* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 28 January 2006
	7:30 AM-7:31 AM, Saturday Short Course and Student Conference Registration
Sunday, 29 January 2006
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 30 January 2006
	7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February
	9:00 AM-12:15 PM, Monday, A314 Session 1 Observed Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability: Part I
Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
9:00 AM 1.1 Surface humidity and temperature trends in Canada for 1953–2004   Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. A. Van Wijngaarden 9:15 AM 1.2 A global, 2-hourly atmospheric precipitable water dataset from ground-based GPS measurements for diurnal cycle and other climate studies   Junhong Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Zhang and A. Dai 9:30 AM 1.3 Ten Years of Measurements of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Water Vapor by the MOZAIC: Climatology, Variability, Transport and Relation to Deep Convection   Zhengzhao Luo, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Kley and R. H. Johnson 9:45 AM 1.4 Upper tropospheric water vapor and clouds: new evidence from EOS MLS satellite observations   Hui Su, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. G. Read, J. H. Jiang, and J. W. Waters 10:00 AM Paper 1.5 has been moved, New Paper number is 5.14A   10:15 AM 1.5A Cross-tropopause transport over the Tibetan Plateau and its ambient regions during late summer/early fall 2004   Yuanlong Hu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu, J. H. Jiang, W. G. Read, M. J. Filipiak, and J. W. Waters 10:30 AM Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer   11:00 AM 1.6 Trends and variability of snowfall and snow cover across North America and Eurasia. Part 2: What the data say   David A. Robinson, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and R. R. Heim 11:15 AM 1.7 Temporal and spatial variability of large U.S. snowstorms 1950-2000   David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and S. Changnon 11:30 AM 1.8 Synoptic analysis of 2001-2005 significant snowfall events on Mt. Kilimanjaro   Rebecca Chan, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 11:45 AM 1.9 U.S. Forts Daily Data and the Frequency of Extreme Events in the 19th Century   Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and K. E. Kunkel and J. R. Angel 12:00 PM 1.10 Trends in temperature extremes for Southern New Zealand   Paula J. Brown, Univ. of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; and L. Kavalieris
	12:00 PM-1:10 PM, Monday Plenary Session 1 AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College, London United Kingdom; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ., Boston, MA; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
12:00 PM PL1.1 Forum opening   Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna 12:10 PM PL1.2 How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?   Martin Best, Met Office, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom 12:40 PM PL1.3 THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS   Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, A313 Joint Session 1 LAND-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTIONS: Soil Moisture Feedback and Modeling Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
1:30 PM J1.1 High-Resolution Convective Modeling using WRF and GCE coupled to LIS   Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. -. K. Tao, S. V. Kumar, J. L. Eastman, X. Zeng, S. E. Lang, Y. Tian, and P. R. Houser 1:45 PM J1.2 (INVITED) Research Issues raised by looking at the dependence of Tibetan climate on albedo from perspective of a Global Climate Model   Robert Dickinson, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. Shaikh and L. Zhou 2:00 PM J1.3 Numerical Simulation of the 2004 North American Monsoon sensitivity to surface data   Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. D. Chern, K. R. Arsenault, P. R. Houser, and J. D. Radakovich 2:15 PM J1.4 Reducing the wintertime warm bias in NCAR GCMs through the use of a new snow cover fraction scheme   Zong-Liang Yang, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Y. Niu 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM J1.5 Land-atmosphere coupling and climate variability in future-climate scenarios for the European continent   Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zuerich, Switzerland; and D. Luthi, P. Vidale, and C. Schar 4:15 PM J1.6 An assessment of simulated warm-season rainfall variability over the Great Plains and associated land surface conditions   Wanru Wu, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA; and R. Dickinson 4:30 PM J1.7 Soil moisture—atmosphere interactions during the 2003 European summer heatwave   Erich M. Fischer, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. Seneviratne, D. Luethi, C. Schaer, and P. Vidale 4:45 PM J1.8 Impact of soil moisture feedback and vegetation feedback on seasonal prediction of precipitation over North America   Yeonjooo Kim, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs Mansfield, CT; and G. Wang 5:00 PM J1.9 Effects of solar dimming on soil moisture trends   Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and H. Li 5:15 PM J1.10 Assessing Land Memory in the GSWP2 Simulations and Association to Global Recycling Estimates   C. Adam Schlosser, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and P. A. Dirmeyer and K. L. Brubaker
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monday, A314 Session 2 AMS Bernhard Haurwitz and Walter Orr Roberts Lectures
1:30 PM 2.1 Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture: Testing Global Warming Models in the Face of Uncertainty   Peter H. Stone, MIT, Cambridge, MA 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing   4:00 PM 2.2 Walter Orr Roberts Lecture: Climate and Ecosystem Variability: The Role of Forcings and Feedbacks   Antonio Busalacchi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall A2 Poster Session 1 Observed climate change
P1.1 The role of the atmospheric circulation in very extensive summer sea ice in the Ross Sea, Antarctica in 2003   S. A. Harangozo, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom   P1.2 Monitoring Ice Variability and Change through an Ice Reduction Date   Andrew Molthan, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson and B. Jackson   P1.3 Variations in melt conditions in the Arctic through use of surface energy proxy   Bryan Jackson, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. Molthan and M. R. Anderson   P1.4 The impact of an observationally based surface emissivity dataset on the simulation of Microwave Sounding Unit Temperatures   Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and L. Litten, B. D. Santer, and J. R. Christy   P1.5 Kernel PCA Analysis for remote sensing data   John A. Tan, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and R. Yang and M. Kafatos   P1.6 Diurnal cycles of the surface radiation budget data set   Pamela E. Mlynczak, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, P. W. Stackhouse, and S. K. Gupta   P1.7 Measurements of the Radiative Surface Forcing of Climate   W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and E. Puckrin   P1.8 Changes in the air-sea temperature difference of the North Atlantic for the past 50 years   Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/OAR/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Murnane and J. K. Eischeid   P1.9 Seasonal and Diurnal Cycles in Climate Change and Variability   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. C. Grody and A. Robock   P1.10 The effect of radiosonde instrument changes on climate trends of global atmospheric precipitable water   Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX   P1.11 North America climate extremes monitoring system   Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, T. C. Peterson, and N. S. Stroumentova   P1.12 Assessment of US climate variations using the US Climate Extremes Index and the US Greenhouse Climate Response Index   David J. Karoly, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Ruppert, D. R. Easterling, and J. H. Lawrimore   P1.13 Observational evidence of sensitivity of surface climate changes to land types and urbanization   Young-Kwon Lim, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai, E. Kalnay, and L. Zhou   P1.14 Statistical trend detection of a global change signal in regional climate over the U.S.   Airong Cai, Univ. of Illinois, Chicago, IL; and K. Hayhoe, G. C. Tiao, and D. J. Wuebbles   P1.15 Decadal Wind Trends at the Savannah River Site   Allen H. Weber, Savannah River National Laboratory (retired), North Augusta, SC; and R. L. Buckley and M. J. Parker P1.16 Effects of biomass burning-derived aerosols on precipitation and clouds in the Amazon Basin: a satellite-based empirical study   John C. Lin, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and T. Matsui, R. A. Pielke, and C. Kummerow   P1.17 Long-term variations in global and tropical precipitation derived from the GPCP monthly product   Robert Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Gu and G. J. Huffman
	5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, A314 Session 2A Report on U.S. Climate Science Program
5:00 PM 2A.1 Report on the U.S. Climate Science Program November 2005 Workshop on Climate Science in Support of Decision Making   James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC; and M. Glackin and A. N. Tribble
	5:30 PM, Monday Sessions end for the day (M)
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
	7:30 PM, Monday Holton Symposium Banquet
Tuesday, 31 January 2006
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday, A312 Joint Session 2 Distributed Earth Science Information Systems (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
Cochairs: Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Stephen M. Holt, Mitretek Systems, Falls Church, VA
8:30 AM J2.1 Surface data integration at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center: data format, processing, QC, and product generation   Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. N. Lott, S. K. Hawkins, R. Baldwin, D. D. Anders, R. Ray, D. Dellinger, P. Jones, and F. Smith 8:45 AM J2.2 Recent advances in in-situ data access, summarization, and visualization at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center   J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Baldwin and D. D. Anders 9:00 AM J2.3 Process Management and Improvement for CLASS System Development and Maintenance   Anita K. Konzak, NOAA/NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and R. G. Reynolds and C. Martinez 9:15 AM J2.4 MI3: the NCDC's master station history   Jeffrey D. Arnfield, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 9:30 AM J2.5 Evolving EO-1 Sensor Web Testbed Capabilities in Pursuit of GEOSS   Dan Mandl, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. W. Frye 9:45 AM J2.6 BeringClimate: An Evolving View of Ecosystem Change in the Bering Sea   James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and S. Rodionov and N. N. Soreide
	8:30 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday, A314 Joint Session 3 Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Land Data, Land Cover, and Land Use Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
