* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Monday, 15 January 2007
	9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day)
	10:45 AM-2:30 PM, Monday, 212A Joint Session 7 Measurements and Modeling of Aerosols (Joint with Ninth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, Forum on Climate Change as Manifested by Changes in Weather, and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
10:45 AM J7.1 Improvements to Aerosol Size Distributions in CMAQ   Robert A. Elleman, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. S. Covert 11:00 AM J7.2 Simulating Secondary Organic Aerosol: Accuracy versus Computational Efficiency   Ping Liu, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Zhang J7.4 Coupling of CB05 gas-phase chemical mechanism with MADRID aerosol module in WRF/Chem   Jianping Huang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Zhang, X. Hu, and K. L. Schere 11:15 AM J7.3 Size Distribution and Hygroscopic Properties of Agricultural Aerosols   Naruki Hiranuma, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and S. D. Brooks, B. W. Auvermann, and R. Littleton 11:30 AM J7.5 Evaluation of the aerosol direct effect on a mesoscale simulation   Steven E. Peckham, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado & NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Grell, S. A. McKeen, J. D. Fast, R. Zaveri, and S. Chung 11:45 AM Recognition of NASA Student Travel Award Winners in the field of Atmospheric Chemistry   12:00 PM Lunch Break   1:30 PM J7.6 Dust sandstorm dynamics analysis in Northern China by means of atmospheric, emission, dispersion modeling   Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology and National Research Council/IBIMET-CNR, Firenze, FI, Italy; and L. Bottai, C. Busillo, F. Calastrini, G. Gualtieri, F. Guarnieri, P. Scalas, and L. Torriano J7.7 Episodic particulate matter modeling in a semi-arid/arid area over the U.S./Mexico border: Incorporating a wind-blown dust emissions model into the MODELS-3/CMAQ system   Yu-Jin Choi, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and H. J. S. Fernando 1:45 PM J7.8 The Instability associated with the Cross-Atlantic Transport of Saharan Dust and its Meteorological Implications   Sun Wong, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler, P. R. Colarco, and A. Da Silva 2:00 PM J7.9 Comparison of AEROSE I and AEROSE II Surface Level Ozone Measurements and Ozonesonde Profiles within Saharan Dust and Biomass Burning Plumes   Michelle D. Hawkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and V. R. Morris, N. R. Nalli, and E. Joseph
	10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, 214B Session 1 Model Diagnostics - Climate Change Studies
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
10:45 AM 1.1 Changes in the Arctic Oscillation under increased atmospheric greenhouse gases   Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh, G. Boer, and F. W. Zwiers 11:00 AM 1.2 Can IPCC AR4 climate models simulate present extreme daily precipitation distributions and their future changes under global warming scenarios?   Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and T. R. Knutson 11:15 AM 1.3 Stratospheric variability and trends in climate model simulations   Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA 11:30 AM 1.4 Climate variability over South America in IPCC-AR4 simulations of the 20th century   Carolina Vera, CIMA/Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Buenos Aires-CONICET, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and G. Silvestri 11:45 AM 1.5 Assessing consistency between EOS MLS and ECMWF analyzed and forecast estimates of cloud ice   Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, J. H. Jiang, and A. M. Tompkins
	11:45 AM-5:30 PM, Monday, 214C Session 2B General Session on Climate Variability
Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY
11:45 AM 2B.1A The climate of 2006 in historical perspective   Karin Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, D. Levinson, S. Stephens, and C. Tankersley 12:00 PM Lunch Break   1:30 PM 2B.1 Climatic Normals for Changing Climate   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. E. Livezey and H. M. Van den Dool 1:45 PM 2B.2 An update on observed stratospheric temperature trends   William J. Randel, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:00 PM 2B.3 Opposing effects of reflective and absorptive Rossby wave breaking events on the intraseasonal NAO: A feedback mechanism for the interannual NAO   Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, CA; and J. T. Abatzoglou 2:15 PM 2B.4 Atmospheric blockings - Their influence on the NAO and PNA   Mischa Croci-Maspoli, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. B. Schwierz and H. C. Davies 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 2B.5 The interannual and interdecadal variability in hurricane acticity over the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific Ocean   Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and T. K. Latham, T. H. Magill, J. V. Clark, and P. S. Market 4:15 PM 2B.6 The non-stationary correlation between Sahel precipitation indices and Atlantic Hurricane activity   Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and J. M. Schrage 2B.7 Decadal variability of ENSO persistence barrier in ocean heat content and its phase Lag with the SST barrier   Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and H. Y. Kao 4:30 PM 2B.8 The Thermal and Dynamical Structure of the Atmosphere during the 1998-2000 La Nina   Amir Shabbar, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. Yu 4:45 PM 2B.9 Assessment of US climate variations using the US Climate Extremes Index   Bryan A. Burkholder, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly 5:00 PM 2B.10 A new method for time series filtering near endpoints   Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and P. Yu and J. J. O'Brien
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, 214B Session 2A Model Diagnostic Studies - General
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
