Program: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography (97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Coffee Break (6th Floor Foyer)

Location: Washington State Convention Center

Session 1

Interdisciplinary Studies at the Ocean, Atmosphere, and Cryosphere Interface Part I

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Chair: Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington

11:00 AM

1.1

Wind-driven Sea-Ice Changes Intensify Subsurface Warm Water Intrusion into the West Antarctic Land Ice Front

Xichen Li, IAP, Beijing, China; and S. T. Gille, S. P. Xie, D. M. Holland, M. M. Holland, and H. Goosse

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

1.2

Reconstructing the Amundsen Sea Low from Remotely-Sensed Records of Annual West Antarctic Snow Accumulation

Tyler Jeffrey Fudge, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. Neff and B. Medley

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

1.3

The U. S. Naval Academy Polar Science and Technology Program (USNA-PS&TP)

Joseph P Smith, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

1.4

Interactions Between the Atmospheric Boundary Layer and the Advancing Autumn Sea Ice

P. Ola G. Persson, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and B. W. Blomquist, P. S. Guest, I. M. Brooks, M. Tjernstrom, A. A. Grachev, M. Shupe, and C. W. Fairall

Recorded Presentation

Lunch Break

Lecture 1

Walter Orr Roberts Lecture

Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 2 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Second Symposium on US-International Partnerships; and the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment )

Speaker: Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA

1:30 PM

L1.1

Developing Climate Risk Information for Cities: Key Findings from UCCRN ARC3.2

Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA, New York City, NY

Recorded Presentation

Session 2

Interdisciplinary Studies at the Ocean, Atmosphere, and Cryosphere Interface Part II

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Chair: Tyler Jeffrey Fudge, University of Washington

1:30 PM

2.1

Results of the First Arctic Heat Open Science Experiment

Kevin R. Wood, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. R. Jayne, C. W. Mordy, and J. E. Overland

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

2.2

Surface Turbulence in the Presence of Pancake Ice in the Autumn Arctic Ocean

Madison M. Smith, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Thomson

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

2.3

The Phenology of Arctic Ocean Surface Warming

Michael Steele, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Dickinson

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

2.4

Cold Air Outbreaks over the Gulf Stream and Implications for the North Atlantic Ocean

Sara T. Strey, Northland College, Ashland, WI

Recorded Presentation

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 1

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

218

Submesoscale Atmospheric Boundary Layer Processes over Fragmented Sea Ice

Marta Wenta, University of Gdansk, Gdynia, Poland; and A. Herman

Handout (5.3 MB)

219

An Assessment of Different Initialization Fields on Short-term Sea Ice Forecast Parameters Using a Coupled Ice-Ocean-Atmosphere Model

Janet Intrieri, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and A. Solomon, O. Persson, A. Capotondi, F. J. LaFontaine, and G. Jedlovec

220

Has Arctic Sea-Ice Loss Contributed to Increased Surface Melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet?

Jiping Liu, Univ. of Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and Z. Chen, J. A. Francis, M. Song, T. Mote, and Y. Hu

221

Quantifying the Contribution of Natural Variability to September Arctic Sea Ice Decline

Mirong Song, IAP, Beijing, China

222

Estimating the extent of Antarctic summer sea ice during the Heroic Age of Exploration (1897-1917)

Tom Edinburgh, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and J. J. Day

Handout (2.7 MB)

223

Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Variability and the Large-scale Atmospheric Circulation Using Satellite Observations, PIOMAS, and the CESM Large Ensemble

Zachary M. Labe, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir and H. S. Stern

Handout (5.3 MB)

224

Evolution of the United States National Ice Center

Kevin Berberich, NOAA/NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and R. Lane

225

Solar Partitioning in the Arctic Basin: the Role of Melt Ponds and Sea Ice Thickness

Bonnie Light, APL, Seattle, WA; and S. Dickinson, D. Perovich, and J. Zhang

226

Production Methodology for the Interactive Multisensor Snow and Ice Mapping System

David P. McCormick, NOAA/NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and A. N. Kabeiseman, W. Clark, J. A. Darden, S. R. Helfrich, and K. Berberich

227

Exploring the use of Commercial Off-the-Shelf (COTS) Unmanned Quadcopters to Identify and Characterize Ice Surface Features

Colton Byers, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and A. A. Petty and J. P. Smith

228

The Impact of Declining Sea Ice on Arctic Precipitation and Snowfall in Autumn

Alexander Carne, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson

229

Gone with the Wind: How Model Biases Skew the Distribution of Iceberg Meltwater

Till Wagner, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and I. Eisenman

Handout (6.0 MB)

Session 3

Teleconnections Between the Arctic or Antarctic and Extra-Polar Regions

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Chair: Tristan L'Ecuyer, Univ. of Wisconsin

4:00 PM

3.1

Nonlinear Response of Midlatitude Weather to the Changing Arctic

James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and K. Dethloff, J. Francis, R. J. Hall, E. Hanna, S. J. Kim, J. Screen, T. G. Shepherd, and T. Vihma

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

3.2

Forecasting and Reproducing Arctic Sea Ice Extent and Associated Teleconnections Using the Climate Forecast System

Colleen E. McHugh, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Liu

4:30 PM

3.3

Isolating the Atmospheric Circulation Response to Arctic Sea-Ice Loss in the Coupled Climate System

Paul J. Kushner, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Blackport

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

3.4

A Climatology of TPVs in the ERA-Interim Dataset

Dylan W. Lusk, Norman, OK; and S. M. Cavallo

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

3.5

The Relative Influence of ENSO and SAM on Antarctic Peninsula Climate

Kyle R. Clem, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick, J. McGregor, and R. L. Fogt

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

3.6

Major West Antarctic Surface Melt Event in January 2016 in Wake of Strong El Niño

Julien P. Nicolas, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich, A. B. Wilson, J. D. Wille, and X. Zou

Reception and Exhibits Opening

Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

Themed Joint Session 6

Observational Needs and Advances in Polar Climate Modeling and Science

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio Univ.

8:30 AM

TJ6.1

The State of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets: Observations Lead the Way (Core Science Keynote)

Ian Joughin, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

TJ6.2

Challenges for Assessing Sea Ice Simulations from Climate Models Against Observations (Invited Presentation)

Alexandra Jahn, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

TJ6.3

Which Observations Are Most Important For Characterizing Arctic Sea Ice? (Invited Presentation)

Cecilia M. Bitz, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

TJ6.4

Satellite Perspectives on the Role of Clouds and Precipitation in Arctic Energy Balance (Invited Presentation)

T.S. L’Ecuyer, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. A. McIlhattan, K. Van Trichet, and N. Wood

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

TJ6.5

The ARM West Antarctic Radiation Experiment (AWARE) (Invited Presentation)

Dan Lubin, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. H. Bromwich, A. M. Vogelmann, J. Verlinde, and L. Russell

Recorded Presentation

Coffee Break

Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

Session 4

Sea Ice Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Chair: Mitch Bushuk, Princeton University

10:30 AM

4.1

Recent Trends in Sea Ice Thickness from New Satellite Products

Jeffrey R. Key, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Madison, WI

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

4.2

Trends in the Sea State of the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas

Jim Thomson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and O. N. R. Sea State team

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

4.3

Assessing Disagreement in Two Long Records of Melt Onset on Arctic Sea Ice Derived from Passive Microwave Satellite Observations

Angela C. Bliss, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and W. Meier and J. A. Miller

11:15 AM

4.4

The Role of Ocean Waves in the Opposing Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Trends

Esther L. van Dijk, Victoria University Wellington, New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick

11:30 AM

4.5

Impact of Floe-Size Dependent Processes on Sea Ice Evolution

Lettie A. Roach, National Institute of Water and Atmosphere, Wellington, New Zealand; and C. M. Bitz, S. M. Dean, and C. H. Horvat

11:45 AM

4.6

Atmospheric Dynamics and Impacts on Abrupt Arctic Summer Sea Ice Loss Events

Steven M. Cavallo, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and N. Szapiro and U. Gutierrez Jr.

