* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
David J. Pace, FAA-Retired
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 17 January 2010
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Annual Meeting Registration Begins
 
12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday
Weatherfest
 
3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, B314
First-Time Attendee Briefing
 
5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Sunday, B314
Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards
 
6:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Exhibit Hall B2
Fellows Reception
 
Monday, 18 January 2010
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Registration Open
 
9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 and 2
Presidential Forum
 
10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, B314
Panel Discussion 1 Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation
Panelists: Jaime Figueroa, FAA, Washington, DC; Don Berchoff, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Moderator: Steve Abelman, NOAA/NWS Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD
11:00 AMPD1.1Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation -- NWS  
Don Berchoff, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
11:15 AMPD1.2Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation -- FAA  
Jaime Figueroa, FAA, Washington, DC
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, B314
Session 1 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 1
Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
1:30 PM1.1Evaluation of enroute convective weather avoidance models based on planned and observed flight  extended abstract
Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura
1:45 PM1.2Methods for estimating air traffic capacity reductions due to convective weather for verification  extended abstract
Geary J. Layne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Lack
2:00 PM1.3Traffic Management Advisor (TMA) – weather integration  extended abstract
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and H. J. Davison-Reynolds and J. E. Evans
2:15 PM1.4An Integrated Strategic-Tactical Approach to Managing Traffic Flows to the Northeast During Severe Convective Weather  
James Evans, MIT, Lexington, MA; and M. Robinson, J. Cho, and M. Evans
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Poster Session Convection, Decision Support Systems and ATM Posters
 170Objective verification of manual and automated forecasts of cumulonimbus clouds from World Area Forecast Centres  
Andrew K. Mirza, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and B. Lunnon, P. Gill, and L. Reid
 171Convection diagnosis and nowcasting system for transoceanic aircraft  extended abstract
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, M. Donovan, E. R. Williams, R. Bankert, and J. Hawkins
 172Optical Turbulence Simulations from a Numerical Weather Prediction Model in Support of Air to Air Laser Communications  extended abstract
Randall Alliss, Northrop Grumann Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and B. Felton
 173Severe high altitude aircraft turbulence on thunderstorm peripheries  extended abstract
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS; and J. A. Knox and P. D. Williams
 174How to represent the weather impact on aviation in a global air traffic model  
Stephan Himmelsbach, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and T. Hauf and C. H. Rokitansky
 175Convective Initiation in the northern Mid-Atlantic during the Summer Season  
Paul J. Croft, Kean Univ., Union, NJ; and A. Wuestenberg, D. Fadeski, and J. Schulte
 176Diameters of cumulonimbi over land and ocean and their dependence on cloud base height  
Earle R. Williams, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. F. Donovan, Z. J. Luo, C. Kessinger, H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, J. Hawkins, R. Bankert, and D. Bou Karam
 177Operational Scoring of Forecasts of Convective Weather Impacts in the Route Availability Planning Tool (RAPT)  
John Hayward, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Matthews
 178Translating an Ensemble Weather Forecast into Operational Disruption for the National Airspace System  extended abstract
John Huhn, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Duquette, D. Bright, J. Racy, G. Grosshans, and B. Sherman
 179The “Barn Door” Effect  extended abstract
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
 180Multi-sensor visualization and assessment of the state of the atmosphere during the June 1 2009 AF447 crash  
Gregory Leptoukh, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga, H. H. Aumann, Z. Liu, and A. Savtchenko
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Poster Session Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation Posters
 181Weather Research Coordination and Challenges of NextGen  
