Poster Session P1 Poster Session I: Operational Issues, Genesis, Precipitation, Landfall, Historical Perspectives, and Climate Change

Tuesday, 17 April 2012: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Heritage Ballroom (Sawgrass Marriott)
Sponsor: 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

**Indicates paper is being considered for the Max Eaton Student Prize**

Papers:
 
The Characteristics of Disaster Associated with Track of Typhoon Affecting the Korean Peninsula
Ki-Jun Park, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. H. Ahn and B. J. Kim

Handout (436.8 kB)

 
Socio-economic impacts of typhoon struck the Korean Peninsular
Baek-Jo Kim, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. Cho and K. J. Park

Handout (2.2 MB)

 
The Seventh International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones
Jeffrey D. Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and C. S. Velden, E. A. Ritchie, and P. Caroff

 
Training on tropical cyclones for Latin American students
Luis M. Farfán, CICESE, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Baja California , Mexico; and G. B. Raga

Manuscript (579.7 kB)

Handout (181.9 kB)

 
The Continuously Operating Caribbean Observational Network (COCONet): Improved Observational Capacity in the Caribbean
John J. Braun, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Calais, K. Feaux, G. Mattioli, M. Miller, and G. Wang

 
Discriminating between tornadic and non-tornadic soundings in tropical cyclones
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and B. M. Hays and M. C. Link

 
Variations of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in the Vietnam Coastal Region
Hoang Anh Nguyen-Thi, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Hachioji, Japan; and J. Matsumoto and N. Endo

 
Remote Effects of Tropical Cyclones on Heavy Rainfall over the Korean Peninsula
Kun-Young Byun, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and T. Y. Lee

http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/14983

Handout (1.8 MB)

 
Explorations in understanding the diurnal rainfall cycle over islands
Larissa E. Back, University of Wisconsin- Madison, Madison, WI

 
An Observational and Modeling Study of Tropical Cyclone Outer Rainbands
Randell J. Barry, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and T. A. Guinn

Manuscript (1.9 MB)

Handout (737.1 kB)

 
Rain retrieval challenges associated with Hawaiian Islands
Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama - Huntsville, Huntsville, AL

 
Influence of Storm Motion on TC Precipitation Distribution
Ying Li, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, Beijing, China

 
A Look at the New Oceansat-2 Scatterometer (OSCAT) over Tropical Cyclones
Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam; and P. S. Chang and Z. Jelenak

 
Overview of the GOES-R Proving Ground Activities at National Hurricane Center
John Knaff, NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, D. W. Hillger, D. T. Lindsey, D. A. Molenar, J. L. Beven II, M. J. Brennan, H. D. Cobb III, R. Brummer, A. B. Schumacher, J. Dunion, K. K. Fuell, A. L. Molthan, and C. S. Velden

 
New GSMaP over-land precipitation retrieval algorithm for AMSR2
Kazumasa Aonashi, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Yamaguchi, H. Ishimoto, and K. Imaoka

Handout (401.0 kB)

 
The Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) - Planned research and development avenues for continued algorithm improvement
Timothy L. Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

 
Tropical cyclone intensity estimation using temporal analysis and spatial features in satellite data
Gholamreza Fetanat, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and A. Homaifar and K. Knapp

Manuscript (661.4 kB)

Handout (368.5 kB)

 
Computing Deep-Tropospheric Vertical Wind Shear Analyses for TC Applications: Does the Methodology Matter?
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Sears and M. Sitkowski

Manuscript (524.7 kB)

 
Examining Trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Genesis
Sarah A. Monette, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

Manuscript (495.0 kB)

Handout (5.8 MB)

 
Simulated Satellite Imagery as a Diagnostic Tool for Regional Hurricane Models
David A. Zelinsky, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

 
Spatial Modeling of Single Cell Cloud-to-Ground Lightning in Gwinnett County, GA
Ona M. Strikas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

http://myweb.fsu.edu/oms10/AMSposter.pdf

Handout (1.6 MB)

