* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 8 February 2003
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-5:00 PM, Saturday Conference Registration* (Joint between the 19th Conference on IIPS, the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges, the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, the 17TH Conference on Hydrology, the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere, the 12th Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, the 12th Symposium on Education, the 12th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, the 7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle, the 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds, the 3rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to the Environmental Science, and the Symposium on the F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment)
Sunday, 9 February 2003
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 10 February 2003
	7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)
	9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday Session 1 Perspectives on Impacts and Response Options in North America
9:00 AM 1.1 Keynote Address   Robert M. Hirsch, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 9:30 AM 1.2 Planning and Managing for Increased Water Supply Variability in Urban Southern California   Timothy H. Quinn, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, Sacramento, CA 9:45 AM 1.3 The California Water Delivery System: Impacts of Climate Variability   Douglas Osugi, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA 10:00 AM 1.4 Moving to a New National Drought Policy Emphasizing Preparedness Rather than Response   Shaun McGrath, Western Governors' Association, Denver, CO 10:15 AM Coffee Break   10:45 AM 1.5 The Uneasy Relationship between Science and Law: Protecting Endangered Species   Denise Fort, University of New Mexico, School of Law, Albuquerque, NM 11:00 AM 1.6 Critical hydrometeorological needs and integrated, multi-disciplinary DSS for water resource managers in the Bureau of Reclamation   Dave Matthews, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. Frevert 11:15 AM 1.7 Types of Data Needed to Identify and Evaluate Potential Impact of Climate Change on PG&E's Hydropower Operations   Gary J. Freeman, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, San Francisco, CA 11:30 AM 1.8 Hydrologic Information Needs for Emergency Management   Kevin G. Stewart, National Hydrologic Warning Council, Denver, CO 1.9 Primary Issues Facing Flood Plain/Watershed Managers   Joseph Hoffman, Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin, Rockville, MD 11:45 AM Lunch Break
	10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
	1:30 PM, Monday Panel Discussion 1 Panel Discussion—Impacts on Multiple Sectors and Cross Cutting Issues
	2:30 PM, Monday Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 2 Drought 2002—Impacts, Lessons, Management and Policy Innovations
Organizer: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
4:00 PM 2.1 The 2002 Drought in the United States:Lessons Learned and Future Challenges   Donald A. Wilhite, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE 4:30 PM 2.2 The North American Drought Monitoring Initiative   Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, and K. Gleason 5:00 PM 2.3 The Perfect Ocean for Drought   Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Kumar
	5:30 PM, Monday Sessions End for the Day
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 11 February 2003
	8:30 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday Joint Session 4 Flood Hydrology, Management, and Information Systems: Near and Real-Time Management, Impacts, Forecasting, and Communication Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO
8:30 AM J4.1 Assessing the Needs of Users warm season of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in Colorado   Rebecca Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO 8:45 AM J4.2 From Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) to Nowcasts for extreme precipitation events   Roderick A. Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Kuligowski and C. Davenport 9:00 AM J4.3 Short-term radar nowcasting for hydrologic applications over the Arkansas-Red River basin   Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti 9:15 AM J4.4 Quantitative flood forecasts based on short-term radar nowcasting   Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti 9:30 AM J4.5 An Early Alert System for Flooding in the MIiddle Atlantic River Forecast Domain   Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and D. J. Ondrejik, P. G. Knight, and J. M. Brolley 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM J4.6 Understanding the Mesoscale Processes of Flash Floods: Impacts on Prediction and Response   Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO 11:15 AM J4.7 Some practical applications of Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction   Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA 11:30 AM J4.8 Very high resolution precipitation forecasting on low cost high performance computer systems in support of hydrological modeling   Daniel Soderman, FORECA Ltd, Helsinki, Finland; and F. Meneguzzo, B. Gozzini, D. Grifoni, G. Messeri, M. Rossi, S. Montagnani, M. Pasqui, A. Orlandi, A. Ortolani, E. Todini, G. Menduni, and V. Levizzani 11:45 AM J4.9 A Distributed Model for Flood Forecasting in the Arno River Basin (Italy)   Enrica Caporali, Università di Firenze, Firenze, Italy; and V. Tartaglia 12:00 PM J4.10 Operational rainfall and flow forecasting for the Panama Canal Watershed   Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and J. A. Sperfslage
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 3 Flood Hydrology Management and Information Systems Posters (JOINT WITH THE SYMP ON IMPACTS OF WATER VARIABILITY: BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES and the 17th Conference on Hydrology) (Joint between the 17TH Conference on Hydrology and the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges)
Organizer: Richard A. Fulton, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
JP3.1 Statistical methods for nowcasting thunderstorm rainfall   Neil I. Fox, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and C. K. Wikle and B. Xu   JP3.2 Improving precipitation and streamflow forecasts for Amite River basin in Louisiana   Ashutosh S. Limaye, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and W. L. Crosson, J. F. Cruise, and K. Stellman   JP3.3 A test of two distributed hydrologic models with WSR-88D radar precipitation data input   Steven Hunter, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. Jorgesen, S. Meyer, and B. Vieux   JP3.4 Finding factors for fatal flash floods in Missouri   Elizabeth A. McCoy, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. I. Fox   JP3.5 Quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) skill for selected tropical cyclone forecast models during Hurricane Irene (1999)   David A. Robertson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans   JP3.6 Problems of flood hydrology in a transboundary river basin   Rita Pongracz, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, G. Balint, I. Bogardi, and A. Bardossy   JP3.7 Short-range Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts for NWS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services (AHPS): Parameter Estimation Issues   John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, E. Welles, and L. Wu   JP3.8 Retrospective Verification of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (esp): A Case Study   Shuzheng Cong, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake and E. Welles   JP3.9 SIMULATIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI FLOOD OF MAY 8–10th, 1995 WITH A PENN STATE/NCAR MESOSCALE MODEL (MM5) AND GIS/RS TECHNOLOGY   Suseela Redddy Remata, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and M. V. Vatti, P. Chigbu, and P. Croft   JP3.10 Why customize Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction watersheds?   Ami T. Arthur, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. S. Davis and P. Jendrowski   JP3.11 Using radar data with the WATERFLOOD hydrological model to estimate streamflow   Allyson K. Bingeman, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and N. Kouwen and I. Zawadzki   JP3.12 Precipitation induced isotopic variations in stream flow   Madhav V. Machavaram, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and K. E. Bashford, M. E. Conrad, and N. L. Miller   JP3.13 A modelling-based methodology for determining extreme precipitation potential at high elevations in Colorado   William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. L. McAnelly and C. T. Ashby   JP3.14 A retrospective assessment of seasonal hydrologic forecast skill in the western U.S   Andrew W. Wood, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Zhu, A. F. Hamlet, and D. P. Lettenmaier   JP3.15 Analysis of new remote sensing and ancillary inputs to land surface water and energy balance modeling   David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Gottschalck, P. R. Houser, B. Cosgrove, J. Entin, and A. Wilhelm   JP3.16 Calibration of PQPF forecasts based on the NCEP global ensemble   Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth   JP3.17 Information and Products Derived From Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts   Mary Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. DeWeese, E. Welles, and J. Schaake   JP3.18 Development of a Large-Scale Hydrologic Prediction System   Ji Chen, Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and J. Roads   JP3.19 Evaluation of skill and error characteristics for alternative seasonal streamflow forecast methods   Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier   JP3.20 Hydroclimatic Information for Water Resources Management in the Western U.S.: Integrated monitoring and diagnostics tools   Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. Morin   JP3.21 Impact of water variability on chemical river water quality in Central Asia   Vladimir B. Aizen, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and E. M. Aizen and M. G. Glazirina   JP3.22 Empirical Probability Models to Predict Puerto Rico Monthly Rainfall Process   Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and K. -. M. Lau, A. Winter, J. M. Castro, and N. R. Escalante
	12:15 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Joint Session 5 Flood Hydrology, Management, Information Systems: Longer-Term Planning, Management, Impacts, and Forecasting Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWSFO, Moon Township, PA
1:30 PM J5.1 Tropical Cyclone Floods in Florida: Geographical Influences and Community Preparedness   Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL 1:45 PM J5.2 Problems of climate variability and uncertainty in flood hazard planning for the Colorado Front Range   Mary W. Downton, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Cullen, R. Morss, O. Wilhelmi, and B. Rajagopalan 2:00 PM J5.3 National Weather Service Hydrologic Science and Development: Coupling the Atmosphere to the Oceans   Gary Carter, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and G. F. Smith 2:15 PM J5.4 Enhanced flood forecasting and real-time inundation mapping in the Tar River Basin, North Carolina, USA   Douglas C. Marcy, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, SC; and G. Austin, J. Feldt, and S. Harned 2:30 PM J5.5 Short Term Ensemble River Stage Forecasts: Application   Xiaobiao Fan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, L. Wu, E. Welles, J. Ostrowski, N. Pryor, and J. Schaake 2:45 PM J5.6 The role of a prominent rain shadow on flooding in California's coastal mountains: A CALJET case study and sensitivity to the ENSO cycle   Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, D. E. Kingsmill, E. D. Andrews, and R. C. Antweiler 3:00 PM Coffee Break in exhibit hall (exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)   3:30 PM J5.7 Toward a Science Infusion Strategy for NWS Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)   John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Z. Toth, D. Reynolds, M. Antolik, J. Maloney, J. Du, B. Zhou, M. Halpert, R. Martin, P. Dallavalle, E. Danaher, and K. Lynott 3:45 PM J5.8 Distributed model flow sensitivities to input and parametric uncertainty: Case studies for three watersheds in the Central U.S   Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos and J. A. Sperfslage 4:00 PM J5.9 Hydrological Forecasting using Distributed Models in the Great Lakes Basin   Alain C. Pietroniro, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and H. Goertz, P. Pilon, H. Ritchie, P. Campbell, R. P. Ford, and N. Kouwen 4:15 PM J5.10 Chimera watersheds to understand the relative importance of rainfall distribution in semi-distributed rainfall-runoff models   Vazken Andréassian, Cemagref, Antony, France; and A. Oddos, C. Michel, and C. Perrin 4:30 PM J5.11 Optimization of a macroscale hydrological model for flood forecasting in the Odra watershed   Joachim Geyer, GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Klein and H. T. Mengelkamp 4:45 PM J5.12 Potential benefits of long-lead hydrologic predictability on Missouri River main-stem reservoirs   Edwin P. Maurer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier 5:00 PM J5.13 Applying high resolution land surface data, modeling and assimilation techniques to water supply and demand forecasts   Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and T. Pruitt, S. M. Hunter, D. A. Matthews, W. Sharp, K. R. Arsenault, and P. R. Houser 5:15 PM J5.14 Simulation of Possible future effects of greenhouse warming on Great Lakes water supply using a regional climate model   Brent M. Lofgren, NOAA/ERL/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI
	1:30 PM-4:45 PM, Tuesday Session 5 Global Perspectives on Impacts
Organizer: Heidi Cullen, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 5.0a Challenges and Opportunities in Water Resource Management—The Role of the World Meteorological Organization"   G. O. P. Obasi, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland 5.1 International Dialogue on Water and Climate: Learning to better cope with climate variability and change   Richard Connor, International Secretariat of the Dialogue on Water and Climate, Delft, Netherlands 2:30 PM 5.2 Paper has been moved, new paper number 5.10   2:31 PM 5.3 Impacts of the protracted drought in central and southwest Asia   Bradfield Lyon, IRI for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and H. Cullen and M. Barlow 2:46 PM Coffee Break   5.4 Low-frequency precipitation and river flow variability in Cuenca del Plata   J.-P. Boulanger, LODYC, CNRS, Paris, France; and F. Lafon, A. Lazar, C. Menkes, O. Penalba, M. Rusticucci, and W. Vargas 3:16 PM 5.5 ENSO Impacts on the Flow of the Caroní River, Venezuela   Pedro Cárdenas, EDELCA Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela; and A. Gil, E. Colon, and O. Garcia 5.6 A methodology for the prediction of environmentally mediated stress: impacts of a changing hydrological cycle   John R Siddorn, The Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. Harrison 3:30 PM 5.7 Climate Variability and Water Resources: A study in the Paraiba Valley, Brazil   Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and S. J. Simoes and D. A. Raff 3:45 PM 5.8 Quantifying precipitation reduction due to air pollution downwind of major urban areas   Amir Givati, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld 4:00 PM 5.9 The Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Agriculture: An Econometric Analysis   Wolfram Schlenker, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and W. M. Hanemann and A. C. Fisher 4:15 PM 5.10 Climate and Rural Poverty (Formerly paper 5.2)   Alan Basist, NOAA/NWS/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. Williams, F. Kogan, R. Mendelsohn, P. Kurukulasuriya, A. Dinar, and R. C. Reddy
	5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC
	5:30 PM, Tuesday Sessions End for the Day
Wednesday, 12 February 2003
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday Session 6 Water Management Issues - Role of Information
Organizer: Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA
8:30 AM 6.1 The benefit of long lead-time hydrologic forecasts during drought in the Ohio River Valley   Thomas E. Adams III, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, OH 8:45 AM 6.2 The role of climate in modern water planning and related decisions: Nebraska case study   Donna L. Woudenberg, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and K. G. Hubbard, R. D. Kuzelka, and S. J. Meyer 9:00 AM 6.3 Water Distribution Options in Industrial Nations: A sustainability assessment   Christine Anne Smith, School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada 9:15 AM 6.4 Water Variability: Challenges Where the Rubber Hits the Road   Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA; and T. Dean, K. Schilling, and J. Shull
	9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade
	10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology
	12:00 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM, Wednesday Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 7 Regional Integrated Assessments
Organizer: Harvey Hill, NOAA Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM 7.1 Reducing vulnerability to hydro-climatic variability through integrated assessment in the southwestern U.S   R.C. Bales, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and D. M. Liverman 1:45 PM 7.2 Climate Information and Water Resource Management: Two Initiatives in the Southwest   Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Morehouse 2:00 PM 7.3 Helping Water Resource Managers Understand Hydroclimatic Variability and Forecasts   Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. C. Pagano, K. Franz, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales 2:15 PM 7.4 The CIRES-NOAA Western Water Assessment   Martyn P. Clark, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Boulder, CO; and S. K. Avery and R. M. Dole 2:30 PM 7.5 Climate Assessment of the 1999–2002 drought in Colorado   Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and R. Pielke, M. Hoerling, S. Jain, and N. Doesken 2:45 PM 7.6 2002 Municipal Response to Drought in the Colorado Front Range   Douglas Kenney, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Klein, A. Morrison, and B. Gravell 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30-7:30 p.m.)   3:30 PM 7.7 Rapid response to the 2002 drought in Colorado: an experiment in regional climate services   Robert Stabler Webb, NOAA/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Ray, K. T. Redmond, R. S. Pulwarty, K. Wolter, C. A. Woodhouse, S. Avery, and R. M. Dole 3:45 PM 7.8 A user study approach for identifying needs for regional climate services   Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and R. S. Pulwarty 4:00 PM 7.9 Integrated Forecast and Reservoir Management—Lessons Learned   Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center/SIO, San Diego, CA; and N. E. Graham and A. P. Georgakakos 4:15 PM 7.10 Incorporating hydroclimatic variability in reservoir management at Folsom Lake, California   Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos, N. E. Graham, A. P. Georgakakos, and H. Yao 4:30 PM 7.11 Climate science issues and needs of the CALFED Bay-Delta Program   Michael Dettinger, US Geological Survey and SIO, La Jolla, CA; and W. Bennett, D. R. Cayan, J. Florsheim, M. Hughes, B. L. Ingram, A. Jassby, N. Knowles, F. Malamud-Roam, D. Peterson, K. Redmond, and L. Smith 4:45 PM 7.12 Application and Potential use of Climate Information in Water Resources Management in Florida   Neeraj Vedwan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and F. Miralles-Wilhelm, K. Broad, D. Letson, G. Podesta, J. Jones, and J. J. O'Brien 5:00 PM 7.13 Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Water Planning Studies in the Pacific Northwest   Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. Mote 5:15 PM 7.14 Responding to stakeholders' needs for climate change information for water resources planning   Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, P. Mote, and D. P. Lettenmaier
	5:30 PM, Wednesday Sessions End for the Day
	6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday Reception (Cash Bar)
	7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 13 February 2003
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday Joint Session 2 Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International, Billerica, MA
8:30 AM J2.1 Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts   Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 8:45 AM J2.2 Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market   Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher 9:00 AM J2.3 National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data   Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC 9:15 AM J2.4 The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts   Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY 9:30 AM J2.5 What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?   Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO
	9:00 AM, Thursday Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
	9:45 AM, Thursday Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday Session 8 Drought Impacts, Preparedness and Mitigation
Organizer: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
11:00 AM 8.1 Improved NWS Climate Products and Services in Response to Customer Feedback   Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler, R. E. Livezey, and D. Lecomte 11:15 AM 8.2 Managing Droughts in the Future: the Impacts of Climate Change on Municipal Water Supplies   Richard N. Palmer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. A. Hahn 11:30 AM 8.3 Midwestern Drought   Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL 11:45 AM 8.4 Using dendrohydrologic data in Colorado water resource planning and management   Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and J. J. Lukas 12:00 PM 8.5 Water banking as institutional adaptation to climate variability: the Colorado experiment   John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 12:15 PM Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday Session 9 Impacts Related to Global Climate Change - What do we know, and how can we best hedge our bets?
Organizer: Daniel R. Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography/USGS, La Jolla, CA
1:30 PM 9.1 The Climate of 2002 in Historical Perspective   Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, K. Gleason, and A. Waple 1:45 PM 9.2 Response of U.S. water resources to HadCM2 projections of climate change and consequences for agriculture   N. J. Rosenberg, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD; and R. C. Izaurralde, R. A. Brown, and A. M. Thomson 9.3 Hydro-QuÉbec coping with Climate Change anticipated effects   René Roy, Hydro-Québec, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Desrochers and V. T. Van Nguyen 2:00 PM 9.4 Using Clustered Climate Regimes for Understanding Water Cycle Variability   Forrest M. Hoffman, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. W. Hargrove, D. J. Erickson III, and R. Oglesby 2:15 PM 9.5 High and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios for the Missouri River basin: water yield responses   Mark C. Stone, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. H. Hotchkiss and L. O. Mearns 2:30 PM 9.6 Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the Pacific Island Water Resources: Challenges and Opportunities   Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI 2:45 PM 9.7 Changes in snowmelt runoff over Western North America over the last 5 decades   Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego /U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA; and M. Dettinger, I. Stewart, and N. Knowles 3:00 PM 9.8 Vulnerability of water resources in eastern Mediterranean ecosystems due to climate change—An integrated approach to sustainable management   Pinhas Alpert, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel; and D. Silverman
	2:15 PM, Thursday Conference Ends
	5:30 PM, Thursday Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
	6:00 PM, Thursday Simpsons Banquet
	8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific

Browse the complete program of The 83rd Annual