Program: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change (86th AMS Annual Meeting)

Sat 28 Jan

Short Course and Student Conference Registration

Sun 29 Jan

Short Course Registration

Conference Registration

Mon 30 Jan

Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February

Session 1

Observed Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability: Part I

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ.

9:00 AM

1.1

Surface humidity and temperature trends in Canada for 1953–2004

Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. A. Van Wijngaarden

Presentation PDF (303.8 kB)

9:15 AM

1.2

A global, 2-hourly atmospheric precipitable water dataset from ground-based GPS measurements for diurnal cycle and other climate studies

Junhong Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Zhang and A. Dai

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

1.3

Ten Years of Measurements of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Water Vapor by the MOZAIC: Climatology, Variability, Transport and Relation to Deep Convection

Zhengzhao Luo, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Kley and R. H. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.4 MB)

9:45 AM

1.4

Upper tropospheric water vapor and clouds: new evidence from EOS MLS satellite observations

Hui Su, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. G. Read, J. H. Jiang, and J. W. Waters

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

1.5

Paper 1.5 has been moved, New Paper number is 5.14A

10:15 AM

1.6

Trends and variability of snowfall and snow cover across North America and Eurasia. Part 2: What the data say

David A. Robinson, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and R. R. Heim Jr.

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (44.0 kB)

10:30 AM

1.7

Temporal and spatial variability of large U.S. snowstorms 1950-2000

David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and S. Changnon

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

1.8

Synoptic analysis of 2001-2005 significant snowfall events on Mt. Kilimanjaro

Rebecca Chan, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

1.9

U.S. Forts Daily Data and the Frequency of Extreme Events in the 19th Century

Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and K. E. Kunkel and J. R. Angel

11:15 AM

1.10

Trends in temperature extremes for Southern New Zealand

Paula J. Brown, Univ. of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; and L. Kavalieris

11:30 AM

1.5A

Cross-tropopause transport over the Tibetan Plateau and its ambient regions during late summer/early fall 2004

Yuanlong Hu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu, J. H. Jiang, W. G. Read, M. J. Filipiak, and J. W. Waters

11:45 AM

1.5B

Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

Plenary Session 1

AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; the The James Holton Symposium; the Third Symposium on Space Weather; the Event Program; the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the 15th Symposium on Education; the Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Fourth Presidental History Symposium; the First Symposium on Policy Research; the Eighth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the The Doug Lilly Symposium; the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 14th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere; the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the Second Symposium: Toward a Global Earth Observation System of Systems—Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the Symposium on the Public/Private Sector Partnership; the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year; and the Second Special Session on Heat Health )

Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ.; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS

12:00 PM

PL1.1

Forum opening

Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna

12:10 PM

PL1.2

How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?

Martin Best, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

12:40 PM

PL1.3

THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS

Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL

Session 2

AMS Bernhard Haurwitz and Walter Orr Roberts Lectures

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

1:30 PM

2.1

Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture: Testing Global Warming Models in the Face of Uncertainty

Peter H. Stone, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

2.2

Walter Orr Roberts Lecture: Climate and Ecosystem Variability: The Role of Forcings and Feedbacks

Antonio Busalacchi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

2.1a

Formal Poster Viewing

Joint Session 1

LAND-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTIONS: Soil Moisture Feedback and Modeling Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)

Location: A313 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Hydrology )

Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC

1:30 PM

J1.1

High-Resolution Convective Modeling using WRF and GCE coupled to LIS

Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao, S. V. Kumar, J. L. Eastman, X. Zeng, S. E. Lang, Y. Tian, and P. R. Houser

1:45 PM

J1.2

(INVITED) Research Issues raised by looking at the dependence of Tibetan climate on albedo from perspective of a Global Climate Model

Robert Dickinson, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. Shaikh and L. Zhou

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

J1.3

Numerical Simulation of the 2004 North American Monsoon sensitivity to surface data

Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. D. Chern, K. R. Arsenault, P. R. Houser, and J. D. Radakovich

2:15 PM

J1.4

Reducing the wintertime warm bias in NCAR GCMs through the use of a new snow cover fraction scheme

Zong-Liang Yang, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Y. Niu

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

J1.5

Land-atmosphere coupling and climate variability in future-climate scenarios for the European continent

Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zuerich, Switzerland; and D. Luthi, P. Vidale, and C. Schar

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

J1.6

An assessment of simulated warm-season rainfall variability over the Great Plains and associated land surface conditions

Wanru Wu, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA; and R. Dickinson

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

J1.7

Soil moisture—atmosphere interactions during the 2003 European summer heatwave

Erich M. Fischer, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. Seneviratne, D. Luethi, C. Schaer, and P. Vidale

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (740.1 kB)

3:15 PM

J1.8

Impact of soil moisture feedback and vegetation feedback on seasonal prediction of precipitation over North America

Yeonjooo Kim, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs Mansfield, CT; and G. Wang

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

J1.9

Effects of solar dimming on soil moisture trends

Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and H. Li

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

J1.10

Assessing Land Memory in the GSWP2 Simulations and Association to Global Recycling Estimates

C. Adam Schlosser, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and P. A. Dirmeyer and K. L. Brubaker

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

J1.4A

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 1

Observed climate change

Location: Exhibit Hall A2 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

P1.1

The role of the atmospheric circulation in very extensive summer sea ice in the Ross Sea, Antarctica in 2003