 
Tropical cyclogenesis sensitivity and predictability
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, J. R. Moskaitis, and C. A. Reynolds

 
Role of Intense Updrafts in Tropical Cyclone Formation
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL

 
The Climatological Characteristics of the Landfall Typhoons on North Korea
Suk-Hee Ahn, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. J. Park and B. J. Kim

Handout (434.8 kB)

 
Evolution of lightning in eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclones as they approach the coast of Mexico
Graciela B. Raga, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmosfera/Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and T. Aviles, J. S. Cervantes, and F. Oropeza

Handout (712.7 kB)

 
Overview of UAHuntsville ground-based observations of landfalling Hurricane Irene (2011)
Kevin Knupp, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. Phillips, S. Mullins, T. A. Murphy, M. Saari, and R. A. Wade

 
Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Forecast Windfields to 120hrs lead
Adam S. R. Lea, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

 
Accuracy of NHC Track and Intensity Forecasts for Tropical Disturbances and Weak Tropical Cyclones
Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and J. P. Cangialosi and T. B. Kimberlain

 
Verification of tropical cyclone track predictions from an experimental high-resolution NOGAPS ensemble
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, E. Serra, and J. McLay

 
Verification and expansion of probabilistic tropical cyclogenesis forecasts by Dvorak analyses
Joshua Cossuth, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. D. Knabb, D. P. Brown, and R. E. Hart

 
Analysis of the variability of Atlantic tropical cyclone forecast errors
Joshua Cossuth, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

 
Evaluation of Synoptic Patterns for Atlantic Hurricanes Categorized by Ensemble Track Error and Variance
Lindsey Day, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Manuscript (1.1 MB)

 
SLOSH Model Hindcast of Hurricane Irene (2011) Surge
Brian C. Zachry, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and A. L. Doggett and A. B. Kennedy

Manuscript (2.2 MB)

 
Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Formation and Track Forecasts from the ECMWF 15-day and 32-day Ensemble for the western North Pacific
Grant Elliott, Bureau of Meteorology, Perth, Australia, West Perth, Australia; and R. L. Elsberry and P. Harr

 
The forecasting skill impact of verifying TC dissipation
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

 
Extension of global best-track tropical cyclone record using gridded reanalyses
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcprob

Manuscript (600.7 kB)

 
P1.44
Is a homogeneous global record of TC position and intensity possible?

 
A Reanalysis of the 1931 to 1943 Atlantic Hurricane Database
Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and A. B. Hagen, W. Bredemeyer, D. A. Glenn, A. Santiago, and C. Carrasco

 
Tropical Cyclones Tracks near the coast of Southern Mexico
John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

 
Evaluating the relationship between large-scale and storm-ambient environments
Stacy M. Lynn, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and A. Evan

 
A Reanalysis of the 1954 Atlantic Hurricane Season Database
Sandy Delgado, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS), Miami, FL

 
P1.52
Cluster analysis of tropical cyclone tracks in the Southern Hemisphere

 
The Role of Tropical Cyclones in the Mexico Climate
Christian Dominguez Sarmiento, UNAM (National Autonomous University of Mexico), mexico city, df, Mexico; and V. O. Magaña Rueda

Manuscript (657.3 kB)

Handout (1.1 MB)

 
Tropical cyclone landfall probabilities and track analysis for the Eastern North Pacific: 1970-2009
Rosario Romero-Centeno, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), México City (D.F.), México, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. Raga

Handout (3.4 MB)

 
Uncertainties in Futurue Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity Projected by Multi-Physics and Multi-SST Ensemble Experiments Using the 60-KM-Mesh MRI-AGCM
Hiroyuki Murakami, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and R. Mizuta and E. Shindo

Handout (1.7 MB)

 
Assessment of the Effect of Climate Change on Florida's Future Hurricane Event Risk
Michelle Ruiz, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

 
The Hots Get Hotter: Tallahassee's History of 100 Degree Days Since 1951
Laura Elizabeth Michaels, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner