29th Conference on Hydrology

Program Chairs: John B. Eylander , US Army Corps of Engineers ; Michael B. Ek , NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC ; Enrique R. Vivoni , Arizona State University
Reviewers: Youlong Xia , NOAA/NCEP/EMC ; Rolf H. Reichle , NASA/GSFC

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 3 January 2015

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Sunday, 4 January 2015

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Monday, 5 January 2015

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon; the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium; and the 15th Presidential Forum )
Program Chair: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Moderator: Kimberly E. Klockow, NOAA
Keynote: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Panelists: Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central; Mac Devine, IBM Cloud Services Division; Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA; Curtis L. Walker, University of Nebraska

Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
  9:00 AM
William B (Bill) Gail: Introductory remarks
  9:08 AM
Kimberly E. Klockow: Moderator welcoming remarks
  9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
  9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
  9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
  9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
  11:00 AM
J1.1
Benchmarking as utilisation of information by land surface models
Gab Abramowitz, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and M. Best and S. V. Kumar
  11:15 AM
J1.2
Confronting global land-atmosphere models with coupled process metrics
Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and A. Tawfik, S. Halder, H. Norton, J. Wu, M. G. Bosilovich, J. A. Santanello Jr., and M. B. Ek
  11:30 AM
J1.3
Integrated metrics and benchmarking for the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) (Invited Presentation)
David Mocko, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, S. Wang, K. R. Arsenault, G. S. Nearing, Y. Xia, M. B. Ek, and J. Dong

  11:45 AM
J1.4
Evaluating Enhanced Streamflow Forecasting Techniques in the context of Reclamation and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Water Management
Levi D. Brekke, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and A. W. Wood, A. J. Newman, B. Nijssen, K. Sampson, T. M. Hopson, M. Clark, and J. R. Arnold

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
  1:45 PM
J2.2
Adaptation of Advanced Weather Forecast Verification tools to Climate Problems: Opportunities and Challenges
Caspar M. Ammann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, L. Buja, T. Fowler, W. J. Gutowski, E. Gilleland, J. Halley-Gotway, and L. Kaatz

  2:00 PM
J2.3
A Continental Divide Hydrometeorological Observatory for Integrated Hydrologic Data Assimilation and Prediction Development
David J. Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. McCreight, A. Dugger, R. M. Rasmussen, M. Clark, A. W. Wood, and D. Yates

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 1
Computational and Data Advances: Hydrological Remote Sensing and Data Assimilation Posters
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Chair: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers
 
11
 
12
Rainfall Nowcasting Algorithm Based on Radar and Satellite Data
Joan M. Castro, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and N. D. Ramirez-Beltran

 
14
Compressed Dual-Polarimetry for Meteorological Radars
Kumar Vijay Mishra, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and A. Kruger, W. F. Krajewski, and W. Xu

 
15
Estimating Daily Actual Evapotranspiration using Remotely Sensed Data over East Asia Region
Soo-Jae Park, National Institute of Meteorological Research, KMA, Jeju, South Korea; and Y. Kim and J. Shin

 
16
CHARACTERIZATION OF BURIED SUPRAGLACIAL LAKES OVER THE GREENLAND ICE SHEET
Casey A. Joseph, University of Maryland College Park, Easton, MD; and L. S. Koenig and D. J. Lampkin

 
20
Uncertainty in radar snowfall estimation: Vertical structure of snow storm and microphysical processes
GyuWon Lee, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, South Korea; and J. E. Lee

 
31A

Joint Poster Session 1A
 
21
Application Oriented Land Surface Model Improvement Efforts at CRREL
Michael Shaw, SAIC/NASA Goddard/USACE/ERDC/CRREL, Hanover, NH; and J. B. Eylander and J. M. Roningen

 
24
Role of Biological Soil Crusts in Hydrologic Modeling of Western High-Desert Ecosystems
Kristen M. Whitney, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and E. R. Vivoni, M. Duniway, J. Bradford, S. C. Reed, and J. Belnap

 
26
A Statistical Evaluation of Hydrologic Forecasting on the Missouri River From 1983 to 2013
A. Juliann Meyer, NOAA/NWS, Pleasant Hill, Missouri; and N. O. Schwein and L. W. Larson
Manuscript (735.8 kB)

