25th Conference on Applied Climatology

Program Chair: Robb M. Randall , U.S. Department of Defense

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Monday, 13 January 2020

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Monday)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Session 1
The Value of Federal Climate Services in Regional Contexts: Examples from Drought and the Future Landscape
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Mark D. Brusberg, USDA
10:30 AM
1.1
Collaborative Drought Monitoring and Analysis: Examples from the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Richard R. Heim Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt and S. Ansari

11:00 AM
1.3
Building Indigenous Resilience to Drought through Regional Collaborations in the Missouri River Basin
Crystal J. Stiles, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and N. A. Umphlett, J. Rattling Leaf Sr., and D. R. Kluck

11:15 AM
1.4
Drought Social Media Doesn’t Have to Be Dry
Gregory Hammer, NESDIS, Asheville, NC

11:30 AM
1.5
Blending Co-production and Conventional Research Approaches to Address Real World Climate Challenges
Stephanie A. McAfee, University of Nevada, Reno, Reno, NV; and J. S. Littell, H. R. Prendeville, S. T. Gray, A. Jacobs, R. Thoman Jr., D. J. Bathke, A. Bidlack, P. Bieniek, R. Lader, T. S. Rupp, and G. J. Wolken

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Lunch Break (Monday)

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Session 2
Other Topics in Applied Climatology
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Robb M. Randall, Army Research Lab
2:00 PM
2.1
Meteorological Data to Monitor, Prevent and Predict the Rain Erosion on the Leading Edge of Wind Turbine Blades
Luis Bartolomé, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and J. Teuwen

2:15 PM
2.2
Implications of a Climate Changed Atmosphere on Cool Climate Viticulture
Steven Schultze, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and P. Sabbatini

2:30 PM
2.3
2:45 PM
2.4
Development and Characterization of U.S. Drought Monitor Based Drought Events
R. D. Leeper, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies (NCICS), Asheville, NC; and B. Petersen and M. Palecki

3:00 PM
2.5
Spatial Analysis of United States Agriculture Losses Due to Hailfall Over the Past 29 Years
Nicholas R. Bogen, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI; and J. T. Allen and B. W. Heumann

3:15 PM
2.6
An Environmental Climatology of Quasi-Linear Convective System Mesovortices Around Northern Illinois
Max Ungar, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. Izzi, E. Lenning, V. A. Gensini, W. S. Ashley, and A. M. Haberlie

3:30 PM
2.7
Should We Expect Each Year in the Next Decade (2019-2028) to be Ranked Among the Top 10 Warmest Years Globally?
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and L. Yang, L. Mahoney, S. Hurley, A. K. Inamdar, and A. Sanchez-Lugo

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Mon)

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Session 3
Decision Support Services at Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Timescales - Part 1
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Rebecca Bolinger, Colorado State Univ.
8:30 AM
3.1
User Engagement and Discovery of Needs for Climate Service
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Timofeyeva, J. C. Meyers, V. Silva, M. M. Hurwitz, and J. Zdrojewski

8:45 AM
3.2
Overview of the S2S-Decadal Climate Services and Information Database
Jamese Sims, NOAA/OFCM, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Branham

9:00 AM
3.3
Putting Short-term Phenology Forecasts on the Map
Alyssa Rosemartin, USA National Phenology Network, Tucson, AZ; and T. M. Crimmins, K. Gerst, and E. Posthumus

9:15 AM
3.4
NWS Jackson Mississippi Week Two Hazardous Weather Impact Assessments
Thomas Winesett, NWS, Jackson, MS; and B. Bryant, E. E. Carpenter, D. Cox, C. Entremont, N. Fenner, and D. Lamb

9:30 AM
3.5
Users Perspective and Decision Making Process Based on S2S Extreme Precipitation Forecast Products - What We Learned during PRES2iP Workshop.
Paulina Cwik, 3401 Lyric st., Norman, OK; and E. R. Martin, R. McPherson, H. Lazrus, J. C. Furtado, E. Mullens, C. M. Kuster, and M. J. Lamkin (Maiden: Wagner)

9:45 AM
3.6
Using Seasonal Prediction to Improve Decision-making in Drought Monitoring
Rebecca Bolinger, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Tuesday)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Session 4
Decision Support Services at Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Timescales - Part 2
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Emily Becker, RSMAS
10:45 AM
4.2
Water Security Indicators Web-Application
Kayla A. Cotterman, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg, MS; and D. Baston, J. Brinks, S. D. Christensen, M. W. Farthing, M. P. Geheran, T. M. Parris, M. Rashid, A. M. Rhodes, K. H. Sparrow, M. D. Wahl, and E. M. Yeates

11:00 AM
4.3
NASA's Seasonal Hydrological Forecast System for Improved Food Insecurity Early Warning in Africa
K. R. Arsenault, NASA GSFC/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Hazra, S. Shukla, A. McNally, A. Getirana, C. D. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, R. Koster, B. F. Zaitchik, K. Slinski, C. C. Funk, and J. P. Verdin

11:15 AM
4.4
Sub-seasonal Prediction for Water Management: Reclamation Forecast Rodeo I and II
Ken Nowak, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. Beardsley, L. D. Brekke, I. Ferguson, and D. Raff

11:30 AM
4.5
Utilizing Climate Predictions for Health
Amanda Quintana, U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC; NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; National Institute of Health, Bethesda, MD; and H. M. Jones and J. Balbus

11:45 AM
4.6
Being Weather Ready Starts with Being Climate-Smart
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Horsfall, J. C. Meyers, V. Silva, M. M. Hurwitz, and J. Zdrojewski

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Lunch Break (Tuesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Session 5
NOAA 1991-2020 Climate Normals: Current Plans and Future Directions
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Michael A Palecki, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
1:30 PM
5.1
NOAA 1991-2020 U.S. Normals
Michael A Palecki, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC

1:45 PM
5.2
ENSO Normals: A New U.S. Climate Normals Product Conditioned by ENSO Phase and Intensity and Accounting for Secular Trends
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and M. A. Palecki, C. J. Schreck III, A. H. Young, and A. K. Inamdar

2:00 PM
5.3
Alternative Precipitation Normals based on NEXRAD Quantitative Precipitation Estimates
B. R. Nelson, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and O. P. Prat and A. Arguez

2:15 PM
5.4
Canada’s Project for the 1991-2020 Climate Normals
Charles K Paterson, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Tuesday)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Panel Discussion 1
NOAA 1991-2020 Climate Normals: Current Plans and Future Directions - Panel Discussion
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Michael A Palecki, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Tues)

Joint Poster Session 1
From Droughts to Deluges - Learning from Practitioners How to Value the Human Health and Societal Impacts of Hydrologic Disasters - Posters
Hosts: (Joint between the 34th Conference on Hydrology; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 25th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 11th Conference on Environment and Health )
Chairs: Hunter Jones, NOAA; Jesse Bell, University of Nebraska Medical Center; Amanda Sheffield, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Mike Hobbins, CIRES
Rainfall as a Driver of Waterborne Disease: Ecohydrological Perspectives
Andrea Rinaldo, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne (CH), Switzerland

Floods and Droughts Management: The Extreme Event and its Human and Physical Impacts.
Mohammed-Said Karrouk, Hassan II University of Casablanca, Casablanca, Morocco


Poster Session
Climate Tools: Showcase of New Climate Data Tools and Services
Location: Hall B1 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Robb M. Randall, Army Research Lab
Aligning Climate Models with Stakeholder Needs: A Decision Tool for Communicating Future Rainfall Uncertainties to South Florida Decision Makers
Johnna Infanti, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; Cherokee Nation Strategic Programs, Silver Spring, MD; Florida Atlantic University, Davie, FL; and B. Kirtman and C. Polsky

Climatological Data Applied in a Rules-based Tactical Decision Aid
Subing Zeng, U.S. Department of Defense, Adelphi, MD

Climate4Cities: City Data Explorer Tools Demonstration
Natalie A. Umphlett, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and M. Shulski, T. Abdel-Monem, Z. Tang, and F. Uhlarik

Interactive Tools that Localize Climate Change for the Public
Sean Sublette, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ; and B. W. Placky

Recent additions to Reanalysis holdings at NCAR’s Research Data Archive
Riley Conroy, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Stepaniak, R. Dattore, C. F. Shih, and D. Schuster

Using Hourly-Observed Data Web Services: A Climatology of Wind Chill and Heat Index in the Continental United States
Bryan Peake, ISWS, Griffith Dr, IL; and R. A. Wolf, T. Rieck, and M. S. Timlin

Consumer-Driven Data Delivery at the Oklahoma Mesonet
Michael D. Klatt, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

Impact of Climate Fluctuations on North Atlantic Iceberg Counts
Richard W. Dixon, Texas State Univ., San Marcos, TX

The Colorado Climate Center: Climate Monitoring, Climate Research, and Climate Services for Colorado
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. Bolinger, P. Goble, N. Newman, H. Reges, Z. Schwalbe, D. Talmadge, J. Turner, and N. J. Doesken

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 6
Climate Extremes of 2019: Impacts in the North Central Region - Part 1
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Cochairs: Natalie Umphlett, Univ. of Nebraska; Laura Edwards, DRI
8:30 AM
7.1
The Curious Case of 2019: A Year of Extremes in the Black Hills
Keith D. Sherburn, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD

9:15 AM
7.4
A Hydrometeorological Assessment of the Historic 2019 Flood of Nebraska and Iowa
Paul X. Flanagan, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and R. Mahmood, N. Umphlett, E. Hacker, C. Hacker, W. Sorensen, C. J. Stiles, D. Pearson, and P. Fajman

9:30 AM
7.5
Spatiotemporal Diagnostics of Major Crops's Vulnerability in the Northern High Plains
Parisa Sarzaeim, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and W. Ou, L. Alves, and F. Munoz-Arriola

9:45 AM
7.6
From Cattle to Corn: South Dakota Agricultural Production Challenges in 2019
Laura M. Edwards, South Dakota State Univ., Aberdeen, SD


Joint Session 31
From Droughts to Deluges - Learning from Practitioners How to Value the Human Health and Societal Impacts of Hydrologic Disasters
Location: 253A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 34th Conference on Hydrology; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 25th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 11th Conference on Environment and Health )
8:30 AM
J31.1
8:45 AM
J31.2
Droughts and Health in the United States: an Evaluation of Knowledge
Jesse Eugene Bell, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE

9:00 AM
J31.3
9:15 AM
J31.4
Systems Responding to Disasters: The Intersection Between Health, Extreme Events, and the Entities that Respond to Them
Keith Hansen, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE; and R. Lookadoo

9:30 AM
J31.5
The Impact of Natural Disasters on Human Mobility and Health (Invited Presentation)
Caroline O Buckee, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA

9:45 AM
J31.6
Drought and All-Cause Mortality in All Age Groups in Nebraska
Azar Mohammad Abadi kamarei, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE; and Y. Gwon and J. E. Bell

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Wednesday)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 7
Climate Extremes of 2019: Impacts in the North Central Region - Part 2
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Cochairs: Laura M Edwards, DRI; Natalie A. Umphlett, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln
10:30 AM
8.1
CPC 2019 Forecasts of Climate Extremes in the Northern Plains
David DeWitt, NOAA/NWS, College Park, MD; and J. Gottschalck

10:45 AM
8.2
Agricultural Impacts of the Spring and Summer Extremes of 2019
Dennis Todey, Agricultural Research Service, Ames, IA; and D. Peck, D. Kluck, and C. Felkley

11:00 AM
8.3
2019 Upper Missouri Basin – Runoff, Reservoir Regulation, and Monitoring Network
Kevin R. Grode, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Omaha, NE

11:15 AM
8.4
11:30 AM
8.5
Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Midwest Agriculture: Applying NOAA CPC Outlooks for the Midwest/Plains Agricultural Community
Dennis Todey, Agricultural Research Service, Ames, IA; and C. Felkley and E. Kistner-Thomsa

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Lunch Break (Wednesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 8
State Climate Offices: Applying Climatological Expertise to Serve at the State and Local Level as a Part of the National Climate Services Partnership - Part 1
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Glenn Kerr, AASC = American Association of State Climatologists
1:30 PM
9.1
National Climate Services Partnership: A National Perspective
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and M. J. Brewer

1:45 PM
9.2
2:00 PM
9.3
The State Climate Office of North Carolina
Kathie D. Dello, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. Bertrand, C. N. Davis, S. P. Heuser, A. Hiatt, M. D. Neill, N. Parker, and R. V. Ward

2:15 PM
9.4
Locals Trusting Locals: Applied State Climate Services
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and M. R. Gerbush

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Wednesday)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 9
State Climate Offices: Applying Climatological Expertise to Serve at the State and Local Level as a Part of the National Climate Services Partnership - Part 2
Location: 153A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Glenn Kerr, AASC = American Association of State Climatologists
3:00 PM
10.1
Using Historical Trends As Projections
John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

3:15 PM
10.2
The American Association of State Climatologists' Recommendations and Best Practices for Mesonets
Christopher A. Fiebrich, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. R. Atkins, K. R. Brinson, N. L. Edwards, S. A. Foster, R. Mahmood, C. A. Redmond, M. M. Schargorodski, J. A. Andresen, and X. Lin

3:30 PM
10.3
Feasibility of Soil Moisture Monitoring on a State Mesonet
Christopher Redmond, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and M. Knapp and A. Patrignani

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Wed)