Program: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology (Orlando Meeting)

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Monday, 11 September 2000

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 11 September 2000

Conference Registration

Tuesday, 12 September 2000

7:15 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Conference Registration

8:20 AM-8:30 AM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Welcome Remarks

Organizer: David A. Sankey, FAA

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Keynote Address

Organizer: Speaker: Maj. General Roy Bridges, NASA Kennedy Space Center, FL, Presentation Title: Future Changes in American Space Program-Challenges to Meteorological Support

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Session 1

Program Overview

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: David A. Sankey, FAA; Stephen D. Pearson, NASA/MSFC

9:00 AM

1.1

The Modernization of Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Weather Systems—An Update

Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter

9:20 AM

1.2

Global challenges and opportunities in aeronautical meteorology

Neil D. Gordon, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland and MetService, Wellington, New Zealand

9:40 AM

1.3

Operations of the National Weather Service Spaceflight Meteorology Group

Frank C. Brody, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX

10:00 AM

1.4

Activities of the Federal Aviation Administration's Aviation Weather Research Program

David A. Sankey, FAA, Washington, DC; and G. J. Kulesa, D. J. Pace, W. L. Fellner, J. E. Sheets, and P. J. Kirchoffer

10:20 AM

1.5

The Role of ITWS in the National Airspace System (NAS) Modernization

Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter

10:40 AM

1.3A

Coffee Break

11:00 AM-3:10 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Session 2

Aviation Accidents and Case Studies

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizer: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consulting

2.1

A Baseline of Turbulence Impacts on Commercial Air Carrier Operations

11:20 AM

2.2

A case study from the 1999 Collaborative Convective Forecast Product project

Paul C. Fike, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

11:40 AM

2.3

Case study verification of RUC/MAPS fog and visibility forecasts

Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin and J. M. Brown

12:00 PM

2.4

Commercial Aircraft Encounters with Thunderstorms in the Memphis Terminal Airspace

Dale A. Rhoda, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and B. G. Boorman, E. A. Bouchard, M. A. Isaminger, and M. L. Pawlak

12:20 PM

2.5

The 11 August 1999 Salt Lake City tornado

Steven V. Vasiloff, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. B. Dunn

12:40 PM

2.6

Dynamics of an unforecast clear air turbulence outbreak over the upper midwest United States

John A. Knox, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and E. V. Jansen

1:00 PM

2.7

The Crash of USAir Flight 1016, Preparing the Weather Case for Trial

Michael R. Smith, WeatherData, Inc., Wichita, KS; and S. P. Pryor and E. Prater

1:20 PM

2.8

Meteorology surrounding the Roselawn accident

Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consulting, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Biter

1:40 PM

2.3A

Lunch Break

3:10 PM

2.8A

Coffee Break

1:00 PM-1:20 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Daily Weather Briefings

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Session 3

Aviation Operations Support

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizer: Cheryl G. Sounders, FAA

3:30 PM

3.1

Display of Advanced Weather Products for En Route Air Traffic Controllers

James P. Kelley, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA

3:50 PM

3.2

Demonstration on the usability of the 1999 Terminal Convective Weather Forecast (TCWF) product for Air Traffic Control managers

Starr F. McGettigan, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and C. B. Fidalgo and T. C. Carty

4:10 PM

3.3

Airline Operations Center Usage of FAA Terminal Weather Information Products

James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

4:30 PM

3.4

An interactive gridded aviation weather database: results of a pilot project

Richard Verret, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and M. F. Turcotte, V. Souvanlasy, M. Baltazar, and M. Ouellet

4:50 PM

3.5

Recent Enhancements and Plans for the Aviation Digital Data Service (ADDS)

Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. Thompson and P. Kennedy

5:10 PM

3.6

Creating An Aviation "Centre Of Expertise"

Steve Ricketts, MSC, Edmonton, AB, Canada

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Oral Sessions end for the day

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Poster Session 1

Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology: Formal Viewing

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consulting; William W. Vaughan, Univ. of Alabama