Handout (5.7 MB)

 
28
Energy flux and water use efficiency measurements in a maize and soybean cropping system
Nicholas Christopher Moyo, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; and M. J. Savage

Handout (4.1 MB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 1
Computational and Data Advances: Hydrological Remote Sensing I (Joint between the 29th Conference on Hydrology and the Committee on Probability and Statistics)
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers; Xiwu Zhan, NOAA/NESDIS
  4:00 PM
1.1
An Empirical Model of High Spatial and Temporal Resolution for Radar Rainfall Nowcasting
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and L. Torres Molina, J. M. Castro, S. Cruz-Pol, J. G. Colom-Urtariz, and N. Hosannah
  4:15 PM
1.2
High-resolution Precipitation Observation Using Compact X-Band Weather Radar
Toshiaki Takaki, Furuno Electric Co., LTD., Nishinomiya, Hyogo, Japan; and Y. Ishigaki, Y. Asada, M. Hayano, M. Minowa, and Y. Takechi

Handout (3.0 MB)

  4:30 PM
1.3
2D Wind Field Estimation with Higher Spatial Resolution Using Dual Compact X-Band Weather Radars
Masahiro Minowa, Furuno Electric Co., LTD., Nishinomiya, Hyogo, Japan; and T. Takaki, Y. Takechi, Y. Asada, M. Hayano, Y. Ishigaki, and T. Kashiwa

Handout (1.3 MB)

  5:00 PM
1.5
Remote Sensing of Urban Oasis Actual Evapotranspiration to Aid Irrigated Landscape Water Conservation
Roger Kjelgren, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and L. E. Hipps, R. Gillies, and A. Torres

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Tuesday, 6 January 2015

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 2
Computational and Data Advances: Hydrological Remote Sensing II
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers; Xiwu Zhan, NOAA/NESDIS
  8:30 AM
2.1
  8:45 AM
2.2
Development, Demonstration, and Evaluation of Flood Product due to Snow/Ice Melting from Suomi-NPP/VIIRS Data
Sanmei Li, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and D. Sun, M. Goldberg, B. Sjoberg, D. A. Santek, and J. J. Gerth
  9:00 AM
2.3
An Examination of Frozen Precipitation Impacts on MRMS Q3 during Winter Precipitation Events
Steven M. Martinaitis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. B. Cocks, Y. Qi, B. T. Kaney, J. Zhang, and K. Howard
Manuscript (1.5 MB)

  9:15 AM
2.4
  9:30 AM
2.5
MRMS Q3 Performance during the 2013-14 Cool Season
Stephen B. Cocks, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. M. Martinaitis, Y. Qi, J. Zhang, and K. Howard
Manuscript (2.4 MB)

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Water and Society - On the Edge Session I: Addressing the Risk Tolerance and Tipping Points of Communities Faced with Extreme Lack/Surplus of Precipitation
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Hydrology; and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA; Stephanie Herring, NOAA

Increased climate warming has brought more frequent and severe weather events which include more intense precipitation and extreme heat. These events put human lives and ecosystems at risk, cost billions of dollars, and create havoc for planning, particularly in communities that do not fully understand the potential impact and ramifications of weather and climate. As a result, communities, working with their water utilities, are facing decisions previously unimagined from trucking in potable water during severe droughts to assure survival of their residents to spending large sums of money to move water supply and treatment infrastructure in response to flooding. Using the water sector as a framing, this session concentrates on understanding and avoiding the increased potential risk communities face from a changing climate. This session will explore how communities assess their risks and risk tolerance to establish planning thresholds, and the kind of information, tools and outreach they need to manage a future of changing precipitation patterns. Talks should address how communities assess their water supply risks and thresholds in terms of too much/too little water, what needs to be taken into consideration in determining these tipping points, and what decision support tools, methods, and approaches communities are using to prepare for and adapt to potential extreme events. A final panel will discuss lessons learned from these studies, including where each community needs to make individualized decisions and where a common framework can serve everyone in their thinking.
  9:00 AM
J5.3
Tools for the Assessment of Regional Robustness Towards Flood and Drought Events under Climate Change
Marjolein Mens, Deltares, Delft, Netherlands; and L. Bouwer, J. Kind, J. Obeysekera, and E. Welles

  9:15 AM
J5.4
  9:30 AM
J5.5
Using Historical Ensembles for Context in an African Food and Water Security Decision Support System
Amy McNally, ESSIC/UMD at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and K. R. Arsenault, B. Narapusetty, and C. D. Peters-Lidard

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 2
Advances in evaporation and evapotranspiration estimates
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Chris Hain, NOAA/NESDIS; Michael Hobbins, National Integrated Drought Information System; Jennifer C. Adam, Washington State University

Advances in the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) and atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) are made across a broad range of scales and techniques, from in-situ observations to remote sensing and modeling. Specific topics for this session might include: • estimating ET from various perspectives: remote sensing platforms, ground-based point observations and parameterizations, plant-based experimentation, and water budgets • operational ET estimation • land surface-atmosphere feedbacks • future remote sensing missions and needs for ET • Eo as an input to operational LSMs to derive ET, schedule crop irrigation, and as a metric of hydroclimatic trends and variability
 
35
Evaluation of Multimodel and Multiscale NLDAS-2 Evapotranspiration Using Different Observations
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. Hobbins, Q. Mu, and M. B. Ek

 
36
Improving Estimates of Evaporation from Earth's Largest Lake System
Andrew Gronewold, NOAA, Ann Arbor, MI; and P. D. Blanken, C. Spence, J. Lenters, B. Kerkez, W. Leger, K. Paige, T. Slawecki, F. Seglenieks, V. Fortin, N. J. Froelich, S. Ruberg, D. E. Wolfe, and C. W. Fairall

 
37
Observations of Evapotranspiration in the Russian River basin, California
Robert J. Zamora, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and C. Hsu, L. E. Johnson, and R. Cifelli

Handout (831.9 kB)


Poster Session 3
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Flood Analysis and Prediction Posters
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Andrew W. Wood, NCAR; David J. Gochis, NCAR
 
38
Flood Analysis and Mitigation Strategies in the Santa Catarina Watershed: Multimodel Applications for Stakeholder-driven Solutions
Jorge Cazares-Rodriguez, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and E. R. Vivoni, D. D. White, and A. I. Ramirez

 
42
Flood Inundation Mapping for Flood Prediction, Analysis, and Emergency Management
Kristina Falat Murphy, Michael Baker International, Lakewood, CO

 
44
Downscaled Ensemble Reforecasts of Extreme Rainfall Events
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

 
47
Effect of Latent Heating on Mesoscale Vortex Development during Extreme Precipitation: Colorado, September 2013
Annareli Morales, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and S. M. Kreidenweis

Handout (8.4 MB)

 
48
Relationships of Hydro-Climate Indices (HCI) to Volumetric Flow in the Platte River Basin
John F. Henz, Dewberry Consultants, Phoenix, AZ; and B. Workman and S. Geiger

 
50
Tracking flood producing storms in the Baltimore metropolitan region
Brianne K. Smith, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Smith and M. L. Baeck

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Presidential Forum; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
  11:00 AM
L1.1
Model Diagnoses of El Nino Teleconnections to the Global Atmosphere-Ocean System
Ngar-Cheung Lau, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

Joint Panel Discussion 1
Water and Society - On the Edge Session II: Panel Discussion on Addressing the Risk Tolerance and Tipping Points of Communities Faced with Extreme Lack/Surplus of Precipitation
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Hydrology; and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Moderators: Nancy Beller-Simms, NOAA; Stephanie Herring, NOAA
Panelists: Kathy Jacobs, University of Arizona; Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey

This panel discussion will further the topics discussed in the 8:30 session with the same name. In both sessions, we use the water sector as an example, to better understand how to lessen the risk associated with a changing climate. The previous talks addressed how communities assess their water supply risks and thresholds in terms of too much/too little water, what needs to be taken into consideration in determining these tipping points, and what decision support tools, methods, and approaches communities are using to prepare for and adapt to potential extreme events. This panel will discuss lessons learned from these studies, including where each community needs to make individualized decisions and where a common framework can serve everyone in their thinking. Among the questions we will ask are: (1) What is the value of using thresholds and tipping points as a framework for decision making and assessing risk? (2) What are the best practices that were learned from the session 1 talks, and how can they be adopted in other decision making contexts? and (3) How can an interdisciplinary approach bring physical and social sciences together to establish thresholds and tipping points within a specific context (i.e., users, geographic location, population, etc…)?
Recording files available
Session 3
Computational and Data Advances: Land Data Assimilation Techniques and Systems I
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC
  11:00 AM
3.1
Multivariate assimilation of satellite-derived remote sensing datasets in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, D. Mocko, R. H. Reichle, K. R. Arsenault, B. F. Zaitchik, Y. Liu, M. B. Ek, H. Kato, and Y. Xia
  11:15 AM
3.2
The SMAP Level 4 Surface and Root Zone Soil Moisture (L4_SM) data assimilation product
Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. M. De Lannoy, W. T. Crow, J. Kimball, R. D. Koster, and Q. Liu

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Harry R. Glahn Symposium Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 4
Computational and Data Advances: Land Data Assimilation Techniques and Systems II
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC
  1:30 PM
4.1
A Successful Example of Transitioning Research to NCEP Operations: The North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, H. Wei, J. Meng, K. Mitchell (retired), E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, C. Peters-Lidard, D. Mocko, B. Cosgrove, D. P. Lettenmaier, K. Mo, W. Ebisuzaki, M. Rosencrans, L. Luo, and E. Luebehusen
  2:00 PM
4.3
  2:45 PM
4.6
Recording files available
Session 5
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Flood Analysis and Prediction I
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Andrew W. Wood, NCAR
  1:30 PM
5.1
Evaluation of flash flood products from the Flooded Locations And Simulated Hydrographs (FLASH) project
Jonathan Gourley, NOAA, Norman, OK; and Z. L. Flamig, H. Vergara, R. Clark III, P. E. Kirstetter, G. Terti, Y. Hong, and K. Howard
  1:45 PM
5.2
A Real-time Multi-source Flash Flood Verification Database in Support of NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center Research and Operations
Brian Cosgrove, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Hogsett, F. Barthold, T. Workoff, D. R. Novak, J. J. Gourley, Z. Flamig, and M. Klein
  2:15 PM
5.4
Multi-scale statistical properties of rainfall in flash flood producing storms
Deborah K. Nykanen, Minnesota State University, Mankato, MN; and S. DeVinny, S. D. Buan, M. M. DeWeese, and P. J. Restrepo
  2:45 PM
5.6
Forecasting surface water flooding in the UK with a convection-permitting ensemble
Brian William Golding, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and R. Swinbank, N. Roberts, K. Mylne, and G. Leoncini

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 6
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Flood Analysis and Prediction II
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Andrew W. Wood, NCAR; David J. Gochis, NCAR
  3:30 PM
6.1
Mesoscale atmospheric processes during the September 2013 extreme rainfall and flooding in Colorado
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and A. Morales
  3:45 PM
6.2
HRRR model performance for the September 2013 northeastern Colorado floods
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, C. R. Alexander, E. P. James, J. Brown, D. T. Lindsey, and B. Jamison
  4:00 PM
6.3
Results from the NWS Flash Flood Summit: A community-based initiative for modernized operational flash flood modeling and forecasting
Edward Clark, NOAA/NWS/Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Silver Spring, MD; and K. E. Abshire and M. G. Mullusky

  4:15 PM
6.4
Numerical Modeling of Flash Floods over Complex Terrain near Black Hills, South Dakota
Brian Freitag, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and E. Foshee, U. Nair, and Y. Wu
  4:30 PM
6.5
  4:45 PM
6.6
Real-time Flash Flood Observational Datasets in Support of the NSSL's 2014 HWT-Hydro Experiment
Brandon R. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Gourley, L. P. Rothfusz, R. Clark III, J. M. Erlingis, Z. L. Flamig, E. Mintmire, K. L. Ortega, and B. Cosgrove

Wednesday, 7 January 2015

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 7
US and Mexico Border Region: North American Monsoon I
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yolande Serra, University of Arizona; Christopher Castro, University or Arizona; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University

The North American Monsoon (NAM) defines the summer season hydroclimatology of the southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico with important interactions between oceanic, atmospheric, land surface and ecological processes. This session invites contributions on recent advances in understanding the NAM, including its predictability, physical processes, and societal implications. Of particular interest are studies using field datasets, such as those from the North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) and subsequent activities, and numerical modeling efforts stemming from those activities. We welcome studies focused across a range of time scales from the diurnal cycle up to interannual predictions under climate change scenarios.
  8:45 AM
7.2
Regional Climate Model Projection Credibility for the North American Monsoon
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. M. Carrillo, D. J. Gochis, and L. O. Mearns
  9:30 AM
7.5
The Dominant Synoptic-Scale Modes of North American Monsoon Precipitation
Simona Seastrand, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Serra, C. Castro, and E. A. Ritchie
  9:45 AM
Q&A

Recording files available
Joint Session 12
The Global Precipitation Measurement Mission--Part 1
Location: 231ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Hydrology )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

Joint Session with the 29th Conference on Hydrology
  8:30 AM
J12.1
Current Status and Future Outlook for NOAA/NESDIS Operational Precipitation Products
Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and L. Zhao, S. Q. Kidder, C. R. Kondragunta, R. J. Kuligowski, H. Meng, P. C. Meyers, B. R. Nelson, N. Y. Wang, and X. Zhan
  8:45 AM
J12.2
Rainfall Estimates from GPM's Constellation of Radiometers
Christian D. Kummerow, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Randel and W. Berg
  9:15 AM
J12.4
Day 1 for the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) Data Sets
George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. T. Bolvin, D. Braithwaite, K. Hsu, R. J. Joyce, C. Kidd, S. Sorooshian, and P. Xie
 
Paper J12.5 has moved. New paper number is J13.1A

  9:45 AM
J12.6
Real-Time Forecasting of Precipitation and Hydrology for GPM Field Campaigns
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Wu, Y. Liu, E. M. Kemp, and W. K. Tao

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 8
US and Mexico Border Region: North American Monsoon II
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yolande Serra, University of Arizona; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University
  11:10 AM
8.3
The North American Monsoon GPS TRANSECT Experiment 2013
David K. Adams, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico, Mexico; and O. Ramos Perez, A. I. Quintanar, C. Minjarez Sosa, Y. Serra, L. Alatorre, A. Granados, and E. Vazquez
  11:40 AM
8.5
Lightning in the North American Monsoon: An Exploratory Climatology
Ronald L. Holle, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and M. J. Murphy
Recording files available
Joint Session 13
The Global Precipitation Measurement Mission--Part 2
Location: 231ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Hydrology )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Song Yang, Naval Research Laboratory

Joint Session with the 29th Conference on Hydrology
 
Paper J13.1 has moved. New paper number is J12.5A

  10:45 AM
J13.2
Assimilation of precipitation radars on TRMM and GPM Core satellites
Kozo Okamoto, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Aonashi, S. Origuchi, and T. Tashima

  11:00 AM
J13.3
Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission Products and Services at the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences (GES) Data and Information Services Center (DISC)
Zhong Liu, CSISS/George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and D. Ostrenga, B. Vollmer, B. Deshong, M. Greene, W. Teng, G. Vicente, and S. J. Kempler
  11:15 AM
J13.4
Hurricane GPROF: An improved hurricane rain rate retrieval for TRMM and GMI
Paula J. Brown, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. D. Kummerow

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Eugenia Kalnay Symposium Luncheon
Location: 229B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker: Jagadish Shukla, George Mason Univ./COLA
  12:00 PM
B.1
Eugenia Kalnay: Scientist, Revolutionary, and a Concerned Citizen of the World
Jagadish Shukla, George Mason Univ./COLA, Fairfax, VA


Lunch Break

Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
Chair: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 4
Computational and Data Advances: Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling Posters
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yu Zhang, NOAA/NWS; Emad Habib, Univ. of Louisiana; George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC; Jonathan Gourley, NOAA
 
509
Evaluation of NOAA Reforecast V2 Rainfall over India
Raghavendra Ashrit, National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Noida, U.P, India; and A. Roy, G. Iyengar, A. K. Mitra, and E. N. Rajagopal

 
511
Evaluation of OLR-based CPC high-resolution precipitation in GLDAS re-run experiment
Roshan K. Shrestha, EMC, College Park, MD; and J. Meng, P. Xie, P. A. Dirmeyer, M. B. Ek, and K. Mo

 
512
A Precipitation Climatology from the 3-km High-Resolution Rapid Refresh
Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin and C. R. Alexander

 
514
 
Poster 515 will now be presented as paper 9.2A


Poster Session 5
US and Mexico Border Region: North American Monsoon Posters
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yolande Serra, University of Arizona; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University
 
518
 
519
Nogales, Sonora Flood Warning and Modeling Network
Erin Boyle, NOAA/NWSFO Tucson, Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and F. Gray and B. Iserman

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 6
Growing Importance of Extremes: The Example of Drought in California and the West
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 29th Conference on Hydrology )
Cochairs: Veva Deheza, National Integrated Drought Information System; Kristen Averyt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado

With the potential for more frequent and more intense extreme events in parts of the world as a consequence of climate change, there is increasing focus on science in the context of minimizing risk and vulnerability. This session will showcase the scientific advances, impacts, and lessons learned through the lens of Western drought events. Topics of interest include predictability of US drought on multiple scales, climate change attribution of drought, lessons gleaned from the applied science community, planning and processes for drought, and cascading impacts of drought on both the ecological and urban environments. Papers addressing social and economic impacts are particularly encouraged. Note that papers do not have to directly relate to Western US drought, but can also discuss impacts and response to other extreme events in other parts of the US and the world from which transferable lessons might be shared.
  4:00 PM
TJ6.1
  4:15 PM
TJ6.2
CalWater 2—Precipitation, Aerosols, and Pacific Atmospheric Rivers Experiment
F. Martin Ralph, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Spackman, K. A. Prather, D. Cayan, P. J. DeMott, M. D. Dettinger, C. W. Fairall, L. R. Leung, D. Rosenfeld, S. Rutledge, D. Waliser, and A. White
  4:30 PM
TJ6.3
  4:45 PM
TJ6.4
Improving the Utility of Seasonal Outlooks of Anomalous Precipitation for California
Lance E. Watkins, NASA DEVELOP National Program, Hampton, VA; and E. J. Davis, A. Nothdurft, and A. Mendenhall

  5:15 PM
TJ6.6
The National Extreme Events Data and Research Center (NEED)
Dale Kaiser, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and T. Wilbanks, T. Boden, R. Devarakonda, and J. Gulledge
Recording files available
Session 9
Computational and Data Advances: Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling I
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yu Zhang, NOAA/NWS; Emad Habib, Univ. of Louisiana; George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC; Jonathan Gourley, NOAA

The theme of this session is precipitation measurement/estimation techniques, and applications that demonstrate the downstream impacts of improved quantitative precipitation information for hydrologic, land surface, and weather modeling. Presentations in this session will focus on the following subjects: (1) Advances in precipitation measurement devices and methods; (2) Techniques for fusing precipitation observations from remote-sensing and in situ platforms, and related datasets; (3) Existing and emerging high-resolution real-time and retrospective precipitation data sets; (4) Effects of improving precipitation precision and accuracy on hydrologic predictions, fluxes from land surface models, Numeric Weather Model predictions, climate monitoring, and engineering design; (5) User requirements for precipitation information and gaps in existing data sets and observing platforms.
  4:15 PM
9.2A
  4:45 PM
9.4
Determing Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Duration to Optimize River Forecast Services
A. Juliann Meyer, NOAA/NWS, Pleasant Hill, Missouri; and L. D. Holts, M. M. DeWeese, R. H. Reckel, and N. O. Schwein