Darien L. Davis, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and W. Fellner and J. J. Murray
 182The new Aviation Meteorology specialization in the Graduate Aeronautics program at Embry-Riddle  extended abstract
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and E. A. Roberts
 183Aviation Weather Tools Available on the Houston Center Weather Service Unit Web Site  extended abstract
Eric Avila, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX
 184Adventures in technology transfer  
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wallace
 185Impacts of haze on high-capacity airport operations  
Randall A. Skov, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
 186A Look at Airport Delays Due to Ceiling and Visibility Conditions  
Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, C. Kessinger, B. Lambi, and R. E. Bateman
 187Comparison of Precipitation Rate Intensities as Determined by Visibility Versus Liquid Water Equivalent Measurements  extended abstract
Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rasmussen and S. Landolt
 188A Combined Sensor Method for Detecting Frost Formation  
Grant E. Gutierrez, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt, R. Rasmussen, J. Black, and A. Gaydos
 189A Comparison of an Automated Freezing Drizzle Algorithm to Human Observations  extended abstract
Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Politovich, R. Rasmussen, and A. Gaydos
 190FRAM-S Freezing Fog Project: Emphasis On Visibility Forecasting  extended abstract
Ismail Gultepe, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. M. Rasmussen, B. Zhou, R. K. Ungar, and R. Nitu
 191Can CoSPA improve the predictability of C&V events?  extended abstract
Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, C. Kessinger, and J. Black
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, B312
Joint Session 2 The emergence of new scientific partnerships (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, and the First Environment and Health Symposium)
Chair: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
4:00 PMJ2.1Climate Adaptation Partnerships in Semiarid North America  
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
4:15 PMJ2.2The FEMA Hurricane Liaison Team: Bridging the Communication Gap (because Great Minds Don't Always Think Alike)  
Matthew Green, FEMA, Miami, FL
4:30 PMJ2.3Partnership between the Državni hidrometeorološki zavod (DHMZ) and the University of Oklahoma (OU)  
Ivan Cacic, Državni hidrometeorološki zavod, Zagreb, Croatia; and B. Ivančan-Picek, B. Lipovšćak, K. Pandzic, B. Terek, V. Tutiš, G. Zuccon, K. Crawford, R. A. McPherson, K. L. Nemunaitis-Monroe, and J. T. Snow
4:45 PMJ2.4The Norman, Oklahoma Chamber of Commerce Weather Committee: A Framework for New Partnerships Among Industry, Government and Academia  
Kelvin K. Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and W. L. Qualley, V. Rose, and A. M. Suggs
5:00 PMJ2.5The Weather And Society *Integrated Studies (WAS*IS) Program: yesterday, today, and tomorrow  
G. Thomas Behler Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gruntfest, J. Demuth, J. K. Lazo, and E. Laidlaw
5:15 PMJ2.6User engagement activities at NOAA's national climatic data center  extended abstract
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, B314
Session 2 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 2
Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
4:00 PM2.1Improved thunderstorm weather information for pilots through ground and satellite based observing systems  extended abstract
Arnold Tafferner, DLR - Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Wessling, Germany; and C. Forster, T. Hauf, and R. W. Lunnon
4:15 PM2.2Convective initiation nowcasting using SEVIRI infrared and visible data  
John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. M. MacKenzie Jr. and M. Koenig
4:30 PM2.3The High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): Recent enhancements and evaluation during the 2009 convective season  
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, C. R. Alexander, S. G. Benjamin, K. J. Brundage, B. D. Jamison, and S. R. Sahm
4:45 PM2.4Creation of real-time probabilistic thunderstorm guidance products from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts  
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES-Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, and S. G. Benjamin
5:00 PM2.5Aviation Impact Forecasting based on time-lagged HRRR Ensembles  
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and D. Megenhardt, R. DeLaura, M. Robinson, S. S. Weygandt, and C. Alexander
5:15 PM2.6Evaluating supplemental relationships between convective forecast products for aviation  extended abstract
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, M. P. Kay, S. Madine, and J. Mahoney
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B1
Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception
 