P1.1

Key Parameters in Forecasting IFR Conditions: Two Case Studies

D. A. Braaten, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and I. Jirak, D. F. Tucker, C. Pan, and P. A. Browning

P1.2

On the use of MM5 in an aviation weather forecast system

James F. Bresch, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. G. Powers, K. W. Manning, and J. G. Michalakes

P1.3

Evaluation of the National Convective Weather Forecast Product

Dan Megenhardt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. K. Mueller, N. Rehak, and G. Cunning

P1.4

Comparison of Three Wind Measuring Systems for Flight Test

Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA; and P. O. Harvey

P1.5

On the use of neural networks and conditional climatology to predict peak wind speed at Cape Canaveral's Atlas launch pad

Kenneth P. Cloys, Air Force Institute of Technology, 28th Operational Weather Squadron, Shaw Air Force Base, SC; and M. K. Walters, L. K. Coleman, and W. P. Roeder

P1.6

Verification of short range thunderstorm forecasts using radar data to assess their benefit to the aviation community

D. J. Hoad, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom

P1.7

Verification of Upper Air Forecasts for the Space Shuttle and the X38 Flight Tests

Dan G. Bellue, NOAA/NWS/Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX

P1.8

Graphical Area Forecast (GFA) Breaking the Text Barrier in the New Millennium

Daniel Chretien, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and M. Crowe

P1.9

A Comparison Between Sounding Data and Model Data Used for Aviation Weather Hazards

Jeffrey E. Passner, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

P1.10

A Meteorological Analysis of the American Airlines Flight 1420 Accident

Erik A. Proseus, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

P1.11

An investigation of clear air versus in cloud turbulence

Donna F. Tucker, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and D. M. Crnkovich, D. W. McCann, and D. A. Braaten

P1.12

Current work of the Aviation Applications Research Group at The UK Met Office

S. James, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and C. Bysouth, T. Scott, D. J. Hoad, and R. Lunnon

P1.13

Fog Forecast for the Kimpo International Airport of Korea

Jiyoung Kim, Meteorological Research Institute/KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. N. Oh, Y. Chun, J. C. Choi, and H. K. Min

P1.14

Global climatology of clear air turbulence activity deduced from a numerical model index

Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

5:30 PM-8:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 September 2000

Welcome Reception (Cash Bar)/Viewing of Posters from both the Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, & Aerospace Meteorology and 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms)

Wednesday, 13 September 2000

8:00 AM-3:50 PM: Wednesday, 13 September 2000

Session 3

Aviation Operations Support (Continued)(Parallel with Session 4)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: James H. Henderson, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center; Miro Lehky, Air Transport Association

8:00 AM

3.7

Taftools: Development of Objective TAF guidance at CMC

Pierre Bourgouin, Canadian Meteorological Centre, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and R. Verret, L. Wilson, and J. Montpetit

3.8

Providing Flight Information Service to aircraft in Alaska: Architectural considerations for extending the service to the lower 48 states

8:40 AM

3.9

The Advanced Operational Aviation Weather System (AOAWS) in Taiwan

Chin-Piao Pu, Civil Aeronautics Administration, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. A. Wang

9:00 AM

3.10

Use of a mixed-phase microphysics scheme in the operational NCEP Rapid Update Cycle

John M. Brown, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, R. Rasmussen, G. Thompson, and K. Manning

9:20 AM

3.11

Weather Sensing and Data Fusion to Improve Safety and Reduce Delays at Major West Coast Airports

James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and T. J. Dasey, R. E. Cole, and D. A. Rhoda

9:40 AM

3.12

Proposed Improvements to the ASOS Sky Condition Algorithm

Joseph V. Fiore Jr., Raytheon Information Technology and Scientific Services, Sterling, VA

10:00 AM

3.13

A Study of Time-To-Fly Estimates for RUC and ITWS Winds

Rodney E. Cole, MIT, Lexington, MA; and S. K. Kim

10:20 AM

3.14

An Improved Terminal Winds Analysis Technique

Rodney E. Cole, MIT, Lexington, MA

10:40 AM

3.15

Automated Aircraft Meteorological Data Reporting

Charles H. Sprinkle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and N. D. Gordon

