Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research

Program Chairs: Randy A. Peppler , CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma ; Kimberly E. Klockow , Univ. of Oklahoma

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Saturday, 5 January 2013

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2013


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration for Short Course and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Registration Continues Through January 9
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Plenary Session
13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today's Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today; the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Special Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; the 10th Conference on Space Weather; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 11th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the Robert A. Duce Symposium; the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )
  8:30 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Dr. Louis Uccellini and Co-Chairs Troy Kimmel/Ken Carey will introduce Texas and Local Representatives)
  8:35 AM
Warm Welcome to Austin!

  8:45 AM
Introduction of Guest Speakers (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

  8:50 AM
"Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific Progress and Future Opportunities" Dr. Alan Thorpe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
  9:10 AM
"River/Rainfall Forecast Fusion Cells" Major General Michael Walsh, US Army Corps of Engineers
  9:30 AM
"Cloudy with the Chance of Insight" Dr. Tony Hey, Microsoft Research
  9:50 AM
"Where Citizens are Looking" Dr. Nigel Snoad, Google Crisis Response
  10:10 AM
Audience Question and Answer (moderated by Dr. William (Bill) Hooke)
  10:25 AM
Closing Remarks (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 1
The Role of Trees and Forests in the Atmosphere
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Speaker: Jim Robbins, Caitlin Buzzas, Washington, DC
Chair: Caitlin Buzzas, AMS, Washington, DC

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 2
Communicating about Climate Change
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Chair: Greg Guibert, NCAR, Boulder, CO
  1:45 PM
2.2
  2:00 PM
2.3
Analysis of Perspectives of Journalists and Scientists on Climate Change Reports through Experimental Reviews of Student Articles
Yoshie Goto-Maeda, The Univ. of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Matsumoto, S. Emori, K. Takahashi, M. Aoyagi-Usui, A. Asakura, and K. Fukushi
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 9
The Toll of Extreme Weather on Mental Health, Safety, and Healthcare Buildings
Location: Room 18D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Impacts: Weather 2012 )
Moderator: Wendy Marie Thomas, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
  1:30 PM
TJ9.1
Healthcare without Borders
Gary Cohen, Healthcare without Borders, Reston, VA
  1:45 PM
TJ9.2
Weather Forecasts: Predicting the Prognosis for Chronic Care Management during Disasters
Maryanne Strobel RN MSN CDE, GPA, Providence Village, TX

  2:00 PM
TJ9.3
The derecho and 911: Attention all units on the air
Margaret L. Fowke, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

  2:15 PM
TJ9.4

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Poster Session 1
Policy and Socio-Economic Research Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Holly C. Hassenzahl, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI; Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 
336
Understanding how people in the Delaware River Basin use online tools to understand and prepare for flood risk
Rachel Hogan Carr, Nurture Nature Center, Easton, Pennsylvania; and B. E. Montz and S. Hoekstra

 
337
Interpretation and use of online weather forecasts
Anders Sivle, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway; and S. D. Kolstø, P. J. K. Hansen, and J. Kristiansen

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

 
338
Managing the 2011 Drought: A Climate Services Partnership
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and D. P. Brown and C. McNutt

 
339
Mapping Social Vulnerability to Landfalling Hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin
Dereka Carroll, NCAR, Dallas, TX; and J. M. Done, D. Ahijevych, and G. Villarini

 
340
Analysis of socio-economic value on typhoon affecting the Korean Peninsula for the last 10 years (2002~2011)
Suk-Hee Ahn, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Park, Y. G. Lee, and B. J. Kim

 
341
Proficiency Scaling of Warning Forecasters
Daphne LaDue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. L. Heinselman and R. Hoffman

Poster PDF (340.8 kB)

 
342
A Tale of Two Schools: A Case Study of Two Oklahoma School Districts during Tornado Events
Virginia G. Silvis, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer

Poster PDF (1021.7 kB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 3A
Operational Partnerships and Decision Making
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Daphne LaDue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
  4:00 PM
3A.1
  4:15 PM
3A.2
The Data Deluge: Modern Applications for Bringing Weather to the Decision
JP Plavan, EarthRisk Technologies, San Diego, CA; and S. Bennett

  4:30 PM
3A.3
  5:00 PM
3A.5
  5:15 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Session 3B
Physical and Social Science Research Related to the Storm Surge and Hurricane Wind Warning Process
Location: Room 18D (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Betty Hearn Morrow, SocResearch, Miami, FL; Robbie Berg, NOAA / National Weather Service, Miami, FL
  4:30 PM
Discussion

  4:45 PM
3B.4
Communicating National Hurricane Center Forecasts of Storm Surge Hazards
Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. Berg, M. Lowry, W. Booth, E. Gibney, and B. H. Morrow
  5:00 PM
3B.5
Communication of Hurricane Storm Surge Threat: A Mixed-Method Analysis
Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and K. Antonelli, C. C. Williams, and A. Lea
  5:15 PM
3B.6
Evaluation of the NC-CERA Storm Surge and Wave Visualization Tool by Emergency Managers
Jessica L. Losego, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and R. Luettich, C. Kaiser, J. G. Fleming, and B. Blanton

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 16
Economic Impacts and Value of Improved Forecast Information
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS) )
Chair: Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
  8:45 AM
TJ16.2

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 4A
Investigating Tornado Fatalities
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Chair: Kimberly E. Klockow, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
  11:15 AM
4A.2
  11:30 AM
4A.3
Toward a Better Understanding of Tornado Fatalities
Hope-Anne L. Weldon, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin and H. Brooks
  11:45 AM
Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Local Leaders: Climate, Energy and Policy in Austin and Beyond
Location: Room 18D (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Organizer: Caitlin Buzzas, AMS, Washington, DC
Panelists: Zach Baumer, City of Austin, Austin, TX; Charles E. Cooke, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; Jay Banner, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX
  1:30 PM
Texas Climate Change and Planning by Jay Banner

  1:45 PM
City of Austin by Zach Baumer
  2:00 PM
Climate Energy and Policy in Austin by Charles Cooke
Recording files available
Session 5
Risk Perception and Decision Making
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Rachel E. Riley, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
  1:30 PM
5.1
  2:00 PM
5.3
False Alarm Understanding and Perception
Danielle Nagele, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and J. E. Trainor and B. Scott
  2:15 PM
5.4
Representations of risk space and decision-making in tornado warnings
Kimberly E. Klockow, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson and R. P. Thomas
  2:45 PM
5.6
Modeling the Real-Time Decision to Evacuate from a Hurricane
Earl J. Baker, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. Czajkowski and R. Meyer

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
More than just talking about the weather: The science behind weather and climate communication
Location: Room 18D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise )
Cochairs: Gina M. Eosco, AMS, Washington, DC; William L. Read, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV, Raleigh, NC
  3:30 PM
J1.1
Session Introduction
Gina M. Eosco, AMS, Washington, DC; and W. L. Read, J. L. Demuth, and N. Johnson
  3:45 PM
J1.2
The “Science” of Science Communication
Anthony Dudo, Univ. of Texas, Austin, Texas
  4:15 PM
J1.4
Creation and Communication of Hurricane Risk Information
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Morrow, R. E. Morss, and J. K. Lazo
  4:45 PM
J1.6
Improving flash flood communication and decision making: Experts' perceptions of risk and the warning and response process
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Demuth, H. Lazrus, A. Bostrom, and J. K. Lazo
  5:15 PM
J1.8
Discussion: The Science of Communicating about Weather and Climate
Gina M. Eosco, AMS, Washington, DC; and W. L. Read, J. L. Demuth, and N. Johnson

Recording files available
Session 6
Climate Adaptation and RISA Activities
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Burrell E. Montz, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC; Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK
  3:30 PM
6.1
Multiple RISA Roles in Climate Adaptation for Water Resource Management: Two Case Studies
Eric S. Gordon, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and T. Bardsley
  4:00 PM
6.3
Towards a scalable climate adaptation approach – it's all about the decision
James F. Fox, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and J. G. Dobson, K. L. Rogers, M. W. Hutchins, and J. D. Morgan
  4:15 PM
6.4
Adaptation to climate-related hazards in Colorado, Wyoming and Utah: Explaining differences in local responses
Lisa Dilling, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Boulder, CO; and K. Andersson, A. Ravikumar, C. Brown, and M. Holmgren
  5:15 PM
6.8
Winter Storm Management Preferences in Oklahoma: A Pilot Study
Charlotte E. Lunday, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. E. Riley

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Duce Symposium Banquet
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 1
Central Region Impact-Based Warnings Demonstration: Helping to Build a Weather-Ready Nation
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Moderator: Michael J. Hudson, NOAA National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO
Panelists: Kenneth Harding, NOAA National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO; Kenneth Galluppi, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; Jessica L. Losego, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; Burrell E. Montz, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC
  8:30 AM
JPD1.1
Central Region Impact-Based Warnings Demonstration: Helping to build a Weather-Ready Nation
Michael J. Hudson, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and P. A. Browning, K. Runk, K. Harding, K. Galluppi, J. L. Losego, and B. E. Montz
  10:00 AM
Evaluating the Effectiveness of IBW by Jessica Losego

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 2
What is Social Science and What is it Good For?
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Moderator: Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Panelists: Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania, California, PA; Laura Myers, Mississippi State Univ., Birmingham, AL; Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech, Pearisburg, VA

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 7
Road Weather
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Brenda C. Boyce, Booz Allen Hamilton, Washington, DC; Jeremy Paul Duensing, Telvent DTN, Minneapolis, MN
  1:30 PM
7.1
Better, Safer, Faster: The Promise of Connected Vehicles
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, G. N. Guevara, and P. A. Pisano
  2:15 PM
7.4
A comparison and validation of observations from three different instruments attached to moving vehicles during DOCS and the IMO study
Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. D. Drobot, M. Chapman, B. Lambi, P. Pisano, and G. N. Guevara

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Engaging Social Science for a Weather Ready Nation
Location: Room 19A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Chair: Heather Lazrus, NCAR, Boulder, CO
  4:00 PM
J2.1
  4:30 PM
J2.3
Surveying flood information users: An academic-federal partnership
Rachel E. Riley, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards, G. P. Shelton, J. S. Graschel, and J. Johnson
  4:45 PM
J2.4
Tornado Stories in Central Oklahoma – Town Hall Meetings to Help Understand Local Knowledge and Beliefs
Kimberly E. Klockow, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. Peppler, R. Smith, N. C. Grams, A. Cannon, and R. A. McPherson
  5:00 PM
J2.5
  5:15 PM
J2.6
An Investigative Study of Public Response to Severe Weather Warnings
Jordan L. Sparks, Univ. of North Alabama, Florence, AL; and R. A. Aycock, A. Barrett, M. Tyra, J. K. Wimberly, and G. Carrasco
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 40
Atmospheric Chemistry at the Climate/Policy Interface
Location: Room 16A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )
Chair: Juliane L. Fry, Reed College, Portland, OR
  4:00 PM
TJ40.1
  5:00 PM
TJ40.3
Retrospective Evaluation of Recent State Implementation Plans for Ozone
Daniel S. Cohan, Rice Univ., Houston, TX; and A. H. Pegues
  5:15 PM
TJ40.4
The Role of Intercontinental Transport in a Changing Climate
Timothy Glotfelty, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Zhang, D. Streets, and P. Karamchandani

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


93rd AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)