* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 10 January 2004
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday Short Course/Student Conference Registration
Sunday, 11 January 2004
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 12 January 2004
	7:30 AM, Monday Registration continues through Thursday, 15 January
	9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, Room 619/620 Session 1 Climate Products and Data Sets (Room 619/620)
Chair: Greg Johnson, USDA/NRCS, National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR
9:00 AM 1.1 Climate Database Modernization Program provides access to historical data and records: An overview of various projects   Thomas F. Ross, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 9:15 AM 1.2 Calculation of the 1971 to 2000 Climate Normals for Canada   Debra Allsopp, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Morris 9:30 AM 1.3 A synoptic climatology of flooding in New England   Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and C. Loughner 9:45 AM 1.4 Observational Data Used for Assimilation in the NCEP North American Regional Reanalysis   Perry C. Shafran, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Woollen, W. Ebisuzaki, W. Shi, Y. Fan, R. W. Grumbine, and M. Fennessy 10:00 AM 1.5 The U.S. Climate Reference Network   C. Bruce Baker, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. Helfert, D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, and R. P. Hosker
	10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday Coffee Break in the Poster Session Room
	10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Room 6C Joint Session 1 Climate Trends (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
10:45 AM J1.1 Economic signals in global temperature histories   Patrick J. Michaels, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA and the Cato Institute, Washington, DC; and R. McKitrick and P. C. Knappenberger 11:00 AM J1.2 Irrigation-induced warming in Central California?   John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris 11:15 AM J1.3 Trends in time-varying percentiles of daily minimum and maximum temperature over North America   Scott M. Robeson, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 11:30 AM J1.4 Is the 50-year trend in tropical Indo-Pacific SSTs significant?   Cécile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh 11:45 AM J1.5 AO, COWL and observed climate trends   Qigang Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Room 6C Joint Session 2 Drought: Variability Monitoring, Impacts, and Prediction (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
Cochairs: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; Greg Johnson, USDA/NRCS, National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR
1:30 PM J2.1 Paleodrought reconstructions to planning   Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb 1:45 PM J2.2 Ensemble Tree-Ring Reconstructions of Streamflow in the South Platte   Robert S. Webb, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse 2:00 PM J2.3 ENSO and the changing landscape of drought   Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY 2:15 PM J2.4 Recent Advances in Drought Monitoring   Mark D. Svoboda, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. J. Hayes, D. A. Wilhite, and T. Tadesse 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM J2.5 Putting recent U.S. and Southwest drought impacts in perspective   Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 4:15 PM J2.6 Estimating the Economic Impacts of Drought   Michael J. Hayes, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. D. Svoboda, C. L. Knutson, and D. A. Wilhite J2.7 Predicting drought vulnerability in the Mediterranean   Jean P. Palutikof, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and T. Holt 4:30 PM J2.7A The Drought of 2002 in Colorado (Formerly Poster JP3.6)   Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke, Sr. 4:45 PM J2.8 The recent 4-year drought: Global Warming or La Nina?   Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo 5:00 PM J2.9 Regional Drought Driven by Tropical Ocean Warming   Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Hurrell 5:15 PM J2.10 CMORPH: An 8KM, Half-Hourly Global Precipitation Monitoring Tool   John Janowiak, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Joyce, P. Arkin, and P. Xie
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 4AB Joint Poster Session 1 Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
JP1.1 Value of climate forecasts with marginal to modest skill to real users   Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. E. Mayes   JP1.2 Sources of skill and error in long range Columbia River streamflow forecasts: a comparison of the role of hydrologic state variables and winter climate forecasts   Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. Wood, S. Babu, and D. P. Lettenmaier   JP1.3 “Climate Sensitive” Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments (RISA) Research: Origins, Development and Future   Harvey Hilll, UCAR, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Pulwarty and C. Nierenberg   JP1.4 Verification of specific station forecasts based on ENSO composites and CPC Nino 3.4 forecasts   Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Staudenmaier, D. Unger, E. Petrescu, A. Bair, W. Higgins, and H. K. Kim   JP1.5 Application of CPC Method to Downscale Seasonal Outlooks from Forecast Divisions to Station Locations   Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Bair and D. Unger   JP1.6 Weather derivatives as a vehicle to realise the skill of seasonal forecasts   Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorlogy, Melbourne, Australia; and S. S. Dawkins   JP1.7 Moving water from theory and farms—the Colorado water bank experiment   John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO   JP1.8 Wavelet Analysis on Variability, Teleconnectivity and Predictability of East Africa Rainfall   Davison Mwale, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and T. Y. Gan and S. Shen   JP1.9 Forecasting drought in the Murray-Darling Basin at seasonal to interannual time scales   Gavin J. Bowden, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and A. P. Barros   JP1.10 ENSO events, rainfall variability and the potential of SOI for the seasonal precipitation predictions in the south of Córdoba-Argentina   Roberto A. Seiler, Univ. of Río Cuarto, Cordoba, Argentina; and M. G. Vinocur   JP1.11 Analysis of sub-seasonal rainfall characteristics from a nested modeling system for South America   Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Rojas
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 4AB Joint Poster Session 2 Climate Trends (Joint with the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
Chair: David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL
JP2.1 Temporal changes in dew point temperatures associated with short-duration heat waves in Chicago   David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and M. Sandstrom and C. Schaffer   JP2.2 Visibility trends for coastal regions   Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley   JP2.3 Trends in Relative Humidity in Canada from 1953–2003   William A. Van Wijngaarden, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and L. A. Vincent   JP2.4 Variations and trends in climate indices for Canada   Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and É. Mekis   JP2.5 Changes of seasonality and phenological cycles in South Korea   Gwangyong Choi, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and W. T. Kwon and D. A. Robinson   JP2.6 Climate analysis and prediction over the Arno river basin, Italy   Francesco Meneguzzo, Institute of Biometeorology /National Research Council, Firenze, Italy; and G. Menduni, G. Maracchi, M. Baldi, G. Brandani, A. Crisci, F. Marrese, M. Pasqui, and F. Piani
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 4AB Joint Poster Session 3 DROUGHT: VARIABILITY MONITORING, IMPACTS, AND PREDICTION (JOINT withTHE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB) (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chair: Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR
JP3.1 Paleoclimatology: A New Tool in Drought Monitoring   C. Mark Eakin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse, E. R. Cook, and R. Heim   JP3.2 Real-time Soil Moisture Information for Drought Monitoring and Assessment   Bradley G. Illston, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK OK; and J. B. Basara, C. Fiebrich, M. Wolfibarger, G. McManus, and D. Arndt   JP3.3 Linking Drought Vulnerable Soil Landscapes with Placement of Climate Stations for Monitoring Drought   Phillip Pasteris, USDA, Portland, OR; and S. Waltman, G. Schaefer, and R. Sinclair   JP3.4 Drought and the modernized cooperative observer network   Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer and K. C. Crawford JP3.5 Comparison of different evaporation/transpiration schemes using field observations   Tiffannee Jones, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. Niyogi   Poster JP3.6 moved, now Paper J2.7A     JP3.7 A Climatology of drought for Arizona   Jenna C. McPhee, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. C. Comrie and G. G. Garfin
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall AB Poster Session 1 Climate Products and Data Sets
Chair: Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC
P1.1 Modernization of pre-1948 hourly precipitation records for the contiguous United States   Richard L. Reinhardt, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond, J. A. Ashby, M. Chambers, M. J. Janis, G. Forthun, and M. B. Johnson   P1.2 Developing Climate Station Histories for pre-20th Century U.S. Observing Sites   Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and T. R. Ross and S. R. Doty   P1.3 Monitoring climate variability in relation to air quality: A regional temperature-based index for ground-level ozone   Daniel Y. Graybeal, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano   P1.4 Development of the 1971–2000 monthly station climate summaries (Climatography of the United States NO. 20 or CLIM20)   Tom Whitehurst, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC   P1.5 Monitoring climate variability relations to air quality: Use of reanalysis data to estimate mixing height   Kenneth Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and H. C. Huang   P1.6 A climatology of extreme weather and climate events   Thomas F. Ross, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. N. Lott   P1.7 Long Term Remote Sensing Data Sets for Applied Climatology   Linda A. Hunt, SAIC and NASA/Langley Atmospheric Sciences Data Center, Hampton, VA   P1.8 The Oklahoma Monthly Climate Summary: Pushing the Real-Time Envelope   Gary McManus, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer, D. Arndt, R. McPherson, and S. Blackburn   P1.9 Two-way (Hour-Month) Time Section Plots as a Tool for Climatological Visualization and Summarization   Charles J. Fisk, U.S. Navy, Point Mugu, CA   P1.10 Weather, Water, and Climate of the Lewis and Clark Expedition (1803–1806)   Vernon L. Preston, NOAA/NWSFO, Pocatello, ID   P1.11 Development of climate indices for monitoring vectors of West Nile virus   Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and K. E. Kunkel, A. T. DeGaetano, L. C. Harrington, C. J. Westbrook, T. Lavin, and A. Nelson   P1.12 A Climatology of Hourly THI Values for Livestock Producers   John A. Harrington Jr., Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and E. Bowles
	5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Monday Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
	5:30 PM, Monday Sessions end for the Day
	7:15 PM, Monday Fred Sanders Banquet
Tuesday, 13 January 2004
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Room 619/620 Session 2 Climate Studies, and Applications in Agriculture and Air Quality (Room 619/620)
Chair: Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL
8:30 AM 2.1 Climate Change and Global Wine Quality   Gregory V. Jones, Southern Oregon University, Ashland, OR; and M. White and O. Cooper 8:45 AM 2.2 The Ventilation Climate Information System (VCIS)   Sue A. Ferguson, USDA /Forest Service and Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA; and S. J. McKay, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, C. Anderson, L. Kellogg, and D. Nagel 9:00 AM 2.3 Freezing rain events in the United States   Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. A. Changnon 9:15 AM 2.4 Relationship between normalized corn yields and monthly rainfall for the midwestern United States   Nancy E. Westcott, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. E. Hollinger and K. E. Kunkel 9:30 AM 2.5 The impact of climate variability and change on soybean yield in Argentina   Olga C. Penalba, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. L. Bettolli and W. Vargas
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break.
	11:00 AM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, Room 619/620 Session 3 The Lifelong work of Stan Changnon (Invited Presentations) (Room 619/620)
Chair: Nolan Doesken, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
11:00 AM 3.1 A Rich Harvest of Climate Information from the National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Program   Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 11:30 AM 3.2 Climate and business applications: Focused needs in a changing world   David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL 12:00 PM Stan Changnon Luncheon (cash & carry lunch)   2:00 PM 3.3 The Frequency of large hail over the contiguous United States   Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. J. Levit, S. J. Weiss, and D. W. McCarthy 2:15 PM 3.4 Tornado Trends Over the Past Thirty years   Daniel W. McCarthy, NOAA/NCEP/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Schaefer 2:30 PM 3.5 Stan Changnon: Over 50 years of research in hydroclimatology   Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and J. R. Angel 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:30 P.M.)   3:30 PM 3.6 Inadvertent Weather Modification   Richard Dirks, UCAR, Boulder, CO 4:00 PM 3.7 Climate services: An assessment and a prediction   Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV 4:30 PM 3.8 Changnon's Contributions to the Atmospheric Sciences: History Does Have a Future   Michael H. Glantz, NCAR, Boulder, CO 5:00 PM 3.9 Applied Climatology: The Golden Era   Stanley A. Changnon, ISWS, Champaign, IL
	5:15 PM, Tuesday Sessions end for the day
Wednesday, 14 January 2004
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, Room 619/620 Joint Session 3 Heat/Health Warning Systems: Part I (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Room 619/620)
Chair: Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AM J3.1 The development of improved heat/health warning systems   Laurence S. Kalkstein, Univervisity of Delaware, Newark, DE 8:45 AM J3.2 Heat watch-warning systems: Operational consideration and system design   Scott Sheridan, Department of Geography, Kent State University, Kent, OH 9:00 AM J3.3 A National Heat/Health Warning System: Improvement over current system   Mark A. Tew, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. J. Brewer and R. E. Livezey 9:15 AM J3.4 Use of heat/health warning systems in extreme climates: the Phoenix challenge   Anton F. Haffer, NOAA/NWSFO, Phoenix, AZ
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, Room 609/610 Session 4 Spatial Climate Technologies and Products (Parallel with Session J3) (Room 609/610)
Chair: Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
8:30 AM 4.1 Using PRISM climate grids and GIS for extreme precipitation mapping   George H. Taylor, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly 8:45 AM 4.2 Mesoscale modeling as a tool for wind resource assessment and mapping   Michael Brower, TrueWind Solutions, Albany, NY and National Renewable Energy Lab, Golden, CO; and J. W. Zack, B. Bailey, M. N. Schwartz, and D. L. Elliott 9:00 AM 4.3 High Resolution 1971–2000 Mean Monthly Temperature Maps for the Western United States   Matthew Doggett, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly, J. Smith, W. Gibson, G. Taylor, G. Johnson, and P. Pasteris 9:15 AM 4.4 Application of a Probabilistic Spatial Quality Control System to Daily Temperature Observations in Oregon   Wayne Gibson, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor
	9:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	10:00 AM, Wednesday Session Fourth Presidential Policy Forum: Weather and National Security (Room 6AB)
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break
	12:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday Exhibit Hours
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 619/620 Joint Session 8 Heat Health Warning Systems: Part II (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Room 619/620)
Chair: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE
1:30 PM J8.1 General guidance for urban intervention in response to extreme heat events   Alan D. Perrin, EPA, Washington, DC; and J. P. Samenow and N. J. Dietsch 1:45 PM J8.2 Use of heat/health warning systems by the utility industry   Steve Lee, Entergy Services, Inc., Jackson, MS; and C. Chouest 2:00 PM J8.3 Heat watch/warning wystems save lives: estimated costs and benefits for Philadelphia 1995–1998   Kristie L Ebi, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; and T. J. Teisberg, L. Kalkstein, L. Robinson, and R. Weiher 2:15 PM J8.4 Changing Heat Wave Mortality in U.S. Cities   Robert E. Davis, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and P. C. Knappenberger, P. J. Michaels, and W. M. Novicoff
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 609/610 Session 5 Regional Climate Models and Observations (Parallel with Session J8) (Room 609/610)
Chair: Douglas A. Stewart, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Lantana, FL
5.1 A statistical-dynamical model for quantifying regional storm climates   John L. Keller, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and P. S. Dailey and M. D. Fischer 1:30 PM 5.1A The along-shore variability of tropical cyclone landfalls   Douglas A. Stewart, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Lantana, FL 1:45 PM 5.2 Observations of the Diurnal Evolution of Lake-Effect Precipitation Occurrence   David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL; and M. L. Spinar 2:00 PM 5.3 On the development of a regional climate model for the Central Europe   Tomas Halenka, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth, L. Metelka, A. Farda, R. Mladek, S. Kliegrova, J. Kysely, P. Sedlak, L. Pokorna, Z. Huthova, and M. Janousek 2:15 PM 5.4 Intercomparison of inter-annual variability of North American Monsoon in Regional Climate Model Simulations   Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, Z. Pan, J. A. Taylor, M. Dvorak, J. O. Roads, and A. Nunes
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Hall 4AB)
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4AB Joint Poster Session 4 Heat/Health Warning Systems (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Hall 4AB)
Chair: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE
JP4.1 Forecast Considerations: Application of the Point Forecast Matrices in Heat/Health Warning Systems   Douglas C. Young, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD   JP4.2 Procedures Established by the National Weather Service Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge, Louisiana Regarding the Operational Heat Stress Assessment System   Paul Trotter, NOAA/NWS, Baton Rouge, LA; and D. Griffin and M. Farver
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4AB Joint Poster Session 5 Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB) (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chair: David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ
JP5.1 Nonlinear patterns of North American winter surface air temperatures associated with El Niño/La Niña   Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar   JP5.2 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and its role in cold-season tornado outbreak climatology   Katherine H. Nunn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano   JP5.3 El Niño and precipitation in the peruvian Andes   Pablo Lagos, Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru; and Y. Silva and E. Nickl   JP5.4 Nonlinear Complex Principal Component Analysis, with Applications to Tropical Pacific Wind Variability   Sanjay S.P. Rattan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh   JP5.5 Propagation and the Vertical Structure of the Madden-Julian Oscillation   Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL, Livermore, CA   JP5.6 Interannual and interdecadal variability in the Pacific region SST anomaly patterns and their impact on local climate   Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and F. A. Akyuz, I. I. Mokhov, E. P. Kelsey, D. K. Weitlich, and J. E. Woolard   JP5.7 The impact of teleconnection patterns on air mass frequency and character in North American winters   Melissa Lynn Malin, Center for Climatic Research, University of Delaware, Newark, DE   JP5.8 Northern Hemisphere snow cover variability   David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ   JP5.9 A climate report card for New Jersey   David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and J. Parlagreco JP5.10 Examining the frequency of daily extreme events during Oklahoma’s climate record   Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer   JP5.11 The Recent Increase in Western US Streamflow Variability and Persistence   Thomas C. Pagano, USDA/Natural Resources Conservation Service/National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR; and D. Garen   JP5.12 Wind climate analyses for a 61-m tower in the Southeast   Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and R. J. Kurzeja   JP5.13 Intraseasonal variability of subtropical cyclone occurrence in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean   Jason A. Otkin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin   JP5.14 Interannual variability of North America summer precipitation in CAM2.0 and NSIPP AMIP-like simulations   Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam   Paper JP5.15 moved to session 8 in the 15th Symp on Global Change/Climate Variations, new paper number 8.3A     JP5.16 Global Precipitation Climatology from AMSU Passive Microwave Satellite Observations   Frederick W. Chen, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. H. Staelin   JP5.17 High-latitude cloud and surface radiative properties from space   Joannes Berque, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Lubin and R. Somerville
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB Poster Session 2 Regional Climate Models and Observations
Chair: Eric P Salathé, Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
P2.1 Mechanisims for a flooding over Korea in August of 2002   Kyong-Hye Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. H. Byun   P2.2 High-resolution regional climate model for the Pacific Northwest   Eric P Salathé Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass, P. Zahn, and R. Steed   P2.3 A Numerical Study of the Diurnal Patterns of Summer Precipitation in the North American Monsoon   Cheng-Zhi Zou, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Zheng   P2.4 Synoptic conditions associated with dense fog in the Midwest   Nancy Westcott, ISWS and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL   P2.5 The diurnal cycle of the circulation and cloudiness over the subtropical Southeast Pacific   René Garreaud, Univ. of Chile, Santiago, Chile; and R. Muñoz   P2.6 Validation of atmospheric boundary layer simulations with REMO by ground-based lidar measurements   Barbara Hennemuth, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and D. Jacob   P2.7 Integration of ASOS weather data into model-derived solar radiation   Brian N. Belcher, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB Poster Session 3 Climate Services
Chair: Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
P3.1 NOAA Climate Transition Program: a method for transitioning research to operations   Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill   P3.2 NOAA National Weather Service Professional Development Series in Climate Services   Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Kann, E. O'Lenic, J. Adolphson, K. Weickmann, M. Newman, W. Schreiber-Abshire, R. Livezey, R. Leffler, K. Redmond, E. Luebehusen, and C. McGill   P3.3 A newsletter forum on climate science and climate change for non-specialists   Michael A. Fortune, Climate Science Forum, Silver Spring, MD   P3.4 NESDIS customers: Are they satisfied? Results from the Customer Satisfaction Survey   Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC   P3.5 Changes in NWS climate products and the role of customer feedback   Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler and R. E. Livezey   P3.6 What the 2002 drought revealed about user needs for Western regional climate services   Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO   P3.7 A Climate Services Clearinghouse: A Comprehensive Guide to Climate Services and Products on the Web   Genevieve E. Maricle, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Pielke P3.8 Newspaper portrayal of climate data   Richard W. Dixon, Texas State University, San Marcos, TX
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB Poster Session 4 Data Reliability, Quality Asssessment and Usability
Chair: Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK
P4.1 Tools for displaying the robustness and density of an observing network over time   Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK   P4.2 Saving a Historical Weather Station—The Case of the Fort Collins, Colorado, Weather Station Versus the Colorado State University Transit Center   Christopher A. Davey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken   P4.3 Quality of Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program Data   Randy A. Peppler, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. L. Sonntag, A. R. Dean, and C. M. Shafer   P4.4 Using a dense precipitation gage network to estimate annual maximum daily precipitation   Kenneth A. Blumenfeld, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN; and R. Skaggs and J. Zandlo   P4.5 Evaluation of climate monitoring needs in southwestern national parks: The Saguaro National Park pilot study   Michael A. Crimmins, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. M. Mau-Crimmins and J. A. Hubbard   P4.6 ASOS impact upon the calculation of the 1971–2000 climatic Normals: A case study for selected Southeastern U.S. stations   Patrick Taylor, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and C. Kauffman   P4.7 Use of Archived Weather Data from Spaceport Florida in Support of Space Shuttle Columbia Accident Investigation   Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder, J. T. Madura, and H. C. Herring   P4.8 Performance evaluation of climate sensors in the Canadian Climate Network   Gary Beaney, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and T. Stapf and B. Sheppard   P4.9 Observations of 1-minute rain rates using a vibrating-wire weighing-bucket rain gauge   Claude E. Duchon, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall AB Poster Session 5 Spatial Climate Technologies and Products
Chair: George H. Taylor, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
P5.1 Up-To-Date Monthly Climate Maps for the Conterminous United States   Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and W. Gibson, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor   Poster P5.2 now in Session 5, new paper number 5.1A     P5.3 An Exploratory Study of Corn Earworm Immigration into the Northeast US Via Air Currents   Matthew Welshans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. Fleischer, P. Knight, and D. Miller   P5.4 A 20-year daily Africa precipitation climatology using satellite and gauge data   Timothy B. Love, RS Information Systems, Inc. and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Kumar, P. Xie, and W. Thiaw
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 609/610 Joint Session 4 Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with the 15th Symp on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conf on Applied Climatology (Room 609/610)
Chair: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV
4:00 PM J4.1 Forecasting Rainfall and Floods in Bangladesh on Weekly to Seasonal Time Scales: Climate Forecast Applications in Bangladesh (Formerly Poster JP1.12)   Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. R. Subbiah, T. M. Hopson, C. Hoyos, R. L. Grossman, H. -. R. Chang, K. Sahami, T. N. Palmer, D. L. T. Anderson, and A. Hossain J4.1A Winter Precipitation Forecasts over the Southern High Plains   Steven A. Mauget, USDA/ARS, Lubbock, TX 4:15 PM J4.2 Helping resource managers apply seasonal predictions: considerations of equity in providing knowledge development and decision support tools   Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Imam, E. Lay, D. Lamb, and S. Sorooshian 4:30 PM J4.3 National Long-range Hydrologic Prediction System   Qingyun Duan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake 4:45 PM J4.4 Use of a weather generator to disaggregate seasonal forecasts: Application to forecasting streamflow   M. P. Clark, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Hay and S. Gangopadhyay 5:00 PM J4.5 Climate, fuels, fire and decisions: The making of national monthly and seasonal wildland fire outlooks   Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and G. G. Garfin, T. Wordell, R. Ochoa, and B. Morehouse 5:15 PM J4.6 The North American (Mexican) Monsoon: MM5 modeling study implications   Dorothea Ivanova, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. L. Mitchell
	5:30 PM, Wednesday Sessions end for the day
	6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
	7:30 PM, Wednesday AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 15 January 2004
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Room 619/620 Session 6 Climate Services (Room 619/620)
Chair: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 6.1 Climate Services: Where Do We Go From Here?   Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK 8:45 AM 6.2 Crafting climate services   Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and K. T. Redmond 9:00 AM 6.3 Meeting the climate needs of the US public: the next big challenge   Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill, R. Pulwarty, and K. Redmond 9:15 AM 6.4 The National Weather Service's role as a partner for providing climate services at the regional and local levels   Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Koepsell, M. Timofeyeva, R. Leffler, F. Horsfall, A. Bair, G. Hufford, P. Leftwich, V. Murphy, H. Thurm, and J. Weyman 9:30 AM 6.5 Developing effective partnerships for service provision at regional and local scales: A problem-based approach   Susan Avery, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Dole and R. Livezey 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 6.6 Climate services from the state climatologist perspective   David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 11:15 AM 6.7 Climate service partnership activities at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center   Timothy W. Owen, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 11:30 AM 6.8 Climate Services—A USDA Perspective   Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR; and T. Puterbaugh and R. Motha 11:45 AM 6.9 Climate science and services: some lessons from CLIMAS   Andrew C. Comrie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. C. Lemos, M. Hughes, and J. Overpeck
	12:15 PM-1:45 PM, Thursday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, Room 619/620 Session 7 Data Reliability, Quality Assessment and Usability (Room 619/620)
Cochairs: Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV
1:30 PM 7.1 Toward an automated tool for detecting relationship changes within series of observations   Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. T. Redmond 1:45 PM 7.2 New techniques in quality assurance of hourly meteorological data: Resolving multiple flags through a decision tree   Daniel Y. Graybeal, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano and K. L. Eggleston 2:00 PM 7.3 A Probabilistic-Spatial Approach to the Quality Control of Climate Observations   Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and W. Gibson, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor 2:15 PM 7.4 The Value of a Quality Assurance Meteorologist   Janet E. Martinez, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and C. A. Fiebrich and M. A. Shafer 2:30 PM 7.5 Data quality assessment: Why we need to share   Nathaniel B. Guttman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 2:45 PM 7.6 Quality control of pre-1948 cooperative observer network data   Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and D. R. Easterling, K. Hubbard, K. Redmond, K. Andsager, M. Kruk, and M. Spinar 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:30 PM 7.7 Climate Database Modernization Program: Pre-20th Century task—key climate observations recorded since the founding of America, 1700's–1800's   Karen Andsager, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL; and T. Ross, M. C. Kruk, and M. L. Spinar 3:45 PM 7.8 The quality control of the Integrated Surface Hourly database   J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 4:00 PM 7.9 A comparison of methods for the identification of steps in temperature series: an overview   Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. F. Ducré-Robitaille and G. Boulet 4:15 PM 7.10 Using Collocated Observations to Assess Secular Trends in the Quality of Observations and Re-analysis Data   Edmund K. M. Chang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY 4:30 PM 7.11 The impact of precipitaton frequency on gaugesite monitoring algorithms   Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud and T. L. Fowler 4:45 PM 7.12 Derivation of an improved snow water equivalent adjustment factor map for application on snowfall ruler measurements in Canada   Éva Mekis, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Hopkinson 5:00 PM 7.13 Ensuring Quality Snow Observations at LCD Stations   Andy Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lawrimore, R. Leffler, R. Stone, T. Townsend, A. Dunham, N. Doesken, and K. T. Redmond 5:15 PM 7.14 Nineteenth Century Weather Observers: A Whodunit   Glen Conner, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY
	3:00 PM, Thursday Registration Desk Closes
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, Room 609/610 Joint Session 6 Observed Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (Room 609/610) (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chair: Arthur T. DeGaetano, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY
3:30 PM J6.1 Verifying the Reanalysis and climate models outputs using a 56-Year data set of reconstructed global precipitation   Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith 3:45 PM J6.2 Low Latitude Zonally Symmetric Circulations in the NCEP Reanalyses   Ioana M. Dima, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace 4:00 PM J6.3 The NAM and PNA-like Patterns: Basis Functions for Northern Hemisphere Low Frequency Variability   Roberta Quadrelli, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace J6.4 The Storms of 2003 in the Midwest   Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. D. Hilberg, J. R. Angel, and S. A. Changnon 4:15 PM J6.5 Recent climate variability in Antarctica from satellite-derived temperature data   David P. Schneider, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. J. Steig and J. Comiso 4:30 PM J6.6 Monitoring climate change from geostationary satellites   Herbert Jacobowitz, Short & Associates, Inc., Silver Spring, MD; and G. J. Dittberner and J. J. Gurka 4:45 PM J6.7 Temporal variations in model derived evaporation in the northeastern and midwestern U.S.   Arthur T. DeGaetano, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and K. L. Eggleston 5:00 PM J6.8 Geostatistical Analysis of local versus Regional Feedback on Regional Climate: Synthesis of Insitu Observations and Global Analysis over Senegal, Western Africa   Souleymane Fall, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. Niyogi, F. Semazzi, R. Anyah, and J. Bowden
	5:30 PM, Thursday Conference Ends
	6:00 PM, Thursday Norm Phillips Banquet

Browse the complete program of The 84th AMS Annual Meeting