Program: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes (10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes)

10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

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Sunday, 22 June 2003

1:00 AM-1:00 AM: Sunday, 22 June 2003

SUN 22 JUNE

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 22 June 2003

Conference Registration

Monday, 23 June 2003

1:00 AM-1:00 AM: Monday, 23 June 2003

MON 23 JUNE

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Conference Registration Continues through Friday, 27 June

9:00 AM-9:01 AM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Welcoming Remarks (Brian Colle and James Doyle, Program Cochairpersons and Joe Friday, AMS President)

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

9:15 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Mesoscale Aspects of Extratropical Cyclones

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Philip Cunningham, Florida State University

Papers:

9:15 AM

1.1

Extratropical cyclones: a historical perspective and future directions

Melvyn A. Shapiro, NOAA/Office of Weather and Air Quality, Boulder, CO

10:00 AM

1.2

Mid-Atlantic frontal wave development, boundary layer structure, and surface fluxes in FASTEX IOP1: Observations and sensitivity experiments

P. Ola G. Persson, CIRES and NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Nance, J. E. Hare, and A. B. White

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

10:15 AM

1.3

Atmospheric rivers over the eastern Pacific Ocean: Satellite and aircraft observations during CALJET

F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Neiman and G. A. Wick

10:30 AM

1.3a

Coffee Break

11:00 AM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Continued

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL

Papers:

11:00 AM

1.4

Mesoscale processes and energetics of FASTEX secondary cyclogenesis (IOPs 1, 11, 12, 16, 17)

Catherine Heyraud, CETP, Velizy, France; and A. Protat and Y. Lemaītre

http://

Poster PDF (477.5 kB)

11:15 AM

1.5

Nonclassical cold-frontal structure caused by dry subcloud air in northern Utah during IPEX

David M. Schultz, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. J. Trapp

11:30 AM

1.6

The Effect of the Diurnal Cycle on the Dynamics of Fronts

Michael J. Reeder, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and K. J. Tory

11:44 AM

1.7

Paper moved to Poster Session P1, new paper number P1.32

11:45 AM

1.8

The Development of Intense Frontogenesis within a TROWAL

Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. E. Martin

Poster PDF (442.7 kB)

12:00 PM

1.8a

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Continued

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: David M. Schultz, NOAA/NSSL

Papers:

1.9

The influence of latent heat release on the occlusion process in an idealized primitive equation simulation

1:31 PM

1.10

Integrated effects of mesoscale convection on the development of an explosive West Coast marine cyclone

Douglas K. Miller, NPS, Monterey, CA; and W. A. Nuss

Poster PDF (390.6 kB)

1:46 PM

1.11

A Modeling Study of the Frontal Circulations Associated with a Heavy Snowband in an Extratropical Cyclone

Mei Han, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and M. K. Ramamurthy, R. M. Rauber, B. F. Jewett, and J. A. Grim

Poster PDF (710.3 kB)

2:01 PM

1.12

Comparative study of the mesoscale structure and dynamics of heavy snowbands in the trowal region of two extratropical cyclones

Joseph A. Grim, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, M. K. Ramamurthy, B. F. Jewett, and M. Han

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)

2:16 PM

1.9a

Stratosphere to troposphere exchange: the role of convective transport and the sensitivity to model resolution (Formerly paper number 12.6)

Suzanne L. Gray, University of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom

Poster PDF (382.4 kB)

2:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Mesoscale Predictability I

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University

Papers:

2:30 PM

2.1

Predictability of Intermittent Mesoscale Phenomena

David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

3:15 PM

2.2

Calibration of ensemble spread using forecast spectra

Joshua P. Hacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Baumhefner

Poster PDF (188.1 kB)

3:30 PM

2.3

Growth of small-scale errors within moist baroclinic waves

Chris Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang, R. Rotunno, and Z. M. Tan

3:45 PM

2.4

Mesoscale Predictability and Process Issues: Conclusions from Five Years of Real-Time Regional Forecasts

Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA

4:00 PM

2.5

Toward short-range ensemble prediction of mesoscale forecast skill

Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass

2.6

Investigation of the ETA Ensemble QPF for elevated convection in the Midwest

4:15 PM

2.7

Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction of Mid-Latitude Cyclones

Bo Cui, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and M. K. Ramamurthy

Poster PDF (222.4 kB)

4:30 PM

2.8

The Utility of Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts in the Real-Time Prediction of Severe Convective Weather at the Storm Prediction Center

David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, J. J. Levit, and D. J. Stensrud

Poster PDF (182.4 kB)

4:45 PM

2.1a

Coffee Break

5:15 PM

2.6a

Some simple but effective ensemble generation techniques

Xuguang Wang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Bishop and S. J. Julier

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 June 2003

Sessions end for the day

Welcoming Reception

Tuesday, 24 June 2003

1:00 AM-1:00 AM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

TUE 24 JUNE

8:30 AM-10:15 AM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

Mesoscale Predictability II

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Chris Snyder, NCAR

Papers:

8:30 AM

3.1

Mesoscale Modeling and the Scientific Forecast Process

Paul J. Roebber, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI

8:45 AM

3.2

Using AWIPS and VORTEX findings to forecast qualitative probability of significant tornadoes

Wes Browning, NOAA/NWSFO, Springfield, MO

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/sgf/Events/wasola/wasola.shtml

Poster PDF (97.8 kB)

9:00 AM

3.3

The Effect of Topography on the Initial Condition Sensitivity of a Mesoscale Model

Paul E. Bieringer, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA

http://

Poster PDF (491.7 kB)

9:15 AM

3.4

Sensitivity Diagnosis of the 24–25 January 2000 Storm

Daryl T. Kleist, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan

http://helios.aos.wisc.edu

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)

9:30 AM

3.5

Sensitivities of an intense cyclone over the Western Mediterranean

Victor Homar, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud

Poster PDF (3.0 MB)

9:45 AM

3.5a

Coffee Break

10:15 AM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

Organized Convective Systems I

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Mark Stoelinga, Univ. of Washington

Papers:

10:15 AM

4.1

Observational studies of mesoscale precipitating cloud systems: Recent advances

Robert A. Houze, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

11:00 AM

4.2

On the existence of convective rolls in the convective region of squall lines

George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch

Poster PDF (697.4 kB)

11:15 AM

4.3

Mesoscale vortices and mesocyclones as precursors to derechos

William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. McAnelly and C. Wolff

Poster PDF (137.2 kB)

11:30 AM

4.4

Vorticity Dynamics of Long-lived Squall Lines

Ming Xue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

11:45 AM

4.5

The inflow environments of cellular and slabular convective lines

Richard P. James, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch

Poster PDF (347.8 kB)

12:00 PM

4.5a

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

Continued

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Jason C. Knievel, NCAR

Papers:

1:30 PM

4.6

Climatological and radar-indicated characteristics of United States extreme rainfall events

Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson

http://derecho.atmos.colostate.edu/~rschumac/extreme/10mesopreprint.htm

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

1:45 PM

4.7

Mesoscale aspects of the rapid intensification of a tornadic squall line across central Florida: 22–23 February 1998

Alicia C. Wasula, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, R. Schneider, S. J. Weiss, and R. H. Johns

Poster PDF (489.8 kB)

2:00 PM

4.8

Discrete propagation in numerically simulated nocturnal squall lines

Robert G Fovell, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and S. H. Kim

Poster PDF (628.6 kB)

2:15 PM

4.9

High resolution modelling of convection over the UK

Nigel M. Roberts, Met Office, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom

Poster PDF (714.6 kB)

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

Poster Session 1

Poster Session P1 with Coffee Break

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: James D. Doyle, NRL

Papers:

P1.1

The Role of rear inflow current in organizing convective storms

Robert G. Fovell, University of California, Los Angeles, CA

Poster PDF (477.7 kB)

P1.2

The Relationship between the Initial Trigger and the Final State for the Convectivly Unstable Atmosphere

Jingbo Wu, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Zhang

Poster PDF (284.5 kB)

P1.3

12 June 2002 rapid water vapor transitions during the IHOP field program

P1.4

Model sensitivity study and statistical precipitation validation of the 11 June 2000 nocturnal MCS in Nebraska

David B. Radell, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and C. M. Rowe and M. R. Anderson

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

P1.5

A search for environmental factors important in the evolution of morning Great Plains MCS activity during the warm season

Carl E. Hane, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. A. Haynes and D. L. Andra Jr.

Poster PDF (343.0 kB)

P1.6

Paper Moved to Session 5, New Paper Number 5.2A

P1.7

Short-range prediction of banded precipitation associated with deformation and frontogenetic forcing

Peter C. Banacos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK

Poster PDF (627.0 kB)

P1.8

Mesoscale Snow Bands in Ocean-Effect Snowstorm

Frank P. Colby Jr., Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA

Poster PDF (838.2 kB)

P1.9

An Analysis of Satellite-Derived Great Lakes Surface Temperatures in Regards to Model Simulations of Lake Effect Snow

Thomas Niziol, NOAA/NWS, Buffalo, NY

Poster PDF (616.7 kB)

P1.10

Simulations Examining the Influence of Wind Shear on the Coherent Mesoscale Structure of Intense Lake-Effect Snow Bands

Neil F. Laird, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL

Poster PDF (500.3 kB)

P1.11

An Example of Forecasting Mesoscale Bands in an Operational Environment

Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD

Poster PDF (246.7 kB)

P1.12

An observational study on atmospheric conditions for formation of closed convection cells

Yuichi Miura, Tokyo University of Science, Tokyo, Japan

http://

Poster PDF (743.9 kB)

P1.13

Are there mesoscale, convective "weather holes"?

Matthew D. Parker, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and J. C. Knievel

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

P1.14

Error growth and data assimilation in a parameterized PBL

Joshua P. Hacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder

Poster PDF (184.4 kB)

P1.15

Simulations of precipitation over a mesoscale mountain ridge—sensitivity to horizontal resolution

Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Institute for Meteorological Research, Reykjavik, Iceland; and M. de Vries, H. Olafsson, and J. W. Bao

P1.16

An investigation of the orographic precipitation sensitivities within a sophisticated bulk microphysical parameterization in the MM5

Yanguang Zeng, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and J. Wolfe

Poster PDF (685.0 kB)

P1.17

Quantitative precipitation forecasting of wintertime storms in the Sierra Nevada: Sensitivity to the microphysical parameterization

Ramesh K. Vellore, DRI, Reno, NV; and V. Grubisic and A. W. Huggins

Poster PDF (339.8 kB)

P1.17a

Effects of Orographically-Induced Local Circulations on the Formation of Heavy Rainfall (Formerly paper number 6.6)

Sen Chiao, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and Y. L. Lin

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

P1.18

Using Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) Data to Assess the Effects of Small-Scale Variations in Soil Moisture and Sources of Errors in Precipitation Forecasts

Eric A. Aligo, Iowa State University,SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and T. -. C. Chen

Poster PDF (255.7 kB)

P1.19

Estimation of precipitation in complex terrain

Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Institute for Meteorological Research, Reykjavik, Iceland; and P. Crochet and H. Olafsson

Poster PDF (213.0 kB)

P1.20

Reprensation of boundary-layer and shallow convective clouds in a global NWP model and their impact on the evolution of extratropical cyclones

Stéphane Bélair, MSC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and J. Mailhot and P. Vaillancourt

P1.21

The New Version of the Canadian Operational GEM Regional Mesoscale Model

Jocelyn Mailhot, MSC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and S. Bélair, A. Tremblay, L. Lefaivre, B. Bilodeau, A. Glazer, A. Patoine, and D. Talbot

P1.22

High resolution forecasting with NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model

P1.23

Preliminary results from explicit convective forecasts using the WRF model

Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang and W. Skamarock

P1.24

A few simulations that provide insight into why the WRF Model fails to depict realistic diurnal, warm-season rainfall patterns over the High Plains

Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO

P1.25

Evaluation of Improvements of Moist Processes in the Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Modeling System (COAMPS^tm)

Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. M. Schmidt, C. S. Liou, and S. Chen

Poster PDF (22.7 kB)

P1.26

Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecast with Quantitative Precipitation Model

Jai-Ho Oh, Pukyung National University, Busan, Korea; and O. Y. Kim, H. Yi, T. K. Kim, and R. Misumi

P1.27

Sensitivity to assimilation of both GPS and SMMI PW using 3DVAR for a case of deep convection in the Tyrrhenian sea

P1.28

Assessment of retrieved GPS products using an observing system simulation experiment

Shu-Hua Chen, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and F. Vandenberghe

Poster PDF (335.5 kB)

P1.29

Paper moved to Session 12, new paper number 12.6A

Poster PDF (6.2 kB)

P1.30

Scaling comparison of two mesoscale models on a Linux cluster

Boro Grubisic, DRI, Reno, NV; and V. Grubisic

P1.31

Evaluating TRMM-derived convective momentum flux estimates using cloud resolving model simulation and parameterization scheme development

P1.32

The Effect of differential cloud cover on the propagation of a surface cold front (Formerly Paper Number 1.7)

James Correia Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. Arritt

Poster PDF (293.2 kB)

P1.33

Implementation of Noah land-surface model advances in the NCEP operational mesoscale Eta model

4:00 PM-5:29 PM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

Organized Convective Systems II

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Robert G. Fovell, University of California

Papers:

4:00 PM

5.1

Cross-tropopause tracer transport in midlatitude convection

Gretchen L. Mullendore, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran and J. R. Holton

Poster PDF (581.7 kB)

5.2

Mesoscale processes associated with rapid erosion of the "cap"

4:15 PM

5.3

The organization of oceanic convection during the onset of the East Asian summer monsoon

Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. L. Aves

Poster PDF (601.8 kB)

4:30 PM

5.4

The diurnal cycle of oceanic convection over the South China Sea during the Southeast Asian Monsoon

Steven L. Aves, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson

Poster PDF (307.7 kB)

4:45 PM

5.5

The Organization and structure of mesoscale convection during the South China Sea Monsoon Experiment (SCSMEX)

Jian-Jian Wang, NASA/GSFC and GEST/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD

http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov

Poster PDF (975.7 kB)

5:00 PM

5.6

Relationships between North American Monsoon and MCC and PECS distributions

Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt

5:15 PM

5.2A

Effects of moisture profiles on the mode of cumulus convection (Formerly Paper Number P1.6)

Tetsuya Takemi, Osaka University, Suita, Osaka, Japan; and O. Hirayama and C. Liu

Poster PDF (125.2 kB)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 24 June 2003

Sessions end for the day

Wednesday, 25 June 2003

1:00 AM-1:00 AM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

WED 25 JUNE

8:30 AM-10:15 AM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Orographic Precipitation I

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Brian A. Colle, SUNY

Papers:

8:30 AM

6.1

Control Parameters for Orographic Precipitation Associated with a Conditionally Unstable Flow over a Two-Dimensional Mesoscale Mountain

Shu-Hua Chen, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and Y. L. Lin

Poster PDF (362.8 kB)

8:45 AM

6.2

Orographic precipitation processes over the Wasatch Mountains during IPEX IOP3

W. James Steenburgh, NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction and University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. A. W. Cox, J. C. Shafer, D. E. Kingsmill, and B. A. Colle

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

9:00 AM

6.3

Numerical Simulations of the Orographic Precipitation and Mesoscale Environments Associated with MAP IOP-8

Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Y. Chen and S. Chiao

Poster PDF (639.9 kB)

9:15 AM

6.4

A linear theory of orographic precipitation

Ronald B. Smith, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and I. Barstad

Poster PDF (213.0 kB)

6.5

Role of the Orographic flow in Alpine precipitation for the wet MAP cases.

9:30 AM

6.5a

SIMULATIONS OF MOIST NEUTRAL FLOW OVER A RIDGE

M. Marcello Miglietta, CNR-ISAC, Lecce, Italy; and R. Rotunno

9:45 AM

6.5b

Coffee Break

10:15 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Continued

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: James D. Doyle, NRL

Papers:

10:15 AM

6.6

Paper moved to Poster Session P1, New paper number P1.17A

10:16 AM

6.7

High Resolution Modelling of Orographic Rainfall

Humphrey W. Lean, Met Office, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and P. A. Clark

Poster PDF (400.3 kB)

10:31 AM

6.8

Shallow cellular convection in orographic precipitation

Daniel J. Kirshbaum, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~dank/Documents/paper.pdf

Poster PDF (640.2 kB)

10:46 AM

6.9

Initiation of precipitation episodes relative to elevated terrain

D. A. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis and R. E. Carbone

Poster PDF (294.7 kB)

11:01 AM

6.6A

Exceptional Mesoscale Features of the Great Western Storm of March 16–20, 2003 (Formerly Paper Number 14.2A)

Gregory S. Poulos, Colorado Research Associates, a division of NWRA, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Wesley, M. P. Meyers, E. J. Szoke, J. S. Snook, and G. P. Byrd

Poster PDF (638.2 kB)

11:15 AM-12:45 PM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Keynote Speaker Session 1

Keynote Address

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Papers:

11:15 AM

KS1.1

Mesoscale meteorology: The last twenty years and the next

Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Poster PDF (75.7 kB)

12:00 PM

KS1.1a

Conference Luncheon: Luncheon Speaker: Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Orographic Precipitation II: Results from IMPROVE

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC

Papers:

1:30 PM

7.1

Overview of IMPROVE: Verification and improvement of bulk microphysical parameterizations in mesoscale models

Mark T. Stoelinga, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. V. Hobbs, C. F. Mass, J. D. Locatelli, R. A. Houze, Jr., A. L. Rangno, B. A. Colle, N. A. Bond, B. F. Smull, R. M. Rasmussen, G. Thompson, and B. Colman

http://

Poster PDF (394.8 kB)

1:45 PM

7.2

Cloud and Precipitation Processes Observed in the 13–14 December 2001 Storm Studied over the Oregon Cascades in IMPROVE

Christopher P. Woods, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. T. Stoelinga, J. D. Locatelli, and P. V. Hobbs

Poster PDF (450.8 kB)

2:00 PM

7.3

Modeling of the 13–14 December 2001 IMPROVE 2 Case

Matthew Garvert, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass and B. A. Colle

Poster PDF (912.0 kB)

2:15 PM

7.4

An evaluation and verification of the simulated microphysical sensitivities during 13–14 December 2001 of IMPROVE 2

Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Garvert, J. Wolfe, G. Thompson, and C. F. Mass

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

2:30 PM

7.2a

orographic enhancement of precipitation in midlatitudes: results from MAP and IMPROVE II (Formerly Paper number 8.2)

Socorro Medina, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

2:45 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Orographic Precipitation III: Results from IMPROVE

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: W. James Steenburgh, NOAA/CIRP and University of Utah

Papers:

2:45 PM

8.1

Evaluating MM5's updated bulk microphysical parameterization using case studies from the IMPROVE field campaigns

Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda and R. Rasmussen

Poster PDF (308.6 kB)

3:00 PM

8.2

Paper Moved to Session 7, New Paper Number 7.2A

3:14 PM

8.3

Cloud and precipitation processes observed in the 1–2 February 2001 storm studied off the Washington coast in IMPROVE

Amanda G. Evans, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. D. Locatelli, M. Stoelinga, and P. V. Hobbs

Poster PDF (470.4 kB)

3:15 PM

8.4

Surface-based in situ and vertically-pointing measurements of precipitation characteristics near and within the melting layer obtained at McKenzie Bridge, Oregon during IMPROVE II

Sandra E. Yuter, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. B. Nance and M. Loeffler-Mang

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Poster Session 2

Poster Session P2 with Coffee Break

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Brian A. Colle, SUNY

Papers:

P2.1

On the Role of the Rocky Mountains in Forcing Low-level Jet in the Central U.S

Zaitao Pan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal and R. W. Arritt

Poster PDF (115.5 kB)

P2.2

LLJ formation north of a surface warm front

Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt

P2.3

Summertime Low-level jets over the High Latitude Arctic Ocean

Douglas O. ReVelle, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and E. D. Nilsson

Poster PDF (837.7 kB)

P2.4

Mesoscale Meteorology Research to Improve Operations at Spaceport Florida

P2.5

Using A Suite of Observational and Forecasting Tools to Study a Sea/Land Breeze Event

Jonathan L. Case, NASA/Kennedy Space Center / ENSCO Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. C. Lambert, J. E. Lane, C. D. Immer, F. J. Merceret, and J. G. Ward

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

P2.6

On the dynamics of sea breeze circulations along complex coastlines

Kevin R. Walter, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. C. Epifanio and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon

P2.7

The New England Sea Breeze—Mesoscale Structural Details

Frank P. Colby Jr., Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA

Poster PDF (479.9 kB)

P2.8

Comparison of model predictions to surface observations for an oscillating dryline

P2.9

Role of mesoscale processes in climate change over the central United States—A Warming "Hole"

Zaitao Pan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, W. J. Gutowski Jr., C. J. Anderson, and J. H. Christensen

Poster PDF (133.4 kB)

P2.10

Radar Characteristics and Mesocyclones Associate with Tropical Cyclones (TC) and a Simulation of the Mesocyclonic Characteristics Using MM5

G. V. Rao, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and K. Santhanam, D. Gallagher, J. W. Scheck, R. Edwards, J. T. Schaefer, S. M. Spratt, and B. C. Hagemeyer

Poster PDF (195.0 kB)

P2.11

Numerical simulations of the extratropical transition of Floyd (1999) along the U.S. East coast

Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

P2.12

Numerical study on the extratropical transition of Typhoon Bart (1991) over the western North Pacific Ocean

Jun Yoshino, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and H. Ishikawa and H. Ueda

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

P2.13

Mesoscale simulations during the Double Trouble State Park wildfire in east-central New Jersey on June 2, 2002

Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and X. Bian, B. E. Potter, and W. E. Heilman

Poster PDF (367.0 kB)

P2.13a

NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF BUOYANT PLUMES IN A VERTICALLY SHEARED CROSSFLOW

Philip Cunningham, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Y. Hussaini, S. L. Goodrick, and R. R. Linn

Poster PDF (458.9 kB)

P2.14

The Life Cycle of a Bore Event over the US Southern Great Plains during IHOP_2002

Cyrille Flamant, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Paris, France; and S. E. Koch, T. M. Weckwerth, J. Wilson, D. Parsons, B. B. Demoz, B. Gentry, D. Whiteman, G. Schwemmer, F. Fabry, W. F. Feltz, M. Pagowski, and P. Di Girolamo

Poster PDF (192.8 kB)

P2.15

Surface temperatures and winds over complex terrain: observations and MM5 mesoscale model simulations

Dorita Rostkier-Edelstein, Israel Institute for Biological Research, Ness-Ziona, Israel; and S. Berkovic and R. Givati

Poster PDF (516.2 kB)

P2.16

Footprints of Orographic Flows over the Southern Appalachian Mountains

Qi Mao, Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, AL; and S. F. Mueller and L. D. Williams

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

P2.17

A Case Study Analysis and Model Simulation of a Columbia Gorge Gap Flow Event

Justin Sharp, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass

P2.18

Topographically-Generated Mesoscale Cloud Plumes

Qingfang Jiang, UCAR Visiting Scientist, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle

P2.19

Wave—Mean-Flow Interaction for Time-Dependent Mountain Waves

Chih-Chieh Chen, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim and D. R. Durran

P2.20

Anticipating damaging foehn windstorms east of the Central Appalachians

Phillip Manuel, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA; and S. Keighton

Poster PDF (2.4 MB)

P2.21

Gravity Wave Breaking Over Greenland

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. A. Shapiro, D. Bartells, and Q. Jiang

Poster PDF (492.1 kB)

P2.22

Orographic deformation of an extratropical cyclone in the lee of Greenland

Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Institute for Meteorological Research, Reykjavik, Iceland; and H. Olafsson

Poster PDF (984.7 kB)

P2.23

Comparative study of secondary potential voriticity banners in MAP IOP 8 and IOP 15-Bora

Vanda Grubisic, DRI, Reno, NV

P2.24

Generation of Turbulence within an Upper-Tropospheric Front

Steven E. Koch, NOAA Research-FSL, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Shapiro, B. Jamison, E. Tollerud, and T. L. Smith

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

P2.25

Idealized modeling of mesoscale gravity wave genesis and maintenance

P2.26

Mesoscale waves and turbulence in the proximity of synoptic-scale flow features

Anthony R. Hansen, St. Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN; and G. D. Nastrom, T. Tsuda, and F. D. Eaton

Poster PDF (149.3 kB)

P2.27

Paper Moved to Session 14, New Paper Number 14.2A

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Sessions end for the day

8:00 PM-8:00 PM: Wednesday, 25 June 2003

Panel Discussion 1

Future Challenges in Mesoscale Meteorology

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Panelists: Craig Bishop, UCAR/NRL; Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT; Richard Johnson, Colorado State University; Cliff F. Mass, Univ. of Washington; F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL; Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS

Thursday, 26 June 2003

1:00 AM-1:00 AM: Thursday, 26 June 2003

THUR 26 JUNE

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 26 June 2003

Tropical Cyclones

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State Univ.

Papers:

8:30 AM

9.1

Asymmetric eyewall vertical motion in a high-resolution simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998)

Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. T. Montgomery and Z. Pu

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)

8:45 AM

9.2

The relationship between vertical shear, storm motion, and rainfall patterns produced from numerical simulations of tropical cyclones

Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (368.0 kB)

9:00 AM

9.3

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Track, Intensity, and Orographic Precipitation to Cumulus and Microphysical Parameterizations

Nicholas C. Witcraft, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin and Y. H. Kuo

Poster PDF (347.4 kB)

9:15 AM

9.4

The Tropical Cyclone—Jet Interaction

Eric Rappin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan

Poster PDF (328.6 kB)

9:30 AM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 26 June 2003

Orographic Flows I

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Vanda Grubisic, DRI

Papers:

9:30 AM

10.1

Advances in Mountain Airflow Dynamics

Ronald B. Smith, Yale University, New Haven, CT

Poster PDF (95.4 kB)

10:15 AM

10.2

The dynamics of lee wake formation from a vorticity-vector potential perspective

Craig C. Epifanio, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and R. Rotunno

10:30 AM

10.3

Mesoscale Response of Time-Dependent Mountain Waves

Chih-Chieh Chen, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran and G. J. Hakim

10:45 AM

10.4

Rethinking the level-flow paradigm for strong gap winds

Dale R. Durran, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Gabersek

11:00 AM

10.5

Insights into Columbia Gorge Gap Flow through High Resolution Simulations of Actual and Idealized Events

Justin Sharp, PPM Energy, Portland, OR; and C. F. Mass

11:15 AM

10.6

Eddy formation and shock features associated with a coastally trapped disturbance

William T. Thompson, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. D. Burk

Poster PDF (628.1 kB)

11:30 AM

10.1a

Coffee Break

12:00 PM

10.6a

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 26 June 2003

Orographic Flows II

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Dale R. Durran, Univ. of Washington

Papers:

1:30 PM

11.1

Does the effect of rotation need to be accounted for when parametrizing sub-grid orography?

Stuart Webster, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and H. Wells and A. Brown

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)

1:45 PM

11.2

Gravity wave breaking over the Central Alps: Role of complex topography

Qingfang Jiang, UCAR Visiting Scientist, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle

Poster PDF (233.1 kB)

2:00 PM

11.3

Terrain-induced Rotor Experiment (T-REX)

Vanda Grubisic, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. P. Kuettner

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

2:15 PM

11.4

Rotor Dynamics in the Lee of Three-Dimensional Ridges

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. R. Durran

Poster PDF (171.2 kB)

2:30 PM

11.5

Mechanisms of Up-Valley Winds

G. Rampanelli, University of Trento, Trento, Italy; and D. Zardi and R. Rotunno

2:45 PM

11.6

Numerical Simulations of Coastal Wind Events in the North Gulf of Alaska

Peter Q. Olsson, University of Alaska, Anchorage, AK; and K. P. Volz and H. Yi

Poster PDF (2.4 MB)

3:00 PM

11.7

The interaction of thermally-driven circulations and their effect on vertical mixing processes in the Salt Lake Valley

Jerome D. Fast, PNNL, Richland, WA

Poster PDF (3.0 MB)

3:15 PM

11.8

Orographic flows in the Phoenix area and their implications for vertical mixing

J. Christopher Doran, PNNL, Richland, WA; and R. L. Coulter, T. J. Martin, and W. J. Shaw

Poster PDF (438.0 kB)

3:30 PM

11.8a

Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 26 June 2003

Mesoscale Numerical Models

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: William Skamarock, NCAR

Papers:

4:00 PM

12.1

The NCEP Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Forecasting Model

Zavisa I. Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and T. L. Black, E. Rogers, H. Y. Chuang, and G. DiMego

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

4:15 PM

12.2

Application of the ensemble Kalman filter to mesoscale phenomena with different dynamical characteristics

Altug Aksoy, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon

4:30 PM

12.3

MM5 FDDA Experiments Using the West Texas Mesonet Data

Chia-Bo Chang, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and M. Conder

Poster PDF (509.8 kB)

4:45 PM

12.4

The impact of a nonlocal turbulence parameterization on the convective boundary layer and cloud resolving simulations

Amanda S. Adams, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli

Poster PDF (408.9 kB)

5:00 PM

12.5

Impact of precipitation assimilation on US Southwest Climate Simulations

A. M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Chen and J. Roads

5:14 PM

12.6

Paper moved to Session 1, New paper number 1.9A

5:15 PM

12.6a

Assimilation of multi-satellite precipitation data for improving quantitative precipitation forecasts (Formerly paper number P1.29)

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Maryland, Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 26 June 2003

Sessions end for the day

Friday, 27 June 2003

1:00 AM-1:00 AM: Friday, 27 June 2003

FRI 27 JUNE

8:30 AM-10:45 AM: Friday, 27 June 2003

Mesoscale Balance and Gravity Waves

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Craig Epifanio, Texas A&M University

Papers:

8:30 AM

13.1

Generation of inertia-gravity waves during a poleward Rossby wave breaking event

Christoph Zülicke, Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the University of Rostock, Kühlungsborn, Germany; and D. Peters

8:45 AM

13.2

Dynamics of balance in idealized simulations of baroclinic-wave life cycles

Philip Cunningham, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and A. I. Barcilon and T. A. Smith

9:00 AM

13.3

The nature and evolution of balance in unstable barotropic jets

Travis A. Smith, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. Cunningham and A. I. Barcilon

Poster PDF (507.5 kB)

9:15 AM

13.4

Generation of Mesoscale Gravity Waves in Upper-Tropospheric Jet-Front Systems

Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

9:30 AM

13.5

Numerical modeling of turbulence above the jet stream during SCATCAT

Todd P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Doyle, R. D. Sharman, and M. A. Shapiro

Poster PDF (340.7 kB)

9:45 AM

13.6

Turbulence in a model tropopause jet: high resolution 3D direct numerical simulations and parameterization

Binson Joseph, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and A. Mahalov, B. Nicolaenko, and K. L. Tse

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

10:00 AM

13.7

Inertia-gravity wave generation by the tropospheric mid-latitude jet as given by the FASTEX radiosoundings

Riwal Plougonven, LMD, Paris, France; and H. Teitelbaum and V. Zeitlin

Poster PDF (182.4 kB)

10:15 AM

13.7a

Coffee Break

10:45 AM-12:15 PM: Friday, 27 June 2003

Mesoscale Circulations

Sponsor: 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Jon C. Mittelstadt, NOAA/NWS

Papers:

10:45 AM

14.1

Fine-scale radar observations of a dryline during the International H₂O project

Christopher C. Weiss, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein and A. L. Pazmany

Poster PDF (305.7 kB)

14.2

Numerical simulation of the interaction between the dryline and horizontal convective rolls

10:59 AM

14.3

Multisensor Study of a Dual Bore Event Observed during IHOP

Steven E. Koch, NOAA Research-FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. Demoz, F. Fabry, W. Feltz, B. Geerts, B. Gentry, D. Parsons, G. Schwemmer, T. M. Weckwerth, and J. W. Wilson

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

11:14 AM

14.4

High Resolution Multi-Sensor Profiling of Gust Fronts

Haldun Karan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)

11:29 AM

14.5

Numerical Investigation of factors leading to the formation of an intense warm core vortex in the Mediterranean

Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Pinori, S. Dietrich, G. Panegrossi, A. Mugnai, and E. A. Smith

11:44 AM

14.6