27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Program Chairs:
Reviewers:
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner
Saturday, 3 January 2015
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Sunday, 4 January 2015
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Monday, 5 January 2015
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Plenary Session
1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling;
the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon;
the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium;
and the 15th Presidential Forum
)
Program Chair:
Moderator:
Keynote:
Panelists:
Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
1
Global Warming Hiatus-Part I
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
Global average temperature has increased by 0.8oC over the 20th century but this warming trend has slowed or even stalled for the past 15 years. This warming hiatus has caused much confusion and debate but at the same time offers a scientific opportunity to study climate change dynamics in action. Mechanisms proposed include a slowdown in net radiative forcing, and interference by natural variability. This session showcases rapidly advancing research on the physical mechanisms and various impacts of this hiatus event. Topics of particular interest include interdecadal variability and the interaction with forced climate change, radiative forcing and related processes, and ocean heat storage as pertinent to the hiatus.
Joint Session
1
The 2014 US National Climate Assessment: Science, Policy, and the Future-Part I
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Cochairs:
In May 2014, the third US National Climate Assessment was publicly released by the White House. Building on efforts such as the IPCC 5th Assessment, and previous National Climate Assessments, the 2014 NCA incorporates a broad scope of the best available science relevant to decision making at multiple scales. The NCA also included important transdisciplinary efforts bridging physical and social sciences, and the communications enterprise. This session will highlight the major scientific highlights of the 2014 NCA, the process as envisioned and executed, the “ongoing assessment” concept, and policy implications. Topics within the session are not limited to direct NCA contributions. Of particular interest are sector specific and regional climate information, methods and perspectives on science communication, the policy implications at multiple scales, and next steps. Contributions that connect IPCC and regional, state, or local assessment activities with the NCA are also encouraged.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
2
Global Warming Hiatus-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
Joint Session
2
The 2014 US National Climate Assessment: Science, Policy, and the Future-Part II
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Cochairs:
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
1
Poster 53 has been moved. New paper number is 3.1A.
Poster Session
2
Regional climate variability and change Posters
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Poster 57 has moved. New paper number is 13A.1.
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Joint Session
3
The 2014 US National Climate Assessment: Science, Policy, and the Future-Part III
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Cochairs:
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
3
Global Warming Hiatus-Part III
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Tuesday, 6 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
4A
Arctic circulation and sea-ice variability and trends: Structure and mechanisms
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
8:30 AM
4A.1
Session
4B
Rasmusson-Wyrtki session on ENSO, Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions, and Global Climatic Impacts: 20 Years after TOGA-Part I
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
The decade long International Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere (TOGA) program ended twenty years ago in December 1994. TOGA fundamentally advanced our understanding of tropical ocean-atmosphere interactions and their global impacts, established a new observing system for El Nińo and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) research and forecasting, and served as an incubator for the development of skillful seasonal prediction models. It paved the way for much subsequent progress in climate research and its legacy still resonates throughout the scientific community. This session will celebrate that legacy and pay tribute to two renowned scientists whose pioneering studies laid the foundation for TOGA and contributed greatly to its success: Gene Rasmusson and the late Klaus Wyrtki. Presentations are encouraged that highlight climate variability and change in the tropics, the global impacts of the tropics in the climate system, and advances in seasonal to decadal time scale climate forecasting. Presentations on evolving 2014 El Nińo-like conditions are also encouraged.
8:30 AM
Introduction - Mike McPhaden
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Joint Poster Session
2
Regional Climate Partnerships: Connecting Climate Science and Decision Making Posters
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Poster Session
3
Arctic circulation and sea-ice variability and trends: Structure and mechanisms Posters
Location: Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Lecture
1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 15th Presidential Forum;
the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
)
Joint Session
7
Regional Climate Partnerships: Connecting Climate Science and Decision Making-Part I
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Cochairs:
The impacts of climate variability and change manifest in dramatically different ways. Coastal regions grapple with storm surge and sea level rise; urban areas endure heat waves that affect public health and safety; and forested regions with drought and wildfire. These impacts are overlaid on vastly different social, political, and economic systems, creating a patchwork of different risk and vulnerability profiles at sub-national scales. The breadth and depth of this challenge requires multiple partners with different expertise, collaborating across regional scales. This session invites papers that describe the importance and value of regional collaborations, challenges faced in coordination, examples of bridging science with decision making, and other co-production models. Papers that focus on particular engagements with NOAA RISA, DOI Climate Science Centers, USDA Regional Climate Hubs, State Climatologists, Sea Grant, and Regional Climate Centers are encouraged.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
5
Rasmusson-Wyrtki session on ENSO, Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions, and Global Climatic Impacts: 20 Years after TOGA-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Joint Session
8
Do Climate Services Make a Difference? Evaluating the Development and Provision of Climate Information
Location: 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
and the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
)
Chair:
This session focuses on efforts that have evaluated how climate services have influenced resource management, policy, or other decision contexts. Presentations can highlight useful metrics and effective research design for evaluating climate services as well as documented outcomes of climate service activities. Presentations for work that evaluates the outcomes of a program or policy.