Tuesday, 19 January 2010
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, B306
Joint Session 3 Data Collection, Interpretation, Assimilation, and Stewardship (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, and the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology)
Chair: Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
8:30 AMJ3.1The Impacts on Air Traffic of Volcanic Ash from the 2009 Mt. Redoubt Eruption  extended abstract
Alexander Matus, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and L. A. Hudnall, J. J. Murray, and A. Krueger
8:45 AMJ3.2UrbanNet: Urban Environment Monitoring and Modeling with a Wireless Sensor Network  extended abstract
Paul J. Croft, Kean Univ., Union, NJ; and P. Morreale, F. Qi, A. Tropek, and M. Andujar
9:00 AMJ3.3Network of Weather and Climate Observing Networks (NOWCON)  extended abstract
Samuel P. Williamson, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Stailey and S. J. Taijeron
9:15 AMJ3.4Comparison of COOP and new HCN-M temperature products  
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
9:30 AMJ3.5The Impact of Temporally Varying Snowfall Rates on Holdover Time using the LWE and Check Time Systems  
Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt, J. Black, and A. Gaydos
 
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Tuesday, B314
Session 3 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 3
Cochairs: Jeffrey A. Weinrich, Actionet Inc., Atlantic City, NJ; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
8:30 AM3.1A Comparison of Air Traffic Management Decision Aids and Meteorological Tools  extended abstract
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
8:45 AM3.2Severe weather avoidance program performance metrics for New York departure operations  extended abstract
Ngaire Underhill, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Robinson
9:00 AM3.3Use of Aircraft-Based Data to Evaluate Factors in Pilot Decision Making in Enroute Airspace  extended abstract
Bradley Crowe, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Matthews
9:15 AM3.4Diagnosis of phase errors in high-resolution NWP model forecasts of precipitation and application to improved aviation weather forecasts  extended abstract
Cody L. Phillips, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Pinto, D. Albo, and M. Steiner
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Joint Poster Session Space Weather Products and Services for Aviation and Commercial Space Posters (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Space Weather and the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology)
 199Validation of the operational D-Region Absorption Prediction (D-RAP) model at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center  extended abstract
Rashid A. Akmaev, NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO; and A. Newman, M. V. Codrescu, J. Vickroy, C. Schultz, E. Nerney, S. Hill, and H. Sauer
 200Developments in Aviation Space Weather Services  
Bryn Jones, SolarMetrics Limited, Chedworth, Glos., United Kingdom; and C. Dyer, A. Hands, R. Iles, K. Ryden, M. Smith, M. Stills, and G. Taylor
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Poster Session In-flight Icing Posters
 192An investigation of wintertime midlevel mixed-phase clouds with supercooled water droplets using in-situ measurements  extended abstract
Yoo-Jeong Noh, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and T. H. Vonder Haar
 193The effect of advanced satellite products on an icing nowcasting system  extended abstract
Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Black, F. McDonough, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith Jr.
 194Analysis of causes of icing conditions which contributed to the crash of Contentental flight 3407  extended abstract
Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and D. Schaum
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Poster Session Nowcasting and Modeling Posters
 195Analog ensemble scheme for objective, short-term cloud forecasting  extended abstract
Timothy J. Hall, The Aerospace Corporation, Silver Spring, MD; and R. N. Thessin, G. J. Bloy, and C. N. Mutchler
 196Improving cloud nowcasting via incorporation of cloud type  extended abstract
John Forsythe, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. M. Guillot and T. H. Vonder Haar
 197Meteorological Support for Unmanned Aerial Systems at Dugway Proving Ground  extended abstract
Susan Krippner, Dugway Proving Ground West Desert Test Center, Dugway, UT; and E. N. Vernon and J. Pace
 198Snowbands generated by the release of inertial, symmetric, and conditional instabilities  
David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and R. S. Schumacher and J. Knox
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Exhibits Open
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, B314
Session 4 Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 1
Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM
11:00 AM4.1Status report on the Rapid Refresh  
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, M. Hu, D. Dévényi, K. J. Brundage, J. B. Olson, W. R. Moninger, C. R. Alexander, G. A. Grell, B. D. Jamison, S. E. Peckham, and T. L. Smith
11:15 AM4.2An objective verification of the North American Mesoscale Model for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station  extended abstract
William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL
11:30 AM4.3Feasibility study on using high resolution numerical models to forecast severe aircraft turbulence associated with thunderstorms  extended abstract
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS
11:45 AM4.4Estimating regional cloud base altitudes from local CloudSat observations via type-dependent statistical extrapolation  
Steven D. Miller, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Forsythe, R. Bankert, P. T. Partain, and T. H. Vonder Haar
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B315
Joint Session 1 Space Weather Products and Services for Aviation and Commercial Space (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Seventh Symposium on Space Weather)
Cochairs: Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA, Washington, DC; Joseph Kunches, NOAA/SWPC, Boulder, CO
1:30 PMJ1.1Federal Aviation Administration Examination of Space Weather in support of Aviation  
Steven Albersheim, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and M. J. Gunzelman, AvMET Applications Inc.
1:45 PMJ1.2NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center – Products and Services in Support of Aviation  
William J. Murtagh, NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO
2:00 PMJ1.3Integrating Space Weather Observations & Forecasts into Aviation Operations: “Aviation Space Weather User Requirements”  
Bryn Jones, SolarMetrics Limited, Chedworth, Glos., United Kingdom; and D. Boteler, G. Fisher, J. Kunches, W. J. Murtagh, D. Rome, D. Rose, and M. Stills
2:15 PMJ1.4The use of Space Weather products at Delta Airlines  
Andrew W. Schultz, Delta Air Lines, Minneapolis, MN; and H. Heitzman
2:30 PMJ1.5Protecting spaceflight participants and crew during "non-regulated" on-orbit operations  
Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA, Washington, DC
2:45 PMJ1.6Radiation exposure during suborbital commercial spaceflight  
Ronald E. Turner, Analytic Services Inc. (ANSER), Arlington, VA; and S. Murray
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B314
Session 5 Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 2
Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM
1:30 PM5.1Comparisons of Nowcasting Techniques for Oceanic Convection  
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and C. Kessinger, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner
1:45 PM5.2Satellite Data Applications for Nowcasting of Convective Initiation  
Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. R. Mecikalski, K. M. Bedka, C. Ivaldi, J. Sieglaff, W. Feltz, M. M. Wolfson, and W. M. MacKenzie Jr.
2:00 PM5.3Development of an advanced aviation nowcasting system in support of air traffic management by blending radar nowcasting data with NWP forecasts  extended abstract
Peter P.W. Li, Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and W. K. Wong
2:15 PM5.4The ganged phased array radar risk mitigation system: integrating weather effects  
Mark Askelson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and J. Tilley, C. Theisen, and R. Johnson
2:30 PM5.5Regime-based persistence probability of ceiling and visibility  extended abstract
Alister Ling, Canadian Meteorological Aviation Centre West, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; and B. Hansen and I. Gultepe
2:45 PM5.6A comparison of tropical storm (TS) and non-TS gust factors for assessing peak wind probabilities at the Eastern Range  extended abstract
Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and W. Crawford
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, B314
Session 6 In-flight Icing
Cochairs: Tim Wilfong, Wilfong and Associates, Boulder, CO; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
3:30 PM6.1A regional analysis of clouds containing supercooled liquid water  
Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wolff and M. K. Politovich
3:45 PM6.2A comparison of WRF-RR and RUC forecasts of aircraft icing conditions  extended abstract
Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough
4:00 PM6.3Impacts of high thin cloud on the Current Icing Product (CIP)  
Jeremy E. Solbrig, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. A. Wolff, and S. D. Miller
4:15 PM6.4A new narrowbeam, multi-frequency scanning radiometer and its applications to in-flight icing detection  extended abstract
David Serke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Beaty, A. Reehorst, P. C. Kennedy, F. Solheim, R. Ware, M. K. Politovich, D. A. Brunkow, and B. Bowie
4:30 PM6.5Diagnosing icing severity and supercooled large drop regions within an operational aircraft icing nowcast system using advanced satellite products  extended abstract
Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, J. Black, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith Jr.
4:45 PM6.6Global icing forecast verification using CloudSat data  
Sean Madine, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Lu, M. P. Kay, and J. L. Mahoney
5:00 PM6.7Further ruminations on predicting icing severity  
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO
5:15 PM6.8Weather Conditions Associated with Jet Engine Power-loss and Damage Due to Ingestion of Ice Particles: What We've Learned Through 2009  extended abstract
Matthew L. Grzych,, Boeing, Colorado Springs, CO
 
