Program: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change (85th AMS Annual Meeting)

SUN 9 JAN

Short Course Registration

Conference Registration

Mon 10 Jan

Registration continues through Thursday, 13 January

Joint Session 1

Building the Earth Information System (Joint with the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, and Ninth Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Ninth Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Cochairs: Terry Tarbell, RS Information Systems; Linda Miller, UCAR/Unidata

Papers:

9:00 AM

J1.1

From Information to Action: The Global Earth Observation System of Systems

James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (70.0 kB)

Joint Session 2

Distributed Earth Science Information Systems Joint with the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology )

Organizers: Dean N. Williams, LLNL; Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL; Stephen M. Holt, Mitretek Systems

Papers:

9:30 AM

J2.1

A description of the Weather Source comprehensive global weather observation database

Mark J. Gibbas, Weather Source, LLC, Amesbury, MA; and C. Gilbert

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (122.3 kB)

9:45 AM

J2.2

Practical techniques for distributed climate analysis using GrADS and the GDS

Jennifer M. Adams, COLA, Calverton, MD; and B. Doty and J. L. Kinter III

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

P1.1

Bringing together disparate data for climate impacts studies

M. Benno Blumenthal, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and C. F. Ropelewski, E. Grover-Kopec, J. del Corral, and M. Dilley

Recorded presentation

10:15 AM

J2.5

NQuery: a Network-enabled data-based query tool for multi-disciplinary earth-science datasets

John R. Osborne, NOAA/PMEL/OAR, Seattle and OceanAtlas Software, Vashon Island, WA; and K. T. McHugh and D. W. Denbo

http://www.epic.noaa.gov/epic/software/nquery

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (386.9 kB)

10:30 AM

J2.6

Autonomous Rapid Response to Monitor Transient Science Events

Daniel J. Mandl, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and S. W. Frye

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (681.2 kB)

10:45 AM

J2.7

Arctic Change Detection Website

Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. Calder, J. E. Overland, and F. M. Fetterer

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/detect

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

11:00 AM

J2.8

Couple Distributed Earth System Models

Shujia Zhou, Northrop Grumman IT /TASC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Womack and G. Higgins

11:15 AM

J2.3a

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's scientific data stewardship program

John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (372.9 kB)

11:30 AM

J2.3b

Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

11:59 AM

J2.3c

J2.3 moved to JP1.6

Lunch Break

1

Observed Climate Change: 1(parallel with Session 2)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:

1:30 PM

1.1

Are Simulated Microwave Sounding Unit temperatures sensitive to the method by which they are generated?

J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and B. D. Santer

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

1.2

Latitudinal distribution of temperature trends at the surface and in the troposphere

Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. Grody, M. D. Goldberg, A. Robock, R. J. Stouffer, and P. D. Jones

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

1.3

Non-thermometric effects on MSU tropospheric temperatures

Leslie Litten, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy and R. W. Spencer

Poster PDF (401.0 kB)

2:15 PM

1.4

Tropospheric temperature trends from satellite-MSU observations

Qiang Fu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

1.5

Uncertainties in ICOADS Sea Surface and Air Temperatures since the 1850s

Nick A. Rayner, Hadley Centre, Met Office, EXETER, United Kingdom; and P. Brohan, D. E. Parker, C. K. Folland, J. Hardwick, J. Kennedy, T. Ansell, S. Tett, and E. C. Kent

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

1.6

Large scale warming confirmed by temperatures in windy weather

David E. Parker, Hadley Centre, Met Office, EXETER, United Kingdom

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

1.7

Tree Ring Records Underestimate Volcanic Cooling

Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ

3:15 PM

1.8

Precipitation and temperature related climate indices for Canada

�va Mekis, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and L. A. Vincent

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (528.8 kB)

3:30 PM

1.9

Large scale spatial structure of observed temperature trends

Pedro M. A. Miranda, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal; and A. R. Tom�

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (161.4 kB)

3:45 PM

1.10

Accounting for differences between radiosonde temperature datasets

Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seidel

4:00 PM

1.4a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

2

Climate Predictions on Seasonal and Interannual Time Scales: 1(parallel with Session 1)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:

1:30 PM

2.1

Sensitivity of North American Precipitation and Temperature to Tropical Indian, Pacific and Atlantic ocean SST anomalies throughout the year.

Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Barsugli and S. I. Shin

1:45 PM

2.2

Predictability of Northern California precipitation during warm-phase El Nino events

Seran Gibbard, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. Duffy and K. E. Taylor

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

2.3

Understanding the sensitivity of North American drought to Tropical Pacific SSTs in present and past climates

Sang-Ik Shin, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb, P. D. Sardeshmukh, R. J. Oglesby, and J. J. Barsugli

2:15 PM

2.4

Precipitation variability in the core of the North American monsoon region

David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

2.5

Forecasting global temperatures one year ahead

Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and A. W. Colman

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

2.6

Examination of the Hydrologic Feedback Pathway for Land-Climate Coupling

Paul A. Dirmeyer, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, MD; and T. DelSole

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

2.7

Evaluation of the Use of Forecast Interpretations information

Diego H. Pedreros, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and A. Bonilla, P. Ramirez, C. Funk, G. Husak, J. Michaelsen, and L. Aguilar

Recorded presentation

3:15 PM

2.8

Diagnosis of skill variability as a basis for discriminating use of CPC long-lead seasonal forecasts

Marina M. Timofeyeva, UCAR and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

2.9

Long-range remote impacts of the North Pacific wintertime circulation regimes

Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

2.10

Seasonal predictability and the land/air interaction

M. Zhao, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

2.4a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 1

Poster Session: Climate Assessments, Drought, and Observed Climate Change

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:

P1.1

Bringing together disparate data for climate impacts studies

M. Benno Blumenthal, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and C. F. Ropelewski, E. Grover-Kopec, J. del Corral, and M. Dilley

Recorded presentation

P1.2

Response of winter cereal productivity in Spain to climate variability

Concepcion Rodriguez-Puebla, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain; and A. H. Encinas and M. D. Fr�as

Poster PDF (170.3 kB)

P1.3

Study on the Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Wheat Production in Contrast Environments of South Australia

P1.4

A climatology of weather influences on electric power outages in New Hampshire

Michael H. Nahmias, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and E. G. Hoffman

Poster PDF (58.5 kB)

P1.5

Afghanistan weather hazards

Bradford R. Pugh, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/fews/AFGHANISTAN/index.html

Poster PDF (20.3 kB)

P1.6

Examination of Global Wind Trends Due to Global Climate Change to Improve Wind Resource Assessments

Glenn E. Van Knowe, AWS Truewind, LLC, Troy, NY; and J. W. Zack, K. T. Waight, and M. Brower

http://www.meso.com

Poster PDF (145.7 kB)

P1.7

Customer satisfaction with NOAA�s National Weather Service climate products and services

Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey

P1.8

Status report on NWS climate services implementation at the regional and local level

Judith A. Koepsell, Climate Services Division/OCWWS/NWS/NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey

P1.9

Monitoring and forecasting drought in Southern Africa during the 2002-2003 season

James Verdin, USGS, Sioux Falls, SD; and C. C. Funk, T. Magadzire, J. Michaelsen, and G. Husak

P1.10

Attribution studies for understanding late 20th climate trends in the Sahel: Regional climate model simulations using NCEP Reanalysis (1982-2002)

Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard University, Washington, DC; and B. Sylla and A. T. Gaye

P1.11

Analysis of meteorological drought in Mexico

Juan Matias M�ndez-P�rez Sr., Center for Atmospheric Sciences / National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico city, Mexico, Mexico; and V. Maga�a and E. Caetano

P1.12

P1.12 moved to oral presentation 5.6a

P1.13

Recent Trends in Mid-Atlantic Regional Water Cycle

Donglian Sun, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

P1.14

An analysis of century-long Southwest U. S. precipitation data using wavelet analysis

Eileen A. Hall-McKim, University of Colorado, CIRES/NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

P1.15

Toward developing unbiased upper-air temperature and moisture trends from global historical radiosonde data: Validating and completing Russian radiosonde history

Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Poster PDF (268.8 kB)

P1.16

Radiosonde Atmospheric Temperature Products for Assessing Climate (RATPAC): Extending a homogeneity-adjusted radiosonde temperature time series using first differences

Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seidel, J. K. Angell, J. Lanzante, I. Durre, T. C. Peterson, and J. Lawrimore

P1.17

Surface pressure trends in the canadian arctic during 1953�2003

William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada

Poster PDF (174.4 kB)

P1.18

A revised U.S. climate extremes index

Karin L. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore, D. H. Levinson, and T. R. Karl

Poster PDF (396.1 kB)

P1.19

Multidecadal variability of spring season minimum temperature patterns in the Western United States

David P. Brown, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH

P1.20

Consistency of recent European summer climate trends and extremes with future regional climate projections

P1.21

Climate extreme indices via regional climate change workshops

Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Poster PDF (173.8 kB)

P1.22

Recent California climate variability: Spatial and temporal temperature trend patterns

Richard Medina, California State University, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and G. Gongora, S. LaDochy, and W. C. Patzert

P1.23

Central California: Opposing temperature trends valley vs. mountains

John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris, K. T. Redmond, and K. P. Gallo

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

P1.24

Examining local and regional temperature changes for the 1977-2003 period using a truly homogeneous station record

David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. Menne, C. N. Williams Jr., D. Levinson, and G. M. Goodge

Poster PDF (28.6 kB)

P1.25

Detection of Inhomogeneity in Extreme Value Series

Xuebin Zhang, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. Wang

P1.26

MONITORING OF BACKGROUND ATMOSPHERE ON CLIMATE CHANGE OVER KOREAN PENINSULA

Sung-Nam Oh, Meteorological Research Institute / Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

P1.27

From Dimming to Brightening: Trends in Solar Radiation inferred from Surface Observations

C. N. Long, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. Wild and E. G. Dutton

P1.28

Asymmetric responses of the hydrological cycle in global warming and El Ni�o

P1.29

An updated analysis of observed cloudiness changes over China: Are changes related to increases in air pollution?

Dale Kaiser, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian

P1.30

An examination of the quality of the Atlantic tropical cyclone database

Bradford S. Barrett, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

Poster PDF (154.9 kB)

P1.31

Variance of Interdecadal Component of Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly and the Correlations to the Climate of China

Xiouxia Zhou, NUIST, Nanjing, China; and P. Wang and C. Zhu

P1.32

P1.32 moved to JP2.28

P1.33

Distributed flash-flood hydrologic modeling for semi-arid regions using radar data

Soni Yatheendradas, HWR-SAHRA, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. Wagener, H. V. Gupta, C. Unkrich, M. Schaffner, and D. Goodrich

Sessions End for the day

FORMAL OPENING OF EXHIBITS WITH RECEPTION (CASH BAR)

Suki Manabe Symposium Banquet

TUE 11 JAN

3

Climate Modeling Studies 1(parallel with Sessions 4 and 5)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:

8:30 AM

3.1

Are summer climate variations in north west Europe and West Africa linked?

Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and J. W. Hurrell, D. P. Rowell, and J. Knight

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

3.2

Climate change commitment in the 21st and 22nd centuries in the CCSM3 global coupled climate model

Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, J. Arblaster, and A. Hu

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

3.3

Simulating the recent Holocene

Simon Tett, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. Betts, T. J. Crowley, A. Jones, J. Gregory, E. Ostrom, D. L. Roberts, and M. J. Woodage

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (456.4 kB)

9:15 AM

3.4

The impact of convective parameterization schemes on climate sensitivity

David J. Karoly, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, D. Ren, and M. Leplastrier

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (467.8 kB)

9:30 AM

3.5

Summer heatwaves and interannual variability in a changing climate

Christoph Sch�r, Atmospheric and Climate Science ETH, Zurich, Switzerland, Zurich, Switzerland; and P. L. Vidale, C. Frei, M. Hirschi, D. L�thi, R. Wegmann, and M. Wild

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

3.6

Pacific vs. Indian Ocean warming: How does it matter for global and regional climate change?

Joseph J. Barsugli, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin and P. D. Sardeshmukh

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

3.7

Effects of Aerosol on Atmospheric Dynamics and Hydrologic Processes during boreal spring and summer

William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, MD, Maryland; and M. K. Kim, K. M. Kim, and M. Chin

Recorded presentation

10:15 AM

3.8

Climate response over North America to a simultaneous El Ni�o and volcanic eruption

Megan E. Linkin, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Robock, G. L. Stenchikov, and W. Stern

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

3.9

Climate change, tropical cyclones and ENSO

Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen and J. L. McGregor

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (258.2 kB)

10:45 AM

3.5a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

5

Hydrology of Semi-Arid Regions(parallel with Sessions 3 and 4)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Mathew Barlow, AER

Papers:

8:30 AM

5.1

The use of large-scale climate information to predict Central Asia river flows at one and two season leads

Mathew Barlow, AER, Lexington, MA; and M. K. Tippett

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5.2

Regional drivers of aridity in Southwest Asia and sensitivity to surface change

Benjamin F. Zaitchik, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and J. P. Evans and R. B. Smith

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (457.6 kB)

9:00 AM

5.3

Evaluation of snow model complexity within the NWS streamflow forecasting system

Kristie J. Franz, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and T. S. Hogue and S. Sorooshian

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

5.4

Atmospheric moisture cycling over the southwestern US

Bruce T. Anderson, Boston University, Boston, MA; and H. Kanamaru and J. O. Roads

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

5.5

Role of the Monsoons Variability on the Summer Drought events in the Mediterranean Basin

Marina Baldi, IBIMET - CNR, Rome, Italy; and L. Genesio, F. Meneguzzo, F. Cesarone, and F. Piani

9:45 AM

5.7

The great 20th Century drying of Africa

James W. Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Hoerling

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

5.8

Mean characteristics and interannual variations of kinematic and thermodynamic profiles in low-level jets over the eastern Pacific: Dropsonde data from CALJET-1998 and PACJET-2001

F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Neiman and R. Rotunno

10:15 AM

5.9

Water allocation during drought: using a DSS to examine gains from trade on the Rio Conchos, MX

Steven Stewart, Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. Valdes, J. Gastelum, J. Aparicio, and J. Hidalgo

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

5.10

Trial by fire - developing, delivering, and defending experimental climate forecasts during three drought years in Colorado

Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

5.5a

Formal Poster Viewing

12:00 PM

5.6a

An observed trend in central South American precipitation

Brant Liebmann, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Vera, L. M. V. Carvalho, I. Camilloni, V. Barros, M. Hoerling, and D. Allured

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/people/brant.liebmann/publications.shtml

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (208.8 kB)

12:14 PM

5.6a

Paper 5.6 moved to P1.33

4

Observed Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability (parallel with Sessions 3 and 5)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Bradfield L Lyon, IRI; Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland

Papers:

8:30 AM

4.1

Effects of atmospheric composition on radiation balance, cloud microphysics and Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Prabir K. Patra, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan; and S. K. Behera, J. R. Herman, H. Akimoto, and T. Yamagata

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frsgc/research/p3/prabir/anim_ai.htm

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (606.4 kB)

8:45 AM

4.2

The direct effect of summertime ENSO conditions on the South Asian monsoons: barotropic and baroclinic teleconnection mechanisms

Jeffrey Shaman, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and E. Tziperman

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

4.3

ENSO influence on Atlantic hurricanes via tropospheric warming

Brian H Tang, University of California - Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

4.4

ENSO and the spatial extent of interannual precipitation extremes in tropical land areas

Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

4.5

Stationary wave configuration associated with principal modes of variability of the tropical upper tropospheric flow

Ioana M. Dima, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

4.6

QE or not QE: vertical profiles of temperature perturbations in the tropical atmosphere

Christopher E. Holloway, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

4.7

Interannual variations in tropical upper-tropospheric humidity: Understanding tropical convective and dynamical processes

Franklin R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and D. E. Fitzjarrald and T. L. Miller

10:15 AM

4.8

Intraseasonal variability of cloudiness and rainfall in the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and D. K. Strahan and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