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Thursday, 8 January 2015

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 10
Computational and Data Advances: Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling II
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yu Zhang, NOAA/NWS; Emad Habib, Univ. of Louisiana; George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC; Jonathan Gourley, NOAA
  9:00 AM
10.3
Global Storm Tracks, Climatology, and Variability using a Decade of Satellite Observations
Rebekah Esmaili, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Tian and D. A. Vila
  9:30 AM
10.5
Gridded Ensemble Precipitation and Temperature Estimates from Observations over the Contiguous United States
Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Clark, J. A. Craig, B. Nijssen, A. W. Wood, E. Gutmann, N. Mizukami, L. D. Brekke, and J. R. Arnold
Recording files available
Session 11
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drought analysis and prediction I
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC; Andrew W. Wood, NCAR; Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC

This session invites papers that focus on scientific and operational, practical issues related to predicting and defining drought and reducing drought impacts. Topics of interest include the formulation and use of drought indices and definitions, and the characterization of drought impacts across the diverse climates of North America and the world. In particular, we welcome presentations spanning a range from drought analysis and prediction to management activities for high-impact drought events, on statewide to continental scales, and including applications such as drought early warning systems. Policy responses for managing drought are also of interest.
  8:30 AM
11.1
Development of a Coastal Drought Index Using Salinity Data
Paul Conrads, USGS, Columbia, SC; and L. S. Darby

  8:45 AM
11.2
Temporal changes in drought indices used to provide early warning of drought development over sub-seasonal time scales
Jason Otkin, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and M. D. Svoboda
  9:00 AM
11.3
Impact of Spatial and Temporal Index Weight Variation on Estimates of Drought Extents
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Z. Hao, T. W. Ford, C. Peters-Lidard, and M. B. Ek
  9:15 AM
11.4
Soil Moisture and Atmospheric Evolution Across Oklahoma During the 2011 Drought
Paul X. Flanagan, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara
  9:30 AM
11.5
Toward Improving Predictability of Extreme Hydrometeorological Events in the Northern High Plains: Multi-scale Climate vs Land Surface Hydrology Modeling
Francisco Munoz-Arriola, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and R. L. Walko, A. Mohammad Abadi, M. J. Otte, J. A. Torres-Alavez, and G. Lopez-Morteo

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 6
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drought analysis and prediction Posters
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC; Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC; Andrew W. Wood, NCAR
 
521
Local Contributors and Predictability of Flash Drought at the Marena Oklahoma In Situ Sensor Testbed (MOISST) During 2012
Jeffrey B. Basara, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Otkin, H. R. Mahan, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, P. Wagle, and X. Xiao

 
524
Assessing Land Surface Hydrologic Resilience to Extreme Hydrometeorological Events in Natural and Water-controlled Ecosystems
Mallory K. Morton, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and K. Smith, A. M. Abadi, I. Luna, and F. Munoz-Arriola

 
525
Quantitative Analysis and Statistics of Land-atmosphere Interactions at Oklahoma Mesonet Sites during Drought Periods
Jing Liu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, B. G. Illston, and G. B. Senay

Handout (1.3 MB)

 
526
The Physical Basis of the Evaporative Demand Drought Index
Michael Hobbins, National Integrated Drought Information System, Boulder, CO; and D. McEvoy, A. W. Wood, J. Verdin, and J. Huntington

 
528
Drought monitoring and seasonal hydrological prediction with the NCEP CFS using the Noah-MP land model
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek and J. Meng

 
530
Toward a Drought Seasonal Forecast in the Platte River Basin
Daniel Anthony Rico, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and C. E. Ancona, A. Rosales, L. Castro, G. Lopez-Morteo, and F. Munoz-Arriola

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the 15th Presidential Forum; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium )
  11:00 AM
L3.1
Recording files available
Session 12
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drought analysis and prediction II
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 29th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC; Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC; Andrew W. Wood, NCAR
  11:00 AM
12.1
Probabilistic Seasonal Prediction of Drought Using Multivariate Observations
Ali Behrangi, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and H. Nguyen and S. L. Granger

  11:15 AM
12.2
Improved rainfall estimates and predictions for 21st century drought early warning
Chris C. Funk, USGS/Earth Resources Observation Systems, Santa Barbara, CA; and P. peterson, S. Shukla, G. Husak, M. landsfeld, A. Hoell, D. pedreros, J. B. Roberts, F. R. Robertson, T. Tadesse, B. F. Zaitchik, J. rowland, and J. Verdin
  11:45 AM
12.4
An Update on the Global Drought Information System
Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns