| Saturday, 12 January 2002 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
Short Course/Workshop/Special Conferences Registration (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Fourth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, the The Atlas Symposium, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| Sunday, 13 January 2002 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course/Workshop/Special Conferences Registration (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Fourth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, the The Atlas Symposium, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| 9:00 AM, Sunday
CONFERENCE REGISTRATION |
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| Monday, 14 January 2002 |
| 12:00 AM, Monday
Sessions end for the day (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| 7:30 AM, Monday
Registration continues through Thursday, 17 January (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Fourth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, the The Atlas Symposium, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| 9:00 AM, Monday
Welcoming Remarks |
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| 9:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday
Joint Session 2 Weather Derivatives & Weather Risk Management (Joint with 3rd Symposium on Environmental Applications and the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences) |
Organizer: Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY
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| 9:30 AM | J2.1 | The ideal meteorologist
Ravi V. Nathan, Aquila Inc., Kansas City, MO |
| 10:00 AM | J2.2 | Forecasting for profits 
Frank M. Caifa, Swiss RE New Markets, New York, NY |
| 10:30 AM | | Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
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| 11:00 AM | J2.3 | Help Wanted: Meteorologists to fix drought in precipitation contracts
Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY |
| 11:15 AM | J2.4 | Skillful seasonal degree-day forecasts and their utility in the weather derivatives market
Jeffrey A. Shorter, Weather Services International, Corp., Billerica, MA; and T. M. Crawford, R. J. Boucher, and J. P. Burbridge |
| 11:30 AM | J2.5 | Can a Meteorologist Beat the Weather Market?
Lee E. Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Palm Beach Gardens, FL |
| 11:45 AM | J2.6 | Weather Risk Assessment at the Dawn of Ensemble Numerical Weather Prediction
John L. Keller, Applied Insurance Research, Inc., Boston, MA |
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| 12:00 PM, Monday
Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-4:15 PM, Monday
Joint Session 4 Climate and Weather Services for Weather Risk Management (Joint with 3rd Symposium on Environmental Applications and the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences) |
Organizer: Robert Leffler, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 1:30 PM | J4.0a | Benefits and Costs of Weather and Climate Services
John W. Zillman, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia |
| 2:00 PM | J4.1 | Weather risk management challenges and NWS climate and observing system solutions
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:30 PM | J4.2 | NOAA's surface weather observing networks
Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and W. M. Faas |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
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| 3:30 PM | J4.3 | United States Climate Normals for the 1971–2000 Period: Product Descriptions and Applications
Timothy W. Owen, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. Whitehurst |
| 3:45 PM | J4.4 | Cooperative Observer Program (COOP) Modernization
Andrew H. Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler |
|  | J4.5 | Paper moved to the 18th Conference on IIPS, Poster Session P1, New paper Number P1.28
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| 3:58 PM | J4.6 | Paper moved to Session 5, new paper number 5.8A
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| 3:59 PM | J4.7 | Structuring climate services through stakeholder-driven assessment
Barbara J. Morehouse, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Tucson, AZ; and G. M. Garfin, M. Vasquez Leon, H. Hartmann, T. Pagano, K. Kolivras, F. Ni, T. Finan, D. M. Liverman, A. Comrie, R. Bales, S. Sorooshian, M. K. Hughes, J. T. Overpeck, D. Austin, and D. Hadley |
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| 4:15 PM-5:45 PM, Monday
Session 1 Climate Services: Lessons for Research and Design |
Organizer: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD
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| 4:15 PM | 1.0 | test
Jeff Cavanaugh, Test, Cumberland, RI |
| 4:30 PM | 1.1 | Basic Issues in moving between research and practice: the OGP and other experiences
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and J. M. Hall |
| 4:45 PM | 1.2 | Toward the Development of New NOAA Climate Services: Lessons from Research at the Climate Diagnostics Center on Science-Societal Interactions
Randall Dole, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO |
| 5:00 PM | 1.3 | Regional Climate Services: Research perspectives and mechanisms for communication
Jonathan T. Overpeck, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. K. Avery and B. J. Morehouse |