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Joint Session
10
Regional Climate Partnerships: Connecting Climate Science and Decision Making-Part II
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
)
Cochairs:
4:45 PM
Panel Discussion
3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
6
Rasmusson-Wyrtki session on ENSO, Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions, and Global Climatic Impacts: 20 Years after TOGA-Part III
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
7A
Regional climate variability and change: Detection and attribution of temperature and precipitation variations: Role of greenhouse gases, anthropogenic aerosols, and multidecadal natural variability; high-resolution regional climate projections
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
7B
The Peter J. Lamb Session on Climate Variability in Precipitation Processes-Part I
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
This session is dedicated to Dr. Peter J. Lamb. Because Dr. Lamb's interests encompassed a wide scope of precipitation processes studies from around the globe, research concerned with precipitation variability from any geographical region or location are welcome. Targeted presentations can be observational, modeling, or a combination of either related to precipitation processes, at time scales spanning the continuum of weather to climate.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
8A
Decadal-Multidecadal variability in Pacific and Atlantic basins: Ocean surface/subsurface structure; ocean-atmosphere-land-cryosphere interactions; hydroclimate impacts (e.g., droughts) and mechanisms; potential predictability; experimental prediction (statistical/ dynamical).
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
8B
The Peter J. Lamb Session on Climate Variability in Precipitation Processes-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Lunch Break
Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Lecture
2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
)
Chair:
Session
9A
Extreme events: Analysis of heat waves and polar air outbreaks—Part I
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
9B
Interannual variability: Inter-basin links; internally-generated vs. externally-forced basin variability; ocean-atmosphere structure and mechanisms in observations and climate simulations; progress prospects of monthly-to-seasonal prediction-Part I
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
4
Decadal-Multidecadal variability in Pacific and Atlantic basins Posters
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Poster Session
5
Paper 550 has been moved. New paper number is 10A.3.
Poster Session
6
Poster Session
7
Poster Session
8
The Peter J. Lamb Session on Climate Variability in Precipitation Processes Posters
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
4:00 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
10A
Extreme events: Analysis of heat waves and polar air outbreaks—Part II
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Themed Joint Session
6
Growing Importance of Extremes: The Example of Drought in California and the West
Location: 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
and the 29th Conference on Hydrology
)
Cochairs:
With the potential for more frequent and more intense extreme events in parts of the world as a consequence of climate change, there is increasing focus on science in the context of minimizing risk and vulnerability. This session will showcase the scientific advances, impacts, and lessons learned through the lens of Western drought events. Topics of interest include predictability of US drought on multiple scales, climate change attribution of drought, lessons gleaned from the applied science community, planning and processes for drought, and cascading impacts of drought on both the ecological and urban environments. Papers addressing social and economic impacts are particularly encouraged. Note that papers do not have to directly relate to Western US drought, but can also discuss impacts and response to other extreme events in other parts of the US and the world from which transferable lessons might be shared.
4:00 PM
TJ6.1
Session
10B
Interannual variability: Inter-basin links; internally-generated vs. externally-forced basin variability; ocean-atmosphere structure and mechanisms in observations and climate simulations; progress prospects of monthly-to-seasonal prediction-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
11A
Advances in climate modeling and prediction-Part I
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
11B
Subseasonal variability: Spatiotemporal structure in the troposphere (and stratosphere); link with teleconnection patterns and MJO; dynamical and thermodynamic mechanisms; hydroclimate impacts; potential predictability; representation in climate simulations-Part I
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
9
Advances in climate modeling and prediction Posters
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Poster 583 has been moved. New paper number is 12A.2A.
Poster 588 has been moved. New paper number is 9B.3A.
Poster Session
10
General Topics in Climate Variability and Change
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Lecture
3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the 15th Presidential Forum;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling;
and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium
)
Session
12A
Advances in climate modeling and prediction-Part II
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
12B
Regional climate variability and change: Detection and attribution of temperature and precipitation variations: Role of greenhouse gases, anthropogenic aerosols, and multidecadal natural variability; high-resolution regional climate projections-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
13A
Advances in climate modeling and prediction-Part III
Location: 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
Session
13B
Subseasonal variability: Spatiotemporal structure in the troposphere (and stratosphere); link with teleconnection patterns and MJO; dynamical and thermodynamic mechanisms; hydroclimate impacts; potential predictability; representation in climate simulations-Part II
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Registration Closes
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
14
Regional climate variability and change: Detection and attribution of temperature and precipitation variations: Role of greenhouse gases, anthropogenic aerosols, and multidecadal natural variability; high-resolution regional climate projections-Part III
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
4:45 PM
14.6
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns