Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 8 February 2003
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-5:00 PM, Saturday
Conference Registration* (Joint between the 19th Conference on IIPS, the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges, the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, the 17TH Conference on Hydrology, the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere, the 12th Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, the 12th Symposium on Education, the 12th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, the 7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle, the 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds, the 3rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to the Environmental Science, and the Symposium on the F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment)
Sunday, 9 February 2003
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
Monday, 10 February 2003
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)
9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 Perspectives on Impacts and Response Options in North America
9:00 AM1.1Keynote Address  
Robert M. Hirsch, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA
9:30 AM1.2Planning and Managing for Increased Water Supply Variability in Urban Southern California  
Timothy H. Quinn, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, Sacramento, CA
9:45 AM1.3The California Water Delivery System: Impacts of Climate Variability  extended abstract
Douglas Osugi, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA
10:00 AM1.4Moving to a New National Drought Policy Emphasizing Preparedness Rather than Response  
Shaun McGrath, Western Governors' Association, Denver, CO
10:15 AMCoffee Break  
10:45 AM1.5The Uneasy Relationship between Science and Law: Protecting Endangered Species  
Denise Fort, University of New Mexico, School of Law, Albuquerque, NM
11:00 AM1.6Critical hydrometeorological needs and integrated, multi-disciplinary DSS for water resource managers in the Bureau of Reclamation  extended abstract
Dave Matthews, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. Frevert
11:15 AM1.7Types of Data Needed to Identify and Evaluate Potential Impact of Climate Change on PG&E's Hydropower Operations  extended abstract
Gary J. Freeman, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, San Francisco, CA
11:30 AM1.8Hydrologic Information Needs for Emergency Management  
Kevin G. Stewart, National Hydrologic Warning Council, Denver, CO
1.9Primary Issues Facing Flood Plain/Watershed Managers  
Joseph Hoffman, Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin, Rockville, MD
11:45 AMLunch Break  
10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
1:30 PM, Monday
Panel Discussion 1 Panel Discussion—Impacts on Multiple Sectors and Cross Cutting Issues
2:30 PM, Monday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday
Session 2 Drought 2002—Impacts, Lessons, Management and Policy Innovations
Organizer: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
4:00 PM2.1The 2002 Drought in the United States:Lessons Learned and Future Challenges  
Donald A. Wilhite, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE
4:30 PM2.2The North American Drought Monitoring Initiative  
Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, and K. Gleason
5:00 PM2.3The Perfect Ocean for Drought  
Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Kumar
5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions End for the Day
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 11 February 2003
8:30 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday
Joint Session 4 Flood Hydrology, Management, and Information Systems: Near and Real-Time Management, Impacts, Forecasting, and Communication Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO
8:30 AMJ4.1Assessing the Needs of Users warm season of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in Colorado  extended abstract
Rebecca Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:45 AMJ4.2From Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) to Nowcasts for extreme precipitation events  extended abstract
Roderick A. Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Kuligowski and C. Davenport
9:00 AMJ4.3Short-term radar nowcasting for hydrologic applications over the Arkansas-Red River basin  extended abstract
Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti
9:15 AMJ4.4Quantitative flood forecasts based on short-term radar nowcasting  extended abstract
Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti
9:30 AMJ4.5An Early Alert System for Flooding in the MIiddle Atlantic River Forecast Domain  extended abstract
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and D. J. Ondrejik, P. G. Knight, and J. M. Brolley
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AMJ4.6Understanding the Mesoscale Processes of Flash Floods: Impacts on Prediction and Response  extended abstract
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
11:15 AMJ4.7Some practical applications of Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction  extended abstract
Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA
11:30 AMJ4.8Very high resolution precipitation forecasting on low cost high performance computer systems in support of hydrological modeling  extended abstract
Daniel Soderman, FORECA Ltd, Helsinki, Finland; and F. Meneguzzo, B. Gozzini, D. Grifoni, G. Messeri, M. Rossi, S. Montagnani, M. Pasqui, A. Orlandi, A. Ortolani, E. Todini, G. Menduni, and V. Levizzani
11:45 AMJ4.9A Distributed Model for Flood Forecasting in the Arno River Basin (Italy)  
Enrica Caporali, Università di Firenze, Firenze, Italy; and V. Tartaglia
12:00 PMJ4.10Operational rainfall and flow forecasting for the Panama Canal Watershed  extended abstract
Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and J. A. Sperfslage
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Joint Poster Session 3 Flood Hydrology Management and Information Systems Posters (JOINT WITH THE SYMP ON IMPACTS OF WATER VARIABILITY: BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES and the 17th Conference on Hydrology) (Joint between the 17TH Conference on Hydrology and the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges)
Organizer: Richard A. Fulton, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
 JP3.1Statistical methods for nowcasting thunderstorm rainfall  extended abstract
Neil I. Fox, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and C. K. Wikle and B. Xu
 JP3.2Improving precipitation and streamflow forecasts for Amite River basin in Louisiana  
Ashutosh S. Limaye, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and W. L. Crosson, J. F. Cruise, and K. Stellman
 JP3.3A test of two distributed hydrologic models with WSR-88D radar precipitation data input  extended abstract
Steven Hunter, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. Jorgesen, S. Meyer, and B. Vieux
 JP3.4Finding factors for fatal flash floods in Missouri  extended abstract
Elizabeth A. McCoy, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. I. Fox
 JP3.5Quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) skill for selected tropical cyclone forecast models during Hurricane Irene (1999)  extended abstract
David A. Robertson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans
 JP3.6Problems of flood hydrology in a transboundary river basin  
Rita Pongracz, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, G. Balint, I. Bogardi, and A. Bardossy
 JP3.7Short-range Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts for NWS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services (AHPS): Parameter Estimation Issues  extended abstract
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, E. Welles, and L. Wu
 JP3.8Retrospective Verification of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (esp): A Case Study  extended abstract
Shuzheng Cong, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake and E. Welles
Suseela Redddy Remata, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and M. V. Vatti, P. Chigbu, and P. Croft
 JP3.10Why customize Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction watersheds?  extended abstract
Ami T. Arthur, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. S. Davis and P. Jendrowski
 JP3.11Using radar data with the WATERFLOOD hydrological model to estimate streamflow  extended abstract
Allyson K. Bingeman, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and N. Kouwen and I. Zawadzki
 JP3.12Precipitation induced isotopic variations in stream flow  extended abstract
Madhav V. Machavaram, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and K. E. Bashford, M. E. Conrad, and N. L. Miller
 JP3.13A modelling-based methodology for determining extreme precipitation potential at high elevations in Colorado  extended abstract
William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. L. McAnelly and C. T. Ashby
 JP3.14A retrospective assessment of seasonal hydrologic forecast skill in the western U.S  
Andrew W. Wood, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Zhu, A. F. Hamlet, and D. P. Lettenmaier
 JP3.15Analysis of new remote sensing and ancillary inputs to land surface water and energy balance modeling  
David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Gottschalck, P. R. Houser, B. Cosgrove, J. Entin, and A. Wilhelm
 JP3.16Calibration of PQPF forecasts based on the NCEP global ensemble  
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth
 JP3.17Information and Products Derived From Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts  extended abstract
Mary Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. DeWeese, E. Welles, and J. Schaake
 JP3.18Development of a Large-Scale Hydrologic Prediction System  extended abstract
Ji Chen, Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and J. Roads
 JP3.19Evaluation of skill and error characteristics for alternative seasonal streamflow forecast methods  
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier
 JP3.20Hydroclimatic Information for Water Resources Management in the Western U.S.: Integrated monitoring and diagnostics tools  
Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. Morin
 JP3.21Impact of water variability on chemical river water quality in Central Asia  
Vladimir B. Aizen, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and E. M. Aizen and M. G. Glazirina
 JP3.22Empirical Probability Models to Predict Puerto Rico Monthly Rainfall Process  extended abstract
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and K. -. M. Lau, A. Winter, J. M. Castro, and N. R. Escalante
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Joint Session 5 Flood Hydrology, Management, Information Systems: Longer-Term Planning, Management, Impacts, and Forecasting Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Organizer: Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWSFO, Moon Township, PA
1:30 PMJ5.1Tropical Cyclone Floods in Florida: Geographical Influences and Community Preparedness  
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL
1:45 PMJ5.2Problems of climate variability and uncertainty in flood hazard planning for the Colorado Front Range  extended abstract
Mary W. Downton, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Cullen, R. Morss, O. Wilhelmi, and B. Rajagopalan
2:00 PMJ5.3National Weather Service Hydrologic Science and Development: Coupling the Atmosphere to the Oceans  extended abstract
Gary Carter, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and G. F. Smith
2:15 PMJ5.4Enhanced flood forecasting and real-time inundation mapping in the Tar River Basin, North Carolina, USA  
Douglas C. Marcy, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, SC; and G. Austin, J. Feldt, and S. Harned
2:30 PMJ5.5Short Term Ensemble River Stage Forecasts: Application  extended abstract
Xiaobiao Fan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, L. Wu, E. Welles, J. Ostrowski, N. Pryor, and J. Schaake
2:45 PMJ5.6The role of a prominent rain shadow on flooding in California's coastal mountains: A CALJET case study and sensitivity to the ENSO cycle  
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, D. E. Kingsmill, E. D. Andrews, and R. C. Antweiler
3:00 PMCoffee Break in exhibit hall (exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PMJ5.7Toward a Science Infusion Strategy for NWS Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)  extended abstract
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Z. Toth, D. Reynolds, M. Antolik, J. Maloney, J. Du, B. Zhou, M. Halpert, R. Martin, P. Dallavalle, E. Danaher, and K. Lynott
3:45 PMJ5.8Distributed model flow sensitivities to input and parametric uncertainty: Case studies for three watersheds in the Central U.S  extended abstract
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos and J. A. Sperfslage
4:00 PMJ5.9Hydrological Forecasting using Distributed Models in the Great Lakes Basin  
Alain C. Pietroniro, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and H. Goertz, P. Pilon, H. Ritchie, P. Campbell, R. P. Ford, and N. Kouwen
4:15 PMJ5.10Chimera watersheds to understand the relative importance of rainfall distribution in semi-distributed rainfall-runoff models  extended abstract
Vazken Andréassian, Cemagref, Antony, France; and A. Oddos, C. Michel, and C. Perrin
4:30 PMJ5.11Optimization of a macroscale hydrological model for flood forecasting in the Odra watershed  extended abstract
Joachim Geyer, GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Klein and H. T. Mengelkamp
4:45 PMJ5.12Potential benefits of long-lead hydrologic predictability on Missouri River main-stem reservoirs  
Edwin P. Maurer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier
5:00 PMJ5.13Applying high resolution land surface data, modeling and assimilation techniques to water supply and demand forecasts  extended abstract
Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and T. Pruitt, S. M. Hunter, D. A. Matthews, W. Sharp, K. R. Arsenault, and P. R. Houser
5:15 PMJ5.14Simulation of Possible future effects of greenhouse warming on Great Lakes water supply using a regional climate model  extended abstract
Brent M. Lofgren, NOAA/ERL/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI
1:30 PM-4:45 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Global Perspectives on Impacts
Organizer: Heidi Cullen, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM5.0aChallenges and Opportunities in Water Resource Management—The Role of the World Meteorological Organization"  
G. O. P. Obasi, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
5.1International Dialogue on Water and Climate: Learning to better cope with climate variability and change  
Richard Connor, International Secretariat of the Dialogue on Water and Climate, Delft, Netherlands
2:30 PM5.2Paper has been moved, new paper number 5.10  
2:31 PM5.3Impacts of the protracted drought in central and southwest Asia  
Bradfield Lyon, IRI for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and H. Cullen and M. Barlow
2:46 PMCoffee Break  
5.4Low-frequency precipitation and river flow variability in Cuenca del Plata  extended abstract
J.-P. Boulanger, LODYC, CNRS, Paris, France; and F. Lafon, A. Lazar, C. Menkes, O. Penalba, M. Rusticucci, and W. Vargas
3:16 PM5.5ENSO Impacts on the Flow of the Caroní River, Venezuela  
Pedro Cárdenas, EDELCA Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela; and A. Gil, E. Colon, and O. Garcia
5.6A methodology for the prediction of environmentally mediated stress: impacts of a changing hydrological cycle  
John R Siddorn, The Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. Harrison
3:30 PM5.7Climate Variability and Water Resources: A study in the Paraiba Valley, Brazil  extended abstract
Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and S. J. Simoes and D. A. Raff
3:45 PM5.8Quantifying precipitation reduction due to air pollution downwind of major urban areas  extended abstract
Amir Givati, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld
4:00 PM5.9The Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Agriculture: An Econometric Analysis  
Wolfram Schlenker, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and W. M. Hanemann and A. C. Fisher
4:15 PM5.10Climate and Rural Poverty (Formerly paper 5.2)  extended abstract
Alan Basist, NOAA/NWS/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. Williams, F. Kogan, R. Mendelsohn, P. Kurukulasuriya, A. Dinar, and R. C. Reddy
5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC
5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions End for the Day
Wednesday, 12 February 2003
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
Session 6 Water Management Issues - Role of Information
Organizer: Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA
8:30 AM6.1The benefit of long lead-time hydrologic forecasts during drought in the Ohio River Valley  
Thomas E. Adams III, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, OH
8:45 AM6.2The role of climate in modern water planning and related decisions: Nebraska case study  extended abstract
Donna L. Woudenberg, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and K. G. Hubbard, R. D. Kuzelka, and S. J. Meyer
9:00 AM6.3Water Distribution Options in Industrial Nations: A sustainability assessment  
Christine Anne Smith, School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
9:15 AM6.4Water Variability: Challenges Where the Rubber Hits the Road  extended abstract
Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA; and T. Dean, K. Schilling, and J. Shull
9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade
10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday
Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology
12:00 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break
1:30 PM, Wednesday
Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday
Session 7 Regional Integrated Assessments
Organizer: Harvey Hill, NOAA Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM7.1Reducing vulnerability to hydro-climatic variability through integrated assessment in the southwestern U.S  
R.C. Bales, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and D. M. Liverman
1:45 PM7.2Climate Information and Water Resource Management: Two Initiatives in the Southwest  extended abstract
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Morehouse
2:00 PM7.3Helping Water Resource Managers Understand Hydroclimatic Variability and Forecasts  
Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. C. Pagano, K. Franz, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales
2:15 PM7.4The CIRES-NOAA Western Water Assessment  
Martyn P. Clark, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Boulder, CO; and S. K. Avery and R. M. Dole
2:30 PM7.5Climate Assessment of the 1999–2002 drought in Colorado  
Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and R. Pielke, M. Hoerling, S. Jain, and N. Doesken
2:45 PM7.62002 Municipal Response to Drought in the Colorado Front Range  extended abstract
Douglas Kenney, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Klein, A. Morrison, and B. Gravell
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30-7:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PM7.7Rapid response to the 2002 drought in Colorado: an experiment in regional climate services  
Robert Stabler Webb, NOAA/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Ray, K. T. Redmond, R. S. Pulwarty, K. Wolter, C. A. Woodhouse, S. Avery, and R. M. Dole
3:45 PM7.8A user study approach for identifying needs for regional climate services  
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and R. S. Pulwarty
4:00 PM7.9Integrated Forecast and Reservoir Management—Lessons Learned  
Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center/SIO, San Diego, CA; and N. E. Graham and A. P. Georgakakos
4:15 PM7.10Incorporating hydroclimatic variability in reservoir management at Folsom Lake, California  extended abstract
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos, N. E. Graham, A. P. Georgakakos, and H. Yao
4:30 PM7.11Climate science issues and needs of the CALFED Bay-Delta Program  extended abstract
Michael Dettinger, US Geological Survey and SIO, La Jolla, CA; and W. Bennett, D. R. Cayan, J. Florsheim, M. Hughes, B. L. Ingram, A. Jassby, N. Knowles, F. Malamud-Roam, D. Peterson, K. Redmond, and L. Smith
4:45 PM7.12Application and Potential use of Climate Information in Water Resources Management in Florida  
Neeraj Vedwan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and F. Miralles-Wilhelm, K. Broad, D. Letson, G. Podesta, J. Jones, and J. J. O'Brien
5:00 PM7.13Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Water Planning Studies in the Pacific Northwest  
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. Mote
5:15 PM7.14Responding to stakeholders' needs for climate change information for water resources planning  
Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, P. Mote, and D. P. Lettenmaier
5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions End for the Day
6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 13 February 2003
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday
Joint Session 2 Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International, Billerica, MA
8:30 AMJ2.1Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts  
Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC
8:45 AMJ2.2Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market  
Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher
9:00 AMJ2.3National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data  
Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:15 AMJ2.4The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts  
Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY
9:30 AMJ2.5What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?  
Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO
9:00 AM, Thursday
Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
9:45 AM, Thursday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday
Session 8 Drought Impacts, Preparedness and Mitigation
Organizer: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
11:00 AM8.1Improved NWS Climate Products and Services in Response to Customer Feedback  extended abstract
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler, R. E. Livezey, and D. Lecomte
11:15 AM8.2Managing Droughts in the Future: the Impacts of Climate Change on Municipal Water Supplies  
Richard N. Palmer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. A. Hahn
11:30 AM8.3Midwestern Drought  extended abstract
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL
11:45 AM8.4Using dendrohydrologic data in Colorado water resource planning and management  
Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and J. J. Lukas
12:00 PM8.5Water banking as institutional adaptation to climate variability: the Colorado experiment  extended abstract
John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
12:15 PMLunch Break  
1:30 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Session 9 Impacts Related to Global Climate Change - What do we know, and how can we best hedge our bets?
Organizer: Daniel R. Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography/USGS, La Jolla, CA
1:30 PM9.1The Climate of 2002 in Historical Perspective  
Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, K. Gleason, and A. Waple
1:45 PM9.2Response of U.S. water resources to HadCM2 projections of climate change and consequences for agriculture  extended abstract
N. J. Rosenberg, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD; and R. C. Izaurralde, R. A. Brown, and A. M. Thomson
9.3Hydro-QuÉbec coping with Climate Change anticipated effects  extended abstract
René Roy, Hydro-Québec, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Desrochers and V. T. Van Nguyen
2:00 PM9.4Using Clustered Climate Regimes for Understanding Water Cycle Variability  extended abstract
Forrest M. Hoffman, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. W. Hargrove, D. J. Erickson III, and R. Oglesby
2:15 PM9.5High and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios for the Missouri River basin: water yield responses  
Mark C. Stone, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. H. Hotchkiss and L. O. Mearns
2:30 PM9.6Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the Pacific Island Water Resources: Challenges and Opportunities  extended abstract
Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI
2:45 PM9.7Changes in snowmelt runoff over Western North America over the last 5 decades  
Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego /U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA; and M. Dettinger, I. Stewart, and N. Knowles
3:00 PM9.8Vulnerability of water resources in eastern Mediterranean ecosystems due to climate change—An integrated approach to sustainable management  extended abstract
Pinhas Alpert, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel; and D. Silverman
2:15 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends
5:30 PM, Thursday
Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
6:00 PM, Thursday
Simpsons Banquet
8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday
Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific

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