11:00 AM

3.16

CGen: Enabling AWC forecasters to generate convective SIGMETs via AWIPS

Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. Pratt and J. Frimel

11:20 AM

3.17

Medium Intensity Airport Weather System (MIAWS)

Gregory W. Rappa, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and W. Heath, E. Mann, and A. Matlin

11:40 AM

3.18

National Convective Weather Forecast airline dispatcher assessment

Danny L. Sims, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and C. B. Fidalgo and T. C. Carty

12:00 PM

3.19

Encoding of Graphical Images for Aviation Use

Chris Moody, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and J. Giovino

12:20 PM

3.20

Analysis of the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) 5-NM Product Suite

Mark A. Isaminger, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and E. A. Proseus

12:40 PM

3.21

Delay Reduction at Newark International Airport using Terminal Weather Information Systems

Shawn S. Allan, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and S. G. Gaddy

1:00 PM

3.22

Distribution of Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) Products Using Web Technology

Steve Maloney, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

1:20 PM

3.23

Extending the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) to Address Urgent Terminal Area Weather Needs

James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. M. Wolfson

1:40 PM

3.24

Traffic Flow Management (TFM) Weather Rerouting Decision Support

Joseph E. Sherry, The MITRE Corp., McLean, VA; and C. G. Ball and S. M. Zobell

2:00 PM

3.12A

Coffee Break

2:20 PM

3.17A

Lunch Break

3:50 PM

3.21A

Coffee Break

8:00 AM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 September 2000

Session 4

Aviation Icing (Parallel with Session 3)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR; Andrew L. Reehorst, NASA

8:00 AM

4.1

Good News From the FAA's InFlight Icing Product Development Team

Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown

8:20 AM

4.2

Freezing Drizzle and Supercooled Large Droplet (SLD) Formation in Stably Stratified Layer Clouds: Results from Detailed Microphysical Simulations and Implications for Aircraft Icing

Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and I. Geresdi, G. Thompson, K. Manning, and E. Karplus

8:40 AM

4.3

Environments associated with large droplet, small droplet, mixed-phase icing, and glaciated conditions aloft

Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough

9:00 AM

4.4

Aircraft Icing Detection Using S-band Polarization Radar Measurements

Scott Ellis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan, E. A. Brandes, J. L. Stith, and R. J. Keeler

9:20 AM

4.5

Application of a mixed-phase microphysics scheme to predict aircraft icing

Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein and R. M. Rasmussen

9:40 AM

4.6

An icing product derived from operational satellite data

William L. Smith Jr., Analytical Services and Materials, Inc., Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis and D. F. Young

10:00 AM

4.7

Pilot information requirements for improved in-flight icing decisions

Laurence N. Vigeant-Langlois, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. J. Hansman Jr.

10:20 AM

4.8

Simulations and Observations Implicating Mesoscale Gravity Waves in Producing an Environment which is Conducive to Aircraft Icing

Michael L. Kaplan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. J. Riordan, Y. L. Lin, A. W. Huffman, K. M. Lux, and K. T. Waight III

10:40 AM

4.9

Percent Power Increase–a simple way to quantify an icing hazard

Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and P. R. Kennedy

11:00 AM

4.10

Regional icing algorithm performance analysis

Tressa L. Kane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and B. C. Bernstein

11:20 AM

4.11

Mixed-phase Inflight Icing Conditions

Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Riley

11:40 AM

4.12

A research aircraft verification of the Integrated Icing Diagnostic Algorithm (IIDA)

Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough, M. K. Politovich, and B. G. Brown

12:00 PM

4.13

An aircraft flight test program in natural icing conditions: part 1—forecasting for the desired meteorological conditions

Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consulting, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Biter

