13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Program Chairs: Kathleen Sherman-Morris , Mississippi State University ; Olga Wilhelmi , NCAR

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Sunday, 7 January 2018

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Monday, 8 January 2018

8:30 AM-8:45 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Plenary Session 2
Welcoming Address
Location: Austin, Texas

8:45 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Defining User Needs for Water Prediction Priority Products and Services Using Social Science
Location: Room 6B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderator: Mary G. Mullusky, NOAA/NWS
Panelists: Peter Colohan, Executive Office of the President; Arleen O'Donnell, Eastern Research Group; Rachel Hogan Carr, NASA
8:45 AM
PD1.1
Defining User Needs for Water Prediction Priority Products and Services Using Social Science
Mary G. Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Colohan and A. O'Donnell
Recording files available
Session 1
Transforming Communication through Co-Production of Knowledge
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Renee McPherson, Univ. of Oklahoma; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario
8:45 AM
1.1
Public and Private Sector Roles in the Co-Production of Climate Decision Support Tools for Agriculture
Tonya Haigh, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and J. Klink and A. S. Mase
9:00 AM
1.2
Identifying Users, Diagnosing Understandability Challenges, and Developing Prototype Solutions for NOAA Climate Prediction Center's Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks
Melissa A. Kenney, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. D. Gerst, A. E. Baer, A. Speciale, D. DeWitt, J. Gottschalck, and S. Handel
Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Danielle Wood, MIT; Margaret M. Hurwitz, Science Systems and Applications, Inc.; Bradley Doorn, NASA
8:45 AM
J2.1
Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture (Invited Presentation)
Debra Peters, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Las Cruces, NM; and A. Bartuska and R. Tetrault

9:00 AM
J2.2
Enhancing Famine Early Warning Systems with Improved Forecasts, Satellite Observations, and Hydrologic Simulations (Invited Presentation)
Chris C. Funk, USGS, Santa Barbara, CA; and J. P. Verdin, W. M. Thiaw, A. Hoell, S. Shukla, A. McNally, G. Galu, N. S. Novella, D. Korecha, K. R. Arsenault, M. Robjohn, J. Rowland, M. Budde, C. Peters-Lidard, T. Magadzire, E. Bekele, L. S. Harrison, P. Peterson, C. Pomposi, and G. Husak
9:15 AM
J2.3
Riding the Wave of Combined Drought Indicators to Enhance Drought Early Warning for Decision Support
Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Wardlow, B. Fuchs, C. Poulsen, J. Swigart, C. R. Hain, R. McDonnell, and C. M. U. Neale
9:30 AM
J2.4
Prediction of Winter Wheat High Yield from Remote Sensing–Based Model: Application in the United States and Ukraine
Eric Vermote, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Franch, J. C. Roger, S. Skakun, I. Becker-Reshef, and C. O. Justice

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Panel Discussion 2
Federal Agency Budgets for Weather, Water, and Climate: A Guide to Current Proposals and Recent Shifts
Location: Room 6B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderator: Paul Higgins, AMS Policy Program
Panelists: Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics; Jack D. Fellows, ORNL (Retired)
Recording files available
Session 2
Transforming Communication through Co-Production of Knowledge II
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Renee McPherson, Univ. of Oklahoma; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario
10:30 AM
2.1
Engaging with Users of Climate Information and the Co-Production of Knowledge
Michael C. Kruk, Earth Resources Technology, Inc., Asheville, NC; and B. A. A. Parker, R. S. Vose, J. Marra, R. R. Heim Jr., K. Werner, and P. Malsale
10:45 AM
2.2
Practical Tips to Establish an Actionable Science Portfolio
Gustavo A. Bisbal, Northwest Climate Science Center, Corvallis, OR
11:00 AM
2.3
Using Citizen Science to Support Drought-Related Decision-Making
Amanda Farris, Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments, Columbia, SC; and K. Lackstrom
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Communicating the Value of Satellite Data to the Public
Location: Salon H (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 22nd Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Sixth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation )
Cochairs: Kathryn Shontz, NOAA/NESDIS/OSAAP; Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania
10:30 AM
J7.1
Communicating Value: A Mutual Exploration, an Ongoing Conversation—Not a Sales Pitch
William Hooke, Associate Executive Director of AMS, Washington, DC
11:00 AM
J7.2
Communicating the Value of the Satellite Data: Examples from NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Margarita Gregg, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and K. Arzayus, M. J. Brewer, K. S. Casey, E. Kihn, K. V. Matthews, S. Mesick, J. L. Privette, N. A. Ritchey, M. Tanner, R. S. Vose, and M. Wohlgemuth
11:30 AM
J7.4
What Is a Satellite Measurement? Communicating Abstract Satellite Science Concepts to the World
Nadia Smith, Science and Technology Corporation, Columbia, MD; and K. Shontz and C. D. Barnet

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Lecture 1
2018 Haurwitz Lecture
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Cochairs: Ángel F. Adames, GFDL; Scott W. Powell, Colorado State Univ.