| 5:15 PM | 1.4 | A Regional Climate Services Core for the Western United States: An organizational perspective
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV |
| 5:30 PM | 1.5 | Scales of science and knowledge interactions: The 2001 drought and longer-term changes in the Pacific Northwest
Edward L. Miles, University of Washington, Seattle, WA |
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| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar) |
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| Tuesday, 15 January 2002 |
| 8:30 AM-3:00 PM, Tuesday
Session 2 Air Quality (Cosponsored by the AMS Board on Private Sector Meteorology) |
Organizer: Maria Pirone, WSI Corp., Billerica, MA
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| 8:30 AM | 2.1 | Meteorological Assistance in Air Management: Present and Future
Gale Hoffnagle, TRC Environmental Corporation, Windsor, CT |
| 8:45 AM | 2.2 | Progress in Regulatory Air Pollution Meteorology—A State's Air Program Perspective
Thomas G. Rogers, Florida Dept. of Environmental Protection, Tallahassee, FL |
| 9:00 AM | 2.3 | Monitoring Changes in the Wind
Tammy Eagan, Florida Dept. of Environmental Protection, Tallahassee, FL |
| 9:15 AM | 2.4 | Using Real-Time and Forecast Air Quality Data to Inform the Public
Richard A. Wayland, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC |
| 9:30 AM | 2.5 | AirAlert: An Air Quality Notification System for Real-time Data and Forecasts in Sacramento, CA
Timothy S. Dye, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA; and C. B. Anderson and K. B. Shearer |
| 9:45 AM | 2.6 | Operational Air Quality Forecasting in Atlantic Canada: An Overview
Michael C. Howe, MSC, Fredericton, NB, Canada; and C. Cote and D. Waugh |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:30 AM | 2.7 | Application of RAMS/UAM system to air pollution episodes in the West Midlands, UK, during the PUMA campaign
Xiaoming Cai, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom; and G. R. McGregor, S. Baggott, and R. M. Harrison |
| 10:45 AM | 2.8 | Diurnal cycles of lower-tropospheric wind shear durint TexAQS-2000
John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX |
| 11:00 AM | 2.9 | A daily trend of pollutant concentrations referred to as the representative day
T. Tirabassi, ISAO-CNR, Bologna, Italy |
| 11:15 AM | 2.10 | Long-range Transport of African Mineral Aerosols to the Southeastern United States: Impact on the Environment of the Southeastern United States
Joseph M. Prospero, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL |
| 11:30 AM | 2.11 | Air Quality and Wildland Fire
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL |
| 11:45 AM | 2.12 | The impact of wildfires on Central Florida's tourism industry
Danielle Courtenay, Orlando/Orange County Convention & Visitors Bureau, Orlando, FL |
| 12:00 PM | | Grand Poster Luncheon
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| 2:00 PM | 2.13 | Atmospheric Deposition of Nitrogen as a Contributor to Coastal Eutrophication: How Far Away it Comes
Robin L. Dennis, NOAA-ARL / USEPA-ORD NERL, Research Triangle Park, NC |
| 2:15 PM | | Panel Discussion on Air Quality
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| 3:00 PM-7:30 PM, Tuesday
Exhibit Hours (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Fourth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| 3:30 PM, Tuesday
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall |
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| 4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 3 Water Quality (Cosponsored by the AMS Board on Private Sector Meteorology) |
Organizer: Jimmie Smith, MeteoQuest, Inc., Bedford, NH
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| 4:00 PM | 3.1 | Climate, Water Quality and Health
Joan B. Rose, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL |
| 4:15 PM | 3.2 | History of Florida Droughts: An Emergency Management Perspective
Andrew Devanas, Florida Division of Emergency Management, Tallahassee, FL |
| 4:30 PM | 3.3 | Impacts of fresh water diversions and concentrate discharge from a seawater desalination facility on water quality in Tampa Bay, Florida
Mark E. Luther, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL |
| 4:45 PM | 3.4 | Nutrient Fractionation in South Florida and implications for coastal waters and ecosystem restoration
Larry E. Brand, University of Miami, RSMAS, Miami, FL |
| 5:00 PM | | Panel Discussion on Water Quality
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| 5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions end for the day |
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| Wednesday, 16 January 2002 |
| 8:00 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
President's Symposium |
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| 9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room |
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| 10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday
President's Symposium (Continued) |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday
Session 4 Weather Hazard Assessments |
Organizer: Lee Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Palm Beach Gardens, FL
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| 1:30 PM | 4.1 | The Fujita Scale: It's Abuse and the Cure
Daniel McCarthy, NOAA/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Schaefer |
| 1:45 PM | 4.2 | The Robustness of Tornado Hazard Estimates
Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. S. Schneider and M. P. Kay |
| 2:00 PM | 4.3 | Fire Danger Assessment in Florida
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton |
| 2:15 PM | 4.4 | Forecasting aircraft icing in complex terrain
Rebecca J. Stanley, Plymouth State College, Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer, C. C. Ryerson, I. Gotchel, G. R. Brooks, C. E. Wallace, and D. Knapp |
| 2:30 PM | 4.5 | Facilitating the use of environmental information for space launch decisions
Billie F. Boyd, 45th Weather Squadron, U.S. Air Force, Patrick Air Force Base, FL; and D. E. Harms, M. S. Christie, D. J. Beberwyk, and J. W. Weems |
| 2:45 PM | 4.6 | Integrating Weather Information into an Integrated Transportation Management System
David R. Legates, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. J. Leathers, J. H. Talley, T. L. DeLiberty, G. S. Donaldson, K. R. Nixon, A. P. Janke, and G. E. Quelch |
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| 3:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibit Hours (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Fourth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| 3:00 PM, Wednesday
Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday
Session 5 Energy Applications |
Organizer: Nick Keener, Duke Energy, Charlotte, NC
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| 3:30 PM | 5.1 | Developing improved tools for electric utility peak load forecasting
David J. Sailor, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA; and P. B. Breslow |
| 3:45 PM | 5.2 | Re-Mapping of the wind energy resource in the Midwestern United States
Marc Schwartz, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and D. Elliott |
| 4:00 PM | 5.3 | The use of climate data sets for wind energy resource mapping
Dennis L. Elliott, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and M. N. Schwartz |
| 4:15 PM | 5.4 | Predicting the wind energy resource in the offshore seas of Europe
J. P. Palutikof, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and J. A. Halliday, G. M. Watson, T. Holt, R. J. Barthelmie, J. P. Coelingh, L. Folkerts, and J. W. Cleijne |
| 4:30 PM | 5.5 | Using environmental data to attract development: the Oklahoma Wind Power Assessment Initiative
Timothy W. Hughes, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer, T. Simonsen, J. Traurig, N. Mirsky, S. J. Stadler, and P. G. Earls |
| 4:45 PM | 5.6 | Overview of the Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy (SSE) Project: An Innovative Web-based Data Set for the Renewable Energy Industry
Roberta C. DiPasquale, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and D. E. Brown, W. S. Chandler, C. H. Whitlock, and P. W. Stackhouse |
| 5:00 PM | 5.7 | Development of an Architectural Data Set from Satellite Data
Charles H. Whitlock, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and D. E. Brown, W. S. Chandler, R. C. DiPasquale, and P. W. Stackhouse |
| 5:14 PM | 5.8 | Paper moved to the 18th Conference on IIPS, Poster Session P1, new paper number P1.27
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| 5:15 PM | 5.8a | Coupling of mesoscale weather models to business operations in utilizing visual data fusion
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY |
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| 5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day |
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| 6:00 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar) |
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| Thursday, 17 January 2002 |
| 8:30 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Session 6 Applications in Health, Agriculture, and Forestry |
Organizer: Nick Keener, Duke Energy, Charlotte, NC
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| 8:30 AM | 6.1 | Climate change impacts on Florida: The potential consequences of climate variability and change on human health
Arturo E. Rodriguez, Barry University, Miami, FL |
| 8:45 AM | 6.2 | Modeling inactivation of B. anthracis by ultraviolet radiation, part I: data and analysis
Stephanie L. Seely, ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL; and J. M. Shuford |
| 9:00 AM | 6.3 | Modeling inactivation of B. anthracis by ultraviolet radiation, part II: application to environmental scenarios
Stephanie L. Seely, ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL; and J. M. Shuford |
| | 6.4 | Modeling the inactivation of B. anthracis by ultraviolet radiation, Part III: SLAM transport model case studies
Mark Kienzle, ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL; and S. L. Seely |
| 9:14 AM | 6.5 | PRIMARY AND SECONDARY MAXIMUM OF THE NUNBER OF ASTHMA ATTACKS ON THE TERRITORY OF THE CITY OF BITOLA-MACEDONIA
Blagojce Mickovski IV, CNRM, Bitola, Macedonia; and Z. Nakeski |
| 9:29 AM | 6.6 | The effect of regional climate variability on outbreak of epidemics of bartonellosis in Peru
Jiayu Zhou, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. K. -. M. Lau, L. W. Laughlin, P. M. Masuoka, R. C. Andre, and J. Chamberlain |
| 9:44 AM | 6.7 | A comparison of the Stedman's Heat Index and the WBGT Index
Steven D. Hacker, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith |
| 9:59 AM | | Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
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| 10:29 AM | 6.8 | Clinical trials for a new Canadian wind chill program
Pierre Tourigny, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and J. Shaykewich |
| 10:44 AM | 6.9 | The linkage of regional climate models to crop models
Deborah E. Hanley, COAPS, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. Jagtap, T. E. LaRow, J. W. Jones, S. Cocke, D. Zierden, and J. J. O'Brien |
| 10:59 AM | 6.10 | Assessing the impact of variability on wheat yields by using crop simulation models and weather generators conditioned on El Niño phases. A case study for Chile’s agricultural central valley
Francisco J. Meza, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and D. S. Wilks and S. J. Riha |
| 11:14 AM | 6.11 | Integration of Weather and Climate Information into a Decision Making System for Citrus [DISC] through FAWN
J. David Martsolf, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL |
| 11:29 AM | 6.12 | Monitoring the effects of extreme climate disturbances on forest health in the northeast U.S
Allan N. D. Auclair, RAND Environment, Arlington, VA; and W. E. Heilman and P. Busalacchi |
| 11:44 AM | 6.13 | Climate conditions favoring the maintenance of the central U.S. tall grass prairie
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. A. Changnon |
| 11:59 AM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday
Joint Session 9 Applications in Hydrology and Water Resource Management (Joint with the 16th Conference on Hydrology and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
Organizer: Nick Keener, Duke Energy, Charlotte, NC
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| 1:30 PM | J9.1 | A comparison of recent large-scale floods in the north-central U.S.: climatology, impacts, mitigation, and the value of improved predictions
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL |
| | J9.2 | A Reanalysis of the National Flood Loss Database
Mary W. Downton, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Z. B. Miller and R. A. Pielke |
| 1:45 PM | J9.3 | A qualitative comparison between the temporal variation of streamflow index and solar flux level
Phillip A. Zuzolo, Autometric Incorporated, A Boeing Company, Springfield, VA; and A. M. Powell, B. J. Zuzolo, G. N. Greene, and S. G. Hoffert |
| 2:00 PM | J9.4 | Agricultural water resources decision support system and evapotranspiration toolbox
Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and L. A. Brower and S. Hansen |
| 2:15 PM | J9.5 | A Simple Approach to Increasing Usefulness of Forecasts
John D. Wiener, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO |
| 2:30 PM | J9.6 | Application of a coupled atmospheric-hydrologic prediction system for hydropower operations
Pascal Storck, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. J. Westrick, C. F. Mass, and W. Cheng |
| 2:45 PM | | Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
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| 3:14 PM | | Exhibit Hours 3:00-6:15 p.m.
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| 3:15 PM | J9.7 | Use of Seasonal Climate Forecast for Water Resources Management in the Tennessee River
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. S. Wigmosta and L. W. Vail |
| 3:30 PM | J9.8 | Visual Flood Modeling of Dam Breaks
Steven G. Hoffert, Autometric Incorporated, A Boeing Company, Springfield, VA; and A. T. Perlik, P. A. Zuzolo, A. M. Powell, R. W. Kennedy, B. Zuzolo, M. L. Pearce, and G. N. Greene |
| 3:45 PM | J9.9 | Intensive simulation periods (ISPs) to improve seasonal predictions of precipitation over south central Kansas and north central Oklahoma
James R. Stalker, LANL, Los Alamos, NM |
| 4:00 PM | J9.10 | Assessing the state of drought in the U.S
Karin L. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. R. Heim, S. E. Stephens, and J. H. Lawrimore |
| 4:15 PM | J9.11 | The Development of a Drought Management Plan for Rhode Island: Including an Analysis of Local Drought Characteristics
Joseph W. Dellicarpini, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. R. Vallee and C. A. Farely |
| 4:30 PM | J9.12 | A blueprint for the use of NOAA/CPC precipitation climate forecasts in agricultural applications
Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht |
| 4:45 PM | J9.13 | The Sierra Weather & Avalanche Center
Elizabeth J. Carter, Firnspiegel LLC, Kings Beach, California |
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| 3:00 PM-6:30 PM, Thursday
Exhibit Hours (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Education, the Interactive Symposium on AWIPS, the Sixth Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, the 16th Conference on Hydrology, the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 18th International Conference on IIPS, the Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications) |
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| 5:00 PM, Thursday
Closing Event Begins |
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| 5:00 PM-6:15 PM, Thursday
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) |
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| 5:15 PM, Thursday
Symposium Ends |
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| 6:30 PM-7:30 PM, Thursday
Event Presentation |
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| 7:30 PM, Thursday
9 Tropical Party |
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