2002 Annual

9: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications

Third Symposium on Environmental Applications

More

« Collapse View
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Saturday, 12 January 2002

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Saturday, 12 January 2002


SAT 12 JAN

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 12 January 2002


Short Course/Workshop/Special Conferences Registration

Sunday, 13 January 2002

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 13 January 2002


SUN 13 JAN

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 13 January 2002


Short Course/Workshop/Special Conferences Registration

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 13 January 2002


CONFERENCE REGISTRATION

Monday, 14 January 2002

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Sessions end for the day

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 14 January 2002


MON 14 JAN

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Registration continues through Thursday, 17 January

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Welcoming Remarks

9:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Joint Session 2
Weather Derivatives & Weather Risk Management (Joint with 3rd Symposium on Environmental Applications and the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications; and the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Organizer: Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer

Papers:
  9:30 AM
J2.1
The ideal meteorologist
Ravi V. Nathan, Aquila Inc., Kansas City, MO

  10:00 AM
J2.2
Forecasting for profits
Frank M. Caifa, Swiss RE New Markets, New York, NY

Poster PDF (201.3 kB)
  10:30 AM
J2.3
Help Wanted: Meteorologists to fix drought in precipitation contracts
Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY

Poster PDF (101.3 kB)
  10:45 AM
J2.4
Skillful seasonal degree-day forecasts and their utility in the weather derivatives market
Jeffrey A. Shorter, Weather Services International, Corp., Billerica, MA; and T. M. Crawford, R. J. Boucher, and J. P. Burbridge

Poster PDF (55.8 kB)
  11:00 AM
J2.5
Can a Meteorologist Beat the Weather Market?
Lee E. Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Palm Beach Gardens, FL

  11:15 AM
J2.6
Weather Risk Assessment at the Dawn of Ensemble Numerical Weather Prediction
John L. Keller, Applied Insurance Research, Inc., Boston, MA

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
  11:30 AM
J2.2a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-4:15 PM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Joint Session 4
Climate and Weather Services for Weather Risk Management (Joint with 3rd Symposium on Environmental Applications and the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications; and the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Organizer: Robert Leffler, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  1:30 PM
J4.1
Weather risk management challenges and NWS climate and observing system solutions
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

  2:00 PM
J4.2
NOAA's surface weather observing networks
Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and W. M. Faas

  2:30 PM
J4.3
United States Climate Normals for the 1971–2000 Period: Product Descriptions and Applications
Timothy W. Owen, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. Whitehurst

Poster PDF (191.0 kB)
  2:45 PM
J4.4
Cooperative Observer Program (COOP) Modernization
Andrew H. Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler

 
J4.5
Paper moved to the 18th Conference on IIPS, Poster Session P1, New paper Number P1.28

  2:59 PM
J4.6
Paper moved to Session 5, new paper number 5.8A

  3:00 PM
J4.7
Structuring climate services through stakeholder-driven assessment
Barbara J. Morehouse, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Tucson, AZ; and G. M. Garfin, M. Vasquez Leon, H. Hartmann, T. Pagano, K. Kolivras, F. Ni, T. Finan, D. M. Liverman, A. Comrie, R. Bales, S. Sorooshian, M. K. Hughes, J. T. Overpeck, D. Austin, and D. Hadley

  3:15 PM
J4.0a
Benefits and Costs of Weather and Climate Services
John W. Zillman, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

  3:45 PM
J4.2a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

4:15 PM-5:45 PM: Monday, 14 January 2002


1
Climate Services: Lessons for Research and Design
Sponsor: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA/OAR

Papers:
  4:15 PM
1.1
Basic Issues in moving between research and practice: the OGP and other experiences
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and J. M. Hall

  4:30 PM
1.2
Toward the Development of New NOAA Climate Services: Lessons from Research at the Climate Diagnostics Center on Science-Societal Interactions
Randall Dole, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO

  4:45 PM
1.3
Regional Climate Services: Research perspectives and mechanisms for communication
Jonathan T. Overpeck, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. K. Avery and B. J. Morehouse

  5:00 PM
1.4
A Regional Climate Services Core for the Western United States: An organizational perspective
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV

Poster PDF (27.9 kB)
  5:15 PM
1.5
Scales of science and knowledge interactions: The 2001 drought and longer-term changes in the Pacific Northwest
Edward L. Miles, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 14 January 2002


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Tuesday, 15 January 2002

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 15 January 2002


TUE 15 JAN

8:30 AM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 15 January 2002


2
Air Quality (Cosponsored by the AMS Board on Private Sector Meteorology)
Sponsor: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Maria Pirone, WSI Corp.

Papers:
  8:30 AM
2.1
Meteorological Assistance in Air Management: Present and Future
Gale Hoffnagle, TRC Environmental Corporation, Windsor, CT

  8:45 AM
2.2
Progress in Regulatory Air Pollution Meteorology—A State's Air Program Perspective
Thomas G. Rogers, Florida Dept. of Environmental Protection, Tallahassee, FL

Poster PDF (15.6 kB)
  9:00 AM
2.3
Monitoring Changes in the Wind
Tammy Eagan, Florida Dept. of Environmental Protection, Tallahassee, FL

Poster PDF (7.6 kB)
  9:15 AM
2.4
Using Real-Time and Forecast Air Quality Data to Inform the Public
Richard A. Wayland, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC

  9:30 AM
2.5
AirAlert: An Air Quality Notification System for Real-time Data and Forecasts in Sacramento, CA
Timothy S. Dye, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA; and C. B. Anderson and K. B. Shearer

  9:45 AM
2.6
Operational Air Quality Forecasting in Atlantic Canada: An Overview
Michael C. Howe, MSC, Fredericton, NB, Canada; and C. Cote and D. Waugh

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)
  10:00 AM
2.7
Application of RAMS/UAM system to air pollution episodes in the West Midlands, UK, during the PUMA campaign
Xiaoming Cai, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom; and G. R. McGregor, S. Baggott, and R. M. Harrison

Poster PDF (381.7 kB)
  10:15 AM
2.8
Diurnal cycles of lower-tropospheric wind shear durint TexAQS-2000
John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

  10:30 AM
2.9
A daily trend of pollutant concentrations referred to as the representative day
T. Tirabassi, ISAO-CNR, Bologna, Italy

  10:45 AM
2.10
Long-range Transport of African Mineral Aerosols to the Southeastern United States: Impact on the Environment of the Southeastern United States
Joseph M. Prospero, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL

  11:00 AM
2.11
Air Quality and Wildland Fire
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL

  11:15 AM
2.12
The impact of wildfires on Central Florida's tourism industry
Danielle Courtenay, Orlando/Orange County Convention & Visitors Bureau, Orlando, FL

  11:30 AM
2.13
Atmospheric Deposition of Nitrogen as a Contributor to Coastal Eutrophication: How Far Away it Comes
Robin L. Dennis, NOAA-ARL / USEPA-ORD NERL, Research Triangle Park, NC

  11:45 AM
2.6a
Coffee Break

  12:15 PM
2.12a
Grand Poster Luncheon

  2:15 PM
2.13a
Panel Discussion on Air Quality

3:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 January 2002


Exhibit Hours

3:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 January 2002


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 January 2002


3
Water Quality (Cosponsored by the AMS Board on Private Sector Meteorology)
Sponsor: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Jimmie Smith, MeteoQuest, Inc.

Papers:
  4:00 PM
3.1
Climate, Water Quality and Health
Joan B. Rose, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL

  4:15 PM
3.2
History of Florida Droughts: An Emergency Management Perspective
Andrew Devanas, Florida Division of Emergency Management, Tallahassee, FL

  4:30 PM
3.3
Impacts of fresh water diversions and concentrate discharge from a seawater desalination facility on water quality in Tampa Bay, Florida
Mark E. Luther, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL

  4:45 PM
3.4
Nutrient Fractionation in South Florida and implications for coastal waters and ecosystem restoration
Larry E. Brand, University of Miami, RSMAS, Miami, FL

  5:00 PM
3.5
Panel Discussion on Water Quality

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 January 2002


Sessions end for the day

Wednesday, 16 January 2002

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


WED 16 JAN

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


President's Symposium

9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

10:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


President's Symposium (Continued)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


4
Weather Hazard Assessments
Sponsor: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Lee Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research

Papers:
  1:30 PM
4.1
The Fujita Scale: It's Abuse and the Cure
Daniel McCarthy, NOAA/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Schaefer

  1:45 PM
4.2
The Robustness of Tornado Hazard Estimates
Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. S. Schneider and M. P. Kay

Poster PDF (317.2 kB)
  2:00 PM
4.3
Fire Danger Assessment in Florida
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton

  2:15 PM
4.4
Forecasting aircraft icing in complex terrain
Rebecca J. Stanley, Plymouth State College, Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer, C. C. Ryerson, I. Gotchel, G. R. Brooks, C. E. Wallace, and D. Knapp

Poster PDF (364.2 kB)
  2:30 PM
4.5
Facilitating the use of environmental information for space launch decisions
Billie F. Boyd, 45th Weather Squadron, U.S. Air Force, Patrick Air Force Base, FL; and D. E. Harms, M. S. Christie, D. J. Beberwyk, and J. W. Weems

Poster PDF (180.3 kB)
  2:45 PM
4.6
Integrating Weather Information into an Integrated Transportation Management System
David R. Legates, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. J. Leathers, J. H. Talley, T. L. DeLiberty, G. S. Donaldson, K. R. Nixon, A. P. Janke, and G. E. Quelch

Poster PDF (227.0 kB)

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


Coffee Break

3:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


Exhibit Hours

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


5
Energy Applications
Sponsor: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Nick Keener, Duke Energy

Papers:
  3:30 PM
5.1
Developing improved tools for electric utility peak load forecasting
David J. Sailor, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA; and P. B. Breslow

Poster PDF (112.8 kB)
  3:45 PM
5.2
Re-Mapping of the wind energy resource in the Midwestern United States
Marc Schwartz, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and D. Elliott

  4:00 PM
5.3
The use of climate data sets for wind energy resource mapping
Dennis L. Elliott, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and M. N. Schwartz

  4:15 PM
5.4
Predicting the wind energy resource in the offshore seas of Europe
J. P. Palutikof, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and J. A. Halliday, G. M. Watson, T. Holt, R. J. Barthelmie, J. P. Coelingh, L. Folkerts, and J. W. Cleijne

Poster PDF (250.8 kB)
  4:30 PM
5.5
Using environmental data to attract development: the Oklahoma Wind Power Assessment Initiative
Timothy W. Hughes, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer, T. Simonsen, J. Traurig, N. Mirsky, S. J. Stadler, and P. G. Earls

http://www.seic.okstate.edu/owpai

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
  4:45 PM
5.6
Overview of the Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy (SSE) Project: An Innovative Web-based Data Set for the Renewable Energy Industry
Roberta C. DiPasquale, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and D. E. Brown, W. S. Chandler, C. H. Whitlock, and P. W. Stackhouse Jr.

  5:00 PM
5.7
Development of an Architectural Data Set from Satellite Data
Charles H. Whitlock, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and D. E. Brown, W. S. Chandler, R. C. DiPasquale, and P. W. Stackhouse Jr.

  5:14 PM
5.8
Paper moved to the 18th Conference on IIPS, Poster Session P1, new paper number P1.27

  5:15 PM
5.8a
Coupling of mesoscale weather models to business operations in utilizing visual data fusion
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY

http://www.research.ibm.com/weather

Poster PDF (2.9 MB)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


Sessions end for the day

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 16 January 2002


Reception (Cash Bar)

Thursday, 17 January 2002

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


THUR 17 JAN

8:30 AM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


6
Applications in Health, Agriculture, and Forestry
Sponsor: Third Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Nick Keener, Duke Energy

Papers:
  8:30 AM
6.1
Climate change impacts on Florida: The potential consequences of climate variability and change on human health
Arturo E. Rodriguez, Barry University, Miami, FL

  8:45 AM
6.2
Modeling inactivation of B. anthracis by ultraviolet radiation, part I: data and analysis
Stephanie L. Seely, ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL; and J. M. Shuford

http://

Poster PDF (550.8 kB)
  9:00 AM
6.3
Modeling inactivation of B. anthracis by ultraviolet radiation, part II: application to environmental scenarios
Stephanie L. Seely, ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL; and J. M. Shuford

Poster PDF (330.2 kB)
 
6.4
Modeling the inactivation of B. anthracis by ultraviolet radiation, Part III: SLAM transport model case studies

  9:15 AM
6.5
PRIMARY AND SECONDARY MAXIMUM OF THE NUNBER OF ASTHMA ATTACKS ON THE TERRITORY OF THE CITY OF BITOLA-MACEDONIA
Blagojce Mickovski IV, CNRM, Bitola, Macedonia; and Z. Nakeski IV

  9:30 AM
6.6
The effect of regional climate variability on outbreak of epidemics of bartonellosis in Peru
Jiayu Zhou, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. K. -. M. Lau, L. W. Laughlin, P. M. Masuoka, R. C. Andre, and J. Chamberlain

Poster PDF (478.1 kB)
  9:45 AM
6.7
A comparison of the Stedman's Heat Index and the WBGT Index
Steven D. Hacker, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (22.1 kB)
  10:00 AM
6.8
Clinical trials for a new Canadian wind chill program
Pierre Tourigny, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and J. Shaykewich