Wednesday, 20 January 2010
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B314
Joint Session 4 Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 1 (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Presidential Forum)
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA-Retired, Washington, DC; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AMJ4.1NextGen Weather Requirements: An Update  extended abstract
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and T. Kays, C. Miner, S. Abelman, R. C. Showalter, F. Bayne, J. Tauss, E. R. Dash, J. A. May, and L. Leonard
8:45 AMJ4.2The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Roadmap to 2022  
Mark B. Miller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and T. E. Ryan and D. A. Miller
9:00 AMJ4.3The 4-D Weather Single Authoritative Source for air traffic management  extended abstract
Edward R. Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Siver Spring, MD; and R. Heuwinkel, S. Abelman, and C. Miner
9:15 AMJ4.4The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Data Services, standards and IT architecture  
Timothy Hopkins, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and R. C. Deininger, C. MacDermaid, and M. B. Miller
9:30 AMJ4.5Satellite data and products in the NextGen 4-D data cube  
David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Richards, W. Feltz, and T. J. Schmit
9:45 AMJ4.6User-specific evaluation technologies for the NextGen weather Single Authoritative Source  
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine
 
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B215
Joint Session 5 Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part I (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
8:30 AMJ5.1On the seamless prediction of weather and climate  
Timothy N. Palmer, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
8:45 AMJ5.2Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season  
Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and S. Benjamin
9:00 AMJ5.3Why does cloud superparameterization improve the simulated daily rainfall cycle in a multiscale climate modeling framework?  
Michael S. Pritchard, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville
9:15 AMJ5.4North Pacific decadal variability and climate change in the IPCC AR4 models  
Jason C. Furtado, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo
9:30 AMJ5.5Aquaplanet GCM simulations of tropical intraseasonal variability  
Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Hannah
9:45 AMJ5.6Factors affecting forecast skill of the MJO over the Maritime Continent  
Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC - SAIC, Camp Springs, MD
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B215
Joint Session 6 Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part II (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology)
Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
10:30 AMJ6.1Quantifying Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification in a Coupled General Circulation Model  
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. Lu
10:45 AMJ6.2The development of a coupled hurricane storm surge forecasting Model for the Pascagoula River  
David A. Ramirez Jr., NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA
11:00 AMJ6.3Evaluation of the new Australian climate model ACCESS  
Ian G. Watterson, CAWCR, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia; and L. Rikus, B. Hu, and T. Elliott
11:15 AMJ6.4Mesoscale circulations in the urban-coastal environment: a modeling analysis and assessment of sensitivity to high-fidelity representation of the urban canopy  
Michael Carter, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and J. M. Shepherd, S. Burian, and I. Jeyachandran
11:30 AMJ6.5Ensemble downscaling of seasonal forecasts  
R. W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA
11:45 AMJ6.6The misrepresentation of Tropical SSTs in climate models  
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B314
Joint Session 12 Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 2 (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Presidential Forum)
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA-Retired, Washington, DC; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
J12.1Gridding Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) guidance for aviation forecasting  
Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn
10:30 AMJ12.1AProgress on Next Generation Air Transportation System 4-D Weather Cube  
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Abelman, J. G. Stobie, S. Larsen, and B. Williams
10:45 AMJ12.2Upcoming improvements in NOAA modeling toward meeting NextGen aviation requirements  
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego
11:00 AMJ12.3Introduction to the NCEP Very Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (VSREF)  extended abstract
Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du and G. DiMego
11:15 AMJ12.4Translating weather into traffic flow management impacts for NextGen  extended abstract
Tenny A. Lindholm, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, J. A. Krozel, V. Klimenko, S. Krishna, N. Downs, and J. S. B. Mitchell
11:30 AMJ12.5An Example of NextGen Weather Information Integration and Management  extended abstract
Russ Sinclair, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL; and T. Hicks, C. Felix, and K. Bourke
11:45 AMJ12.6Aviation Weather Avoidance Service for Four-dimensional Flight Trajectories  
Tom Hicks, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL
 
