14th Conference on Applied Climatology (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 10 January 2004
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
Short Course/Student Conference Registration
 
Sunday, 11 January 2004
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
 
Monday, 12 January 2004
7:30 AM, Monday
Registration continues through Thursday, 15 January
 
9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, Room 619/620
Session 1 Climate Products and Data Sets (Room 619/620)
Chair: Greg Johnson, USDA/NRCS, National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR
9:00 AM1.1Climate Database Modernization Program provides access to historical data and records: An overview of various projects  extended abstract wrf recording
Thomas F. Ross, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:15 AM1.2Calculation of the 1971 to 2000 Climate Normals for Canada  extended abstract wrf recording
Debra Allsopp, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Morris
9:30 AM1.3A synoptic climatology of flooding in New England  extended abstract wrf recording
Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and C. Loughner
9:45 AM1.4Observational Data Used for Assimilation in the NCEP North American Regional Reanalysis  extended abstract wrf recording
Perry C. Shafran, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Woollen, W. Ebisuzaki, W. Shi, Y. Fan, R. W. Grumbine, and M. Fennessy
10:00 AM1.5The U.S. Climate Reference Network  extended abstract wrf recording
C. Bruce Baker, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. Helfert, D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, and R. P. Hosker
 
10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in the Poster Session Room
 