4.9

Scale interactions within the Madden-Julian Oscillation

George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub and P. T. Haertel

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

4.10

Easterly waves in the tropical Atlantic: Climatology and variability

Christina M. Patricola, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook

11:00 AM

4.11

An evaluation of January temperature anomalies in the United States utilizing a synoptic climatological approach

Melissa Lynn Malin, Center for Climatic Research, Newark, DE; and K. L. Frank, S. Quiring, and L. S. Kalkstein

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

4.12

Stratosphere-Troposphere coupling during spring onset

Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. A. McDaniel and W. A. Robinson

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

4.13

The nonlinear association between the Arctic Oscillation and North American winter temperature and precipitation

Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

4.14

Low frequency variability of the Southern Hemisphere winter split jet

Xiaosong Yang, SUNY at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY; and E. K. M. Chang

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

4.15

Quasi-stationary anticyclones in the Northern Hemisphere: An analysis of interannual and interdecadal variability and long-term trends at 1000 hPa and 500 hPa using a geometric definition

Mikhail Bardin, Russian Academy of Science, Moscow, Russia; and G. V. Gruza, A. R. Lupo, I. I. Mokhov, and V. A. Tikhonov

Poster PDF (289.7 kB)

12:15 PM

4.16

Annual cycle of equivalent ocean heat content and ocean heat transport divergence inferred from atmospheric heat budgets.

Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Fasullo

Recorded presentation

12:30 PM

4.17

Mulit-year variability of salinity in the northern hemisphere oceans

Tim P Boyer, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Levitus and J. Antonov

Recorded presentation

12:45 PM

4.18

Hydrological budget in the tropical Pacific

Xiaosu Xie, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. T. Liu

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

1:00 PM

4.19

The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and its climatic impacts

Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and B. Dong, R. J. Allan, H. Meinke, and B. Bhaskaran

Recorded presentation

1:15 PM

4.20

Does ENSO lead the Pacific interdecadal change?

SOON-IL An, International Pacific Research Center, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. S. Kug and I. S. Kang

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

4.21

ENSO-forced Decadal Variability in the North Pacific

Matt Newman, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

4.22

Diurnal cycle of cloud and precipitation associated with the North American Monsoon System: Preliminary results for 2003 and 2004

Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Yarosh, M. Chen, R. Joyce, J. E. Janowiak, and P. A. Arkin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (148.2 kB)

2:00 PM

4.23

Interannual Variability of Surface Radiation Budget

Shashi K. Gupta, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and P. W. Stackhouse Jr., S. J. Cox, J. C. Mikovitz, M. Chiacchio, and T. Zhang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (278.9 kB)

2:15 PM

4.24

Statistical Analyses of Satellite Cloud Object Data to Study Climate Sensitivities

Kuan-Man Xu, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and B. A. Wielicki and T. Wong

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (131.7 kB)

2:30 PM

4.5a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

3:45 PM

4.10a

Lunch Break

5:00 PM

4.16a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

Poster Session 2

Poster Session: Development of in Situ, Satellite, and Model Data Focused on Hydrometeorological Processes in the Atmosphere and Land Surfaces

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:

P2.1

Weigh gauge algorithms

Harry H. Lamb, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and Y. Durocher

Poster PDF (118.4 kB)

P2.2

The CEOP model data archive as part of the World Data Centre for Climate

Frank Toussaint, World Data Center for Climate, Hamburg, Germany; and M. Lautenschlager and H. Luthardt

http://wdcc.dkrz.de

Poster PDF (135.7 kB)

P2.3

RSM transferability studies during CEOP

Insa Meinke, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu

http://w3.gkss.de/ICTS

Poster PDF (235.1 kB)

P2.4

Remote sensing of microphysical particles in hurricanes from aircraft observations

Cerese M. Albers, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and G. Skofronick-Jackson

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

P2.5

Measurement errors using a Geonor weighing gauge with a Campbell Scientific datalogger

Harry H. Lamb, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. Swenson

Poster PDF (118.8 kB)

P2.6

Investigation of shortwave radiative transfer at the ARM CART Sites using a multiple layer stochastic model

Dana E. Veron, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and J. Secora and M. Foster

Poster PDF (249.7 kB)

P2.7

Impacts of the climate change on the simulation of the Asian summer monsoon

Annalisa Cherchi, National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi, S. Behera, J. J. Luo, S. Masson, T. Yamagata, and A. Navarra

P2.8

Evaluation of the land surface model of JMA�s operational global NWP model - with the CEOP EOP-3 Reference Site Dataset

Masayuki Hirai, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Sakashita and S. Murai

Poster PDF (898.1 kB)

P2.9

Evaluation and further-development of the HTSVS soil frost/permafrost module using data measured at Barrow, Ak

Nicole M�lders, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and V. Romanovsky

P2.10

Areas Favorable for Land Surface Feedback as Revealed by the NCEP Global Coupled Atmosphere Land Ocean Forecast System (CFS)

Huug M. Van den Dool, Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha

P2.11

The Effects of Cold Land Processes on Regional Climate and Hydrological Cycle

Ki-Hong Min, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. Y. Sun

Joint Poster Session 1

Poster Session: Distributed Earth Science Information Systems (Joint with the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology )

Papers:

JP1.1

NASA Cloud Object Data Website: An Interative Cloud Object Data Retrieval System for Climate Quality Satellite Cloud and Radiation Data

Takmeng Wong, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and D. Mangosing, K. M. Xu, B. A. Wielicki, and L. Parker

Poster PDF (438.1 kB)

JP1.2

Climatological features of blocking anticyclones in present-day and increased CO2 environments: An updated model comparison

JP1.3

Building the GSFC Land Information System with distributed and parallel computing technologies

Yudong Tian, UMBC/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, J. V. Geiger, S. Olden, L. Lighty, J. L. Eastman, P. R. Houser, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, K. E. Mitchell, J. Meng, H. Wei, P. Dirmeyer, B. Doty, and J. M. Adams

JP1.4

Enhancing the shareability of climate model data through the development of a framework for numerical climate model metadata

Katherine A. Bouton, CGAM, Dept Meteorology, U Reading, UK, Reading, United Kingdom; and L. Steenman-Clark

JP1.5

Climate Science Modelling Language: standards-based markup for metocean data

Andrew Woolf, CCLRC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Chilton Didcot, United Kingdom; and B. Lawrence, R. Lowry, K. Kleese van Dam, R. Cramer, M. Gutierrez, S. Kondapalli, S. Latham, K. O'Neill, and A. Stephens

Poster PDF (282.0 kB)

JP1.6

Using the Climate Data Analysis Tools (CDAT) to distribute Earth Science Data and Diagnosis via: Live Access Server, Zope or Mod_python

Charles Doutriaux, PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and D. N. Williams, A. Stephens, and B. Tang

JP1.7

GOES data in CLASS

John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez

Poster PDF (31.2 kB)

JP1.8

CLASS future plans

John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez

Poster PDF (60.8 kB)

JP1.9

CLASS capabilities overview

John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez

Poster PDF (153.2 kB)

Poster Session 3

Poster Session: Climate Modeling Studies

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:

P3.1

Impact of absorbing aerosol on precipitation: Dynamic aspects in association with CAPE and convective parameterization closure, and dependence on aerosol heating profile

Chul Eddy Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and G. Zhang

P3.2

Longwave cloud radiative forcing depending on the different definition of clear sky: Upper tropospheric water vapor climatology

B. J. Sohn, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and J. Y. Lee, J. Schmetz, and R. Stuhlmann

Poster PDF (429.4 kB)

P3.3

Toward Improving and Understanding the Simulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation in NCAR CCM3

Mingquan Mu, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and G. J. Zhang

P3.4

A Local-Coupled CGCM Study of MJO in the Indo-Pacific Ocean

Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and S. P. Weng

P3.5

The impact of Ekman transport on ENSO-induced SST anomalies

Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Scott

P3.6

The Role of ENSO in Regulating the Stability of the Tropical Pacific Climatology

De-Zheng Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

P3.7

Modeled moisture fluxes in the North American Monsoon Experiment region warm season

David A. Salstein, AER, Lexington, MA

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

P3.8

Dynamical mechanisms for monsoon changes during the mid-holocene

Hui Su, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson

P3.9

Internal Atmospheric Dynamics and Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Variability

Ben P. Kirtman, COLA, Calverton, MD

P3.10

Interannual tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures and preceding subtropical sea level pressure anomalies in the NCAR CCSM2.0

Bruce Anderson, Boston University, Boston, MA; and E. D. Maloney

P3.11

Interannual variability of Great Plains summer rainfall in Reanalyses and NCAR and NSIPP AMIP-like simulations

Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam

P3.12

The impact of fluctuating winds on the persistence of anomalous midlatitude sea surface temperatures

Philip Sura, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman and M. Alexander

P3.13

Impacts of Anomalous Western North Atlantic Sea-Surface Temperature on Ice Storms in the Southeast US

Renato Ramos da Silva, Duke University, Durham, NC; and D. Werth, R. Avissar, and G. Bohrer

P3.14

Decadal Climate Simulations Using Accurate and Fast Neural Network Emulations for the NCAR Community Atmospheric Model Radiation

Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, SAIC at NOAA/NCEP/EMC and ESSIC, Univ. of Maryland, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Fox-Rabinovitz and D. Chalikov

P3.15

Evaluating a high resolution global coupled ice-ocean model

Meibing Jin, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and J. Wang, T. Suzuki, J. Takahashi, and J. E. Walsh

P3.16

Comparison of the variance seasonal cycle and covariance of surface air temperature anomalies in 13 coupled climate models

Qigang Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and G. R. North and D. J. Karoly

P3.17

Assessment of PCM Results for Predictions of Climate Changes in the Caribbean

Moises Angeles, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and J. E. Gonzalez, P. Mulero, D. J. Erickson III, and J. Hernandez-Figueroa

Poster PDF (479.4 kB)

P3.18

An Evaluation of RCM Climatology in a Multi-decadal Hindcast for East Asia

Jinwon Kim, University of California, Los Angeles; and H. S. Jung and C. R. Mechoso

P3.19

The role of land models in the FSU regional climate model and its implication to crop model forecasting

Dong-Wook Shin, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. E. LaRow, S. Cocke, and J. J. O'Brien

P3.20

Response of the NCEP Global Coupled Atmosphere Land Ocean Model (CFS) to Idealized Isolated Soil Moisture Anomalies

Suranjana Saha, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan and H. M. Van den Dool

P3.21

Empirical correction to the COLA coupled Ocean-Atmosphere prediction system

Xiaohua Pan, COLA, Calverton, MD; and B. P. Kirtman

P3.22

A novel partnership for addressing the impacts of climate change in western North Carolina

Douglas K. Miller, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and P. J. McCown

Poster PDF (422.3 kB)

P3.23

Influences on predictability in multi-year regional climate simulations for the continental United States

Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. J. Anderson, W. J. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, D. Caya, C. G. Jones, J. J. Katzfey, J. W. Larson, R. Laprise, J. L. McGregor, J. Roads, and J. Taylor

P3.24

A revised approach to subgrid-scale cloud processes in a cumulus parameterization scheme and its effects on seasonal prediction

Young-Hwa Byun, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong

Poster PDF (959.9 kB)

P3.25

Climate response to the vertically stratified forcing.

Andrei P. Sokolov, MIT, Cambridge, MA

P3.26

Impact of orographically induced gravity wave drag parameterization on seasonal and weather prediction

Eun-Chul Chang, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. J. Kim

Poster PDF (835.7 kB)

P3.27

The offline comparison of an alternative infrared radiation scheme for use in NCEP's global spectral model and regional spectral model

Johnny Seymore, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph

P3.28

International stretched-grid model intercomparison project (SGMIP)

Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Cote, B. Dugas, M. Deque, J. McGregor, and P. Gleckler

P3.29

Stratospheric forcing, lower stratospheric temperatures and volcanic water vapour

Simon Tett, Hadley Centre (Reading Unit), Met Office, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. M. Forster, S. Hare, M. Joshi, and J. Knight

P3.30

Improvements on CO2 flux estimation over the central U.S. using explicit crop phenology in a regional climate model

Zaitao Pan, St. Louis University, St. Louise, MO; and E. S. Takle, L. Xue, and M. Segal

Poster PDF (219.5 kB)

P3.31

Estimating the representation of extreme precipitation events in atmospheric general circulation models using L-moments

Lawrence Marx, COLA, Calverton, MD

http://grads.igre.org/pub/marx/ams85.htm

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

P3.32

Developing daily climate scenarios for agricultural impact studies

Budong Qian, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and H. Hayhoe and S. Gameda

Poster PDF (596.5 kB)

P3.33

How often does it rain?

Ying Sun, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and S. Solomon, A. Dai, and R. W. Portmann

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

P3.34

Coupling sub-grid scale moist convection with global dynamics

Amik St-Cyr, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. J. Thomas, A. Wyszogrodzki, and W. W. Grabowski

P3.35

The leading mode of air-sea interaction in the North Atlantic region

Lin-lin Pan, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin and M. Watanabe

6

Climate Change Assessment Activities of the IPCC and the CCSP(parallel with Session 7)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Piers M. de F. Forster, University of Reading UK; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL

Papers:

1:30 PM

6.1

Assessing climate change: A current perspective on progress and directions In IPCC working group 1

Susan Solomon, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and D. Qin

2:00 PM

6.2

The CLIVAR/PAGES/IPCC workshop on a multi-millennia perspective on drought and implications for the future

Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

6.3

Global climate sensitivity

Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

6.4

Radiative Forcing by Well-Mixed Greenhouse Gases: Estimates from GCMs in the IPCC AR4

William D. Collins, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Fillmore, V. Ramaswamy, M. D. Schwarzkopf, and Q. Fu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (101.4 kB)

2:45 PM

6.5

Radiative forcing of climate: expanding the concept

Daniel J. Jacob, Division of Engineering an Applied Sciences and Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and A. C. Staudt

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

6.6

CCSP Decision Support Resources Development

James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC; and R. Moss

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

6.7

Temperature trends in the lower atmosphere: understanding and reconciling differences

Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

6.8

Status Report on the CCSP Synthesis Product: Aerosols Properties and Their Impacts on Climate

Phil DeCola, NASA, Washington, DC; and D. Albritton

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

6.9

Reducing the uncertainty in the North American carbon budget with atmospheric measurements and inverse transport models

David J. Hofmann, NOAA/CMDL, Boulder, CO; and L. Bruhwiler, W. Peters, and P. Tans

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (208.8 kB)

4:15 PM

6.10

NARCCAP, North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program

Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Arritt, G. Boer, D. Caya, P. Duffy, F. Giorgi, W. J. Gutowski, I. M. Held, R. Jones, R. Laprise, L. R. Leung, J. Pal, J. Roads, L. Sloan, R. Stouffer, G. Takle, and W. Washington

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (137.5 kB)

4:30 PM

6.5a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

7

Development of In Situ, Satellite, and Model Data Focused on Hydrometeorological Processes in the Atmosphere and Land Surface (parallel with Session 6)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: John Roads, Scripps Institution of Oceanography

Papers:

1:30 PM

7.1

A pilot study for the intercomparison of data assimilation products during the Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period (CEOP)

Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Roads, A. Ruane, K. E. Mitchell, M. Rodell, P. R. Houser, and S. Benedict

1:45 PM

7.2

An examination of diurnal cycle characteristics in the Experimental Climate Prediction Center�s global spectral models

A. Ruane, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

7.3

ICTS (Inter-CSE Transferability Study): an application of CEOP data

B. Rockel, GKSS, Geesthacht, Germany; and J. Roads, I. Meinke, W. J. Gutowski, R. W. Arritt, and E. S. Takle

http://w3.gkss.de/ICTS

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (151.3 kB)

2:15 PM

7.4

Using CEOP EOP-1 and EOP-3 observations to assess land surface processes simulated in the NCEP global model