S. A. Harangozo, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (521.4 kB)

P1.2

Monitoring Ice Variability and Change through an Ice Reduction Date

Andrew Molthan, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson and B. Jackson

P1.3

Variations in melt conditions in the Arctic through use of surface energy proxy

Bryan Jackson, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. Molthan and M. R. Anderson

P1.4

The impact of an observationally based surface emissivity dataset on the simulation of Microwave Sounding Unit Temperatures

Justin J. Hnilo, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and L. Litten, B. D. Santer, and J. R. Christy

P1.5

Kernel PCA Analysis for remote sensing data

John A. Tan, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and R. Yang and M. Kafatos

Poster PDF (393.9 kB)

P1.6

Diurnal cycles of the surface radiation budget data set

Pamela E. Mlynczak, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, P. W. Stackhouse Jr., and S. K. Gupta

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)

P1.7

Measurements of the Radiative Surface Forcing of Climate

W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and E. Puckrin

Poster PDF (248.1 kB)

P1.8

Changes in the air-sea temperature difference of the North Atlantic for the past 50 years

Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/OAR/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Murnane and J. K. Eischeid

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

P1.9

Seasonal and Diurnal Cycles in Climate Change and Variability

Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. C. Grody and A. Robock

P1.10

The effect of radiosonde instrument changes on climate trends of global atmospheric precipitable water

Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

Poster PDF (98.4 kB)

P1.11

North America climate extremes monitoring system

Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, T. C. Peterson, and N. S. Stroumentova

Poster PDF (170.3 kB)

P1.12

Assessment of US climate variations using the US Climate Extremes Index and the US Greenhouse Climate Response Index

David J. Karoly, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Ruppert, D. R. Easterling, and J. H. Lawrimore

P1.13

Observational evidence of sensitivity of surface climate changes to land types and urbanization

Young-Kwon Lim, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai, E. Kalnay, and L. Zhou

P1.14

Statistical trend detection of a global change signal in regional climate over the U.S.

Airong Cai, Univ. of Illinois, Chicago, IL; and K. Hayhoe, G. C. Tiao, and D. J. Wuebbles

P1.15

Decadal Wind Trends at the Savannah River Site

Allen H. Weber, Savannah River National Laboratory (retired), North Augusta, SC; and R. L. Buckley and M. J. Parker

Poster PDF (350.9 kB)

P1.16

Effects of biomass burning-derived aerosols on precipitation and clouds in the Amazon Basin: a satellite-based empirical study

P1.17

Long-term variations in global and tropical precipitation derived from the GPCP monthly product

Robert Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Gu and G. J. Huffman

Session 2A

Report on U.S. Climate Science Program

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

5:00 PM

2A.1

Report on the U.S. Climate Science Program November 2005 Workshop on Climate Science in Support of Decision Making

James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC; and M. Glackin and A. N. Tribble

Recorded presentation

Sessions end for the day (M)

Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Holton Symposium Banquet

Tue 31 Jan

Joint Session 2

Distributed Earth Science Information Systems (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)

Location: A312 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; and the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Cochairs: Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL; Stephen M. Holt, Mitretek Systems

8:30 AM

J2.1

Surface data integration at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center: data format, processing, QC, and product generation

Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. N. Lott, S. K. Hawkins, R. Baldwin, D. D. Anders, R. Ray, D. Dellinger, P. Jones, and F. Smith

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (245.2 kB)

8:45 AM

J2.2

Recent advances in in-situ data access, summarization, and visualization at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center

J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Baldwin and D. D. Anders

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (440.7 kB)

9:00 AM

J2.3

Process Management and Improvement for CLASS System Development and Maintenance

Anita K. Konzak, NOAA/NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and R. G. Reynolds and C. Martinez

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (39.4 kB)

9:15 AM

J2.4

MI3: the NCDC's master station history

Jeffrey D. Arnfield, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (375.5 kB)

9:30 AM

J2.5

Evolving EO-1 Sensor Web Testbed Capabilities in Pursuit of GEOSS

Dan Mandl, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. W. Frye

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

J2.6

BeringClimate: An Evolving View of Ecosystem Change in the Bering Sea

James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and S. Rodionov and N. N. Soreide

Recorded presentation

Joint Session 3

Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Land Data, Land Cover, and Land Use Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Hydrology )

Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC

J3.1

Observed vegetation-climate feedbacks in the United States

Presentation PDF (447.6 kB)

8:45 AM

J3.2

(INVITED) Land-atmosphere interactions on North American basins estimated from North American Regional Reanalysis products

Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Luo, K. E. Mitchell, and A. K. Betts

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

J3.3

State of the ground: Climatology and changes during the past 65 years over Northern Eurasia for snow cover, dry, wet, and frozen ground conditions

Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, V. N. Razuvaev, O. N. Bulygina, and T. R. Karl

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

J3.4

The seasonal evolution of the diurnal variation of the low-level winds around the Gulf of California. Is there a link to vegetation green-up during the wet season?

Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia, J. M. Galvez, R. Orozco, and J. Murillo

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (510.7 kB)

9:30 AM

J3.5

The climate sensitivity of land cover change and its thermodynamic characterization

Axel Kleidon, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

J3.6

Deforestation and dry season rainfall in northern Mesoamerica: Implications for forest sustainability

Ronald M. Welch, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Ray, R. O. Lawton, and U. S. Nair

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (406.3 kB)

10:00 AM

J3.7

How important is land cover change for simulating future climates?

Johannes Feddema, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and L. O. Mearns, K. Oleson, G. Bonan, L. Buja, G. Meehl, and W. M. Washington

Recorded presentation

10:15 AM

J3.8

The influence of vegetation on the global climate: an analysis of teleconnection processes using a coupled atmosphere-biosphere model

Peter K. Snyder, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL

J3.9

Climate scenario of the 21st century with interactive coupling between a land use model and a GCM

10:45 AM

J3.10

Impact of land-use and land-cover changes on mineral dust emission in Central and East Asia

Kremena Darmenova, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and I. N. Sokolik

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

J3.5A

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

12:15 PM

J3.9A

Potential impacts of aerosol-land-atmosphere interaction on the Indian

Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and H. I. Chang, L. Gu, S. Menon, and R. A. Pielke Sr.

Recorded presentation

Joint Poster Session 1

Land-Atmosphere Interactions (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)

Location: Exhibit Hall A2 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Hydrology )

JP1.1

Regional climate modelling of European summer climate variability over the period 1958–2001

Erich M. Fischer, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. I. Seneviratne, P. Vidale, D. Luethi, and C. Schaer

JP1.2

Soil temperature and moisture errors in Eta model analyses

Christopher M. Godfrey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and L. M. Leslie

Poster PDF (780.4 kB)

JP1.3

Evaluation of interannual variability simulation over South America using a dynamic downscaling approach

Fernando H. De Sales, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue

JP1.4

Impacts of the satellite-derived leaf area index on GCM simulation of near-surface climate

Hyun-Suk Kang, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. K. Xue and G. J. Collatz

JP1.5

Effects of Soil Moisture Variations on Boundary Layer Characteristics: Numerical Simulations using WRF

Ning Zhang, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and D. Lu and H. Liu

JP1.6

The Role of the CLM2 in Seasonal Dynamical Downscaling for Crop Model Application

Dong-Wook Shin, COAPS, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. G. Bellow, S. Cocke, T. LaRow, and J. J. O'Brien

JP1.7

The impact of soil moisture initialization on seasonal precipitation in West Africa

Andrea M. Sealy, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph and C. H. Lu

JP1.8

Hydroclimatological Predictions Based on Basin's Humidity Index

Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas, San Antonio, TX; and N. L. Miller

Poster PDF (207.9 kB)

JP1.9

High-resolution CRM simulations from IHOP: Land-atmosphere interactions

Stephen E. Lang, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and X. Zeng, W. K. Tao, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. L. Eastman, S. V. Kumar, and Y. Tian

JP1.10

Poster JP1.10 Moved. New Paper number J3.9A

JP1.11

Impact of cross effects between soil temperature and moisture states and soil water vapor fluxes on global climate

Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Kramm

JP1.12

A diagnostic study on atmospheric moisture budget over the continental United States for wet and dry years

Xinmin Zeng, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and H. Liu

JP1.13

A Soil Moisture Monitoring Network: The Oklahoma Mesonet Perspective

Bradley G. Illston, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK OK; and J. B. Basara, C. A. Fiebrich, R. L. Elliott, D. K. Fisher, E. D. Hunt, and J. R. Kilby

JP1.14

Advanced computing, data access and distribution technologies, and interoperable tools enable high resolution coupled land-atmosphere prediction

Sujay V. Kumar, UMBC/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, W. K. Tao, Y. Tian, J. Eastman, X. Zeng, S. E. Lang, and P. R. Houser

JP1.15

Biogeography of cloud forests: Use of satellite remote sensing and numerical modeling

U. S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Ray, S. Asefi, R. M. Welch, and R. O. Lawton

JP1.16

Verification case studies within the 12km North American land data assimilation system (NLDASE) project

Charles J. Alonge, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. A. Cosgrove

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

JP1.17

Impact of green vegetation fraction on atmosphere/land-surface models

Vince C. K. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and G. Gayno

JP1.18

The impact of wind speed on nighttime microscale temperature gradients

Matthew J. Haugland, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

Poster PDF (315.2 kB)

JP1.19

Reduced atmospheric CH₄ consumption by temperate forest soils under elevated CO₂

Lindsay Dubbs, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and S. C. Whalen and E. N. Fischer

JP1.20

Lower Tropospheric Analysis of the Daily Cycle of the Wind for the East Coast of the Gulf of California during NAME 2004

Luna M. Rodriguez, Senior, Universidad de Puerto Rico- Recinto de Rio Piedras, Physics, San Juan, Puerti Rico; and L. M. Hartten

JP1.21

How the congo basin deforestation and the equatorial monsoonal circulation influences the regional hydroloical cycle

Willis O. Shem, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. E. Dickinson

Poster PDF (1013.2 kB)

JP1.22

Impact of lowland deforestation on South West Indian tropical wet forests: cloud cover and rainfall

Deepak K. Ray, Foretsry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana; and R. M. Welch, U. S. Nair, R. O. Lawton, and R. A. Pielke Sr.