10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Room 6C
Joint Session 1 Climate Trends (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
10:45 AMJ1.1Economic signals in global temperature histories  extended abstract wrf recording
Patrick J. Michaels, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA and the Cato Institute, Washington, DC; and R. McKitrick and P. C. Knappenberger
11:00 AMJ1.2Irrigation-induced warming in Central California?  extended abstract wrf recording
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris
11:15 AMJ1.3Trends in time-varying percentiles of daily minimum and maximum temperature over North America  extended abstract wrf recording
Scott M. Robeson, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN
11:30 AMJ1.4Is the 50-year trend in tropical Indo-Pacific SSTs significant?  
Cécile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh
11:45 AMJ1.5AO, COWL and observed climate trends  
Qigang Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Room 6C
Joint Session 2 Drought: Variability Monitoring, Impacts, and Prediction (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
Cochairs: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; Greg Johnson, USDA/NRCS, National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR
1:30 PMJ2.1Paleodrought reconstructions to planning  
Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb
1:45 PMJ2.2Ensemble Tree-Ring Reconstructions of Streamflow in the South Platte  
Robert S. Webb, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse
2:00 PMJ2.3ENSO and the changing landscape of drought  
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
2:15 PMJ2.4Recent Advances in Drought Monitoring  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark D. Svoboda, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. J. Hayes, D. A. Wilhite, and T. Tadesse
2:30 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
4:00 PMJ2.5Putting recent U.S. and Southwest drought impacts in perspective  
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
4:15 PMJ2.6Estimating the Economic Impacts of Drought  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael J. Hayes, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. D. Svoboda, C. L. Knutson, and D. A. Wilhite
J2.7Predicting drought vulnerability in the Mediterranean  extended abstract
Jean P. Palutikof, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and T. Holt
4:30 PMJ2.7AThe Drought of 2002 in Colorado (Formerly Poster JP3.6)  extended abstract wrf recording
Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke, Sr.
4:45 PMJ2.8The recent 4-year drought: Global Warming or La Nina?  
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo
5:00 PMJ2.9Regional Drought Driven by Tropical Ocean Warming  
Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Hurrell
5:15 PMJ2.10CMORPH: An 8KM, Half-Hourly Global Precipitation Monitoring Tool  
John Janowiak, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Joyce, P. Arkin, and P. Xie
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 4AB
Joint Poster Session 1 Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
 JP1.1Value of climate forecasts with marginal to modest skill to real users  
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. E. Mayes
 JP1.2Sources of skill and error in long range Columbia River streamflow forecasts: a comparison of the role of hydrologic state variables and winter climate forecasts  
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. Wood, S. Babu, and D. P. Lettenmaier
 JP1.3“Climate Sensitive” Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments (RISA) Research: Origins, Development and Future  extended abstract
Harvey Hilll, UCAR, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Pulwarty and C. Nierenberg
 JP1.4Verification of specific station forecasts based on ENSO composites and CPC Nino 3.4 forecasts  
Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Staudenmaier, D. Unger, E. Petrescu, A. Bair, W. Higgins, and H. K. Kim
 JP1.5Application of CPC Method to Downscale Seasonal Outlooks from Forecast Divisions to Station Locations  
Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Bair and D. Unger
 JP1.6Weather derivatives as a vehicle to realise the skill of seasonal forecasts  extended abstract
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorlogy, Melbourne, Australia; and S. S. Dawkins
 JP1.7Moving water from theory and farms—the Colorado water bank experiment  extended abstract
John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
 JP1.8Wavelet Analysis on Variability, Teleconnectivity and Predictability of East Africa Rainfall  extended abstract
Davison Mwale, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and T. Y. Gan and S. Shen
 JP1.9Forecasting drought in the Murray-Darling Basin at seasonal to interannual time scales  
Gavin J. Bowden, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and A. P. Barros
 JP1.10ENSO events, rainfall variability and the potential of SOI for the seasonal precipitation predictions in the south of Córdoba-Argentina  extended abstract
Roberto A. Seiler, Univ. of Río Cuarto, Cordoba, Argentina; and M. G. Vinocur
 JP1.11Analysis of sub-seasonal rainfall characteristics from a nested modeling system for South America  
Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Rojas
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 4AB
Joint Poster Session 2 Climate Trends (Joint with the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
Chair: David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL
 JP2.1Temporal changes in dew point temperatures associated with short-duration heat waves in Chicago  
David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and M. Sandstrom and C. Schaffer
 JP2.2Visibility trends for coastal regions  extended abstract
Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley
 JP2.3Trends in Relative Humidity in Canada from 1953–2003  extended abstract
William A. Van Wijngaarden, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and L. A. Vincent
 JP2.4Variations and trends in climate indices for Canada  extended abstract
Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and É. Mekis
 JP2.5Changes of seasonality and phenological cycles in South Korea  extended abstract
Gwangyong Choi, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and W. T. Kwon and D. A. Robinson
 JP2.6Climate analysis and prediction over the Arno river basin, Italy  extended abstract
Francesco Meneguzzo, Institute of Biometeorology /National Research Council, Firenze, Italy; and G. Menduni, G. Maracchi, M. Baldi, G. Brandani, A. Crisci, F. Marrese, M. Pasqui, and F. Piani
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 4AB
Joint Poster Session 3 DROUGHT: VARIABILITY MONITORING, IMPACTS, AND PREDICTION (JOINT withTHE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB) (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chair: Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR
 JP3.1Paleoclimatology: A New Tool in Drought Monitoring  
C. Mark Eakin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse, E. R. Cook, and R. Heim
 JP3.2Real-time Soil Moisture Information for Drought Monitoring and Assessment  extended abstract
Bradley G. Illston, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK OK; and J. B. Basara, C. Fiebrich, M. Wolfibarger, G. McManus, and D. Arndt
 JP3.3Linking Drought Vulnerable Soil Landscapes with Placement of Climate Stations for Monitoring Drought  
Phillip Pasteris, USDA, Portland, OR; and S. Waltman, G. Schaefer, and R. Sinclair
 JP3.4Drought and the modernized cooperative observer network  extended abstract
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer and K. C. Crawford
JP3.5Comparison of different evaporation/transpiration schemes using field observations  
Tiffannee Jones, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. Niyogi
 Poster JP3.6 moved, now Paper J2.7A  
 JP3.7A Climatology of drought for Arizona  extended abstract
Jenna C. McPhee, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. C. Comrie and G. G. Garfin
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall AB
Poster Session 1 Climate Products and Data Sets
Chair: Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC
 P1.1Modernization of pre-1948 hourly precipitation records for the contiguous United States  
Richard L. Reinhardt, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond, J. A. Ashby, M. Chambers, M. J. Janis, G. Forthun, and M. B. Johnson
 P1.2Developing Climate Station Histories for pre-20th Century U.S. Observing Sites  extended abstract
Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and T. R. Ross and S. R. Doty
 P1.3Monitoring climate variability in relation to air quality: A regional temperature-based index for ground-level ozone  extended abstract
Daniel Y. Graybeal, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano
 P1.4Development of the 1971–2000 monthly station climate summaries (Climatography of the United States NO. 20 or CLIM20)  extended abstract
Tom Whitehurst, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 P1.5Monitoring climate variability relations to air quality: Use of reanalysis data to estimate mixing height  
Kenneth Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and H. C. Huang
 P1.6A climatology of extreme weather and climate events  extended abstract
Thomas F. Ross, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. N. Lott
 P1.7Long Term Remote Sensing Data Sets for Applied Climatology  extended abstract
Linda A. Hunt, SAIC and NASA/Langley Atmospheric Sciences Data Center, Hampton, VA
 P1.8The Oklahoma Monthly Climate Summary: Pushing the Real-Time Envelope  
Gary McManus, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer, D. Arndt, R. McPherson, and S. Blackburn
 P1.9Two-way (Hour-Month) Time Section Plots as a Tool for Climatological Visualization and Summarization  extended abstract
Charles J. Fisk, U.S. Navy, Point Mugu, CA
 P1.10Weather, Water, and Climate of the Lewis and Clark Expedition (1803–1806)  extended abstract
Vernon L. Preston, NOAA/NWSFO, Pocatello, ID
 P1.11Development of climate indices for monitoring vectors of West Nile virus  extended abstract
Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and K. E. Kunkel, A. T. DeGaetano, L. C. Harrington, C. J. Westbrook, T. Lavin, and A. Nelson
 P1.12A Climatology of Hourly THI Values for Livestock Producers  extended abstract
John A. Harrington Jr., Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and E. Bowles
 
5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
 
5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions end for the Day
 
7:15 PM, Monday
Fred Sanders Banquet
 
Tuesday, 13 January 2004
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Room 619/620
Session 2 Climate Studies, and Applications in Agriculture and Air Quality (Room 619/620)
Chair: Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL
8:30 AM2.1Climate Change and Global Wine Quality  
Gregory V. Jones, Southern Oregon University, Ashland, OR; and M. White and O. Cooper
8:45 AM2.2The Ventilation Climate Information System (VCIS)  extended abstract wrf recording
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA /Forest Service and Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA; and S. J. McKay, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, C. Anderson, L. Kellogg, and D. Nagel
9:00 AM2.3Freezing rain events in the United States  extended abstract wrf recording
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. A. Changnon
9:15 AM2.4Relationship between normalized corn yields and monthly rainfall for the midwestern United States  extended abstract wrf recording
Nancy E. Westcott, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. E. Hollinger and K. E. Kunkel
9:30 AM2.5The impact of climate variability and change on soybean yield in Argentina  
Olga C. Penalba, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. L. Bettolli and W. Vargas
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break.
 
11:00 AM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, Room 619/620
Session 3 The Lifelong work of Stan Changnon (Invited Presentations) (Room 619/620)
Chair: Nolan Doesken, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
11:00 AM3.1A Rich Harvest of Climate Information from the National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Program  extended abstract wrf recording
Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
11:30 AM3.2Climate and business applications: Focused needs in a changing world  extended abstract
David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL
12:00 PMStan Changnon Luncheon (cash & carry lunch)  
2:00 PM3.3The Frequency of large hail over the contiguous United States  extended abstract
Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. J. Levit, S. J. Weiss, and D. W. McCarthy
2:15 PM3.4Tornado Trends Over the Past Thirty years  extended abstract wrf recording
Daniel W. McCarthy, NOAA/NCEP/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Schaefer
2:30 PM3.5Stan Changnon: Over 50 years of research in hydroclimatology  
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and J. R. Angel
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:30 P.M.)  
3:30 PM3.6Inadvertent Weather Modification  
Richard Dirks, UCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM3.7Climate services: An assessment and a prediction  extended abstract wrf recording
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV
4:30 PM3.8Changnon's Contributions to the Atmospheric Sciences: History Does Have a Future  
Michael H. Glantz, NCAR, Boulder, CO
5:00 PM3.9Applied Climatology: The Golden Era  extended abstract
Stanley A. Changnon, ISWS, Champaign, IL
 
5:15 PM, Tuesday
Sessions end for the day
 
Wednesday, 14 January 2004
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, Room 619/620
Joint Session 3 Heat/Health Warning Systems: Part I (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Room 619/620)
Chair: Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AMJ3.1The development of improved heat/health warning systems  
Laurence S. Kalkstein, Univervisity of Delaware, Newark, DE
8:45 AMJ3.2Heat watch-warning systems: Operational consideration and system design  
Scott Sheridan, Department of Geography, Kent State University, Kent, OH
9:00 AMJ3.3A National Heat/Health Warning System: Improvement over current system  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark A. Tew, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. J. Brewer and R. E. Livezey
9:15 AMJ3.4Use of heat/health warning systems in extreme climates: the Phoenix challenge  
Anton F. Haffer, NOAA/NWSFO, Phoenix, AZ
 
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, Room 609/610
Session 4 Spatial Climate Technologies and Products (Parallel with Session J3) (Room 609/610)
Chair: Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
8:30 AM4.1Using PRISM climate grids and GIS for extreme precipitation mapping  extended abstract wrf recording
George H. Taylor, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly
8:45 AM4.2Mesoscale modeling as a tool for wind resource assessment and mapping  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael Brower, TrueWind Solutions, Albany, NY and National Renewable Energy Lab, Golden, CO; and J. W. Zack, B. Bailey, M. N. Schwartz, and D. L. Elliott
9:00 AM4.3High Resolution 1971–2000 Mean Monthly Temperature Maps for the Western United States  extended abstract wrf recording
Matthew Doggett, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly, J. Smith, W. Gibson, G. Taylor, G. Johnson, and P. Pasteris
9:15 AM4.4Application of a Probabilistic Spatial Quality Control System to Daily Temperature Observations in Oregon  extended abstract wrf recording
Wayne Gibson, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor
 
9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break
 
10:00 AM, Wednesday
Session Fourth Presidential Policy Forum: Weather and National Security (Room 6AB)
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break
 
12:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibit Hours
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 619/620
Joint Session 8 Heat Health Warning Systems: Part II (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Room 619/620)
Chair: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE
1:30 PMJ8.1General guidance for urban intervention in response to extreme heat events  
Alan D. Perrin, EPA, Washington, DC; and J. P. Samenow and N. J. Dietsch
1:45 PMJ8.2Use of heat/health warning systems by the utility industry  
Steve Lee, Entergy Services, Inc., Jackson, MS; and C. Chouest
2:00 PMJ8.3Heat watch/warning wystems save lives: estimated costs and benefits for Philadelphia 1995–1998  
Kristie L Ebi, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; and T. J. Teisberg, L. Kalkstein, L. Robinson, and R. Weiher
2:15 PMJ8.4Changing Heat Wave Mortality in U.S. Cities  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert E. Davis, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and P. C. Knappenberger, P. J. Michaels, and W. M. Novicoff
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 609/610
Session 5 Regional Climate Models and Observations (Parallel with Session J8) (Room 609/610)
Chair: Douglas A. Stewart, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Lantana, FL
5.1A statistical-dynamical model for quantifying regional storm climates  extended abstract
John L. Keller, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and P. S. Dailey and M. D. Fischer
1:30 PM5.1AThe along-shore variability of tropical cyclone landfalls  extended abstract wrf recording
Douglas A. Stewart, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Lantana, FL
1:45 PM5.2Observations of the Diurnal Evolution of Lake-Effect Precipitation Occurrence  extended abstract wrf recording
David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL; and M. L. Spinar
2:00 PM5.3On the development of a regional climate model for the Central Europe  extended abstract wrf recording
Tomas Halenka, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth, L. Metelka, A. Farda, R. Mladek, S. Kliegrova, J. Kysely, P. Sedlak, L. Pokorna, Z. Huthova, and M. Janousek
2:15 PM5.4Intercomparison of inter-annual variability of North American Monsoon in Regional Climate Model Simulations  extended abstract wrf recording
Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, Z. Pan, J. A. Taylor, M. Dvorak, J. O. Roads, and A. Nunes
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Hall 4AB)
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4AB
Joint Poster Session 4 Heat/Health Warning Systems (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Hall 4AB)
Chair: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE
 JP4.1Forecast Considerations: Application of the Point Forecast Matrices in Heat/Health Warning Systems  extended abstract
Douglas C. Young, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
 JP4.2Procedures Established by the National Weather Service Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge, Louisiana Regarding the Operational Heat Stress Assessment System  extended abstract
Paul Trotter, NOAA/NWS, Baton Rouge, LA; and D. Griffin and M. Farver
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4AB
Joint Poster Session 5 Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB) (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chair: David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ
 JP5.1Nonlinear patterns of North American winter surface air temperatures associated with El Niño/La Niña  
Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar
 JP5.2The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and its role in cold-season tornado outbreak climatology  extended abstract
Katherine H. Nunn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano
 JP5.3El Niño and precipitation in the peruvian Andes  
Pablo Lagos, Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru; and Y. Silva and E. Nickl
 JP5.4Nonlinear Complex Principal Component Analysis, with Applications to Tropical Pacific Wind Variability  
Sanjay S.P. Rattan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh
 JP5.5Propagation and the Vertical Structure of the Madden-Julian Oscillation  
Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL, Livermore, CA
 JP5.6Interannual and interdecadal variability in the Pacific region SST anomaly patterns and their impact on local climate  extended abstract
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and F. A. Akyuz, I. I. Mokhov, E. P. Kelsey, D. K. Weitlich, and J. E. Woolard
 JP5.7The impact of teleconnection patterns on air mass frequency and character in North American winters  
Melissa Lynn Malin, Center for Climatic Research, University of Delaware, Newark, DE
 JP5.8Northern Hemisphere snow cover variability  
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ
 JP5.9A climate report card for New Jersey  
David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and J. Parlagreco
JP5.10Examining the frequency of daily extreme events during Oklahoma’s climate record  
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer
 JP5.11The Recent Increase in Western US Streamflow Variability and Persistence  extended abstract
Thomas C. Pagano, USDA/Natural Resources Conservation Service/National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR; and D. Garen
 JP5.12Wind climate analyses for a 61-m tower in the Southeast  extended abstract
Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and R. J. Kurzeja
 JP5.13Intraseasonal variability of subtropical cyclone occurrence in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean  extended abstract
Jason A. Otkin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin
 JP5.14Interannual variability of North America summer precipitation in CAM2.0 and NSIPP AMIP-like simulations  
Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam
 Paper JP5.15 moved to session 8 in the 15th Symp on Global Change/Climate Variations, new paper number 8.3A  
 JP5.16Global Precipitation Climatology from AMSU Passive Microwave Satellite Observations  extended abstract
Frederick W. Chen, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. H. Staelin
 JP5.17High-latitude cloud and surface radiative properties from space  
Joannes Berque, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Lubin and R. Somerville
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB
Poster Session 2 Regional Climate Models and Observations
Chair: Eric P Salathé, Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
 P2.1Mechanisims for a flooding over Korea in August of 2002  extended abstract
Kyong-Hye Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. H. Byun
 P2.2High-resolution regional climate model for the Pacific Northwest  
Eric P Salathé Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass, P. Zahn, and R. Steed
 P2.3A Numerical Study of the Diurnal Patterns of Summer Precipitation in the North American Monsoon  extended abstract
Cheng-Zhi Zou, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Zheng
 P2.4Synoptic conditions associated with dense fog in the Midwest  extended abstract
Nancy Westcott, ISWS and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL
 P2.5The diurnal cycle of the circulation and cloudiness over the subtropical Southeast Pacific  extended abstract
René Garreaud, Univ. of Chile, Santiago, Chile; and R. Muñoz
 P2.6Validation of atmospheric boundary layer simulations with REMO by ground-based lidar measurements  extended abstract
Barbara Hennemuth, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and D. Jacob
 P2.7Integration of ASOS weather data into model-derived solar radiation  extended abstract
Brian N. Belcher, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB
Poster Session 3 Climate Services
Chair: Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 P3.1NOAA Climate Transition Program: a method for transitioning research to operations  extended abstract
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill
 P3.2NOAA National Weather Service Professional Development Series in Climate Services  
Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Kann, E. O'Lenic, J. Adolphson, K. Weickmann, M. Newman, W. Schreiber-Abshire, R. Livezey, R. Leffler, K. Redmond, E. Luebehusen, and C. McGill
 P3.3A newsletter forum on climate science and climate change for non-specialists  extended abstract
Michael A. Fortune, Climate Science Forum, Silver Spring, MD
 P3.4NESDIS customers: Are they satisfied? Results from the Customer Satisfaction Survey  extended abstract
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 P3.5Changes in NWS climate products and the role of customer feedback  extended abstract
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler and R. E. Livezey
 P3.6What the 2002 drought revealed about user needs for Western regional climate services  
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO
 P3.7A Climate Services Clearinghouse: A Comprehensive Guide to Climate Services and Products on the Web  
Genevieve E. Maricle, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Pielke
P3.8Newspaper portrayal of climate data  
Richard W. Dixon, Texas State University, San Marcos, TX
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB
Poster Session 4 Data Reliability, Quality Asssessment and Usability
Chair: Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK
 P4.1Tools for displaying the robustness and density of an observing network over time  extended abstract
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK
 P4.2Saving a Historical Weather Station—The Case of the Fort Collins, Colorado, Weather Station Versus the Colorado State University Transit Center  
Christopher A. Davey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken
 P4.3Quality of Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program Data  extended abstract
Randy A. Peppler, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. L. Sonntag, A. R. Dean, and C. M. Shafer
 P4.4Using a dense precipitation gage network to estimate annual maximum daily precipitation  extended abstract
Kenneth A. Blumenfeld, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN; and R. Skaggs and J. Zandlo
 P4.5Evaluation of climate monitoring needs in southwestern national parks: The Saguaro National Park pilot study  
Michael A. Crimmins, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. M. Mau-Crimmins and J. A. Hubbard
 P4.6ASOS impact upon the calculation of the 1971–2000 climatic Normals: A case study for selected Southeastern U.S. stations  
Patrick Taylor, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and C. Kauffman
 P4.7Use of Archived Weather Data from Spaceport Florida in Support of Space Shuttle Columbia Accident Investigation  extended abstract
Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder, J. T. Madura, and H. C. Herring
 P4.8Performance evaluation of climate sensors in the Canadian Climate Network  
Gary Beaney, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and T. Stapf and B. Sheppard
 P4.9Observations of 1-minute rain rates using a vibrating-wire weighing-bucket rain gauge  extended abstract
Claude E. Duchon, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB
Poster Session 5 Spatial Climate Technologies and Products
Chair: George H. Taylor, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
 P5.1Up-To-Date Monthly Climate Maps for the Conterminous United States  extended abstract
Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and W. Gibson, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor
 Poster P5.2 now in Session 5, new paper number 5.1A  
 P5.3An Exploratory Study of Corn Earworm Immigration into the Northeast US Via Air Currents  
Matthew Welshans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. Fleischer, P. Knight, and D. Miller
 P5.4A 20-year daily Africa precipitation climatology using satellite and gauge data  extended abstract
Timothy B. Love, RS Information Systems, Inc. and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Kumar, P. Xie, and W. Thiaw
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 609/610
Joint Session 4 Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with the 15th Symp on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conf on Applied Climatology (Room 609/610)
Chair: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV
4:00 PMJ4.1Forecasting Rainfall and Floods in Bangladesh on Weekly to Seasonal Time Scales: Climate Forecast Applications in Bangladesh (Formerly Poster JP1.12)  
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. R. Subbiah, T. M. Hopson, C. Hoyos, R. L. Grossman, H. -. R. Chang, K. Sahami, T. N. Palmer, D. L. T. Anderson, and A. Hossain
J4.1AWinter Precipitation Forecasts over the Southern High Plains  
Steven A. Mauget, USDA/ARS, Lubbock, TX
4:15 PMJ4.2Helping resource managers apply seasonal predictions: considerations of equity in providing knowledge development and decision support tools  
Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Imam, E. Lay, D. Lamb, and S. Sorooshian
4:30 PMJ4.3National Long-range Hydrologic Prediction System  extended abstract wrf recording
Qingyun Duan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake
4:45 PMJ4.4Use of a weather generator to disaggregate seasonal forecasts: Application to forecasting streamflow  
M. P. Clark, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Hay and S. Gangopadhyay
5:00 PMJ4.5Climate, fuels, fire and decisions: The making of national monthly and seasonal wildland fire outlooks  extended abstract wrf recording
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and G. G. Garfin, T. Wordell, R. Ochoa, and B. Morehouse
5:15 PMJ4.6The North American (Mexican) Monsoon: MM5 modeling study implications  
Dorothea Ivanova, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. L. Mitchell
 
5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day
 
6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 15 January 2004
8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Room 619/620
Session 6 Climate Services (Room 619/620)
Chair: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM6.1Climate Services: Where Do We Go From Here?  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK
8:45 AM6.2Crafting climate services  
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and K. T. Redmond
9:00 AM6.3Meeting the climate needs of the US public: the next big challenge  extended abstract wrf recording
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill, R. Pulwarty, and K. Redmond
9:15 AM6.4The National Weather Service's role as a partner for providing climate services at the regional and local levels  
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Koepsell, M. Timofeyeva, R. Leffler, F. Horsfall, A. Bair, G. Hufford, P. Leftwich, V. Murphy, H. Thurm, and J. Weyman
9:30 AM6.5Developing effective partnerships for service provision at regional and local scales: A problem-based approach  
Susan Avery, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Dole and R. Livezey
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AM6.6Climate services from the state climatologist perspective  
David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ
11:15 AM6.7Climate service partnership activities at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center  extended abstract wrf recording
Timothy W. Owen, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
11:30 AM6.8Climate Services—A USDA Perspective  extended abstract wrf recording
Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR; and T. Puterbaugh and R. Motha
11:45 AM6.9Climate science and services: some lessons from CLIMAS  extended abstract wrf recording
Andrew C. Comrie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. C. Lemos, M. Hughes, and J. Overpeck
 
12:15 PM-1:45 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, Room 619/620
Session 7 Data Reliability, Quality Assessment and Usability (Room 619/620)
Cochairs: Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV
1:30 PM7.1Toward an automated tool for detecting relationship changes within series of observations  extended abstract wrf recording
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. T. Redmond
1:45 PM7.2New techniques in quality assurance of hourly meteorological data: Resolving multiple flags through a decision tree  extended abstract
Daniel Y. Graybeal, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano and K. L. Eggleston
2:00 PM7.3A Probabilistic-Spatial Approach to the Quality Control of Climate Observations  extended abstract wrf recording
Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and W. Gibson, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor
2:15 PM7.4The Value of a Quality Assurance Meteorologist  extended abstract wrf recording
Janet E. Martinez, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and C. A. Fiebrich and M. A. Shafer
2:30 PM7.5Data quality assessment: Why we need to share  extended abstract wrf recording
Nathaniel B. Guttman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
2:45 PM7.6Quality control of pre-1948 cooperative observer network data  extended abstract wrf recording
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and D. R. Easterling, K. Hubbard, K. Redmond, K. Andsager, M. Kruk, and M. Spinar
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall  
3:30 PM7.7Climate Database Modernization Program: Pre-20th Century task—key climate observations recorded since the founding of America, 1700's–1800's  extended abstract wrf recording
Karen Andsager, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL; and T. Ross, M. C. Kruk, and M. L. Spinar
3:45 PM7.8The quality control of the Integrated Surface Hourly database  extended abstract wrf recording
J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
4:00 PM7.9A comparison of methods for the identification of steps in temperature series: an overview  extended abstract wrf recording
Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. F. Ducré-Robitaille and G. Boulet
4:15 PM7.10Using Collocated Observations to Assess Secular Trends in the Quality of Observations and Re-analysis Data  
Edmund K. M. Chang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY
4:30 PM7.11The impact of precipitaton frequency on gaugesite monitoring algorithms  
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud and T. L. Fowler
4:45 PM7.12Derivation of an improved snow water equivalent adjustment factor map for application on snowfall ruler measurements in Canada  extended abstract wrf recording
Éva Mekis, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Hopkinson
5:00 PM7.13Ensuring Quality Snow Observations at LCD Stations  extended abstract wrf recording
Andy Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lawrimore, R. Leffler, R. Stone, T. Townsend, A. Dunham, N. Doesken, and K. T. Redmond
5:15 PM7.14Nineteenth Century Weather Observers: A Whodunit  extended abstract wrf recording
Glen Conner, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY
 
3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, Room 609/610
Joint Session 6 Observed Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (Room 609/610) (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chair: Arthur T. DeGaetano, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY
3:30 PMJ6.1Verifying the Reanalysis and climate models outputs using a 56-Year data set of reconstructed global precipitation  extended abstract wrf recording
Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith
3:45 PMJ6.2Low Latitude Zonally Symmetric Circulations in the NCEP Reanalyses  
Ioana M. Dima, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace
4:00 PMJ6.3The NAM and PNA-like Patterns: Basis Functions for Northern Hemisphere Low Frequency Variability  
Roberta Quadrelli, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace
J6.4The Storms of 2003 in the Midwest  
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. D. Hilberg, J. R. Angel, and S. A. Changnon
4:15 PMJ6.5Recent climate variability in Antarctica from satellite-derived temperature data  extended abstract wrf recording
David P. Schneider, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. J. Steig and J. Comiso
4:30 PMJ6.6Monitoring climate change from geostationary satellites  extended abstract wrf recording
Herbert Jacobowitz, Short & Associates, Inc., Silver Spring, MD; and G. J. Dittberner and J. J. Gurka
4:45 PMJ6.7Temporal variations in model derived evaporation in the northeastern and midwestern U.S.  extended abstract wrf recording
Arthur T. DeGaetano, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and K. L. Eggleston
5:00 PMJ6.8Geostatistical Analysis of local versus Regional Feedback on Regional Climate: Synthesis of Insitu Observations and Global Analysis over Senegal, Western Africa  extended abstract
Souleymane Fall, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. Niyogi, F. Semazzi, R. Anyah, and J. Bowden
 
5:30 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends
 
6:00 PM, Thursday
Norm Phillips Banquet
 

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