Poster PDF (23.7 kB)
  10:15 AM
6.9
The linkage of regional climate models to crop models
Deborah E. Hanley, COAPS, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. Jagtap, T. E. LaRow, J. W. Jones, S. Cocke, D. Zierden, and J. J. O'Brien

Poster PDF (162.0 kB)
  10:30 AM
6.10
Assessing the impact of variability on wheat yields by using crop simulation models and weather generators conditioned on El Niño phases. A case study for Chile’s agricultural central valley
Francisco J. Meza, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and D. S. Wilks and S. J. Riha

  10:45 AM
6.11
Integration of Weather and Climate Information into a Decision Making System for Citrus [DISC] through FAWN
J. David Martsolf, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL

  11:00 AM
6.12
Monitoring the effects of extreme climate disturbances on forest health in the northeast U.S
Allan N. D. Auclair, RAND Environment, Arlington, VA; and W. E. Heilman and P. Busalacchi

http://createpdf.adobe.com/cgi-pickup.pl?LOC=en_US&CDS=3BB85E8C-1B68-5794&LID=NUCLAIR

Poster PDF (170.7 kB)
  11:15 AM
6.13
Climate conditions favoring the maintenance of the central U.S. tall grass prairie
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. A. Changnon

  12:00 PM
6.13A
Lunch Break

  11:30 AM
6.7a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


Joint Session 9
Applications in Hydrology and Water Resource Management (Joint with the 16th Conference on Hydrology and the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Environmental Applications; and the 16th Conference on Hydrology )
Organizer: Nick Keener, Duke Energy

Papers:
  1:30 PM
J9.1
A comparison of recent large-scale floods in the north-central U.S.: climatology, impacts, mitigation, and the value of improved predictions
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL

 
J9.2
A Reanalysis of the National Flood Loss Database

  2:00 PM
J9.3
A qualitative comparison between the temporal variation of streamflow index and solar flux level
Phillip A. Zuzolo, Autometric Incorporated, A Boeing Company, Springfield, VA; and A. M. Powell Jr., B. J. Zuzolo, G. N. Greene, and S. G. Hoffert

  2:15 PM
J9.4
Agricultural water resources decision support system and evapotranspiration toolbox
Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and L. A. Brower and S. Hansen

http://www.usbr.gov/rsmg/nexrad

Poster PDF (350.0 kB)
  2:30 PM
J9.5
A Simple Approach to Increasing Usefulness of Forecasts
John D. Wiener, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

  2:45 PM
J9.6
Application of a coupled atmospheric-hydrologic prediction system for hydropower operations
Pascal Storck, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. J. Westrick, C. F. Mass, and W. Cheng

  3:00 PM
J9.7
Use of Seasonal Climate Forecast for Water Resources Management in the Tennessee River
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. S. Wigmosta and L. W. Vail

Poster PDF (418.1 kB)
  3:15 PM
J9.8
Visual Flood Modeling of Dam Breaks
Steven G. Hoffert, Autometric Incorporated, A Boeing Company, Springfield, VA; and A. T. Perlik, P. A. Zuzolo, A. M. Powell Jr., R. W. Kennedy, B. Zuzolo, M. L. Pearce, and G. N. Greene

  3:30 PM
J9.9
Intensive simulation periods (ISPs) to improve seasonal predictions of precipitation over south central Kansas and north central Oklahoma
James R. Stalker, LANL, Los Alamos, NM

  3:45 PM
J9.10
Assessing the state of drought in the U.S
Karin L. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. R. Heim Jr., S. E. Stephens, and J. H. Lawrimore

  4:00 PM
J9.11
The Development of a Drought Management Plan for Rhode Island: Including an Analysis of Local Drought Characteristics
Joseph W. Dellicarpini, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. R. Vallee and C. A. Farely

Poster PDF (99.2 kB)
  4:15 PM
J9.12
A blueprint for the use of NOAA/CPC precipitation climate forecasts in agricultural applications
Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht

  4:30 PM
J9.13
The Sierra Weather & Avalanche Center
Elizabeth J. Carter, Firnspiegel LLC, Kings Beach, California

http://www.firnspiegel.com/swac_home.html

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)
  4:45 PM
J9.6a
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

  5:14 PM
J9.6b
Exhibit Hours 3:00-6:15 p.m.

3:00 PM-6:30 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


Exhibit Hours

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


Closing Event Begins

5:00 PM-6:15 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

5:15 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


Symposium Ends

6:30 PM-7:30 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


Event Presentation

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Thursday, 17 January 2002


9
Tropical Party

« Collapse View