1:30 PM 2A.1 Wide band power and harmonic amplitude of precipitation   A.C. Ruane, ECPC, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA; and J. O. Roads 1:45 PM 2A.2 Variability of the Antarctic Intermediate Water across the Equatorial Atlantic in 2004 Detected from ARGO Float Data Using the Optimal Spectral Decomposition Method   Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA; and O. Melnichenoko and L. M. Ivanov 2:00 PM 2A.3 Influence of surface water on US regional climate forecasts   A. M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads 2:15 PM 2A.4 Evaluation of cloud-radiation interaction within a single column model and regional climate modeling frameworks   Suryun Ham, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Park and S. Y. Hong 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 2A.5 Identifying climate model deficiencies in simulating tropical intraseasonal variability: application of weather-forecasting and single-column-modeling methodologies   Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. S. Boyle, S. A. Klein, S. Xie, J. J. Hnilo, D. L. Williamson, J. Olson, R. Pincus, X. Wei, and G. Zhang 4:15 PM 2A.6 Effects of volcanoes on the vertical temperature profile in models and radiosonde observations   Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lanzante 4:30 PM 2A.7 Impact of drifted basic states on the simulated tropical intraseasonal variability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM   Harun Ar Rashid, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and O. Alves and H. Hendon 4:45 PM 2A.8 Evaluation of the WRF model for regional climate downscaling driven by CCSM3 at T85 resolution   Jeff Chun-Fung Lo, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang 5:00 PM 2A.9 The impact of the boundary layer parameterization on the weather and climate of the GEOS-5 model   Caterina M. Tassone, SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. T. Bacmeister and L. L. Takacs 5:15 PM 2A.10 Why simulating the ITCZ in GCMs is so difficult   Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. J. Suarez, J. T. Bacmeister, B. Chen, and L. L. Takacs
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall C Joint Poster Session 1 Climate change: in Hydrometeorological Variables, Detection & Attribution (Joint Between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, 23rd Conference on IIPS, Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather, and the 5th Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to Environmental Sciences)
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
JP1.1 Spatial coherence of rainfall variations using the Oklahoma Mesonet   K. Margret Sturgis, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson, M. B. Richman, and D. J. Karoly   Poster Moved. New Paper Number 4A.11A     JP1.2A What can we (not?!) say about historical temperature changes from Radiosonde records?   Peter Thorne, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. McCarthy and H. Titchner   JP1.3 Blocking in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere: An update to include 2000 - 2006   Joseph V. Clark, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and K. M. Mihalka and A. R. Lupo   JP1.4 GPS radio occultations of arctic temperature profiles   Jaclyn Trzaska, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and J. Francis and D. E. Veron   JP1.5 Identifying Connections Between Temperature Trends and Station Changes in the United States   Rebecca A. Smith, Florida State Univ./COAPS, Tallahasssee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien   JP1.6 Comparison of glacier-inferred temperatures with observations and climate model simulations   Diandong Ren, Univ. of Oklahoma/CAPS, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly   JP1.7 Assessing the trends of Southern Hemisphere transient wave activity in reanalyses and rawinsonde observations   Yanjuan Guo, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and E. K. M. Chang   JP1.8 Comparative study on the land-cover change and global warming impacts on regional climate in Northeast Asia   Tomonori Sato, Univ. of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan; and F. Kimura   Poster JP1.9 has been moved. New paper number 2B.7A in the 23IIPS Program     JP1.10 The search for ocean influences on midlatitude cyclones   Richard E. Danielson, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada   JP1.11 Regional climate change expected in Eastern/Central Europe   Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, C. Torma, and A. Hunyady   JP1.12 Increased Precipitation is Climate Change imposed by Anthropogenic Activities   Pankaj Kumar Sinha, Cochin University of Science & Technology, Cochin, India   JP1.13 Impact of land cover on the regional response to global warming   Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and Y. K. Lim and E. Kalnay   JP1.14 Evidence in support of the climate change-Atlantic hurricane hypothesis   James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL   JP1.15 Detected trends in extreme temperature and precipitation indices in the Central/Eastern European region   Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall C Joint Poster Session 2 Model Diagnostics and General Climate Variability (Joint with Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
JP2.1 Impact of precipitation characteristics on model's horizontal resolution and orography   Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and O. Arakawa   JP2.2 Low-level cloud amount simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model with a 20-km grid size   Shoji Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Inoue and H. Kawai   JP2.3 Downscaled 1997/1998 Summer over East Asia using the Regional Spectral Model   E-Hyung Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong   JP2.4 Extreme hydrologic events from an ensemble of CCSM3 climate change simulations   Marcia L. Branstetter, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and D. J. Erickson   JP2.5 Implementation of a Double Fourier Series (DFS) Dynamic Core in a Global Numerical Weather Prediction Model   Hoon Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and H. B. Cheong and S. Y. Hong   JP2.6 The Role of MJO in Ensemble Forecasts of the 1997/98 El Nińo in the POAMA1 