23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change

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- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 22 January 2011

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 22 January 2011


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course

Sunday, 23 January 2011

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Short Course Registration

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


WeatherFest

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Welcome Reception Honoring Newly Elected Fellows
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center)

Monday, 24 January 2011

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Registration continues through January 27

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Panel Discussion
Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; and the 11th Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate )
Moderator: Robert T. Ryan, NBC4 TV
Panelists: Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune; Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre; Doyle Rice, USA Today; Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council
  9:00 AM
Panelist: Thomas E. Skilling
Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune, Chicago, IL

  9:10 AM
Panelist: Claire Martin
Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  9:20 AM
Panelist: Doyle Rice
Doyle Rice, USA Today, Washington, DC

  9:30 AM
Panelist: Martin Storksdieck
Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council, Washington, DC

Recording files available
Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; the Events; and the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International )

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Stratosphere and Climate I
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Jessica L. Neu, JPL
  11:00 AM
J1.1
  11:30 AM
J1.2
Stratospheric temperature trends: History of our evolving understanding
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and N. P. Gillett, J. Lanzante, K. P. Shine, and P. Thorne
  11:45 AM
J1.3
Could stratospheric water vapor anomalies influence regional climate?
Amanda C. Maycock, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and M. M. Joshi, A. A. Scaife, and K. P. Shine
Recording files available
Session 1A
Climate Analysis I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  11:00 AM
1A.1
The climate of 2010 in historical perspective
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and A. Sanchez-Lugo, C. Fenimore, R. R. Heim Jr., and J. Blunden
  11:15 AM
1A.2
Extreme weather over parts of the Northern Hemisphere during winter 2009–2010
Lance Bosart, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira
  11:30 AM
1A.3
NOAA's 1981–2010 climate normals: a preview
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. Applequist, I. Durre, L. Ross, M. F. Squires, R. S. Vose, and X. Yin
  11:45 AM
1A.4
An analysis of extreme precipitation events in the US during spring 2010
Wayne Higgins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD; and V. Kousky and P. Xie
Recording files available
Session 1B
Climate Prediction
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
  11:15 AM
1B.2
Variability of the MJO in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis and Reforecasts
Scott Weaver, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, M. Chen, and A. Kumar
  11:30 AM
1B.3
A Framework for Assessing Operational Model MJO Forecasts
Jon Gottschalck, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
  11:45 AM
1B.4
Are the more extreme seasonal climate conditions easier to predict?
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. L. Lin

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Stratosphere and Climate II: Response to Surface Forcing
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates
  1:30 PM
J2.1
  1:45 PM
J2.2
El Nino-Southern Oscillation and stratospheric sudden warmings: a re-evaluation
Amy Hawes Butler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD; and L. M. Polvani
  2:00 PM
J2.3
The impact of surface temperature variability on the climate change response in the NH polar vortex
Barbara Winter, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. S. Bourqui

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

Recording files available
Session 2A
Climate Analysis II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State Univ.
  1:30 PM
2A.1
Long-term changes of physical mechanisms in the seasonal cycle of the summertime precipitation variability in Korea
Joon-Woo Roh, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Y. Kim

  1:45 PM
2A.2
  2:15 PM
2A.4
The mechanisms of interannual variability within the North Pacific storm track
Sandra M. Penny, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and G. H. Roe

Recording files available
Session 2B
Observed Changes I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
  1:30 PM
2B.1
An investigation of slow-moving East Coast Winter Storms during the past 55 years
Jase E. Bernhardt, Northeast Regional Climate Center, Ithaca, NY
  1:45 PM
2B.2
Changes in cloudiness in the U.S. from surface observations
Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Sun
  2:00 PM
2B.3
Meteorological causes of observed extreme precipitation trends in the U.S
Kenneth E. Kunkel, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Easterling, B. Gleason, D. A. R. Kristovich, L. Stoecker, and R. A. Smith
  2:15 PM
2B.4
Stratus-impacts on observed long-term cooling-trends of summer max-temperatures in coastal California
James Thomas, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and S. Padrick and R. Bornstein

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Joint Poster Session 1
Stratospheric Climate and Coupling Between the Stratosphere and Troposphere
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
 
191
Quality of reanalysis data during stratospheric vortex weakening and intensification events
Patrick Martineau, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. W. Son

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

 
192
Predictability of stratospheric warming in an idealized model
Lantao Sun, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and W. A. Robinson and G. Chen

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

 
194
A model study of the impact of source gas changes on the stratosphere for 1850–2100
Eric L. Fleming, SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and C. H. Jackman

Poster PDF (233.8 kB)


Poster Session 1
Poster Session I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Organizers: Xuebin Zhang, EC; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
 
136
The climatology of inland winds from tropical cyclones in the eastern United States
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and E. Gibney, D. H. Levinson, and M. F. Squires
Manuscript (28.3 kB)

 
137
Assessing climate change and variability in the coastal zone: overview of the Pacific storms climatology products
David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC ; and M. C. Kruk and J. Marra

 
138
Analysis of freezing rain patterns in the South Central United States: 1979–2009
Jessica Blunden, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt
Manuscript (296.8 kB)

 
139
Variability of chlorophyll associated with ENSO and its biological feedback in the Equatorial Pacific
Jong-yeon Park, Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, Ansan, South Korea; and J. S. Kug, J. S. Park, S. W. Yeh, and C. J. Jang

 
140
Light rain events change over North America, Europe and Asia for 1973–2009
Yun Qian, PNNL, Richland, WA; and D. Gong and R. Leung

 
142
On the use of Dvorak current intensity as a climate data record in the western North Pacific
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp and P. A. Hennon
Manuscript (166.2 kB)

 
143
Investigating how background state affects the propagation of the MJO
Kristina L. Laboy, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and E. D. Maloney

 
144
 
145
On the Influence of Warm Pool SST Variability and Wind Stress Forcing on ENSO in SODA
Yoon-Kyoung Lee, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. W. Yeh, B. Dewitte, B. K. Moon, and J. G. Jhun

Poster PDF (4.0 MB)

 
146
A pan-Eurasian pattern of Northern Hemisphere wintertime sea level pressure variability
Brian V. Smoliak, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace

 
147
Seasonal prediction of Northwest Australian tropical cyclones
Kevin H. Goebbert, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and L. M. Leslie

Poster PDF (3.5 MB)

 
148
Temporal Variability of the Atmospheric Zero Trend Level
Robb M. Randall, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; and B. M. Herman and S. T. Fiorino

Poster PDF (598.2 kB)

 
149
Future Space System Support to US Operations in an Ice-Free Arctic: Broadband Satellite Communications Options
Leslie Wickman, The Aerospace Corp., El Segundo, CA; and P. Smith and I. Min
Manuscript (80.4 kB)

Poster PDF (550.0 kB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Computational intelligence methods for climate change attribution, characterization, and downscaling
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Antonello Pasini, CNR; Xuebin Zhang, EC
  4:00 PM
J3.1
  4:30 PM
J3.2
A data mining algorithm for climate data: application to double ITCZ
Andrew Geiss, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and G. Levy
  4:45 PM
J3.3
Predicting Atlantic tropical cyclone activity
Roshanak Nateghi, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and S. M. Quiring, S. D. Guikema, and A. Schumacher

  5:00 PM
J3.4
Unsupervised machine learning as a method to identify patterns in regional climate downscaling reanalyses
Jeffrey H. Copeland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Knievel, F. Vandenberge, and R. Babarsky
  5:15 PM
J3.5
Evaluation of STARDEX indices calculated from linear and nonlinear statistical downscaled daily temperatures
Carlos Felipe Gaitan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh, A. J. Cannon, and P. Gachon
Recording files available
Session 3A
Observed Changes II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
  4:00 PM
3A.1
  4:15 PM
3A.2
Atlantic tropical cyclones in the 20th century: Natural variability and secular change in cyclone count
Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and B. Guan

  4:30 PM
3A.3
The recent decline of the long rains in East Africa
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and D. G. Dewitt
  4:45 PM
3A.4
On the Time-Varying Trend in Global-Mean Surface Temperature
Zhaohua Wu, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and N. E. Huang, J. M. Wallace, B. V. Smoliak, and X. Chen
  5:00 PM
3A.5
Observed growing season changes in Canada
Budong Qian, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and S. Gameda, X. Zhang, and R. De Jong

  5:15 PM
3A.6
Trends in Tropospheric Humidity and Water Vapor from 1973–2008
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wang and P. Thorne
Recording files available
Session 3B
Understanding the Causes of Climate Change
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Chris E. Forest, The Pennsylvania State University
  4:00 PM
3B.1
The impact of the state of the troposphere on the response to stratospheric heating in a simplified GCM
Isla R. Simpson, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Blackburn, J. D. Haigh, and S. Sparrow
  4:15 PM
3B.2
Anthropogenic influence on long return period daily temperature extremes at regional scales
Francis W. Zwiers, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. Zhang and Y. Feng

  4:30 PM
3B.3
The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone on Southern Hemisphere Circulation Change: A Multimodel Assessment
Seok-woo Son, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. P. Gerber, J. Perlwitz, L. M. Polvani, N. P. Gillett, K. H. Seo, and SPARC/CCMVal-2 Coauthors

  4:45 PM
3B.5
Effects of systematic measurement errors on detection of climate change
Janet Daniels, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and K. J. Priestley
  5:15 PM
3B.6
Assessing uncertainty of regional climate change from global climate models
Chris E. Forest, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. Li and J. Barsugli
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Stratosphere and Climate: Stratospheric Influence on Surface Climate
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Edwin P. Gerber, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
  4:00 PM
J6.1
Understanding the linkages between stratospheric variability and surface climate
David W. J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO; and T. Birner

  4:15 PM
J6.2
Stratospheric ozone depletion: the main driver of 20th century atmospheric circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere?
Lorenzo M. Polvani, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and D. Waugh, G. J. P. Correa, and S. W. Son
  4:30 PM
J6.3
Separating the effects of ozone depletion/recovery and climate change on the dynamics of the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere and troposphere
Charles McLandress, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and A. Jonsson, D. Plummer, C. Reader, J. Scinocca, M. Sigmond, and T. G. Shepherd
  4:45 PM
J6.4
Impact of late-20th century ozone changes in an atmosphere-only model and a slab ocean model
Paul J. Young, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. M. Davis, S. Solomon, B. Hassler, and G. Bodeker
  5:00 PM
J6.5
  5:15 PM
J6.6
How will stratospheric effects on climate change during the 21st century?
Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates, Redmond, WA
Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Air Quality and Climate Change
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory; Serena Chung, Washington State Univesity
  4:00 PM
J20.1
Effects of global change on air quality in the US
Serena H. Chung, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. Gonzalez Abraham, B. Lamb, J. Avise, E. Salathe, Y. Zhang, A. Guenther, C. Wiedinmyer, T. Duhl, D. G. Streets, C. G. Nolte, and D. Loughlin
  4:15 PM
J20.2
Effects of changing climate on fires and the consequences for U.S. regional air quality, using global and regional chemistry and climate/meteorology models
Hyun Cheol Kim, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. W. Byun, D. Lee, R. C. Hudman, D. V. Spracklen, L. J. Mickley, S. Wu, and J. A. Logan

  4:30 PM
J20.3
Remote measurement of tropospheric gases under cloud with the AERI Instrument
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and H. L. Buijs and C. B. Roy
  4:45 PM
J20.4
A preliminary assessment of the sensitivity of air quality in North Carolina to global change
Saravanan Arunachalam, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and A. F. Hanna, Z. Adelman, M. Omary, B. H. Baek, N. Davis, K. Talgo, and A. Xiu

  5:00 PM
J20.5
The use of tracers of opportunity to assess chronic carbon dioxide releases from regional industrial activities
Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and S. Walter, R. L. Buckley, and A. Andrews

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Reception and Exhibits Opening

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Forecast: Communicating Weather and Climate Art Show

Tuesday, 25 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 4
Climate Analysis III
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  8:30 AM
4.1
The association of outgoing solar (albedo) and OLR radiation with variations of precipitation
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. E. Schwartz
  8:45 AM
4.2
Extreme temperature regimes during the cool season
Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Westby

  9:00 AM
4.3
What forms the subtropical maximum in mid-tropospheric warming?
Jian (Tony) Ma, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie
  9:15 AM
4.4
The observed extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart and D. Keyser
  9:30 AM
4.5
An examination of climate variability in the southeastern United States based on a modulated annual cycle
Sarah E. Strazzo, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Z. Wu
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, University of Michigan
  8:30 AM
J7.1
An overview of the coupled atmosphere-wildland fire model WRF-Fire
Jan Mandel, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and J. D. Beezley and A. Kochanski
Manuscript (352.5 kB)

  8:45 AM
J7.2
  9:00 AM
J7.4
  9:30 AM
J7.5

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Poster Session 2
Poster Session 2
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
 
150
Global precipitation diurnal variations depicted in the observation and the CFS Reanalysis
Soo-Hyun Yoo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC and Wyle Scientific, Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie and W. Wang

Poster PDF (3.7 MB)

 
151
California temperature and precipitation trends: climate variability or global warming
Steve LaDochy, California State University, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Ramirez, D. Killam, A. Bui, W. C. Patzert, and J. Willis
Manuscript (578.3 kB)

Poster PDF (420.4 kB)

 
152
Impact of a fine scale SST over the Kuroshio Extension region to wintertime rainfall
Satoshi Iizuka, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Dairaku and W. Sasaki

 
153
Decadal amplitude modulation of two types of ENSO and mean state changes
Jung Choi, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. I. An and S. W. Yeh

 
154
NARCCAP regional climate model simulations of the North American monsoon
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Gochis and L. O. Mearns

Poster PDF (35.6 MB)

 
155
Conspicuous greening in the end of growing season over Arctic region
Su Jong Jeong, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and B. M. Kim and C. H. Ho

 
157
Potential Precursors to and Implications of Tropical Cyclone Passage: A Regional Climate Perspective
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Poster PDF (7.2 MB)

 
158
30-year satellite-based time series: Is vegetation greening up?
Felix Kogan, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

 
159
Vegetation greening accelerates surface warming and sea-ice melting over the Arctic and high-latitude regions
Sang-Yoon Jun, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, South Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. H. Jeong, and J. S. Kug

 
161
Projected changes of regional heat waves in Central/Eastern Europe using climate model simulations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, E. B. Bartha, O. Torek, I. Pieczka, and C. Torma
Manuscript (3.2 MB)

Poster PDF (613.2 kB)

 
162
Simulated trend of wet and dry climatic conditions in Central/Eastern Europe using PRECIS outputs
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Pieczka, B. Hollosi, and O. Torek
Manuscript (3.0 MB)

Poster PDF (694.1 kB)

 
163
Analysis of the urban heat island effect—comparison of ground-based and remotely sensed temperature observations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, E. Lelovics, and Z. Dezso
Manuscript (264.2 kB)

Poster PDF (8.0 MB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Recording files available
Lecture
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
  11:00 AM
L.1

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 5B
Weather and Climate Modelling I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State Univ.
  1:45 PM
5B.2
  2:00 PM
5B.3
Engineering with stratospheric aerosols to avoid climate emergencies
Kelly E. McCusker, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and C. M. Bitz
  2:15 PM
5B.5
  2:30 PM
5B.6
Simulation of Sensitivity of semi-arid climate to global warming
Xiaodan Guan, Lanzhou University, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang and J. Huang
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC
  1:30 PM
J9.1
  1:45 PM
J9.2
Hydrology in the air: the influence of irrigation in India on the atmospheric branch of the water cycle
Obbe Tuinenburg, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, Netherlands; and R. Hutjes
  2:00 PM
J9.3
Uncertainty in Analyzed Water and Energy Budgets at Continental Scales
Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and F. R. Robertson, D. Mocko, and J. Chen
  2:15 PM
J9.4
Water balance over oceans observed from satellites
W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie
  2:30 PM
J9.5
  2:45 PM
J9.6
How realistic is precipitation over the western U.S. and Mexico in IPCC AR4 GCMs?
Nicole J. Schiffer, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: 601 (Washington State Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 6A
Special session on WCRP Projects
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Tony J. Busalacchi, Univ. of Maryland
  3:30 PM
6A.1
CLIVAR: future plans and priorities
Jim Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Visbeck, H. Cattle, and R. Molinari
  4:00 PM
6A.2
The new GEWEX
Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO
  4:30 PM
6A.3
The Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) Project
Konrad Steffen, Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research, Zürich, Switzerland; and D. Yang
  4:45 PM
6A.4
The SPARC Project: Analysis and modeling of climate variability and change in the stratosphere
N. McFarlane, SPARC International Project Office, Toronto, ON, Canada; and T. G. Shepherd and T. Peter
  5:00 PM
Panel Discussion

  5:15 PM
6A.5
WCRP_osc
Jim Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO
  5:30 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Session 6B
US Climate Data
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  3:30 PM
6B.1
Climate Perspectives: A new tool for assessing the state of the climate across the southeastern U.S. 
Charles E. Konrad, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and R. Boyles, J. McGuire, and W. Schmitz
  4:00 PM
6B.3
Analysis of extratropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere using the NOAA historical reanalysis
Scott Applequist, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, and G. P. Compo
  4:15 PM
6B.4
Comparison of the NCDC sea surface temperature datasets: ERSST and OISST
Chunying Liu, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and R. W. Reynolds, T. Smith, and P. V. Banzon
  4:30 PM
6B.5
  4:45 PM
6B.6
Assessing structural uncertainty in the U.S. Historical Climatology Version 2 adjusted temperature records
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. N. Williams Jr. and P. Thorne

  5:00 PM
6B.7
An analysis of Atlantic hurricane seasons in the Pre-HURDAT era (1751–1850)
Steven A. LaVoie, Ball State University, Muncie, IN; and J. S. M. Coleman

Wednesday, 26 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 7A
Climate Monitoring
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  8:30 AM
7A.1
New Tools for Climate Measurement—the Vaisala Climate Reference Radiosonde Program
Heikki Turtiainen, Vaisala Oyj, Helsinki, Finland; and H. Jauhiainen, T. Lehtola, J. Lentonen, A. Paukkunen, P. Survo, M. Turunen, V. P. Viitanen, H. von Bagh, and W. F. Dabberdt
  8:45 AM
7A.2
  9:00 AM
7A.3
What is coastal?
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and D. H. Levinson, E. Gibney, and P. A. Hennon
  9:15 AM
7A.4
  9:30 AM
7A.5
Improved climate monitoring in British Columbia
Dave Rodenhuis, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and E. J. Weick, J. Hiebert, A. Soux, and L. Pitt
  9:45 AM
7A.6
The distribution of vog on the Big Island of Hawaii
Abigail Kristen Dyer, NOAA, Columbia, MO; and S. Ryan
Recording files available
Session 7B
NCAR Community Modeling Session I: Status and Developments
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Jay S. Fein, NSF
  8:45 AM
7B.2
  9:00 AM
7B.3
  9:30 AM
7B.5
A weakly coupled ocean-atmosphere ensemble data assimilation system
Tim Hoar, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. Collins, K. Raeder, J. Anderson, S. Yeager, M. Vertenstein, G. Danabasoglu, and J. Tribbia
  9:45 AM
7B.6
Initialized decadal prediction experiments using CCSM4
Steve Yeager, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Danabasoglu, J. Tribbia, J. Anderson, N. Collins, T. Hoar, J. Hurrell, K. Raeder, and H. Teng

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President

10:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Communicating Climate Change I (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Chair: Susan Solomon, MIT
  10:30 AM
J4.1
  10:45 AM
J4.3
Communicating climate change: from awareness to action
Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. C. Whitely Binder, A. F. Hamlet, and J. Littell
  11:15 AM
J4.4
Making climate part of the human world
Simon D. Donner, University of British Colombia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
  11:30 AM
J4.6A
Communicating uncertainty in the IPCC 5th Assessment
Myles R. Allen, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Recording files available
Session 8
NCAR Community Modeling Session II: Climate Change 1 (Climate Sensitivity)
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Andrew Gettelman, NCAR
  10:45 AM
8.2
How does CO2 forcing magnitude impact radiative feedbacks in CCSM3?
Alexandra K. Jonko, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and K. M. Shell, B. Sanderson, and G. Danabasoglu
  11:00 AM
8.3
The future evolution of the Earth's reflected shortwave spectrum
William D. Collins, University of California, Berleley, CA; and D. R. Feldman
  11:15 AM
8.4
Comparison of radiative feedbacks and climate sensitivities between CCSM3 and CCSM4
Karen M. Shell, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Bitz and D. Bailey
  11:30 AM
8.5
Changing climate sensitivity through cloud adjustment
Andrei Sokolov, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. Monier

  11:45 AM
8.6
Decomposition of Radiative Forcing by Black Carbon in CESM1
Steven J. Ghan, PNNL, Richland, WA; and X. Liu, R. Easter, P. Rasch, J. F. Lamarque, A. Conley, and M. G. Flanner

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Communicating Climate Change II (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Chair: Francis W. Zwiers, University of Victoria
  1:30 PM
J4.6
Devils Lake climate, weather, and water decision support system
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Kluck, M. J. Brewer, M. Timofeyeva, J. Symonds, S. Dummer, and M. Frazier
  1:45 PM
J5.1
  2:00 PM
J5.2
  2:15 PM
J5.4
Turning the tide on climate change
Philippe de Casabianca, Cefic, Brussels, Belgium; and R. Kandel

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Communicating Earth Science Information Part I
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Stephen M. Holt, Noblis, Inc.; Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL; Eileen Shea, NOAA/Pacific Fisheries Science Center
  1:45 PM
J8.2
Communicating fire weather information and assessing societal response
Peter Roohr, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hockenberry, J. Sprague, and S. Schranz
  2:00 PM
J8.3
Evolution of NOAA's Observing System Investment Assessment Process
Eric J. Miller, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Yapur, N. Wyse, R. Reining, and L. McCulloch
  2:15 PM
J8.4
Developing tsunami flooding forecast software
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and D. W. Denbo, Y. Wei, D. Arcas, and V. V. Titov

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Poster Session 3
Poster Session 3
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Organizers: Xuebin Zhang, EC; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Jim Hurrell, NCAR
 
494
Transformed Eddy-PV Flux and Positive Synoptic Eddy Feedback onto Low-Frequency Flow
Hong-Li Ren, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin, J. S. Kug, and L. Gao

Poster PDF (257.6 kB)

 
495
Weakening of East Asian Winter Monsoon in the Middle of 1980s
Pei-ken Kao, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. W. Hung

 
496
Diurnal variation in diffusion scheme on a global atmospheric model
Sun-Hee Shin, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and A. Kitoh and K. Ha

 
498
Arctic aerosols: origins and direct radiative forcings
Ilissa Ocko, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and V. Ramaswamy and P. Ginoux

Poster PDF (4.9 MB)

 
499
A comparison of physical climate feedbacks between GCM and reanalysis datasets
Meghan M. Flink, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and K. M. Shell

Poster PDF (475.3 kB)

 
500
Numerical Studies of Lower Boundary Forcing on Tropical Storm Fay (2008) over Southern Florida
Travis Washington, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao
Manuscript (8.4 MB)

 
501
Tropical Intra-seasonal Variability in a 20-km mesh MRI/JMA AGCM incorporating a New Convective Scheme
Hirokazu Endo, MRI/Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and H. Yoshimura, H. Murakami, T. Ose, and A. Kitoh

 
503
Intraseasonal variability sensitivity tests in an aqua-plant general circulation model
Kiranmayi Landu, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)

 
504
The fully coupled atmosphere-ocean climate on an aquaplanet geography
Younglan Shin, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and S. A. Cowling and W. R. Peltier

 
505A
Comparison of Earth radiation annual cycles from CERES and model computations
Pamela E. Mlynczak, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and G. L. Potter


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 10A
NCAR Community Modeling Session III: Atmosphere
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Steven J. Ghan, PNNL
  4:00 PM
10A.1
  4:15 PM
10A.2
Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions in the Community Earth System Model
Andrew Gettelman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Morrison, S. J. Ghan, and X. Liu
  4:30 PM
10A.3
High-resolution simulations using CAM—impacts of parameterized convection
Julio T. Bacmeister, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Lauritzen, R. Neale, and G. Skok
  4:45 PM
10A.4
  5:00 PM
10A.5
Modeling the West African Monsoon using the Superparameterized CAM
Rachel McCrary, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall
  5:15 PM
10A.6
Recording files available
Session 10B
Teleconnection I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, Environment Canada
  4:00 PM
10B.1
Interaction between the Atlantic meridional and Nino modes
Gregory R. Foltz, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. McPhaden
  4:15 PM
10B.2
Two types of El Nińo and their related atmospheric and oceanic dynamics
Hanna Na, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Y. Kim and B. G. Jang
  4:30 PM
10B.3
  4:45 PM
10B.4
Transitions between Central-Pacific and Eastern-Pacific Types of ENSO
Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California, Irvine, CA; and S. T. Kim

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


91st AMS Awards Banquet
Location: 6ABCD (Washington State Convention Center)

Thursday, 27 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Michio Yanai Symposium

Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  8:30 AM
J10.1
Drivers of extreme events at the regional scale: Investigations with regional climate simulations and observations [INVITED]
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and E. L. Davin, M. Hirschi, E. B. Jaeger, R. Lorenz, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling

  8:45 AM
J10.2
  9:00 AM
J10.3A
Assessment of AOGCM biases for RCM applications over the Great Basin in the western U.S
John Mejia, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, E. M. Wilcox, and K. E. Kunkel
  9:30 AM
J10.5
Recording files available
Session 11A
NCAR Community Modeling Session IV: Climate Change 2 (Future Projections)
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: William Collins, The University of California, Berkeley
  8:30 AM
11A.1
CMIP5 experiments with CCSM4 and CESM1
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, J. M. Arblaster, A. Hu, and H. Teng
  8:45 AM
11A.2
High-resolution downscaled climate-change simulations of snowfall in the Colorado Headwaters region
Jimy Dudhia, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen, K. Ikeda, C. Liu, G. Thompson, F. Chen, M. Tewari, and D. Gochis
  9:00 AM
11A.3
Characterizing the Climate Effects of Biofuel Cultivation
Andrew D. Jones, University of California, Oakland, CA; and M. Torn, W. Collins, and W. J. Riley

  9:15 AM
11A.4
Studying regional climate change based on uncertainty in climate parameters using CAM3
Erwan Monier, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. Sokolov, J. Scott, A. Schlosser, and C. E. Forest
Recording files available
Session 11B
Weather and Climate Modelling II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ.
  8:30 AM
11B.1
Impact of different definitions of clear-sky flux on the longwave cloud radiative forcing: NICAM simulation results
Hyun-Sung Jang, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and B. J. Sohn, T. Nakajima, and M. Satoh
  9:00 AM
11B.3
Impact of Interactive Westerly Wind Bursts in CCSM3
Hosmay Lopez, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. Kirtman
  9:15 AM
11B.4
Radiative impacts of precipitating hydrometeors on atmosphere circulation features in weather and climate models
Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser, T. L'Ecuyer, A. M. Molod, J. D. Chern, R. M. Forbes, W. W. Tung, Y. C. Wang, L. Oreopoulos, M. J. Suarez, M. Rienecker, M. Miller, and W. K. Tao

  9:30 AM
11B.5
Cloud-climate feedbacks and climate models: using satellite observations to improve boundary layer cloud parameterizations
Joao Teixeira, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and H. Kawai, J. Karlsson, J. P. A. Martins, B. H. Kahn, S. Lee, and K. Suselj

9:30 AM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Joint Poster Session 3
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
 
401
The potential for an abrupt failure of the West African monsoon as climate warms
Naresh Neupane, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and E. K. Vizy and K. H. Cook

 
402
Combined effects of global warming and an AMOC shutdown on West African and European climate
Meredith Brown, University of Texas , Austin, TX; and E. K. Vizy and K. H. Cook

 
403
Air-sea coupling mechanisms in the North Pacific using a high-resolution mesoscale atmospheric model
Ramesh K. Vellore, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, I. Cerovecki, and C. E. Dorman

 
404
Local and remote influences on vertical wind shear in the tropical Atlantic region
Xiaojie Zhu, Texas A&M University, College station, TX; and R. Saravanan

Poster PDF (8.8 MB)

 
405
High resolution simulation of the succession of hurricanes in 2008: Gustav, Hanna, and Ike
Wuyin Lin, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and M. Zhang, A. M. Vogelmann, and J. He

Poster PDF (2.4 MB)

 
Paper 407 has been moved and replaced by 407A. New paper numer is J10.3A.

 
407A
Advances in Coupling Regional Circulation/Land Surface Models and Dynamic Crop Models
Guillermo A. Baigorria, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and D. W. Shin

 
408
Dynamical Downscaling of NASA/GISS ModelE: Continuous, Multi-Year WRF Runs
Tanya L. Otte, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. H. Bowden, C. G. Nolte, M. J. Otte, J. E. Pleim, J. A. Herwehe, G. Faluvegi, and D. Shindell

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

 
409
Analysis and quantification of uncertainty in climate adaptation products for the southwestern US
Duane Apling, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and G. Higgins, K. Darmenova, and H. Kiley

 
410
Regional climate modeling in the Lower Mississippi River Valley for water resources assessments
Valentine G. Anantharaj, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and G. V. Mostovoy, Y. Lau, C. A. Peterson, C. D. Armstrong, and X. Fan

 
411
Reproducibility and future projection of monthly maximum number of consecutive dry days in Japan: Improvement by a 5-km-mesh regional climate model
Masuo Nakano, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. Kanada, T. Kato, and K. Kurihara

 
412
Assessment of Climate Change over Colorado River Basin as predicted by Regional Climate Models
Yanhong Gao, Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China; and J. Vano and D. P. Lettenmaier

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

 
413
Simulated regional climate change in the Carpathian Basin using ENSEMBLES model simulations
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, E. Miklos, and A. Kis
Manuscript (211.4 kB)

Poster PDF (1005.2 kB)

 
415
 
417
 
418
Development of the Regional Arctic Climate System Model (RACM) --- Performance of the VIC land surface model in coupled simulations
Chunmei Zhu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Lettenmaier, J. He, T. Craig, and W. Maslowski

 
419
 
420
Conservative and Noise Resistant Data Remapping for Coupling WRF and CAM
Ying Chen, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and X. Jiao, W. Lin, M. H. Zhang, and J. He

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

 
421
Construction of WRF/CAM two-way coupling system and preliminary results
Juanxiong He, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Zhang, W. Lin, Y. Chen, and A. M. Vogelmann

Poster PDF (384.6 kB)

 
422
Assessment of dynamical downscaling in Japan using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS)
Koji Dairaku, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and R. Pielke Sr., A. Beltran-Przekurat, S. IIzuka, and W. Sasaki

 
423
Assessment of Climate Model Performance over the Australian Region
Luke M. Leslie, Washington University in St. Louis, Norman, OK

 
Paper 424 has been moved. New paper number is 505A


Poster Session 4
Poster Session 4
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
 
507
Climate of the 20th and 21th century simulations by a 60-km mesh global atmospheric model
Shoji Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and J. Yoshimura and H. Murakami

Poster PDF (358.4 kB)

 
508
Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by a 60-km-mesh MRI AGCM in the period 1872-2099
Mio Matsueda, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Endo

 
509
Climate sensitivity to lake properties and distribution using an improved lake model in CCSM
Zachary M. Subin, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and W. J. Riley and C. Bonfils

Poster PDF (891.4 kB)

 
512
Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location
MinHo Kwon, Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, Ansan, South Korea; and T. Li, J. S. Kug, and J. J. Luo
Manuscript (395.8 kB)

 
513
Using climate model data to determine spatial synoptic classifications
Neil Davis, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and A. Hanna, A. Xiu, K. Talgo, and S. C. Sheridan

 
514
Downscaling CCSM data using WRF for air quality modeling
Kevin Talgo, University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill, NC; and A. Hanna, A. Xiu, and N. Davis

 
517
The redistribution of heat within the Arctic atmosphere during years with very low sea ice extent
Ron Lindsay, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. Schweiger

 
518
Sensitivity of the thermocline feedback to global warming in coupled GCMs: Implications for changes in ENSO amplitude
P.N. DiNezio, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. Clement, G. A. Vecchi, B. Kirtman, and S. K. Lee


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  11:15 AM
J11.2
  11:45 AM
J11.4
Modeled onshore and offshore California coastal-cooling: General Circulation and mesoscale effects
B. Lebassi, College of New York, New York, NY; and J. E. Gonzalez and R. Bornstein
  12:00 PM
J11.5
Future Impact of Weakening Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation on the Loop Current in the Gulf of Mexico
Yanyun Liu, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee, B. A. Muhling, and J. T. Lamkin
Recording files available
Session 12A
Climate Projection I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
  11:00 AM
12A.1
  11:15 AM
12A.2
Is the Pacific's response to global warming La Nina-like or El Nino-like?
Ka-Kit Tung, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Zhou
  11:30 AM
12A.3
Precipitation response to global warming: a model-by-model theory-model comparison
Jacob S. Scheff, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. M. Frierson
  11:45 AM
12A.4
Arctic Oscillation Responses to Greenhouse Warming and Role of Synoptic Eddy Feedback
Jong-Seong Kug, Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, Ansan, South Korea; and D. H. Choi and W. T. Kwon
  12:00 PM
12A.5
Recording files available
Session 12B
NCAR Community Modeling Session V: Paleo + Regional Responses
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Jim Hurrell, NCAR
  11:00 AM
12B.1
Transient simulation of the climate evolution of the last 21,000 years in CCSM3
Zhengyu Liu, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and B. L. Otto-Bliesner, F. He, E. Brady, P. U. Clark, and A. E. Carlson

  11:15 AM
12B.2
A long CCSM3 transient simulation of the centennial to millennial variability of the hydrologic cycle in Africa
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Liu, F. He, M. Wehrenberg, P. U. Clark, and A. Carlson

  11:30 AM
12B.3
Arctic Climate Response to Aerosols on Sea Ice and Snow in CESM
Naomi L. Goldenson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. M. Holland, C. Bitz, S. Doherty, and B. Light
  11:45 AM
12B.4
  12:00 PM
12B.5
Glacial Inception in CCSM4
Markus Jochum, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Bailey, J. Fasullo, J. Kay, S. Levis, K. Lindsay, K. Moore, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, and S. Peacock

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session
Presidential Town Hall Meeting
Location: 6A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Town Hall Meetings; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; and the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology )

Ralph Cicerone, head of the National Academy of Sciences, will provide a take-home message on what the scientific community in general and the AMS community in particular can do to increase their credibility with the public. Cicerone has been thinking deeply about how the practice of science and the behavior of individual scientists can be improved. As much as listening, communication is based on some level of trust. And, just as the Tuesday event should provide a teachable moment about how we influence our environment, the ”Climategate” e-mails were a teachable moment about human frailty being a part of the practice of science. The current political climate has been reinforced by Climategate and by a few errors in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) report, damaging the trust the public feels not only in climate science, but also toward science in general. Viewing this in a positive manner, provides an incentive to redouble the efforts of all scientists in promoting ethical professional conduct and improving the way the business of science is done and the manner in which scientific findings are communicated to the public. For additional information on the 2011 Presidential Town Hall, please contact AMS President Peggy LeMone (e-mail: amspresident@ametsoc.org).
  12:15 PM
Ensuring Integrity in the Doing and Using of Science
Ralph Cicerone, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Michio Yanai Symposium Luncheon
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale III
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  2:00 PM
J12.3
Comparison of climate downscaling methods and results for stakeholder-driven research in the urban Northeast U.S
Radley M. Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. C. Ruane, J. M. Winter, and C. Rosenzweig
  2:15 PM
J12.4
Assessment of regional climate change and development of climate adaptation decision aids in the Southwestern US
Kremena Darmenova, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and G. Higgins, H. Kiley, and D. Apling
  2:30 PM
J12.5
Regional Climate Model results in Pacific North America and the northern Columbia Basin
Trevor Q. Murdock, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada; and G. Bürger and A. T. Werner
  2:45 PM
J12.6
Precipitation Extremes in western U.S. urban areas: How reliable are regional/global climate model projections?
Vimal Mishra, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Dominguez and D. P. Lettenmaier
Recording files available
Session 13A
Climate Projection II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Kristen Averyt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado
  1:45 PM
13A.2
  2:00 PM
13A.4
Construction of high resolution monthly temperature scenarios for North America
Guilong Li, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. Zhang and F. W. Zwiers
  2:30 PM
13A.5
The variation of the Asian summer monsoon in warmer climates
Yihui Ding, Beijing Climate Center/China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and Y. Sun, Z. Wang, Y. Liu, and Y. Song

  2:45 PM
13A.6
The past and future of coastal and open ocean upwelling in the NE Pacific
Todd Mitchell, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Mantua and E. Salathé
Recording files available
Session 13B
NCAR Community Modeling Session VI: Climate Variability
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Gerald Meehl, NCAR
  1:30 PM
13B.1
The role of linear interference in the Annular Mode response to Tropical forcing
Paul J. Kushner, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and C. G. Fletcher
  1:45 PM
13B.2
  2:00 PM
13B.3
The impact of land surface initialization on seasonal forecasts with CCSM
Dan Paolino, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. L. Kinter III, B. P. Kirtman, D. Min, and D. M. Straus
  2:15 PM
13B.4
Observed and simulated modes of vertical wind shear variability over the tropical Atlantic
Xiaojie Zhu, Texas A&M University, College station, TX; and R. Saravanan
  2:30 PM
13B.5
ENSO variability in an ultra-high resolution CCSM simulation
Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and D. P. Ivanova
  2:45 PM
13B.6
Evaluating the impact of the CAM 5 dynamical core in idealized tropical cyclone simulations
Kevin A. Reed, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 14A
Teleconnection II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, Environment Canada
  3:30 PM
14A.1
A Dynamical Linkage between the NAO and Its Downstream Development
Mi-Kyung Sung, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. I. An and J. S. Kug
  3:45 PM
14A.2
  4:00 PM
14A.3
Atlantic influence on Amazon Rainfall
Jin-Ho Yoon, PNNL, Richland, WA; and N. Zeng
  4:30 PM
14A.4
  4:45 PM
14A.6
Tropical influences on the decadal-scale oscillation in cool-season Arctic precipitation
Bradley M. Hegyi, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Deng
Recording files available
Session 14B
Weather and Climate Modeling III
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ.
  3:30 PM
14B.1
  3:45 PM
14B.2
Impact of new ocean initial conditions on seasonal forecasts with the POAMA coupled model
Mei Zhao, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and H. H. Hendon, Y. Yin, and O. Alves

  4:00 PM
14B.3
Evaluation of the Australian Climate Ocean Model (AusCOM) in the tropical oceans
Xiaobing Zhou, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and D. Bi, S. Marsland, Z. Sun, A. C. Hirst, O. Alves, and G. Wang
  4:15 PM
14B.4
Assessing inter- to multi-decadal variability in climate model simulations
Patrick Thomas Brown, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and E. Cordero and S. A. Mauget
Recording files available
Joint Session 22
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale IV
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  4:00 PM
J22.3
Outstanding challenges in projecting North American drought changes over the 21st century
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin

  4:15 PM
J22.4
Extreme precipitation events in the NAM region—testing a modified convective parameterization scheme
Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zhang, L. Thang, and C. Christopher
  4:30 PM
J22.5
Study of interior nudging for regional climate modeling using annual simulations: investigation of mean error and added value
Jared H. Bowden, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and T. Otte, C. G. Nolte, J. E. Pleim, J. A. Herwehe, and M. J. Otte
  4:45 PM
J22.6
A Regional Climate Model Evaluation System based on Satellite and other Observations for Application to CMIP/AR Downscaling
Peter Lean, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and J. Kim, D. E. Waliser, A. Hall, C. Mattman, S. L. Granger, K. Case, C. Goodale, A. Hart, B. Guan, N. Molotch, and S. Kaki

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


AMS 91st Annual Meeting Adjourns