2:00 PM-4:15 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 3A
Communicating Weather Information with a Focus on NWS Applications
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Richard Smith, NOAA/NWS
2:00 PM
3A.1
Baseline Measures of Reception, Comprehension, and Response to Severe Weather Forecasts and Warnings
Joseph T. Ripberger, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. Silva and H. Jenkins-Smith
2:15 PM
3A.2
WEA Transmission Bleed Over and Impact-Based Warnings
Valerie Sanders, WeatherCall Services, LLC, Parker, CO
2:30 PM
3A.3
Social Media Communication across the Weather Continuum: Introducing the Social Media Engagement Model for the National Weather Service
Jeannette Sutton, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, KY; and M. Olson, R. Prestley, S. Renshaw, S. Vos, and C. T. Butts
2:45 PM
3A.4
Improving Decision-Making Using Probabilistic Forecasting: A Case Study Using Experimental National Weather Service Snowfall Graphics
Linda Girardi, Eastern Research Group, Arlington, VA; and G. M. Eosco, J. Sharp, J. Sprague, and D. Soroka
3:00 PM
Break

3:15 PM
3A.5
3:30 PM
3A.6
3:45 PM
3A.7
The Impact of NWS Weather Forecast Office Culture on Tornado Warning Performance
Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS/Office of Science and Technology Integration, Silver Spring, MD

4:00 PM
3A.8
Human Factors Affecting Tornado Warning Decisions in National Weather Service Forecast Offices
Frank Alsheimer, NWSFO, West Columbia, SC; and T. Johnstone, D. Sharp, V. Brown, and L. Myers
Recording files available
Session 3B
Building Resilience to Weather and Climate Extremes Across Scales
Location: Room 6B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Lisa Dilling, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research
2:00 PM
3B.1
2:15 PM
3B.2
Drought Response and Planning in South Carolina: Challenges and Opportunities for Building Resilience across Scales and Sectors
Kirsten Lackstrom, Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments, Columbia, SC; and H. Mizzell and E. Altman
2:45 PM
3B.4
Understanding and Responding to Ecological Drought: Supporting the National Drought Resilience Partnership in Montana’s Upper Missouri Headwaters
Amanda E Cravens, USGS, Fort Collins, CO; and A. Schwend, T. Laidlaw, J. McEvoy, S. Crausbay, A. Ramirez, N. Raheem, M. Cross, K. Hall, and S. Carter

3:00 PM
Break

3:15 PM
3B.5
4:00 PM
3B.8
Working with Decision-Makers to Improve Energy−Water System Resiliency in the Lower Hudson River Basin
Jack D. Fellows, ORNL (Retired), Oak Ridge, TN; and J. Pullen, J. E. Gonzalez, F. Saleh, V. Bhatt, and M. Schoonen

4:15 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Joint Poster Session 1
Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Danielle Wood, MIT; Margaret M. Hurwitz, Science Systems and Applications, Inc.; Bradley Doorn, NASA
9
Views of the 2016 Northern Plains Flash Drought: Farmer Perspectives and Remote Sensing Data
Tonya Haigh, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and J. A. Otkin and A. Mucia

10
Seasonal-Scale Water Deficit Forecasting in Africa and the Middle East Using NASA’s Land Information System (LIS)
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and K. R. Arsenault, S. Shukla, A. Getirana, A. McNally, R. D. Koster, B. F. Zaitchik, H. S. Badr, J. M. Roningen, S. Kumar, and C. C. Funk

11
Examining the Value of Global Seasonal Reference Evapotranspiration Forecasts to Support FEWS NET's Food Insecurity Outlooks
Dan McEvoy, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. Shukla, M. Hobbins, G. Husak, J. Huntington, C. C. Funk, D. Macharia, and J. Verdin

12
A New Global Reference Evapotranspiration Reanalysis Forced by MERRA2: Opportunities for Famine Early Warning, Drought Attribution, and Improving Drought Monitoring
Michael Hobbins, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and C. Dewes, D. McEvoy, S. Shukla, L. S. Harrison, S. L. Blakeley, A. McNally, and J. P. Verdin

13
Changing Precipitation Patterns Challenges Food Security in the Indus Basin
Ashish Kondal, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV; and M. Usmani, L. Lin, and A. Jutla

15
Combining Surface Climate and Satellite Vegetation Data to Understand Agricultural Productivity in China
You Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and X. Z. Liang

17
A New Remote-Sensing Indicator for Measuring Degree of Crop Damage due to Natural Disasters
Liping Di, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and E. Yu and R. Shrestha

18
The Research on Disastrous Law of Drought and Flood in Hubei Province in China
Yue Zhou, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China; and Y. Zhou and L. Ye

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Exhibits Opening and Reception
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Ryan Symposium Reception
Location: The Reverbery at the Hilton (Austin, Texas)

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 4
Addressing The Audience: Communicating Effectively to Users of Weather and Climate Data and Information
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Katy Vincent Matthews, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
8:30 AM
4.1
What Defines a Severe Thunderstorm? Perceptions from a Cross Section of Residents of the Lower Rio Grande Valley in South Texas 
Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWSFO, Brownsville, TX; and K. Sherman-Morris, J. J. Schroeder, and M. M. Torres
9:00 AM
4.3
Stella! Social Media and Affective Content in the Context of a Major Snowstorm
Adam M. Rainear, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and K. A. Lachlan
9:15 AM
4.4
Engaging Stakeholders in Embracing Uncertainty in Climate Projections for Adaptation Planning
Derek H. Rosendahl, South Central Climate Science Center, Norman, OK; and J. Blackband, R. A. McPherson, E. Mullens, and A. M. Wootten
9:30 AM
4.5
Bridging the Boundary: Lessons in Building Climate Adaptation Capacity in Southern California
Alyssa Newton Mann, Univ. of Southern California Sea Grant Program, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Grifman, N. Sadrpour, and J. Finzi Hart
9:45 AM
4.6
How to Get More People to Believe Science Is Not Fake News
Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather Inc., State College, PA

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Coffee . Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 5A
Individual Responses to Extreme Weather
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University
10:30 AM
5A.1
The Weather Channel Heuristic: Potential Evidence for a Sleeper Effect when Naming Storms
Adam M. Rainear, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and X. Lin, K. A. Lachlan, and P. R. Spence
10:45 AM
5A.2
A Difference in the Details: Assessing the Impact of Region on Tornado Threat Awareness and Knowledge
Makenzie Krocak, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK; and J. T. Ripberger, H. Jenkins-Smith, and C. Silva
11:00 AM
5A.3
Biases and Heuristics in Warning Response
Alyssa Cannistraci, NOAA, Sykesville, MD; and K. Klockow and A. Gerard
11:15 AM
5A.4
Why Don't They Leave? Examining Barriers That Prevent Protective Actions During Severe Weather Events
Cassandra A Shivers-Williams, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and A. P. Cole Dixon and T. Adams
11:30 AM
5A.5
Envisioning Flood Risk: Communicating Storm Surge Forecasts Through Maps and 3D Visualizations
Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Boehnert, H. Lazrus, J. Gambill, R. E. Morss, J. L. Demuth, K. Dickinson, and C. Langemeier
11:45 AM
5A.6
Recording files available
Session 5B
Inspiring Engagement for Climate Resilience
Location: Room 6B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Jenny Dissen, CICS-NC
10:45 AM
5B.2
Customer Use Cases and Analytics for Climate Data at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information
Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and T. G. Houston, A. Hollingshead, J. Dissen, and N. Jones
11:00 AM
5B.3
The European Union Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) at ECMWF
Freja Vamborg, ECMWF, Reading, UK; and J. N. Thépaut, D. Dee, C. Buontempo, H. Hersbach, and A. Brookshaw
11:15 AM
5B.4
Clark County Climate Variability and Global Climate Model Selection Process with Southern Nevada Water Agency
Julie Kalansky, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and A. M. Sheffield, K. Brooks, J. Johnson, D. Cayan, and D. W. Pierce
11:30 AM
5B.5
Moving Beyond Data Portals: How Insurers and NGOs are Using Tailored Weather Data for International Development Operations
Helen Greatrex, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and D. Osgood and A. Kruczkiewicz
11:45 AM
5B.6A
Communicating Climate Information across Binational Boundaries at the Regional Scale—Lessons Learned from North America
Meredith Muth, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Appleby, S. Borisoff, B. R. Brettschneider, D. P. Brown, J. Saldaña Colín, S. Deland, R. J. Fleetwood, G. M. Garfin, E. De Groot, M. Ibarra, D. R. Kluck, S. Leroy, E. Mecray, J. L. Partain Jr., R. Thoman, and M. E. Woloszyn

