92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration

Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration

Program Chairs: Mike Robinson , AvMet Applications Inc. ; Timothy D. Oram , NOAA/NWS

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Saturday, 21 January 2012

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 21 January 2012


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

Sunday, 22 January 2012

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Short Course Registration
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: New Orleans Convention Center

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


WeatherFest

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


92nd Annual Review and Fellows Awards

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 22 January 2012


Welcome Reception Honoring the Newly Elected Fellows

Monday, 23 January 2012

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Registration Continues Through January 25

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
12th Presidential Forum: Technology In Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’Re Going
Location: La Nouvelle B-C (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the 17th Conference on Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 12th Presidential Forum: Technology in Research and Operations—How We Got Here and Where We’re Going; the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 10th History Symposium; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 21st Symposium on Education; the Eighth Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 16th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 18th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography and Climatology/ First Joint AMS-Asia Satellite Meteorology Conference; the Ninth Conference on Space Weather; the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges; the Third Symposium on Environment and Health; and the Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
  9:00 AM
Scientific research and operational environmental services are profoundly affected by the introduction and application of new technologies and it seems as though these advances are now accelerating, challenging our community to constantly become better at what we do and to serve society in new and more powerful ways. We welcome two highly distinguished keynote speakers for our Presidential Forum and each will address the theme of our 92nd Annual Meeting from his and her uniquely personal perspectives.

  9:15 AM
Welcoming remarks and introductions by Jonathan T. Malay, AMS President
  9:45 AM
Technology for a Weather-Ready Nation
Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA, Washington, DC
  10:10 AM
President Malay will then be joined by Mr. George J. Komar, Director, NASA Earth Science Technology Office, Science Mission Directorate, and they will briefly discuss their thoughts about changes in the AMS community’s technological capabilities and in society twenty years and more into the future. They will then engage with the audience in an interactive dialog which should be an exciting and stimulating exercise of envisioning our future.

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Coffee Break

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Lunch Break

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2012


Reception and Exhibits Opening

Tuesday, 24 January 2012

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Lunch Break

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Recording files available
Lecture L1
Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Location: Room 235/236 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the Ninth Conference on Space Weather; and the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges )
  5:00 PM
On the role of cloud-radiative effects in tropical dynamics and climate change
Sandrine Bony-Lena, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique/Le Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Paris, France

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2012


Aksel Wiin-Nielsen Symposium Banquet

Wednesday, 25 January 2012

8:15 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 1
Convective Weather Decision Support and ATM Integration
Location: Room 335/336 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Cochairs: Michael Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc.; Timothy D. Oram, NOAA/NWS
  8:15 AM
Introductory Remarks

  8:30 AM
1.1
Trajectory-Based Integration of Aircraft Conflict Detection and Weather Avoidance Fields
Robert Avjian, Lockheed Martin Information Systems & Global Solutions, Rockville, MD; and J. Dehn
  8:45 AM
1.2
Estimation of New York Departure Fix Capacities in Fair and Convective Weather
Ngaire Underhill, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura
  9:00 AM
1.3
The 2011 Aviation Weather Testbed Summer Experiment: Evaluation of New Concepts for Forecasting Convection Impacts in the National Airspace System
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. R. Harless, C. B. Entwistle, D. Bright, E. Kuchera, S. Rentschler, M. Steiner, and J. Pinto
  9:15 AM
1.4
Multi-Model and Time-Lagged Based Ensemble Prediction of Probabilistic Weather Impacts for Aviation
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, D. Megenhardt, D. Ahijevych, E. Kuchera, S. Rentschler, J. J. Levit, A. R. Harless, D. R. Bright, and J. Krozel
  9:30 AM
1.5
Relating a Convective Translation Metric to Convective Impact
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and G. J. Layne, M. P. Kay, M. A. Petty, and J. L. Mahoney

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

10:00 AM-6:15 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 2
Modeling and Forecast Techniques Supporting Air Traffic and Range Operations
Location: Room 335/336 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Cochairs: Michael Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc.; Timothy D. Oram, NOAA/NWS
  10:30 AM
2.1
Initial Testing of the 2012 Version of the HRRR in Support of Aviation Applications for Summer 2012
Stan Benjamin, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, C. Alexander, J. M. Brown, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, D. Dowell, P. Hofmann, E. James, and J. Olson
  10:45 AM
2.2
An Examination of the Potential Aviation Application of High-Resolution Convective Resolving Models Initialized with LAPS and STMAS
Ed Szoke, CIRA/CSU and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and I. Jankov, S. Albers, Y. Xie, H. Jiang, L. S. Wharton, and Z. Toth
 
