* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ.

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 20 January 2008
	7:30 AM-9:30 AM, Sunday 2008 Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday 2008 Conference Registration
	12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday 2008, Exhibit Hall B 7th Annual WeatherFest
Monday, 21 January 2008
	7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday 2008 Registration continues through Thursday, 24 January
	8:30 AM-10:45 AM, Monday 2008, 209 Joint Session 1 Increasing public awareness on tropical cyclone forecasting (Part 1) (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Education and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium)
Cochairs: David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
8:30 AM Welcoming Remarks   David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and R. Hart 8:45 AM J1.2 Preparing the public for the onset of the next hurricane   Ahsha Tribble, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL 9:15 AM J1.3 Introducing America's Emergency Network   Bryan Norcross, WFOR/CBS-TV, Miami, FL 9:30 AM J1.4 Building hurricane awareness in Florida   Paul Ruscher, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and B. Nelson 9:45 AM J1.5 Hurricane research to operations: Bridging the "valley of death"   Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
	10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday 2008 Coffee Break (Mon a.m.)
	10:45 AM-11:45 AM, Monday 2008, 209 Joint Session 2 Increasing public awareness on tropical cyclone forecasting (Part 2) (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Education and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium)
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD
10:45 AM J2.1 Improving Public Awareness to Enhance National Preparedness   John P. Philbin, FEMA, Washington, DC 11:15 AM J2.2 Communicating hurricane awareness through distance learning   Timothy Spangler, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
	11:45 AM-1:30 PM, Monday 2008 Opening Plenary Session Featuring Mayor Nagin of New Orleans (Cash & Carry Lunch)
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday 2008, R02-R03 Joint Session 8 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part I (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
1:30 PM J8.1 Downscaling hurricane climatologies from IPCC AR4 climate models: Results and uncertainties   Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA 1:45 PM J8.2 Is there a discernible anthropogenic impact on Atlantic hurricane activity?   Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ 2:00 PM J8.3 Global warming and tropical cyclone landfall frequency in East Asia   Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China 2:15 PM J8.4 Hurricanes and Global Warming: Expectations versus Observations   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday 2008, Exhibit Hall B Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (mon p.m.)
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday 2008, Exhibit Hall B Joint Poster Session 1 Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics Posters (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics)
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; C.écile Penland, NOAA/ESRL/PSD3, Boulder, CO; Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO
JP1.1 Reduction of boundary layer dropsonde winds to estimate surface winds and their comparison with SFMR data in landfalling Hurricane Katrina   Richard G. Henning, Consulting Meteorologist, Niceville, FL   JP1.2 National Hurricane Center forecast verification   James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL   JP1.3 Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Convey Forecast Uncertainty and Potential Impact through NWS Field Office Forecast Products   Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, G. Rader, and M. Volkmer   JP1.4 The Hurricane Severity Index – A New Way of Estimating a Tropical Cyclone's Destructive Potential   Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers   JP1.5 Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones   Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson   JP1.6 The accuracy of the slosh model in predicting the flooding of the chesapeake bay region during Hurricane Isabel   Kathleen Nicole Inde, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith   JP1.7 Using uncertainty information to improve hurricane impact communication   Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and R. J. Ricks   JP1.8 Radiance assimilation in a mesoscale model for improving Hurricane Track Forecast   Zhiquan Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Lin, D. Barker, and J. Xu   JP1.9 Deconstructing the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling methodology for tropical cyclones   Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL   JP1.10 Impact of GPS Radio Occultation Observations on Ensemble Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Storms   Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, Y. H. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder   JP1.11 Hurricane Initialization Using TOMS Ozone Data   Yonghui Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou   JP1.12 Observing System Experiments for Three Targeting Techniques in the Atlantic Basin   S. D. Aberson, AOML/Hurricane Research, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, M. S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds   JP1.13 Use of radar data for TC initialization and intensity forecasts   Jin-Luen Lee, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, W. Lee, and W. Wang   JP1.14 A preferred scale for warm core instability in a non-convective moist basic state   Brian H. Kahn, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. M. Sinton   JP1.15 Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes   Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery   JP1.16 Comparison of deep convection in the outer rainbands of landfalling hurricanes: Tornadic and nontornadic cells and their local environments   Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link, H. B. Anderson, and M. D. Parker   JP1.17 Multiscale variability of the internal structure of Hurricane Isabel during landfall   Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff   JP1.18 Physical processes associated with surface wind field uncertainty in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005): Use of present and future observational tools   Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. F. Gamache, R. D. Knabb, J. Carswell, P. S. Chang, S. Lorsolo, R. E. Hood, L. Jones, I. PopStefanija, and A. S. Goldstein   JP1.19 The overland intensification of Tropical Depression Erin: assessment and mesoscale observation   Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and G. D. McManus, B. G. Illston, J. B. Basara, D. B. Demko, and R. A. McPherson   JP1.20 2004 Hurricane Danielle Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Study Using the NCAR Advanced Research WRF Model   Nelsie A. Ramos, NOAA/Center for Atmospheric Sciences and Howard University, Washington, DC   JP1.21 Multimodel comparison study for hurricane case   Duanjun Lu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and R. Reddy and Q. L. Williams   JP1.22 WRF-NMM model case studies for the AMMA project during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season   Jamese D. Sims, Howard University, Washington DC, and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD   JP1.24 WRF forecasts/simulations of Tropical cyclones Debby and Helene during the SOP-3 NAMMA/AMMA field campaign   Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Chiao and M. Cox JP1.23 PAPER WITHDRAWN     JP1.25 Sensitive experiments of changing vertical levels in numerical weather prediction model on tropical cyclone   LianTang Deng, China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China   JP1.26 Diagnosing Transport and Mixing in Unstable Barotropic Hurricane-like Vortices   Eric Hendricks, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert   JP1.27 Correlating Convective Bursts in Tropical Cyclones with Rapid Intensification using TRMM Precipitation Radar Reflectivity Profiles   Andrew B. Hagen, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. Rogers   JP1.28 Angular momentum and cloud torques in TCs: An airborne Doppler radar perspective   Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor and T. N. Krishnamurti   JP1.29 Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida   Philip D. Hayes, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart   JP1.30 Predicting hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico: Nexrad-in-space (NIS) and its potential impact   William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and E. Im   JP1.31 Assimilation of Multi-Satellite Data in Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting   Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li   JP1.32 Superensemble forecasts of hurricane intensity from a suite of mesoscale models   Melanie Kramer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti   JP1.33 Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasting via Microphysical Parameterization Methods in a Mesoscale Model   Cerese Marie Albers, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti   JP1.34 The experimental graphical tropical weather outlook   Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. W. Landsea, C. Lauer, and C. Juckins JP1.35 PAPER WITHDRAWN     JP1.36 Wind speed-damage correlation in Hurricane Katrina   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX JP1.37 Network analysis of U.S. hurricanes   Emily A. Fogarty, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner and T. H. Jagger   JP1.38 Evaluation of the surface wind fields of the GFDL coupled forecast for Hurricane Ivan using H*Wind Analysis   Isha M. Renta-López, Howard University, Washington, DC; and M. D. Powell and V. Morris   JP1.39 Parameterized wind gusts associated with a severe landfalling tropical cyclone   Hamish A. Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie and M. L. M. Wong   JP1.40 The uncertainty in wave characteristics and tropical cyclogenesis prediction   Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Peng and C. Reynolds   JP1.41 Eye & eyewall climatology derived from reconnaissance vortex reports and their use toward using an eyewall phase diagram to improve hurricane intensity forecasts   David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart   JP1.42 Defining uncertainty in hurricane maximum surface wind estimation   Stephanie Ann Mullins, University of Louisiana - Monroe, Monroe, LA; and P. G. Black, C. S. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. L. Olander, A. Burton, and J. L. Beven   JP1.43 Improved Measures of Hurricane Hurricane Destructive Potential Based on Integrated Kinetic Energy   Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday 2008, Exhibit Hall B Joint Poster Session 3 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Poster Session (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
JP3.1 An enhanced tropical cyclone data set for the Australian region   Blair Trewin, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia   JP3.2 Chimeric Equatorial Waves as a Better Descriptor for “Convectively-Coupled Equatorial Waves”   Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD   JP3.3 Variations of Atlantic tropical cyclones and climate change since the mid eighteenth century   Cary J. Mock, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and M. Chenoweth, D. A. Glenn, S. F. Dodds, S. O. Holmberg, H. F. Young, J. Tanis, R. L. Murphy, L. J. Stroup, I. M. Altamirano, and C. W. Landsea   JP3.4 Understanding tropical cyclogenesis as part of NAMMA 2006: A case study of wave development (Debby) versus non development (Ernesto) in the eastern Atlantic   Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook   JP3.5 Investigating barotropic instability of the African Easterly Jet and its potential for development in the NASA fvGCM   Marangelly Fuentes, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and O. Reale and V. Morris   JP3.6 Atlantic hurricane increases and carbon dioxide rise   William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO   JP3.7 Influence of the Amazon/Orinoco plume on Atlantic hurricanes   Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and E. K. Vizy   JP3.8 Conversion from Shear to Curvature Vorticity, Organization of Convection, and Hurricane Genesis   Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti, S. Pattnaik, M. K. Biswas, and A. Simon   JP3.9 Interdecadal variability of the typhoon activity in Autumn   Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. J. Lee   JP3.10 Relationships between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Atlantic-East Pacific tropical cyclone activity   Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie   JP3.11 A typhoon loss estimation model for China   Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu   JP3.12 Structure on eastward-moving cloud clusters in 2007 January MJO   Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   JP3.13 The role of deep tropical convection on the distribution of water within the UTLS region   Maria R. Russo, Centre for Atmospheric Science, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and C. Chemel, J. A. Pyle, R. S. Sokhi, and C. Schiller   JP3.14 Transition from a Mixed Rossby-gravity Wave to a Tropical Cyclone   Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, ID; and B. Wang, X. Ge, and Q. Ding   JP3.15 Modeling Studies of Island Induced Convective Activities in Puerto Rico Region   Melissa Sheffer, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and I. Matos   JP3.16 Tropical Cyclone Induced Tornados Associated With The Formation of Tropical Storm Barry   Andrew Devanas, NOAA/NWS, Key WEst, FL; and P. Santos, D. Gregoria, and K. Kasper   JP3.17 Characterization of the Streamers over the Caribbean   Evelyn Rivera-Acevedo, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao, O. Bermudez, and I. Matos   JP3.18 A Climatological Feature of Typhoon Making Landfall over the Korean Peninsula   Baek-Jo Kim, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea; and K. S. Choi   JP3.19 Exergetics of deep moist convection   Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA   JP3.20 Taking the pulse of climate change: NOAA's TAO buoys go from “research” to “operational”   Phoebe Woodworth, NOAA, Honolulu, HI   JP3.21 Are tropical cyclones feeding more extreme rainfall events?   William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Zhou and J. H. -. T. Wu   JP3.22 Experiments on WRF Hurricane Initialization (WRF-HI) – An Approach Based on WRF Variational Data Assimilation of Remote-Sensing and Synthetic Observations   Qingnong Xiao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang, Z. Liu, W. Wang, C. A. Davis, G. J. Holland, P. J. Fitzpatrick, Y. Li, C. Hill, and H. R. Winterbottom   JP3.23 Role of large-scale environment in the interannual variability of Australian region tropical cyclones   Hamish Andrew Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. Leplastrier   JP3.24 The Impacts of Dust and Humidity Fields on Atlantic Hurricane Activities   Donglian Sun, George Mason University, Fairfax, Viriginia; and M. Kafatos and Z. Boybeyi   JP3.25 Developing verse non-developing tropical disturbances for tropical cyclone formations   Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li   JP3.26 Reconciling water vapor fields measured by AIRS and HSB – A tropical case study using Hurricane Lili   Evan Fishbein, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. Fetzer and B. H. Lambrigtsen   JP3.27 Atmospheric teleconnections and Australian region tropical cyclone variability 1970–2005   Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie   JP3.28 Observing hurricanes and severe storms with the GeoSTAR-PATH mission   Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Brown JP3.29 PAPER WITHDRAWN   JP3.30 High-resolution upper air measurement from Cape Verde during NAMMA, the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses Project   F. J. Schmidlin, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and B. J. Morrison, E. T. Northam, and T. M. Baldwin   JP3.31 Quantifying the Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Extreme Rainfall along the Coastal Southeastern United States   J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. Grundstein and T. Mote   JP3.32 Distributions and trends of death and destruction from hurricanes in the United States, 1900-2006   Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL   JP3.33 Building capacity to forecast and respond to storm inundation in Hawaii   Wes Browning, NOAA/NWS/Honolulu Weather Forecast Office, Honolulu, HI   JP3.34 Education through interaction with data sets - Hurricane Katrina and the Integrated Data Viewer   Troy Allison, University of North Carolina Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and S. O. Holmberg, B. J. Etherton, and J. Weber   JP3.35 Upper ocean thermal structure and the western North Pacific supertyphoons   I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. F. Pun and C. C. Wu   JP3.36 Coastal observations of disturbed weather in Senegal during the 2006 NAMMA field campaign   Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and P. A. Kucera, E. Joseph, J. D. Fuentes, A. T. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, A. Protat, D. Bouniol, and N. Viltard   JP3.37 An evaluation of long-term variability of tropical storm and hurricane activity in the Atlantic   Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY   JP3.38 Next Generation Airborne Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRad) - Improved Forecast Skill with Wide Field Imagery   Linwood Jones, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and P. G. Black, S. S. Chen, R. E. Hood, J. W. Johnson, C. S. Ruf, A. Mims, and C. C. Hennon   JP3.39 On the Climatology of Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico   L. J. Pietrafesa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Bao, T. I. Yan, and D. Dickey   JP3.40 Possible climate impacts of Saharan dust on frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones   Kyu-Myong Kim, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau   JP3.41 The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis   Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart   JP3.42 The possible winter impact from recurving tropical cyclones   Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart and C. Hosler   JP3.43 Estimating local memory of tropical cyclones through MPI anomaly evolution   Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson   JP3.44 Analysis of the Wind Field Evolution Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Bonnie (1998)   Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart   JP3.45 Tropical cyclone trends and attribution from reanalysis datasets   Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and M. A. Bourassa   JP3.46 Tropical Storm Debby and the SAL: A comparative analysis with TD 8 from the NAMMA 2006 field campaign   Aaron Pratt, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. S. Jenkins   JP3.47 Are there regimes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Atlantic?   S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL   JP3.49 NEXRAD in Space: A Solution to the Hurricane Intensity Prediction Problem   Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and V. Chandrasekar, S. S. Chen, G. Holland, E. Im, R. Kakar, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks, A. Mugnai, E. A. Smith, and S. Tanelli JP3.48 PAPER WITHDRAWN     JP3.50 Characterization of the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) during NAMMA 2006 DC-8 Flight Missions   Tamara L. Battle, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins   JP3.51 The Role Played by Blocking over the Northern Hemisphere on Hurricane KATRINA   Dr. Yehia Yehia Hafez Sr., Cairo University, Giza, 12613, Egypt   JP3.52 NOAA's Hurricane Forecasting Improvement Project Plan   Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
	4:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday 2008, R02-R03 Joint Session 9 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part II (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
4:00 PM J9.1 Quantifying the uncertainty in hurricane response to climate fluctuations and trends   Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO 4:15 PM J9.2 Hurricane variability and trends: The varying roles of sea surface temperature   James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
	4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday 2008, R02-R03 Joint Panel Discussion 1 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion: Kossin, Landsea, Holland, Chan, Emanuel, Knutson (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Panelists: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong China; Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO Moderator: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
4:30 PM JPD1.1 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion   Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Landsea, J. Kossin, T. R. Knutson, J. C. L. Chan, and G. Holland   Hugh E. Willoughby     Christopher Landsea     James P. Kossin     Thomas R. Knutson     Johnny C. L. Chan     Greg J. Holland
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday 2008, Exhibit Hall A Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 22 January 2008
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, R02-R03 Joint Session 3 Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics 1 (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics)
Chair: Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM J3.1 Global warming, U.S. hurricanes, and insured losses   James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger 9:00 AM J3.2 Changes in number and intensity of tropical cyclones   William M. Briggs, Weill Cornell Medical School, New York, NY 9:15 AM J3.3 Recurving tropical cyclones and downstream impacts as revealed by singular vectors   Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and J. H. Chen 9:30 AM J3.4 Inter-comparison of Targeted Observation Guidances for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific   Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. H. Chen, M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, R. Buizza, M. Yamaguchi, S. Aberson, P. H. Lin, T. Nakazawa, K. H. Chou, and S. G. Chen
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday 2008, Exhibit Hall B Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Tue a.m.)
	11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Exhibit Hall A Exhibits Open (Tuesday)
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, R02-R03 Joint Session 4 Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics 2 (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics)
CoChair: C.écile Penland, NOAA/ESRL/PSD3, Boulder, CO
11:00 AM J4.1 EVALUATING UNCERTAINTY IN NEAR-TERM ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY   Peter S. Dailey, AIR-Worldwide, Boston, MA; and G. Zuba, G. Ljung, and J. Guin 11:15 AM J4.2 Inherent uncertainties in hurricane prediction   Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 11:30 AM J4.3 An information-theoretic approach to quantifying the uncertainty in operational tropical cyclone intensity predictions, with application to forecast verification   Jonathan R. Moskaitis, MIT, Cambridge, MA 11:45 AM J4.4 Operational tropical cyclone wind speed probability products from the National Hurricane Center   Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Mainelli and M. DeMaria
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, La Louisiane Presidental Forum: Hurricane Katrina: Looking Back to Look Ahead (Cash & Carry) (Presidental Forum will run parallel to the other sessions throughout the afternoon)
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, La Louisiane Joint Session 5 Hurricane Katrina-Looking Back to Look Ahead: Part I (Joint between the Presidential Forum, the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research, and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium)
Chair: William Hooke, AMS, Washington, DC
1:30 PM J5.1 Perspectives on Operational Hurricane Forecasting   Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV Hurricane Specialist and Former National Hurricane Center Director, Miami, FL 2:00 PM J5.2 Hurricane Research: Prospects for Improved Forecasts   Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA 2:30 PM J5.3 The Social Context of Meteorology: A view Post-Katrina   Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Exhibit Hall A Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (tues p.m.)
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, La Louisiane Joint Session 6 Hurricane Katrina-Looking Back to Look Ahead: Part II (Joint between the Presidential Forum, the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research, and the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium)
Chair: William Hooke, AMS, Washington, DC
3:30 PM J6.1 Race, Place, and the Environment in the Aftermath of Katrina   Beverly Wright, Dillard University, Deep South Center for Environmental Justice, Baton Rouge, LA 4:00 PM J6.2 The Role of Mission Journalism in Disasters   Mark Schleifstein, Times-Picayune, New Orleans, LA 4:30 PM J6.3 How the Perception of a Hurricane's Structure at Landfall Can Directly Impact Preparation For and Recovery From a Storm Like Katrina   Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
	5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008 Symposium Ends

Browse the complete program of The 88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)