JP1.23

The impact of a controlled burn on surface and atmospheric conditions on a tallgrass prairie

Amanda J. Schroeder, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara

Poster PDF (607.6 kB)

JP1.24

Radiative scaling of the nocturnal boundary layer

Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT

JP1.25

The effect of vegetation type on the seasonal and diurnal cycles of soil temperature

Thomas Atkins, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Robock

JP1.26

Climate variability in a simple model of land-atmosphere interaction

Jiangfeng Wei, COLA, Calverton, MD; and R. E. Dickinson and N. Zeng

Poster PDF (204.6 kB)

JP1.27

The Effects of Frozen Soil on Snowmelt Runoff and Soil Water Storage

Guo-Yue Niu, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang

JP1.28

The influence of soil transport processes upon temperature and moisture profiles in a snowpack

Yi-Ching Chung, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. W. England

JP1.29

Modelling dust transport over Central Eastern Australia

Lance M. Leslie, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

JP1.30

A Physical Based Forest Fuel Moisture Scheme for High-Resolution Fire Modeling

Yongqiang Liu, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA

JP1.31

Attribution of seasonal soil moisture prediction uncertainties

Zaitao Pan, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. Horton, B. Tentinger, and M. Segal

JP1.32

Simulating water and energy fluxes using a coupled groundwater, surface water, land surface and regional climate model.

Reed M. Maxwell, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and S. J. Kollet, Q. Duan, and F. K. Chow

JP1.33

Poster JP1.33 Moved. New number J5.5A

JP1.34

The role of land surface schemes on land-atmosphere coupling strength in weather and climate models

Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer and R. D. Koster

Session 3

Observed Climate Change in the Atmosphere and Oceans: Part 1

Location: A313 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL; Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD

11:00 AM

3.1

State of the climate for 2005

Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, D. H. Levinson, A. M. Waple, C. Tankersley, and S. Stephens

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (746.4 kB)

11:15 AM

3.2

Is the tropopause a sensitive indicator of climate change?

Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and W. J. Randel

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

3.3

Geographical distribution of the vertical temperature profile trends derived from radiosonde observations

Hong Li, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai, E. Kalnay, and J. Woollen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (578.8 kB)

11:45 AM

3.4

Analysis of tropospheric temperature gradients via radiosonde wind data in the western tropical Pacific

Robert J. Allen, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and S. C. Sherwood

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (130.9 kB)

12:00 PM

3.5

A new lower tropospheric temperature dataset using microwave sounding unit measurements

Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz

Presentation PDF (194.0 kB)

Exhbits Open (T)

Plenary Session

Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)

Hosts: (Joint between the Event Program; the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 15th Symposium on Education; the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges; the AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges; the Eighth Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the The Doug Lilly Symposium; the First Symposium on Policy Research; the 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air and Waste Management Assoc; the Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment; the 14th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere; the 10th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the Second Symposium: Toward a Global Earth Observation System of Systems—Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Conference on Hydrology; the 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the Fourth Presidental History Symposium; the Symposium on the Public/Private Sector Partnership; the The James Holton Symposium; the Third Symposium on Space Weather; and the Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year )

Session 4

Observed Climate Change in the Atmosphere and Oceans: Part 2

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chairs: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL; Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD

1:45 PM

4.1

Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: an update through 2004

Russell S. Vose, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling and B. Gleason

Presentation PDF (235.0 kB)

2:00 PM

4.2

At what horizontal scale can significant surface warming be detected?

David J. Karoly, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Q. Wu

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

4.3

Abrupt global temperature change and the instrumental record

Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (420.0 kB)

2:30 PM

4.4

Rehabilitating the Canadian Climate Reference Network

Yves Durocher, EC, Downsview, ON, Canada

2:45 PM

4.5

A comparison of the original United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) and USHCN v2

Claude N. Williams Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. J. Menne

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (834.1 kB)

3:00 PM

4.6

Atlantic hurricanes and global warming: Observational evidence

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

3:15 PM

4.7

Frequency, duration and intensity of tropical cyclonic storms in a warming environment

Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H. R. Chang

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

4.8

How unnatural are the observed Tropical SST trends over the last 50 years ?

Cecile Penland, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh

3:45 PM

4.9

Characterization of Changing Precipitation Regimes

John Hallett, DRI, Reno, NV; and R. Rasmussen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

4:00 PM

4.10

Global “warming holes” and regional land surface-atmosphere interactions

Zaitao Pan, St. Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and M. Segal, W. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, and C. J. Anderson

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

4.11

Recent rainfall trends across tropical West Africa: Observations and potential causes

Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and P. Susan and K. Simone

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

4.12

Continued research on observed changes in cloudiness and air pollution over China and their relationships with other meteorological variables

Dale Kaiser, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian, R. S. Vose, and B. Sun

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4.13

An algorithm to derive snowfall from snow depth observations

Alexandre Fischer, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and Y. Durocher

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (270.3 kB)

5:00 PM

4.5A

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

Joint Session 5

Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Coupled Model Development, Data Assimilation, Predictability, and Process Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)

Location: A313 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Hydrology )

Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC; Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California

J5.1

Noah LSM surface layer formulations used in the operational mesoscale NAM (WRF-NMM) model

