Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium
19th Conference on Probability and Statistics
    

Joint Poster Session 1

 Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics Posters (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics)
 Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; C.écile Penland, NOAA/ESRL/PSD3, Boulder, CO; Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 JP1.1Reduction of boundary layer dropsonde winds to estimate surface winds and their comparison with SFMR data in landfalling Hurricane Katrina  extended abstract
Richard G. Henning, Consulting Meteorologist, Niceville, FL
 JP1.2National Hurricane Center forecast verification  
James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
 JP1.3Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Convey Forecast Uncertainty and Potential Impact through NWS Field Office Forecast Products  extended abstract
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, G. Rader, and M. Volkmer
 JP1.4The Hurricane Severity Index – A New Way of Estimating a Tropical Cyclone's Destructive Potential  extended abstract
Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers
 JP1.5Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones  
Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson
 JP1.6The accuracy of the slosh model in predicting the flooding of the chesapeake bay region during Hurricane Isabel  extended abstract
Kathleen Nicole Inde, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith
 JP1.7Using uncertainty information to improve hurricane impact communication  extended abstract
Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and R. J. Ricks
 JP1.8Radiance assimilation in a mesoscale model for improving Hurricane Track Forecast  
Zhiquan Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Lin, D. Barker, and J. Xu
 JP1.9Deconstructing the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling methodology for tropical cyclones  
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 JP1.10Impact of GPS Radio Occultation Observations on Ensemble Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Storms  
Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, Y. H. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder
 JP1.11Hurricane Initialization Using TOMS Ozone Data  
Yonghui Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou
 JP1.12Observing System Experiments for Three Targeting Techniques in the Atlantic Basin  
S. D. Aberson, AOML/Hurricane Research, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, M. S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds
 JP1.13Use of radar data for TC initialization and intensity forecasts  
Jin-Luen Lee, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, W. Lee, and W. Wang
 JP1.14A preferred scale for warm core instability in a non-convective moist basic state  extended abstract
Brian H. Kahn, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. M. Sinton
 JP1.15Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes  
Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery
 JP1.16Comparison of deep convection in the outer rainbands of landfalling hurricanes: Tornadic and nontornadic cells and their local environments  
Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link, H. B. Anderson, and M. D. Parker
 JP1.17Multiscale variability of the internal structure of Hurricane Isabel during landfall  
Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff
 JP1.18Physical processes associated with surface wind field uncertainty in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005): Use of present and future observational tools  
Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. F. Gamache, R. D. Knabb, J. Carswell, P. S. Chang, S. Lorsolo, R. E. Hood, L. Jones, I. PopStefanija, and A. S. Goldstein
 JP1.19The overland intensification of Tropical Depression Erin: assessment and mesoscale observation  
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and G. D. McManus, B. G. Illston, J. B. Basara, D. B. Demko, and R. A. McPherson
 JP1.202004 Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model  
Nelsie A. Ramos, NOAA/Center for Atmospheric Sciences and Howard University, Washington, DC
 JP1.21Multimodel comparison study for hurricane case  
Duanjun Lu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and R. Reddy and Q. L. Williams
 JP1.22WRF-NMM model case studies for the AMMA project during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season  
Jamese D. Sims, Howard University, Washington DC, and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
 JP1.24WRF forecasts/simulations of Tropical cyclones Debby and Helene during the SOP-3 NAMMA/AMMA field campaign  
Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Chiao and M. Cox
JP1.23PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 JP1.25Sensitive experiments of changing vertical levels in numerical weather prediction model on tropical cyclone  extended abstract
LianTang Deng, China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China
 JP1.26Diagnosing Transport and Mixing in Unstable Barotropic Hurricane-like Vortices  
Eric Hendricks, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert
 JP1.27Correlating Convective Bursts in Tropical Cyclones with Rapid Intensification using TRMM Precipitation Radar Reflectivity Profiles  extended abstract
Andrew B. Hagen, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. Rogers
 JP1.28Angular momentum and cloud torques in TCs: An airborne Doppler radar perspective  
Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor and T. N. Krishnamurti
 JP1.29Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida  
Philip D. Hayes, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart
 JP1.30Predicting hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico: Nexrad-in-space (NIS) and its potential impact  
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and E. Im
 JP1.31Assimilation of Multi-Satellite Data in Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting  
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li
 JP1.32Superensemble forecasts of hurricane intensity from a suite of mesoscale models  
Melanie Kramer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
 JP1.33Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting via Microphysical Parameterization Methods in a Mesoscale Model  
Cerese Marie Albers, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti
 JP1.34The experimental graphical tropical weather outlook  
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. W. Landsea, C. Lauer, and C. Juckins
JP1.35PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 JP1.36Wind speed-damage correlation in Hurricane Katrina  extended abstract
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX
JP1.37Network analysis of U.S. hurricanes  
Emily A. Fogarty, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner and T. H. Jagger
 JP1.38Evaluation of the surface wind fields of the GFDL coupled forecast for Hurricane Ivan using H*Wind Analysis  
Isha M. Renta-López, Howard University, Washington, DC; and M. D. Powell and V. Morris
 JP1.39Parameterized wind gusts associated with a severe landfalling tropical cyclone  
Hamish A. Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie and M. L. M. Wong
 JP1.40The uncertainty in wave characteristics and tropical cyclogenesis prediction  
Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Peng and C. Reynolds
 JP1.41Eye & eyewall climatology derived from reconnaissance vortex reports and their use toward using an eyewall phase diagram to improve hurricane intensity forecasts  
David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
 JP1.42Defining uncertainty in hurricane maximum surface wind estimation  
Stephanie Ann Mullins, University of Louisiana - Monroe, Monroe, LA; and P. G. Black, C. S. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. L. Olander, A. Burton, and J. L. Beven
 JP1.43Improved Measures of Hurricane Hurricane Destructive Potential Based on Integrated Kinetic Energy  
Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Monday, 21 January 2008: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Exhibit Hall B

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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