12:20 PM

4.14

An aircraft flight test program in natural icing conditions: part 2–correspondence between the forecast icing conditions, the actual icing conditions and the type and amount of ice accreted on the aircraft

Ralph Sorrells, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries America Inc., Dallas, TX; and W. R. Sand and C. J. Biter

12:40 PM

4.15

A climatography of freezing rain, freezing drizzle, and ice pellets across North America

John V. Cortinas Jr., University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. C. Robbins, B. C. Bernstein, and J. W. Strapp

1:00 PM

4.16

Integrated Icing Diagnostic Algorithm assessment at regional airlines

Danny L. Sims, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and C. B. Fidalgo and T. C. Carty

1:20 PM

4.17

Freezing Drizzle Identification from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS): Field Evaluation of a Proposed Multi-Sensor Algorithm

Allan C. Ramsay, Raytheon Information Technology and Scientific Services, Sterling, VA; and J. Dover

1:40 PM

4.18

Integrated Icing Diagnostic Algorithm Meteorological Evaluation

Jeffrey A. Weinrich, System Resources Corp. and FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and T. C. Carty, D. L. Sims, and V. S. Passetti

2:00 PM

4.19

Surface Ice Accretion Rates from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS): An Issue for Deicing Holdover Times

Allan C. Ramsay, Raytheon Information Technology and Scientific Services, Sterling, VA

2:20 PM

4.6A

Coffee Break

2:40 PM

4.11A

Lunch Break

4:10 PM

4.15A

Coffee Break

1:00 PM-1:20 PM: Wednesday, 13 September 2000

Daily Weather Briefings

4:30 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 September 2000

Sessions end for the day

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 September 2000

Meet at Front Entrance of the Radisson Hotel to board bus for Universal Studios (for banquet)

Thursday, 14 September 2000

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 14 September 2000

Session 6

Space Vehicle Operations Support (Parallel with Session 5)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizer: Billie F. Boyd, 45th Weather Squadron

8:00 AM

6.1

Weather Support To Range Safety For Forecasting Atmospheric Sonic Propagation

Billie F. Boyd, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and D. E. Harms, P. N. Rosati, C. R. Parks, and K. B. Overbeck

8:20 AM

6.2

Weather support to the NASA Deep Space Network

G. Wayne Baggett, NOAA/NWS/Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX; and S. D. Slobin

8:40 AM

6.3

Return-To-Launch-Site abort landing weather: impact upon launch availability

Tim Garner, NOAA/NWS/Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX

9:00 AM

6.4

KSC ABFM 2000–A field program to facilitate safe relaxation of the lightning launch Commit criteria for America's space program

Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and H. Christian

9:20 AM

6.5

Hurricane Properties for KSC and Mid-Florida Coastal Sites

D. L. Johnson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. A. Rawlins

9:40 AM

6.6

A Characterization of the Terrestrial Environment of Kodiak, Alaska for the Design Development, and Operation of Launch Vehicles

Michael A. Rawlins, Raytheon ITSS/MSFC Group, Huntsville, AL; and D. L. Johnson and G. W. Batts

8:00 AM-5:49 PM: Thursday, 14 September 2000

Session 5

Forecasting and Evaluation/Verification (Parallel with Sessions 6 & 7)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: Dewey E. Harms, 45th Weather Squadron; David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center; Mark T. Surmeier, Headquarters Air Force Weather Agency

8:00 AM

5.1

Forecast Aids to Lessen the Impact of Marine Stratus on San Francisco International Airport

F. Wesley Wilson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and D. A. Clark

8:20 AM

5.2

Preliminary evaluation of a First Guess ceiling forecast at Space Shuttle landing sites

Timothy D. Oram, Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX

8:40 AM

5.3

Steps to Improve Ceiling and Visibility Forecasts for Aviation

James J. Gurka, NOAA/NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and F. R. Mosher

9:00 AM

5.4

A Fuzzy Logic System for the Analysis and Prediction of Cloud Ceiling and Visibility

Kevin R. Petty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. B. Carmichael, G. M. Wiener, M. A. Petty, and M. N. Limber

9:20 AM

5.5

Evaluation of Ceiling and Visibility Prediction: Preliminary Results over California using the Navy's Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS)

Daniel A. Geiszler, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and J. Cook, P. Tag, W. Thompson, R. Bankert, and J. Schmidt

9:40 AM

5.6

AWIPS era real time TAF, FWC, and LAMP ceiling and visibility verification program at WFO Tulsa

James M. Frederick, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK; and S. A. Amburn

10:00 AM

5.7

TAF Verification: Performance Measurement or Quality Improvement?

