Poster Session 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018

Program Chairs: Klaus Wolter , CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder ; Owen H. Shieh , Joint Typhoon Warning Center ; Tanja E. Fransen , NOAA/NWS ; Thomas Bedard , AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions

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Monday, 7 January 2019

Monday | Tuesday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 1
2018 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Season: Session I
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
8:30 AM
1.1
2018 Supertyphoons: A Comparison of Precipitation Estimates across the Western Pacific
Jessica Sutton, Berry College, Mount Berry, GA; and V. Lakshmi and K. Lanyon
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.2
Response to Extreme Precipitation and Wind at the End of the Rainy Season in North China
Bing Zhou, BCC, Beijing, China

9:15 AM
1.3
Tropical Cyclone Gita (2018): Impacts and Interagency Solutions for American Samoa
Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
Recorded Presentation

1.4
A Review of NCEP Model Guidance for Hurricanes Florence and Michael

1.5
The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project: Basin-Scale HWRF Performance in 2018

1.6
Surface Wind Reconstructions for Hurricane Michael at Landfall with a New Parametric Model

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 2
2018 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Season: Session II
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
10:30 AM
2.1
NASA Earth Science Activities Supporting Analysis and Response to Hurricanes Florence and Michael
Andrew L. Molthan, MSFC, Huntsville, MD; and J. R. Bell, H. M. Goodman, R. T. Albertson, G. W. Bawden, D. Borges, B. Chapman, M. Glasscoe, D. S. Green, M. Jackson, D. Kirschbaum, J. Kirkendall, M. Jo, G. W. Layne, Y. Lou, B. Osmanoglu, N. Sardinha Pinto, M. Román, L. A. Schultz, J. Seepersad, R. M. Shrestha, J. C. Struve, N. P. Thomas, V. Thompson, T. Yao, and S. H. Yun
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
2018 sUAS Operations into Tropical Cyclones
Joseph J. Cione, NOAA, Miami, FL; and G. H. Bryan, E. A. Kalina, A. Aksoy, K. E. Ryan, B. A. Dahl, G. deBoer, J. A. Zhang, E. J. Dumas Jr., and B. B. Baker

11:00 AM
2.3
Coastal Radar Observations and Impacts of Hurricanes Florence and Michael (2018)
Michael M. Bell, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. C. DeHart and T. Y. Cha
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Satellite and Ground-Based Precipitation Retrievals during Hurricane Landfalls
Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and W. A. Petersen, J. Wang, G. J. Huffman, and D. B. Wolff

11:30 AM
2.5
Extreme Precipitation from 2018 Hurricane Florence: Timeline, Postanalysis, and Communication of Rarity
Katie Ward, MetStat, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. W. Parzybok and H. Mizzell
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Historical Perspective on Rainfall from Hurricane Florence
Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 3
2018 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Season: Session III
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions
2:00 PM
3.1
Impact of Hurricane Florence (2018): Extreme Flooding from a Combination of Storm Surge, Heavy Rainfall, and River Outflow
Edoardo Mazza, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. S. Chen
Recorded Presentation

3.2
Hurricane Michael: A Brief Overview and Look at the Societal and Economic Impacts across North Florida and South Georgia

2:30 PM
3.3
An Overview of Utility Company Emergency Preparedness during Two Significant Hurricanes
Robert W. Pasken, Saint Louis Univ., Saint Louis, MO; and R. Woodford, M. Lewis, M. Roark, and A. Margevich
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.4
The Limits of Risk Communication: What Influenced Evacuation and Preparation Behaviors in North Carolina during Florence and Michael?
Jessica C. Whitehead, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. Lopez and S. White
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3.5
A Storm of Information: Twitter Data from Hurricanes Florence and Michael
Adam M. Rainear, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and K. A. Lachlan and C. A. Palombo
Recorded Presentation

3.6
I'm Staying! A Discussion of the Societal Aspects of the Choice to Ride Out Hurricane Michael

3:30 PM
3.7
The Saffir–Simpson Scale: Simple, Straightforward, and Insufficient
Kyra Bryant, Tennessee State Univ., Nashville, TN; and A. Musinguzi and M. Akbar
Recorded Presentation