Recorded Presentation

Lunch Break

Session 5

The State of the Cryosphere, as Measured by Field Campaigns and Satellites Part I

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Chair: Till Wagner, SIO

1:30 PM

5.1

The Norwegian Young Sea Ice (N-ICE2015) Experiment: The Atmospheric Perspective

Lana Cohen, Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromso, Norway; and S. R. Hudson, M. A. Granskog, R. M. Graham, S. Y. Murphy, and V. Walden

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

5.2

A Comparison of the Two Arctic Atmospheric Winter States Observed during N-ICE2015 and SHEBA

Robert M. Graham, Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromso, Norway; and A. Rinke, L. Cohen, S. R. Hudson, V. Walden, M. A. Granskog, W. Dorn, M. Kayser, and M. Maturilli

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

5.3

Seasonal Variation of the Surface Energy Balance over Young Sea Ice during the N-ICE2015 Experiment

Von Walden, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and S. R. Hudson, L. Cohen, and S. Y. Murphy

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

5.4

Seasonal Variation of Cloud Radiative Forcing Over Young Sea Ice During the N-ICE2015 Experiment

Sarah Y. Murphy, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and V. Walden, L. Cohen, and S. R. Hudson

Recorded Presentation

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 2

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

716

Simulation of Late Summer Arctic Clouds during ASCOS with Polar WRF

David H. Bromwich, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and K. M. Hines

717

Development of a Moon Photometer Based on the Prede Sky-Radiometer to Measure Aerosol Optical Thickness During Polar Night Seasons

Masataka Shiobara, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa, Japan; and A. Uchiyama, H. Kobayashi, K. Hishida, and K. Inei

718

Comparing the Accuracy of AMSRE, AMSR2, SSMI and SSMIS Satellite Radiometer Ice Concentration Products with One-Meter Resolution Visible Imagery in the Arctic

Emily R. Peterson, NPS, Monterey, CA; and T. P. Stanton

719

Ice Nucleating Particles at Alert During the Polar Spring

Meng Si, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and E. Evoy, C. J. Wong, Z. Zheng, D. Toom-Sauntry, S. Sharma, R. Leaitch, and A. K. Bertram

Handout (2.3 MB)

720

Evaluating Arctic Clouds Across Scales: A Comparison of Clouds in Large-Scale and Multi-Scale Models with ARM Ground-Based Observations over the North Slope of Alaska

Benjamin R. Hillman, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; and E. Roesler and M. Ivey

721

Effects of 20-100 nanometre Particles on Liquid Clouds in the Clean Summertime Arctic

722

Validation of Satellite-Based Measurements of Precipitable Water Vapor at Various Arctic Stations

Pyxie Star, Evergreen State College, Olympia, WA; and V. Walden

723

Influence of Warm, Moist and Cloudy Air on the Arctic Climate

Cian Woods, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; and G. Svensson and R. Caballero

724

Climatological Analysis of Alaska Blocking Patterns, 1958-2014

Thomas J. Ballinger, Texas State Univ., San Marcos, TX; and J. T. McLeod and T. L. Mote

Handout (5.2 MB)

Session 6

The State of the Cryosphere, as Measured by Field Campaigns and Satellites Part II

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Chair: Cecilia M. Bitz, Univ. of Washington

4:00 PM

6.1

Dry Precipitation on the Greenland Ice Sheet: A Study of Properties and Characteristics

Claire Pettersen, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Bennartz, M. Shupe, and D. D. Turner

4:15 PM

6.2

Hidden Meltwater in the Ice: Extending Greenland Ice Sheet Subsurface Meltwater Records with Satellite Remote Sensing

Margeaux Carter, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technoloy, Socorro, NM; and D. B. Reusch

Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.9 MB)

4:30 PM

6.3

Variations in Satellite Derived Snow and Ice Coverage in the Northern Hemisphere

Mark R. Anderson, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and H. Mikulak and D. A. Robinson

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

6.4

Determining Albedo Reduction by Light-absorbing Particles in Snow over Large Areas - What Can We Learn from Field Observations?