Kent A. Johnson, MSC, Kelowna, BC, Canada; and U. Gramann

10:20 AM

5.8

An observations-based, statistical system for short-term probabilistic forecasts of aviation-sensitive weather parameters

Joby L. Hilliker, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch

5.9

A new method for estimating the lifetime of atmospheric features as a function of their vertical scale and its advantage over coherence analysis

10:41 AM

5.10

Performance Support Delivery System for Use in Aviation and Range Weather Forecasting. (Fomerly paper 5.17)

Roger C. Whiton, SAIC, O'Fallon, IL; and L. K. Starlin, R. G. Borchers, and A. A. Guiffrida

11:00 AM

5.11

Short term forecasting of snowbands using Doppler radar observations and a cloud-scale model

Mei Xu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Sun, N. A. Crook, and R. Rasmussen

11:20 AM

5.12

FAA Terminal Convective Weather Forecast Algorithm Assessment

K. E. Theriault, MIT, Lexington, MA; and M. M. Wolfson, B. E. Forman, R. G. Hallowell, M. P. Moore, and R. J. Johnson Jr.

11:40 AM

5.13

FAA Terminal Convective Weather Forecast benefits analysis

Jim S. Sunderlin, MCR Federal, McLean, VA; and G. Paull

12:00 PM

5.14

Improvement of Terminal Area Forecasts

C. Pan, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and I. Jirak, D. Tucker, D. A. Braaten, P. A. Browning, and D. Beusterien

12:20 PM

5.15

Wind and Temperature Verification Statistics for the Operational Terminal Area PBL Prediction System at the Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport

J. J. Charney, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. L. Kaplan, Y. L. Lin, K. T. Waight, K. D. Pfeiffer, J. A. Thurman, and C. M. Hill

12:40 PM

5.16

An evaluation of using lightning data to improve aviation oceanic convective forecasting for the Gulf of Mexico

Alan Nierow, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter

1:00 PM

5.17

Verification of icing and turbulence forecasts: why some verification statistics can't be computed using PIREPs (Fomerly paper 5.10)

Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. S. Young

1:20 PM

5.18

A multiple scale precipitation tracking and forecast package

Janelle M. Janish, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

1:40 PM

5.19

Convective intercomparison exercise: Baseline statistical results

Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, C. Mueller, and J. E. Hart

2:00 PM

5.20

Natural and triggered lightning forecasts for space shuttle landings

Tim Garner, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX; and T. D. Oram

2:20 PM

5.21

Development of an acoustic ray-trace model, high-resolution boundary-layer measurements, and meso-G scale forecasts driven by off-range, blast-noise management requirements

Charles A. Clough, U.S Army, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD; and J. K. Luers and E. J. Hall

2:40 PM

5.22

The 20-km version of the Rapid Update Cycle

Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, G. A. Grell, K. J. Brundage, D. Devenyi, D. Kim, T. G. Smirnova, T. L. Smith, G. A. Manikin, B. E. Schwartz, and S. S. Weygandt

3:00 PM

5.23

EMC support for aviation forecasting efforts using the Eta model

Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and SAIC/GSC, Camp Springs, MD; and T. L. Black and G. DiMego

3:20 PM

5.24

A sensitivity and benchmark study of RAMS in the Eastern Range Dispersion Assessment System

Jonathan L. Case, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, and ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and J. Manobianco, A. V. Dianic, D. E. Harms, and P. N. Rosati

3:40 PM

5.6A

Coffee Break

4:00 PM

5.12A

Lunch Break

5:30 PM

5.16A

Coffee Break

10:20 AM-4:10 PM: Thursday, 14 September 2000

Session 7

Turbulence and Wind Shear (Parallel with Session 5)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: L. J. Ehernberger, Jr., NASA Dryden Flight Reserach Center; William W. Vaughan, Univ. of Alabama

10:20 AM

7.1

Aircraft Encounters with Mountain Wave-Induced Clear Air Turbulence: Hindcasts and Operational Forecasts using an Improved Global Model

Stephen D. Eckermann, NRL, Washington, DC; and D. Broutman and J. T. Bacmeister

10:40 AM

7.2

Clear Air Turbulence and Refractive Turbulence in Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere

Owen R. Cote, Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom AFB, MA; and J. M. Hacker, T. L. Crawford, and R. J. Dobosy

11:00 AM

7.3

Preliminary results of the NCAR Integrated Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm (ITFA) to forecast CAT

R. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and S. Dettling

11:20 AM

7.4

The turbulence algorithm intercomparison exercise: statistical verification results

Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Mahoney, J. Henderson, T. L. Kane, R. Bullock, and J. E. Hart

11:40 AM

7.5

Integrated Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm Meteorological Evaluation

Victor S. Passetti, Basic Commerce and Industries, Inc. and FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and D. L. Simms, T. C. Carty, and J. A. Weinrich

12:00 PM

7.6

Observational and Numerical Simulation-Derived Factors That Characterize Turbulence Accident Environments

Michael L. Kaplan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin, A. J. Riordan, K. M. Lux, and A. W. Huffman

12:20 PM

7.7

A Windshear Hazard Index

Fred H. Proctor, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and D. A. Hinton and R. L. Bowles

12:40 PM

7.8

Vertical Wind Shear near Airports as an Aviation Hazard

Rodney E. Cole, MIT, Lexington, MA; and S. S. Allan and D. W. Miller

1:00 PM

7.9

Developing a Mosaicked Gust Front Detection Algorithm for TRACONS with Multiple TDWRs

Justin D. Shaw, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and B. A. Crowe and S. W. Troxel

1:20 PM

7.10

Distribution of aviation weather hazard information: Low Altitude Wind Shear

Thomas H. Fahey, III, Northwest Airlines, Inc, St. Paul, MN; and J. Bernays, P. J. Biron, and R. E. Cole

1:40 PM

7.11

Modeling of atmospheric effects on wake vortices

Robert E. Robins, Northwest Research Associates, Inc., Bellevue, WA; and D. P. Delisi

2:00 PM

7.12

Numerical Simulation of Aircraft Trailing Vortices

Fred H. Proctor, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. F. Switzer

2:20 PM

7.5A

Lunch Break

3:50 PM

7.9A

Coffee Break

1:00 PM-1:20 PM: Thursday, 14 September 2000

Daily Weather Briefings

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 14 September 2000

Sessions end for the day

Friday, 15 September 2000

8:00 AM-11:40 AM: Friday, 15 September 2000

Joint Session 1

Advances in Weather Radar Support for Severe Local Storms Research and Aviation (Joint between Ninth Aviation Conference and 20th Severe Local Storms Conference)

Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms )

Organizers: Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS; Steve Shema, FAA

8:00 AM

J1.1

NEXRAD Open Systems–Progress and Plans

Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and L. D. Johnson

8:20 AM

J1.2

The NEXRAD enhancements product development team: A Program Update

J. William Conway, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

8:40 AM

J1.3

Continued progress in the development of the WSR-88D OPUP

K. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. Ciardi

9:00 AM

J1.4

Progress in the Use of Weather data from Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Radars in combination with the WSR-88D

Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Istok, S. Shema, S. M. Holt, and L. D. Johnson

9:20 AM

J1.5

The THOR Project Improved thunderstorm forecasts for aviation and the general public

Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

9:40 AM

J1.6

The utility of the TDWR data in weather forecast offices

J. T. Johnson, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and D. J. Miller, M. D. Eilts, and R. E. Saffle

10:00 AM

J1.7

Operational Experience with Weather Products Generated through Joint Use of FAA and NWS Weather Radar Sensors

James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

10:20 AM

J1.8

FAA Weather Processors use the WSR-88D Data to improve Air Traffic Control Operations

Kevin Young, FAA, Washington, DC; and J. Peyrebrune and T. Lehane

10:40 AM

J1.9

FAA’s Weather and Radar Processor (WARP) Convective Storm Demonstration

Benn Deans, FAA, Washington, DC; and T. Hicks, R. Graff, and S. Walden

11:00 AM

J1.10

FAA Surveillance Radar Data as a complement to the WSR-88D network

Mark E. Weber, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

J1.11

The FAA's Medium Intensity Airport Weather System (MIAWS)

11:40 AM

J1.6A

Coffee Break

9:00 AM-2:50 PM: Friday, 15 September 2000

Session 8

Sensors and Systems (Parallel with Joint Sessions J1 and J2)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: John A. Ernst, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ.; Lynn Sherretz, NOAA/FSL; Steve Holt, Mitretek Systems

9:00 AM

8.1

Automated Meteorological Profiling System (AMPS) Description

Robert P. Divers, Orbital Sciences Corp., Chandler, AZ; and P. Viens, K. Bzdusek, G. Herman, R. Hoover, and T. Mitchell

9:20 AM

8.2

Characteristics of wind profiles derived from the GPS based Automated Meteorological Profiling System (AMPS)

Timothy L. Wilfong Sr., Science and Technology Corporation at the NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and R. Walterscheid, M. W. Maier, C. L. Crosiar, M. S. Hinson, and R. Divers

9:40 AM

8.3

Characteristics of thermodynamic profiles derived from the GPS based Automated Meteorological Profiling System (AMPS)

Michael W. Maier, Computer Sciences Raytheon, Patrick Air Force Base, FL; and J. McCann, H. Herring, G. Wilke, T. Wilfong, M. Hinson, and C. Crosair

10:00 AM

8.4

A Comparison of the Automated Meteorological Profiling System High Resolution Flight Element to the Kennedy Space Center 50MHz Doppler Wind Profiler

Barry C. Roberts, NASA, Huntsville, AL; and F. B. Leahy

10:20 AM

8.5

Characteristics of wind profiles derived from a stabilized balloon and differential GPS technology

Timothy L. Wilfong Sr., Science and Technology Corporation at the NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. Barat, C. L. Crosiar, and R. Walterscheid

8.6

An operational Local Data Integration System (LDIS) at NWS Melbourne

11:00 AM

8.7

An Initial RUC cloud analysis assimilating GOES cloud-top data

Dongsoo Kim, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin

11:20 AM

8.8

Measurement of Hazardous Winter Storm Phenomena at the Portland OR International Airport

Bradley A. Crowe, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. E. Evans and D. W. Miller

11:40 AM

8.9

Retrieval of Cloud Microphysics During the Mt. Washington Icing Sensors Project (MWISP)

Charles C. Ryerson, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and G. G. Koenig and F. R. Scott

12:00 PM

8.10

Verified Detection of Supercooled Large Droplets with Dual-Polarized, Millimeter-wave Radar

Roger F. Reinking, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and S. Y. Matrosov, C. C. Ryerson, R. A. Kropfli, and B. W. Bartram

12:20 PM

8.11

A Technique for Improving the Detection of Drizzle and Freezing Drizzle on ASOS Automated Weather Observing Stations

Charles G. Wade, NCAR, Boulder, CO

12:40 PM

8.12

Evaluation of Snow Forecasts Provided by the Weather Support to Deicing Decision Making (WSDDM) System

Steven V. Vasiloff, NOAA/NSSL, Salt Lake City, UT; and R. Rasmussen, M. Dixon, and F. Hage

1:00 PM

8.13

Volume scan strategies for the WSR-74C in support of Space Launch

David A. Short, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and M. S. Gremillion, C. S. Pinder, and W. P. Roeder

1:20 PM

8.3A

Coffee Break

1:40 PM

8.8A

Lunch Break

1:00 PM-1:20 PM: Friday, 15 September 2000

Daily Weather Briefings

1:30 PM-3:10 PM: Friday, 15 September 2000

Joint Session 2

Thunderstorm Impacts (Joint Session between Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, & Aerospace Meteorology and the 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms)

Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms )

Organizer: Kevin Knupp, Univ. of Alabama

1:30 PM

J2.1

Evaluation of the NCAR Thunderstorm Auto-Nowcast System

Cynthia K. Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Saxen, R. Roberts, and J. Wilson

1:50 PM

J2.2

Exploring the Possibility of a Low Altitude Gravity Wave Encounter as the Cause of a General Aviation Accident near Norman Oklahoma on December 6, 1998

David W. Miller, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Dallas Field Site, Dallas, TX

2:10 PM

J2.3

Global thunderstorm guidance forecasts from the AVN Model from the VVSTORM Algorithm

Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

2:30 PM

J2.4

Use of a new Thunderstorm Potential Index for 12-hour forecasts using mesoscale model data

David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and G. Brooks

2:50 PM

J2.5

Ensemble Cloud Model Applications to Thunderstorm Forecasting

Kimberly L. Elmore, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and K. C. Crawford

3:10 PM-3:10 PM: Friday, 15 September 2000

Sessions end for the day

Saturday, 16 September 2000

8:00 AM-11:40 AM: Saturday, 16 September 2000

Session 8

Sensors and Systems (Continued)

Host: Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Organizers: Lynn Sherretz, NOAA/FSL; Steve Holt, Mitretek Systems

8:00 AM

8.14

Multi-frequency and Polarization Radar-Based Detection of Liquid Droplets

J. Vivekanandan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Zhang and M. K. Politovich

8:20 AM

8.15

Tracking Rocket Nominal Launch and Abort Plumes Using WSR-88D Doppler Radar

Carlton R. Parks, ACTA, Inc., Cape Canaveral, FL; and P. N. Rosati

8:40 AM

8.16

The detection of convective turbulence using airborne Doppler radars

Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams and R. K. Goodrich

9:00 AM

8.17

Operational Quality Control of 50-MHz DRWP Wind Profiles for Space-Lift Support

Michael E. Fitzpatrick, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and R. S. Schumann, W. C. Lambert, F. J. Merceret, G. D. Wilke, and J. D. Chapman

9:20 AM

8.18

Airborne Coherent Lidar for Advanced In-Flight Measurements (ACLAIM) — Flight Testing of the Lidar Sensor

David C. Soreide, Boeing Company, Seattle, WA; and R. K. Bogue, D. A. Bowdle, and S. M. Hannon

9:40 AM

8.19

Laser Beam Ceilometer Comparisons March 1998–April 1999

David M. Giles, Raytheon Information Technology and Scientific Services, Sterling, VA

10:00 AM

8.20

Evaluation of boundary layer remote sensors at airport environments

J. Allen Zak, Vigyan, Inc, Hampton, VA; and W. G. Rodgers Jr.

10:20 AM

8.21

ITWS and ITWS/LLWAS-NE Runway Alert Performance at Dallas-Ft. Worth and Orlando

Mark A. Isaminger, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and B. A. Crowe and E. A. Proseus

8.22

Evaluation of the effectiveness of precipitation gauge wind shielding for real-time snow measurement

11:00 AM

8.23

A comparison of GOES-8 imagery with cloud-top penetrations by a research aircraft

Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein

11:20 AM

8.24

Estimation of instrument cloud base conditions at night using GOES and surface temperature data

Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

11:40 AM

8.19A

Coffee Break

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 16 September 2000

Conference ends

1:00 PM-1:20 PM: Saturday, 16 September 2000

Daily Weather Briefings

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