2:00 PM

J5.2

Influence of land surface parametrizations on climate simulations at high latitudes

Diana L. Verseghy, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and P. A. Bartlett

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

J5.3

Testing a coupled biophysical/dynamic vegetation model (SSiB-4/TRIFFID) in different climate zones using satellite-derived and ground-measured data

Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Deng and P. M. Cox

2:30 PM

J5.4

Recent results from the 12km North American land data assimilation system (NLDASE) project

Brian A. Cosgrove, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. J. Alonge

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (928.4 kB)

J5.5

Impact of the new Noah Land Surface Model on the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS)

3:00 PM

J5.6

PILPS semi-arid experiment: preliminary results

Luis A. Bastidas, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and E. Rosero and B. Nijssen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (541.8 kB)

3:15 PM

J5.7

(INVITED) Examination of the Bouchet-Morton complementarity relationship throughout a period of increasing irrigation

Guido Salvucci, Boston University, Boston, MA; and M. Ozdogan

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

J5.8

Using observed spatial correlation structures of rainfall and temperature to improve the skill of subseasonal forecasts relying on land surface moisture initialization

Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. J. Suarez

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

J5.9

(INVITED) Do Global Models Properly Represent the Feedback Between Land and Atmosphere?

P. A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and Z. Guo and R. D. Koster

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

J5.10

Assessing the land-surface, boundary layer and cloud-field coupling in ERA-40

Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and P. Viterbo

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

J5.11

Impact of fine-scale landscape and soil-moisture variability in the initiation of deep convection

Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

J5.12

Influence of variations in low-level moisture and soil moisture on the organization of summer convective systems in the US Midwest

Jimmy O. Adegoke, University of Missouri, Kansas City, MO; and S. Vezhapparambu, C. L. Castro, R. Pielke Sr., and A. M. Carleton

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.4 MB)

4:45 PM

J5.13

Evaluation of the impact of land surface heterogeneity representations on mesoscale fluxes

Sujay V. Kumar, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. Eastman, Y. Tian, and P. R. Houser

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

J5.5A

Using GLDAS/LIS to derive global land climatology for the NOAA Climate Test Bed

Jesse Meng, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and H. Wei

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

J5.5B

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

Sessions end for the day (T)

Wed 1 Feb

Joint Session 4

Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)

Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )

Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ.

8:30 AM

J4.1

Changes in very heavy and extreme precipitation events: what do we know?

Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

J4.2

A global view of severe thunderstorms: Estimating the current distribution and possible future changes

Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (828.1 kB)

Session 5

Climate Modeling: Studies of climate change

Location: A313 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chairs: G. L. Potter, LLNL; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL

8:30 AM

5.1

New Climate Change Findings and Future Plans

Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, J. Arblaster, and H. Teng

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5.2

Future changes of El Nino

Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng and G. Branstator

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

5.3

Climate change detection and attribution in the upper air

Stephen S. Leroy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. G. Anderson and J. A. Dykema

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (963.9 kB)

9:15 AM

5.4

The causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe

Dave Rowell, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Jones

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

5.5

A comparison of model produced maximum and minimum temperature trends with observed trends for the 20th and 21st centuries

David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. E. Gleason, R. S. Vose, and R. Stouffer

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.4 MB)

9:45 AM

5.6

Stratospheric trends in IPCC model simulations

Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and F. Snively

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

5.7

Rainfall and Its seasonality over the Amazon in the 21st century as assessed by the Coupled Models for the IPCC AR4

Wenhong Li, Georgis Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu and R. E. Dickinson

Recorded presentation

10:15 AM

5.8

Differences in the frequency and the distribution of intense extratropical cyclone events in a model simulated doubled CO₂ environment

Kristopher L. Wile, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Presentation PDF (1.4 MB)

10:30 AM

5.9

Assessment of Twentieth-century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models

Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, I. M. Held, J. Lu, V. Ramaswamy, M. D. Schwarzkopf, G. Stenchikov, and R. J. Stouffer

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

5.10

An analysis of model tropospheric response to various forcings

Justin J. Hnilo, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and J. R. Christy

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

5.11

Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the 20th and 21st centuries, Part 2: Antarctic

Amanda Lynch, Monash Univ., Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and P. Uotila and J. J. Cassano

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

5.12

Comparison of Satellite Observed and Model Simulated Sea Ice: Evaluation for the 4th IPCC Assessment

Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. J. Cavalieri and C. L. Parkinson

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

5.13

A global analysis of variability and trends of soil moisture

Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

5.14

Paper 5.14 has been moved, New Number is Poster P3.20

12:00 PM

5.15

Changes in snow cover and snow water equivalent due to global warming simulated by a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model

Masahiro Hosaka, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and D. Nohara and A. Kitoh

Recorded presentation

12:15 PM

5.16

Multi-model multi-signal climate change detection at regional scale

Xuebin Zhang, Meteorological Service of Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott

Recorded presentation

12:30 PM

5.17

Bayesian climate change assessment using multi-AOGCM ensembles: global and regional surface temperatures

Seung-Ki Min, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and A. Hense

Presentation PDF (761.4 kB)

12:45 PM

5.18

Observed and modeled climate variability over the United States associated with major teleconnection patterns

Anne Hertel, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe, A. Cai, and D. J. Wuebbles

Recorded presentation

1:00 PM

5.19

Verification and application of the Analogue-Method to project local scale precipitation from different GCM scenarios: a case study within the US Sierra Nevada and the European Alps

Christoph Matulla, MSC, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and X. Zhang, X. Wang, J. Wang, S. Wagner, and E. Zorita

1:15 PM

5.6A

Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

1:45 PM

5.12A

Lunch Break (Cash and Carry will be available in the Exhibit Hall)

3:15 PM

5.14A

Upper-air temperature changes in models and radiosonde observations

Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lanzante and D. J. Seidel

3:30 PM

5.16A

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Joint Panel Discussion 1

What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)

Location: A410 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms; the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the AMS Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges )

Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University

Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University

Session 6

Climate Prediction on Seasonal to Interannual Timescales

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

10:30 AM

6.1

Value of climate forecasts in simple decision-making process

Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWSFO, Davenport, IA; and R. E. Livezey

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

6.2

Teleconnections and climate in the Peruvian Andes

Elsa Nickl, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and C. Willmott

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

6.3

Prediction of Extratropical Storminess

Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh, M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

6.4

An examination of the bias in the NCEP GFS, CFS simulations associated with the marine stratus clouds

Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, W. Higgins, P. Arkin, M. Cronin, and R. A. Weller

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (179.1 kB)

11:30 AM

6.5

Bred vectors and forecast error in the NASA coupled general circulation model

Shu-Chih Yang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay, M. Rienecker, M. Cai, and J. Ballabrera

Presentation PDF (348.0 kB)

11:45 AM

6.6

Tier-one Seasonal Prediction with CES Coupled GCM

Jong-Seong Kug, KORDI, Ansan, South Korea; and I. S. Kang and D. H. Choi

Exhibits Open (W)

Session 7

Observed seasonal to interannual climate variability: Part II

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL

7.1

Annual cycle of cloud forcing of surface radiation budget

1:45 PM

7.2

Interannual variability of arctic radiation balance in July

T. Dale Bess, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith

Presentation PDF (537.1 kB)

7.3

Coherent pattern of African dust and Precipitation over tropical Atlantic

2:15 PM

7.4

Two flavors of drought in the Pacific Northwest: recent examples

Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

7.5

North Pacific oscillation's impact on Arctic sea-ice and North American hydroclimate

Megan Linkin, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

7.6

A diagnostic study of the southern Africa rainy season during the 1997–98 El Nino

Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and S. J. Mason

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

7.7

Two distinctive ENSO cycles and associated extratropical atmospheric anomalies

Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and W. Li and R. Fu

Recorded presentation

3:15 PM

7.8

Wintertime influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on mid-latitude precipitation via changes in the thermodynamic balance

Mathew A. Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

7.9

Interdecadal Variations od East Asia Summer Monsoon Northward Progressing and Its Influences on Summer Precipitation Over East China

Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and S. Yang

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

7.10

The influence of pre-seasonal land surface condition on South American Monsoon Onset and Its Interannual Variability

Rong Fu, Univ of Texus at Austin, Austin, TX; and W. Li

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

7.4A

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 2

Observed seasonal to interannual climate variability and climate applications

Location: Exhibit Hall A2 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

P2.1

Relationships between Changes in Annual Frequency of Heavy Precipitation in Japan and ENSO

Hironori Higashi, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Matsuura

Poster PDF (254.0 kB)

P2.2

Development of nor'easters during El Niño years

Lynne M. Hoppe, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

P2.3

ENSO signal in wind roses across the southeast United States

Joanne C. Culin, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and P. W. Leftwich Jr. and J. J. O'Brien

P2.4

ENSO, PNA and NAO Scenarios for extreme storminess, rainfall and temperature variability during the Florida dry season

Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, Florida

Poster PDF (649.2 kB)

P2.5

Harbingers for La Nina and El Nino events

P2.6

Dynamics of the Eastern Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone

Violeta E. Toma, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

P2.7

Empirical Study of Atmospheric Responses to the Tropical SST Forcing

Qigang Wu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly

P2.8

The Daily Cycle in and below the Lower Troposphere Along the Gulf of California During the North American Monsoon

Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and C. W. King and R. J. Zamora

P2.9

Nonlinear association between Northern Hemisphere winter geopotential height and the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation

P2.10

Poster P2.10 has been moved, New number is Paper 1.5A

P2.11

Access to the Global Upper Air Sounding Archive at NCAR

P2.12

Access to global radiosonde and surface station observations including ERA-40 Assimilation Model Metadata from NCAR

Douglas Schuster, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Comeaux and S. J. Worley

Poster PDF (47.7 kB)

P2.13

Development of climate monitoring indices for California

Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond

P2.14

Detection of local climate change

Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico, PR; and O. Julcas

Poster PDF (985.9 kB)

P2.15

Analyzing seasonal to interannual extreme weather and climate variability with the extremes toolkit

Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. W. Katz

Poster PDF (286.4 kB)

P2.16

Analysis of surface heating trends from 1994 to 2004 using Oklahoma Mesonet data

Scott E. Stevens, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and B. G. Illston and J. B. Basara

Poster PDF (245.9 kB)

P2.17

Trends and Variability in Long-term Precipitation over the Mississippi Region

R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and P. Chigbu and M. M. Watts

P2.18

Trends and variability of snowfall and snow cover across North America and Eurasia. Part 1: data quality and homogeneity analysis

Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. A. Robinson

Poster PDF (194.9 kB)

P2.19

Precipitation Estimation in Canada using Archival Climate Data

William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada

Poster PDF (291.7 kB)

P2.20

Characterization of land surface properties of active dust sources using MODIS and MISR data.

Drexel G. Waggoner, SRA International, Macon, GA; and D. I. N. Sokolik

P2.21

The 2003 Australian bushfires: A case study

L.M. Tryhorn, Monash Univ., Clayton, Victoria, Australia

P2.22

A method for computing the monthly Palmer Drought Index on a weekly basis: comparing data estimation techniques

Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Poster PDF (743.3 kB)

Sessions end for the day (W)

Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

THUR 2 FEB

Session 8

Incorporating climate information and forecasts into the decision making process in the water resource and energy sectors

Location: A313 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chairs: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ.; Mathew A. Barlow, University of Massachusetts - Lowell

8:45 AM

8.1

Design criteria for a national climate service: insights from a RISA program (INVITED PRESENTATION)

Edward L. Miles, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. K. Snover and L. Whitely Binder

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

8.2

The use of climate information in water resources management (INVITED PRESENTATION)

Holly Hartmann, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

8.3

Three-tier operational precipitation and hydrological forecasting of large-scale un-gauged river basins: Developing a basis for strategic and tactical decisions for water management, agricultural planning and disaster mitigation (INVITED PRESENTATION)

Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and T. M. Hopson and C. D. Hoyos

Recorded presentation

10:15 AM

8.4

Using climate information for river basin management in Sri Lanka (INVITED PRESENTATION)

Lareef Zubair, IRI, Palisades, NY

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

8.5

(INVITED) Measuring the performance of hydrological forecasts for hydropower production at BC Hydro and Hydro-Québec

Frank Weber, BC Hydro, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and L. Perreault and V. Fortin

Presentation PDF (777.3 kB)

11:15 AM

8.6

Critical climate controls and information needs for environmental assessment and adaptive management in the Grand Canyon region

Shaleen Jain, NOAA/CIRES and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Pulwarty, T. Melis, D. Topping, and J. K. Eischeid

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

8.7

Improved Operation of Reservoir Systems – Utility of Seasonal and Monthly Updated Climate Forecasts

Sankar Arumugam, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and U. Lall

Recorded presentation

12:15 PM

8.8

Climate-informed decision tools for the water and energy sector (INVITED PRESENTATION)

Casey Brown, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and U. Lall and S. Arumugam

Recorded presentation

12:45 PM

8.9

An integrated approach to the efficient management of scarce freshwater resources in tropical West Africa: the IMPETUS project

Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink and P. Speth

Recorded presentation

1:15 PM

8.2A

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

2:30 PM

8.4A

Lunch Break (Cash and Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)

4:00 PM

8.7A

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle

Poster Session 3

Climate Modeling and Diagnostic Studies

Location: Exhibit Hall A2 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

P3.1

Evaluating a stochastic shortwave radiation routine using a single-column model

Dana E. Veron, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Foster and J. M. Secora

Poster PDF (329.9 kB)

P3.2

Estimating response to various forcings in an aquaplanet GCM

Vladimir Alexeev, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and P. L. Langen

P3.3

Model Parameter Evaluation using Linear Inverse Modeling

John A. Dykema, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and B. F. Farrell, S. S. Leroy, and J. G. Anderson

P3.4

Equilibrium Phases in a energy-relative enstrophy Statistical Mechanics model of barotropic flows on a rotating sphere—non-conservation of angular momentum

Xueru Ding, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY; and C. Lim

Poster PDF (443.4 kB)

P3.5

Phase transitions of barotropic flow on the sphere by the Bragg method

Rajinder Singh Mavi, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY; and C. Lim

Poster PDF (391.7 kB)

P3.6

The Australian summer monsoon—a model intercomparison study

Andrew G. Marshall, Monash Univ., Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and A. Lynch and K. Görgen

P3.7

Nature of Asian monsoon precipitation: Intraseasonal to interannual time-scales

Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster, R. A. Houze Jr., and C. Schumacher

P3.8

Nocturnal Stratiform Cloudiness during the West African monsoon

Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and S. Augustyn and A. H. Fink

Poster PDF (849.9 kB)

P3.9

Long-term seasonal rainfall predictions over the southeast U.S. using the FSU Global Spectral Model

Dawn C. Petraitis, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and T. E. LaRow and J. J. O'Brien

P3.10

Transient response of an atmospheric general circulation model to sea ice and SST anomalies in the North Atlantic

P3.11

Regional Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources over Eastern Mediterranean: Euphrates-Tigris Basin

Baris Onol, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and F. Semazzi

P3.12

Diagnostic analysis of the East Asian cold surges: Terrain effect

Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster

P3.13

Cloud amount simulated by the coupled model MRI-CGCM2.3

Shoji Kusunoki, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

P3.14

Characteristics of the Simulated East-Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation in the RegCM3

E.-Hyung Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea

Poster PDF (994.4 kB)

P3.15

Impact of land-use changes on water cycle properties in various scales using fully coupled CCSM2.0.1

Zhao Li, Geophysical Institute, UAF, Fairbanks, AK; and N. Mölders

P3.16

Effect of the Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian Monsoon Circulations: A Regional Climate Model Study

Jee-Hey Song, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. H. Byun

Poster PDF (804.9 kB)

P3.17

A Model Ensemble Assessment of the Enhancement of Arctic Warming by Sea Ice Retreat

Colin P. Murray, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and J. E. Walsh

P3.18

Warm Season Precipitation Prediction over North American using the Eta Regional Climate Model

Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell

P3.19

Circulation-induced changes in Antarctic precipitation in the 20th and 21st centuries based on IPCC model data

Petteri Uotila, Monash University, Monash University, VIC, Australia; and A. Lynch, J. J. Cassano, and R. I. Cullather

P3.20

Distribution function of a spurious trend in finite-length dataset and detectability of the true trend

Seiya Nishizawa, Kobe Univ., Kobe, Japan; and S. Yoden and T. Nozawa

P3.21

The relation between global warming and poleward heat transport of climate models

Christelle Castet, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai

Exhibits Open (Th)

Session 9

Climate Model Analysis and Improvement

Location: A314 (Georgia World Congress Center)

Host: 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Sumant Nigam, Univ. of Maryland; Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington

11:00 AM

9.1

Running a climate model in forecast mode to identify the source of tropical climate errors: With specific reference to the dry bias error over the Maritime Continent in an atmosphere only GCM

Jane Strachan, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and P. M. Inness, J. M. Slingo, and G. M. Martin

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (808.3 kB)

11:15 AM

9.2

The importance of tropical Pacific SST changes between the warm pool and the cold tongue

Prashant Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo

11:30 AM

9.3

Attribution of atmospheric variations in the 1997-2003 period to SST anomalies in the Pacific and Indian Ocean basins

Ngar-Cheung Lau, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and A. Leetmaa and M. J. Nath

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

9.4

An Assessment of Future Caribbean Climate Changes using the BAU Scenario by Coupling a Global Circulation Model with a Regional Model

M.E. Angeles, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and J. E. Gonzalez, D. J. Erickson III, and J. Hernández

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (460.3 kB)

12:00 PM

9.5

Relative cooling of the N. Indian Ocean: Its relation to aerosols and Indian/sub-Saharan Africa rainfall trends

C. E. Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan

Recorded presentation

12:15 PM

9.6

Assimilating precipitation to improve simulations of the North American summer circulation

Ana M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. O. Roads and M. Kanamitsu

Recorded presentation

12:30 PM

9.7

Dynamical amplification of polar warming

Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

12:45 PM

9.8

The response of extratropical precipitation and moisture transport to increased CO2.

David J. Lorenz, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. DeWeaver

1:00 PM

9.9

Climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Upper Mississippi River Basin as determined by an ensemble of GCMs

Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and M. Jha, C. J. Anderson, and P. W. Gassman

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (84.8 kB)

1:15 PM

9.10

Potentially predictable components of African summer rainfall in SST-forced GCM simulations

Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. Giannini

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

9.11

A Simple Conceptual Model of Lower Troposphere Stability and Marine Stratus and Stratocumulus Cloud Fraction

Yanping He, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Dickinson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (226.9 kB)

1:45 PM

9.12

How and why to upgrade cloud microphysics in climate models

Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

9.13

Solar radiation budget derived by integrating ground-based and satellite observations with a Monte Carlo radiation model

Presentation PDF (397.7 kB)

2:15 PM

9.14

Future projection of precipitation extremes with 20km-mesh Atmospheric General Circulation Model

Kenji Kamiguchi, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and A. Kitoh, T. Uchiyama, R. Mizuta, and A. Noda

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

9.15

Some considerations of climate feedback

J. Ray Bates, Univ. College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland

2:45 PM

9.16

Difficulties in simulating the phase of diurnal water and energy cycles

A.C. Ruane, ECPC, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

9.5A

Lunch Break (Cash and Carry available in Exhibit Hall)

4:15 PM

9.11A

Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle

Registration Desk Closes

Exhibit Close

Conference Ends

Lilly Symposium Banquet

86th AMS Annual Meeting January 27 - February 03, 2006

18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Saturday, 28 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006

7:30 AM-7:31 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006

Sunday, 29 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 29 January 2006

Monday, 30 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 30 January 2006

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

9:00 AM-12:15 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

12:00 PM-1:10 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

Tuesday, 31 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

8:30 AM-12:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

1:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

1:45 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

Wednesday, 1 February 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

11:00 AM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

3:45 PM-3:45 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 February 2006

Thursday, 2 February 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

8:45 AM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

11:00 AM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

11:00 AM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

4:00 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 2 February 2006

Saturday, 28 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006

7:30 AM-7:31 AM: Saturday, 28 January 2006

Sunday, 29 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 29 January 2006

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 29 January 2006

Monday, 30 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 30 January 2006

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

9:00 AM-12:15 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

12:00 PM-1:10 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 30 January 2006

Tuesday, 31 January 2006

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

8:30 AM-12:30 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 31 January 2006

86th AMS Annual Meeting

January 27 - February 03, 2006