* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 17 January 2010
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Annual Meeting Registration Begins
 
12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday
Weatherfest
 
3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, B314
First-Time Attendee Briefing
 
5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Sunday, B314
Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards
 
6:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Exhibit Hall B2
Fellows Reception
 
Monday, 18 January 2010
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Registration Open
 
9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 and 2
Presidential Forum
 
10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, B216
Joint Session 1 Mitigation and adaptation to climate change (Joint between the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, the Committee on Climate Services, the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, and the First Environment and Health Symposium)
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
11:00 AMJ1.1Regional climate modeling and decision aids  
Glenn Higgins, Northrop Grumann TASC, Chantilly, VA; and D. Apling, R. Alliss, and H. Kiley
11:15 AMJ1.2Bounded rationality in climate change policy development  
Amanda H. Lynch, Brown University, Providence, RI; and R. D. Brunner
11:30 AMJ1.5Climate Change Adaptation in Southwest Ecosystems  
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
11:45 AMJ1.3Seeing the world through a political lens: the connection between weather and climate change perceptions and beliefs  
Hank Jenkins-Smith, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, K. E. Klockow, M. Nowlin, and C. Silva
12:00 PMJ1.4Advancing Climate Adaptation in Wildlife Conservation  
Amanda Staudt, National Wildlife Federation, Reston, VA; and D. Inkley, P. Glick, B. Stein, N. Edelson, and J. Kostyack
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, B215
Session 1 Observed Seasonal to Interannual Variability: I Part 1
Chair: David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois, Champaign, IL
11:00 AM1.1Global Mass Circulation Prospective of Extratropical Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling: Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode Variability in Winter Season  
Chul-Su Shin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai
11:15 AM1.2Decomposition of synoptic eddy structure and its induced dynamical feedback onto NAO  
Hong-Li Ren, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and F. F. Jin
11:30 AM1.3The significance of equatorial westerlies  
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and H. R. Chang
11:45 AM1.4Intraseasonal variations in tropical deep convection, tropospheric mean temperature and cloud-induced radiative fluxes  
Holly S. Ramey, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and F. R. Robertson
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, B215
Session 2A Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States Part I
Chair: Peter Schultz, U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Washington, DC
1:30 PM2A.1Introduction to the Report  
Thomas R. Karl and SOK FAC Author Team, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
1:45 PM2A.2Projections and uncertainty in the US climate change impacts report  
Michael F. Wehner, LBNL, Berkeley, CA
2:00 PM2A.3Ecosystems Impacts  
Anthony Janetos, Univ of Maryland, College Park, MD
2:15 PM2A.4Key national impacts  extended abstract
Thomas C. Peterson and SOK FAC Author Team, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, B216
Session 2B Observed Seasonal to Interannual Variability: I Part 2
Chair: David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois, Champaign, IL
1:30 PM2B.1Meteorological impact on MODIS observed boreal fire counts: the role of lightning  
David A. Peterson, University of Nebaska, Lincoln, NE; and J. Wang, C. Ichoku, and L. A. Remer
1:45 PM2B.2Daily temperature variability patterns during ENSO and NAO events in United States winters  
Melissa Malin, Northland College, Ashland, WI
2:00 PM2B.3Spatial patterns of rainfall variability over western equatorial Africa  
Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson
2:15 PM2B.4Initial investigation of observed stable-season Great Lakes sensible heat fluxes and cyclone evolution  
Rebecca A. Smith, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. R. Kristovich
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Poster Session Observed and Projected Climate Change
 5630-year vegetation trend analysis: Global and Regional  
Felix Kogan, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
 57The Impact of deforestation on the regional climate of Maya lowlands of Guatemala  
Vani Starry Manoharan, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. M. Welch and R. O. Lawton
 58Modeling and measurements of the ABL in Sofia, Bulgaria  extended abstract
Ekaterina Batchvarova, National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Sofia, Bulgaria; and E. Pisoni and G. Finzi
 P1.4 has been moved new paper number 10.1A  
 60Sensitivity of planetary boundary layer to varying volumetric soil moisture  
Astrid Suarez-Gonzalez, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and A. I. Quintanar, R. Mahmood, A. Beltran-Przekurat, and R. A. Pielke Sr.
 61Relation between the physical processes and spectral nudging in simulating regional climate  extended abstract
Yoo-Bin Yhang, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong
 62RAMS modeled differences between 1970 and 2005 summer daytime temperatures and winds in Coastal California  
B. Lebassi, Santa Clara Univ., Santa Clara, CA; and J. E. González and R. Bornstein
 63Climate change illustrated by data from three Indian Ocean islands in the French Southern and Antarctic Territories: New Amsterdam, Kerguelen, and Crozet  extended abstract
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Cornall-Reilly, P. McBride, and J. Dahni
 64Southeast US Extreme Precipitation Events Footprint in Inter-Annual Variability  extended abstract
Steven C. Chan, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and V. Misra
 65Evaluation of long-term trends in spring onset in the Northern Europe using Singular Spectral Analysis  extended abstract
M.J. Esteban-Parra, University of Granada, Granada, Spain; and S. R. Gamiz-Fortis, D. Argüeso, J. M. Hidalgo-Muñoz, D. Calandria-Hernandez, and Y. Castro-Diez
 66Characterizing Multi-Decadal Temperature Variability in the Southeastern United States  
Marcus D. Williams, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Griffin, M. A. Bourassa, and D. F. Zierden
 67Interannual variations and climate change projections of upper tropospheric water vapor in different tropical ocean basins  
Huiwen Chuang, Univerisity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and H. Su, X. Huang, J. Jiang, and W. Read
 68Analysis of characteristic patterns in CMIP3 precipitation and temperature projections over the Greater Horn of Africa  extended abstract
R. Anyah, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and V. O. Otieno and W. Qiu
 69Alternative normals, version 1.0  extended abstract
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. S. Vose
 70Effects of tropical cyclone damage on the climate of the U.S. Gulf Coast  
Laura E. Becker, University of Georgia, Athens, GA
 71GPS Precipitable Water Observations of Atmospheric River Events  
James D. Means, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. R. Cayan
 72Investigating tree-ring isotopes and trace elements in larch to determine links with climate in Southern Siberia  
A. A. Knorre, Institute of Forest, Russian Academy of Sciences SB, Krasnoyarsk, Russia; and A. V. Kirdyanov, M. Saurer, R. T. Siegwolf, M. V. Bryukhanova, A. M. Grachev, E. P. Chebykin, E. L. Goldberg, I. P. Panyushkina, S. W. Leavitt, and E. A. Vaganov
 73Decrease in the summer rainfall of the southern United States coast and the Caribbean due to climate change  extended abstract
Roque Vinicio Céspedes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Hialeah, FL; and G. J. Holland, L. O. Mearns, and B. J. Soden
 74Future changes of cool northeasterly winds bringing unusual Northwest Pacific summer in CMIP3 multi-model experiments  
Hirokazu Endo, MRI/Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 75A climatological analysis of antecedent drought and spring tornadic activity  
Theresa Anderson, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. M. Shepherd
 76Meso-&beta scale precipitation systems evolved at Tsushima Straits during late Baiu season in 2009  extended abstract
Hirohisa Mizuno, Kumamoto Univ., Kumamoto, Japan; and K. Tanaka
 77Have the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks been strengthening after 1979?  
Yanjuan Guo, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and E. K. M. Chang
 78Impact of LCLU changes in coastal tropical regions under conditions of global climate change  
Jorge E. González, City College of New York, New York, NY; and D. E. Comarazamy
 79The long-term climatology of Mid-Mississippi Valley dewpoints and the implications for regional climate  extended abstract
Nicholas B. Smith, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and P. Guinan, M. D. Chesser, and A. R. Lupo
 80Contribution of changes in the leading climate variability modes to long-term trends in the diurnal temperature range during the Northern Hemisphere wintertime and its implication on the detection of regional climate trends  
Qigang Wu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 81Evaluation of simulated climate trends of the Carpathian basin using PRECIS outputs for 2071-2100  extended abstract
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz and I. Pieczka
 82Implications of complex upper air station histories on approaches to adjust archived radiosonde data for instrument discontinuities  extended abstract
Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
 83An Empirical Model and Evidence for Studies in Global Change  
R. Suseela Reddy Jr., Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and F. Tuluri, H. Natarajan, V. Shankar, D. Lu, and Q. L. Williams
 84California rainfall is becoming greater, with heavier storms  extended abstract
Daniel Killam, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Bui, W. C. Patzert, J. K. Willis, S. LaDochy, and P. Ramirez
 85Anomalous temperature regimes during the cool season  
Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
 86Dependence of ozone lamina characteristics on the distance from the polar vortex edge—possible relation to climate change  extended abstract
Peter Krizan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and M. Kozubek
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, B214
Joint Session 2 Education Initiatives on Climate Variability and Global Climate Change (Joint between the 19th Symposium on Education and the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA, Boulder, CO; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
4:00 PMJ2.1Satellites, weather and climate (SWAC): Remote sensing meets the atmospheric sciences to enhance climate literacy  
Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT
4:15 PMJ2.2Climate Variability: Learning by Experience  
Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and H. Reges, R. Cifelli, J. Turner, and Z. Schwalbe
4:30 PMJ2.3AMS Climate Studies: Using real-world datasets in promoting climate science literacy  
James A. Brey, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC; and I. W. Geer, J. M. Moran, R. S. Weinbeck, E. W. Mills, B. A. Blair, E. J. Hopkins, T. P. Kiley Jr., and E. E. Ruwe
4:45 PMJ2.4Public participation in climate science research: Plant phenology, climate change, and Project BudBurst  
Sandra Henderson, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Meymaris, P. Alaback, K. Havens, and J. Schwarz
5:00 PMJ2.5Using video to support targeted behaviors on climate change  
Joseph Cone, Oregon Sea Grant, Corvallis, OR
5:15 PMJ2.6Participating the climate change in school: an Italian case study  extended abstract
Valentina Grasso, Italian National Research Council, Institute of Biometeorology, Florence, Italy; and F. Manzoli, F. Conti, F. Zabini, and T. Ercoli
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, B216
Joint Session 9 Predictability, Prediction and Impact of Drought: I (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology)
Cochairs: Ning Zeng, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD
4:00 PMJ9.1An assessment of the potential predictability of drought over the United States based on climate model simulations with specified SST  
Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, M. Suarez, and R. Koster
4:15 PMJ9.2Interdecadal Modulation of the Impact of ENSO on Drought over the United States  
Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. K. E. Schemm
4:30 PMJ9.3Intensified drought over tropical South America, their causes and link to decadal climate variability and global climate change  
Rong Fu, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and W. Li, K. D. Fernandes, and P. Arias
4:45 PMJ9.4Assessing sources of skill in forecasts of meteorological drought on seasonal to interannual time scales  
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and M. A. Bell
5:00 PMJ9.5Recent Developments in Operational Long-Range Prediction at CPC  
E. A. O'Lenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. A. Unger
5:15 PMJ9.6Future Water Availability in a Warming World  
Jennifer Alltop Aminzade, Columbia University, New York, NY; and D. H. Rind
 
4:00 PM-5:00 PM, Monday, B215
Session 3 Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States Part II
Chair: Peter Schultz, U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Washington, DC
4:00 PM3.1U.S. regional climate change impacts  
Donald J. Wuebbles, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL
4:30 PM3.2Global climate change impacts in the United States: Adaptation  
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. FAC Author Team
4:45 PM3.3An Agenda for Climate Impacts Science  
Jack A. Kaye, NASA, Science Mission Directorate, Washington, DC; and T. FAC Author Team
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B1
Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception
 
Tuesday, 19 January 2010
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, B215
Session 4A Seasonal to Interannual Prediction Part I
Chair: Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon United Kingdom
8:30 AM4A.1El Nino without Southern Oscillation: A New View of Tropical Pacific Warming  
Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California, Irvine, CA
8:45 AM4A.2Representation of MJO variability in the NCEP Climate Forecast System  
Scott Weaver, NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang and A. Kumar
9:00 AM4A.3Variations in the tropical planetary boundary layer  
Aaron Paget, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT; and K. Campbell and P. Ruscher
9:15 AM4A.4Tropical Pacific - North Pacific teleconnection in a coupled GCM  
Annalisa Cherchi, Centro EuroMediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici/Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy; and S. Masina and A. Navarra
9:30 AM4A.5Recent slowing of global warming and real-time forecasts for the year ahead, 2000–2010  
Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and A. Colman
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, B216
Session 4B Tropical Cyclones: Past, Present and Future Part I
Chair: Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC
8:30 AM4B.1How intense were they? - A sampling study on how recent Category 5 hurricanes would be depicted in the historical record  
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. Carrasco and A. B. Hagen
8:45 AM4B.2The Impact of SST Boundary Condition on Tropical Cyclone Track, Intensity, and Structure  
Henry R. Winterbottom, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. Chassignet
9:00 AM4B.3Modeling Future Changes in Atlantic Hurricane Activity  
Steven M. Quiring, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. D. Guikema, R. Nateghi, and A. B. Schumacher
9:15 AM4B.4AIRS impact on precipitation analysis and forecast of Tropical Cyclone Nargis in a global data assimilation and forecast system  
Yaping Zhou, Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau and O. Reale
9:30 AM4B.5Quantifying inter-agency differences in tropical cyclone best track wind speed estimates  extended abstract
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Poster Session Seasonal to Interannual Variability: Observations and Predictions
 87Recent flash flood events in the Upper Midwest: Causes and common characteristics  
Thomas B. Williams, Western Illinois University, Macomb, IL
 88Statistics of multi-season precipitation deficits across the contiguous United States  
David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and D. Kann
 89Global monitoring of tropical cyclones with a dual-frequency scatterometer  
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb
 90Change in relationship between western North Pacific tropical cyclone frequency and the tropical Pacific SST  extended abstract
Sang-Wook Yeh, Korea Ocean Research & Development Institute, Ansan, South Korea; and S. K. Kang, B. P. Kirtman, and C. H. Kim
 91National Unified Operational Prediction Capability: Progress and National Research Intiatives  extended abstract
Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS, Silver Springs, MD; and D. McCarren and S. A. Sandgathe
 92Nino3.4 warming trend and extreme rainfall events with flood and drought years over India  
Umesh Kumar Singh, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and P. P. Sarthi and P. S. Salvekar
 93Harvesting Model Uncertainty for the Simulation of Interannual Variations  
Vasubandhu Misra, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 94Revitalization of Namias' Climatological Isentropic Analysis  
Randall S. Cerveny, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and K. DeBiasse, M. B. Pace, A. W. Ellis, and R. C. Balling
 95Intraseasonal variability of the cool-season North American coastal cyclonic activity  extended abstract
Yi Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and T. Jiang
 96Atmospheric and oceanic forcing of the eddy kinetic energy in the Labrador Sea  
Hao Luo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. Bracco and Y. Zhong
 97Revisit: Impacts of ENSO on United States tornadic activity  
Precious Lewis, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien, M. Griffin, and P. W. Leftwich Jr.
 98Relationship between reductions of summer precipitation in North China and atmospheric circulation anomalies  
Hao Li-sheng Sr., Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Shijiazhuang, China; and D. Yi-hui Sr.
99Variability of the Amazon climate and links to changes in weather patterns  
Katia D. Fernandes, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; and R. Fu
 100Modelling the spring Douro river flow using SST  extended abstract
S.R. Gámiz-Fortis, University of Granada, Granada, Spain; and M. J. Esteban-Parra, D. Argüeso, J. M. Hidalgo-Múñoz, D. Calandria-Hernández, and Y. Castro-Díez
 101Modeling southwest Florida tornadoes  extended abstract
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin, FL; and C. N. Carlisle, J. M. Collins, and A. N. Williams
 102Validation and development of existing and new RAOB-based warm-season convective wind forecasting tools for Cape Canaveral Air Force Station and Kennedy Space Center  extended abstract
Mitchell H. McCue, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer, T. R. Boucher, and W. P. Roeder
 103Evaluation of WSR-88D methods to predict warm-season convective wind events at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station and Kennedy Space Center  extended abstract
James J. Rennie, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer, T. R. Boucher, and W. P. Roeder
 104Regional variation of convective structure at monsoon onset across South America inferred from TRMM observations  
Richard Barnhill, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and T. M. Rickenbach, R. Nieto Ferreira, E. Wright, and S. W. Nesbitt
 105Effects of Cold Fronts on the onset of the South American Monsoon  extended abstract
Emily Wright, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Nieto Ferreira, T. M. Rickenbach, and R. Barnhill
 106The effects of altered vegetation on local climate change with respect to glaciers atop Mt. Kilimanjaro  
Sean Heuser, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. Semazzi
 Poster 107 moved to 14IOAS. New paper number 3.5  
 108Blending seperate probabilities of a joint event  
Albert R. Boehm, Retired, Huntsville, AL
 109Initial Results of Calibrating the Baron LIS-NOAH V2 Fully Distributed Hydrological Modeling System for the DMIP Elk River Basin  extended abstract
John McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, Raleigh, NC; and D. J. Gochis, D. N. Yates, and C. J. Coats Jr.
 110The Replication of ENSO-related anomalies over the United States by several AMIP Models  
Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Kumar, W. Wang, and B. Jha
111PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 112An examination of the spatial and temporal extent of the climate memory of tropical cyclones  extended abstract
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
 113Large-scale dynamical processes associated with summer intraseasonal variability over South America  
Paula L. M. Gonzalez, Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and C. Vera, B. Liebmann, and G. N. Kiladis
 114Effect of changes in GCM resolution on the connection between summertime precipitation, moisture flux, and the position of the Bermuda High  extended abstract
Laura J. Bell, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and R. B. Rood and D. J. Posselt
 115Estimates of the precision of GPS radio occultation bending angles in the neutral atmosphere from the COSMIC/ FORMOSAT-3 Mission  
William S. Schreiner, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Sokolovskiy, C. Rocken, and D. Hunt
 116Multi-model seasonal climate hindcast skill and predictability for the Southeast United States  
Lydia Stefanova, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL; and V. Misra, J. J. O'Brien, and E. Chassignet
 117Interannual variability and prediction of Northwest Australian tropical cyclones  
Kevin H. Goebbert, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and L. M. Leslie
 118Changes in spatial and temporal properties of Pacific warming  
Hye-Mi Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster
 119Future change in Southern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking simulated using a 20-km-mesh AGCM  
Mio Matsueda, Advanced Earth Science and Technology Organization/Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Endo and R. Mizuta
120Examining spring soil moisture-summer precipitation interactions over the U.S. Great Plains: Results from the coupled land-atmosphere model CAM3-CLM3  
Lei Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Quiring
 121An observational analysis of middle tropospheric stable layers over the tropical western Pacific ARM sites  
Bradley R. Charboneau, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and D. J. Posselt
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Exhibits Open
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, B215
Session 5A Seasonal to Interannual Prediction Part II
Chair: Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon United Kingdom
11:00 AM5A.1Multi-model (dynamical and statistical) high-resolution seasonal climate forecasting system: An application to the southeast US  
Young-Kwon Lim, COAPS, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and L. Stefanova, D. W. Shin, S. Cocke, S. Chan, V. Misra, G. A. Baigorria, J. J. O'Brien, and J. W. Jones
11:15 AM5A.2Towards rigorous mathematical approaches for forecast generation and uncertainty characterization using multi-model ensembles of climate  
Pierre Ngnepieba, Florida A&M University, Tallahassee, FL; and A. R. Ganguly
11:30 AM5A.3Extending operational probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra river flow to 15-day and monthly time scales  
Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster, T. M. Hopson, H. R. Chang, and C. D. Hoyos
11:45 AM5A.4The role of transient eddies in modulating the high southern latitude ENSO teleconnection during strong SAM events  
Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio University, Athens, OH; and D. H. Bromwich and K. M. Hines
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, B216
Session 5B Tropical Cyclones: Past, Present and Future Part II
Chair: Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC
11:00 AM5B.1Idealized tropical cyclones in atmospheric general circulation models: sensitivity to initial conditions and physics parameterizations  
Kevin A. Reed, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski
11:15 AM5B.2Probabilistic discrimination between large-scale environments of intensifying and decaying African Easterly Waves  
Paula A. Agudelo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, J. A. Curry, and P. J. Webster
11:30 AM5B.3Extreme rainstorms in advance of tropical cyclones  
Lance F. Bosart, SUNY/Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., J. M. Cordeira, and B. J. Moore
11:45 AM5B.4The North Atlantic subtropical high and tropical cyclone tracks  
Angela J. Colbert, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. J. Soden
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday, B208
Kuettner Symposium Luncheon
12:00 PMB1.1Joach Kuettner—A Man in Love with the Sky  
Einar Enevoldson, The Perlan Project, Emeryville, CA
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B216
Joint Session 10 Predictability, Prediction and Impact of Drought: II (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology)
Cochairs: Ning Zeng, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD
1:30 PMJ10.1Toward the next generation of seasonal drought outlooks  
Douglas M. Le Comte, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, MD; and E. O'Lenic and W. Higgins
1:45 PMJ10.2The physical mechanisms by which the leading patterns of SST variability impact U.S. precipitation  
Hailan Wang, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. D. Schubert, M. J. Suarez, and R. D. Koster
2:00 PMJ10.3Optimal Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Forcing of North American Drought  
Sang-Ik Shin, Univ. of Colorado and NOAA ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh
2:15 PMJ10.4ANCEP/NLDAS Seasonal Drought Prediction over the Continental US Using the Seasonal Forecast System Developed by Princeton University and University of Washington  
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, E. Wood, L. Luo, J. Sheffield, D. P. Lettenmaier, B. Livneh, and K. Mitchell
J10.4PAPER WITHDRAWN  
2:30 PMJ10.5Estimating oceanic precipitation during the 1930s “Dustbowl” and 1950s US droughts  
Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA
2:45 PMJ10.6The Pacific Ocean's influence on drought and wetness in the continental United States and the nation's breadbasket  extended abstract
Brad Rippey, USDA, Washington, DC
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B215
Session 6 Observed Climate Change: I
Chair: Michael Palecki, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
1:30 PM6.1On the reliability of the U.S. surface temperature record  
Claude N. Williams Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. J. Menne and M. Palecki
1:45 PM6.2Decadal changes in cloudiness over the Amazon forests: Observations and potential causes  
Paola Arias, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu, C. D. Hoyos, and W. Li
2:00 PM6.3Decreasing trends in surface-observed total cloud amount over China: another effect of anthropogenic aerosol loading?  
Dale Kaiser, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian
2:15 PM6.4Anticipated trends in atmospheric water vapor and the challenge of quantifying them  
David N. Whiteman, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and K. Vermeesch, R. Boers, L. Oman, and B. J. Soden
2:30 PM6.5A study of Arctic cloud data and Arctic cloud variability  
Neil P. Barton, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and D. E. Veron
2:45 PM6.6The dynamical signal in stratospheric temperatures from satellites, 1979–2005: Long term changes and the pole-tropics out-of-phase relationship  
Paul J. Young, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. Solomon, D. Thomps, S. Sherwood, and Q. Fu
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, B216
Joint Session 4 Research on extreme weather and climate events and inter-relationships (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the First Environment and Health Symposium, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, and the Committee on Climate Services)
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
3:30 PMJ4.1The relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the U.S  
Gerald Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Tebaldi, G. Walton, D. R. Easterling, and L. R. McDaniel
3:45 PMJ4.2A common Midwestern question: Where have all our 90°F days gone?  
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and V. A. Gensini and J. Prell
4:00 PMJ4.3Using large scale circulation indices to predict the intensity of cold air outbreaks over extended time scales across the southeastern U.S  
Charles E. Konrad, NOAA Southeastern Regional Climate Center, Chapel Hill, NC
4:15 PMJ4.4Heat waves and cold spells in a warming climate  
Karsten Steinhaeuser, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and A. R. Ganguly
4:30 PMJ4.6Extreme european weather regimes  
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Portugal; and B. J. Hoskins and M. Blackburn
4:45 PMJ4.7Meteorological features of observed trends in U.S. heavy precipitation events  
Kenneth E. Kunkel, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Easterling, B. E. Gleason, D. A. R. Kristovich, R. A. Smith, and L. Ensor
5:00 PMJ4.8Contemporary climatic changes in North America and Northern Eurasia with foci on extreme events and transitions through environmentally and socio-economically significant thresholds  
Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight and T. R. Karl
5:15 PMJ4.5Climatological, meteorological, and societal implications for the large number of fatalities from central Florida Dry Season tornadoes during El Niño  extended abstract
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and L. A. Jordan, A. L. Moses, S. M. Spratt, and D. F. Van Dyke III
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, B212
Joint Session 15 Hydrology Applications in a Non-Stationary Climate (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: David C. Bader, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Livermore, CA; James Noel, NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
3:30 PMJ15.1Water in a changing climate: implications for water resources design (Invited)  
Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ
4:00 PMJ15.2Climate and Extreme Events: A Hydrologic perspective (Invited)  
Soroosh Sorooshian, University of California, Irvine, CA; and X. Gao, K. L. Hsu, B. Imam, and J. Li
4:30 PMJ15.3Seasonal numerical forecasts of the Ganges and Brahmaputra river flow  
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. Jian, H. R. Chang, and T. M. Hopson
4:45 PMJ15.4Projecting Climate Change Impacts on Seasonal Water Supply Forecasting Error  
Levi D. Brekke, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. Garen, K. Werner, and D. Laurine
5:00 PMJ15.5A comparative study of model initialization for the Noah land surface model using LIS  
Roshan K. Shrestha, EMC, College Park, MD; and P. R. Houser
5:15 PMJ15.6Structure and Detectability of Trends in Hydrological Measures over the western United States  
Tapash Das, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and H. G. Hidalgo, M. D. Dettinger, D. R. Cayan, D. W. Pierce, C. Bonfils, T. P. Barnett, G. Bala, and A. Mirin
 
3:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday, B215
Session 7 Special session on long-term climate variability and change emphasizing paleoclimatic observations and modeling
Organizers: Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; David M. Anderson, National Climatic Data Center Paleoclimatology Branch, Boulder, CO
Chair: David M. Anderson, National Climatic Data Center Paleoclimatology Branch, Boulder, CO
3:30 PM7.1Global Signatures of the “Little Ice Age” and “Medieval Climate Anomaly” and Plausible Dynamical Origins  
Michael E. Mann, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
4:00 PM7.2Examining the forced response of past regional climate to guide selection of general circulation models for regional analyses  extended abstract
Eugene R. Wahl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and C. M. Ammann
4:15 PM7.3Proxy-model comparisons of North Atlantic sea surface conditions prior to the 8.2 ka event  
Kelsey Watkins, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and A. Wagner and C. Morrill
4:30 PM7.4Assessing model sensitivity to North Atlantic freshwater perturbations using past abrupt climate events  extended abstract
Carrie Morrill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Wagner, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, and N. Rosenbloom
4:45 PM7.5The climate of past interglacials: polar warmth and sea level rise  
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. Rosenbloom and E. Brady
5:00 PM7.6What simulations of past warm climates tell us about the future  
Jeffrey T. Kiehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO
5:15 PM7.7Transient Simulation of Last Deglaciation Climate Evolution with a New Mechanism for Bølling-Allerød Warming  
Zhengyu Liu, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and B. Otto-Bliesner, F. He, E. Brady, R. Tomas, P. U. Clark, A. E. Carlson, J. Lynch-Stieglitz, W. Curry, D. J. Erickson III, R. Jacob, J. E. Kutzbach, and J. Cheng
5:30 PM7.8Can oceanic meridional overturning circulation cause abrupt climate change  
Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl and W. Han
 
Wednesday, 20 January 2010
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B215
Joint Session 5 Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part I (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
8:30 AMJ5.1On the seamless prediction of weather and climate  
Timothy N. Palmer, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
8:45 AMJ5.2Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season  
Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and S. Benjamin
9:00 AMJ5.3Why does cloud superparameterization improve the simulated daily rainfall cycle in a multiscale climate modeling framework?  
Michael S. Pritchard, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville
9:15 AMJ5.4North Pacific decadal variability and climate change in the IPCC AR4 models  
Jason C. Furtado, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo
9:30 AMJ5.5Aquaplanet GCM simulations of tropical intraseasonal variability  
Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Hannah
9:45 AMJ5.6Factors affecting forecast skill of the MJO over the Maritime Continent  
Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC - SAIC, Camp Springs, MD
 
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B218
Joint Session 14 Earth Science Information Systems Part I (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 26th Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
Cochairs: Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Stephen M. Holt, Noblis, Inc., Falls Church, VA
8:30 AMJ14.1U.S. and global in situ datasets for the analysis of climate variability and change  extended abstract
Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Gleason, C. N. Williams Jr., M. J. Menne, and W. E. Angel
8:45 AMJ14.2On the use of a coastal mesonet to improve operations at an NWS forecast office  
James Titlow III, WeatherFlow Inc., Poquoson, VA; and M. Willis
9:00 AMJ14.3Multigraph: interactive data graphs on the web  extended abstract
Mark Phillips, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and D. Eldreth
9:15 AMJ14.4An Operational Tsunami Forecast Tool  
Donald W. Denbo, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. R. Osborne, C. K. Pells, and M. A. Traum
9:30 AMJ14.5Communicating recent changes in the Arctic environment  
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland, J. A. Richter-Menge, H. Eicken, and J. Calder
9:45 AMJ14.6A record of Washington D.C. dew point temperatures from the 1840s  
Paula J. Brown, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and A. T. DeGaetano
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B215
Joint Session 6 Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part II (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
10:30 AMJ6.1Quantifying Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification in a Coupled General Circulation Model  
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. Lu
10:45 AMJ6.2The development of a coupled hurricane storm surge forecasting Model for the Pascagoula River  
David A. Ramirez Jr., NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA
11:00 AMJ6.3Evaluation of the new Australian climate model ACCESS  
Ian G. Watterson, CAWCR, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia; and L. Rikus, B. Hu, and T. Elliott
11:15 AMJ6.4Mesoscale circulations in the urban-coastal environment: a modeling analysis and assessment of sensitivity to high-fidelity representation of the urban canopy  
Michael Carter, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and J. M. Shepherd, S. Burian, and I. Jeyachandran
11:30 AMJ6.5Ensemble downscaling of seasonal forecasts  
R. W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA
11:45 AMJ6.6The misrepresentation of Tropical SSTs in climate models  
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B218
Joint Session 7 Earth Science Information Systems Part II (Joint between the 26th Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology and the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Stephen M. Holt, Noblis, Inc., Falls Church, VA
10:30 AMJ7.1Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent during the satellite era  
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and T. W. Estilow
11:00 AMJ7.210 years of height-resolved cloud-track winds from the Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) instrument on the Terra satellite  
Michael J. Garay, Raytheon Corporation, Pasadena, CA; and K. Mueller, C. Moroney, V. Jovanovic, D. L. Wu, and D. J. Diner
 
11:00 AM-6:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, B215
Session 8A Climate Change Modeling Part I
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA
1:30 PM8A.1Climatic impacts of cloud whitening geoengineering simulated by GFDL CM2G  
Eowyn C. Connolly-Brown, NOAA ORAU/ORISE, Oak Ridge, TN
1:45 PM8A.2Fingerprints of the North American Great Lakes on simulated wintertime climate: beyond the regional impact  
Xianglei Huang, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and Y. Deng
2:00 PM8A.3Diagnosis of relative humidity changes in a warmer climate using tracers of last saturation  
Jonathon Wright, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel
2:15 PM8A.4Using the 1997–1998 El Nino as a test case for climate model response  
Gerald L. Potter, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt, R. B. Rood, A. Jongeward, M. J. Suarez, and M. M. Rienecker
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, B216
Session 8B Oceanic change such as ocean acidification, sea level rise, and ecosystem changes
Chair: David M. Anderson, National Climatic Data Center Paleoclimatology Branch, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM8B.1Response of the North Pacific decadal variability to multidecadal changes in the tropical sea surface temperature variability  
Lina I. Ceballos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo and A. Wittenberg
1:45 PM8B.2ENSO and the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation: an integrated view of Pacific decadal dynamics  
Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and N. Schneider, K. M. Cobb, J. C. Furtado, and M. A. Alexander
2:00 PM8B.3Sea Level and Chlorophyll-a Variability in the Kuroshio Extension from Altimeter and SeaWiFS  
Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Y. H. Kuo
2:15 PM8B.4A perspective on climate and marine biogeochemistry (ocean acidification) change from paleo proxy evidence  extended abstract
David M. Anderson, National Climatic Data Center Paleoclimatology Branch, Boulder, CO
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Poster Session Advances in Modeling
 400Predictability of prominent modes of North Pacific subsurface temperature in CCSM3  
Haiyan Teng, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Branstator
 401Atmospheric circulation trends in millenium-length climate simulations  
Jonathan J. Rutz, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and T. Reichler and J. Lu
402Atmospheric heating in the tropics: Past, present and future  
Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster
 403How Well Can a Climate Model Simulate the Response of Summer Rainfall in the Southeast United States to Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies?  
Wenhong Li, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Fu, H. Wang, P. Arias, and H. Wang
 404Analysis of simulated mean and extreme climate trends for the Eastern/Central European region based on RegCM outputs using A1B scenario  extended abstract
Rita Pongrácz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, G. Kovacs, and C. Torma
 405Potential changes of future dryness over Korea from a regional climate projection  
Eun-Soon Im, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy; and E. Coppola and F. Giorgi
 4064DVAR data assimilation and Adjoint-based sensitivity analysis in an eddy resolving ocean model of the Peruvian Current System  
Aneesh Subramanian, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. J. Miller, B. Cornuelle, and E. Di Lorenzo
 407Determination of lightning channel length distributions for lightning NOx production  
Harold Peterson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. J. Koshak
 408Quantifying the relationship between global circulation model behavior and dynamical cores using geospatial statistics  
Soner Yorgun, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and R. B. Rood
 409MM5 sensitivity to boundary conditions and domain configuration for climate studies over Southern Spain  
D. Argüeso, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain; and J. M. Hidalgo-Muñoz, D. Calandria-Hernández, S. R. Gámiz-Fortis, M. J. Esteban-Parra, and Y. Castro-Díez
 410Diagnosis of ENSO Variability in Coupled CAM/HYCOM Model  extended abstract
John-Paul Michael, FSU, Tallahassee, FL; and V. Misra, J. Yin, and E. Chassignet
 411Results from Assimilating AMSR-E Soil Moisture Estimates into a Land Surface Model using an Ensemble Kalman Filter in the Land Information System (LIS)  extended abstract
Clay B. Blankenship, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and W. L. Crosson, J. L. Case, and R. Hale
 412The Land Analysis for the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis  
Jesse Meng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. B. Ek, R. Yang, G. Gayno, and P. Xie
 413Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a multi-thousand member climate model ensemble  
Derek H. Rosendahl, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly
 414Capturing time series of stochastic forcing  
Cécile Penland, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO
 415The role of the balance between deep convection and shallow convection in the JMA High-Resolution Global NWP Model  
Takuya Komori, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan
 416The representation of cumulus convection in a 20-km-mesh global hydrostatic model  
Kengo Miyamoto, AESTO/JMA, Tokyo, Japan
 417An examination of atmospheric circulation in the NARCCAP regional models  
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. O. Mearns
 418Climatological trends in severe-thunderstorm occurrences from high-resolution WRF simulations  
Eric D. Robinson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and R. J. Trapp, M. E. Baldwin, and N. S. Diffenbaugh
 419Bridging the middle ground between medium range weather forecasting and seasonal climate outlooks: two-week day-to-day weather forecasts and monthly climate outlooks  extended abstract
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Cornall-Reilly and P. McBride
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, B215
Session 9A Climate Change Modeling Part II
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA
4:00 PM9A.1The role of Arctic clouds during intervals of rapid sea ice loss  
Stephen J. Vavrus, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. M. Holland and D. Bailey
4:15 PM9A.2Seasonality of polar warming amplification in climate simulations  
Jianhua Lu, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai
4:30 PM9A.3Accelerated Warming of the Southern Ocean and Its Impacts on the Hydrological Cycle and Sea Ice  
Jiping Liu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. Curry
4:45 PM9A.4The Atlantic interhemispheric thermal gradient in the 20th century—an asymmetric warming and its possible forcings  
Ching-Yee Chang, University Of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and J. C. H. Chiang and M. F. Wehner
5:00 PM9A.5Diagnosing projected storm track changes under global warming  
Xiaoming Xia, Stony Brook University, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and E. K. M. Chang
5:15 PM9A.6Recent long-term changes in Mediterranean water cycle: transition to drier 21st century conditions?  
Annarita Mariotti, ENEA, Rome, Italy
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, B216
Session 9B Observed Seasonal to Interannual Variability: II
Chair: Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
4:00 PM9B.1The climate of 2009 in historical perspective  extended abstract
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and A. Sánchez-Lugo, J. Crouch, R. R. Heim Jr., and C. Fenimore
4:15 PM9B.2Three-dimensional characterization of boreal spring-summer climate variability over West Africa  extended abstract
Isaac K. Tetteh, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi
4:30 PM9B.3Seasonal differences in tropical intraseasonal variability over South America from the NCEP reanalysis  
Fernando Hirata, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster
4:45 PM9B.4The influence of Indian Ocean convection on cold season Central-Southwest Asian precipitation extremes  
Andrew Hoell, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and M. Barlow
5:00 PM9B.5Interannual variations of surface radiation budget  extended abstract
Pamela E. Mlynczak, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and P. W. Stackhouse Jr.
5:15 PM9B.6Trends, Variability and Extremes of Summer Drought in the Midwest United States: the Role of Climate Variability and Snow Storage  
Vimal Mishra, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer
 
5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1-4
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 21 January 2010
7:30 AM-8:30 AM, Thursday, B208
Washington Symposium Breakfast
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, B216
Joint Session 8 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions Part I (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; Randy Koster, NASA/GSFC
8:30 AMJ8.1Identifying parameters to describe local land-atmosphere coupling  
M. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Suitland, MD; and C. Jacobs, J. A. Santanello Jr., and O. Tuinenburg
8:45 AMJ8.2Investigation of land surface process over the ARM SGP in 1997 summer using a single-column model  
Kyung-Hee Seol, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and M. Kanamitsu
9:00 AMJ8.3A Modeling and Observational Framework for Diagnosing Local Land-Atmosphere Coupling on Diurnal Time Scales  
Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. A. Santanello Jr., S. V. Kumar, C. Alonge, and W. K. Tao
9:15 AMJ8.4Idealized model for changes in equilibrium temperature, mixed layer depth and boundary layer cloud over land in a doubled CO2 climate  
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT
9:30 AMJ8.5Great Plains irrigation produces enhanced summer precipitation in the Midwest  
Anthony DeAngelis, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and Y. Fan, A. Robock, M. D. Kustu, and D. A. Robinson
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, B215
Session 10 Regional Modeling and Downscaling Part I
Chair: L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA
8:30 AM10.1Simulation of regional climate change under IPCC A2 scenario in southeast China  
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and W. Chen, L. Li, and P. Yiou
 10.1 Moved to IIPS program. New paper number 3B.4  
8:45 AM10.2Possible Impacts of Climate Change on Wind Gust under Downscaled Future Climate Conditions over Ontario, Canada  
Chad Shouquan Cheng, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and G. Li
9:00 AM10.3Hydroclimatic variability over the Greater Horn of Africa during the transition between the bimodal rainfall regimes  
Vincent Otieno, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and R. Anyah
9:15 AM10.4An assessment of nudging techniques for regional climate modeling: Multi-year NCEP-NCAR reanalysis driven simulations  
Jared Bowden, Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC; and T. L. Otte, J. A. Herwehe, and C. G. Nolte
9:30 AM10.5A comparison of techniques for statistically downscaling extreme precipitation over the Northeastern United States  
Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano
 
9:45 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Poster Session Surface-Atmosphere Interactions
 420Radar and Lightning Delineation of Urban-enhanced Thunderstorms for Atlanta, Georgia  extended abstract
Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and M. Bentley and T. Stallins
 421Sunspot activity and Atlantic tropical cyclones  extended abstract
Brian Hutton Jr., Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS
 422Numerical sensitivity study of the nocturnal low-level jet over a forest canopy and implications for nocturnal surface exchange of carbon dioxide and other trace gases  
Andrey Sogachev, Technical University of Denmark, Roskilde, Denmark; and M. Y. Leclerc, H. F. Duarte, D. J. Durden, N. Pingintha, and G. Zhang
 423Large-eddy simulations and sensor networks to study flow and heat transport in urban canopies  
Elie Bou-Zeid, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Overney, D. Nadeau, B. D. Rogers, W. Brutsaert, M. Vetterli, and M. B. Parlange
 424The dependency of latent heat flux on vapor pressure deficit in lowland evergreen forest in Cambodia  
Koji Tamai, Forestry & Forest Products Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 425Ensemble forecast spread induced by soil moisture changes  
Arturo I. Quintanar, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and R. Mahmood
 426Influence of synoptic weather events on wintertime evaporation and surface energy budget over an open water surface in Mississippi, U.S.A  
Heping Liu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and Y. Zhang
 427Stabilization of Atmospheric Boundary Layer and the Muted Global Hydrological Cycle Response to Global Warming  
Jianhua Lu, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai
 428Cloud base heights in Central African Tropical Montane Cloud Forests Biological Hotspots  
Ronald M. Welch, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and V. S. Manoharan, N. Laporte, M. Phillips, and S. Simpson
 429Influence of clearcut in a managed pine plantation on flow circulation  
Gengsheng Zhang, The University of Georgia, Griffin, GA; and M. Y. Leclerc, A. Karipot, and H. F. Duarte
 430Marine boundary layer structure during sea fog events off the west coast of the Korean Peninsula  
Chang Ki Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. S. Yum
 431Sea-surface temperature forcing on a simulated South Pacific Convergence Zone  
Matthew J. Widlansky, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos
 432Soil moisture retrieval in infrared remote sensing: a physically-based inversion algorithm  
Sungwook Hong, National Meteorological Satellite Center, Korean Meteorological Administration, Jincheon-gun, Chungbuk, South Korea
 433Soil moisture retrieval in passive microwave remote sensing: a physically based inversion algorithm  
Sungwook Hong, National Meteorological Satellite Center, Korean Meteorological Administration, Jincheon-gun, Chungbuk, South Korea; and I. Shin and M. L. Ou
 434Influence of urban land cover dynamics on pre-monsoonal precipitation in Kolkata, India  
Chandana Mitra, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. M. Shepherd
 435Increasing trends in precipitation and temperature related to forest restoration in the southern United States  extended abstract
Yongqiang Liu, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA
 436Analysis of air-sea interactions in the NASA MERRA product  
J. Brent Roberts, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and F. R. Robertson, C. A. Clayson, and M. G. Bosilovich
 437A global perspective of Southern Asian Monsoon annual mean precipitation variations in the Global Precipitation Climatology Project analyses (1979–2006)  
Arief Sudradjat, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Gruber, J. E. Janowiak, and R. R. Ferraro
 438AN INVESTIGATION OF THE VERTICAL PROFILE OF ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE OVER INDONESIA BASED ON THE FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC DATA ANALYSIS  
Eddy Hermawan, Center for Application of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate of National Institute of Aeronautics and Space, Bandung, West Java, Indonesia
 439Role of low-level thermodynamics on surface-convection interactions over West-Africa  
Francoise Guichard, CNRS/Météo-France UMR 3589, Toulouse, Haute Garonne, France; and F. Couvreux, A. Gounou, A. A. Boone, and M. Nuret
 565Rainfed crop production and its association with precipitation, temperature and sea surface temperature anomalies  
Mohammad Bannayan, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Faculty of Agriculture, Mashhad, Iran; and S. S. Lotfabadi, S. Sanjani, and A. Mohammadian
 
11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, B216
Joint Session 11 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions Part II (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
11:00 AMJ11.1Groundwater-land surface-atmosphere feedbacks: impacts of groundwater on land-atmosphere fluxes, convective storms, and frontal precipitation  extended abstract
Ian M. Ferguson, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO; and R. M. Maxwell
11:15 AMJ11.2Four-dimensional visualization and analysis of convective rainfall generation along an abrupt land use / land cover boundary in northwest Mississippi  
Jamie L. Dyer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS
11:30 AMJ11.3Global evidence of hydroclimate changes due to urbanization  
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA
11:45 AMJ11.4Vegetation and climate variability in North America—a study using the SSiB4/TRIFFID biophysical/dynamic vegetation model  
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Z. Q. Zhang
12:00 PMJ11.5Impacts of land surface processes on the South American Monsoon System simulations: A GCM study  
Hsi-Yen Ma, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and C. R. Mechoso, Y. Xue, H. Xiao, C. M. Wu, and F. De Sales
 
11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, B215
Session 11 Regional Modeling and Downscaling Part II
Chair: L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA
11:00 AM11.1Regional climate model experiments to determine the sensitivity of climate variability to slow climate changes in Central America  
Alex C. Ruane, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and C. Rosenzweig, R. M. Horton, and D. Bader
11:15 AM11.2The North American climate change assessment program: climate change results  
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO
11:30 AM11.3Improving regional climate change projections of temperature for Halifax, Nova Scotia via a new statistical downscaling approach  
Matthew Lee Titus, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and I. Folkins, R. Greatbatch, and J. Sheng
11:45 AM11.4Comparisons of North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) GFDL & CRCM Simulations with Observations  
Randall Alliss, Northrop Grumann Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and H. Kiley, G. Higgins, and D. Apling
12:00 PM11.5Potential Influence of Climate Change on Atmospheric Rivers Induced Heavy Precipitation and Flooding in the Western US  
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, B216
Joint Session 12 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions Part III (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
1:30 PMJ12.1The heat low over Pakistan/northwestern India: spatiotemporal evolution and forcing mechanisms  
Massimo A. Bollasina, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and S. Nigam
1:45 PMJ12.2Impact of land use change on the regional climate of Mount Kilimanjaro  extended abstract
Jonathan G. Fairman Jr., Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair and S. A. Christopher
2:00 PMJ12.3Impact of Vegetation on the Global Monsoons  
Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
2:15 PMJ12.4The Second Phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE-2)  
Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and T. Yamada, S. Mahanama, Z. Guo, P. A. Dirmeyer, and B. J. J. M. Van den Hurk
2:30 PMJ12.5The Impact of Coupled versus Observed SST on Summer Season Predictions over America with the NCEP CFS Using Different Land Surface Models and Different Initial Conditions  
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell
2:45 PMJ12.6Effects of land-atmosphere coupling strength on coupled WRF/Noah model 0-24 h forecasts of warm-season precipitation in the central United States  
S. B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, K. W. Manning, and M. A. LeMone
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, B215
Session 12 Monsoons: Observations and Modeling
Chair: Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
1:30 PM12.1The origin of monsoons: The role of continental-scale landmass  
Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
1:45 PM12.2A three-stage conceptual model for South American monsoon onset  
Rosana Nieto Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and T. M. Rickenbach
2:00 PM12.3Spatial and temporal distribution of latent heating in the south-Asian monsoon region  
Manuel D. Zuluaga, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster
2:15 PM12.4A systematic investigation of the influence of large-scale sea-surface temperature variability on South Asian monsoon precipitation  
Sara C. Vieira, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster
2:30 PM12.5The physical mechanism for the Tropical Atlantic influence on African and Indian Monsoon and its representation in the AR4 models in the 20th century  
Annalisa Bracco, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and F. Kucharski and R. Barimalala
2:45 PM12.6A role of the monsoon-Indian Ocean interactions in the In-Phase Transition of the Indian-to-Australian Summer Monsoon  
Eun-Chul Chang, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong, S. W. Yeh, and R. Wu
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday, B216
Joint Session 13 Surface/Atmosphere Interactions Part IV (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
3:30 PMJ13.1The African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis land surface model inter-comparison project (ALMIP): Applications in coupled model studies  
Aaron A. Boone, CNRM, Toulouse, Midi-Pyrenees, France
3:45 PMJ13.2Oceanic origin of the precipitation jump in the Sahel  
W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie and K. B. Katsaros
4:00 PMJ13.3Investigation of Southern Great Plains atmospheric moisture budget for CLASIC  
Peter J. Lamb, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Zangvil and D. H. Portis
4:15 PMJ13.4Quantifying land-atmosphere interaction with satellite remote sensing: Current capabilities, findings, and limits  
Craig R. Ferguson, Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and E. F. Wood
4:30 PMJ13.5What really caused the Dust Bowl?  
Jeffrey A. Lee, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and T. E. Gill
4:45 PMJ13.6Multiscale Atmospheric Simulations Over a Complex and Heterogeneous Terrain: Surface Variability and Land-Atmosphere Interactions  extended abstract
Charles Talbot, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and E. Bou-Zeid and J. Smith
5:00 PMJ13.7Evaluating Modeled Snow-Atmosphere Coupling for Different Atmospheric and Physiographic Conditions  
Kristi R. Arsenault, George Mason University, Calverton, MD; and F. Chen, M. Barlage, P. A. Dirmeyer, P. R. Houser, and K. Manning
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday, B215
Session 13 Observed Climate Change: II
Chair: Stuart Hinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
3:30 PM13.1Examination of Archival Canadian Wind Data for Inhomogeneities during 1953-2005  extended abstract
William A. van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada
13.2Estimating climate sensitivity based on top-of-atmosphere radiation imbalance  
Bing Lin, NASA, Hampton, VA; and A. Fan
3:45 PM13.3The Identification of distinct patterns in California temperature trends  
Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and W. Kessomkiat, S. A. Mauget, and J. T. Abatzoglou
4:00 PM13.4Are small lakes becoming ice free in the Great Lakes Region?  
Vimal Mishra, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer and L. C. Bowling
4:15 PM13.5Construction of a Consistent Microwave Sensor Temperature Record in the Lower Stratosphere Using Global Positioning System Radio Occultation Data and Microwave Sounding Measurements  
Shu-peng Ho, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. H. Kuo, C. Rocken, X. Zhou, and D. C. Hunt
13.4Synoptic scale atmospheric circulation linkages with the decrease in temperature gradient of the Mackenzie Delta region of Northern Canada  
Charles Cuell, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and B. R. Bonsal and T. Prowse
 
5:00 PM-5:05 PM, Thursday
AMS 90th Annual Meeting Adjourns
 

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