1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 3
Communicating Uncertainty: Progress and Outstanding Challenges in the NOAA Testbeds
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Moderator: Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS
Panelists: Kodi Berry, CIMMS; Tiffany C. Meyer, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, and NOAA/NSSL; Sarah Perfater, Cherokee Nation Business; Adam Clark, NOAA/NSSL; Kevin L. Manross, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.; Shirley Murillo, NOAA/AOML
1:30 PM
JPD3.1
Communicating Uncertainty: Progress and Outstanding Challenges in the NOAA Testbeds
Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. M. Calhoun, H. Obermeier, and T. C. Meyer
Recording files available
Session 6
Addressing The Audience II: Communicating Effectively to Users of Weather and Climate Data and Information
Location: Room 6B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Katy Vincent Matthews, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
1:30 PM
6.1
1:45 PM
6.2
Communicating Science on Social Media: Strategic Keys to Success
Susan Osborne, TeleSolv Consulting, NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and K. V. Matthews, G. Hammer, J. Fulford, H. McCullough, K. Boseo, A. Sallis, and T. Maycock
2:00 PM
6.3
Climate Science and Social Media: Success Reaching the Masses
Katy Vincent Matthews, NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and G. Hammer, S. Osborne, J. Fulford, and T. Maycock
2:30 PM
Break

2:45 PM
6.5
Citizen Science and Cost-Effective Community-Based Rainfall Measurement in Nepal
Suresh Marahatta, Tribhuvan Univ., Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal; and L. Adhikari, B. Pokharel, B. Giri, A. Dixit, and P. Stahl
3:15 PM
6.7
An Interagency Collaboration for Presenting Climate Indicators
Michael Kolian, EPA, Washington, DC; and M. Kolian and D. S. Arndt
3:30 PM
6.8
Managing a Multi-Agency Set of Climate Indicators
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC; and J. Blunden, L. E. Stevens, and S. M. Champion

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Poster Session 1
Societal Application Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University
726
Meeting the Needs of a Variety of GHRC Data Users by Asking "Who is the Audience?" First
Deborah K. Smith, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and A. M. Weigel, K. Bugbee, L. Sinclair, and T. Smith

727
Exploring and Advancing Customer Engagement at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information
Annette Hollingshead, Global Science and Technology, Inc., Asheville, NC; and M. J. Brewer, J. Dissen, N. Jones, and T. Owen

730
Visualizing Extreme Precipitation for Climate Storytelling
Rachel M. Phinney, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and J. Rennie

731
Perceptions about Social Science Research and Key Issues: A Survey of Warning Coordination Meteorologists
Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and H. B. Lussenden

733
A Conceptual Model of Tornado Risk Communication
Samuel J. Childs, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Poster 734 has been moved. New paper number 7.4A

735
Weather's Impact on Psychological Behaviors and Community Economics
Christopher D'Ambrosio, Episcopal Academy, Wayne, PA

736
Fine-Scale Assessment of Mobile Home Tornado Exposure in the Southeast United States
Stephen M. Strader, Villanova University, Villanova, PA; and W. S. Ashley and K. E. Klockow-McClain

737
Assessing Flood Risk for the State of Florida
Steven Cocke, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and D. W. Shin and B. Annane

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Peter J. Webster Symposium Banquet
Location: Ballroom A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 7
Communicating about High Impact Weather: Warnings and Understanding Your Audience
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
8:45 AM
7.2
Expanding the NWS Hazard Simplification Project: An Exploration of Non-Precipitation Products
Castle Adam Williams, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. Sprague, G. M. Eosco, E. Jacks, M. Hawkins, A. T. Pirring, and K. E. Klockow-McClain
9:15 AM
7.4A
Factors Influencing the Usefulness of the NWS Website Radar Display
Kevin D. Ash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. E. Saunders, J. Collins, and C. H. Paxton

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 8
Communicating about High Impact Weather: Uncertainty and Decision-Making
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
10:30 AM
8.1
10:45 AM
8.2
Using the Case Walk Through Method to Elucidate the Interplay of Forecaster and Emergency Manager Decision-Making under an Experimental Warning Paradigm
Daphne LaDue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. J. James, C. A. Shivers, A. Gerard, C. Ling, J. Correia Jr., K. Klockow, C. Karstens, and T. C. Meyer
11:00 AM
8.3
11:15 AM
8.4
Broadcast Meteorologist Decision-Making in the 2017 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Project
Holly Obermeier, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Nemunaitis-Berry, K. E. Klockow, C. D. Karstens, A. Gerard, and L. P. Rothfusz
11:30 AM
8.5
Investigating Crisis Decision-Making and Communication in Weather-Related Risks: A Role-Playing Game for Forecasters, Emergency Managers, and the General Public
Galateia Terti, Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France; and I. Ruin, M. Kalas, V. Lorini, T. Sabbatini, and A. C. i Alonso
Recording files available
Joint Session 42
Indoor Heat Exposure: Measurements, Impacts, and Solutions
Location: Room 17B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Environment and Health; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Mary K. Wright, Arizona State Univ.; Augusta Williams, Harvard Univ.
10:30 AM
J42.1
Heat Exposure and Associated Health Effects in an Outdoor Stadium Venue
Chris Fuhrmann, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and A. Collins, M. E. Brown, B. Gutter, A. Raborn, M. Williams, and C. Worley
10:45 AM
J42.2
Indoor Temperature and Air Conditioning Use in Phoenix, AZ: A Household Study
Mary K. Wright, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and D. M. Hondula, P. Chakalian, L. C. Kurtz, L. E. Watkins, and S. L. Harlan
11:00 AM
J42.3
Impact of Heat Waves on Cognitive Function among Young Adults
Jose Guillermo Cedeño Laurent, Harvard Univ., Boston, MA; and A. Williams, Y. Oulhote, A. Zanobetti, J. Allen, and J. Spengler
11:15 AM
J42.4
A Stakeholder-Guided Heat Vulnerability Analysis for Las Cruces, New Mexico
Rebia Khan, NASA, Hampton, VA; and J. O'Brien, C. Wilson, F. Jia, L. E. Watkins, and D. M. Hondula

11:30 AM
J42.5
A Framework for Forecasting Indoor Temperatures for Populations at Risk from Heat Waves
Brian Vant-Hull, City College, New York, NY; and P. Ramamurthy and J. K. Drapkin
11:45 AM
Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Lecture 2
2018 Horton Lecture
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
1:30 PM
L2.1
Rain Rates from Space: Past & Future (Invited Presentation)
Gerald R. North, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 8
From Vulnerable to Resilient: Leveraging the Role of Communication
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 46th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology )
Chair: Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma
1:30 PM
TJ8.1
Climate Resilient Engagement: One Firm's Experience and a Vision for the Future
Scott Shuford, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, NC; and M. McGuirk, R. D. Copenhaver, A. Keller, and E. Shea
1:45 PM
TJ8.2
Communicating Projections of Weather and Climate Extremes for Urban Decision-Makers
Andrew P. Ballinger, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC; and K. E. Kunkel

2:30 PM
Break

2:45 PM
TJ8.5
3:00 PM
TJ8.6
Dynamics of Vulnerability in Drought Contexts: A Case Study of Pueblo, Colorado, and the Arkansas River
Jennifer Henderson, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and L. Dilling, U. Rick, R. E. Morss, and O. Wilhelmi
3:15 PM
TJ8.7
Comparing Heat Vulnerability Indicators and Household Experiences in Phoenix, Arizona
Lance E. Watkins, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and M. K. Wright, E. C. Kurtz, P. Chakalian, D. M. Hondula, and S. L. Harlan
3:30 PM
TJ8.8

2:45 PM-3:45 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 5
Decision-Making by Water Utilities: Using Climate/Weather Information in Short- and Long-Term Planning
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Moderator: Nancy Kay Beller-Simms, NOAA
Panelists: W. Joshua Weiss, Hazen and Sawyer; Katherine Zitsch, Atlanta Regional Commission; Yanan Duan, Auburn Univ.; Marisa Gonzalez, Austin Water Utility
2:45 PM
Panel Discussion
3:45 PM
Utility Climate Resiliency Study - Danny Johnson
4:00 PM
Developing Climate-Based Reservoir Inflow Forecasts Using Machine Learning Methods - Yanan Duan

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Joint Poster Session 5
Decision-Making by Water Utilities: Using Climate/Weather Information in Short- and Long-Term Planning
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Chair: Nancy Kay Beller-Simms, NOAA
883
Using Data to Help Characterize and Plan for Future Climate Variability in the Metro Atlanta Region
Katherine Zitsch, Atlanta Regional Commission, Atlanta, GA; and D. E. Johnson and N. S. Ram

885
Optimization of Multi-Reservoir Water Supply Operation Utilizing Ensemble Inflow Forecasts
Reza Ahmad Limon, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; and S. Kim and D. J. Seo

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


98th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Thursday, 11 January 2018

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 9
Observations, Decision-Making and Modeling Capabilities at the Weather, Climate, and Society Interface
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Kristie L. Ebi, Univ. of Washington
8:30 AM
9.1
The Evolution of NOAA's Value Model
Louis Cantrell Jr., Profitable Weather, LLC, Fairfax, VA; and D. Helms, R. C. Reining, A. Pratt, B. Priest, and V. Ries
8:45 AM
9.2
When Good Weather Isn’t Good Enough: The O2D (Operations to Decisions) Divide
Peter P. Neilley, The Weather Company, Andover, MA; and J. K. Williams
9:00 AM
9.3
The Changing Landscape of Weather R&D: Where do we go from here?
DaNa L. Carlis,  Office of Atmospheric Research, Washington, DC; and J. Cortinas Jr., K. Robinson, and K. Fornace
9:15 AM
9.4
Recent Applications of NOAA’s Observing System Architecture Analysis Capabilities
David Helms, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning, and Analysis, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Yapur, L. Cantrell Jr., J. Goldstein, B. Priest, A. Pratt, and V. Ries

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018


Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 10
Policy and Decision-Making at the Weather, Climate, and Society Interface
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Jessica C. Whitehead, North Carolina State University
10:30 AM
10.1
Urgency in the Anthropocene
Amanda H. Lynch, Brown Univ., Providence, RI; and S. Veland
10:45 AM
10.2
Paris Climate Agreement: Impact of the United States Withdrawal
Walter Tribett, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. J. Salawitch, A. Hope, L. McBride, B. Bennett, and T. Canty
11:00 AM
10.3
11:15 AM
10.4
Using Public and Stakeholder Perceptions of Drone Technology to Influence Design and Implementation of Drones for Atmospheric Data Collection
Janell Walther, Univ. of Nebraska Public Policy Center, Lincoln, NE; and L. PytlikZillig, A. Houston, C. Detweiler, and J. Kawamoto
11:30 AM
10.5
Understanding the Role of Trust in Public Support for Weather (and Other) Drones: Results of a Nationally Representative U.S. Survey
Lisa PytlikZillig, Univ. of Nebraska Public Policy Center, Lincoln, NE; and A. Houston, J. Walther, J. Kawamoto, and C. Detweiler
11:45 AM
10.6
Adaptation Planning in the Town of Nags Head, NC: From Communication, to Co-Production, to Funded Actions
Jessica C. Whitehead, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and H. White, C. R. Kamrath, and L. Schiavinato

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018


David J. Raymond Symposium Luncheon
Location: Ballroom A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 11
Hazardous Weather Risk Assessment and Impacts
Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Stephen M. Strader, Villanova University
1:30 PM
11.1
Identifying Patterns in Extreme Precipitation Risk and the Related Impacts
Katharina Schroeer, Univ. of Graz, Graz, Austria; and M. Tye

1:45 PM
11.2
Assessing Lightning Risk in Vulnerable Outdoor Environments
Kelley Murphy, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and D. E. Bruning and J. Vanos
2:00 PM
11.3
Projected Twenty-First-Century Changes in Tornado Exposure, Risk, and Disaster Potential
Stephen M. Strader, Villanova University, Villanova, PA; and W. S. Ashley, T. J. Pingel, and A. Krmenec
2:15 PM
11.4
Tornadoes in Winter? Assessing the Climatological Trends and Meteorological Environments of Cold-Season Tornadoes
Samuel J. Childs, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and J. T. Allen
2:30 PM
11.5
2:45 PM
11.6
Using Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Near-Term Severe Weather Trends
David Harrison, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NOAA/SPC, Norman, OK; and C. Karstens and A. McGovern

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018


Coffee Break