System   Li Shi, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and O. Alves, H. H. Hendon, and G. Wang   JP2.8 NCEP global ensemble based anomaly forecast   Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth   JP2.9 Assessment of the Severe Weather Environment in North America Simulated by Global Climate Models   Patrick T. Marsh, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. Brooks and D. J. Karoly   JP2.10 Assessment of global climate models performance from the characterization of duration, intensity and frequency of daily rainfall. Application to African Sahel   Amadou Idrissa Bokoye, EC/MSC/Ouranos Consortium, Inc., Montreal, QC, Canada; and P. Gachon, N. Gauthier, D. Parishkura, A. Cotnoir, G. Vigeant, and J. Milton   JP2.11 A successful story in predicting NAM events by the operational NCEP's GFS model   Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and C. S. Shin and H. Van den Dool   JP2.12 Asian dust - pollution interactions inducing more solar radiation absorption: Results from ground-based sky radiation measurements   B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and T. Nakajima, H. W. Chun, and K. Aoki   JP2.13 Interaction between dust storms, precipitation and Gulf of California moisture surges in the Paso del Norte region   Karina Apodaca, Howard University, Washington, DC; and D. V. R. Morris, A. Y. Lozano, J. Negrete, and D. R. M. Fitzgerald   JP2.14 Climatology of sub-monthly wave patterns associated with tropical cyclone tracks over the East Asian monsoon area during July-August season   Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu   JP2.15 Recurving typhoons and eastern North Pacific predictability as revealed by singular vectors   Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA   JP2.16 The relationship between ENSO, PNA, and AO/NAO and extreme storminess, rainfall, and temperature variability during the Florida dry season: thoughts on predictability and attribution   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL   JP2.17 Atmospheric blocking and patterns of low-frequency variability arising from the breaking of upper level Rossby waves   T. J. Woollings, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and B. J. Hoskins and M. Blackburn   JP2.18 Comparison of observed and modeled trends in annual extremes of temperature and precipitation   Dmitry Kiktev, Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia, Moscow, Russia; and J. Caesar and L. V. Alexander   JP2.19 Understanding the climatology of small-scale patterns of orographic precipitation: progress from the Olympic Mountains   Justin R. Minder, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. M. Anders, G. H. Roe, and D. Durran   JP2.20 Innovations in Spatial Analysis in the Bureau of Meteorology   David Jones, BOM, Vic., 3001, Australia; and D. X. Wang, N. Plummer, D. I. Grant, and A. Rea   JP2.21 Links between West Africa monsoon variability and summer anomalies in the western Mediterranean   Marina Baldi, IBIMET/CNR, Rome, Italy; and G. A. Dalu and M. Gaetani   JP2.22 On the mechanisms resulting in post-fire flash floods: a case study   Lee Tryhorn, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and A. Lynch and R. Abramson   JP2.23 Climate Variability and the Texas Fire Weather Season of 2005–2006: An Historic Perspective of a Statewide Disaster   Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, NOAA/NWS, Brownsville, TX; and A. R. Patrick and M. C. Oaks   JP2.24 Bioclimatological aspects of sudden cardiovascular death cases   Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, Z. Kis, K. Toro, G. Dunai, N. Szlavik, and E. Keller   JP2.25 Southern California upwelling: Is recent weakening a result of global warming?   Steve LaDochy, California State Univ., Los Angeles, CA; and P. Ramirez and W. C. Patzert   JP2.26 Abrupt Seasonal Migration of the ITCZ into the Summer Hemisphere   Peng Xian, Columbia Univ. and NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY; and R. L. Miller
Tuesday, 16 January 2007
	8:30 AM-11:45 AM, Tuesday, 214C Joint Session 2 Joint Session between 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 23IIPS (Joint between the 23rd Conference on IIPS and the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Stephen M. Holt, Mitretek Systems, Falls Church, VA; Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; John Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; Lucie A. Vincent, EC, Toronto, ON Canada
8:30 AM J2.1 The National Severe Storms Laboratory Historical Weather Data Archives Data Management And Web Access System   Willa H. Zhu, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. M. Schultz, D. Kennedy, K. Kelleher, and N. Soreide 8:45 AM J2.2 Observing System Web Portal   Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. Sirott, D. W. Denbo, and W. H. Zhu 9:00 AM J2.3 NOAA's integrated observations and data management analysis tools   Martin Yapur, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Reining and J. Barkley 9:15 AM J2.4 NOAA State of the Arctic Report   Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge, ERDC-Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and J. E. Overland, A. Proshutinsky, V. Romanovsky, and N. Soreide 9:30 AM J2.5 Making Space-based Sensors Discoverable on the Internet Using A Service Oriented Architecture and Open Geospatial Consortium Standards   Dan Mandl, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. W. Frye and P. Cappalaere 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM J2.6 Interactive Web Access to Ocean Surface Currents Analyses – Realtime Data   Willa H. Zhu, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Bonjean, G. Lagerloef, N. N. Soreide, and J. J. O'Brien 11:15 AM J2.7 Geoprocessing Sea Ice Datasets to Derive Climate Fields   Tracy DeLiberty, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and S. Ackley, C. Geiger, M. Van Woert, and A. Worby J2.8 A Java Based Graphical User Interface for Numerical Model Simulation and Analysis   Rahul Ramachandran, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair, S. Graves, R. M. Welch, and R. Pielke 11:30 AM J2.8A Tropical Cyclone Wind Probablities: Better Defining Uncertainty at the National Hurricane Center   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, 214B Session 3 Detection and attribution of regional climate change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 3.1 Detection of Human Influence on 20th Century Precipitation Trends   Xuebin Zhang, Meteorological Service of Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers, G. Hegerl, F. H. Lambert, N. P. Gillett, and S. Solomon 8:45 AM 3.2 Implications of changes in the atmospheric circulation on the detection and attribution of regional surface air temperature trends   Qigang Wu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly 3.3 Satellite measurements of radiative forcing by greenhouse gases   W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Bellevue, WA 9:00 AM 3.4 Changes in the Fabric of the Arctic's Greenhouse Blanket   Jennifer A. Francis, Rutgers University, Highlands, NJ; and J. Trzaska and E. Hunter 9:15 AM 3.5 On the Origin of the Tropical Atlantic Decadal Oscillation based on the   Gyu-Ho Lim, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and Y. C. Suh and B. M. Kim 9:30 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   10:45 AM 3.6 Detection of a Global and Caribbean climate changes   Nazario D. Ramirez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and O. Julca and J. Gonzalez 11:00 AM 3.7 Trends in Northern Hemisphere winter storm track activity in reanalysis, observations, and GCM simulations   Edmund K. M. Chang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and X. Xia 11:15 AM 3.8 Modeling the effects of global warming and land use changes on California   Bryan C. Weare, University of California, Davis, CA; and H. Du 11:30 AM 3.9 The 20th century East Asian summer monsoon simulated by coupled climate models of IPCC AR4   Tianjun Zhou, LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and A. Dai
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Tuesday, 212A Joint Session 8 Air Quality and Climate Change (Joint with Ninth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, Forum on Climate Change as Manifested by Changes in Weather, and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Brian K. Lamb, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA
1:30 PM J8.1 Assessment of Long-Term Impacts of Regional Climate Changes on Air Quality   Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and R. Leung 1:45 PM J8.2 Global climate change impacts on air quality in North America   Efthimios Tagaris, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and K. J. Liao, K. Manomaiphiboon, A. G. Russell, S. He, J. H. Woo, P. Amar, and L. R. Leung 2:00 PM J8.3 Impacts of Biogenic and Anthropogenic Emissions on Photochemical Oxidants over the Pearl River Delta Region, China   Xuemei Wang, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; and L. Wenshi and Z. L. Yang 2:15 PM J8.4 A comparison of AURA/MLS CO measurement with 2 global chemical models   Jonathan Jiang, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and L. Neary, J. McConnell, H. Su, and J. Kaminski
	1:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday, 214B Session 4A Changes in hydrometeorological fields
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 4A.1 Is Rainfall Increasing in the Tropics?   Robert F. Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Gu and G. J. Huffman 1:45 PM 4A.2 Improved monitoring of hemispheric snow cover extent   David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and T. Estilow 2:00 PM 4A.3 Trends in United States snowfall: 1948–2005   Dale Kaiser, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and E. L. Soderstrom 2:15 PM 4A.4 Seasonal variability of snow cover over Tibetan Plateau: Analysis from high resolution MODIS satellite data   Li Xu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu 2:30 PM 4A.5 Origins of the Caribbean rainfall bimodal behavior   J.E. Gonzalez, Santa Clara Univ., Santa Clara, CA; and M. E. Angeles, D. E. Comarazamy, N. D. Ramirez, and C. A. Tepley 2:45 PM 4A.6 Diurnal, Synoptic, Subseasonal and Interannual Acceleration of the Global Hydrological Cycle in IPCC AR4 Model Simulations   Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena,, CA; and K. W. Seo, S. Schubert, and E. Njoku 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:30 PM 4A.7 Simulated change of drought over Asia under global warming scenario   Do-Woo Kim, Pukyung National University, Busan, South Korea; and H. R. Byun and S. U. Han 3:45 PM 4A.8 The characteristic and periodicity of drought events in Korea   Sun-Ju Lee, Pukyung National University, Busan, South Korea; and H. R. Byun, S. U. Han, and D. W. Kim 4:00 PM 4A.9 Early Detection of Climate Change Signals in Local Historical High Frequency Precipitation Series   Bernardo Gozzini, IBIMET - CNR, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy; and G. Maracchi, F. Meneguzzo, M. Pasqui, G. Menduni, B. Mazzanti, and F. Volpini 4:15 PM 4A.10 Possible Impacts of Climate Change on Heavy Rainfall-related Streamflow: An Application to Thames River, London, Ontario, Canada   Chad Shouquan Cheng, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and G. Li 4:30 PM Paper Moved. New Poster Number JP1.2A   4:31 PM 4A.11A Wind trends in the Highlands and Islands of Scotland 1960–2004 and their relation to the North Atlantic Oscillation   Gwenna Corbel, UHI Millennium Institute, Thurso, United Kingdom; and J. T. Allen and S. W. Gibb 4:45 PM 4A.12 Comparing Ten Years of Measurements of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Water Vapor by MOZAIC with the ECMWF Product   Zhengzhao Luo, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Kley, R. Johnson, and H. G. J. Smit 5:00 PM 4A.13 Interannual variations of upper tropospheric water vapor, temperature, clouds and SST   Hui Su, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. H. Jiang, X. Huang, and W. G. Read 5:15 PM 4A.14 Trends in cloud types in Canada   Ewa J. Milewska, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, 214C Session 4B The African Monsoon
Chair: John E. Janowiak, NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
1:30 PM 4B.1 Modes of Variability and Projections on to Recent Flooding and Severe drought Events over Africa   Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD 1:45 PM 4B.2 Characterization of the diurnal cycle of the West African Monsoon around the monsoon onset   Benjamin Sultan, IRD, Paris, France; and S. Janicot and P. J. Drobinski 2:00 PM 4B.3 Impact of the West African summer monsoon intra-seasonal variability on the life cycle of convective systems   Serge Janicot, IRD, Paris, France; and F. Mounier 2:15 PM 4B.4 40 days periodicity mode of variability in the West and Central African monsoon   Flore Mounier, CNRS, Paris, France; and S. Janicot 2:30 PM 4B.5 Waves interactions during the 1984 African monsoon onset   Flore Mounier, CNRS, Paris, France; and S. Janicot and G. N. Kiladis 2:45 PM 4B.6 Subseasonal forecasting with the NCEP Climate Forecasting System in the Western Sahel and tropical Atlantic   Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, VA; and H. L. Pan, W. M. Thiaw, D. Behringer, D. Stokes, and S. Saha
	1:40 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, 210B Joint Session 3 Artificial Intelligence and Climate Applications (Joint between 5th Conference on Applications of Artificial Intelligence in the Environmental Sciences and 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Antonello Pasini, CNR, Rome Italy; Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, Univ. of Maryland and SAIC at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
1:40 PM Welcoming Remarks   1:45 PM J3.2 Hybrid Numerical Climate and Weather Prediction Models Combining Deterministic and Statistical Learning Model Components (Invited Speaker)   Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, Univ. of Maryland and NOAA/NCEP/EMC/SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Fox-Rabinovitz 2:15 PM J3.3 Accurate and fast neural network emulation of full, long, and short wave, model radiation used for decadal climate simulations with NCAR CAM   Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, Univ. of Maryland and NOAA/NCEP/EMC/SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Fox-Rabinovitz and A. Belochitski 2:30 PM J3.4 Predictability in past and future climate conditions: a preliminary analysis by neural networks using unforced and forced Lorenz systems as toy models   Antonello Pasini, CNR, Rome, Italy 2:45 PM J3.5 Linking Climatic Variables with Colombian Development Indicators via Inductive Learning Tools   John Alexander Segura Sr., Hydrosciences Research Group, Bogotá, Colombia; and R. J. Brito, Y. R. Coronel, and N. Obregón 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:30 PM J3.6 Nonlinear principal component analysis: A new information criterion for model selection in noisy climate datasets (Invited Speaker)   William W. Hsieh, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada 4:00 PM J3.7 Robust nonlinear multivariate statistical models for climate analysis   Alex J. Cannon, MSC, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh 4:15 PM J3.8 Finding interesting climate phenomena by exploratory statistical techniques   Alexander Ilin, Helsinki University of Technology, Espoo, Finland; and H. Valpola and E. Oja 4:30 PM J3.9 Multiple imputation through machine learning algorithms   Michael B. Richman, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. B. Trafalis and I. Adrianto 4:45 PM J3.10 Object-oriented analysis of precipitation systems in NCEP Stage II analyses   Michael E. Baldwin, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and R. J. Trapp
Wednesday, 17 January 2007
	8:30 AM-11:30 AM, Wednesday, 214C Joint Session 1 Analyses and applications spanning broad time and space scales (Joint Session between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 16th Conference on Applied Climatology)
Chair: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA
8:30 AM J1.1 The impact of the MJO-bridging the gap between weather and climate   Alexis Donald, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Toowoomba, Qld, Australia; and S. M. Lennox, H. Meinke, and N. C. White 8:45 AM J1.2 Linking weather and climate across time scales-A case study in Altay   Zhuoting Wu, China Agricultural Univ., Beijing, China; and H. Zhang and B. Li 9:00 AM J1.3 Reliable statistical inference for weather and climate   Alexander Gluhovsky, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and E. Agee 9:15 AM J1.4 Mutual Information, Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetry of the joint distribution NAO-Winter Precipitation over the Euro-Atlantic Region   Carlos Alberto Pires, Univ. of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal; and R. P. Perdigăo J1.5 Intercomparison of the Stratospheric Performance of NCEP-NCAR and ERA-40 Reanalyses   Fred Snively, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and E. C. Cordero 9:30 AM J1.6 Global sea surface temperatures and North American fire danger variability   Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and B. L. Hall 9:45 AM Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer   10:15 AM J1.7 Evaluating IPCC rainfall and food aid tendencies for food insecure Africa   Chris C. Funk, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and J. Verdin and M. Brown 10:30 AM J1.8 Desert dust storms in Northern China: a trajectory analysis for the last 25 years   Francesca Guarnieri, NRC/IBIMET-CNR, Florence, Italy; and M. Pasqui 10:45 AM J1.9 An Observational and Modeling Study of the Winter-to-Spring Transition in East Asia-Onset of the South China Spring Rain   LinHo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and X. Huang and N. C. Lau 11:00 AM J1.10 A preliminary back-trajectory and air mass climatology for the Shenandoah Valley (Formerly J3.16 for Applied Climatology)   Robert E. Davis, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and L. Sitka, D. M. Hondula, S. Gawtry, D. Knight, T. Lee, and J. Stenger
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, 214B Joint Session 4 Joint session between 19CVC and 21st Conf. on Hydrology (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 21st Conference on Hydrology)
8:30 AM J4.1 Seasonal Precipitation Predictions over North American using the Eta RegionalClimate Model   Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell 8:45 AM J4.2 Precipitation probability distributions in drought-prone regions   Gilbert P. Compo, Climate Diagnostics Center, CIRES, and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh and C. A. Smith 9:00 AM J4.3 Evidence for interannual to decadal variations in Hadley and Walker Circulations and links to water and energy fluxes   F. R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. G. Bosilovich and T. L. Miller 9:15 AM J4.4 Evaluations of land/ocean skin temperatures observed in the ISCCP satellite datasets, and assimilated in the NCEP and ERA reanalyses   Ben-Jei Tsuang, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan; and M. D. Chou, Y. Zhang, and A. Roesch 9:30 AM J4.5 Effects of past and future climate change on ski areas   Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, J. Casson, and D. Reading 9:45 AM J4.6 Analyses of heavy rainfall variations in the U.S. from the reprocessed Hydrometeorological Automated Data System (HADS) data   Dongsoo Kim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
	11:15 AM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, 214B Session 5A The diurnal cycle
Chair: Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL, Livermore, CA
11:15 AM 5A.1 Coupling of the diurnal cycle to the cloud field and surface radiation fluxes   Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT 11:30 AM 5A.2 Diurnal cycles of cloud forcing of the surface radiation budget   Pamela E. Mlynczak, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, P. W. Stackhouse, and J. C. Mikovitz 11:45 AM 5A.3 Comparison of diurnal cycle of outgoing longwave flux from ERBE measurements with a climate model   G. Louis Smith, National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA; and A. Slingo and P. E. Mlynczak 12:00 PM Lunch Break (Cash and Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)   1:30 PM 5A.4 A Comparison of the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in Several High-resolution Satellite Datasets and Surface Observations   Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Lin and K. L. Hsu 1:45 PM 5A.5 Impacts of diurnal variations in sea-surface temperature on deep convection over tropical oceans   Philip Cunningham, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson 5A.6 Diurnal variability of the tropical upper ocean and its climate impacts   Dan Bernie, LOCEAN/IPSL, Paris, France; and E. Guilyardi, S. Woolnough, J. M. Slingo, G. Madec, and J. Cole 2:00 PM 5A.6A A Diurnal Radiative Forcing of Dust Aerosols over East Asia   Ji-Young Kim, University of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and W. C. Wang 2:15 PM 5A.7 Modulation of Diurnal Cycle of Tropical Convective Clouds by the MJO   Baijun Tian, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser and E. Fetzer 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 5A.8 Influence of Sea-Surface Temperature on the Diurnal Cycle of the North American Monsoon System   Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, V. E. Kousky, W. Shi, and W. Higgins 4:15 PM 5A.9 Diurnal Cycle Variations if Precipitation over the Americas   John E. Janowiak, NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Kousky and R. Joyce 4:30 PM 5A.10 Variations in the daily cycle along the Gulf of California during NAME 2004   Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and L. M. Rodriguez-Manzanet, P. Zuidema, and R. H. Johnson 4:45 PM 5A.11 Simulations of Warm Season Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation over the Continental United States and Northern Mexico in General Circulation Models   Myong-In Lee, UMBC/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Schubert, M. J. Suarez, I. M. Held, A. Kumar, J. E. Schemm, N. C. Lau, J. J. Ploshay, H. K. Kim, T. L. Bell, and S. H. Yoo 5:00 PM 5A.12 Diurnal variations of upper and middle tropospheric humidity and their relations to convective activities over tropical Africa from Meteosat-8 measurements   B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and E. S. Chung, J. Schmetz, and M. Koenig 5:15 PM 5A.13 The Diurnal Cycle of Convection in the IPCC AR4 Models   Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL/PCMDI, Livermore, CA
	11:30 AM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, 214C Session 5B Session Co-Sponsored by the Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Chair: Lisan Yu, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA
11:30 AM 5B.1 Variability of Sea-Air Interactions Associated with Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Katrina   R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and A. Surakanti, H. Chekuru, M. Benjamin, and R. Karim 11:45 AM 5B.2 The response of Arctic sea ice to the North Pacific Oscillation   Megan Linkin, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam 12:00 PM Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)   1:30 PM Paper 5B.3 has been moved. New Poster Number is JP2.25   1:45 PM 5B.4 Roles of the MJO in the development of Oceanic Kelvin waves and ENSO   Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY 2:00 PM Paper 5B.5 Moved. New Paper Number JP4.28   2:15 PM 5B.6 Observed relationships between large-scale atmospheric variability and sea-surface temperatures in the Southern Hemisphere   Laura M. Ciasto, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. W. J. Thompson 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 5B.7 Influence of mean climate on simulation of ENSO   Xiaohua Pan, George Mason Univ./COLA, Beltsville, MD; and B. Huang and J. Shukla 4:15 PM 5B.8 ENSO and associated overturning circulations from enhanced ENSO and associated overturning circulations from enhanced greenhouse gases   Zhengqing Ye Jr., University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C., Canada; and W. W. Hsieh 4:30 PM 5B.9 Effects of a diurnal sea surface temperature on surface fluxes and atmospheric variability   Christine Haman, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson 4:45 PM 5B.10 Decadal change in the tropical Pacific Ocean   Hye-Rim Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. I. An 5:00 PM 5B.11 A model composite assessment of the enhancement of Arctic warming by sea ice retreat   Colin P. Murray, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and J. E. Walsh 5:15 PM 5B.12 Large eddy simulation of coherent structures in cold air outbreaks   Ernest Agee, Purdue Univeristy, West Lafayette, IN; and B. MacCall and A. Gluhovsky