J3.1 Observed vegetation-climate feedbacks in the United States   Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and Z. Liu and J. W. Williams 8:30 AM J3.2 (INVITED) Land-atmosphere interactions on North American basins estimated from North American Regional Reanalysis products   Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Luo, K. E. Mitchell, and A. K. Betts 8:45 AM J3.3 State of the ground: Climatology and changes during the past 65 years over Northern Eurasia for snow cover, dry, wet, and frozen ground conditions   Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, V. N. Razuvaev, O. N. Bulygina, and T. R. Karl 9:00 AM J3.4 The seasonal evolution of the diurnal variation of the low-level winds around the Gulf of California. Is there a link to vegetation green-up during the wet season?   Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia, J. M. Galvez, R. Orozco, and J. Murillo 9:15 AM J3.5 The climate sensitivity of land cover change and its thermodynamic characterization   Axel Kleidon, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD 9:30 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   10:45 AM J3.6 Deforestation and dry season rainfall in northern Mesoamerica: Implications for forest sustainability   Ronald M. Welch, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Ray, R. O. Lawton, and U. S. Nair 11:00 AM J3.7 How important is land cover change for simulating future climates?   Johannes Feddema, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and L. O. Mearns, K. Oleson, G. Bonan, L. Buja, G. Meehl, and W. M. Washington 11:15 AM J3.8 The influence of vegetation on the global climate: an analysis of teleconnection processes using a coupled atmosphere-biosphere model   Peter K. Snyder, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL J3.9 Climate scenario of the 21st century with interactive coupling between a land use model and a GCM   Aurore Voldoire, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. F. Royer 11:30 AM J3.9A Potential impacts of aerosol-land-atmosphere interaction on the Indian   Dev Niyogi, Purdue University and Indiana State Climate Office, West Lafayette, IN; and H. I. Chang, L. Gu, S. Menon, and R. A. Pielke 11:45 AM J3.10 Impact of land-use and land-cover changes on mineral dust emission in Central and East Asia   Kremena Darmenova, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and I. N. Sokolik
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall A2 Joint Poster Session 1 Land-Atmosphere Interactions (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
JP1.1 Regional climate modelling of European summer climate variability over the period 1958–2001   Erich M. Fischer, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. I. Seneviratne, P. Vidale, D. Luethi, and C. Schaer   JP1.2 Soil temperature and moisture errors in Eta model analyses   Christopher M. Godfrey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and L. M. Leslie   JP1.3 Evaluation of interannual variability simulation over South America using a dynamic downscaling approach   Fernando H. De Sales, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue   JP1.4 Impacts of the satellite-derived leaf area index on GCM simulation of near-surface climate   Hyun-Suk Kang, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. K. Xue and G. J. Collatz   JP1.5 Effects of Soil Moisture Variations on Boundary Layer Characteristics: Numerical Simulations using WRF   Ning Zhang, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and D. Lu and H. Liu   JP1.6 The Role of the CLM2 in Seasonal Dynamical Downscaling for Crop Model Application   Dong-Wook Shin, COAPS, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. G. Bellow, S. Cocke, T. LaRow, and J. J. O'Brien   JP1.7 The impact of soil moisture initialization on seasonal precipitation in West Africa   Andrea M. Sealy, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph and C. H. Lu   JP1.8 Hydroclimatological Predictions Based on Basin's Humidity Index   Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas, San Antonio, TX; and N. L. Miller   JP1.9 High-resolution CRM simulations from IHOP: Land-atmosphere interactions   Stephen E. Lang, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and X. Zeng, W. -. K. Tao, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. L. Eastman, S. V. Kumar, and Y. Tian   Poster JP1.10 Moved. New Paper number J3.9A     JP1.11 Impact of cross effects between soil temperature and moisture states and soil water vapor fluxes on global climate   Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Kramm   JP1.12 A diagnostic study on atmospheric moisture budget over the continental United States for wet and dry years   Xinmin Zeng, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and H. Liu   JP1.13 A Soil Moisture Monitoring Network: The Oklahoma Mesonet Perspective   Bradley G. Illston, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, C. A. Fiebrich, R. L. Elliott, D. K. Fisher, E. D. Hunt, and J. R. Kilby   JP1.14 Advanced computing, data access and distribution technologies, and interoperable tools enable high resolution coupled land-atmosphere prediction   Sujay V. Kumar, UMBC/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, W. K. Tao, Y. Tian, J. Eastman, X. Zeng, S. E. Lang, and P. R. Houser   JP1.15 Biogeography of cloud forests: Use of satellite remote sensing and numerical modeling   U. S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Ray, S. Asefi, R. M. Welch, and R. O. Lawton   JP1.16 Verification case studies within the 12km North American land data assimilation system (NLDASE) project   Charles J. Alonge, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. A. Cosgrove   JP1.17 Impact of green vegetation fraction on atmosphere/land-surface models   Vince C. K. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and G. Gayno   JP1.18 The impact of wind speed on nighttime microscale temperature gradients   Matthew J. Haugland, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   JP1.19 Reduced atmospheric CH4 consumption by temperate forest soils under elevated CO2   Lindsay Dubbs, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and S. C. Whalen and E. N. Fischer   JP1.20 Lower Tropospheric Analysis of the Daily Cycle of the Wind for the East Coast of the Gulf of California during NAME 2004   Luna M. Rodriguez, Senior, Universidad de Puerto Rico- Recinto de Rio Piedras, Physics, San Juan, Puerti Rico; and L. M. Hartten   JP1.21 How the congo basin deforestation and the equatorial monsoonal circulation influences the regional hydroloical cycle   Willis O. Shem, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. E. Dickinson   JP1.22 Impact of lowland deforestation on South West Indian tropical wet forests: cloud cover and rainfall   Deepak K. Ray, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. M. Welch, U. S. Nair, R. O. Lawton, and R. A. Pielke   JP1.23 The impact of a controlled burn on surface and atmospheric conditions on a tallgrass prairie   Amanda J. Schroeder, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara   JP1.24 Radiative scaling of the nocturnal boundary layer   Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT   JP1.25 The effect of vegetation type on the seasonal and diurnal cycles of soil temperature   Thomas Atkins, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Robock   JP1.26 Climate variability in a simple model of land-atmosphere interaction   Jiangfeng Wei, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. E. Dickinson and N. Zeng   JP1.27 The Effects of Frozen Soil on Snowmelt Runoff and Soil Water Storage   Guo-Yue Niu, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang   JP1.28 The influence of soil transport processes upon temperature and moisture profiles in a snowpack   Yi-Ching Chung, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. W. England   JP1.29 Modelling dust transport over Central Eastern Australia   Lance M. Leslie, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   JP1.30 A Physical Based Forest Fuel Moisture Scheme for High-Resolution Fire Modeling   Yongqiang Liu, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA   JP1.31 Attribution of seasonal soil moisture prediction uncertainties   Zaitao Pan, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. Horton, B. Tentinger, and M. Segal   JP1.32 Simulating water and energy fluxes using a coupled groundwater, surface water, land surface and regional climate model.   Reed M. Maxwell, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and S. J. Kollet, Q. Duan, and F. K. Chow   Poster JP1.33 Moved. New number J5.5A     JP1.34 The role of land surface schemes on land-atmosphere coupling strength in weather and climate models   Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer and R. D. Koster
	11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday Exhbits Open (T)
	11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday, A313 Session 3 Observed Climate Change in the Atmosphere and Oceans: Part 1
Cochairs: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
11:00 AM 3.1 State of the climate for 2005   Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, D. H. Levinson, A. M. Waple, C. Tankersley, and S. Stephens 11:15 AM 3.2 Is the tropopause a sensitive indicator of climate change?   Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and W. J. Randel 11:30 AM 3.3 Geographical distribution of the vertical temperature profile trends derived from radiosonde observations   Hong Li, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai, E. Kalnay, and J. Woollen 11:45 AM 3.4 Analysis of tropospheric temperature gradients via radiosonde wind data in the western tropical Pacific   Robert J. Allen, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and S. C. Sherwood 12:00 PM 3.5 A new lower tropospheric temperature dataset using microwave sounding unit measurements   Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz
	12:15 PM, Tuesday Plenary Session Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)
	1:45 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday, A313 Joint Session 5 Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Coupled Model Development, Data Assimilation, Predictability, and Process Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA
J5.1 Noah LSM surface layer formulations used in the operational mesoscale NAM (WRF-NMM) model   M. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Suitland, MD; and K. Mitchell and G. Gayno 1:45 PM J5.2 Influence of land surface parametrizations on climate simulations at high latitudes   Diana L. Verseghy, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and P. A. Bartlett 2:00 PM J5.3 Testing a coupled biophysical/dynamic vegetation model (SSiB-4/TRIFFID) in different climate zones using satellite-derived and ground-measured data   Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Deng and P. M. Cox 2:15 PM J5.4 Recent results from the 12km North American land data assimilation system (NLDASE) project   Brian A. Cosgrove, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. J. Alonge J5.5 Impact of the new Noah Land Surface Model on the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS)   Helin Wei, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and C. Lu, K. E. Mitchell, and C. -. J. Meng 2:30 PM J5.5A Using GLDAS/LIS to derive global land climatology for the NOAA Climate Test Bed   Jesse Meng, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and H. Wei 2:45 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:15 PM J5.6 PILPS semi-arid experiment: preliminary results   Luis A. Bastidas, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and E. Rosero and B. Nijssen 3:30 PM J5.7 (INVITED) Examination of the Bouchet-Morton complementarity relationship throughout a period of increasing irrigation   Guido Salvucci, Boston University, Boston, MA; and M. Ozdogan 3:45 PM J5.8 Using observed spatial correlation structures of rainfall and temperature to improve the skill of subseasonal forecasts relying on land surface moisture initialization   Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. J. Suarez 4:00 PM J5.9 (INVITED) Do Global Models Properly Represent the Feedback Between Land and Atmosphere?   P. A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and Z. Guo and R. D. Koster 4:15 PM J5.10 Assessing the land-surface, boundary layer and cloud-field coupling in ERA-40   Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and P. Viterbo 4:30 PM J5.11 Impact of fine-scale landscape and soil-moisture variability in the initiation of deep convection   Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO 4:45 PM J5.12 Influence of variations in low-level moisture and soil moisture on the organization of summer convective systems in the US Midwest   Jimmy O. Adegoke, University of Missouri, Kansas City, MO; and S. Vezhapparambu, C. L. Castro, R. Pielke, and A. M. Carleton 5:00 PM J5.13 Evaluation of the impact of land surface heterogeneity representations on mesoscale fluxes   Sujay V. Kumar, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. Eastman, Y. Tian, and P. R. Houser
	1:45 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, A314 Session 4 Observed Climate Change in the Atmosphere and Oceans: Part 2
Chairs: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:45 PM 4.1 Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: an update through 2004   Russell S. Vose, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling and B. Gleason 2:00 PM 4.2 At what horizontal scale can significant surface warming be detected?   David J. Karoly, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Q. Wu 2:15 PM 4.3 Abrupt global temperature change and the instrumental record   Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 2:30 PM 4.4 Rehabilitating the Canadian Climate Reference Network   Yves Durocher, EC, Downsview, ON, Canada 2:45 PM 4.5 A comparison of the original United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) and USHCN v2   Claude N. Williams Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. J. Menne 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:30 PM 4.6 Atlantic hurricanes and global warming: Observational evidence   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 3:45 PM 4.7 Frequency, duration and intensity of tropical cyclonic storms in a warming environment   Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H. R. Chang 4:00 PM 4.8 How unnatural are the observed Tropical SST trends over the last 50 years ?   Cecile Penland, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh 4:15 PM 4.9 Characterization of Changing Precipitation Regimes   John Hallett, DRI, Reno, NV; and R. Rasmussen 4:30 PM 4.10 Global “warming holes” and regional land surface-atmosphere interactions   Zaitao Pan, St. Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and M. Segal, W. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, and C. J. Anderson 4:45 PM 4.11 Recent rainfall trends across tropical West Africa: Observations and potential causes   Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and P. Susan and K. Simone 5:00 PM 4.12 Continued research on observed changes in cloudiness and air pollution over China and their relationships with other meteorological variables   Dale Kaiser, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian, R. S. Vose, and B. Sun 5:15 PM 4.13 An algorithm to derive snowfall from snow depth observations   Alexandre Fischer, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and Y. Durocher
	5:30 PM, Tuesday Sessions end for the day (T)
Wednesday, 1 February 2006
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410 Joint Session 4 Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
8:30 AM J4.1 Changes in very heavy and extreme precipitation events: what do we know?   Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 9:00 AM J4.2 A global view of severe thunderstorms: Estimating the current distribution and possible future changes   Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
	8:30 AM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, A313 Session 5 Climate Modeling: Studies of climate change
Chairs: G. L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AM 5.1 New Climate Change Findings and Future Plans   Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, J. Arblaster, and H. Teng 8:45 AM 5.2 Future changes of El Nino   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng and G. Branstator 9:00 AM 5.3 Climate change detection and attribution in the upper air   Stephen S. Leroy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. G. Anderson and J. A. Dykema 9:15 AM 5.4 The causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe   David P. Rowell, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Jones 9:30 AM 5.5 A comparison of model produced maximum and minimum temperature trends with observed trends for the 20th and 21st centuries   David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. E. Gleason, R. S. Vose, and R. Stouffer 9:45 AM 5.6 Stratospheric trends in IPCC model simulations   Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and F. Snively 10:00 AM Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer   10:30 AM 5.7 Rainfall and Its seasonality over the Amazon in the 21st century as assessed by the Coupled Models for the IPCC AR4   Wenhong Li, Georgis Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu and R. E. Dickinson 10:45 AM 5.8 Differences in the frequency and the distribution of intense extratropical cyclone events in a model simulated doubled CO2 environment   Kristopher L. Wile, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 11:00 AM 5.9 Assessment of Twentieth-century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models   Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, I. M. Held, J. Lu, V. Ramaswamy, D. Schwarzkopf, G. Stenchikov, and R. J. Stouffer 11:15 AM 5.10 An analysis of model tropospheric response to various forcings   Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy 11:30 AM 5.11 Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the 20th and 21st centuries, Part 2: Antarctic   Amanda Lynch, Monash Univ., Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and P. Uotila and J. J. Cassano 11:45 AM 5.12 Comparison of Satellite Observed and Model Simulated Sea Ice: Evaluation for the 4th IPCC Assessment   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. J. Cavalieri and C. L. Parkinson 12:00 PM Lunch Break (Cash and Carry will be available in the Exhibit Hall)   1:30 PM 5.13 A global analysis of variability and trends of soil moisture   Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer 1:45 PM Paper 5.14 has been moved, New Number is Poster P3.20   2:00 PM 5.14A Upper-air temperature changes in models and radiosonde observations   Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lanzante and D. J. Seidel 2:15 PM 5.15 Changes in snow cover and snow water equivalent due to global warming simulated by a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model   Masahiro Hosaka, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and D. Nohara and A. Kitoh 2:30 PM 5.16 Multi-model multi-signal climate change detection at regional scale   Xuebin Zhang, Meteorological Service of Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott 2:45 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:15 PM 5.17 Bayesian climate change assessment using multi-AOGCM ensembles: global and regional surface temperatures   Seung-Ki Min, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and A. Hense 4:30 PM 5.18 Observed and modeled climate variability over the United States associated with major teleconnection patterns   Anne Hertel, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe, A. Cai, and D. J. Wuebbles 4:45 PM 5.19 Verification and application of the Analogue-Method to project local scale precipitation from different GCM scenarios: a case study within the US Sierra Nevada and the European Alps   Christoph Matulla, MSC, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and X. Zhang, X. Wang, J. Wang, S. Wagner, and E. Zorita
	9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410 Joint Panel Discussion 1 What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC, Asheville, NC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, A314 Session 6 Climate Prediction on Seasonal to Interannual Timescales
10:30 AM 6.1 Value of climate forecasts in simple decision-making process   Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWSFO, Davenport, IA; and R. E. Livezey 10:45 AM 6.2 Teleconnections and climate in the Peruvian Andes   Elsa Nickl, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and C. Willmott 11:00 AM 6.3 Prediction of Extratropical Storminess   Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh, M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott 11:15 AM 6.4 An examination of the bias in the NCEP GFS, CFS simulations associated with the marine stratus clouds   Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, W. Higgins, P. Arkin, M. Cronin, and R. A. Weller 11:30 AM 6.5 Bred vectors and forecast error in the NASA coupled general circulation model   Shu-Chih Yang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay, M. Rienecker, M. Cai, and J. Ballabrera 11:45 AM 6.6 Tier-one Seasonal Prediction with CES Coupled GCM   Jong-Seong Kug, Climate Environment System Research Center, Seoul, South Korea; and I. S. Kang and -. D. H. Choi
	11:00 AM-7:30 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open (W)
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, A314 Session 7 Observed seasonal to interannual climate variability: Part II
Chair: Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO
7.1 Annual cycle of cloud forcing of surface radiation budget   Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, Virginia; and G. L. Smith, S. K. Gupta, and P. W. Stackhouse 1:30 PM 7.2 Interannual variability of arctic radiation balance in July   T. Dale Bess, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith 7.3 Coherent pattern of African dust and Precipitation over tropical Atlantic   Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL 1:45 PM 7.4 Two flavors of drought in the Pacific Northwest: recent examples   Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA 2:00 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   3:30 PM 7.5 North Pacific oscillation's impact on Arctic sea-ice and North American hydroclimate   Megan Linkin, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam 3:45 PM 7.6 A diagnostic study of the southern Africa rainy season during the 1997–98 El Nino   Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and S. J. Mason 4:00 PM 7.7 Two distinctive ENSO cycles and associated extratropical atmospheric anomalies   Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and W. Li and R. Fu 4:15 PM 7.8 Wintertime influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on mid-latitude precipitation via changes in the thermodynamic balance   Mathew A. Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA 4:30 PM 7.9 Interdecadal Variations od East Asia Summer Monsoon Northward Progressing and Its Influences on Summer Precipitation Over East China   Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and S. Yang 4:45 PM 7.10 The influence of pre-seasonal land surface condition on South American Monsoon Onset and Its Interannual Variability   Rong Fu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and W. Li
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall A2 Poster Session 2 Observed seasonal to interannual climate variability and climate applications
P2.1 Relationships between Changes in Annual Frequency of Heavy Precipitation in Japan and ENSO   Hironori Higashi, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Matsuura   P2.2 Development of nor'easters during El Niño years   Lynne M. Hoppe, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith   P2.3 ENSO signal in wind roses across the southeast United States   Joanne C. Culin, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and P. W. Leftwich and J. J. O'Brien   P2.4 ENSO, PNA and NAO Scenarios for extreme storminess, rainfall and temperature variability during the Florida dry season   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, Florida P2.5 Harbingers for La Nina and El Nino events   Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD   P2.6 Dynamics of the Eastern Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone   Violeta E. Toma, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster   P2.7 Empirical Study of Atmospheric Responses to the Tropical SST Forcing   Qigang Wu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly   P2.8 The Daily Cycle in and below the Lower Troposphere Along the Gulf of California During the North American Monsoon   Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and C. W. King and R. J. Zamora P2.9 Nonlinear association between Northern Hemisphere winter geopotential height and the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation   Xuhui Pan, The Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and