Ken Mitchell, Retired, MD; and C. H. Lu

Poster PDF (104.5 kB)

2:30 PM

7.5

CPTEC GCM and Eta Model verifications against Rond�nia Reference site in Brazil

S.C. Chou, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and P. Waldheim and C. P. Dereczynski

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

2:45 PM

7.6

Development of CEOP reference site data sets

Scot M. Loehrer, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Cully and S. F. Williams

http://www.joss.ucar.edu/ghp/ceopdm

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

3:00 PM

7.7

(formerly 7.10) Satellite Upper Air Network and the Climate Retrieval Problem

Tony Reale, NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, DC

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (234.0 kB)

3:15 PM

7.8

Recent Results from the CCPP-ARM Parameterization Testbed (CAPT)

T. J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and G. L. Potter, J. S. Boyle, R. T. Cederwall, M. Fiorino, J. J. Hnilo, S. A. Klein, S. Xie, D. L. Williamson, and J. G. Olson

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

7.9

Cluster analysis of cloud regimes and characteristic dynamics of midlatitude synoptic systems in observations and a model

Neil D Gordon, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Norris, C. P. Weaver, and S. A. Klein

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

7.10

(Formerly 7.7) Evaluating new cloud-radiation and hydrologic cycle parameterizations

Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

4:00 PM

7.11

Use of GPS radio occultation data for climate monitoring

Ying-Hwa Kuo, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Rocken and R. A. Anthes

http://www.cosmic.ucar.edu/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (430.9 kB)

4:15 PM

7.12

Radiative heating profiles in the convective tropics: A Comparison of Observations and Models

Sally A. McFarlane, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. H. Mather and T. P. Ackerman

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (695.2 kB)

4:30 PM

7.13

Comparison of the Multi-scale Modeling Framework and NCAR Community Atmospheric Model (CAM) with ISCCP and CERES Retrievals

Roger T. Marchand, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan, M. Ovtchinnikov, T. P. Ackerman, and M. Khairoutdinov

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (2.8 MB)

4:45 PM

7.14

Model Uncertainties Correlated with Spatial Variability of Prognostic Variables

Kun Yang, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Koike, K. Tamagawa, and P. Koudelova

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (842.8 kB)

5:00 PM

7.1a

Transferability experiments for advancing the GEWEX agenda ( paper will be presented as part of the 16 Global Conference, New Paper number 7.1A)

Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and B. Rockel, W. J. Gutowski Jr., J. O. Roads, I. Meinke, and R. W. Arritt

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

7.6a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

Sessions end for the day

WED 12 JAN

8

Regional Climate Modeling Studies (parallel with Session 9)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Julian X.L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL

Papers:

8:30 AM

8.1

Downscaling Global Climate Change Scenarios for Air Quality Assessment

L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and W. I. Gustafson

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

8.2

Radiative impacts of absorbing aerosols on tropical maritime boundary layer and trade wind cumuli

Hailong Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar and W. W. Grabowski

http://www.atmos.uiuc.edu/~hailong/cloud.htm

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (582.8 kB)

9:00 AM

8.3

Simulations of the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods in North American using the Eta Regional Climate Model

Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (228.0 kB)

9:15 AM

8.4

Analyzing the Local Climate Impacts due to the Three Gorges Dam

Norman L. Miller, University California - Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and J. Jin, Y. He, and C. F. Tsang

Recorded presentation

9

Living With a Limited Water Supply (parallel with Session 8)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ.

Papers:

8:30 AM

9.1

Has the Recent Global Warming Caused Increased Drying over Land?

Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Qian and K. E. Trenberth

http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/adai/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1005.8 kB)

8:45 AM

9.2

Tropical regional rainfall impacts under anthropogenic climate change

J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and C. Chou, H. Su, J. E. Meyerson, U. Lohmann, and J. Feichter

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

9.3

Simulation and Stochastic Forecasting of Water Cycle Components in Central Asian Alpine Basins

Vladimir B. Aizen, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and E. M. Aizen and V. Kuzmichenok

Poster PDF (471.4 kB)

9:15 AM

9.4

Classifying precipitation events in the Fertile Crescent

Jason P. Evans, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and R. B. Smith

http://www.yale.edu/ceo/Projects/swap.html

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (621.2 kB)

Coffee Break

Presidential Forum

Exhibits Open

Lunch Break

10

Climate Modeling Studies 2 (parallel with Session 11)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:

1:30 PM

10.1

An appraisal of coupled climate model simulations: mean state

Peter J. Gleckler, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and K. AcutaRao, C. Covey, C. Doutriaux, M. Fiorino, T. Phillips, K. Sperber, and K. E. Taylor

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

10.2

An Appraisal of Coupled Climate Model Simulations: Variability Diagnostics

Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL/PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and K. AchutaRao, C. Covey, C. Doutriaux, M. Fiorino, P. Gleckler, T. J. Phillips, and K. E. Taylor

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

10.3

Comparison of the Multi-Scale Modeling Framework and the NCAR CAM with observations along a Pacific Ocean transect

Thomas P. Ackerman, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan, R. T. Marchand, M. Ovtchinnikov, and A. S. Koontz

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (269.1 kB)

2:15 PM

10.4

Decadal tropical cloud and radiation variability in observations and the CCSM3

Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (627.1 kB)

2:30 PM

10.5

Heat waves in the Mediterranean Region: Analysis and model results

Marina Baldi, IBIMET/CNR, Rome, Italy; and M. Pasqui, F. Cesarone, and G. De Chiara

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (2.6 MB)

2:45 PM

10.6

Teleconnections Resulting from Tropical Deforestation

David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (127.8 kB)

3:00 PM

10.7

Validating and Understanding Water Vapor and Cloud Feedbacks in Climate Models

De-Zheng Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

3:15 PM

10.8

Precipitation extreme values in an AGCM ensemble

Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. I. Matsumaru

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

10.9

Impact mechanisms of shallow cumulus convection on tropical climate dynamics

Roel A. J. Neggers, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and B. Stevens

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

10.10

Effects of Convection Parameterization Closure on the Simulation of Tropical Climate in the NCAR CCM3 GCM

Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and M. Mu

4:00 PM

10.4a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11

Living With a Limited Water Supply, continued. (parallel with Session 10)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL

Papers:

1:30 PM

11.1

An empirical study of the links between NDVI and atmospheric variables in Africa with applications to forecasting vegetation change and precipitation

Chris C. Funk, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and M. E. Brown

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

11.2

A new perspective on drought in West Africa

Sharon E. Nicholson, FSU, Tallahassee, FL

2:00 PM

11.3

Case Studies of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Sub-Sahelian West Africa

Jon M. Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (350.7 kB)

2:15 PM

11.4

CLIP: Climate-land interaction project�Investigating human-climate interactions in East Africa

Brent M. Lofgren, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab, Ann Arbor, MI; and N. J. Moore, J. A. Andresen, J. J. Olson, D. J. Campbell, and B. C. Pijanowski

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (155.0 kB)

2:30 PM

11.5

Seasonal temperature and energy demand predictions for the U.S. west

David W. Pierce, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and E. Alfaro, A. Gershunov, T. P. Barnett, and D. Cayan

2:45 PM

11.6

CalClim: An accessible data archive to monitor California climate

Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond, G. D. McCurdy, D. R. Cayan, M. Meyer Tyree, and L. Riddle

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (282.7 kB)

3:00 PM

11.7

Climate change effects on vegetation distribution, carbon, and fire in California

James M. Lenihan, USDA Forest Service, Corvallis, OR

Recorded presentation

3:15 PM

11.8

Seasonal variation of daily evaporation over two distinct biomes in a northern extent of the Chihuahuan desert

J. H. Prueger, National Soil Tilth Laboratory, Ames, IA; and W. P. Kustas, J. L. Hatfield, L. E. Hipps, and T. Schmugge

3:30 PM

11.9

The influence of emission scenarios on climate impacts: A California prototype

Katharine Hayhoe, ATMOS Research & Consulting, South Bend, IN; and D. Cayan, C. B. Field, P. Frumhoff, E. P. Maurer, N. L. Miller, S. Moser, S. Schneider, K. N. Cahill, L. Dale, W. M. Hanemann, L. S. Kalkstein, J. M. Lenihan, R. P. Neilson, C. Lunch, S. C. Sheridan, R. Drapek, and J. Verville

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

11.10

Initial results from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program

W. J. Gutowski, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. Arritt, S. Biner, G. Boer, D. Caya, P. Duffy, M. Giguere, F. Giorgi, I. Held, R. Jones, R. Laprise, R. Leung, L. Mearns, A. Nunes, J. Pal, Y. Qian, J. Roads, L. Sloan, M. Snyder, R. Stouffer, E. Takle, and W. Washington

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

11.4a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 4

Poster Session: Climate Predictions on Seasonal and Interannual Time Scales

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:

P4.1

Weather extremes in climate change simulations using the global ECHAM5/MPI-OM coupled model

P4.2

The Pacific ENSO Applications Center (PEAC): The First Decade

Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI; and N. Colasacco

P4.3

Southern Hemisphere teleconnection indices associated with SACZ in model simulations

Iracema FA Cavalcanti, Centro de Previs�o de Tempo e Estudos Clim�ticos/Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, S�o Paulo, Brazil; and C. C. Castro

P4.4

Soil moisture impacts on seasonal forecast predictability

Laurel L DeHaan, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and M. Kanamitsu, J. Roads, and C. H. Lu

P4.5

Seasonal Climate Variability in Version 3 of the Center for Ocean Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA) AGCM

Vasubandhu Misra, COLA, Calverton, MD; and L. Marx

Poster PDF (743.3 kB)

P4.6

New NWS Western Region local climate products

Marina M. Timofeyeva, UCAR and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Bair and D. Unger

P4.7

Influence of the MJO on summertime daily precipitation in Central and North America and predictability at subseasonal time-scales

Mathew Barlow, AER, Lexington, MA; and D. Salstein

P4.8

Global SST prediction system with a multi-model ensemble

Jong-Seong Kug, KORDI, Ansan, South Korea; and I. S. Kang and J. Y. Lee

P4.9

Dynamical downscaling over Nordeste Brazil using NCEP RSM97

Huilan Li, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and L. Sun

P4.10

Climate Change Variability and Extremes in Atlantic Canada

P4.11

Assessment of satellite-sensed leaf area index datasets using statistic analyses and a general circulation model

Hyun-Suk Kang, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue, G. J. Collatz, M. E. Brown, and J. Pinzon

P4.12

An assessment of surface climate variability in a recent version of the Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre atmospheric GCM

Harun A. Rashid, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and O. Alves, H. Hendon, and L. Deschamps

Poster PDF (860.1 kB)

P4.13

A study of dynamical characteristics associated with abnormal wet summer over the Korean peninsula in 2003

Kyung-Hee Seol, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong

Poster PDF (1014.4 kB)

Exhibits Open

Sessions End for the day

Exhibits Open

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

THUR 13 JAN

13

Radiative Forcing of the Climate (parallel with Session 12)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Piers M. de F. Forster, University of Reading UK

Papers:

13.1

Progress in measuring the radiative forcing of global warming

8:45 AM

13.2

Interannual changes in the global direct radiative climate forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases over the past 25 years

David J. Hofmann, NOAA/Climate Monitoring & Diagnostics Lab, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Butler, E. J. Dlugokencky, J. W. Elkins, K. Masarie, S. A. Montzka, and P. Tans

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (148.5 kB)

9:00 AM

13.3

Direct radiative effect of dust in a simple climate model: Climate response and sensitivity to dust optical properties

Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville

Recorded presentation

13.4

On the role of clouds and moisture for the tropical modes in a two-dimensional general circulation model

9:30 AM

13.5

Cloud-climate feedbacks as a result of solar cloud absorption in the SKYHI General Circulation Model

Carynelisa Erlick, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and V. Ramaswamy and L. M. Russell

12

Observed Climate Change: 2 (parallel with Session 13)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:

8:30 AM

12.1

The climate of 2004 in historical perspective

David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. R. Heim Jr., S. Stephens, A. M. Waple, and C. Tankersley

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (923.3 kB)

8:45 AM

12.2

Northern Hemisphere spring warming during the past five decades: links to snow cover losses.

Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego /U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA; and M. Dettinger

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

12.3

Issues with identification of trends in 20th Century U.S. snowfall

Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and D. R. Easterling, K. T. Redmond, and K. G. Hubbard

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

12.4

Quantifying the uncertainties in the long-term trend of global land precipitation as observed in gauge-based analyses

Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, and P. A. Arkin

Poster PDF (378.2 kB)

9:30 AM

12.5

Changes in precipitation distribution spectra and contemporary warming of the extratropics: implications for intense rainfall, droughts, and potential forest fire danger

Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, D. R. Easterling, D. Levinson, R. R. Heim Jr., T. R. Karl, P. H. Whitfield, G. C. Hegerl, V. N. Razuvaev, B. G. Sherstyukov, J. G. Enloe, and N. S. Stroumentova

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (2.0 MB)

9:45 AM

12.6

Rainfall changes in Hawaii during the last century

Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/OAR/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. S. Chu and J. K. Eischeid

Poster PDF (446.2 kB)

10:00 AM

12.7

The Atlantic basin hurricane database re-analysis for the decades of the 1910s, 1920s and 1930s

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

10:15 AM

12.8

Increasing Midwestern dew points: Is this a result of changing agricultural practices?

David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and M. Sandstrom, R. Lauritsen, and M. Bentley

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

12.9

Changes in hourly surface relative humidity measurements and instruments in Canada during 1953�2003

Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. A. Van Wijngaarden

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (86.6 kB)

10:45 AM

12.5a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Joint Poster Session 2

Formal Poster Viewing - High Latitude Climate Variability and Change (Joint with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 8th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; and the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Organizer: Vladimir Alexeev, University of Alaska

Papers:

JP2.1

Using a global climate model to examine changes in Arctic permafrost

James R. Miller, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and G. L. Russell

JP2.2

Spatial and Temporal Variability of Carbon Flux on the North Slope of Alaska: A Study of the Barrow-Atqasuk-Ivotuk Region

Walter C. Oechel, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA; and H. Kwon, R. Zulueta, J. Verfaillie Jr., G. Kinoshita, J. Kimball, F. A. Heinsch, and S. Running

JP2.3

Characteristics of winter cyclone activity in the Northern North Atlantic

Maria A. Tsukernik, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Serreze

JP2.4

The response of winter Arctic sea ice to Arctic Oscillation and dipole anomaly in the atmosphere

Jia Wang, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and B. Wu and J. E. Walsh

JP2.5

Mechanisms of decadal and interdecadal Arctic climate variability in the Community Climate System Model CCSM2

Hugues Goosse, Universite Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and M. M. Holland

JP2.6

Investigating the Relationship Between Modeled Ice Extent and the AO/NAO

Todd E. Arbetter, NSIDC/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Serreze

JP2.7

Investigating the climatic effects of the NAO over Greenland using Polar MM5

Michael Previdi, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and D. E. Veron

Poster PDF (498.1 kB)

JP2.8

Analyzing Low Frequency Variability in Atlantic Water using the CCSM3

Kara A. Sterling, International Arctic Research Center, Fairbanks, AK; and U. Bhatt and I. Polyakov

JP2.9

Strong trends in the skill of the ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses in the high and middle latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere, 1958�2001

David H. Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center/Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and R. L. Fogt

http://polarmet.mps.ohio-state.edu/PolarMet/PMGAbstracts/rfogt_final.pdf

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (713.6 kB)

JP2.10

Ice Ocean Model Forcing using ERA-40 Data.