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C Joint Poster Session 3 Diurnal (Joint between the 21st Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Applied Climatology, and the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
JP3.1 Detection of Migrating Tides in the Tropical Middle Atmosphere using the CHAMP Radio Occultation Data   Zhen Zeng, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. J. Randel, S. Sokolovskiy, C. Deser, Y. H. Kuo, M. E. Hagan, and J. Du   Poster JP3.2 has been moved. New Paper number is 5A.6A     JP3.3 Early morning rainfall over the Strait of Malacca   Mikiko Fujita, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and F. Kimura, P. Wu, and M. Yoshizaki   JP3.4 Diurnal variation of optically thin water cloud   Toshiro Inoue, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and K. Kawamoto   JP3.5 Interannual variability of diurnal warming of the sea surface temperature   Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C Joint Poster Session 4 Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather)
JP4.1 An examination of the relationship between North Atlantic tropical storm activity and sea surface temperature using time series modeling   Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY   JP4.2 Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes   Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic   JP4.3 Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses   Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich   JP4.4 An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity   Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie   Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A     JP4.6 The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale   Allison A. Wing, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo   JP4.7 Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean   Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier   JP4.8 Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation   J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien   JP4.9 Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat   Cynthia A. Whittier, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson   JP4.10 Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context   Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin   JP4.11 Utilizing the statistical downscaling model to project weather extremes - a Canadian example   Gary S. Lines, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and L. Titus   JP4.12 A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators   Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer   JP4.13 Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms   Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith   JP4.14 Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding   Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie   JP4.15 Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall   Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann   JP4.16 Trends towards wetter hurricane basins   J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote   JP4.17 Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study   Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm   JP4.18 The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate   Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart   JP4.19 The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas   Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie and H. Sharif   JP4.20 Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach   Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin   JP4.21 Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States   Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner   JP4.22 Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding   Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest   JP4.23 Influence of Climate Model Cloud and Convection Parameter Uncertainties on Present and Future Simulated Precipitation Extremes   Yi Deng, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and C. Jackson   JP4.24 Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere   Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart   JP4.25 Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.   Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown   JP4.26 ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes   Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler   JP4.27 Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction   Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos   JP4.28 Relation between subseasonal and interannual variability of Indian monsoon and potential for seasonal predictability in a coupled GCM   Deepthi Achuthavarier, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and V. Krishnamurthy
Thursday, 18 January 2007
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, 214C Joint Session 5 intersection between climate change policy and economics (Joint between the 2nd Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, 16th Conference on Applied Climatology, and the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; Anthony Socci, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC
8:30 AM J5.1 Using Weather Variability to Assess Socioeconomic Impacts of Climate:   Roberta Balstad, Columbia University, Bethesda, MD 8:45 AM J5.2 The Role of Boundary Organizations in the Dissemination of Climate Information to Support Agricultural Production in Argentina   Alejandra Celis, CENTRO Estudios Sociales y Ambientales, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. G. Caputo and G. Podesta 9:00 AM J5.3 A Climate Services Division-A Second Look   Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK 9:15 AM J5.4 Integration of climate change/variability science into transportation policy and decision making   Eric Lindquist, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 9:30 AM J5.5 Individual Decision-Making: Where Climate and Policy Meet   Guillermo Podesta, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. U. Weber, F. Bert, D. Letson, C. A. Laciana, M. Re, and A. N. Menendez 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM J5.6 Critical challenges in incorporating climate into management of the Colorado River   Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and D. Kenney 11:15 AM J5.7 Atmospheric science policy on Capitol Hill; perspectives from the AMS-UCAR Congressional Science Fellow   James Bradbury, AMS/UCAR, Washington, DC 11:30 AM J5.8 Next steps for the AMS symposia on policy and socio-economic research   William Hooke, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC 12:00 PM J5.9 Normalized U.S. Hurricane Damages: Why Are We Seeing Catastrophic Losses in Recent Years?   Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, 214B Session 6 Linking weather and climate I
Chairs: Edward O'Lenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; Wayne Higgins (Chair after the Poster Viewing), NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
8:30 AM 6.1 Extratropical stormtrack variations associated with global SST changes   Gilbert P. Compo, Climate Diagnostics Center, CIRES and PSD/ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh 8:45 AM 6.2 Tropical cyclone strength, related precipitation, and sea surface temperatures ahead of the cyclone tracks   Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, R. W. Reynolds, T. R. Karl, O. N. Bulygina, and P. Zhai 9:00 AM 6.3 The possible seasonal climate impact from anomalous frequency of recurving tropical cyclones   Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart and C. Hosler 9:15 AM 6.4 The role of synoptic eddy and low-frequency flow (SELF) interaction in the MJO-midlatitude teleconnection   Lin-Lin Pan, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li 9:30 AM 6.5 The Convective Cold Top and Quasi-Equilibrium   Christopher E. Holloway, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 6.6 U.S. snowfall trends for 1900–2005   Kenneth Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and M. Palecki, K. G. Hubbard, D. Robinson, K. Redmond, D. R. Easterling, and L. Ensor 11:15 AM 6.7 THE ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION (AMO) AND WINTER SNOWFALL IN THE EASTERN US AND EURASIA   Joseph S. D'Aleo, Hudson Seven, LTD, Hudson, NH 11:30 AM 6.8 Impact and indicator based perspectives of ENSO influence on U.S. climate during winter   Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Livezey, J. J. O'Brien, and S. R. Smith 11:45 AM 6.9 Developing a lightning MOS for summer thunderstorms over southern California and northern Baja California Norte   Brandt D. Maxwell, San Diego, CA
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, 206B Joint Session 6 Haurwitz Lecture (Joint between MesoSymposium and 19 CVC)
11:00 AM J6.1 The Hurricane-Climate Connection   Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, 214B Session 7 Climate and Extreme Weather Events I
Chairs: Kelly Redmond, Western Regional Climate Center, Reno, NV; Edward O'Lenic (Chair after the Break), NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
1:30 PM 7.1 Tropical cyclones, drought, and the seasonal reversal of the ENSO rainfall signal in the Philippines   Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and S. J. Camargo, H. Cristi, E. R. Verceles, F. D. Hilario, and R. Abastillas 1:45 PM 7.2 Statistical analysis of factors affecting the genesis of tropical Atlantic cyclones in climate model simulations   R. Saravanan, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Mahajan 2:00 PM 7.3 A Multi-Millennial Record of Intense Hurricanes in New England   Philip Lane, MIT, Woods Hole, MA; and J. Donnelly 2:15 PM 7.4 U.S. temperature and precipitation extreme events, 1850–2005   Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and K. E. Kunkel and J. R. Angel 2:30 PM 7.5 Closed anticyclones of subtropical and middle latitudes: A 54-year climatology (1950–2003) and three case studies of extreme heat waves   Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart 2:45 PM 7.6 The Influence of Low Frequency and Synoptic Variability on the Timing, Magnitude, and Geographical Distribution of Extreme Wind Events   Jeffrey H. Yin, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Branstator 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall and Raffle   3:30 PM 7.7 The behavior of extreme cold-air outbreaks in a greenhouse-warmed world   Stephen J. Vavrus, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Walsh, D. Portis, and W. L. Chapman 3:45 PM 7.8 Changes in North American extremes derived from daily weather data   Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and X. Zhang, M. B. India, and J. L. V. Aguirre 4:00 PM 7.9 A Monte Carlo assessment of uncertainties in heavy precipitation frequency variations   Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, Illinois; and T. R. Karl and D. R. Easterling 4:15 PM 7.10 Statistical significance of the trends in the extremes of monthly precipitation over the US   Salil Mahajan, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and R. Saravanan, G. North, and M. G. Genton 4:30 PM 7.11 High quality daily temperature and precipitation historical data sets for the Northeast United States: implications for sudies of climate extremes   Paula J. Brown, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and R. S. Bradley 4:45 PM 7.12 A diagnostic study of atmospheric blocking using Lyapunov exponents over a 50 year period   Athar Hussain, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo, C. Strong, and S. Dostoglou 5:00 PM 7.13 An adaptive multi-regressive method for summer seasonal forecast in the Mediterranean area   Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology, National Research Council, Firenze, FI, Italy; and L. Genesio, A. Crisci, J. Primicerio, R. Benedetti, and G. Maracchi 5:15 PM 7.14 The development of standardized anomalies for gradient fields as well as other fields—a preliminary investigation   Ivory J. Small, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA

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