21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
    

Poster Session 1

 Conference Posters
 P1.1An improved clear air turbulence diagnostic index to account for unbalanced flow in anticyclonically curved jet streams  extended abstract
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and J. A. Knox
 P1.2The impact of the planetary scale on the decay of blocking and the use of phase diagrams and Lyapunov exponents as a diagnostic  extended abstract
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and I. I. Mokhov, S. Dostoglou, A. Kunz, and J. P. Burkhardt
 P1.3Planetary and synoptic scale interactions in southeast Pacific blocking using Potential Vorticity diagnostics: More evidence for the paucity of wave-wave interactions in Southern Hemisphere blocking  extended abstract
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. Kunz and J. P. Burkhardt
 P1.4Diagnosis of banded precipitation patterns associated with extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones using CSI theory  extended abstract
Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 P1.5A climatology of strong cold fronts over the western United States  
Jason C. Shafer, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh
 P1.6Cool-season moderate precipitation events in the Northeastern United States  
Keith R. Wagner, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. S. Evans
 P1.7HPC's Excessive Rainfall Potential Outlook  
Michael T. Eckert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
 P1.8The flash flood of 12 July 2004 in Burlington County, New Jersey: A case study  extended abstract
Michael J. Gorse, NOAA/NWS, Westampton, NJ; and A. M. Cope
 P1.9Observed Bow Echo events during the first week of July 2003 concurrent with BAMEX  
Nicholas D. Metz, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart
 P1.10Examining the role of mesoscale features in the structure and evolution of precipitation regions in northeast winter storms  
Matthew D. Greenstein, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and D. J. Nicosia
 P1.11An examination of cool-season damaging wind events in the northern mid-Atlantic region  extended abstract
Raymond Kruzdlo, NOAA/NWS, Westampton, NJ; and A. M. Cope
 P1.12A Satellite Perspective of the Propagation Characteristics of a Mesoscale Convective System over Northwest Alabama and Northeast Mississippi  extended abstract
Jay Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
 P1.13Using Multi-Spectral Satellite Remote Sensing Techniques to Nowcast Nocturnal Convection Initiation  extended abstract
Wayne M. MacKenzie Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski
 P1.14Dominant factors influencing precipitation efficiency in a continental mid-latitude location  extended abstract
Mohd Hisham Mohd Anip, Malaysian Meteorological Service, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market
 P1.15An observational analysis of an Alabama dryline event on March 19–20, 2003  extended abstract
Robert E. Barbre Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski, K. Knupp, W. Mackenzie Jr., P. Gatlin, and D. Phillips
 P1.16Warm-seclusion extratropical cyclone development: Sensitivity to the nature of the incipient vortex  extended abstract
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart
 P1.17Towards a better understanding of and ability to forecast the wind field expansion during the extratropical transition process  extended abstract
Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
 P1.18Wet snow icing upstream of mountains  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Á. J. Elíasson
 P1.19Wet snow icing downstream of mountains  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Á. J. Elíasson
 P1.20Warm season extreme quantitative precipitation forecasting for the Burlington, VT region  extended abstract
John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. Atallah, P. Sisson, M. Kimball, and A. Roberge
 P1.21Validation of a numerical wind forecast by dust image  
Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland
 P1.22The textbook foehn  
Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland
 P1.23The response filter  extended abstract
Mark Askelson, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and H. Lin, M. Solum, and C. Chambers
 P1.24The impact of different microphysical schemes on mesoscale circulations and convective system morphology in 4-10 km grid spacing WRF simulations  extended abstract
Eric A. Aligo, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, Jr.
 P1.25The development of forecast confidence measures using NCEP ensembles and their real—time implementation within NWS web—based graphical forecasts  extended abstract
Andrew V. Durante, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart, A. I. Watson, R. H. Grumm, and W. Drag
 P1.26Synthesizing tropical analysis perturbations for use with the Naval Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS)  
Justin G. McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds and C. H. Bishop
 P1.27Spurious pressure and geopotential height fluctuations in the North American Regional Reanalysis  
Gregory L. West, NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh
 P1.28Solving for Pressure: Accuracy and Acceleration  extended abstract
Pierre Bernardet, CNRM, Toulouse, France
 P1.29Sloping Steps Eta Discretization  
Fedor Mesinger, Univ. Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Jovic
 P1.30Simultaneous Retrieval of Microphysical Parameters and Atmospheric State Variables with Radar Data and Ensemble Kalman Filter Method  extended abstract
Mingjing Tong, SOM/CAPS, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue
 P1.31Simulating a windstorm upstream of steep mountains  
H.álfdáN. Ágústsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson
P1.32Sequential estimation of systematic error on near-surface mesoscale grids  
Joshua P. Hacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder and D. L. Rife
 P1.33Sensitivity of Hurricane Charley simulations to changes in the WRF model  extended abstract
Matthew J. Rosier, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and D. K. Miller
 P1.34Satellite and numerical model data—driven cloud ceiling and visibility estimation  extended abstract
Richard Bankert, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Hadjimichael, P. H. Herzegh, G. Wiener, J. Cowie, and J. M. Brown
 P1.35Predicting precipitation in a mesoscale mountain range  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Ó. Rögnvaldsson
 P1.36Numerical prediction of atmospheric icing  extended abstract
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and C. Ubelmann and G. Hafsteinsson
 P1.37Precpitation downstream of a mesoscale mountain ridge  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Ó. Rögnvaldsson
 P1.38Precipitation Verification Studies of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model along the East Coast of the US  
Paul A. Kucera, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and C. M. Paulsen and M. Taffe
 P1.39Precipitation extreme downstream of a mountain  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and T. Jónsson
 P1.40Optimally shifted QPF verification scores  extended abstract
Ying Lin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. G. Brown, K. F. Brill, and G. J. DiMego
 P1.41Operational Considerations of the December 26, 2004 Snowstorm across Hampton Roads Virginia and Northeast North Carolina  extended abstract
Timothy Gingrich, NOAA/NWSFO, Wakefield, VA; and J. Billet
 P1.42On the performance, impact, and liabilities of automated precipitation gage screening algorithms  extended abstract
Edward Tollerud, NOAA Research-FSL, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Collander, Y. Lin, and A. Loughe
 P1.43Observations and simulation of a windstorm below breaking gravity waves  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ágústsson
 P1.44Nowcasting Applications of the Space—Time Mesoscale Analysis System  extended abstract
Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, J. A. McGinley, and S. Albers
 P1.45NOAA's Deployment of the Water Vapor Sensor System (WVSS II)  
David Helms, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Fellows, T. Roberts, K. Schrab, F. Toepfer, B. Ballish, R. Baker, R. J. Fleming, R. May, R. A. Petersen, and W. R. Moninger
 P1.46NCEP SREF Forecasts of three Hurricanes during the 2004 Tropical Season  extended abstract
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA, State College, PA; and J. Du
 P1.47MM5IDL: A Flexible Framework for Post—Processing MM5 Data  extended abstract
Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and Ö. Rögnvaldsson
 P1.48Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP): statistical guidance of wind speed, direction, and gusts for aviation weather  extended abstract
Jerry R. Wiedenfeld, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
 P1.49Intermountain cold pool structure, transport, and mixing as revealed by isotopic trace gas and particulate matter concentrations over the Salt Lake Valley  
W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Pataki, E. Pardyjak, J. Kiran, B. Tyler, R. Peterson, and A. Nair
 P1.50Incorporating orographic anisotropy and flow blocking effects in an orographic drag parameterization scheme  
Young-Joon Kim, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle
 P1.51Improving Short Term Precipitation Forecasting through recognition of satellite based signatures combined with analysis of upper air and surface data  
John Simko, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
 P1.52Improvements in the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) categorical visibility and obstruction to vision statistical guidance  extended abstract
David E. Rudack, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
 P1.53Impacts of model errors and ensemble initiation on mesoscale ensemble-based data assimilation  
Zhiyong Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang
 P1.54Hydrological validation of a numerical simulation of a high-precipitation event in the complex terrain of South-Iceland  
Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and G. G. Tómasson and H. Ólafsson
 P1.55Gustiness of downslope winds  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ágústsson and S. Árnason
 P1.56Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation for Rapid Refresh  extended abstract
Dezso Dévényi, NOAA/FSL and CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, J. M. Middlecoff, T. W. Schlatter, and S. S. Weygandt
 P1.57GOES WMSI—progress and developments  extended abstract
Kenneth L. Pryor, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and G. P. Ellrod
 P1.58Forecasting stratospheric clouds  
Trausti Jónsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson
 P1.59Forecasting snow squalls using mesoscale models  
Frank P. Colby Jr., University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and B. Krajewski
 P1.60Forecasting Heat Waves Using Climatic Anomalies  extended abstract
Kevin Lipton, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. H. Grumm, R. Holmes, P. G. Knight, and J. D. Ross
 P1.61Forecaster training on the NCEP North American Mesoscale (NAM) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model  extended abstract
Stephen D. Jascourt, UCAR/COMET, Silver Spring, MD; and W. R. Bua
 P1.62A Recalculation of MPI Using Upper—Ocean Depth—Averaged temperatures: climatology and Case Studies (Formerly Paper 6B.5)  extended abstract
Michael C. Watson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and C. A. Clayson
 P1.63Examination of mesoscale convective vortex and Its transition into a frontal cyclone during BAMEX  
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart
 P1.64moved to Session 11B, New paper number 11B.7A  
 P1.65Ensemble data assimilation and information theory  extended abstract
Dusanka Zupanski, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Zupanski, M. DeMaria, L. Grasso, A. Y. Hou, S. Zhang, and D. Bikos
 P1.66Development of a new radiation scheme for the global atmospheric NWP model  extended abstract
Shigeki Murai, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and S. Yabu and H. Kitagawa
 P1.67Daytime boundary layer structure and flows with interacting lake, valley, and urban circulations  
Justin A. W. Cox, NOAA/CIRP, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh and C. D. Whiteman
 P1.68Data Assimilation on the NASA fvGCM with the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter  
Elana Klein, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. Li, J. Liu, I. Szunyogh, B. Hunt, E. Kalnay, E. J. Kostelich, and R. Todling
 P1.69Coastal precipitation enhancement due to mesoscale features induced by a landfalling tropical cyclone  
Alan F. Srock, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and J. E. Molinari
 P1.70Cloud-Top Temperatures for Precipitating Winter Clouds  
Jay Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and D. M. Schultz and A. Irving
 P1.71Characteristics of water vapor structure of two cold front systems over central U.S.: High—resolution numerical simulations  extended abstract
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and B. Demoz, X. Li, C. Liu, D. Whiteman, D. D. Turner, and R. M. Hoff
 P1.72Bridging high-resolution model and coarse ensemble system: Hybrid Ensembling  
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. Dimego
 P1.73Assessment of numerical weather forecasts over SW-Iceland  
Thordur Arason, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson
 P1.74Application of Brasseur's gust prediction method  
Hálfdán Ágústsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson
 P1.75Combining Phase Error Correction and 3DVAR in Storm—Scale Data Assimilation  extended abstract
Yun Zhou, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Gao, K. Brewster, M. Hu, and M. Xue
 P1.76Analysis of large forecast errors over Iceland  
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and T. Arason
 P1.77Analysis and Forecasting of Mesoscale Wind and Temperature Fields in a Mountain Desert Environment  
Elford G. Astling, West Desert Test Center, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Laufenberg
 P1.78An Examination of the Gage-Radar Relationship with respect to Frontal Boundaries  
Kevin Brinson, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. R. Legates
 P1.79An evaluation of the land surface-atmosphere interactions over a heterogeneous landscape in numerical mesoscale model  
Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, S. Chiao, and J. D. Fuentes
 P1.80A Stochastic Physics Scheme in Representing Model-Related Errors in Global Ensemble Forecast  
Dingchen Hou, SAIC at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and Y. Zhu
 P1.81A new way to initialize operational NWP system for tropical cyclone forecast  
Zhongfeng Zhang, Met Division, AirTraffic Management Bureau, Beijing, China; and K. H. Lau
 P1.82A Modeling Study of the Dryline in May 22 during IHOP 2002  
Sen Chiao, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph and B. B. Demoz
 P1.83A Kalman Filter Approach to Correct Surface Forecast Bias  
William Y. Y. Cheng, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh
 P1.84A Fully—Implicit Semi—Lagrangian Hydrostatic Model of Atmospheric Dynamics  extended abstract
Sajal K. Kar, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
P1.85A few cases of mountain- and lee waves simulated by the WRF Model  
Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Hacker, W. D. Hall, H. M. Hsu, and R. D. Sharman
 P1.86A comparison of the hybrid Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter-3D variational analysis scheme (ETKF)—3DVAR and the pure Ensemble Square Root Filter (EnSRF) Analysis Schemes  extended abstract
Xuguang Wang, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, and C. Bishop
 P1.87Examining Severe Weather Events Using Reanalysis Datasets  extended abstract
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and J. D. Ross and P. G. Knight
 P1.88A comparison of prescriptions for using background field diagnostics to adapt covariances to the ambient flow in a 3D Variational assimilation  extended abstract
Manuel De Pondeca, SAIC and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Purser, D. F. Parrish, and J. C. Derber
 P1.89 Comparison of impacts of WRF dynamic core, physics packages, and initial conditions on warm season rainfall forecasts  extended abstract
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA
 P1.90The Meteorological Role of the Global Positioning System in NOAA's Integrated Upper-Air Observing System  
Seth I. Gutman, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and K. Holub, S. Sahm, T. L. Smith, S. Benjamin, D. Birkenheuer, D. Helms, J. Facundo, L. M. McMillin, J. G. Yoe, and J. Daniels
 P1.91NOAA Profiler Network: The Newest Tool in NOAA’s Observing System Architecture for Use in Severe Weather Subjective and Objective Forecasting  
Margot H. Ackley, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and D. Helms and P. Wolf
 P1.92Forecasting Heavy Wintertime Precipitation Events in Southern California (Formerly Paper 9.6)  extended abstract
Katherine M. Bell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and F. J. Pereira, N. W. Junker, R. H. Grumm, and R. E. Hart
 P1.93Understanding the effects of complex terrain on Intermountain cyclogenesis (Formerly Paper 9.8)  
Gregory L. West, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Shafer and J. Steenburgh
 P1.94The Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network (CoCoRaHS): Citizen's Measuring, Mapping and Learning about Precipitation  
Henry Reges, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. C. Cifelli and N. J. Doesken
 P1.95The Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) - Providing Value-Added Observations to the Meteorological Community  
Patricia A. Miller, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and M. Barth, L. Benjamin, D. Helms, M. Campbell, J. Facundo, and J. O'Sullivan

Monday, 1 August 2005: 5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Regency Ballroom

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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