85th AMS Annual Meeting

: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Sunday, 9 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2005


SUN 9 JAN

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2005


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-5:40 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2005


Conference Registration

Monday, 10 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005


MON 10 JAN

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005


Registration continues through Thursday, 13 January

9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005


1
all aspects of planned and inadvertent weather modification
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizers: Joseph H. Golden, Forecast Systems Lab, NOAA; Patrick Sweeney, Weather Modification, Inc.

Papers:
 
1.2
Learning the Chemistry of the Environment by the Study of Weather

  9:30 AM
1.3
A PDA-based record keeping system for cloud seeding operations
Paul T. Moen, North Dakota State Water Commission, Bismarck, ND; and D. W. Langerud

  9:45 AM
1.4
Satellite Retrieved Microphysical Properties of AgI Seeding Tracks in Supercooled Layer Clouds
Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and X. Yu and J. Dai

  10:00 AM
1.5
Hail Metrics Using Conventional Radar
G. Brant Foote, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. W. Krauss and V. Makitov

10:15 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005


Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

10:45 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005


2
inadvertent weather modification on urban effects on fog, clouds, precipitation, runoff, and lightning
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizers: Robert D. Bornstein, San Jose State University; Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants

Papers:
  10:45 AM
2.1
Urban and Industrial Aerosols Impacts on Precipitation
Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel

  11:00 AM
2.2
Separation between cloud seeding and air pollution effects
Amir Givati, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld

  11:15 AM
2.3
Modeling the impacts of urban aerosol on convection and precipitation
Susan C. Van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton

  11:30 AM
2.4
Analysis of Upper Air, Ground and Remote Sensing Data for the ATLAS Field Campaign in San Juan, Puerto Rico
Jorge E. Gonzalez, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and J. Luvall, D. Rickman, D. E. Comarazamy, and A. J. Picon

  11:45 AM
2.5
MM5 simulations of uhi-induced thunderstorms over Atlanta, GA
Bob Bornstein, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and K. J. Craig and Q. Lin

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005


Lunch Break

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005


Poster Session 1
Poster Session
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Papers:
 
Modeling the complex interactions among urban climate, air quality, and adaptive/reactive human response
David J. Sailor, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and R. D. Bornstein, L. George, J. Semenza, and H. Taha

http://www.fuse.pdx.edu

Poster PDF (57.5 kB)
 
Probe into the Hail Formation Mechanism on the Northeastern Border of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its Neighbourhood
Kang Fengqin, Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, Lanzhou, Gansu, China; and Z. Qiang and G. Xueliang

http://cxp.ys168.com

Poster PDF (113.0 kB)
 
Fog Aerosol analysis and cloud seeding experiments at DaeGwalryoung, Korea.
Sung-Nam Oh, Meteorological Research Institute / Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and Y. H. Kim, J. Y. Kim, G. M. Park, J. Y. Jeong, and H. Y. Yang

Poster PDF (103.3 kB)
 
Impacts of Cloud Seeding on COOP Precipitation Measurements in the Southern Plains
Bradley G. Illston, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK OK

Poster PDF (320.8 kB)
 
P1.5
Evaluation of Hail Suppression Operations on the North Dakota Cloud Modification Project 1985-2003

 
Effect of air pollution on precipitation along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains
Israel L. Jirak, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton and W. L. Woodley

Poster PDF (541.7 kB)
 
A Model Based Feasibility Study of Glacionic Seeding during a Winter Orographic Precipitation Event in Wyoming
Tara Jensen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Bruintjes, D. Breed, W. D. Hall, B. Boe, and K. Ross

Poster PDF (180.0 kB)
 
P1.9
A look at thunderstorm indices and their ability to discriminate between seedable and non-seedable days in the Southern Ogallala Aquifer Rainfall (SOAR) program target area

 
Three-dimensional modeling of North Dakota clouds using a new microphysical scheme with explicit treatment of atmospheric aerosols and hygroscopic seeding effects
Richard D. Farley, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and M. R. Hjelmfelt and S. L. Hansen

Poster PDF (174.3 kB)
 
THE UNFORTUNATE ACADEMY REPORT ON WEATHER MODIFICATION
Roland List, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Poster PDF (43.9 kB)
 
Summary of trace chemical and physical measurements of snowfall in two Nevada cloud seeding target areas
Arlen W. Huggins, DRI, Reno, NV; and P. R. Edwards and J. R. McConnell

Poster PDF (983.1 kB)
 
The Magnifying Glass Versus The Rubber Stamp—The Role of Statistics in Weather Modification
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and E. Gilleland

Poster PDF (148.3 kB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005


3
development and refinement of conceptual models; application of numerical models to planned and inadvertent weather modification topics
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizer: Tara Jensen, NCAR

Papers:
  4:00 PM
3.1
Purposeful tornado amelioration: Is the science ready?
Joseph H. Golden, Forecast Systems Lab, NOAA, Boulder, CO

  4:15 PM
3.2
Modeled sensitivity of wintertime precipitation to CCN and GCCN concentrations
Stephen M. Saleeby, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)
  4:45 PM
3.4
  5:15 PM
3.6
Controlling the evolution of a simulated hurricane through optimal perturbations: Initial experiments using a 4-D variational analysis system
R. N. Hoffman, AER, Lexington, MA; and C. Grassotti, J. M. Henderson, S. M. Leidner, G. Modica, and T. Nehrkorn

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005


Sessions End for the day

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005


FORMAL OPENING OF EXHIBITS WITH RECEPTION (CASH BAR)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005


Suki Manabe Symposium Banquet

Tuesday, 11 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


TUE 11 JAN

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


4
Planned weather modification including promising new technologies such as the recent hygroscopic and winter orographic seeding experiments and evaluation methods for seeding experiments
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizers: William L. Woodley, Woodley Weather Consultants; Darin W. Langerud, North Dakota Atmospheric Resource Board

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
The Santa Barbara Cloud Seeding Project in Coastal Southern California, Operations and Research Spanning More Than 50 Years
Don A. Griffith, North America Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and M. E. Solak, R. B. Almy, and D. Gibbs

  8:45 AM
4.2
Observations of rime icing in the Wasatch Mountains of Utah: implications regarding winter season cloud seeding
Mark E. Solak, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and D. P. Yorty and D. A. Griffith

  9:00 AM
4.3
The search for the optimal size of hygroscopic seeding particles
Ronen Lahav, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld

  9:30 AM
4.5
The Snowy Precipitation Enhancement Research Program
Mark F. Heggli, Innovative Hydrology, Auburn, CA; and B. Dunn, A. W. Huggins, J. Denholm, L. Angri, and T. Luker

  9:45 AM
4.6
Artificial Atmospheric Ionization: A Potential Window for Weather Modification
Phillip Kauffman, Ionogenics Corp., Bedford, MA; and A. Ruiz-Columbié

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


5
recent developments in understanding natural cloud processes and aerosol cloud interactions and how they might be modified - Part 1
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizer: Roelof T. Bruintjes, NCAR

Papers:
  11:00 AM
5.1
The impacts of Saharan dust on Florida storm characteristics
Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. G. Carrió, W. R. Cotton, and W. C. Straka

  11:30 AM
5.3
On the stochastic nature of droplet growth by coalescence
A. B. Kostinski, Michigan Technological University, Houghton, MI

  11:45 AM
5.4
The Relationship between Cloud Droplet Distributions and Ambient Aerosol Populations in a Subtropical Desert Region
Tara Jensen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and V. Salazar, D. Breed, R. Bruintjes, S. Piketh, A. Al Mangoosh, and A. Al Mandoos

11:30 AM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


Exhibits Open

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


6
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN UNDERSTANDING NATURAL CLOUD PROCESSES AND AEROSOL CLOUD INTERACTIONS AND HOW THEY MIGHT BE MODIFIED - Part 2
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizers: Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Daniel Breed, NCAR

Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
Aerosol Intercations on Clouds with emphasis on the Arabian peninsula
Roelof T. Bruintjes, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and V. Salazar, D. Breed, J. Li, P. R. Buseck, T. Jensen, S. Piketh, and J. Reid

  1:45 PM
6.2
On the Documentation of Microphysical Signatures Following the Base-Seeding of Texas Convective Clouds Using Salt Micro-Powder
William L. Woodley, Woodley Weather Consultants, Littleton, CO; and D. Rosenfeld, D. Axisa, R. Lahav, and G. Bomar

  2:00 PM
6.3
  2:15 PM
6.4
The mechanism of increase of precipitation efficiency by large aerosols and the optimum size of seed particles
Khain Alexander, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem 91904, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld, A. Pokrovsky, and Y. Segal

  2:30 PM
6.5
Saharan dust and optical properties of anvil-cirrus clouds
Gustavo Carrió, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. Van den Heever and W. R. Cotton

Poster PDF (235.0 kB)

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


Joint Session 6
the water cycle in arid lands (Joint with 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification and AMS Forum on Living with a Limited Water Supply)
Sponsors: (Joint between the AMS Forum: Living with a Limited Water Supply; and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )
Chair: John L. Wilson, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Topographic and Ecosystem Controls on Soil Moisture Distribution in the SMEX04-NAME Transect Study, Northern Sonora, Mexico
Enrique R. Vivoni, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and H. A. Gutierrez, B. Brooks, C. A. Aragon, A. Rinehart, R. Wyckoff, C. J. Watts, J. C. Rodriguez, and T. J. Jackson

  3:45 PM
Seasonal strategies to enhance groundwater recharge in hyper-arid zones
David N. Yates, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Mangoosh, M. AlMalki, and R. T. Bruintjes

  4:00 PM
Refinement of Numerical Modeling and technology of Global and Regional Water Cycle
Hiromasa Ueda, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Yamagata, R. Ohba, H. Sakuma, S. Behera, M. Mujumdar, and A. Chakraborty

http://

  4:15 PM
MM5 Simulations of Precipitation in the El Paso Del Norte
Karina Apodaca, Howard University, Washington, DC; and D. V. R. Morris

  4:45 PM
Influence of soil and vegetation on rainfall in coastal desert and mountainous area
Ryohji Ohba, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Fukahorimachi, Nagasaki, Japan; and H. Ueda, T. Adachi, T. Hara, R. W. A. Hutjes, H. W. Ter Maat, and B. Bisselink

  5:00 PM
Hydroclimatology of the North American Monsoon Region in Northwest Mexico
David J. Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Brito-Castillo and W. J. Shuttleworth

  5:15 PM
Geostatistical Mapping of Mountain Precipitation Incorporating Auto-searched Effects of Terrain and Climatic Characteristics
Huade Guan, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and J. L. Wilson and O. Makhnin

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005


Sessions end for the day

Wednesday, 12 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


WED 12 JAN

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Joint Session 7
extreme water cycle events: floods and droughts (JOINT BETWEEN THE LIMITED WATER SUPPLY SYMPOSIUM, THE 19TH CONFERNCE ON HYDROLOGY, and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modificaiton) (parallel with Session 3)
Sponsors: (Joint between the AMS Forum: Living with a Limited Water Supply; the 19th Conf on Hydrology; and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )
Chair: Kevin Trenberth, NCAR

Papers:
  9:00 AM
  9:15 AM
Agricultural drought: an index based on transpiration deficit
Vittorio Marletto, ARPA Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy; and F. Zinoni and T. Tonelli

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Coffee Break

10:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Presidential Forum

11:30 AM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Exhibits Open

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


7
The Weather Damage Modification Program
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Organizer: Andrew Detwiler, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology

Papers:
  1:30 PM
7.1
The Weather Damage Modification Program
Steven M. Hunter, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. Medina and D. A. Matthews

  1:45 PM
7.2
  2:00 PM
7.3
An Overview of Results from the Nevada Weather Damage Modification Program
Arlen W. Huggins, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, D. P. Boyle, and M. Xiao

  2:15 PM
7.4
North Dakota Research Foci under the Weather Damage Modification Program
Darin W. Langerud, North Dakota Atmospheric Resource Board, Bismarck, ND; and C. A. Grainger, P. Kucera, E. Wise, A. Detwiler, R. D. Farley, F. J. Kopp, M. R. Hjelmfelt, P. L. Smith, and P. W. Mielke

  2:30 PM
7.5
Numerical Simulations of Snowpack Augmentation for Drought Mitigation Studies in the Colorado Rocky Mountains
Curtis L. Hartzell, Project Consultant for the Colorado Water Conservation Board, Denver, CO; and J. Busto, W. R. Cotton, R. McAnelly, G. Carrió, and L. Hjermstad

  2:45 PM
7.6
  3:15 PM
7.8
Weather Modification operations with NEXRAD level-II data and products
J. T. Johnson, Weather Decision Technologies, Norman, OK; and C. Barrere, M. D. Eilts, N. Kuhnert, M. Mathis, and D. Axisa

  3:30 PM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

3:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Exhibits Open

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


Exhibits Open

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005


AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 13 January 2005

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 January 2005


Joint Session 8
Understanding and predicting the water cycle across scales (Joint between the Limited Water Supply Symposium, the 19th Confernce on Hydrology, and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification) (parallel with Session 5)
Sponsors: (Joint between the AMS Forum: Living with a Limited Water Supply; the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; and the 19th Conf on Hydrology )
Chair: Roy Rasmussen, NCAR

Papers:
  8:30 AM
What is causing the decline in coastal rainfall in eastern Australia?
Jozef Syktus, Queensland Centre for Climate Applications, Indooroopilly, Queensland, Australia

  8:45 AM
Using Model-Assimilated Meteorological Data in Forecasting of Seasonal Runoff Based on Statistical Models for some Aral Sea Sub-catchments
Mariya G. Glazirina, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland; and R. Schiemann, J. Gurtz, L. Vasilina, F. Pertziger, S. Dirren, and C. Schär

  9:15 AM

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005


Joint Session 9
Understanding and predicting the water cycle across scale part II (Joint between the Limited Water Supply Symposium the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification)
Sponsors: (Joint between the AMS Forum: Living with a Limited Water Supply; and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )
Chair: Enrique R. Vivoni, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology

Papers:
  11:00 AM
  11:15 AM
The representation of hydrological processes across spatial scales using the NASA-GSFC Land Information System (LIS)
Matthew Garcia, UMBC/GEST and NASA/GSFC Hydrological Sciences Branch, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard

  11:30 AM
  11:45 AM
An End-to-End Hydrometeorological Forecasting System
John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, Raleigh, NC; and G. S. Wilson, K. P. Georgakakos, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and M. Matreata

12:00 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005


Exhibits Open

1:30 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005


Joint Session 10
Understanding and predicting the water cycle across scales part III (Joint between the Limited Water Supply Symposium and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification)
Sponsors: (Joint between the AMS Forum: Living with a Limited Water Supply; and the 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )
Chair: Fei Chen, NCAR

Papers:
  1:30 PM
The Time-Integrated Random Access NEXRAD Database (TIRAND): description and opportunity
John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, Raleigh, NC; and W. T. Smith

  2:00 PM
Precipitation development in convective clouds over the eastern Arabian Penisula
Daniel Breed, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Jensen, R. Bruintjes, S. Piketh, A. Al Mangoosh, and A. Al Mandoos

  2:15 PM
Observed declines in mountain snowpack and changes in snow seasons
Philip W. Mote, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, D. Lettenmaier, and M. P. Clark

  2:30 PM
Intercomparison among TRMM, GPCP1DD and Radar-AMeDAS
Kenji Kamiguchi, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and A. Kitoh and M. Hosaka

  2:45 PM
How snowmelt onset varies with elevation
Jessica D. Lundquist, SIO/Univ. of California and USGS, La Jolla, CA

  3:15 PM
Detection and attribution of 20th Century hydrologic variations and change over western North America
Shaleen Jain, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and M. Hoerling

  3:30 PM
Coffee Break

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005


Conference Ends

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005


Ed Lorenz Symposium Banquet