3.8
Hurricane Michael: Messaging an Unprecedented Event for the Florida Panhandle and Beyond

3.9
The Effectiveness of NWS Personnel Integration into Emergency Operations Centers during Hurricane Michael

Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Monday | Tuesday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 4
Major Weather Impacts of 2018: Global Events
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
8:30 AM
4.1
Global Weather and Climate Extremes of 2018 (Invited Presentation)
Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
4.2
Cumulative Extreme Weather Events and Subsequent High-Impact Flooding in Southern Japan in Early July 2018
Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. R. Vallee
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
4.3
Extreme Drought of 2018 in Central Europe: Evaluation and Predictability
Petr Stepanek, Global Change Research Center, Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czech Republic; and M. Trnka, P. Zahradnicek, and P. Skalak
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
4.4
The Odd One Out: The Story of a Tornado Outbreak in Southern Iceland
Elín B. Jónasdóttir, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland

9:45 AM
4.5
The 2018 Wildfire Season: 420,002,018th Year of Biomass Burning on Earth (Invited Presentation)
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Session 5
Major Weather Impacts of 2018: Session II
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
5.1
Big Stories from the Winter of 2017/18 (Invited Presentation)

5.2
The Four’easter: Storm Fatigue and Decision-Making

11:00 AM
5.3
Extreme February Precipitation and Historic Flooding across Northern Indiana and Southwest Lower Michigan
Sam Lashley, NOAA/NWSFO, Syracuse, IN

5.4
Southern California’s Thomas Fire and the Deadly Montecito Debris Flow: NWS Successes and Challenges in Providing Impact-Based Decision Support Services for Preparedness, Response, and Recovery (Invited Presentation)

5.5
Debris Flow and Flash Flood Impact Decision Support Services within a Postwildfire Environment

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 6
Major Weather Impacts of 2018: Session III
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
1:30 PM
6.1
The Decimation of a U.S. Rainfall Record
Terrence John Corrigan Jr., Univ. of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and T. Cherubini, S. Businger, K. Kodama, and P. S. Chu
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
6.2
Synoptic Analysis of the Epic Rainstorm in Kauai on 14–16 April 2018
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. Powell and E. A. Betterton
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
6.3
Western North Carolina Sets Record in May 2018 for Wettest Month
Ward Seguin, Riverside Technology inc., Etowah, NC; and G. Smith
Recorded Presentation

6.4
When Catastrophe Strikes Twice: How the Ellicott City, Maryland, Flood of 2018 Was Not a Repeat of the 2016 Flood

2:30 PM
6.4A
The Evolution and Impacts of the 2018 Four Corners Drought in the Southwest United States
Rebecca Bolinger, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Session 7
Major Weather Impacts of 2018: Session IV
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
7.1
The Great Flood of June 2018 for the Rio Grande Valley and Coastal Bend of South Texas

3:15 PM
7.2
Table Rock Lake Duck Boat Tragedy of July 2018: The Intersection of Extreme Weather and Vulnerable User Groups
Randy Graham, NWS, Kansas City, MO

3:30 PM
7.3
Highlights of the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific 2018 Hurricane Season. (Invited Presentation)
Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC, Miami, FL

3:45 PM
7.4
The 2018 Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Season (Invited Presentation)
Russell S. Schneider, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and P. T. Marsh

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Poster Session
Major Weather Impacts of 2018 Poster Session
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
821A
The Historic 14 April 2018 Upper Midwest Blizzard: Operational Challenges and Decision Support Successes at NWS Twin Cities
William R. Borghoff, NWS, Chanhassen, MN

582
Observational Strategies toward Capturing Peak Wind Speeds in Landfalling Hurricanes
Marty Bell, WeatherFlow, Fort Collins, CO; and S. Woll, F. Masters, J. Schroeder, and T. McGee

583
3-km HFV3 Forecasts of High-Impact 2018 Atlantic and Pacific Hurricanes
Andrew Hazelton, Univ. of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL; and X. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, and W. Ramstrom

584
The U.S. and Global Climate Conditions of 2018 in Historical Perspective
Jake Crouch, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt, A. Sanchez-Lugo, C. Fenimore, and R. R. Heim Jr.

585
The Effectiveness of the Hurricane Threats and Impacts Product Suite in Support of Community Decision-Making during the 2018 Hurricane Season
David Sharp, NOAA/National Weather Service, Melbourne, FL; and D. P. Santos Jr.

586
Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Structure Using Near-Real-Time Microwave Products from 1 to 200 GHz
Joshua H. Cossuth, NRL, Washington, DC

587
Impact of Landfalling Hurricane on Rainfall and Flood: Prototyping Use of GTPAS on Near-Real-Time GOES-16 Data
Long Chiu, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and J. L. Kinter III, X. Hao, Q. Liu, Z. Chester, G. Stearn, and M. Aliani

588
The 2018 Greensboro Tornado: Complications and Challenges of Surveying and Providing Relief in an Urban Environment
Ryan T. Ellis, NOAA/NWSFO, Raleigh, NC; and N. M. Petro and D. Campbell

589
Assessment of MRMS Severe Weather Algorithm Performance during 2018 Landfalling Tropical Cyclones

590
Hurricane Categories Depending on Their Winds in Context of Warming Climate: Using a Right-Tail L-Probability Distribution Function
Wanli Wang, Wuhan Univ.，China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan Regional Climate Center,Yunnan Univ., wuhan, China
Manuscript (436.7 kB)

591
Supporting Policymakers with Assessments of Long-Term Risks and Adaptation Strategies for Recovery from Hurricane Michael Using the Island City on a Wedge
Robert L. Ceres Jr., The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. E. Forest and K. Keller

673A
Wisconsin’s Record Tornado: Thought Process of a Warning Forecaster during the 134-km (83 mi) Long-Track Tornado
Jacob R., Beitlich, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Chanhassen, MN

593
PERSIANN Dynamic IR–Rain-Rate Model (PDIR) for High-Resolution, Real-Time Satellite Precipitation Estimation

594
Guiding Hurricane Michael Recovery: Data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Census Data Tools
Andrew W. Hait, Department of Commerce, Washington, DC

Handout (2.4 MB) Handout (1.4 MB)

595
Rapid Inland Flood Situational Awareness Using Forecasted Precipitation Data
David R. Judi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and C. L. Rakowski, X. Li, and Y. Feng

596
An Anomalously High Accumulation of Ice Pellets in St. John's, Newfoundland, on 16 January 2018: A Case Study
Nikolay Damyanov, Wood, St. John's, NF, Canada

597
Hurricane Michael's Surface Wind Field at Landfall
Mark D. Powell, Risk Management Solutions, Tallahassee, FL

598
Anatomy of a Rare South Texas Snowstorm: 7–8 December 2017
Michael E. Buchanan, NWS, Corpus Christi, TX

Handout (7.7 MB)

599
Hooked on a Pattern: The Spring and Summer Floods of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic Region

Handout (792.1 kB) Handout (275.3 kB)

600
Overnight Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornado Event for Barksdale Air Force Base, Louisiana, and Adjacent Parts of Northeast Texas and Northwest Louisiana on 13–14 April 2018
Ray L Christensen II, U.S. Air Force, Department of Defense, Barksdale Air Force Base, LA

Handout (2.0 MB)

601
Comparison of Two Persistent Extreme Cold Events in China during January 2018 and 2008: The Modulation Roles of Arctic Sea Ice Reduction and SSTA
Shuanglin Li, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China

602
Extremely Hot Summer of 2018 and Its Observed Impacts within the Urban Environment of the City of Prague
Pavel Zahradnicek, Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences , Brno, Czech Republic; and P. Skalak and P. Stepanek

603
Communication of Snow Events in South-Central Texas
Kristina Deleon, Univ. of the Incarnate Word, San Antonio, TX; and G. J. Mulvey and T. Springer

604
A Year in the Life of an Impact-Based Warning System
Elín B. Jónasdóttir, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland

605
Forecasting a 2018 Severe Rainstorm in Shanghai: The Role of Convection across the Gray Zone
Rui Wang, East China Normal Univ., Shanghai, China; and F. Qiao, X. Z. Liang, Q. Li, and H. Zhang

606
Developing Multiseasonal Analogs for Top Washington, D.C., Area Windstorms
Anthony Sagliani, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD

607
Multivariate Models to Estimate Hydrometeorological Extremes Risk
Salaheddine El Adlouni, Univ. de Moncton, Moncton, NB, Canada

608
The 2018 Extreme Heat Wave Characteristics over East Asia
Ki-Hong Min, Kyungpook National Univ., Daegu, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Bae, D. H. Cha, and M. I. Lee

609
Forecasting Volcanic Air Pollution during the Historic 2018 Lower East Rift Zone Eruption of Kīlauea Volcano in Hawaii
Lacey Holland, Univ. of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger, T. Elias, A. K. Pattantyus, and T. Cherubini

610
Optical Lightning Characteristics of 2018 Atlantic Hurricanes from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper
Kristin M. Calhoun, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. M. Kingfield, S. N. Stevenson, and A. Fierro

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