the Characteristics and Evolution based on Doppler Radar Observations and a High-Resolution Model Simulation

xin xu, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and M. Xue and Y. Wang

Handout (1.6 MB)

66

Comparing Observed and Modeled Fields for the 9-10 June 2003 MCS Sampled During BAMEX

Bethany N. Norris, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, G. M. McFarquhar, and B. F. Jewett

67

Mesoscale Convective System Maintenance across Lake Michigan: A Research to Operations Example

Justin Arnott, NOAA/NWS, Gaylord, MI; and F. Fredrickson and N. D. Metz

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 13

Theoretical and modeling studies of mesoscale processes

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State University

4:45 PM

13.1

Mesoscale modeling at high (but short of turbulence-resolving) resolution

R. Rotunno, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Ching, M. A. LeMone, P. Jimenez, B. Kosovic, J. Dudhia, and A. Martilli

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

13.2

Tropical Cold Pool Characteristics

Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

5:15 PM

13.3

Advances in Modeling Valley Cold Pools and Fogs

Travis Wilson, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and R. G. Fovell

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1.7 MB)

5:30 PM

13.4

On thermally forced circulations over heated terrain

Daniel J. Kirshbaum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada

Recorded Presentation

5:45 PM

13.5

Inertial production of mean kinetic energy in atmospheric vortices

Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI

Recorded Presentation

Session 14

Special Evening Session

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Todd P. Lane, The University of Melbourne

8:00 PM

Christopher Davis on Organizing and Carrying out a Field Project, with Examples from BAMEX and PREDICT

8:45 PM

Ronald Smith on the Interplay Between Theory and Observations

Session 15

Results from recent test-bed investigations and field research programs

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Shu-Hua Chen, University of California

8:00 AM

15.1

Downstream Influence of Sumatra Island on DYNAMO Weather Events

Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. E. Ciesielski

Recorded Presentation

8:15 AM

15.2

Diurnal Convection and Mesoscale Organization during DYNAMO

James H. Ruppert Jr., Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson

Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM

15.3

Probing the Tropopause Region of Mesoscale Weather Systems Using a Microwave Temperature Profiler

Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych and J. A. Haggerty

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

15.4

Lifecycle Characteristics of Drizzle Cells in the Southeast Pacific

Andrew M. Hall, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

15.5

The Mountain Terrain Atmospheric Modeling and Observations (MATERHORN) Program: Observations and Results

Matthew E. Jeglum, 125 S State St Rm 1311, Salt Lake City, UT; and H. J. S. Fernando, E. R. Pardyjak, D. Zajic, S. F. J. De Wekker, J. C. Pace, S. Di Sabatino, S. W. Hoch, J. Steenburgh, Z. Pu, C. D. Whiteman, J. D. Massey, Y. Wang, L. S. Leo, C. M. Hocut, H. Zhang, and D. Jensen

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

15.6

A real-time WRF forecast during the Mountain Terrain Atmospheric Modeling and Observations (MATERHORN) Program: Performance and evaluation with observations

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Zhang, H. Zhang, E. R. Pardyjak, J. Steenburgh, D. Zajic, Y. Wang, S. DiSabatino, S. W. Hoch, S. F. J. De Wekker, J. D. Massey, M. E. Jeglum, C. D. Whiteman, and H. J. S. Fernando

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

15.7

Nested-grid simulation and forecasting experiments of orographic flows at US Army DPG Granite Mountain with NCAR RTFDDA-LES

Yubao liu Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, G. Roux, J. Knievel, S. F. J. De Wekker, D. Zajic, and J. C. Pace

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

15.8

OLYMPEX: A Ground Validation Campaign on the Olympic Peninsula in the Pacific Northwest

Lynn A. McMurdie, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr., C. F. Mass, D. P. Lettenmaier, J. D. Lundquist, W. A. Petersen, and M. R. Schwaller

Recorded Presentation

Coffee break

Location: Holladay-Halsey (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 16

Dynamics of high-impact events II

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR

10:30 AM

16.1

Initiation and Maintenance Characteristics of the Progressive Derecho of 29-30 June 2012

Corey T. Guastini, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and R. A. Lazear

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

16.2

The 29 June 2012 Derecho: Analysis of a 3 km WRF-ARW Forecast and Comparisons to the 8 May 2009 Derecho Event

Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Romine and K. W. Manning

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

16.3

Impact of Lightning Data Assimilation on High-Resolution Numerical Forecasts of the 29 June 2012 Derecho

Ken Dixon, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass and R. H. Holzworth

Recorded Presentation

16.4

An Observational Analysis of a Derecho in South China

11:30 AM

16.5

Evolution of an Intense Mesoscale Snowband During the 8–9 February 2013 Northeast U.S. Blizzard

Sara A. Ganetis, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, M. J. Sienkiewicz, D. M. Schultz, P. L. Heinselman, and D. R. Novak

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

16.6

A Quasi-Stationary Convective System Associated with Sea Breeze Convergence

Robert A. Warren, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and D. J. Kirshbaum, R. S. Plant, and H. W. Lean

Recorded Presentation

Lunch

Location: Pacific Northwest Ballroom (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 17

Mesoscale convective systems

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois

1:30 PM

17.1

Synoptic Control of Heavy-Rain-Producing Convective Training Episodes

Paul J. Roebber, University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and J. M. Peters

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

17.2

Objective Analysis and Numerical Simulations of Elevated Heavy-Rain-Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems

John M. Peters, NPS, Pacific Grove, CA; and R. S. Schumacher

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

17.3

Determining Best Method for Estimating Observed Level of Maximum Convective Detrainment based on Radar Reflectivity

Nicholas D. Carletta, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and G. L. Mullendore, B. Xi, Z. Feng, and X. Dong

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

17.4

Exploring the Differences in Deep Convective Transport Characteristics amongst Thunderstorm Regimes Using Seasonal WRF Simulations

Brandon C. Bigelbach, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and G. L. Mullendore, M. Starzec, and S. T. Jorgenson

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

17.5

Radar Observations and Analysis of Misocyclones Along Spring 2012 West Texas Drylines

Paul F. Prososki, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (622.6 kB)

Handout (2.2 MB)

2:45 PM

17.6

The mesoscale organization and dynamics of extreme convection in subtropical South America

Kristen L. Rasmussen, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr. and A. Kumar

Recorded Presentation

Afternoon break

Location: Foyer (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Session 18

Observational and modeling studies of mesoscale phenomena

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

Host: 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Heather D. Reeves, NOAA/NSSL

3:20 PM

Student Awards Announced

3:30 PM

18.1

Sources and Role of Dry Vortex Merger for Tropical Cyclone Genesis over the Atlantic Ocean

Shu-Hua Chen, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and Y. C. liu

3:45 PM

18.2

Climatology of Banded Precipitation over the Continental United States

Jonathan G. Fairman Jr., University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom; and D. M. Schultz, D. J. Kirshbaum, S. L. Gray, and A. I. Barrett

Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM

18.3

Characteristics of TRMM-Observed Seasonal Precipitation in the Central Andes

Karen I. Mohr, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Slayback, K. Yager, and S. D. Nicholls

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

18.4

Characterising the variability of sting jet windstorms

Neil C. G. Hart, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and S. Gray and P. Clark

Recorded Presentation

18.5

Gap Winds and Atmospheric Rivers: Studies of Mesoscale Dynamics Using MISR's High-Resolution Cloud-Track Motion Vectors

4:30 PM

18.6

Development of a Torrential-Rain-Producing Convective System along a Meiyu Front in East China

Yali Luo, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, , China; and Y. Gong and D. L. Zhang

Thank you for attending the 15th Conference on Mesoscale Processes!! See you in 2015!

Location: Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)

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