Axel J. Schweiger, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. W. Lindsay and J. Zhang

JP2.11

Application of A mesoscale 3DVAR system at high latitudes as a step towards Arctic reanalysis

Jeffrey S. Tilley, Regional Weather Information Center, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and X. Fan and J. E. Walsh

Poster PDF (1015.0 kB)

JP2.12

Antarctic Net Precipitation Estimate from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis-2

Chuanyu Xu, U.S. National Ice Center, Washington, DC and QSS Group, Inc., Lanham, MD; and C. Z. Zou and M. L. Van Woert

Poster PDF (311.9 kB)

JP2.13

A re-evaluation of upper tropospheric winds in reanalyses near Svalbard

David H. Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and S. H. Wang

Poster PDF (444.6 kB)

JP2.14

Paper JP2.14 has been moved to Joint Session J4, New Paper Number J4.3A

JP2.15

High resolution regional climate simulations over Iceland using Polar MM5

David H. Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and L. Bai and G. G. Bjarnason

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)

JP2.16

The Arctic boundary layer in six regional scale (ARCMIP) models

Michael Tjernstr�m, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; and M. �agar, G. Svensson, A. Rinke, K. Dethloff, J. Cassano, C. Jones, K. Wyser, and M. Shaw

http://www.misu.su.se/~michaelt/home.html

Poster PDF (376.0 kB)

JP2.17

Glaciers and Climate in Southern Alaska: present and future

Uma S. Bhatt, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and J. Zhang, C. Lingle, W. Tangborn, and J. Tilley

Poster PDF (709.0 kB)

JP2.18

Ocean Dynamics in Recent Arctic Freshwater Changes

Xiangdong Zhang, International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK

JP2.19

The thinning of arctic sea ice, 1988�2003: have we passed a tipping point?

R. W. Lindsay, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Zhang

Poster PDF (655.5 kB)

JP2.20

Locating and removing problematic data in the DMSP SSM/I data sets

Andrew L. Molthan, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson

Poster PDF (503.7 kB)

JP2.21

Developing a climate record for a glacial lake valley in Svalbard

Daniel Philip Lane, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

JP2.22

Climatology as the mean of two modes: an application to interior Alaska temperatures from medium range MOS

Timothy L Shy, NOAA/NWSFO, Fairbanks, AK; and R. Thoman and E. Stevens

Poster PDF (26.8 kB)

JP2.23

Climate variability of free atmosphere in the polar regions

Alexander P. Makshtas, Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, St. Petersburg, Russia; and V. V. Maistrova and V. Alexeev

JP2.24

A time series analysis of multiyear sea ice in the central Arctic

Andrew J. Hamm, NASA/GSFC Greenbelt, MD and Northland College, Ashland, WI; and P. Gloersen

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

JP2.25

Climate variability determined from Arctic Ocean snow melt onset dates

Mark R. Anderson, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE

JP2.26

Climatology of the winter surface temperature inversion in Fairbanks, Alaska

Brian Hartmann, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Wendler

Poster PDF (828.9 kB)

JP2.27

Decadal shifts in the relationship among surface temperature records of the weather stations in western sub-Arctic

Muyin Wang, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland

JP2.28

Dynamical Amplifier of Global Warming

Ming Cai, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

JP2.29

Footprint of the dynamical amplifier of global warmings at the TOA

Christelle Castet, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai

JP2.30

Advantages of T-mode Decomposition in Rotated Principal Component Analysis: Applications to the Arctic

Nathaniel C. Johnson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and A. Avramov, E. E. Clothiaux, N. Shirer, J. Harrington, and J. Verlinde

Poster Session 5

Poster Session: Seasonal to Interannual Variability

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:

P5.1

The Misnomer of the "East Asian Summer Monsoon"

Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen

P5.2

Role of Indian Ocean on Pakistan Summer Rainfall

Muhammad Jawed Iqbal Sr., I am a Ph.D. student in Institure of Space and Palanetary Astrophysics, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan

P5.3

Rainfall Climatology of the Monsoon Season in New Mexcio: Observations from NEXRAD Stage III (1996-2003)

Hongjie Xie, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and E. R. Vivoni, X. Zhou, and J. M. H. Hendrickx

P5.4

The Hydrological onset and withdrawal index (HOWI) for the West Africa Monsoon

Giovanni A. Dalu, IBIMET - CNR, Rome, Italy; and M. Gaetani, F. Meneguzzo, A. Crisci, G. Maracchi, F. Guarnieri, and V. Capecchi

Poster PDF (547.7 kB)

P5.5

Intraseasonal to Decadal Variability of the Greater Horn of Africa

J. Bowden, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi, R. Anyah, and C. Schreck

http://climlab4.meas.ncsu.edu

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

P5.6

Annual Cycle and Interannual Variability in the Sahel rainfall based on the CPC African Rainfall Estimates Climatology (ARC)

Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Capm Springs, MD; and T. B. Love and V. Kumar

P5.7

The use of SST and SOI anomalies as indicators of crops yield variability

P5.8

A comparison of weather in U.S. cities during the winter of 2002�2003 to the El Nino's of 1982�1983 and 1997�1998

Margaret E. Sweeny, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (59.4 kB)

P5.9

Correlation of West African ITCZ position to satellite-derived precipitation based on MEI-evaluated ENSO patterns

P5.10

Interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity in the southern South China Sea

Zabani Md. Zuki, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo

Poster PDF (168.9 kB)

P5.11

Interannual variability in the troposphere-stratosphere climate system and the solar cycle

Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. W. Whitesides

P5.12

Decadal and year-to-year variations of the spring polar temperature in the lower-stratosphere

Wookap Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and D. Kim

P5.13

The variability of surface cloud radiative forcing over the US

Haig Iskenderian, Northrop Grumman Information Technology, Reading, MA

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)

P5.14

Summertime North Pacific cloud feedbacks inferred from synoptic-scale dynamic and thermodynamic relationships

Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and S. F. Iacobellis

Poster PDF (517.9 kB)

P5.16

Water Vapor Trends and Variability from the Global NVAP Dataset

Thomas H. Vonder Haar, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Forsythe, J. Luo, D. L. Randel, and S. Woo

Poster PDF (598.9 kB)

P5.17

Multi-year observations of ocean albedo from a rigid marine platform

Charles Kendall Rutledge, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Schuster

http://www-svg.larc.nasa.gov

Poster PDF (320.5 kB)

P5.18

P5.18 moved to oral presentation 15.7a

P5.19

Towards greater understanding of inter-seasonal and multi-decadal variability and extremes of extratropical storminess in Florida

Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and J. R. Almeida

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/enso/mlbnino.html

Poster PDF (190.4 kB)

P5.20

Intraseasonal interactions between terrestrial vegetation and climate variability in northern mid-latitudes

Weile Wang, Boston University, Boston, MA; and B. Anderson, N. Phillips, R. K. Kaufmann, and R. B. Myneni

P5.21

Annual, Interannual, and Interdecadal Variability of Drought in the United States

Jose A. Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

14

Climate Services (parallel with Joint Session 3)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Organizer: Fiona Horsfall, Climate Services Division/OCWWS/NWS/NOAA

Papers:

11:00 AM

14.1

NOAA Climate Cores: Enhancing the national climate decision support capacity

Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS/OCWWS/Climate Services Division, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill, R. Pulwarty, and K. Redmond

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (92.9 kB)

11:15 AM

14.2

NOAA�s National Weather Service climate outreach in 2004-05

Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

14.3

Living with a Climate in Transition: Pacific Islands Experience

Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI

http://research.eastwestcenter.org/climate

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (57.8 kB)

11:45 AM

14.4

Evaluating the cost of protecting against global climate change: options pricing theory and weather derivatives

Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

http://www.weather-climate.com/ams2005cc.html

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (225.8 kB)

Joint Session 3

Climate of the Southern High Latitudes (Joint Session with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change) ( parallel with Session 14)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 8th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )

Organizer: Hugues Goosse, Universite Catholique de Louvain

Papers:

11:00 AM

J3.1

Reconstructing the mid-Twentieth Century climate of the Antarctic Peninsula region

John Turner, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (411.2 kB)

11:15 AM

J3.2

Climatology and variability of mesoscale cyclones in the Western

Dan Lubin, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

J3.3

Decadal variability of the ENSO teleconnection to the South Pacific governed by coupling with the Antarctic Oscillation

Ryan L. Fogt, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (481.6 kB)

11:45 AM

J3.4

Long-term Trends and Variability in the Atmospheric Circulation over Antarctica: 1957-2004