11:00 AM-6:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, B314
Session 7 Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Edward H. Teets, Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA; Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC; Timothy Oram, NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX
1:30 PM7.1Aerospace Meteorology: Some Lessons Learned  extended abstract
William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. L. Johnson
1:45 PM7.2Predicting lightning potential on different time scales at the White Sands Missile Range  
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and W. Deierling, E. Nelson, N. Oien, D. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner
2:00 PM7.3Recent improvements in lightning reporting at 45th Weather Squadron  extended abstract
F. Clay Flinn, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder, D. F. Pinter, S. M. Holmquist, M. D. Buchanan, T. M. McNamara, M. McAleenan, K. A. Winters, P. S. Gemmer, M. E. Fitzpatrick, and R. D. Gonzalez
2:15 PM7.4Estimates of Cn2 from numerical weather prediction model output  
Rod Frehlich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, F. Vandenberghe, W. Yu, Y. Liu, J. Knievel, and G. Y. Jumper
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Joint Poster Session Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Posters (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Presidential Forum)
456Real-Time Verification of NWS Aviation Services Products Supporting the NextGen Initial Operating Capabilities  
Jamie L. Vavra, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. L. Mahoney
 457Four dimensional weather visualization  extended abstract
Adam R. Edson, ITT Visual Information Solutions, Springfield, VA
 458AFWA and Industry: A Case Study in NextGen Evolution  
Ronald P. Lowther, PhD, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Bellevue, NE; and D. C. Plum, M. M. Brill, and K. M. Starr
 459Transformation of the NAS to NextGen and the FAA Weather Architecture Impacts: An Update  extended abstract
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, and L. Leonard
 460Evaluating compoents of the forecast process for populating and maintaining the NextGen Weather Information Database  
William Roberts, OAR, Boulder, CO; and L. K. Cheatwood and T. J. LeFebvre
 461MADIS web services in support of NextGen  
Joanne Edwards, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. F. Barth, L. A. Benjamin, P. A. Miller, and D. Helms
 462The Network Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): Evaluating weather forecast quality in NextGen  
Sean Madine, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and N. D. Matheson, M. A. Petty, D. S. Schaffer, T. Pease, and J. L. Mahoney
463Aviation Weather Route Optimization for Four-dimensional Flight Trajectories  
David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and T. Jameson and T. Hicks
 464A Weather and Aviation Data Server for NextGen Applications  
Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and M. Masscotte, S. Lewandowski, F. R. Mosher, J. Campino, R. Haley, N. Gusack, D. Finkelsztein, and P. Beaudoin
 465WRF Model Simulations of Convective Weather for the Evaluation and Testing of NextGen Decision Making Tools  
Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and N. Gusack, M. Masscotte, and F. Mosher
 467NextGen Weather Demonstration Coordination  extended abstract
Steve Abelman, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Strande
 Poster 466 has been moved. New paper number J12.1A  
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Poster Session Range and Aerospace Meteorology Posters
 468Lidar Wind Profiler Comparison to Weather Balloon for Support of Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle Landings  
Franzeska Houtas, NASA, Edwards, CA; and E. H. Teets Jr.
 469The 2009 update to the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria  extended abstract
Todd M. McNamara, U.S. Air Force, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder and F. J. Merceret
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, B212
Joint Session 7 Communication Among Stakeholders That Addresses Issues of Policy, Operations, and New Opportunities (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the First Environment and Health Symposium, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, the Presidential Forum, the Third Annual CCM Forum, and the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research)
Chair: Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
4:00 PMJ7.1Great expectations: Improving climate data services  extended abstract
Trisha U. Ralph, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Lau and T. H. Sopoco
4:15 PMJ7.2Customer satisfaction at NOAA's NESDIS data centers  extended abstract
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
4:30 PMJ7.3Applied climatology guidance for development of Army materiel for world wide use  extended abstract
Charles C. Ryerson, Cold Regions Research & Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and L. Spears, G. Stullenbarger, and L. Page
4:45 PMJ7.4NOAA Climate Users Engagement Using Training and Education Activities  
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Verdin, J. Jones, and R. S. Pulwarty
5:00 PMJ7.5Developing indicators to support climate change policy and programs  
Jason Samenow, EPA, Washington, DC
5:15 PMJ7.6Beyond the boundary: it takes a village to provide climate services  
Daniel Ferguson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Owen
 