Cheng Dang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. G. Warren, Q. Fu, S. J. Doherty, and M. Sturm

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

6.5

Satellite Detection of Arctic Sea Ice Leads

Jay P. Hoffman, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. A. Ackerman, Y. Liu, and J. R. Key

Recorded Presentation

6.6

Characterization of Snow Geophysical Changes on Arctic First-Year Sea Ice Using Multi-Frequency Scatterometry during the Late-Winter to Early-Melt Transition

Joint Session 1

Polar Clouds and Climate Part I

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions )

Chair: Jennifer Kay, CIRES University of Colorado

8:30 AM

J1.1

Understanding Synoptic Influence on Clouds and Radiation at Summit Station Greenland Using Self-Organizing Maps

Michael Stone, CIRES University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Shupe and N. Miller

8:45 AM

J1.2

The Dependence of Arctic Cloud on the Synoptic Conditions in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seasonal Ice Zone

Zheng Liu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. J. Schweiger

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

J1.3

Clouds Across the Arctic: Synthesizing Knowledge from Ground-based Observations

Matthew Shupe, CIRES/NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

J1.4

Influence of Orographic Lift on the Occurrence of Liquid Bearing Clouds over the Greenland Ice Sheet

Jonathan Edwards-Opperman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. D. Turner and S. M. Cavallo

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

J1.5

Paths Towards Routine High Resolution Atmospheric Modeling of the North Slope of Alaska

Erika Roesler, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM

Handout (8.6 MB)

9:45 AM

J1.6

The Footprints of 16-Year Trends of Arctic Springtime Cloud and Radiation Properties on September Sea-Ice Retreat

Yiyi Huang, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and X. Dong, B. Xi, E. K. Dolinar, and R. Stanfield

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 3

Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part I

Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )

Chair: Qinghua Ding, Univ. of California

8:30 AM

J3.1

Advancing NOAA NWS Arctic Program Development

Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Horsfall, J. C. Meyers, M. Churma, and R. Thoman

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

J3.2

50 Years of Satellite Snow Cover Extent Mapping Over Northern Hemisphere Lands

David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

J3.3

Near Real Time Operational Satellite Arctic Composite Imagery Products

Banghua Yan, NOAA, College Park, MD

Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.1 MB)

9:15 AM

J3.4

Stability of Atmospheric Teleconnections in Dynamical Models

Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. M. Bitz

9:30 AM

J3.5

Connections Between the Spring Pacific-Arctic Dipole and Summer Sea Ice in the Beaufort-Chukchi Seas

Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and M. Zhang and Z. Long

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

J3.6

Scenario Changes of Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean

Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Z. Long

Coffee Break

Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

Joint Session 2

Polar Clouds and Climate Part II

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions )

Chair: Von Walden, Washington State University

10:30 AM

J2.1

Summer Atmosphere Boundary-Layer Vertical Structure Downwind of the Ice Edge in on-Ice Advection

Michael Tjernström, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; and I. M. Brooks, J. Sedlar, M. Shupe, P. O. G. Persson, J. Prytherch, D. J. Salisbury, P. Achtert, B. J. Brooks, and G. Sotiropoulou

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

J2.2

The Influence of Arctic Low Cloud-Sea Ice Interaction on the Arctic Surface Energy Budget

Patrick C. Taylor, NASA, Hampton, VA

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

J2.3

Relationships between Water Vapor and Liquid Water in Arctic Mixed-Phase Stratiform Clouds

Lucien Felix Simpfendoerfer, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Shupe and J. Verlinde

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

J2.4

A Polar Precipitation Perspective Using Spaceborne Observational Datasets

Mark S. Kulie, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and L. Milani, M. E. Mateling, S. A. Tushaus, W. Hahn, N. B. Wood, and T. S. L'Ecuyer

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

J2.5

New Progress in Leveraging Spaceborne Radar and Lidar to Advance Arctic Cloud-Climate Research

Jennifer Kay, CIRES University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and H. Chepfer, T. L'Ecuyer, and A. Morrison

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

J2.6

Ice Nucleating Particles over Oceans to High Latitudes

Christina S. McCluskey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. J. DeMott, T. C. J. Hill, A. M. Rauker, C. M. Beall, J. Ovadnevaite, D. Ceburnis, C. O'Dowd, R. Humphries, M. Keywood, A. Protat, M. Harvey, E. R. Lewis, C. Y. Hwang, T. Lee, M. A. Knox, D. H. Wall, M. N. Gooseff, K. A. Prather, and S. M. Kreidenweis

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 4

Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part II

Location: 605 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )

Chair: Emily R. Newsom, University of Washington

10:30 AM

J4.1

Influence of the Recent High-Latitude Atmospheric Circulation Change on Summertime Arctic Sea Ice

Qinghua Ding, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and A. Schweiger, M. L'Heureux, D. Battisti, N. Johnson, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Q. Zhang, K. J. Harnos, R. Eastman, and E. J. Steig

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

J4.2

Seasonal Differences in the Response of Arctic Synoptic Scale Cyclones to Climate Change

Jonathan J Day, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. M. Holland and K. I. Hodges

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

J4.3

Impacts of Atmospheric Moisture Transport on Greenland Ice Sheet Melt and Energy Balance

Kyle S. Mattingly, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. Mote

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

J4.4

Temperature and Moisture Advection in the Lower Troposphere Driving the Arctic Surface Radiative Flux Anomalies Associated with the Arctic Oscillation and Arctic Dipole

Bradley M. Hegyi, NASA, Hampton, VA; and P. C. Taylor

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

J4.5

Seasonal Climatology and Trends of Strong Wind and Lull Events in the Circum-Arctic During the 1980 - 2010 Period Using a Novel Lull/Storm Wind Indicator

Norman James Shippee, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and D. E. Atkinson and J. L. Partain Jr.

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

J4.6

Enhanced Coupling for Warm Stratospheric Events with Strong Polar Night Jet Oscillation

Dieter H. W. Peters, Leibniz-Institute of Atmospheric Physics/University Rostock, Kühlungsborn, Germany; and A. Schneidereit

Recorded Presentation

Lunch Break

Lecture 2

Horton Lecture

Location: 602 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability; the Observation Symposium: Progress, Problems, and Prospects; the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Third Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Greening the Built Environment; and the Events )

Organizer: John B. Eylander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Lecturer: Hoshin V. Gupta, Univ. of Arizona

Cochairs: Michael Ek, NOAA; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC

1:30 PM

L2.1

Learning with Models & Data: A Maximum Entropy Approach (Invited Presentation)

Hoshin V. Gupta, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (57.5 kB)

Handout (13.3 MB)

Joint Session 6

Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part III

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: James A. Renwick, Victoria University of Wellington

1:30 PM

J6.1

2016 Arctic Spring and Summer Warming Observed by AIRS

Jae N. Lee, JCET, Baltimore, MD; and J. Susskind, L. Iredell, Y. K. Lim, and S. Nowicki

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

J6.2

Indicators of a Changing Arctic

Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA ESRL Global Monitoring Division, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Druckenmiller, F. Fetterer, M. Gerst, J. Intrieri, M. A. Kenney, W. Meier, J. E. Overland, J. Stroeve, and S. Trainor

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

J6.3

The Arctic System Reanalysis

David H. Bromwich, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and A. B. Wilson, L. S. Bai, K. M. Hines, S. H. Wang, B. Kuo, Z. Liu, H. C. Lin, T. K. Wee, M. Barlage, M. C. Serreze, J. E. walsh, and A. Slater

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

J6.4

The Polar Amplification Asymmetry: Role of Antarctic Surface Height

Marc Salzmann, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany

Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.9 MB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 3

Poster Session Part 3

Host: 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

1307

Navigability Indicators for the Northwest Passage and the Northern Sea Route

Harry L. Stern, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. L. Laidre and D. D. W. Hauser

Handout (1.4 MB)

1308

Foehn Jets over the Larsen C Ice Shelf, Antarctica

Andrew D. Elvidge, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and I. A. Renfrew, J. C. King, A. Orr, T. Lachlan-Cope, M. Weeks, and S. L. Gray

1309

Study on the Structure and Variation of the Antarctic Vortex, and an Integral Diagnostic Method

Zhang Yu, Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang, China; and J. Li

Poster 1310 has moved. It is now Paper J9.3A

1311

Evaluating Reanalysis Products in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, Antarctica

Richard Wilson Jones, Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Science (University of East Anglia), Norwich, United Kingdom; and I. Renfrew, B. Webber, A. Orr, M. A. Lazzara, and D. M. Holland

Poster 1312 has moved. It is now Paper J8.1A

1312A

Development of Model Framework for Surface Mass Balance Simulation of Antarctic Peninsula Glaciers and Ice Shelves

Jing Zhang, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and Y. Yao and R. Hock

1313

Robust Spatial and Seasonal Changes to the Coupled Arctic Energy Budget in a Large Ensemble

Michael Russell Kula, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and J. J. Wettstein

Handout (3.7 MB)

1314

Increasing Greenland Melt and Blocking in Recent Decades Modulated by Large-Scale and Regional Circulation Changes

Lily Caroline Hahn, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and C. C. Ummenhofer and F. Straneo

1315

Analysis of a Multi-Year Record of Ozonesondes over Summit Station, Greenland (2005-2016)

Shima Bahramvash Shams, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and V. Walden

1316

Investigating Antarctic Intermediate Water Changes in the Southern Ocean Under RCP 8.5 Using CESM-BGC

Stephanie C Pennington, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and C. Hartin

Joint Session 7

Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and/or Antarctic Part IV

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Kyle R. Clem, Victoria University of Wellington

4:00 PM

J7.1

Seasonal Spatial Pressure Reconstructions Across Antarctica Extending Throughout the Entire 20th Century

Chad Goergens, Ohio University, Athens, OH; and R. L. Fogt

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

J7.2

Causes and Consequences of Long-Term Pressure Variability and Trends over Antarctica Since 1905

David Schneider, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. L. Fogt and H. Dusselier

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

J7.3

An Exceptional Summer during the South Pole Race of 1911-1912

Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio Univ., Athens, OH; and M. E. Jones

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

J7.4

Sensitivity of Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica, to Changing Climate

Laurie Padman, Earth & Space Research, Corvallis, OR; and F. Paolo, J. Feldmann, M. S. Dinniman, H. A. Fricker, S. L. Howard, A. Levermann, and S. Springer

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

J7.5

The Bizarre Antarctic: Why is the Radiative Forcing and Greenhouse Effect Negative?

Sergio A. Sejas, USRA, Hampton, VA; and P. C. Taylor

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

J7.6

Intraseasonal Variability of Antarctic Sea-Ice in Austral Winter Related to ENSO and SAM Events

James A. Renwick, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand; and K. Baba

Recorded Presentation

Awards Banquet Reception

Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

5:30 PM

Awards Banquet Reception

Recorded Presentation

97th AMS Awards Banquet

Location: Ballroom 6ABCE (Washington State Convention Center )

7:00 PM

97th AMS Awards Banquet

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 5

Weather and Climate Modeling in the Polar Regions, Including Sea Ice Prediction Part I

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Chair: David Schneider, NCAR

8:30 AM

J5.1

The Role of External Forcing on the Amundsen Sea Low Intensification

Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio Univ., Athens, OH

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

J5.2

Modelling Large Ocean to Atmosphere Heat Flux events in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica

Richard Wilson Jones, Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Science (University of East Anglia), Norwich, United Kingdom; and I. Renfrew and A. Orr

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

J5.3

A Dynamical Explanation of the Topographically Bound Easterly Low-Level Jet Surrounding Antarctica

Scott R. Fulton, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY; and W. H. Schubert, Z. Chen, and P. E. Ciesielski

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

J5.4

Evaluation of a Cycling Mesocale Ensemble Prediction System over the Antarctic Region

Christopher P. Riedel, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

Recorded Presentation

Exhibit Hall Breakfast

Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

Joint Session 8

Weather and Climate Modeling in the Polar Regions, including Sea Ice Prediction Part II

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Chair: David B. Reusch, New Mexico Tech

Paper J8.1 has moved. It is now Poster 1312A

10:30 AM

J8.1A

Relationship Between Snow Cover and Temperature Trends in Observational and Earth-System Model Ensembles

Paul J. Kushner, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and L. Mudryk, C. Derksen, R. Brown, and C. Thackeray

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

J8.2

Sea Ice Evolution in the Pacific Arctic by Selected CMIP5 Models: the Present and the Future

Muyin Wang, University of Washington, Seattle,, WA; and Q. Yang and J. E. Overland

11:00 AM

J8.3

Prediction of Seasonal Arctic Sea Ice Extent Using the North American Multimodel Ensemble

Kirstin J. Harnos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC/Innovim, College Park, MD; and M. L'Heureux and Q. Zhang

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

J8.4

15-Day Hindcast Experiments with the Uncouped CICE Ice Model

Shan Sun, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and A. Solomon, R. Grumbine, and J. Intrieri

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

J8.5

Sea Ice in the NCEP Climate Forecast System

Xingren Wu, EMC, College Park, MD; and S. Saha, R. Grumbine, and D. Bailey

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

J8.6

A Numerical Model of Nonlinearity in Wave Attenuation by Sea Ice

Filippo Nelli, Swinburne University of Technology, Hawthorn, Australia; and L. G. Bennetts, D. M. Skene, J. P. Monty, J. H. Lee, M. H. Meylan, A. V. Babanin, and A. Toffoli

Recorded Presentation

Lunch Break

Joint Session 9

Weather and Climate Modeling in the Polar Regions, including Sea Ice Prediction Part III

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Chair: Mark W. Seefeldt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado

1:30 PM

J9.1

Bringing Together the Observational and Modeling Communities

David A. Bailey, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Holland, J. Kay, and N. Jeffery

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

J9.2

Evaluation and Improvement of Polar WRF Simulations Using the Observed Atmospheric Profiles in the Arctic Seasonal Ice Zone

Zheng Liu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. J. Schweiger

Recorded Presentation

J9.3

Sea Ice Model Skill Assessment

2:00 PM

J9.3A

Runaway Change in the Arctic? Extreme 2016 Temperatures

James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and M. Wang

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

J9.4

Regional Arctic Sea-Ice Prediction: Potential Versus Operational Seasonal Forecast Skill

Mitch Bushuk, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and R. Msadek, M. Winton, G. A. Vecchi, R. Gudgel, A. Rosati, and X. Yang

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

J9.5

OSE and OSSE Studies to Evaluate the Impact of Real and Simulated Global Hawk Data on Winter Storm Forecasts over Alaska and the Arctic

Andrew C Kren, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and H. Wang, J. M. English, T. R. Peevey, and L. Cucurull

Recorded Presentation

Handout (8.1 MB)

2:45 PM

J9.6

Model Evaluation in Central Greenland Using a Comprehensive Set of Atmospheric and Surface Measurements

Nathaniel Miller, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Shupe, J. Lenaerts, J. Kay, and R. Bennartz

Recorded Presentation

Coffee Break

Location: Skybridge (Washington State Convention Center )

Joint Session 10

Weather and Climate Modeling in the Polar Regions, including Sea Ice Prediction Part IV

Location: Conference Center: Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center )

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Chair: Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio Univ.

3:30 PM

J10.1

Ongoing Improvements in Atmospheric Physics Parameterizations with the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM)

Mark W. Seefeldt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Cassano and A. K. DuVivier

Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM

J10.2

Impact of Model Physics on Seasonal Forecasts of Surface Air Temperature in the Arctic

Qiong Yang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Wang, J. E. Overland, W. Wang, and T. Collow

Recorded Presentation

Handout (9.7 MB)

4:00 PM

J10.3

Observations of Surface Momentum Exchange over the Marginal Ice Zone and Recommendations for Its Parametrisation

Andrew D. Elvidge, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and I. A. Renfrew, A. I. Weiss, I. M. Brooks, T. Lachlan-Cope, and J. C. King

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

J10.4

The 2014-2105 Polar Winds Airborne Campaigns: Investigating Lower Tropospheric Circulations and Model Performance near Greenland Utilizing Doppler Wind Lidar and Dropsondes

Steven Greco, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and G. D. Emmitt, A. K. DuVivier, J. J. Cassano, and K. M. Hines

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

J10.5

Coupled Single-Column Model Framework for Polar Processes

Kerstin Hartung, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; and G. Svensson and H. Struthers

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

J10.6

NWS Alaska Sea Ice Program: Operations, Customer Support & Challenges

Rebecca Heim, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK; and M. B. Schreck

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 10 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Monday, 23 January 2017

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2017

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Tuesday, 24 January 2017

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

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4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Wednesday, 25 January 2017

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

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4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Thursday, 26 January 2017

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

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3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

Monday, 23 January 2017

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2017

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12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

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5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Tuesday, 24 January 2017

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

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4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Wednesday, 25 January 2017

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

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5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Thursday, 26 January 2017

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

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12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017

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3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 26 January 2017