William D. Neff, NOAA, Boulder, Colorado

12:00 PM

J3.5

Recent Sea Ice Variability and Its Association with Large-Scale Processes

Jiping Liu, School of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry

Recorded presentation

Exhibits Open

Lunch Break

Joint Session 4

Climate of the Northern High Latitudes (Joint Session with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations) (parallel with Session 15)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 8th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )

Organizer: Marika M. Holland, NCAR

Papers:

1:30 PM

J4.1

Climatic processes affecting arctic coastal environments: a review (Invited Presentation)

Roger G. Barry, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Serreze

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

J4.2

Simulations of Wintertime Arctic Air Surges into Middle Latitudes

Steve Vavrus, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Walsh, W. L. Chapman, and D. Portis

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (2.5 MB)

J4.3

Arctic sea ice and its feedback on the atmospheric circulation

2:30 PM

J4.4

Climate variability and trends along the western slope of the Greenland Ice Sheet during 1991�2004

Konrad Steffen, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and N. Cullen and R. Huff

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (470.8 kB)

2:45 PM

J4.5

North Atlantic variability and self-organizing maps: early results

David B. Reusch, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and R. B. Alley

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (494.7 kB)

3:00 PM

J4.3a

On adapting a next-generation mesoscale model for the polar regions (Formerly Paper Number JP2.14)

Keith M. Hines, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (457.9 kB)

15

Climate Predictions on Seasonal to Interannual Time Scales: 2 (parallel with Joint Session 4)

Sponsor: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC

Papers:

1:30 PM

15.1

A connection between El Nino and Interdecadal Variability

C�cile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and L. Matrosova

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

15.2

Rainfall variability in equatorial Africa

Sharon E. Nicholson, FSU, Tallahassee, FL; and N. Balas

2:00 PM

15.3

Recent West African hydrologic anomalies in the NCEP coupled forecast system

Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Capm Springs, MD; and K. C. Mo

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

15.4

Implementation of a new seasonal/interannual Coupled Forecast System (CFS) at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Moorthi and S. Saha

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

15.5

Storm track predictability on seasonal to decadal scales

Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

15.6

Predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon in a Coupled General Circulation Model

H. Annamalai, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. R. Sperber

Recorded presentation

15.7

Predictability of the MJO: GCM and Surface Boundary Condition Sensitivity

3:15 PM

15.8

A Simulation of the Maintenance of the Madden Julian Oscillation: Using Scale Interactions as a Framework

Adam O'Shay, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

Poster PDF (64.2 kB)

3:30 PM

15.9

Simulation of a summer monsoon over Korea in 2003

Yu-Bin Yhang, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei university, Seoul, Korea, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (850.5 kB)

3:45 PM

15.10

Seasonal Forecast Skill Comparison of Cluster mean, Ensemble Mean and EOF Mode patterns

Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and M. Kanamitsu

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

15.11

Interannual variability of aerosol and its impact to the climate with TOMS data

Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami RSMAS, miami, FL

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

15.12

Dynamical Downscaling of Seasonal Climate Information: Linkage with Grazing Simulation System

Jozef Syktus, Queensland Centre for Climate Applications, Indooroopilly, Queensland, Australia; and G. McKeon

4:30 PM

15.6a

Coffee Break

5:00 PM

15.7a

Interannual Variability of Tropical Diurnal SST Variability

Derrick K. Weitlich, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (173.5 kB)

Joint Session 6

The Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) (Joint between the 19th conference on Hydrology and 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conf on Hydrology; and the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, International GEWEX Project Office

Papers:

1:30 PM

J6.2

The Water Budgets and Precipitation Recycling in Northwestern Canada

Kit K. Szeto, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada

Recorded presentation

J6.3

Hydrometeorology of the Amazon from ERA-40

2:00 PM

J6.4

Solar dimming/brightening and consequences for the water cycle

Beate G. Liepert, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and A. Romanou

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

J6.7

The GEWEX Global Land Atmosphere System Study (GLASS) � Recent Results and Future Plans

Paul A. Dirmeyer, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, MD

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

J6.8

Multiscale Evaluation of GLDAS Products for CEOP with the Land Information System

Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, M. Rodell, Y. Tian, J. V. Geiger, S. Olden, L. Lighty, J. L. Eastman, P. R. Houser, E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, K. E. Mitchell, C. J. Meng, P. A. Dirmeyer, B. Doty, and J. Adams

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

J6.9

Evaluation of Reanalysis Soil Moisture Simulations Using Newly Updated Soil Moisture Observations from the Ukraine and China

Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and H. Li, M. Mu, and K. Y. Vinnikov

3:00 PM

J6.10

Dynamical Downscaling of Extended Weather Forecasts for Hydrologic Prediction in River Basins of the Western U.S.

Yun Qian, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung

Recorded presentation

3:15 PM

J6.11

Evaluation of Cloud Resolving Simulations over the Southern Great Plains During IHOP 2002

L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. K. Berg, T. P. Ackerman, and R. T. Marcharnd

Recorded presentation

3:30 PM

J6.12

Contributions of the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) to priority climate and observational issues

Richard G. Lawford, International GEWEX Project Office, Silver Spring, MD

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

J6.13

Interpreting Lake Victoria in terms of regional hydrology and hydrologic change

Sharon E. Nicholson, FSU, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Yin

4:00 PM

J6.14

Land Surface Water Cycles Observed with Satellite Sensors(Formerly paper j6.6)

S. V. Nghiem, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and E. G. Njoku, G. R. Brakenridge, Y. Kim, and G. Neumann

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

4:15 PM

J6.1a

Paper J6.5 to be presented as part of Session 7 in the 16 Global program, new paper number 7.1A

4:30 PM

J6.6a

Paper J6.6 Moved to end of session. New paper number J6.14

4:31 PM

J6.8a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

5:01 PM

J6.1b

GEWEX Water and Energy Budget Studies

J. Roads, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA

Coffee Break

Registration Desk Closes

Joint Session 7

Mechanisms of Climate Change (Joint Session with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 8th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography )

Organizer: James R. Miller, Rutgers University

Papers:

3:30 PM

J7.1

Future Polar Climate Change Simulations with the CCSM3

Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng, G. A. Meehl, J. Arblaster, A. Hu, and L. Buja

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (135.0 kB)

3:45 PM

J7.2

Climate variability during the last millennium in the Arctic: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations

Hugues Goosse, Universite Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and H. Renssen, A. Timmermann, and R. S. Bradley

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

J7.3

Building and using an Arctic climate information system

James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and N. N. Soreide, M. C. Serreze, and J. Francis

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/detect/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (314.1 kB)

4:15 PM

J7.4

Analysis of the polar amplification pattern of global warming in models without ice albedo feedbacks

Vladimir Alexeev, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and P. L. Langen

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

J7.5

Sea ice forced climate change in a GCM

C. M. Bitz, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. Hall, M. M. Holland, and R. W. Lindsay

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

J7.6

What controls planetary albedo and its interannual variability?

Xin Qu, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

J7.7

Variability in the Arctic sea ice melt season

John W. Weatherly, U. S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab, Hanover, NH; and D. K. Perovich and S. Nghiem

http://snow.usace.army.mil/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (104.8 kB)

5:15 PM

J7.8

Influence of the sea ice thickness distribution on simulated polar climate

Marika M. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. M. Bitz, J. L. Schramm, W. H. Lipscomb, and E. C. Hunke

Recorded presentation

Exhibits Close

Conference Ends

Ed Lorenz Symposium Banquet

: 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Sunday, 9 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2005

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2005

9:00 AM-5:40 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2005

Monday, 10 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005

9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005

9:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

Tuesday, 11 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

8:30 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

Wednesday, 12 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

10:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

11:30 AM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

2:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

3:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2005

Thursday, 13 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

12:00 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

1:30 PM-3:15 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:16 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

3:45 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2005

Sunday, 9 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2005

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2005

9:00 AM-5:40 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2005

Monday, 10 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005

9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2005

9:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2005

Tuesday, 11 January 2005

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

8:30 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2005