4:00 PM-5:45 PM, Wednesday, B204
Joint Session 11 Probabilistic Forecasting for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) (Joint between the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, and the Presidential Forum)
Cochairs: John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
4:00 PMJ11.1A proposed framework for estimating and reducing hourly-updated forecast uncertainty products for aviation applications in NextGen  
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego
4:15 PMJ11.2Advances in the Collaborative Storm Prediction for Aviation (CoSPA)  extended abstract
J. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, M. Steiner, D. Albo, S. Dettling, W. Dupree, D. Morse, H. Iskenderian, T. Xiaofeng, M. Wolfson, C. Reiche, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and C. Alexander
4:30 PMJ11.3Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility at CONUS terminals: Development progress  
Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, J. Cowie, G. Wiener, R. Bateman, and J. Black
4:45 PMJ11.4Using a genetic algorithm to estimate source term parameters of volcanic ash clouds  extended abstract
Kerrie J. Schmehl, Penn State University, State College, PA; and D. Truesdell and S. E. Haupt
5:00 PMJ11.5Techniques for providing probabilistic forecasts of turbulence for NextGen  
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams
5:15 PMJ11.6Regionalized probabilistic turbulence forecasting using machine learning with in-situ data  
Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams
5:30 PMJ11.7A probabilistic global turbulence nowcast and forecast system  
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Kessinger, R. D. Sharman, W. F. Feltz, and A. Wimmers
 
5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1-4
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 21 January 2010
7:30 AM-8:30 AM, Thursday, B208
Washington Symposium Breakfast
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, B314
Session 9 Radar
Cochairs: James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA; Jeffrey A. Weinrich, Actionet Inc., Atlantic City, NJ
8:30 AM9.1Characteristics of microbursts in central Arizona  extended abstract
Elizabeth J. Thompson, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and K. M. Willingham and K. Howard
8:45 AM9.2Developing, implementing, and evaluating a concept of operations - lessons learned from the Route Availability Planning Tool (RAPT)  
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and N. Underhill
9:00 AM9.3An evaluation of various methods for tracing the propagation of electromagnetic energy through the atmosphere  
Randall Johnson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson, J. Tilley, and C. Theisen
9:15 AM9.4A multi-radar data fusion method for small scale features  
Chris Theisen, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson and J. J. Mewes
9:30 AM9.5Forecast improvement from radar data assimilation within the Rapid Update Cycle, Rapid Refresh, and High Resolution Rapid Refresh forecasts initialized with RUC/RR grids  
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, S. E. Peckham, J. M. Brown, K. J. Brundage, G. S. Manikin, and Y. Yang
 
9:45 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall B2
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Poster Session Turbulence and Wind Shear Posters
CoChair: Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
Chair: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
 470Converting turbulence eddy dissipation rate (EDR) into aircraft response metric, RMS-g  
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris
 471Alerting of terrain-induced windshear using wind data measured over the mountains  extended abstract
Gerrit Kuhlmann, Institut fuer Meteorologie und Klimatologie, Hannover, Germany, Germany; and T. Hauf and P. W. Chan
 472Evaluations of upper-level turbulence diagnostics by graphical turbulence guidance (GTG) in the East Asia  
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun, R. D. Sharman, and W. Jang
 473Use of EDR observations for verification of atmospheric turbulence forecasts  extended abstract
Brian Pettegrew, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. Loughe, J. E. Hart, J. K. Henderson, and J. L. Mahoney
 474Sydney Airport Wind Shear Encounter - 15 April 2007  extended abstract
Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and B. Hanstrum and P. Dunda
 475Improvements to an operational clear-air turbulence diagnostic index  extended abstract
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA-Retired, Granby, CT; and J. Knox
 476Wave-induced turbulence: Insights from T-REX  
Vanda Grubisic, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; and J. R. French, S. J. Haimov, and M. Xiao
 
11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, B305
Joint Session 10 Verification of Probabilistic Forecasts (Joint between the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, and the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science)
Cochairs: Bjarne Hansen, EC, Dorval, QC Canada; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Valliappa Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
11:00 AMJ10.1AA comparison between raw ensemble output, Bayesian model averaging and logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts  
Maurice J. Schmeits, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and C. J. Kok
J10.1The three dimensions of prediction and service  
Philip Chadwick, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada
11:15 AMJ10.2Determining Optimal Thresholds for Inland Locations of Tropical Cyclone Incremental Wind Speed Probabilities to Support the Provision of Expressions of Uncertainty within Text Forecast Products  extended abstract
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and D. W. Sharp
11:30 AMJ10.3Verification of aviation turbulence detection, nowcast, and forecast products  
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Pocernich, R. D. Sharman, and J. Abernethy
11:45 AMJ10.4Evaluation of a probabilistic convective nowcast for CoSPA  extended abstract
D. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, S. Dettling, H. Cai, and M. Steiner
12:00 PMJ10.5Choosing a scoring rule for verification of forecast probability distributions: Continuous ranked probability score or ignorance score?  
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, B211
Joint Session 8 New challenges for applied meteorology and climatology (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the First Environment and Health Symposium, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, and the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research)
Chair: Melissa Griffin, Florida Climate Center/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
1:30 PMJ8.1Developing useful science: methods for engaging stakeholders and evaluating integrated climate tools  
Gigi Owen, CLIMAS/University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Averyt, K. Werner, and D. Ferguson
1:45 PMJ8.210 years of the U.S. Drought Monitor: a look back and a look forward  
Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Fuchs, S. Scott, and J. Nothwehr
2:00 PMJ8.3User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and analysis to augment adaptation planning  
Edwin P. Maurer, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and L. D. Brekke, T. Pruitt, K. D. White, E. Ochs, P. Duffy, and E. H. Girvetz
2:15 PMJ8.4Trends of U.S. snowfall and snow cover in a warming world, 1948-2008  extended abstract
Richard R. Heim Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
J8.5Use of the Brazilian Model of Climate and Health (BHMC) in order to estimate admissions for respiratory diseases in Brazil  extended abstract
Micheline S. Z. S. Coelho, Weather Brasilian Service, Săo Paulo, Săo Paulo, Brazil
2:30 PMJ8.6Martian dust storm hazards: improving characterization and forecasting  
Nicholas Heavens, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and M. I. Richardson, I. J. McEwan, and M. W. Busch
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, B314
Session 10 Turbulence and Wind Shear I
Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
1:30 PM10.1Climatology of turbulence statistics determined from rawinsonde and ACARS/AMDAR data  
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Frehlich
1:45 PM10.3Optimum routing of aircraft in the presence of meteorological hazards: an approach taking forecast uncertainty into account  
R. W. Lunnon, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and L. Reid, A. Mirza, and P. Gill
2:00 PM10.4Latest developments of windshear alerting services at the Hong Kong International Airport  extended abstract
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and M. L. Kuo
2:15 PM10.5Update on the turbulence nowcast product GTGN for NextGen IOC  
Julia M. Pearson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman and G. Wiener
2:30 PM10.6Improving forecasts of clear-air turbulence at NOAA's Aviation Weather Center with state-of-the-art diagnostics  
John A. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. P. Ellrod and S. Silberberg
2:45 PM10.2Objective verification of manual and automated forecasts of clear air turbulence from World Area Forecast Centres  
Philip Gill, UK Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and B. Lunnon, L. Reid, and A. Mirza
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday, B314
Session 11 Turbulence and Wind Shear II
Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
3:30 PM11.1The Meteorological Environment Surrounding the Air France #447 Disaster  extended abstract
Michael Kaplan, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Vollmer
3:45 PM11.2A Numerical study of clear-air turbulence (CAT) encounters occurred in Korea  extended abstract
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun
4:00 PM11.3The use of GPS signals to estimate turbulence intensity in the troposphere and stratosphere  
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich and A. Weekley
4:15 PM11.4Progress toward satellite-based atmospheric turbulence interest field detection  
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. Bedka, A. Wimmers, R. Sharman, and J. K. Williams
4:30 PM11.5Gravity waves and clear air turbulence generated by convective storms in different wind shear environments  
Pao K. Wang, Univ. if Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. H. Su
4:45 PM11.6A mechanism for convectively-induced turbulence  
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. G. Fovell and S. B. Trier
 
5:00 PM-5:05 PM, Thursday
AMS 90th Annual Meeting Adjourns
 

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