K. Hamilton   Poster P2.10 has been moved, New number is Paper 1.5A   P2.11 Access to the Global Upper Air Sounding Archive at NCAR   Joseph L. Comeaux II, NCAR, Boulder, CO   P2.12 Access to global radiosonde and surface station observations including ERA-40 Assimilation Model Metadata from NCAR   Douglas Schuster, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Comeaux and S. J. Worley   P2.13 Development of climate monitoring indices for California   Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond   P2.14 Detection of local climate change   Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico, PR; and O. Julcas   P2.15 Analyzing seasonal to interannual extreme weather and climate variability with the extremes toolkit   Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. W. Katz   P2.16 Analysis of surface heating trends from 1994 to 2004 using Oklahoma Mesonet data   Scott E. Stevens, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and B. Illston and J. B. Basara   P2.17 Trends and Variability in Long-term Precipitation over the Mississippi Region   R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and P. Chigbu and M. M. Watts   P2.18 Trends and variability of snowfall and snow cover across North America and Eurasia. Part 1: data quality and homogeneity analysis   Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. A. Robinson   P2.19 Precipitation Estimation in Canada using Archival Climate Data   William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada   P2.20 Characterization of land surface properties of active dust sources using MODIS and MISR data.   Drexel G. Waggoner, SRA International, Macon, GA; and D. I. N. Sokolik   P2.21 The 2003 Australian bushfires: A case study   L.M. Tryhorn, Monash Univ., Clayton, Victoria, Australia   P2.22 A method for computing the monthly Palmer Drought Index on a weekly basis: comparing data estimation techniques   Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
	3:45 PM, Wednesday Sessions end for the day (W)
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
	7:30 PM, Wednesday AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 2 February 2006
	8:45 AM-4:30 PM, Thursday, A313 Session 8 Incorporating climate information and forecasts into the decision making process in the water resource and energy sectors
Chairs: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; Mathew A. Barlow, University of Massachusetts - Lowell, Lowell, MA
8:45 AM 8.1 Design criteria for a national climate service: insights from a RISA program (INVITED PRESENTATION)   Edward L. Miles, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. K. Snover and L. Whitely Binder 9:15 AM 8.2 The use of climate information in water resources management (INVITED PRESENTATION)   Holly Hartmann, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 8.3 Three-tier operational precipitation and hydrological forecasting of large-scale un-gauged river basins: Developing a basis for strategic and tactical decisions for water management, agricultural planning and disaster mitigation (INVITED PRESENTATION)   Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and T. M. Hopson and C. D. Hoyos 11:30 AM 8.4 Using climate information for river basin management in Sri Lanka (INVITED PRESENTATION)   Lareef Zubair, IRI, Palisades, NY 12:00 PM Lunch Break (Cash and Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)   1:30 PM 8.5 (INVITED) Measuring the performance of hydrological forecasts for hydropower production at BC Hydro and Hydro-Québec   Frank Weber, BC Hydro, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and L. Perreault and V. Fortin 2:00 PM 8.6 Critical climate controls and information needs for environmental assessment and adaptive management in the Grand Canyon region   Shaleen Jain, NOAA/CIRES and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Pulwarty, T. Melis, D. Topping, and J. K. Eischeid 2:30 PM 8.7 Improved Operation of Reservoir Systems – Utility of Seasonal and Monthly Updated Climate Forecasts   Sankar Arumugam, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and U. Lall 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle   3:30 PM 8.8 Climate-informed decision tools for the water and energy sector (INVITED PRESENTATION)   Casey Brown, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and U. Lall and S. Arumugam 4:00 PM 8.9 An integrated approach to the efficient management of scarce freshwater resources in tropical West Africa: the IMPETUS project   Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink and P. Speth
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall A2 Poster Session 3 Climate Modeling and Diagnostic Studies
P3.1 Evaluating a stochastic shortwave radiation routine using a single-column model   Dana E. Veron, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Foster and J. M. Secora   P3.2 Estimating response to various forcings in an aquaplanet GCM   Vladimir Alexeev, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and P. L. Langen   P3.3 Model Parameter Evaluation using Linear Inverse Modeling   John A. Dykema, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and B. F. Farrell, S. S. Leroy, and J. G. Anderson   P3.4 Equilibrium Phases in a energy-relative enstrophy Statistical Mechanics model of barotropic flows on a rotating sphere—non-conservation of angular momentum   Xueru Ding, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY; and C. Lim   P3.5 Phase transitions of barotropic flow on the sphere by the Bragg method   Rajinder Singh Mavi, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY; and C. Lim   P3.6 The Australian summer monsoon—a model intercomparison study   Andrew G. Marshall, Monash Univ., Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and A. Lynch and K. Görgen   P3.7 Nature of Asian monsoon precipitation: Intraseasonal to interannual time-scales   Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster, R. A. Houze, and C. Schumacher   P3.8 Nocturnal Stratiform Cloudiness during the West African monsoon   Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and S. Augustyn and A. H. Fink   P3.9 Long-term seasonal rainfall predictions over the southeast U.S. using the FSU Global Spectral Model   Dawn C. Petraitis, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and T. E. LaRow and J. J. O'Brien P3.10 Transient response of an atmospheric general circulation model to sea ice and SST anomalies in the North Atlantic   Clara Deser, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Tomas   P3.11 Regional Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources over Eastern Mediterranean: Euphrates-Tigris Basin   Baris Onol, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and F. Semazzi   P3.12 Diagnostic analysis of the East Asian cold surges: Terrain effect   Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster   P3.13 Cloud amount simulated by the coupled model MRI-CGCM2.3   Shoji Kusunoki, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   P3.14 Characteristics of the Simulated East-Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation in the RegCM3   E.-Hyung Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea   P3.15 Impact of land-use changes on water cycle properties in various scales using fully coupled CCSM2.0.1   Zhao Li, Geophysical Institute, UAF, Fairbanks, AK; and N. Mölders   P3.16 Effect of the Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian Monsoon Circulations: A Regional Climate Model Study   Jee-Hey Song, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. H. Byun   P3.17 A Model Ensemble Assessment of the Enhancement of Arctic Warming by Sea Ice Retreat   Colin P. Murray, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and J. E. Walsh   P3.18 Warm Season Precipitation Prediction over North American using the Eta Regional Climate Model   Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell   P3.19 Circulation-induced changes in Antarctic precipitation in the 20th and 21st centuries based on IPCC model data   Petteri Uotila, Monash University, Monash University, VIC, Australia; and A. Lynch, J. J. Cassano, and R. I. Cullather   P3.20 Distribution function of a spurious trend in finite-length dataset and detectability of the true trend   Seiya Nishizawa, Kyoto Univ., Kyoto, Japan; and S. Yoden and T. Nozawa   P3.21 The relation between global warming and poleward heat transport of climate models   Christelle Castet, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai
	11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday Exhibits Open (Th)
	11:00 AM-4:30 PM, Thursday, A314 Session 9 Climate Model Analysis and Improvement
Cochairs: Sumant Nigam, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
11:00 AM 9.1 Running a climate model in forecast mode to identify the source of tropical climate errors: With specific reference to the dry bias error over the Maritime Continent in an atmosphere only GCM   Jane Strachan, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and P. M. Inness, J. M. Slingo, and G. M. Martin 11:15 AM 9.2 The importance of tropical Pacific SST changes between the warm pool and the cold tongue   Prashant Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo 11:30 AM 9.3 Attribution of atmospheric variations in the 1997-2003 period to SST anomalies in the Pacific and Indian Ocean basins   Ngar-Cheung Lau, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and A. Leetmaa and M. J. Nath 11:45 AM 9.4 An Assessment of Future Caribbean Climate Changes using the BAU Scenario by Coupling a Global Circulation Model with a Regional Model   M.E. Angeles, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and J. E. Gonzalez, D. J. Erickson, and J. Hernández 12:00 PM 9.5 Relative cooling of the N. Indian Ocean: Its relation to aerosols and Indian/sub-Saharan Africa rainfall trends   C. E. Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan 12:15 PM Lunch Break (Cash and Carry available in Exhibit Hall)   1:30 PM 9.6 Assimilating precipitation to improve simulations of the North American summer circulation   Ana M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. O. Roads and M. Kanamitsu 1:45 PM 9.7 Dynamical amplification of polar warming   Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL 2:00 PM 9.8 The response of extratropical precipitation and moisture transport to increased CO2.   David J. Lorenz, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. DeWeaver 2:15 PM 9.9 Climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Upper Mississippi River Basin as determined by an ensemble of GCMs   Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and M. Jha, C. J. Anderson, and P. W. Gassman 2:30 PM 9.10 Potentially predictable components of African summer rainfall in SST-forced GCM simulations   Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. Giannini 2:45 PM 9.11 A Simple Conceptual Model of Lower Troposphere Stability and Marine Stratus and Stratocumulus Cloud Fraction   Yanping He, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Dickinson 3:00 PM Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle   3:30 PM 9.12 How and why to upgrade cloud microphysics in climate models   Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville 9.13 Solar radiation budget derived by integrating ground-based and satellite observations with a Monte Carlo radiation model   Dohyeong Kim, Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan, A. Ohmura, and E. G. Dutton 3:45 PM 9.14 Future projection of precipitation extremes with 20km-mesh Atmospheric General Circulation Model   Kenji Kamiguchi, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and A. Kitoh, T. Uchiyama, R. Mizuta, and A. Noda 4:00 PM 9.15 Some considerations of climate feedback   J. Ray Bates, Univ. College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland 4:15 PM 9.16 Difficulties in simulating the phase of diurnal water and energy cycles   A.C. Ruane, ECPC, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu
	3:00 PM, Thursday Registration Desk Closes
	4:00 PM, Thursday Exhibit Close
	5:30 PM, Thursday Conference Ends
	6:00 PM, Thursday Lilly Symposium Banquet

Browse the complete program of The 86th AMS Annual Meeting