2.3
Performance of Lamp Convection Probability and Categorical Forecasts

  11:00 AM
Objective Evaluation of Aviation Related Variables During 2010 Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) Spring Experiment
Lisa E. Coco, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and T. L. Jensen, J. J. Levit, C. B. Entwistle, M. Harrold, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, F. Kong, J. S. Kain, P. T. Marsh, A. J. Clark, M. C. Coniglio, and B. G. Brown
  11:15 AM
2.4
Integrating Digital Aviation Services Into Forecast Operations
Jeff S. Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and B. A. Smith, J. Dellicarpini, M. Belk, H. Gerapetritis, and C. Leonardi
  11:30 AM
2.5
A Statistical Assessment of Operational Forecast Products for the Detection of Regional Lightning Hazards At Current and Future Spaceports
Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and R. E. Haley, M. E. Masscotte, and B. M. Muller

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Lunch Break
Location: Room 242 (New Orleans Convention Center )

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 3
Matching Air Traffic Operational Needs to Aviation Weather Capabilities
Location: Room 335/336 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Cochairs: John Huhn, The MITRE Corporation; David J. Pace, FAA-Retired
  1:45 PM
3.2
Collaborative Decision Making and the Weather Evaluation Team
Kevin L. Johnston, FAA, Warrenton, VA; and T. Lloyd
  2:00 PM
3.3
Improving Weather Support to Traffic Flow Management
Cynthia Abelman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and K. L. Johnston, J. L. Adolphson, and K. Stone
  2:15 PM
3.4
Cross-Cutting Issues Impacting Operational ATM and Cockpit Usability of Aviation Weather Technology
Sherrie Callon, FAA, Washington, DC; and N. Stoer, J. McCarthy, and M. Robinson
Recording files available
Lecture L2
Robert E. Horton Lecture
Location: Room 350/351 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Hydrology; the Events; the Second Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 28th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the Special Symposium on Technological Advances: Impacts on Hurricane Research and Forecast Improvements; the 24th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 16th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the 10th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Special Symposium on the Tornado Disasters of 2011; and the Second Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans, and Challenges )

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Poster Session 1
Aviation, Aerospace, and Range Meteorology Poster
Host: Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Cochairs: Timothy D. Oram, NOAA/NWS; Michael Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc.
 
534
Providing Selectable Elevation Layer Mosaic Generation Capability and Improving the Quality of WARP Mosaic Products
Warren L. Qualley, Harris Corporation, Washington, DC; and T. Seitzinger, J. Lang, A. Moosakhanian, T. Nguyen, M. Printy, D. Thomas, and R. Sinclair
Manuscript (1.6 MB)

Poster PDF (200.6 kB)

 
535
Meeting Customers' Needs - Aviation Training Development At COMET®
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and P. Parrish, R. L. Tsvetomir, and B. Greg

 
536
Summer Convection: Regional Activity and Patterns and Flights
Paul J. Croft, Kean Univ., Union, NJ; and B. Crocker and N. Rampersad

 
537
Evaluation of Convective Weather Avoidance Models for the Terminal Area
Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and S. Campbell and R. DeLaura

 
538
Thunderstorm and Lightning Nowcasting At Redstone Test Center
Eric J. Nelson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Kessinger, W. Deierling, N. Oien, L. LaChapelle, D. Schmit, E. Diaz, and R. Gazda

 
540
The Utilization of Current Forecast Products in a Probabilistic Airport Capacity Model
Jonathan Cunningham, Mosaic ATM, Leesburg, VA; and L. Cook and C. Provan
Manuscript (843.7 kB)

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

 
541
Use of Total Lightning in Convection Growth and Decay Nowcasts
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Deierling, E. Nelson, and M. Steiner

 
542
Impact-Based Probabilistic Forecast Information for Aviation Users

 
543
Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) Post-Processing for Aviation Forecasting and Decision Support
David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO; and J. J. Levit, A. R. Harless, and J. Huhn

 
544
Use of High-Resolution, Frequent Update Ensemble Forecasts Initialized with LAPS for Aviation-Impact Convective Forecasts
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and E. J. Szoke, S. Albers, L. S. Wharton, and Z. Toth

 
545
Evaluation of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model Changes and Forecasts During 2011
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, D. C. Dowell, P. Hofmann, E. P. James, M. Hu, H. Lin, J. M. Brown, and J. B. Olson

 
546
The Sensitivity of Lightning-Potential Forecasts to Microphysics in the WRF Model
Wiebke Deierling, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. C. Knievel, C. J. Kessinger, M. Steiner, and E. Nelson

 
547
Parameterization of Bulk Radiative Properties for Use in Climate Models
Yu Xie, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and P. Yang

 
548
Defining the Interagency Operational Governance Structure for the Next Generation Four-Dimensional Weather Data Cube and Next Generation Network-Enabled Weather
Richard Heuwinkel, FAA, Washington, DC; and E. R. Johnson, P. L. Hamilton, T. J. Helms Jr., T. P. Kiley Jr., A. M. Prince, and W. L. Qualley
Manuscript (416.9 kB)

 
549
Determining FAA Mid-Term Aviation Weather Requirements for Traffic Flow Management—An Update
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and F. Bayne, R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, J. May, and L. Leonard
Manuscript (408.1 kB)

 
550
Making ATM-Weather Integration a Reality - A Concept of Integration (CONINT) of Weather Into TMA/TBFM
Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Huberdeau, Z. Ladd, C. McKnight, D. Medric, and M. Wang

Poster PDF (3.8 MB)

 
551
The ATM-Weather Integration Model- An Updated Perspective
Claudia V. McKnight, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Fronzak, M. W. Huberdeau, and E. B. Wilhelm

Poster PDF (3.4 MB) Poster PDF (3.5 MB)

 
555
Application of Spectral Width Data From a S-Band Radar for Generating Eddy Dissipation Rate Map
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and P. Zhang

 
Poster 556 has been moved. New paper number is 4.3A.

 
557
Simulated Chinooks' Sensitivity to Resolution and Model Configuration At Cold Regions Test Center, Alaska
Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Grim, C. M. Witt-Schulte, and D. P. Wozniczka

 
Ice Fog (Pogonip) and Frost In Arctic: Application to Aviation and Nowcasting


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Recording files available
Session 4
Air Traffic Impacts/Decision-Making for Non-Convective Weather and Aviation/Range Weather Observing Systems
Location: Room 335/336 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Cochairs: John J. Murray, NASA/LRC; David J. Pace, FAA-Retired
  4:00 PM
4.1
Evaluating the Impacts of Haze on Air Traffic Operations
Robert S. Lee, AvMet Applications Inc., Reston, VA; and C. Craun, M. Robinson, and M. Phaneuf
  4:15 PM
4.2
Verification of Friction Index Prediction
Jianmin Shao, Vaisala, Birmingham, United Kingdom; and F. C. Mellor and E. Ruzanski
  4:30 PM
The Potential of 1.3GHz-Band Wind Profiler for Monitoring Atmospheric Turbulences on the Airways
Yusuke Kajiwara, Japan Meteorological Agency/MRI, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Hashiguchi, M. Yamamoto, K. Higashi, S. Kawamura, A. Adachi, K. Bessho, and M. Kurosu
 
4.3
Weather Technology in the Cockpit (WTIC) Transoceanic Human Over the Loop Demonstration

  4:45 PM
4.4
An Update on the TAMDAR Sensor Network Expansion and Data Utility
Neil A. Jacobs, AirDat LLC, Morrisville, NC; and P. Childs, M. Croke, A. Huffman, D. J. Mulally, A. K. Anderson, Y. Liu, and X. Y. Huang
  5:00 PM
4.5
Lightning Proximity Alerts
Stan Heckman, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and C. Liu

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2012


92nd AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 26 January 2012

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Lunch Break

T. N. Krishnamurti Symposium Luncheon
Location: Room 345 (New Orleans Convention Center )

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


Coffee Break

Meet the President

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2012


AMS 92nd Annual Meeting Adjourns